Bills
Jets
Patriots
Dolphins
I think the Bills pull back a little, but still win 11-12 games.
Jets should win 10-11 games minimum. They won 7 last year with trash at QB, and don't underestimate how important a healthy Breece Hall could be to that offense.
Even if the offense is still a mess, Belichick is good enough to still get them to 7-9 wins.
The Dolphins pull way back. Tua cannot stay healthy, and they were trending way down at the end of last season. That will carry over.