Aye Carumba. I've been a pretty vocal critic of NASA and the shuttle program, but the excerpt from the article is so ridiculous and overblown that I have no interest in reading any more of his opinion. The shuttle wasn't a good investment at all, but it was every bit as safe and reliable as the Soyuz program, which is the only viable comparison. Space exploration is a stunningly dangerous endeavor. Considering what's involved, 2 accidents in 40+ years isn't bad at all.
Furthermore, it's not like there's anybody else really doing this sort of thing. I don't have any problem with the ESA, but they're hardly a fair comparison to the US or Russian space programs at this point.
I think Soyuz has a better safety record than the Shuttle. The shuttle is 30 years old AIUI.
How do Americans feel knowing they don't have the ability to send humans into space themselves? Apparently this is the first time since the early 1960s although I don't know how or if they did it in between Apollo and the Shuttle. The US is now like the UK having developed space ability and abandoned it leaving other nations to deal with it.
AIUI, the odds of going up and coming down in one piece are about the same for the shuttle and Soyuz. Now, where the risk comes from I'm not sure. In the case of Challenger, it was strictly a human problem; a monumentally flawed culture within NASA itself. Columbia would probably come down to a design flaw with the ET. Their culture of complacency was certainly a huge player, but I'm not sure there was anything that would have helped after the damage was done. I have no idea what caused the Soyuz incidents. Dr. Millahh turned me on to a
fantastic article concerning one of their "mishaps," and it appears to be a terrible combination of wretchedly poor design and policy with the USSR.
Truth be told, if I had to ride one of those things up, I wouldn't really like either option. I'd prefer the shuttle form a design standpoint, but NASA would really scare the hell out of me.
As for how I feel about relying on others for the heavy lifting, it doesn't bother me at the moment (though not being able to maintain Hubble troubles me a great deal). Construction of the ISS is a fine effort, but sending guys up just to orbit for 10 days is seeming more and more pointless. Regardless, it's time for a very new, very large endeavor. The moon and Mars are much more interesting. And combine that with
faster, better, cheaper, and we're doing fine. I'd rather continue exploring with robots and satellites while developing a grander long-term game plan. To that end, I suspect we'll continue to be the big-dogs.