So, today we begin to get serious, group A and B will have their winners and their eliminated teams.
Here's an updated prediction of how the round of 16 might shape up:
Uruguay (maybe Russia)
Portugal
France
Argentina (or Nigeria or Iceland)
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Brazil
Germany
England (maybe Belgium)
Senegal (or Japan or Colombia)
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Spain
Russia (maybe Uruguay)
Croatia
Denmark
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Mexico
Switzerland
Colombia (or Japan or Senegal)
Belgium (maybe England)
Urugay and Russia play before Portugal and Spain, so they can't know which is better, to arrive first or second.
Spain is most likely to win their group, they face an eliminated Morocco while Iran will fight to the last breath against Portugal.
Argentina and Germany are not doomed, but they won't be able to win their groups (unless Germany trashes South Korea and Mexico loses 1-0 against Sweden).
England vs Belgium is a toss, and so the situation of Colombia's group.
Basically thanks to the missteps of Argentina and Germany, Spain has the road to the final relatively unchallenged if they win their group. Maybe England should try and doge a bullet and lose on purpouse against Belgium to end up in the relatively lesser half of the round of 16.