25 Reasonable chance, depending.
24 No chance in hell; there are other drummers IN HIS BAND that might, though.
23 He's either going to be in someone's top ten or not on the list, so probably won't make the final.
22 No chance. I might take some crap for this one.
21 No chance; most people won't know who he is.
20 No chance.
19 No chance (part of what will possibly be the only "father/son" pair on anyone's list)
18 No chance, due to this band being a pariah around here.
17 60-40 he makes it.
16 Probably no chance, but a crying shame. The man is a mule.
15. Slim chance; he is arguably my vote for best drummer in his genre, though there's another guy that gets all the press.
14 One of three guys from a certain band to make my list; probably won't make the final.
13 90% lock
12 100% lock
11 Slim chance; the other guy who replaced him has a better shot.
10 Should be a 100% lock; this forum? 50-50 at best.
9 Cozy Powell
8 No. 11's "other guy". Should be 70-30 to make it.
7 Sadly, no chance.
6 Bill Ward
5 SHOULD BE 100% lock.
4 100% lock
3 100% lock
2 100% lock
1 100% lock and my guess for Number One overall.
NR: Gene Hoglan
NR: Blake Richardson; I'm sure he's good but the band does nothing for me, so he's not on my radar.
So, this was my guess for Bill Ward: "Probably no chance; he's a pale shell of his former self, but some of his early live work is incendiary."
You've got to find the video that's out there of the "Live In Paris" show from 1970 (I think it's actually from Brussels, but the title is Paris). Bill Ward is on FIRE. He is a MACHINE in that video. Sabbath is known as the fathers of heavy metal, and Iommi is certainly a part of that, but Bill Ward was NOT a plodding metal drummer. Like Lee Kerslake later (with Ozzy) and patently UNLIKE Vinnie Appice with Dio (and Sabbath), Ward was almost a Jazzer. He brought so much to the early Sabbath sound that WASN'T "boom, boom BAP!" metal, I think he's a large part of why so many think the "Ozzy" era was something special, and why perhaps "13" didn't necessarily rate with the best of the Ozzy material.
Also, his work on the debut and on Sabbath Bloody Sabbath is to be noted as well.
The problem, though, is Bill lost it later through a combination of physical and substance problems.