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The Astonishing Billboard Chart Prediction (merged)

Started by dvargas, January 17, 2016, 06:35:36 PM

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ariich


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Kotowboy



Kotowboy


CDrice



theanalogkid7

Is 11 bad?  I mean, DT has never been a "do it for the chart standings" kind of band, so I imagine they don't really care all too much.  I don't really know much about how this kind of thing would affect a band and their label, though.

EDIT: 1 on Hard Rock is pretty cool!

bosk1

#11 is not bad.  But I think that, even though it is ultimately fairly meaningless, everyone would have hoped that it would have been another "top 10" opener.  But by the same token, given that the album was such a risky departure from the norm, it is understandable that it did not open with as high a chart position. 

erwinrafael

And it is a double album. It would take more commited buyers to buy it because of the higher price tag.

SebastianPratesi

#80
Quote from: erwinrafael on February 09, 2016, 07:48:27 AM
And it is a double album. It would take more commited buyers to buy it because of the higher price tag.

Well, Iron Maiden's The Book of Souls is also a double album, yet I was surprised to see it released here in Argentina at the equivalent to $13 (which here is usually the price of single-disc albums).

The Astonishing, as I was expecting, is much more expensive: around $24. So I would understand if casual fans would want to skip buying this one.

Someone from a record store told me Maiden's album was a lot cheaper because they belong to a bigger label, and also that the band ordered the label to keep the prices low. Can anyone confirm any of this?

cramx3

Quote from: theanalogkid7 on February 09, 2016, 07:37:46 AM
Is 11 bad?  I mean, DT has never been a "do it for the chart standings" kind of band, so I imagine they don't really care all too much.  I don't really know much about how this kind of thing would affect a band and their label, though.

EDIT: 1 on Hard Rock is pretty cool!

11 is not bad at all.  DT's highest I think was 6, but around 10 is what I expected.

SwedishGoose


Dream Team

Quote from: SebastianPratesi on February 09, 2016, 08:06:07 AM
Quote from: erwinrafael on February 09, 2016, 07:48:27 AM
And it is a double album. It would take more commited buyers to buy it because of the higher price tag.

Well, Iron Maiden's The Book of Souls is also a double album, yet I was surprised to see it released here in Argentina at the equivalent to $13 (which here is usually the price of single-disc albums).

The Astonishing, as I was expecting, is much more expensive: around $24. So I would understand if casual fans would want to skip buying this one.

Someone from a record store told me Maiden's album was a lot cheaper because they belong to a bigger label, and also that the band demanded the label they had to keep the prices low. Can anyone confirm any of this?

It was $18 at FYE here in the States. Is $18 really that much dough? With the lower gas prices you save that much every week on gas.

bosk1

Quote from: SebastianPratesi on February 09, 2016, 08:06:07 AMSomeone from a record store told me Maiden's album was a lot cheaper because they belong to a bigger label, and also that the band ordered the label to keep the prices low. Can anyone confirm any of this?

Not sure, but that could be right.  And I think it is easier to keep the price of a double album to only a couple of bucks more than standard if it is packaged the way Maiden's was--in a slim jewel case that is ultimately the same size as a standard jewel case.  The Astonishing was packaged in such a way that it is simply more expensive packaging. 

dreamtheater360


fischermasamune

Quote from: Dream Team on February 09, 2016, 08:20:58 AM
It was $18 at FYE here in the States. Is $18 really that much dough? With the lower gas prices you save that much every week on gas.
15$ on Best Buy (US), plus 7% taxes.

As I Am

Quote from: dreamtheater360 on February 09, 2016, 08:57:15 AM
Does anyone know how many albums we sold?

I saw someone mention somewhere else that the first week sales were around 25K in the US. That seems kind of low to me, so I'm waiting for more definitive proof. I mean, BC&SL sold around 40K in week 1, then again, that was in the MP era, so who knows.

DreamerTV

Quote from: As I Am on February 09, 2016, 09:16:54 AM
Quote from: dreamtheater360 on February 09, 2016, 08:57:15 AM
Does anyone know how many albums we sold?

I saw someone mention somewhere else that the first week sales were around 25K in the US. That seems kind of low to me, so I'm waiting for more definitive proof. I mean, BC&SL sold around 40K in week 1, then again, that was in the MP era, so who knows.

And was 7 years ago, as ever year record sales decrease. 

noxon

We can extrapolate. Number 8 sold 33,000. Number 0 sold 32,000. Number 10 sold 31,000. So number 11 sold less than that.

Nihil-Morari


Mladen

11 isn't bad, but it's still a drop. Then again, it's hard to compete against Adele, Justin Bieber and Rihanna.


emtee

Top ten would be nice but the actual units sold is what I always focus on. Looks like this was a step backwards in the US. Not sure
of the last 2 albums units sold but generally they between 32K - 40K first week in the US.

Maybe just another sign of the decline of physical music.

As I Am


erwinrafael

Or less people buyng just because it is more commitment money-wise because of the much higher price tag. In terms of gross revenues, this album may have earned more than the previous albums.

Enigmachine

Quote from: erwinrafael on February 09, 2016, 01:27:47 PM
Or less people buyng just because it is more commitment money-wise because of the much higher price tag. In terms of gross revenues, this album may have earned more than the previous albums.

Very good point, people who don't know Dream Theater or haven't listened to them in a while are less likely to take a chance with a more expensive album.

rab7

There's also the increase of streaming availability. While I bought my copy because I like holding the physical CD in my hands, there's so many other ways to listen nowadays.

Kotowboy

Yeah in like 15 years you can find your gatefold copy of The Astonishing and go I remember this :)

But in 15 years you can't look back at the that nice MP3 you bought of The Astonishing with it's postage stamp sized artwork.

jsbru

Quote from: rab7 on February 09, 2016, 02:12:01 PM
There's also the increase of streaming availability. While I bought my copy because I like holding the physical CD in my hands, there's so many other ways to listen nowadays.

They also officially released the whole album on YouTube, and more and more people have stuff like Spotify each year, which I think still counts in the totals, but not to the extent of buying the album.

I got the physical CD ($14.99 at Best Buy) because I wanted the higher quality, I knew I was going to listen to it a lot in my car (it's still quicker to just have the CD in your player than to wait for Spotify to load on your phone, plus the better quality), and also to reward the band for all the hard work they put into this.  I do think Spotify kind of shafts artists, so if they go the extra mile and put out good work, I'll buy the CD.

Kotowboy

I think the only time I buy an album from iTunes is when I can't afford the physical product or I think the packaging is shit.

Last album I bought digitally was Sonic Highways because the packaging for the CD was like ::) wtf is this ? You can afford a jewel case AT LEAST.

Not a piece of the flimsiest card known to man folded in half with the CD inside. Fucks sake.

Enigmachine

Quote from: Kotowboy on February 09, 2016, 02:33:38 PM
Yeah in like 15 years you can find your gatefold copy of The Astonishing and go I remember this :)

But in 15 years you can't look back at the that nice MP3 you bought of The Astonishing with it's postage stamp sized artwork.

When I rip the CDs to my computer, I always delete the crappy 200x200 pic of the art and replace it with the largest and most detailed pic on google images I can find and, like:

This: vs This (click for full 3.5k x 3.5k size)

I find that sorts out the problem of small album art. Also, I took my desktop background from the second image:

Kotowboy


Enigmachine

It's quite an epic experience loading up your computer and having a massive NOMAC staring in your face.  :metal

Kotowboy

Quote from: Enigmachine on February 09, 2016, 03:28:50 PM
It's quite an epic experience loading up your computer and having a massive NOMAC staring in your face.  :metal


:nomac: Ah now - ye wouldn't be thinking of listening to any of that music nonsense now would ye ?

[for some reason this Nomac is from Dublin]