Author Topic: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest  (Read 4074 times)

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Offline MirrorMask

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #175 on: January 06, 2018, 06:26:56 AM »
Boy did we collectively screwed up this round  :lol I sucked badly and all things considered I'm one of those who gained the most! at this point I'm pumped for the end!  :metal
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Offline home

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #176 on: January 06, 2018, 06:30:05 AM »
Damn making the order matter this much makes for very little points. I got 0 points because the second and third are swapped :p
Break the mold, let's shake the ground, wreak havoc!

Offline Evermind

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #177 on: January 06, 2018, 08:07:07 AM »
Damn making the order matter this much makes for very little points. I got 0 points because the second and third are swapped :p

Yeah, as I said, I don't think this system works well. :lol But it's too late to change anything now.

Offline jingle.boy

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #178 on: January 06, 2018, 09:16:05 AM »
Whatevs... it was a fun/interesting way to try and keep things interesting, and keep people involved - even if four of them bailed out.  Kudo's to you to try and do something innovative and different Ruslan.
Can you imagine some alien race comes to a large nebula they've never seen before, and it just turns out it's the Federation's dumping ground for space-smile?
And TAC can suck it  :biggrin:, this is heavy in all the right places.  :tup

Offline Kwyjibo

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #179 on: January 06, 2018, 09:47:30 AM »
Yeah, all is good. I wasn't complaining just observing. And I was one of the few who got some points out of it.

Offline Parama

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #180 on: January 06, 2018, 11:16:57 AM »
Damn making the order matter this much makes for very little points. I got 0 points because the second and third are swapped :p

Yeah, as I said, I don't think this system works well. :lol But it's too late to change anything now.
nah it's not too late since this is the first round you used this system & if you think it sucks you can change it  :corn
but yeah i feel like it's almost impossible to get points in any of the finals rounds so i'll lose anyways  :metal

Offline Evermind

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #181 on: January 06, 2018, 12:58:26 PM »
Damn making the order matter this much makes for very little points. I got 0 points because the second and third are swapped :p

Yeah, as I said, I don't think this system works well. :lol But it's too late to change anything now.
nah it's not too late since this is the first round you used this system & if you think it sucks you can change it  :corn

It's basically first round out of three. I think it's too late.

Offline Parama

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #182 on: January 06, 2018, 02:30:24 PM »
fair enough, i look forward to being stuck at 71 points for the rest of this survivor then  :corn

Offline MirrorMask

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #183 on: January 07, 2018, 03:51:15 AM »
On the other hand, someone who figured it out from the beginning could say "I predicted the top three months ago and I get the same points as someone who adjusts at the end?"... it's Evermind's survivor and he created the rules as he saw fit, I'll just go along with them  :tup
I use my sig to pimp some bands from Italy! Check out Elvenking (Power / Folk metal), Folkstone (Rock / Medieval metal), Arcana Opera (Gothic/Noir/Heavy metal) and the beautiful voice of Elisa!

Offline RoeDent

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #184 on: January 07, 2018, 12:21:26 PM »
it's Evermind's survivor and he created the rules as he saw fit, I'll just go along with them  :tup

More people need to have this attitude. One of the main things that's holding me back from hosting another tournament here is having to answer questions like "Why are you doing it this way?" I have no answers apart from "This is how I'm doing it". It's frustrating at times.
And you may ask yourself, "How do I work this?"

Offline Elite

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #185 on: January 09, 2018, 12:35:36 PM »
You never responded to my changed predictions for the finals. Did you get it? :)
Hey dude slow the fuck down so we can finish together at the same time.  :biggrin:
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Offline Evermind

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #186 on: January 12, 2018, 10:11:50 AM »
I'm having huge problems with logging in on DTF, to the point I can't log in on some days at all. But yeah, as I wrote you on FB, I've got your predictions.

Offline Evermind

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #187 on: Today at 11:56:09 AM »
Results for Ayreon Survivor Finals!

Ayreon Survivor Finals Top 5

1. Into the Black Hole
2. Age of Shadows
3. Day Two: Isolation
4. The Day That the World Breaks Down
5. Beneath the Waves

Ayreon Finals Predictions:

(Limegreen means the prediction was placed in the very beginning of competition and is correct. It scores 15 / 12 / 9 / 6 / 3 points for the 1st / 2nd / 3rd / 4th / 5th place. Orange means the prediction was changed before this Survivor started, but it's a correct one. It scores 10 / 8 / 6 / 4 / 2 points. Teal means your predicted song ended up in the Top 5, but in a wrong spot. It scores 1 point. Red means the song you picked didn't make the Top 5. It scores 0 points.)

425: 1. Day Twelve: Trauma / 2. Into the Black Hole / 3. Age of Shadows / 4. Day Two: Isolation / 5. Isis and Osiris
Elite: 1. Into the Black Hole / 2. Day Twelve: Trauma / 3. Age of Shadows / 4. The Day That the World Breaks Down / 5. Isis and Osiris
home: 1. Age of Shadows / 2. Day Two: Isolation / 3. Phase II: Entanglement / 4. Day Three: Pain / 5. Into the Black Hole
Kwyjibo: 1. Day Two: Isolation / 2. Isis and Osiris / 3. Dawn of a Million Souls / 4. Day Twelve: Trauma / 5. Into the Black Hole
MirrorMask: 1. Into the Black Hole / 2. The Sixth Extinction / 3. Amazing Flight / 4. Isis and Osiris / 5. Day Twenty: Confrontation
Nick: 1. Into the Black Hole / 2. And the Druids Turn to Stone / 3. Day Two: Isolation / 4. Day Twenty: Confrontation / 5. The Two Gates
Parama: 1. Day Two: Isolation / 2. The Sixth Extinction / 3. Day Twenty: Confrontation / 4. Age of Shadows / 5. Into the Black Hole
Scorpion: 1. Into the Black Hole / 2. Age of Shadows / 3. Isis and Osiris / 4. My House on Mars / 5. Across the Rainbow Bridge
Tomislav95: 1. Day Two: Isolation / 2. Day Twelve: Trauma / 3. Into the Black Hole / 4. Isis and Osiris / 5. Age of Shadows
Train of Naught: 1. Day Twelve: Trauma / 2. Into the Black Hole / 3. Day Two: Isolation / 4. Computer Eyes / 5. Isis and Osiris
twosuitsluke: 1. Day Twelve: Trauma / 2. Day Two: Isolation / 3. Day Three: Pain / 4. Age of Shadows / 5. Chaos

Evermind: 1. Isis and Osiris / 2. Into the Black Hole / 3. The Sixth Extinction / 4. Day Two: Isolation / 5. Age of Shadows
jingle.boy: 1. Day Two: Isolation / 2. Isis and Osiris / 3. Day Twelve: Trauma / 4. Dawn of a Million Souls / 5. Into the Black Hole

The Scoreboard:

1. Scorpion - 101 (inactive)
2. MirrorMask - 85
3. 425 - 82 (inactive)
4. Train of Naught - 79
5. Parama - 74
6. Elite - 72
7. Kwyjibo - 68
8. Nick - 58 (inactive)
9. twosuitsluke - 57 (inactive)
10. home - 55
11. Tomislav95 - 50

Evermind - 105
jingle.boy - 59

Some huge changes in the scoreboard due to some well-placed predictions in the beginning, well-changed predictions before this round started, and also due to the imperfections in the counting systemóbut hey, it's fun to see how it turns out. Scorpion, even though he's missing from DTF, managed to guess both the Top 2 songs right, and it still in the lead, even though he's inactive. MirrorMask gets the first place among the active players, managing to correctly guess Into the Black Hole being the winner in Ayreon Survivor... even before the whole thing started. Now that's impressive.

Train also manages to climb higher, leaving Parama behind; and Elite is suddenly at the sixth place due to well-timed change of his predictions: he managed to guess both 1st and 4th places correctly, earning some points and closing the gap between him and the participants at the top of the scoreboard.

In an unexpected turn of events, Nick, who I think was inactive even since he sent me these predictions and voted a few times in TFE / AF Survivors, manages to guess a few songs correctly and gets 24 points for his efforts, actually rising to the 8th place. Meanwhile, whoever didn't manage to guess the correct order of the songs suffer the drop in the scoreboard.

However, there are still the Grand Finals to consider.

Officially inactive people are now: 425, Scorpion, twosuitsluke, Nick.

I'll put up a post for predictions changing for the last leg of this Survivor, the Grand Finals, tomorrow.
« Last Edit: Today at 12:06:49 PM by Evermind »

Offline MirrorMask

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #188 on: Today at 12:02:49 PM »
I placed faith in the awesomeness of Into the Black Hole and Bruce Dickinson combined and I was right  :metal
I use my sig to pimp some bands from Italy! Check out Elvenking (Power / Folk metal), Folkstone (Rock / Medieval metal), Arcana Opera (Gothic/Noir/Heavy metal) and the beautiful voice of Elisa!

Offline Parama

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #189 on: Today at 12:08:12 PM »
My points are right but you marked 4 and 5 as green instead of teal on my results :P

Offline Evermind

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Re: Ayreon/Arjen Lucassen 2017 Survivor - Prediction Contest
« Reply #190 on: Today at 12:10:29 PM »
My points are right but you marked 4 and 5 as green instead of teal on my results :P

Fixed it right before you posted this. :P