5 - Mike Mangini
6 - Danny Carey
No idea who Danny Carey is (and seeing some of the comments about him, I understand why). I had Mangini at #19. He's obviously an incredible technical drummer, but I can't say I've really enjoyed his playing the way I did with MP's playing. That's probably more a me thing than a him thing, but this countdown is about favorites, so there you have it.
25
Keith Moon (Maybe...not sure)
24 Probably not
23 I'd say 60-70% chance no
22
Ringo Starr (Probably)
21 Probably not
20 Probably not
19
Mike Mangini (90% yes)
18 Nein
17 Absolutely should be, but I'm thinking less than 50/50
16 Nope
15 Not even a little chance
14 No way, eh
13
Phil Collins (90+% yes)
12 Not a chance
11 Nope
10
Lars Ulrich (I think yes, only about 60% sure)
9
Bill Ward (Should be...75+% likely)
8
Bill Bruford (75+% likely)
7
Cozy Powell (50/50)
6
Scott Rockenfield (Hmmm...really not sure, but I think less than 50/50)
5 Same band as #8 - one of them should make it, if not both
4
Nicko McBrain (90+% yes)
3 Lock
2
Mark Zonder (Might sneak in around 21-25)
1 Lock for top 3
Not ranked: Gene Hoglan, Blake Richardson, Carter Beauford, Alex Van Halen, Martin Lopez, Stewart Copeland, Dave Lombardo, Nick D'Virgilio, Brann Dailor, Marco Minnemann, Danny Carey
As for the final four, two are solid locks. I'm still assuming there's a third guy who's a lock (although I didn't rank him) because he's at or near the top of pretty much every drummer ranking I've ever seen. I know who I want the 4th guy to be, but given that this countdown has already featured half a dozen guys I've never heard of, I'm just not sure.