Because it's fun to overreact (!!), here is my confidence level after two weeks of the 14 teams I picked to make the playoffs.
Buffalo - Very Confident (they appear to be the juggernaut we all expected them to be)
Baltimore - Confident (despite that collapse on Sunday, I still think they win their division)
Pittsburgh - Not Confident (the injury to TJ Watt + the lackluster QB play does not = a playoff berth)
Indianapolis - Shaky Confidence (they have looked awful, but their division is so bad that they could easily turn it around)
Denver - Not Confident (new head coach is a clueless dope, and that division is too tough)
LA Chargers - Somewhat Confident (not confident about the coach, and Herbert's ribs are a concern, but I think their overall talent will get them there)
Kansas City - Very Confident (I already feel silly for having doubted them at all)
Philadelphia - Confident (it's early, but Hurts looks great so far, and their D looks improved as well)
Green Bay - Confident (another ugly week 1, but their D is good, and Rodgers will figure it out enough with those receivers enough to get them to the playoffs)
Minnesota - Confident (ugly loss last night, but Cousins inexplicably never plays well in prime time, and a favorable schedule will get them there)
Tampa Bay - Very Confident (top 3 defense, and despite their issues and Brady's age, I don't see defenses continuing to hold the offense to 16 points a game)
New Orleans - Not Confident (could still eke in given how weak the NFC looks, but Winston is still the turnover machine he always was)
Arizona - Not Confident (despite the awesome comeback, they look like a team that has regressed)
LA Rams - Confident (despite some issues, they have enough talent to still win 10+)