I don't mean that confrontationally
Yes you do.
Like almost all things here, it's a discussion of ideas, nothing more.
If you choose not to act because you fear being shot, you be you. I'm not here to tell you that you're wrong.
And yet, here you are.[/quote]
But I'm not; I think I've been clear. If you decide not to engage - which is what I did, by the way - you be you. I'm SOLELY focusing on this incorrect and inaccurate assessment of the odds of being shot by engaging. Look, this isn't a standalone thread; some of the people making the assertions here CONTINUALLY make those assertions, despite there being little data to back their positions up.
I've never once ever done cocaine because I fear my heart blowing up and/or being Ozzy snorting ants. I don't know if my fear is RATIONAL or not - does that happen with one snort? - but I do act on it. Here's the difference though: I'm not translating that fear into something more tangible. I'm not telling others "Don't do coke! Your heart will explode!" because that's patently not true in all cases; I know a ton of people that have done coke, and neither of those things happened.
You know a ton of people that have done coke? [/quote]
What's a ton? Unfortunately, I do know a fair amount of people - either directly, from the college days, or anecdotally - that have. It was the 80's after all.
There are people here that believe their fear of being shot is RATIONAL and reflective of reality. That's just not true. I'm sorry, but it's not.
The fuck it isn't. Do things like this (a jerk losing his shit in some unnecessary incident) happen all day every day in every U.S. city? No, of course not. But it happens frequently throughout the U.S., and you never know when or where it will happen again. [/quote]
And that's the rub, isn't it? Remembering that we're talking about SHOOTING - which is what I objected to - not just losing one's shit (which I've already agreed to), and it doesn't happen that frequently. Whether you THINK it does or not is immaterial. It's like the woman in the prologue of the "How Risky Is It?" book that was fighting tooth and nail to get her town to address trace amounts of contaminant in the air in the school library - below reportable levels - and yet at every break in the hearing would chainsmoke cigarettes, something the author put at a risk of about 10,000 times more dangerous than what she was fighting for.
If you said "yeah, I guess the risk is really low, but not one I'm willing to take, so I'm going to let him go because I REALLY don't want to be shot" you would never have heard a word from me. But that's not what was said. If someone in the COVID thread said "I fear the vaccine because it causes autism", you'd be all over it like Yngwie on a guitar solo and you know it.
Didn't realize I had to clear all of my risk assessments with you before getting a fucking sermon about numbers and statistics. I'll remember that next time.[/quote]
Not necessary; I'm not telling you what to do, I'm trying to characterize the issue. C'mon.
You can talk numbers and stats all you want, but not all stats are equivalent. There is a pretty low chance that I will win the lottery, but if I try my luck and lose, I'm just out a couple bucks, no blood no foul. But SOMEONE is going to beat the odds, and they are going to win big.
There is a pretty low chance that I will ever be in an altercation that results in gun violence, but if I try my luck and lose, I am dead. None of the people who have been injured or killed in any such confrontations were likely to have been in one either, but they were, and I don't want to be the fucking next one.
So are you going out in a tyvek suit? Are you wearing a respirator to make sure you don't breath any contaminants?
Are you not driving at night, because drunk driving accidents are four times more likely to happen during the night than the day time? I cited something like 218 murders in five years,
yet DWI's killed about 800 - FOUR TIMES that amount over Thanksgiving weekends from 2013 to 2017. Are you not driving at all during that weekend? That's a far better bang for your money in terms of "being the next one". I've already said, repeatedly, if you don't want to be the next one, you be you. But own it; don't make it out like it's someone else's problem when it isn't.