I picked Atlanta because of the Super Bowl hangover thing. They have a lot of young talent, so it won't surprise me if they make the playoffs again. Their offense won't be as good, though. After having that career year, Matt Ryan likely goes back to being what he always was (the 9th to 12th best QB in the NFL).
I think TB's time is now. Their defense started to get good down the stretch last year, and their offense looks loaded this year. Winston is the key, and I think he will be good enough for them to win 10-11 games.
I said that Denver was a homer pick and it totally was. I actually fear they are going to have a down year under a new coach and with the QB situation in flux. Unlike some teams (*cough* New England *cough*), they don't play in a shitty division where they can coast to winning it from the start. The Chiefs should still be good, the Chargers are getting better, and the Raiders might be better this year (while having a worse record). Having an above .500 divisional record in the AFC West this year will be a major accomplishment.
The Giants should be a playoff team again, but that o-line of theirs will be their downfall.