Author Topic: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest  (Read 5247 times)

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #35 on: January 24, 2017, 11:00:46 AM »
I was planning to do some listens before filling this in, but didn't so sent mosly random guesses :P (Evermind convinced me to do so, so not feeling guilty)
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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #36 on: January 24, 2017, 11:35:51 AM »
There's a good chance your random guesses will do better than my calculated ones. What have you got to lose?


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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #37 on: January 24, 2017, 11:42:58 AM »
my dignity :lol
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Offline MirrorMask

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #38 on: January 24, 2017, 11:50:29 AM »
Well, I'm already anticipating to have got it all wrong for the albums I actually know, and to have correctly guessed for the albums I simply improvized based sorely on intuition and track lenghts  ;D
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Offline Parama

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #39 on: January 25, 2017, 12:09:40 AM »
i did it. i got them all wrong, but i did it.

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #40 on: January 25, 2017, 12:41:41 AM »
Hey dude slow the fuck down so we can finish together at the same time.  :biggrin:
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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #41 on: January 25, 2017, 08:26:22 AM »
Almost everyone said that they've got it all wrong, and considering the diversity of all the predictions I've got, at least one person is bound to get it right. :lol

Anyway, Parama is in (bringing the number of contestants up to 10), and there are still 2 hours and 35 minutes to get your predictions in or to edit the ones you sent me. The Final Experiment Survivor will start right after that.

Offline Tomislav95

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #42 on: January 25, 2017, 08:40:23 AM »
Actually, I don't think I'm all wrong. I think I'll get some points on at least two songs off TTOE :corn

EDIT: Also, HYPE!!! I'm ready for all of you to eliminate my favorites on TFE right away. That album might actually be my 2nd favorite, but that's probably because it's also my 2nd most listened album.
« Last Edit: January 25, 2017, 08:47:31 AM by Tomislav95 »
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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #43 on: January 25, 2017, 08:48:12 AM »
Temple of the Cat for the win!!!
Hey dude slow the fuck down so we can finish together at the same time.  :biggrin:
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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #44 on: January 25, 2017, 08:55:36 AM »
dr. slumber's memorial home for grand champion

Offline MirrorMask

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #45 on: January 25, 2017, 09:23:34 AM »
No, the bonus track about shitting in space has to win. (Forgot the album where it's in)
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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #46 on: January 25, 2017, 10:13:01 AM »
No, the bonus track about shitting in space has to win. (Forgot the album where it's in)

It's on Space Metal. I remember I listened to it exactly once and I never want to do it again. Which was part of the reason I haven't included any bonus tracks in this. :lol

Less than an hour to go!

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #47 on: January 25, 2017, 11:03:51 AM »
The deadline is here. The predictions won't be accepted anymore (except if 425 wants to sign up, he's got until Sunday to get in if he wants too, because he relentlessly edits my writeups).

The first thread is coming up in a few minutes. This whole thing has officially begun. Good luck and have fun everyone!


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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #48 on: January 25, 2017, 11:48:07 AM »
dr. slumber's memorial home for grand champion

You mean 'eternity', and that's actually a song I like a lot.
Hey dude slow the fuck down so we can finish together at the same time.  :biggrin:
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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #49 on: January 25, 2017, 12:39:57 PM »
half of that album is so forgettable can you blame me for getting it wrong

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #50 on: January 25, 2017, 01:54:01 PM »
The deadline is here. The predictions won't be accepted anymore (except if 425 wants to sign up, he's got until Sunday to get in if he wants too, because he relentlessly edits my writeups).

Yikes, you know you've been bad about forum participation when you have to get a special exception for the contest you were told about weeks ago. :lol

My life has become so busy lately that it's hard for me to find time to be on DTF at all. I'm trying to rearrange things so I have time to at least participate in survivors and finish the survivor I had started and still haven't finished. But I do want to participate in this, if only for the fun of it. So I'm working on this right now and I'll try to finish it up ASAP.
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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #51 on: January 29, 2017, 12:26:21 PM »
Alright, as I said, 425 had time until Sunday to get in, and he is indeed in right now. The list of participants is final and won't be changing anymore.

Every participant will get a PM during the upcoming week reminding them about the actions they can use now. Have fun and may the best of us win!

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #52 on: January 30, 2017, 09:22:20 AM »
I'm already regretting half of my choices. :lol :lol
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Hey, the length is fine :azn: Thanks!

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #53 on: February 12, 2017, 11:37:36 AM »
Actual Fantasy Survivor has ended with Abbey of Synn crowned as a winner! Now it's time to reveal everyone's predictions and distribute some points!

Actual Fantasy Survivor Top 3:

1. Abbey of Synn
2. Computer Eyes
3. Beyond the Last Horizon

Actual Fantasy Predictions:

(Limegreen means the prediction was fully correct and scores respectively 5, 3 and 2 points for 1st, 2nd and 3rd place. Orange means the song is in the Top 3, but the prediction was wrong about the song's exact placement, it always scores 1 point. Red means the song was eliminated before the Top 3, obviously it scores 0 points.

425: 1. Abbey of Synn / 2. Computer Eyes / 3. Beyond the Last Horizon
Elite: 1. Computer Eyes / 2. Forevermore / 3. Abbey of Synn
home: 1. Computer Eyes / 2. The Stranger from Within / 3. Abbey of Synn
Kwyjibo: 1. Abbey of Synn / 2. Forevermore / 3. The Stranger from Within
MirrorMask: 1. Abbey of Synn / 2. Forevermore / 3. Beyond the Last Horizon
Nick: 1. Computer Eyes / 2. Abbey of Synn / 3. Back on Planet Earth
Parama: 1. Abbey of Synn / 2. Computer Eyes / 3. Forevermore
Scorpion: 1. Abbey of Synn / 2. Computer Eyes / 3. Forevermore
Tomislav95: 1. Computer Eyes / 2. Abbey of Synn / 3. Beyond the Last Horizon
Train of Naught: 1. Computer Eyes / 2. Abbey of Synn / 3. Beyond the Last Horizon
twosuitsluke: 1. Beyond the Last Horizon / 2. Computer Eyes / 3. Abbey of Synn

Evermind: 1. Computer Eyes / 2. Abbey of Synn / 3. Back on Planet Earth

The Scoreboard:

1. 425 - 10
2. Parama - 8
2. Scorpion - 8
4. MirrorMask - 7
5. Kwyjibo - 5
5. twosuitsluke - 5
7. Tomislav95 - 4
7. Train of Naught - 4
9. Elite - 2
9. home - 2
9. Nick - 2

Evermind - 2

425 nailed it with the only fully correct prediction of this round, and he gets the maximum possible points - 10. Parama and Scorpion both got the Top 2 right, but didn't manage to predict the right #3 song, and they get 8 points each, which puts them in the Top 3. Some players got most of the song order wrong, but managed to guess at least one song right, and they're mostly in the middle of the scoreboard. Three eligible participants and I haven't managed to guess even one song correctly (thanks, MirrorMask! :biggrin: ) and are currently in the last place with two points each.

Personally, I don't think anyone in the last place should worry about it, because I'm pretty sure everyone will screw up sooner or later, and with a lot of albums, Consolations and Finals still ahead of us, it's definitely anyone's game at this point. However, congratulations, 425! That was well done.

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #54 on: February 12, 2017, 12:01:11 PM »
You guys suck. Computer Eyes is the best :biggrin:
Hey dude slow the fuck down so we can finish together at the same time.  :biggrin:
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Offline Kwyjibo

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #55 on: February 12, 2017, 12:07:19 PM »
5 points is better than I expected, even if I only got the top song right.

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #56 on: February 12, 2017, 12:10:35 PM »
straight up chuggin'

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #57 on: February 12, 2017, 12:50:03 PM »
Well alright  :metal

Happy being in the top 5

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #58 on: March 05, 2017, 02:24:20 AM »
The Final Experiment Survivor is finished. Sail Away to Avalon won the crown, and The Awareness and Merlin's Will made it to the Top 3.

The Final Experiment Survivor Top 3:

1. Sail Away to Avalon
2. The Awareness
3. Merlin's Will

The Final Experiment Predictions:

(Limegreen means the prediction was fully correct and scores respectively 5, 3 and 2 points for 1st, 2nd and 3rd place. Orange means the song is in the Top 3, but the prediction was wrong about the song's exact placement, it always scores 1 point. Red means the song was eliminated before the Top 3, obviously it scores 0 points.)

425: 1. The Awareness / 2. Sail Away to Avalon / 3. The Charm of the Seer
Elite: 1. Ayreon's Fate / 2. Computer-Reign (Game Over) / 3. The Banishment
home: 1. The Banishment / 2. Sail Away to Avalon / 3. Ayreon's Fate
Kwyjibo: 1. Sail Away to Avalon / 2. Ayreon's Fate / 3. Eyes of Time
MirrorMask: 1. The Awareness / 2. The Charm of the Seer / 3. Merlin's Will
Nick: 1. Waracle / 2. The Charm of the Seer / 3. Sail Away to Avalon
Parama: 1. The Awareness / 2. Sail Away to Avalon / 3. Merlin's Will
Scorpion: 1. Eyes of Time / 2. Sail Away to Avalon / 3. Waracle
Tomislav95: 1. The Awareness / 2. Sail Away to Avalon / 3. Merlin's Will
Train of Naught: 1. The Awareness / 2. Merlin's Will / 3. Computer-Reign (Game Over)
twosuitsluke: 1. Listen to the Waves / 2. Waracle / 3. The Charm of the Seer

Evermind: 1. Sail Away to Avalon / 2. The Awareness / 3. The Charm of the Seer

The Scoreboard:

1. 425 - 12
1. Parama - 12
3. Kwyjibo - 10
3. MirrorMask - 10
5. Scorpion - 9
6. Tomislav95 - 8
7. Train of Naught - 6
8. twosuitsluke - 5
9. home - 3
9. Nick - 3
11. Elite - 2

Evermind - 10

This album proved to be more difficult to predict than Actual Fantasy, mostly because of how the final round ended (had The Awareness won, a lot more points would've been distributed), and in a peculiar turn of events, I've got the most points because I got the Top 2 right. :biggrin: But I'm not actually eligible to win, so the most points (5) out of people who are eligible to win were scored by Kwyjibo, who managed to correctly predict the winning song. Parama and Tomislav got all the Top 3 songs, but, unfortunately, didn't quite get the order of the songs right, and earned 4 points each.

On the general scoreboard, Parama managed to catch up with 425, and they are sharing the first place now! Kwyjibo and MirrorMask are tied for the Top 3, with other participants not far behind.

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #59 on: March 05, 2017, 02:45:46 AM »
Is there a prize for least points at the end? I'm fairly certain I would be a good contender for that spot!
Hey dude slow the fuck down so we can finish together at the same time.  :biggrin:
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Offline Kwyjibo

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #60 on: March 05, 2017, 02:57:45 AM »
Yay, better than I expected. If I keep going like this I probably will end up in the top ten  ;D

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #61 on: March 05, 2017, 03:40:13 AM »
If only I went with my actual ranking, I'd get more points :biggrin: but 4 is alright.
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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #62 on: March 05, 2017, 03:43:10 AM »
I see only now that I didn't pinned Sail Away to Avalon at all, silly me  :biggrin: anyway, I'm hanging in there, hurray!  :metal
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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #63 on: March 05, 2017, 10:36:24 AM »
sail away, my hopes and dreams

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #64 on: March 06, 2017, 04:04:25 AM »
Is there a prize for least points at the end? I'm fairly certain I would be a good contender for that spot!
+1 xd
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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #65 on: March 06, 2017, 12:33:30 PM »
Wait I'm currently tied for the lead in this? That's unexpected! I guess I've done well so far on albums I've heard only once in my life (including nailing Actual Fantasy LOL), so we'll have to see if I start messing up once we get to albums I actually know :lol
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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #66 on: March 29, 2017, 12:15:09 PM »
We've brought Into the Electric Castle Survivor to its conclusion with the following results:

Into the Electric Castle Survivor Top 3:

1. Isis and Osiris
2. Across the Rainbow Bridge
3. Amazing Flight

Into the Electric Castle Predictions:

(Limegreen means the prediction was fully correct and scores respectively 5, 3 and 2 points for 1st, 2nd and 3rd place. Orange means the song is in the Top 3, but the prediction was wrong about the song's exact placement, it always scores 1 point. Red means the song was eliminated before the Top 3, obviously it scores 0 points.)

425: 1. Isis and Osiris / 2. Amazing Flight / 3. Valley of the Queens
Elite: 1. Amazing Flight / 2. Isis and Osiris / 3. Across the Rainbow Bridge
home: 1. The Castle Hall / 2. Amazing Flight / 3. The Garden of Emotions
Kwyjibo: 1. Isis and Osiris / 2. Across the Rainbow Bridge / 3. Amazing Flight
MirrorMask: 1. Amazing Flight / 2. The Garden of Emotions / 3. Isis and Osiris
Nick: 1. The Two Gates / 2. Amazing Flight / 3. The Castle Hall
Parama: 1. The Garden of Emotions / 2. Isis and Osiris / 3. The Mirror Maze
Scorpion: 1. Isis and Osiris / 2. Across the Rainbow Bridge / 3. Amazing Flight
Tomislav95: 1. Isis and Osiris / 2. Amazing Flight / 3. Valley of the Queens
Train of Naught: 1. Amazing Flight / 2. Isis and Osiris / 3. Time Beyond Time
twosuitsluke: 1. The Garden of Emotions / 2. The Two Gates / 3. Isis and Osiris

Evermind: 1. Isis and Osiris / 2. Amazing Flight / 3. Valley of the Queens

The Scoreboard:

1. Kwyjibo - 20
2. Scorpion - 19
3. 425 - 18
4. Tomislav95 - 14
5. Parama - 13
6. MirrorMask - 12
7. Train of Naught - 8
8. twosuitsluke - 6
9. Elite - 5
10. home - 4
10. Nick - 4

Evermind - 16

While this album wasn't the easiest to predict, two participants managed to get the songs and their order exactly right, and now they're at the top of our Scoreboard, with Kwyjibo leading with 20 points, and Scorpion not far behind with 19 points. 425 manages to keep in the Top 3 due to the right prediction of the Survivor's winner, he's got 18 points total. Elite had a great chance to climb up to the upper half, but, unfortunately, despite guessing all the Top 3 songs right, he didn't manage to get their order right, therefore receiving only three points.

Tomislav, Parama and MirrorMask are pursuing the leaders, and other participants are a bit behind, but it all can change with one or two correct predictions, and we've got a lot of albums ahead of us.

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #67 on: March 29, 2017, 12:32:31 PM »
I officially lose  :corn

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #68 on: March 29, 2017, 12:55:45 PM »
Wow. I could have sworn that I had Isis 1st and Amazing Flight 3rd. Damn me  :lol

Suddenly the gap hss widened, I'll see what I'll do with The Dream Sequencer but I won't have much luck there either!
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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #69 on: March 29, 2017, 01:42:09 PM »
Alrighty then, this was better than I expected.