Returning to the issue of Liam's behaviour, having just watched some recent Youtube videos of him.
My basic take on Liam is that, as much of a colossal dick as he can be, it's a miracle he turned out as WELL as he did. I grew up where he grew up (it's rough as hell), I went to the kind of school he went to (academically shit with apathetic teachers), I know - not from personal experience - the family dynamics he had (absent and deadbeat father, older and far more talented brother whose approval he craves, madonna-figure mother).
Here's a guy with no education and a very limited ability to articulate himself but who at the age of 22 was suddenly the most famous lead singer in the UK, and the frontman of a band who was my generation's Beatles (I saw them in a 'crowd' of about 50 before they hit the big time and I saw them a year or so later at Maine Road Football Stadium playing to over 50,000). At 24 he was richer than he'd ever imagined being and was selling out Wembley and Knebworth. It's a highly pressurised situation for simple lads like those guys. Guigsy couldn't handle it. Bonehead couldn't handle it. Making it worse for Liam is that everyone knew that, although Oasis without Liam is not Oasis, it's still Noel who is the genius of the band. Liam was a manchild trying to live up to the English gold standard of his 3 heroes: John Lennon (the genius) Johnny Rotten (the attitude) and Roger Daltry (the stage presence).
I'll be honest here, that whole 'threatening Noel's wife and daughter' thing - trust me on this, forget what they all say publicly about how "I'm never talking to him again" - this isn't how guys like this relate to each other in the real world. It just isn't. They can spend a month calling each other 'cunts' and saying they're never going to talk again, and then 5 minutes later Noel will shoot Liam a WhatsApp about the City game, or about their mother's upcoming birthday. 99% of it is a show, I can pretty much guarantee it. Remember that message Noel wrote to Liam after he 'threatened' his wife, saying they're done, he's dead to him, all that shit - how did he sign it off? "Enjoy the summer Big Tits, catch up soon". What was the first thing Liam did after it blew up? He wrote "My sincere apologies to my beautiful mum Peggy and my lovely niece Anais for getting caught up in all of this childish behaviour I love you both dearly LG x". The first person Liam wished a happy new year to earlier this month? His big brother. And it's not because he just wants to get the band back together. It really isn't.
Honestly, none of it is serious. Round are way (!) this shit is just how it goes. Liam would lay down his life in a split second for Noel's kids, and Noel knows it. And by the way, am I the only one around here who thinks that Sara's (Noel's wife) message that sparked Liam's reaction was bizarrely cruel, mean-spirited and unnecessary? Everyone knows Liam has an inferiority complex about being Noel Gallagher's brother and he has a very sensitive, fragile ego. So with that in mind, why the hell did she write that about him? If you've spent literally years telling everyone who'll listen that your brother-in-law is an emotionally unstable manchild prone to outbursts of anger (she's a publicist remember, manufacturing shit is what she does), why would you then say, about his Glastonbury performance, "The fat twat doing his tribute act, balancing a tambourine on his head is going to look pretty dated after Stormzy"? (that's the comment that led to him telling Anais to "tell your mum to be careful")? Excuse me Sara but exactly who the fuck are you? Other than, like I said, a publicist with a vested financial interest in generating tabloid scandal?
So that's my take on Liam. He's a deeply flawed guy with some psychological issues, some impulse control issues, and sometimes he can be a very unpleasant and abusive person. He's not an intelligent man, unlike Noel. I'm not 'defending' him, because he doesn't need a defence. I'm just saying that his life and his behaviour need to be put in the context of his upbringing. Watch his recent interviews, watch the clip on Youtube where he sits down with a bunch of small children and answers their questions, watch his '73 questions with Vogue' clip where he talks about his healthy lifestyle (he could so easily have become a drug-addled alcoholic). My opinion is that if this is as bad as he's ever going to get then he's done pretty damn well. It could have really gone off the rails. And just as Noel and Damon Albarn actually became close buddies even while trashing each other in the media back in the 90s, the same will be true here. These guys will beat the everloving shit out of each other (as they did on the tour that finally broke up the band), but a few weeks later they will turn to the more important business of arranging who takes their mum to her bingo night next Friday. You won't read about that stuff in the papers, but trust me it happens. Where I'm from brothers don't fall out over something so stupid and trivial as kicking the fuck out of each other and exchanging insults on Twitter.
tl:dr - Oasis will reunite and tour again long before the decade is out.