Author Topic: Japan's Quake Could Cause the World's First Technology-based Price Shock  (Read 1663 times)

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Offline Riceball

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This is something I was thinking about when writing a couple of articles on the Japanese disaster & its impact on the Australian economy for work. Japan, apparently, accounts for 20 per cent of the worlds semi-conductor production and 40 per cent of the worlds flash memory production. I couldn't find anything on the material impacts on production at Japan's facilities, but suffice to say if a significant portion of their capacity was knocked out of action (be it through the earthquake, tsunami or power outages), technology companies would feel it very quickly. In saying that, however, I did read that tech companies carry roughly two weeks of spare supplies in case something like this happened.

My thinking is that these two components are present in pretty much all manufactured technology goods, and any shortage would be felt across the entire supply chain. This would cause prices to rise, similar to when the oil price shoots up rapidly (but, naturally, the impact is less severe).

I ask you, dear P/R'ers, do you think that we could be on the verge of the first technology-based supply shock?
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Offline Progmetty

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I think if this does happen; China would be delighted to carry the production burden of these items just fine.
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Offline ack44

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A mild temporary price hike at most, assuming that things will start to calm down. Tokyo is supposed to be having rolling blackouts right now, but they are usually false alarms.

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Offline Super Dude

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Correct me if I'm wrong ack, a friend of mine currently in Japan told me Tokyo was (relatively) okay, but it was Sendai that actually got the brunt of it?
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Offline ack44

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Tokyo is relatively okay and the problems here are electricity shortage (which affects transportation) and shortage of some supplies. Sendai or Miyagi prefecture north of Tokyo has been utterly destroyed.

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Offline Chino

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Electric components are too cheap and easy to make for there to be a world wilde shortage severe enough to jack up prices.



Offline Riceball

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Yeah, stocks are going berzerk at the moment. The Nikkei went -6.2pc, -9pc, +7pc and today is -2pc. The US tanked last night also. Doesn't take much (when I say much, I mean purely in financial terms not to do with human loss or anything) to muck up an algorithm since 2007.
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Offline rumborak

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Wtf is "pc"? Percent?

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Offline shadowfex

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Wtf is "pc"? Percent?

rumborak

Yep.
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