I am fine if you don't want to qualify the response just yet, but it is just as wrong to characterize the nature and deadly potential of the virus while ignoring what role the response has played in making it appear much less threatening than what many in the media were predicting. My point is that there will be plenty of concrete reasons to chip away people's confidence that they did they right thing by staying in and canceling plans and making other sacrifices. We will never have anything but speculation and models telling us what scenarios we avoided, how much worse these things would have been than what we actually did experience, or whether other things could have been done earlier to make any sort of drastic response fully unnecessary. The country is now reopening and I really do hope as many people are made whole as possible.
And the key word is "speculation". I get that this may be naive, but so be it. If we know that "speculation" is problematic, why engage in it? I work, largely, in risk management, and I've had to deal with this phenomenon for decades; "forecasting" what didn't happen. And it's futile, in the long run. Did that lawsuit not get filed because of my outstanding, well-crafted letter, or because of an executive decision by someone in their company that didn't even know my letter existed? During my annual review, it was that friggin' letter, to be sure. The reality? Who knows?
This same principle applies to "making people whole". Sure, compassion says that no one should bear harm that they didn't cause, but that's not the world we live in. What then is foreseeable? Are all jobs the same in terms of predictability of income? What about other things, like investments or 401(k)s? Should everyone be whole there, too?