Anyone else ever look at the Gamecast feature at ESPN.com?
On the left side of the screen, it has a "win probability" feature, which is a graph, the mid-point of which is 50, and which has 100 on either end. At the start of the currently ongoing Marlins v. Braves game, it had a win probability of 70.2% for the Braves. The number then fluctuated between the mid-60s and mid-70s until Swanson hit a homer to make it 1-0, which increased the number to 76.8%. Although the score hasn't changed since then, the number got as high as 83.0% - in the bottom of the 3rd of a 1-0 game.
Yesterday, the graph in the Houston v. Oakland game actually had the number on the Astros' side of 50% even though the A's were leading.
WTF? Is someone at ESPN just rolling 20-sided dice for this?