Hmmm, since I am not running this countdown, I get to play this game now as well.
25 Outside chance
24 1,000 to 1 odds he makes it
23 Probably no chance in hell
22 Decent shot, but I won't be surprised if we do not see him
21 Pretty good chance considering how popular his band is here
20 Very likely to make it
19 Better than average chance
18 1,000,000 to 1 odds he makes it
17 Very unlikely
16 Very unlikely, but likely would have here 15 years ago
15 2 to 1 chance to make it
14 Very little shot
13 Extremely likely
12 I'd be stunned if he doesn't make it
11 Solid chance, but could see a bit of overshadowing hurting his chances
10 Highly doubtful
09 Likely to not make a lot of lists, but should finish high enough on some to make it
08 A stone cold lock
07 Solid shot
06 Highly unlikely, and it will be the crime of the century when he is left off
05 100% lock
04 100% lock
03 Almost no chance
02 100% lock
01 100% lock