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General => Archive => Political and Religious => Topic started by: Scheavo on August 10, 2011, 12:28:38 PM

Title: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on August 10, 2011, 12:28:38 PM
14 months out, what do people think is going to happen in the 2012 elections? A new poll (https://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/poll-suggests-2012-change-power-washington-131541841.html) suggests a "change in power" in Washington, what would this actually mean? And will the voters actually vote in a way which changes power in Washington? People still seem to generally like their Representative or Senator. On top of that, our system creates a false dichotomy of Democrat of Republican, so unless people wise up and en masse vote for a different party and work on getting rid of our corrupt as fuck government, I'm not sure if it'll amount to much.

Practically speaking, even given all of Obama's faults, I still think he has a better chance of winning than not. The GOP field is very weak, and he'll be the lesser of two evils. Not sure what will happen in congress.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on August 10, 2011, 01:03:28 PM
A new puppet will be elected and nothing will change. We'll still be meddling in the Middle East, and we'll still have the Patriot Act.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on August 10, 2011, 01:06:34 PM
A new puppet will be elected and nothing will change. We'll still be meddling in the Middle East, and we'll still have the Patriot Act.
Basically this. I can see a shift back to the Republicans, but we'll still have a massive deficit and we'll still be stuck in two wars we can't afford. I'm not a huge Obama fan, but so far I'm not impressed by any of the leading GOP candidates.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ClairvoyantCat on August 10, 2011, 01:08:42 PM
Practically speaking, even given all of Obama's faults, I still think he has a better chance of winning than not. The GOP field is very weak, and he'll be the lesser of two evils.

Pretty much.  The GOP is a pretty weak contender as it stands right now.  They are in desperate need of more moderate views and, more simply put, better candidates.  They'd probably have a better shot if there were a more immediate foreign issue at hand, but with the recent killing of Osama among other things I don't think the focus will be on that.  Sure, there is growing discontent with Obama, but I believe he's still generally favored by the public, and if not his billion-dollar campaign probably won't hurt.  And, of course, he has the advantage of being the incumbent president.  As it stands, to me, there is a hell of a lot pointing towards a reelection.  
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on August 10, 2011, 01:12:55 PM
I'll be more interested in how things go in congress. Will people be pissed at the Republicans for basically refusing to compromise on anything? From polls I've seen a large majority of Americans want tax loopholes closed and higher taxes on the rich. The Republicans refused to let these things happen. I don't think that most Americans want only spending cuts.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on August 10, 2011, 01:16:49 PM
One of the sides will be in power while the other side does everything possible to stop them from having any power.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on August 10, 2011, 01:18:43 PM
I'd bet on Obama toughing it out.  Romney and Perry will slaughter each other in the primaries, though I'm no sure who'll win.  I'd probably bet on Perry (better hair), but he wouldn't fair well in a general election.  For one thing,  despite the fact that they hated each other,  people will associate him with the last imbecilic Texan to hold the office.  Plus he'll be too far to the right to gain moderate support.  That prayer stunt the other day will help him with the crazoids who still worship Palin's silly ass, but that doesn't help you win nationwide elections.  The GOP is in a situation where the candidate more likely to win the primaries by appealing to whackjobs can't win the office.

As for congress, who the hell knows.  The conventional wisdom is that Obama's party will take a hit, but at the same time,  the GOP is pretty seriously fucked up right now.  The Tea Party fissure hasn't even started to get big yet, and will cause them a great deal of trouble for years to come.  The Budget issue reflects more poorly on both the GOP and the TP than the democrats.  S&P seemed pretty clear that it was their obstruction that caused the downgrade.  Add to that their inexplicable hard-on to screw with Medicair, which is instant death for a politician.  Last time around they were able to ride on an anti-Obamacare [alleged] mandate,  but that's less and less the attractive strategy as people become more accepting of the fact that it's a done deal.  

Honestly,  I don't really see things looking too different in 2013.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on August 10, 2011, 01:19:00 PM
I'll be more interested in how things go in congress. Will people be pissed at the Republicans for basically refusing to compromise on anything? From polls I've seen a large majority of Americans want tax loopholes closed and higher taxes on the rich. The Republicans refused to let these things happen. I don't think that most Americans want only spending cuts.

Even a lot of tea partiers don't want cuts to social welfare programs. They love their social security and their medicare.

and if not his billion-dollar campaign probably won't hurt.  

This election is going to be interesting in terms of advertisements... Super-pacs have never existed before, and it's already putting a lot of money into the political system (yay corruption, yay propaganda!).

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: juice on August 10, 2011, 02:00:25 PM
I hope someone other than Obama will be president but we'll see.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on August 10, 2011, 02:44:33 PM
It would be interesting for a strong progressive primary challenger to come out against Obama. If for nothing more than to call him out on everything he didn't/hasn't/won't fight for. 

You know, a lot of candidates have been signing pledges...how about we elect someone who signs a pledge stating he will only serve one term? Go fuck shit up in Washington, expose everything, die a political death, and then bow out after four years. I can dream, can't I? :p
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: William Wallace on August 10, 2011, 02:51:50 PM
A new puppet will be elected and nothing will change. We'll still be meddling in the Middle East, and we'll still have the Patriot Act.
Yeah. Ron Paul and Gary Johnson are the only two candidates who would have the balls to make substantial changes to any policy. Naturally, neither has a chance in the general election, or  even the primary for that matter.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ResultsMayVary on August 10, 2011, 03:19:15 PM
It would be interesting for a strong progressive primary challenger to come out against Obama. If for nothing more than to call him out on everything he didn't/hasn't/won't fight for. 

You know, a lot of candidates have been signing pledges...how about we elect someone who signs a pledge stating he will only serve one term? Go fuck shit up in Washington, expose everything, die a political death, and then bow out after four years. I can dream, can't I? :p
This. This. This. That would be sweet.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: j on August 10, 2011, 05:18:56 PM
A new puppet will be elected and nothing will change.

Yup yup.  If the GOP can put up a halfway decent candidate, I'd probably bank on them, because the masses are so (largely unfairly) disgusted with Obama at this point.  But again, it doesn't matter at all.

You know, a lot of candidates have been signing pledges...how about we elect someone who signs a pledge stating he will only serve one term? Go fuck shit up in Washington, expose everything, die a political death, and then bow out after four years.

This is the stuff of my dreams.

-J
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on August 10, 2011, 06:27:02 PM
Hmm.. if Romney, Paulson, or Paul are the Repub. candidate, then I'd be voting Pub.

Otherwise, Obama, since he seems a good deal less threatening than Perry or others.

Though I'm not going to be able to vote in 2012. 

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on August 10, 2011, 06:31:42 PM
Romney and Perry will slaughter each other in the primaries, though I'm no sure who'll win.  I'd probably bet on Perry (better religion)

FTFY
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on August 10, 2011, 08:25:48 PM
It's weird.  Perry wasn't overtly religious until the last year or two, when he was building up his presidential resume.  He probably was privately, who knows, but certainly not like Bush was before him.  But yeah,  you're right about the electability of them based on that.  I'd guess that Mitt's the bigger bible thumper,  it's just the wrong version that he's beating on.

Still,  I think Perry will do better based on appearance.  He has what the French call, I don't know what, and it'll work well for him.  While Romney looks presidential,  Perry looks and acts like a good ole boy.  The same sort of thing that got Reagan and W elected.  Sadly,  he's equally dimwitted and twice as shallow as either of those nimrods. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on August 10, 2011, 08:28:51 PM
Still,  I think Perry will do better based on appearance.  He has what the French call, I don't know what, and it'll work well for him.  While Romney looks presidential,  Perry looks and acts like a good ole boy.  The same sort of thing that got Reagan and W elected.  Sadly,  he's equally dimwitted and twice as shallow as either of those nimrods. 

Anyone who's voting for their nation's #1 figurehead based on appearance is either really cynical or too stupid to have been given the right to vote.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on August 10, 2011, 08:38:20 PM
Still,  I think Perry will do better based on appearance.  He has what the French call, I don't know what, and it'll work well for him.  While Romney looks presidential,  Perry looks and acts like a good ole boy.  The same sort of thing that got Reagan and W elected.  Sadly,  he's equally dimwitted and twice as shallow as either of those nimrods. 

Anyone who's voting for their nation's #1 figurehead based on appearance is either really cynical or to stupid to have been given the right to vote.

Funny you should mention that...

https://news.yahoo.com/blogs/exclusive/candidate-looks-matter-less-informed-voters-133346843.html

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on August 10, 2011, 08:40:11 PM
Kennedy vs Nixon comes to mind.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on August 10, 2011, 08:43:34 PM
Kennedy vs Nixon comes to mind.

Luckily that rule worked in our favor on that one.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on August 10, 2011, 08:51:22 PM
Still,  I think Perry will do better based on appearance.  He has what the French call, I don't know what, and it'll work well for him.  While Romney looks presidential,  Perry looks and acts like a good ole boy.  The same sort of thing that got Reagan and W elected.  Sadly,  he's equally dimwitted and twice as shallow as either of those nimrods. 

Anyone who's voting for their nation's #1 figurehead based on appearance is either really cynical or too stupid to have been given the right to vote.
Yes and no.  There are plenty of people who'll vote for Perry because he's a handsome guy, but they're the exception and probably about in line with the people who'll vote for Obama because he's [sort of] black.  They're all pointless like you said.  But,  appearance is still important.  Remember that absolutely nothing that any of these people say will have any substance whatsoever.  A lot of what people will be judging them by is the quality of their bullshit, and that's based largely on appearance.  Kennedy didn't win out because he was a more handsome fellow than Nixon.  He won out because he was cool and laid back while Nixon was stiff and analytical.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Dr. DTVT on August 16, 2011, 01:57:33 PM
Anyone who's voting for their nation's #1 figurehead based on appearance is either really cynical or too stupid to have been given the right to vote.

Read a history book Shake, it's happened already.  Warren G. Gangster Motherfuckin' Harding.

Bam.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on August 16, 2011, 01:59:47 PM
There's a reason the taller candidate nearly always wins. Appearances can go a long way to get a candidate elected.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on August 16, 2011, 02:05:52 PM
So in other words, the US population is too cynical and the right to vote should be severely restricted?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on August 16, 2011, 02:09:28 PM
So in other words, the US population is too cynical and the right to vote should be severely restricted?

Considering how few people vote, restricting it would end up with like 4% of the population deciding everything.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on August 17, 2011, 11:52:40 AM
Heh.

(https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-25SJvA_oy3w/TkqM8-dfo2I/AAAAAAAAAG4/5Tuou9wlqgg/s1600/vastleft.png)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on August 17, 2011, 12:47:02 PM
I'm pretty sick of the two party system in general. The money in politics is disgusting. $14million to campaign? That type of money could be much better used elsewhere. I'm hoping that americanselect.org (I started a thread on it, but has gotten little attention) turns out pretty decent and doesn't just spoil the Obama vote.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on August 17, 2011, 12:50:53 PM
$14 million? It'll probably be well over a billion dollars spent on this campaign. Wasn't it close last time? And that was before corporations could spend as much as they want.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on August 17, 2011, 12:57:32 PM
$14 million? It'll probably be well over a billion dollars spent on this campaign. Wasn't it close last time? And that was before corporations could spend as much as they want.

I was just stating about one person in particular who raised that, at least when I heard the figures weeks ago.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on August 17, 2011, 01:32:52 PM
Ahh
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Fuzzboy on August 17, 2011, 02:17:27 PM
I'm pretty sick of the two party system in general. The money in politics is disgusting.

Yep yep. It's all basically a game to see who can shell out the most cash. I'd pretty much only be happy if Paul wins, but that's what I said three years ago...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on August 17, 2011, 02:31:12 PM
$14 million? It'll probably be well over a billion dollars spent on this campaign. Wasn't it close last time? And that was before corporations could spend as much as they want.

I was just stating about one person in particular who raised that, at least when I heard the figures weeks ago.
Hell,  14 million is probably what somebody running for city council would spend.  I've been seeing references to Obama's billion dollar war chest, and with free-flowing corporate money,  the GOP will blow that much as well. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Dublagent66 on August 17, 2011, 04:08:17 PM
I love what Dennis Miller said on O'Reilly a few weeks back.  I can't quote him word for word but it was something like, any candidate in 2012 could be successful as long as their name is "not Obama".  Well, at least the GOP has something to thank Obama for...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on August 18, 2011, 08:51:11 AM
I doesnt matter who makes president, we are still going to have a paid off congress. We are still going to have to deal with the fuck ups of both parties that have built up over the last few terms. I have no hope to be perfectly honest.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on August 18, 2011, 01:05:43 PM
Bachmann: I'll Bring Back $2 Gas

https://money.cnn.com/2011/08/18/news/economy/bachmann_gas_prices/index.htm?hpt=hp_t2

Why do politicians make promises like this? She would have no way of influencing a global commodity to that extent. It's blatent pandering to voters and sadly some people are stupid enough to fall for it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on August 18, 2011, 03:28:07 PM
This is the same woman who stated she was from the same city as John Wayne - which turned out to be John Wayne Gacy. Also the same woman who said Happy Birthday to Elvis when it was the anniversary of his death.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on August 18, 2011, 03:36:26 PM
How did she end up getting in office?

Was she rich or something?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on August 19, 2011, 06:12:51 AM
How did she end up getting in office?

Was she rich or something?

Why did Palin end up getting as far as she did?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PuffyPat on August 19, 2011, 06:37:14 AM
Does Bachmann even know how the Government works? Did she ever take a civics class in high-school, or did she skip to many days to get credit? I hated civics, and even I could be a better president than her.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on August 20, 2011, 12:04:08 PM
Bachmann: I'll Bring Back $2 Gas

https://money.cnn.com/2011/08/18/news/economy/bachmann_gas_prices/index.htm?hpt=hp_t2

Bachmann promises Jesus will return in her second term (https://www.totallyboguslink.com)

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on September 01, 2011, 11:52:23 AM
Rick Perry will be the Republican nominee, Obama will not have a primary challenge, but he's a weak candidate because the economy has not turned around fast enough and even though it's really not his fault he's still going to receive the brunt of the blame for it.

I think the presidential election will be very, very close.  It's difficult to unseat an incumbent president. I hold up George W. Bush as an example.  His favorability ratings at this point were 5 to 7 points lower than Obama's and he beat John Kerry fairly handily.  Granted, John Kerry is about as charismatic as a fucking brick, and Obama's going to have to go up against Rick Perry, who, despite his faults, is a seasoned campaigner......but the problem is, political insiders are not in vogue right now, and Perry, despite the strong economy in Texas, carries a lot baggage.

It's definitely going to be a very interesting election cycle.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on September 01, 2011, 12:28:57 PM
I don't think it'll be that close.  Perry will clean up in the primaries, but far too whacked out to run in the general election.  He's too much of a cowboy.  Plus, the allegedly gangbuster Texas situation is somewhat misleading.  A helluva lot of people who aren't idiot rednecks actually care about education and healthcare, which are two areas we're pretty much dead last. 

Plus,  things don't have to improve that much for Obama to get a bump out of it.  He's got over a year to hope for even a marginal improvement in the economy, which he'll get to take the credit for. 

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on September 01, 2011, 12:50:50 PM
I don't think it'll be that close.  Perry will clean up in the primaries, but far too whacked out to run in the general election.  He's too much of a cowboy.  Plus, the allegedly gangbuster Texas situation is somewhat misleading.  A helluva lot of people who aren't idiot rednecks actually care about education and healthcare, which are two areas we're pretty much dead last. 

Plus,  things don't have to improve that much for Obama to get a bump out of it.  He's got over a year to hope for even a marginal improvement in the economy, which he'll get to take the credit for. 

I've got one word for ya: Dubya   :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El JoNNo on September 01, 2011, 01:29:34 PM
I feel sorry for you United Statesmen, nearly every candidate is an idiot.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on September 01, 2011, 02:05:27 PM
I don't think it'll be that close.  Perry will clean up in the primaries, but far too whacked out to run in the general election.  He's too much of a cowboy.  Plus, the allegedly gangbuster Texas situation is somewhat misleading.  A helluva lot of people who aren't idiot rednecks actually care about education and healthcare, which are two areas we're pretty much dead last. 

Plus,  things don't have to improve that much for Obama to get a bump out of it.  He's got over a year to hope for even a marginal improvement in the economy, which he'll get to take the credit for. 

I've got one word for ya: Dubya   :lol
No correlation.  Bush was a moron, but he wasn't particularly fanatical.  Furthermore,  The landscape has changed quite a bit since then.  Strangely,  Bush would be considered far too moderate to compete within the current incarnation of the GOP.  Perry is leading by appealing to those maniacs. 

Plus,  W hurts Perry a great deal since most people still have a very sour feeling about electing hare-brained Texas governors. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on September 01, 2011, 02:12:20 PM
Why is it that both parties can't seem to come up with good candidates when it would be relatively easy to win the election? The Dems couldn't come up with anyone in 2004 when they should have easily beat Bush. No the Reps can't come up with anyone this time when Obama looks weak.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on September 01, 2011, 02:52:47 PM
I don't think it'll be that close.  Perry will clean up in the primaries, but far too whacked out to run in the general election.  He's too much of a cowboy.  Plus, the allegedly gangbuster Texas situation is somewhat misleading.  A helluva lot of people who aren't idiot rednecks actually care about education and healthcare, which are two areas we're pretty much dead last. 

Plus,  things don't have to improve that much for Obama to get a bump out of it.  He's got over a year to hope for even a marginal improvement in the economy, which he'll get to take the credit for. 

I've got one word for ya: Dubya   :lol
No correlation.  Bush was a moron, but he wasn't particularly fanatical.  Furthermore,  The landscape has changed quite a bit since then.  Strangely,  Bush would be considered far too moderate to compete within the current incarnation of the GOP.  Perry is leading by appealing to those maniacs. 

Plus,  W hurts Perry a great deal since most people still have a very sour feeling about electing hare-brained Texas governors. 

I hope you're right, but I'm not very confident in Obama's chances.  I'm not even a big fan of his to be honest, he's nowhere near as progressive as I thought or had hoped he would be and he's kinda been a bit of a fuckup on a few things.  Like putting entitlements on the table.   :facepalm:  He's the best thing to happen to Republicans in a decade  :\
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on September 01, 2011, 03:12:33 PM
He's the best thing to happen to Republicans in a decade  :\

I agree with this, but probably for a different reason.  Obama's been a huge boon to the GOP (although they're far too blind to notice) because he's helped them shift the landscape quite a bit to the right.  Half the country willy rally around a democrat who's ideologically a helluva lot closer to a Reagan Republican the the GOP's own nominee will be, and they'll think they've won if he gets elected. 

Frankly,  Bush/Obama are essentially the exact same ideologically.  The GOP and the tea-party nimrods are fighting over who can be further right, and the democrats are filling the void left by the original republicans.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on September 01, 2011, 03:54:21 PM
I just looked at every one of the possible nominees for the spot on the 2012 bill and if I had to vote for any of them, it would be Fred Karger, but if we're talking about anyone with a semblance of a chance, it would be Ron Paul.

I'm going to read this thread now.

edit: If Mitt Romney or Rick Perry get elected, I'll shit a brick.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on September 01, 2011, 04:49:02 PM
edit: If Mitt Romney or Rick Perry get elected, I'll shit a brick.
Romney could actually beat Obama.  He just can't beat Perry to get there.  The tea party won't back him because he's sane, and the GOP won't support him because of the M next to his name, and the fact that he deigned to give poor people insurance. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on September 01, 2011, 05:43:29 PM
They are both fucking wacko.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on September 02, 2011, 06:30:49 AM
He's the best thing to happen to Republicans in a decade  :\

I agree with this, but probably for a different reason.  Obama's been a huge boon to the GOP (although they're far too blind to notice) because he's helped them shift the landscape quite a bit to the right.  Half the country willy rally around a democrat who's ideologically a helluva lot closer to a Reagan Republican the the GOP's own nominee will be, and they'll think they've won if he gets elected. 

Frankly,  Bush/Obama are essentially the exact same ideologically.  The GOP and the tea-party nimrods are fighting over who can be further right, and the democrats are filling the void left by the original republicans.

Well, maybe....but consider Obama's supreme court appointments.  Bush would have never appointed two liberals to the court.  To ME, that is pretty much the only reason I have to vote for Obama again.  In the next term, he may have another opportunity to make another appointment to the court, and the balance will finally start shifting back to the left a bit.  Some of the rulings to come out of "Dubya's Court" in the last few years have been absolutely fucking ridiculous (I'm thinking Citizens United for example)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on September 02, 2011, 08:59:28 AM
He's the best thing to happen to Republicans in a decade  :\

I agree with this, but probably for a different reason.  Obama's been a huge boon to the GOP (although they're far too blind to notice) because he's helped them shift the landscape quite a bit to the right.  Half the country willy rally around a democrat who's ideologically a helluva lot closer to a Reagan Republican the the GOP's own nominee will be, and they'll think they've won if he gets elected. 

Frankly,  Bush/Obama are essentially the exact same ideologically.  The GOP and the tea-party nimrods are fighting over who can be further right, and the democrats are filling the void left by the original republicans.

Well, maybe....but consider Obama's supreme court appointments.  Bush would have never appointed two liberals to the court.  To ME, that is pretty much the only reason I have to vote for Obama again.  In the next term, he may have another opportunity to make another appointment to the court, and the balance will finally start shifting back to the left a bit.  Some of the rulings to come out of "Dubya's Court" in the last few years have been absolutely fucking ridiculous (I'm thinking Citizens United for example)
SCOTUS appointments are an interesting thing.  They don't always turn out quite the way you expected.  Look at Souter.  In Bush's case,  Roberts might actually turn out to be halfway sane.  No hope for Alito.  Either way,  the problem with any upcoming appointments is that they won't alter the ideological landscape much.  The GOP wing of the court is quite young.  The liberal side is quite a bit older, so the best Obama can do is maintain what little balance there is.  Personally,  I'd bet on Ginsberg being the next to skidaddle, and you're not going to find anybody more liberal then her.  In Kennedy's case,  you could certainly move his slot to the left a bit, but he's actually one of the rational right leaning justices, so I'm not sure I'd like that a whole lot either.

As I've said before,  I'd rather have 9 O'Connor's* than an equal mix of Thomas's and Breyer's. 


*even though that woman did quite a lot to fuck us all before leaving.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on September 02, 2011, 10:09:06 AM
He's the best thing to happen to Republicans in a decade  :\

I agree with this, but probably for a different reason.  Obama's been a huge boon to the GOP (although they're far too blind to notice) because he's helped them shift the landscape quite a bit to the right.  Half the country willy rally around a democrat who's ideologically a helluva lot closer to a Reagan Republican the the GOP's own nominee will be, and they'll think they've won if he gets elected. 

Frankly,  Bush/Obama are essentially the exact same ideologically.  The GOP and the tea-party nimrods are fighting over who can be further right, and the democrats are filling the void left by the original republicans.

Well, maybe....but consider Obama's supreme court appointments.  Bush would have never appointed two liberals to the court.  To ME, that is pretty much the only reason I have to vote for Obama again.  In the next term, he may have another opportunity to make another appointment to the court, and the balance will finally start shifting back to the left a bit.  Some of the rulings to come out of "Dubya's Court" in the last few years have been absolutely fucking ridiculous (I'm thinking Citizens United for example)
SCOTUS appointments are an interesting thing.  They don't always turn out quite the way you expected.  Look at Souter.  In Bush's case,  Roberts might actually turn out to be halfway sane.  No hope for Alito.  Either way,  the problem with any upcoming appointments is that they won't alter the ideological landscape much.  The GOP wing of the court is quite young.  The liberal side is quite a bit older, so the best Obama can do is maintain what little balance there is.  Personally,  I'd bet on Ginsberg being the next to skidaddle, and you're not going to find anybody more liberal then her.  In Kennedy's case,  you could certainly move his slot to the left a bit, but he's actually one of the rational right leaning justices, so I'm not sure I'd like that a whole lot either.

As I've said before,  I'd rather have 9 O'Connor's* than an equal mix of Thomas's and Breyer's. 


*even though that woman did quite a lot to fuck us all before leaving.

Right, that's exactly my point. The liberal side of the court is going to be out of there long before any of the conservatives.  If a republican were to get elected in 2012, by the end of his/her first term, the court would likely be shifted to the right, where it would stay for quite some time.  And as far as I'm concerned the court is already way too far to the right as it is. 

I'm not expecting Obama to shift the court to the left at all - the numbers just don't work for that, I'm just hoping to maintain the status quo.   A Republican would most certainly replace Ginsberg with a conservative and then what's next?  Pretty soon you'll be able to buy an AK-47 at the supermarket, while you're picking up milk on the way home from work.  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on September 04, 2011, 09:51:51 PM
I turned on the TV and Talladega Nights was on, and it made me realize, Will Ferrell would do an incredible Rick Perry (be sorta like his Bush anyways).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on September 04, 2011, 10:06:33 PM
El Bart, have you seen any W interviews post-presidency? He's not as stupid as you all make him out to be. It'd be nice if you laid off the name calling of conservatives and things relating to Republicans. You're not the only one with an opinion and this megaphone called the Internet.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on September 04, 2011, 11:44:41 PM
El Bart, have you seen any W interviews post-presidency? He's not as stupid as you all make him out to be. It'd be nice if you laid off the name calling of conservatives and things relating to Republicans. You're not the only one with an opinion and this megaphone called the Internet.
He isn't a retard, I'll give you that,  but what intelligence he does have he has zero interest in actually using.  My guess is that the guy can probably work the hell out of a sudoku puzzle,  something that confounded me the one time I took a look at one,  but he lacks both the bandwidth and the interest to take on complex matters.  He's, quite simply,  a very simple man, which I suspect is largely by choice and by design. 

As for the name calling,  it's not like I'm any kinder to Obama or his ilk.  I've made it pretty clear that I think Obama's a jackass and a surprisingly bad president.  He's no less deserving of my criticism than Bush was, as far as I'm concerned.  No more or less than any of their minions that think guns are more important than medicine, or that making me drive a go-kart will save the Earth,  or that it's really cool that the government spies on us,  or that the government can solve every one of our problems.  Dickheads exist on both sides of the political spectrum,  and I'm quite content to continue calling the dickheads.   
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on September 05, 2011, 05:32:36 AM
I like this forum. I can't argue with a post like that. I  Am conservative myself. While conservative at heart and belief, I am much more moderate in reality. Ideally I'd like to see things happen a certain way, but I realize that won't be the case. My ideal candidate is more or less someone like Mike Huckabee. I know a lot of people are put off by his religious stances, but if you see how he got smeared in the 2008 primaries because of what he did as Gov. of Arkansas, you'll see that he's a tad more moderate.

I cannot stand Bachman or Perry. Romney will get my vote in the primary, but it's really the turd sandwich as opposed to the giant douche.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on September 05, 2011, 07:31:34 AM
Well, truth be told, I'm a liberal/socialist and I actually think Mike Huckabee is, at the very least, a sincere guy.  My problem with Dubya is two-fold.  First, I vehemently disagree with his supply-side economics.  Cutting taxes for the rich does not work.  All it does is create huge deficits, we learned that under Reagan.  These are facts that cannot be refuted.  A simple objective review of history proves it.  The deficit skyrocketed under Reagan, so much so that even though George H. W. "Read My Lips" Bush promised he would not raise taxes, he had no choice, just as some future president will have no choice but to eliminate Dubya's tax cuts.  They are the single biggest contributor to the current deficit.  Supply side has been fully and unequivocally debunked.  Not once, but twice.  But the American voting public seems to have the memory of a flea.

The second thing about Dubya that bugs me is, well, he belongs in prison and he's not there.  In my view, him, Dick Cheney and anyone else who was involved in the greatest foreign policy blunder in the history of this country (which wasn't really a blunder but more of a scam to steer money to Halliburtan, et all, but I digress) all belong in the big house.

Other than that, I'm sure he's a swell guy.  :\
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on September 06, 2011, 08:59:37 PM
Here's what I don't get.  Do Perry's supporters really think he stands a chance in a general election?  If I were a republican I'd be horrified right now.  You really don't have to be Kreskin to see how this is going to unfold. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on September 07, 2011, 02:46:58 AM
Apparently Perry has made statements about Texas seceding. You know, if I were him and wanted to achieve this,  probably the best way of going about such a thing would be to steer the population against a brick wall covertly. That way they have the impression the democratic process is not working, and other options need to be considered.

/tinfoilhat

rumborak 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on September 07, 2011, 03:13:51 PM
Here's what I don't get.  Do Perry's supporters really think he stands a chance in a general election?  If I were a republican I'd be horrified right now.  You really don't have to be Kreskin to see how this is going to unfold. 

He's better than Bachman or Palin.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on September 07, 2011, 03:19:32 PM
I hardly see how that matters. 

They're going to nominate someone who can't beat Obama because he's a whackjob like they are, instead of a reasonable Republican who would actually match up well against Obama, but isn't insane enough to get the base riled up. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on September 07, 2011, 03:21:25 PM
I've decided to not care in the slightest bit who's running until it's down to the two main candidates.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Cool Chris on September 07, 2011, 04:11:56 PM
Everyone is talking about <Republican candidate> vs. Obama. Have the Ds already pushed in all their chips with Obama for 2012? Is no one going to bother to campaign against him?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ddtonfire on September 07, 2011, 05:39:43 PM

Bachmann promises Jesus will return in her second term (https://www.totallyboguslink.com)

rumborak


I was REALLY hoping that would be an Onion article!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on September 07, 2011, 06:27:29 PM
Everyone is talking about <Republican candidate> vs. Obama. Have the Ds already pushed in all their chips with Obama for 2012? Is no one going to bother to campaign against him?

Course not, this is American politics, not a democratic process.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on September 07, 2011, 06:30:25 PM
Everyone is talking about <Republican candidate> vs. Obama. Have the Ds already pushed in all their chips with Obama for 2012? Is no one going to bother to campaign against him?
That would actually be one way to land ourselves with President Perry.  Obama still has some support from the base, and a new guy would lose some of that.  He also has the trappings of the office, which are great for campaigning.  Incumbents have a distinct advantage that a new candidate would lack.  More importantly,  challenges to the incumbents never work.  It's been tried on several occasions, and only twice have they been even moderately successful

The bigger problem is every time that it's been tried, the other party wins the general election.  Daddy Bush faced real competition from Buchanon, and went on to lose.  Carter had Teddy Kennedy on his ass, and went on to lose.  Ford had Reagan, and went on to lose.  Johnson had RFK and McCarthy; lost to Nixon.  Same story all the way back to Taft, Roosevelt and Wilson.  I figure the democrats are looking at the pragmatic approach, and a shitty candidate with an edge is better than a shitty candidate in a dead heat. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on September 07, 2011, 10:23:56 PM
Anyone catch the debate tonight? I caught part of it while cooking dinner, and for the most part, no one answered the question asked of them; the moderator called them on them a decent amount. I also remember a lot of self-contradictory statements by people. Romney, when asked, complained about how 51% of American's don't pay a federal income tax, especially in a time of war, but then went on to say the middle class has been hit too hard and anyone under $200,000 a year shouldn't pay anything, but that's 97% of all Americans!

Ron Paul and Jon Huntsman were the best in my opinion, Herman Cain was reasonable at times. It seems like Ron Paul hints that he'd be willing to negotiate on things. He brought up we pay $20 billion a year for air conditioning in the Iraq, and that if we took that away, we could put $10 billion to domestic programs, and $10 billion to debt reduction (as well as the troops not wanting to be there as much). While the actual example has some faults, he could very easily have said no money to domestic programs, like health care, or social security.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MetalMike06 on September 07, 2011, 10:49:22 PM
I caught the end of it and I couldn't really listen. Most of the responses were so corny, predictable, and fake. Huntsman was surprisingly OK to me though. I hadn't heard much of him before. I don't think Paul was even given a chance to speak, at least while I was watching.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on September 07, 2011, 11:02:11 PM
What really blows my mind is how Romney defended MA's healthcare system while lambasting Obama's. Apparently it's okay to require people to have insurance in Massachusetts because there someone who doesn't have insurance can just go to a hospital and still get treated, unlike every other state.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on September 08, 2011, 07:29:03 AM
I really don't see Obama being a second term president.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on September 08, 2011, 07:32:27 AM
I really don't see Obama being a second term president.
I wouldn't either if the Republicans could come up with a decent candidate. So far they haven't found one that is going to appeal to the moderate, undecided voter, IMO.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on September 08, 2011, 07:38:34 AM
I'm not surprised the Republicans can't get a good candidate together. The same right-win extremism that so successfully sabotaged Obama in many aspects, now gets them because they suddenly have to turn the whole party around to be more moderate. Which they can't.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on September 08, 2011, 08:40:15 AM
What really blows my mind is how Romney defended MA's healthcare system while lambasting Obama's. Apparently it's okay to require people to have insurance in Massachusetts because there someone who doesn't have insurance can just go to a hospital and still get treated, unlike every other state.

A state can mandate purchasing insurance if their state constitution allows it. The US Constitution cannot mandate that you or I purchase anything. The MA bill has been a abysmal failure, and Obamacare will be even worse... until the SCOTUS strikes it down.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on September 08, 2011, 08:58:53 AM
The MA bill has been a abysmal failure

:lol

I am sure in your favorite literature it is. For the rest of the population, it was rather successful, and that is actually Romney's double-edged sword.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on September 08, 2011, 09:01:17 AM
The MA bill has been a abysmal failure

:lol

I am sure in your favorite literature it is.
Romney's biggest problem is that it is so successful.

rumborak

Yeah, I was just going to say that.  It's been quite successful and the people there sure seem to like it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on September 08, 2011, 09:02:31 AM
It's been a heaven-sent for me, getting affordable insurance for my trip. And frankly, it makes me feel I live in a civilized state.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Orion1967 on September 08, 2011, 11:10:56 AM
I'll be more interested in how things go in congress. Will people be pissed at the Republicans for basically refusing to compromise on anything? From polls I've seen a large majority of Americans want tax loopholes closed and higher taxes on the rich. The Republicans refused to let these things happen. I don't think that most Americans want only spending cuts.

Absolutely I only want spending cuts.  The government is out of control with spending.  Obama and his congress have blasted our deficit higher in his 3 years than the entireity of it in the last 200 years.   If you cut all the crap out that Obama has socialized thus far, put it back in private sector hands, let a free market economy progress then America will prosper.  I think that the rich and middle class and the poor should be taxed by an equal percentage.  The Fair tax would solve much of our nations taxation problems and be fair to everyone.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on September 08, 2011, 12:17:20 PM
What really blows my mind is how Romney defended MA's healthcare system while lambasting Obama's. Apparently it's okay to require people to have insurance in Massachusetts because there someone who doesn't have insurance can just go to a hospital and still get treated, unlike every other state.

A state can mandate purchasing insurance if their state constitution allows it. The US Constitution cannot mandate that you or I purchase anything. The MA bill has been a abysmal failure, and Obamacare will be even worse... until the SCOTUS strikes it down.

See, I think the state rights argument makes sense on some level... but then, pragmatically, you would still be forced to buy insurance. Are you really fucking telling me it matters to you if federal government forces you to do something over the state government? I call massive bullshit, as you'd be against it no matter who's mandating you buy health insurance.

Absolutely I only want spending cuts.  The government is out of control with spending.  Obama and his congress have blasted our deficit higher in his 3 years than the entireity of it in the last 200 years.   If you cut all the crap out that Obama has socialized thus far, put it back in private sector hands, let a free market economy progress then America will prosper.

Obama hasn't socialized anything, and most of the huge deficit and debt can be traced back to prior organizations and commitments (Bush Tax Cuts, Iraq/Afghanistan, TARP, Social Security/Welfare). Blaming Obama and "his" congress is ridiculous when the blame goes everywhere, especially when blaming one side only helps cement the corruption in place.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on September 08, 2011, 01:22:41 PM
Patti Davis penned a nice editorial concerning last nights GOP sham.  To be clear,  I think her old man was a senile twit, but she's absolutely right about some of his better character traits, and dead on about how far removed from the the right has become.  It's astonishing to me that the GOP has moved so far from their revered messiah that Obama is a much better approximation of him than any candidate they can create.

https://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,2092425,00.html

an excerpt:
Quote from: Patti Davis
That character is what drew people to my father, whether or not they agreed with his politics. That character is what we are starving for, that many of us had hoped we would find — but are now disappointed that we are not — in President Obama. I think my father, if he were here, would also be disappointed in this administration. But here is the important part: he would never have expressed that with anger and vitriol and snarky soundbites. The Republican candidates tonight appeared to be auditioning for a reality show, not for the lofty position of leading America through and out of these terribly troubled times.

Ironically, the one man on stage who did comport himself with dignity, John Huntsman, is now being dismissed as having not made an impact. The moment he brought the discussion back from airport security to the sweeping poverty and economic panic that is gripping this country was, I thought, profound. It was something my father would have done. But that moment isn't making the news. The zingers like Perry's Ponzi-scheme comment, in reference to Social Security, are getting more attention. Maybe the candidates should have wandered over to my father's gravesite before going on stage. Maybe they should have lingered over the words carved in stone there.

The moment that would have broken my father's heart was the moment when applause broke out at the mention of more than 200 executions ordered by Rick Perry in Texas. It was stunning and brought tears to my eyes. This is what we've come to? That we applaud at executions?

I remember the first time my father ordered an execution when he was Governor. He and a minister went into a room, got down on their knees and prayed. The real shame of our times is that there doesn't seem to be anyone on the political horizon with that compassion in his or her heart.

Read more: https://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,2092425,00.html#ixzz1XOFfJqOX
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on September 08, 2011, 01:32:00 PM
I agree with a lot of the stuff you quoted there, Barto. It seems like the majority of people in government are there strictly for their egos, and not for the well being of America. It sickens me. Take Linda McMahon For example. She has no business in politics. Nothing she says or does make me think she's in it to help Americans get through life as hassle free as possible,. What's her motive? Other than getting shit loads of attention, I don't see any.

I know it's not really plausible, but I'd love to see some ordinary person make a name for themselves using nothing more than the Internet as a medium. I'd like to see someone run a free campaign (mostly free) using nothing but a personal website, YouTube, twitter, etc... Keep all the bullshit of campaign donations out of the picture and do nothing but interact with Americans virtually, day in and day out. I think thats one of the very few ways we can get good and honest people in the seats of congress.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on September 08, 2011, 01:37:08 PM
I'll be more interested in how things go in congress. Will people be pissed at the Republicans for basically refusing to compromise on anything? From polls I've seen a large majority of Americans want tax loopholes closed and higher taxes on the rich. The Republicans refused to let these things happen. I don't think that most Americans want only spending cuts.

Absolutely I only want spending cuts.  The government is out of control with spending.  Obama and his congress have blasted our deficit higher in his 3 years than the entireity of it in the last 200 years.   If you cut all the crap out that Obama has socialized thus far, put it back in private sector hands, let a free market economy progress then America will prosper.  I think that the rich and middle class and the poor should be taxed by an equal percentage.  The Fair tax would solve much of our nations taxation problems and be fair to everyone.

The shitty part is, we could cut spending all day long and we will still be going into deeper debt. America's problem is at we don't produce anything. We offer very little to the rest of the world. Even with spending cuts and tax increases, we still won't be bringing new money in.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on September 08, 2011, 04:57:01 PM
It's really funny for any non-American when someone starts ranting about how left wing Obama is and how he's socializing everything.
In basically any other developed country, Obama would be a far-right conservative.

One of the main problems with American politics right now is that so many people seem to have lost the ability to conduct themselves like adults. As Bob Dole said during the 1996 election, "President Clinton is my political opponent, not my enemy". People you disagree with politically aren't all crazy radicals who want to destroy the country, they're fellow citizens with different opinions and views.

As for the upcoming election itself, the nominee will either be Romney, or someone who isn't in the race yet. It will be closer than 2008, but Obama will be re-elected.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on September 08, 2011, 08:40:24 PM
I think Romney is the most moderate of the pool of 'pubs at the moment.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on September 08, 2011, 08:53:02 PM
Well, Romney wouldn't be too bad really. If it comes down to that showdown, I'd be happy.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on September 08, 2011, 08:59:26 PM
Well, Romney wouldn't be too bad really. If it comes down to that showdown, I'd be happy.

rumborak

I agree. I'm conservative at heart, but I know and understand reality is in the middle. I think Romney can reflect that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on September 08, 2011, 09:12:17 PM
One of the main problems with American politics right now is that so many people seem to have lost the ability to conduct themselves like adults. As Bob Dole said during the 1996 election, "President Clinton is my political opponent, not my enemy". People you disagree with politically aren't all crazy radicals who want to destroy the country, they're fellow citizens with different opinions and views.

Dole's was a reasonable position, and it's also exactly what Patti Davis was referring to in the editorial I cited earlier.  That said, a lot of the people they're fielding actually are crazy radicals.  There are some reasonable candidates, but they're invisible next to the more popular whack jobs. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on September 08, 2011, 09:55:32 PM
I tried watching the debate just now. I really did. I got through a half hour and nearly puked. I think that they were all too busy taking shots at Obama, taking shots at each  other, and verbally fellating themselves to focus on what would actually work.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on September 08, 2011, 10:49:37 PM
I find most of the Repubs going for the Prez-ull to be far too conservative for a prog-con such as myself. 

Though, I wouldn't really feel too affected if Rom won the nomination and beat Bama.  If the Pubs keep their hold on the Legis, or (probably) even gain even more of a hold there, I doubt there'd be too much of a difference between more Bama, and 4 years of a Pub Prez. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on September 09, 2011, 07:20:30 AM
It took me 3 times to read that and understand it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MetalMike06 on September 09, 2011, 06:59:23 PM
I find it pretty disheartening that Rick Perry is taken so seriously. He just seems like a ghost of GWB. It seems like the guy wasn't that well known until the media started telling everybody that he was a frontrunner. Like...before he even entered the race, his name is all I read in the news about "GOP frontrunners".
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on September 09, 2011, 07:08:33 PM
I find it pretty disheartening that Rick Perry is taken so seriously. He just seems like a ghost of GWB. It seems like the guy wasn't that well known until the media started telling everybody that he was a frontrunner. Like...before he even entered the race, his name is all I read in the news about "GOP frontrunners".
Well, obviously I'm familiar more familiar with that guy, but I do share your bewilderment into how these people suddenly become the front runners.  It seems a bit far fetched to assume that it's entirely the media who's responsible, but they're certainly the ones to bring people straight to the front of the pack.  Something else that feeds that problem is that Iowa and New Hampshire have so much bearing in who gets nominated.  What makes them so special?

As for him being Bush Jr., that's not quite the case.  For one thing they really disliked each other quite a bit.  It's also worth noting that Perry was Democrat for half of his career.  When Texas started moving from D to R, he jumped ship.  The man certainly knows when to jump on an opportunity.  Bush was many rotten things, but he wasn't superficial, and that's probably the most apt description of Perry I could conjure up. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on September 10, 2011, 02:36:13 PM
Just a little something for fun more than anything;

The most recent Republican debate in 45 seconds;
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sTZrMNPhQAc
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on October 13, 2011, 08:15:44 PM
So this Hermann Cain fellow is really picking up some steam.  I haven't factored him into my predictions,  and don't really know how to at this point.  From what I gather,  he's actually tried to be a good candidate at the debates, and was completely ignored for it.  Now I gather they can't ignore him any more,  so I might actually watch a debate to see how he comes across. 

The one thing I do know about him is that his 9-9-9 plan scares the hell out of me.  I'm at a point where it could conceivably bury me.  Thankfully,  I doubt he'd ever get it to happen, but just the idea spooks me.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on October 13, 2011, 08:46:30 PM
What really blows my mind is how Romney defended MA's healthcare system while lambasting Obama's. Apparently it's okay to require people to have insurance in Massachusetts because there someone who doesn't have insurance can just go to a hospital and still get treated, unlike every other state.

Not to mention he tried to push the exact same bill through the Legislature just before the '08 Election, isn't that true?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on October 13, 2011, 10:36:02 PM
I find the real shame with the Republicans is that they have become the party of unattainable promises. They seem to want to stand for a USA that existed 30 years ago, i.e. the only superpower in town, controlling its assets militarily across the globe, where Global Warming didn't exist and Evolution was heathen talk. The other day I heard some radio snippet of a prominent Republican (can't remember who) judging Chris Christie as too liberal since he acknowledged some element of human activity in Global Warming.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on October 13, 2011, 11:16:54 PM
I've become convinced that the Republican Party and the more fervent among its supporters dream of returning to:

(https://content.artofmanliness.com/uploads/2008/06/a5fatherknowsbestcast.jpg)

(https://in-and-around-columbus.com/images/oldsodafountain.jpg)

(https://instruction.blackhawk.edu/ghoffarth/sociology/institutionaldiscrimination.jpg)

(https://zeldalily.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/wifeDM1904_468x550.jpg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on October 13, 2011, 11:19:40 PM
Hmm, it makes me wonder,

What is the median age of the Republicans in the Fed, as well as the median age of their voterbase, vs. those of the Democrats?

I'm betting that many of the Repubs in office probably grew up in that era. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on October 13, 2011, 11:27:31 PM
I've become convinced that the Republican Party and the more fervent among its supporters dream of returning to:

(https://content.artofmanliness.com/uploads/2008/06/a5fatherknowsbestcast.jpg)
(https://static-l3.blogcritics.org/11/04/20/157865/loud-family.jpg?t=20110420181252)
The real world equivalent.  Far from the Republican ideal,  this is what scares the hell out of them.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on October 14, 2011, 08:11:10 AM
How about some background on that, Bartoman.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 14, 2011, 11:25:13 AM
Rick Perry will be the Republican nominee, Obama will not have a primary challenge, but he's a weak candidate because the economy has not turned around fast enough and even though it's really not his fault he's still going to receive the brunt of the blame for it.

I think the presidential election will be very, very close.  It's difficult to unseat an incumbent president. I hold up George W. Bush as an example.  His favorability ratings at this point were 5 to 7 points lower than Obama's and he beat John Kerry fairly handily.  Granted, John Kerry is about as charismatic as a fucking brick, and Obama's going to have to go up against Rick Perry, who, despite his faults, is a seasoned campaigner......but the problem is, political insiders are not in vogue right now, and Perry, despite the strong economy in Texas, carries a lot baggage.

It's definitely going to be a very interesting election cycle.

Looks like I was jumping the gun here.  I didn't expect Perry to flame out that quickly.  It's looking more and more like Romney will be the nominee.

Regardless of who wins the nomination, Obama has an uphill battle.

As a liberal registered Democrat, I obviously can't support a Republican, but of the current crop of candidates, Romney is probably the one that I could live with the most, and he polls the best against Obama, but it's been looking like the Republicans want to maybe nominate someone to his right like Cain.

That would be GREAT, because he's, well, kinda nuts  :lol

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on October 14, 2011, 11:35:46 AM
How about some background on that, Bartoman.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/An_American_Family

I'm actually surprised something like that got on public TV at that time in our cultural history.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 14, 2011, 11:39:51 AM
What really blows my mind is how Romney defended MA's healthcare system while lambasting Obama's. Apparently it's okay to require people to have insurance in Massachusetts because there someone who doesn't have insurance can just go to a hospital and still get treated, unlike every other state.

A state can mandate purchasing insurance if their state constitution allows it. The US Constitution cannot mandate that you or I purchase anything. The MA bill has been a abysmal failure, and Obamacare will be even worse... until the SCOTUS strikes it down.

uh, no.  The MA law has NOT been an abysmal failure.  In fact, despite my general distaste for the personal mandate in the MA law and in the Obama law, the facts are clear:  It has been extremely successful.  You can read more about the success of the MA healthcare law here:  https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/04/mvf_healthcare_mass.html (https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/04/mvf_healthcare_mass.html)

Romney is just parsing words with his criticism of Obama's law, mostly because he doesn't have any choice if he wants to get elected.

Frankly, I think Obama's health care law sucks, but that's because I wanted a SINGLE PAYER system.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on October 14, 2011, 11:42:10 AM
For those of us ignorant to the particulars of health policy, what is a single payer system?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 14, 2011, 11:49:13 AM
For those of us ignorant to the particulars of health policy, what is a single payer system?

It's basically health-care funded by a single public entity, from a single fund.  The advantages are that it dramatically reduces administrative overhead, which is currently the greatest contributing factor to skyrocketing health-care costs.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on October 14, 2011, 11:55:01 AM
Right. And, from my limited knowledge, what we got instead was more or less a giant handout to the healthcare industry with some goodies thrown our way. It seems that any meaningful healthcare reform would need to wholly eliminate the antitrust exemption for health insurance companies.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on October 14, 2011, 11:56:48 AM
For those of us ignorant to the particulars of health policy, what is a single payer system?

It's basically health-care funded by a single public entity, from a single fund.  The advantages are that it dramatically reduces administrative overhead, which is currently the greatest contributing factor to skyrocketing health-care costs.

It's important to note, that single-payer does not mean single administration, etc. Conservatives always make that jump, which is annoying.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 14, 2011, 11:59:03 AM
Right. And, from my limited knowledge, what we got instead was more or less a giant handout to the healthcare industry with some goodies thrown our way. It seems that any meaningful healthcare reform would need to wholly eliminate the antitrust exemption for health insurance companies.

The health-care law that the Obama administration got passed was a watered-down piece of crap.   So, yeah. 

A public, single-payer system would have DRASTICALLY reduced costs over the next decade.  Instead we got something that MIGHT just keep costs flat, if that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 14, 2011, 12:00:52 PM
For those of us ignorant to the particulars of health policy, what is a single payer system?

It's basically health-care funded by a single public entity, from a single fund.  The advantages are that it dramatically reduces administrative overhead, which is currently the greatest contributing factor to skyrocketing health-care costs.

It's important to note, that single-payer does not mean single administration, etc. Conservatives always make that jump, which is annoying.

Good point!  I oversimplified it out of laziness, but the Wiki on Single Payer is actually pretty decent:  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Single-payer_health_care

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on October 14, 2011, 12:04:57 PM
uh, no.  The MA law has NOT been an abysmal failure.  In fact, despite my general distaste for the personal mandate in the MA law and in the Obama law, the facts are clear:  It has been extremely successful.  You can read more about the success of the MA healthcare law here:  https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/04/mvf_healthcare_mass.html (https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/04/mvf_healthcare_mass.html)

Romney is just parsing words with his criticism of Obama's law, mostly because he doesn't have any choice if he wants to get elected.

Frankly, I think Obama's health care law sucks, but that's because I wanted a SINGLE PAYER system.
And here we agree completely.  I actually can understand why a few people might have gotten it worse under RomneyCare,  but overall it certainly appears to have been quite successful. 

The fascinating thing about Obama's dogshit plan is under McCain we would have gotten an identical bill,  and the Republicans would be defending to their deaths. 

As for single payer,  I'd certainly prefer it for a nation that likes to boast of being the greatest nation on Earth,  but the bottom line is that as long as healthcare is so ridiculously overpriced (especially for what we get),  then it doesn't really matter who pays for it. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: zxlkho on October 14, 2011, 12:25:28 PM
Right. And, from my limited knowledge, what we got instead was more or less a giant handout to the healthcare industry with some goodies thrown our way. It seems that any meaningful healthcare reform would need to wholly eliminate the antitrust exemption for health insurance companies.

As an economist...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on October 14, 2011, 12:53:21 PM
I can dig it. Hell, paint me pink and call me a socialist.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on October 14, 2011, 05:20:12 PM
Herman Cain is really disturbing to me. He's never going to win the primary though, which is a good thing.

9-9-9 is simply laughable and.. seriously. HE THINKS GREENSPAN WAS GOOD? WHAT!?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on October 14, 2011, 05:21:56 PM
HE THINKS GREENSPAN WAS GOOD? WHAT!?

Compared to Bernanke? I would agree with that statement.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: pogoowner on October 14, 2011, 05:51:55 PM
HE THINKS GREENSPAN WAS GOOD? WHAT!?

Compared to Bernanke? I would agree with that statement.
They've both done essentially the same thing as far as I can tell, so I don't see how one is better than the other. The shit just hadn't quite hit the fan yet under Greenspan (though he contributed to it doing so).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on October 14, 2011, 07:10:16 PM
Greenspan was a deplorable piece of shit.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MetalMike06 on October 14, 2011, 10:08:51 PM
Herman Cain is really disturbing to me. He's never going to win the primary though, which is a good thing.

9-9-9 is simply laughable and.. seriously. HE THINKS GREENSPAN WAS GOOD? WHAT!?

What's even more disturbing is that merely a week before the financial crisis occured, he basically gave the economy a clean bill of health. (https://004eeb5.netsolhost.com/hc126.htm)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on October 14, 2011, 10:12:31 PM
It took the man his whole professional lifetime to realize that the market isn't infallible. That just blew me away.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: livehard on October 18, 2011, 09:48:50 AM
For those of us ignorant to the particulars of health policy, what is a single payer system?

It's basically health-care funded by a single public entity, from a single fund.  The advantages are that it dramatically reduces administrative overhead, which is currently the greatest contributing factor to skyrocketing health-care costs.

haha you think its going to reduce administrative costs? as compared to what our current socialist system or a private system?

People are insane, you hand out free health care, what do you think is going to happen?  What happens to demand when you drop the price of something to zero? This is simple stuff.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 18, 2011, 12:24:06 PM
Hmm, if I didn't know better, I'd say that you just called me "insane" in that post  :coolio

Administrative costs are 4 times higher (https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/747566) here in the US than they are in Ontario, Canada where they have a single payer system.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: livehard on October 18, 2011, 12:28:58 PM
Hmm, if I didn't know better, I'd say that you just called me "insane" in that post  :coolio

Administrative costs are 4 times higher (https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/747566) here in the US than they are in Ontario, Canada where they have a single payer system.

Well as Einstein said insanity is doing the same thing over and over expecting a different results.  Most Americans support trying to fix these problems through government intervention and we keep getting deeper and deeper into the mess.  So in that respect, many people are insane.  I want a new solution, one that suggests that government IS the problem.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: wasteland on October 18, 2011, 12:32:48 PM
Hmm, if I didn't know better, I'd say that you just called me "insane" in that post  :coolio

Administrative costs are 4 times higher (https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/747566) here in the US than they are in Ontario, Canada where they have a single payer system.

Well as Einstein said insanity is doing the same thing over and over expecting a different results.  Most Americans support trying to fix these problems through government intervention and we keep getting deeper and deeper into the mess.  So in that respect, many people are insane.  I want a new solution, one that suggests that government IS the problem.

Didn't this happen with Reagan 30 years ago?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on October 18, 2011, 02:51:07 PM
For those of us ignorant to the particulars of health policy, what is a single payer system?

It's basically health-care funded by a single public entity, from a single fund.  The advantages are that it dramatically reduces administrative overhead, which is currently the greatest contributing factor to skyrocketing health-care costs.

haha you think its going to reduce administrative costs? as compared to what our current socialist system or a private system?

People are insane, you hand out free health care, what do you think is going to happen?  What happens to demand when you drop the price of something to zero? This is simple stuff.

Look at every other modern country in the world, look at their health care systems, and compare costs. We spend more in the US than anyone.

Medicare, a single-payer style system, has lower administrative costs, and lower rising costs, than the private market place.

It's not free health care. It's universal health care. It's paid for by tax dollars, the only people it's free for are those who literally cannot afford it.

It's not demanding the price drop to zero, but rather that profits are capped / moderated. There are many non-profit organizations out there, whom all have employee's, pay them, and take in money. One possible role of government could to be to help set up trust funds (one time loans, which can be repaid) to set up non-profit health insurance co-ops, or health insurance companies (I believe something like this was in "Obamacare", but hasn't taken effect).

Back to Medicare - people love it, and can't wait to get on it. Threatening Medicare is very dangerous politically, but most Americans like it - they just don't know it's because of government involvement (which blows my mind).

Why is a single payer system, i.e. vouchers, a good way to deal with educational system, but it's a horrid way to deal with health care?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: livehard on October 18, 2011, 02:57:36 PM
Im confused how is a voucher system a single payer system? A voucher system you would have the individual go out into the market and choose an insurance plan for themselves from a bunch of competing companies. I might be misunderstanding the definition of single payer
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on October 18, 2011, 04:28:24 PM
Because the voucher is basically specialized money. You get a voucher, the government pays the voucher to the school for your kid to attend. Many single payer systems are similar, as a citizen goes to a health care provider, and than the government pays for that service rendered.

But ya, you could have a voucher system much like you describe, where people go to insurance companies, and the government subsidizes the costs. I think it would actually be somewhat close to Medicare / Medicaid, but I'm not precisely sure how closely they would be.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on October 18, 2011, 04:55:24 PM
Who's going to watch Cain and Romney verbally fellate themselves tonight? I figure it would make for some fun TV.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: zxlkho on October 18, 2011, 04:57:55 PM
What time/channel/etc. ?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on October 18, 2011, 04:59:16 PM
8 eastern on CNN
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on October 18, 2011, 05:00:18 PM
I always watch the day afterwards, it's 1am now.

It'd be disastrous if Cain got anywhere.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on October 18, 2011, 05:01:19 PM
Who's going to watch Cain and Romney verbally fellate themselves tonight? I figure it would make for some fun TV.
Since they won't be able to ignore Cain this time around,  I might check it out.  I understand he actually tries to stay on topic,  so I'd actually like to see that.

This is assuming it's viewable to those of us with the good sense to not pay for cable. 


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: zxlkho on October 18, 2011, 05:01:31 PM
I'll check it out. I'm curious how they'll address the Occupy movement.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on October 18, 2011, 05:33:37 PM
I'm curious how they'll address the Occupy movement.
That's an easy one.  They'll blame Obama.  "These people are angry, and given the state of things,  they have every right to be.  The solution to theirs,  and all of our problems is to get rid of Obama and elect me so I can turn this nation around and give them the opportunity to work and prosper!"
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on October 18, 2011, 06:23:54 PM
Ron Paul has been addressing the Occupy movement for some time actually. You see a bunch of "End The Fed" signs over there too.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: zxlkho on October 18, 2011, 06:27:14 PM
Literally none of this debate is productive. They say the same shit over and over.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on October 18, 2011, 06:55:01 PM
This is so funny. :lol

Watching Rick Perry getting owned gave me a laugh.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: zxlkho on October 18, 2011, 06:57:23 PM
This is so funny. :lol

Watching Rick Perry getting owned gave me a laugh.

I think attacking Mitt Romney backfired for him :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on October 18, 2011, 06:58:27 PM
Agreed. No one is actually answering any questions that they're asked. I want them to start asking social questions. That should be some fun.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: zxlkho on October 18, 2011, 07:11:14 PM
Why is Ron Paul so awesome?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on October 18, 2011, 07:11:55 PM
Rankings!!!!!!!

Romney
Paul








The rest of them

edit:

Actually:

Some homeless dude






























































































































































































All of them
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: zxlkho on October 18, 2011, 07:13:06 PM
Paul
Romney



Santorum


the rest



Herman Cain
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on October 18, 2011, 07:17:33 PM
Faith and the right to bear arms are next. This is going to be gold.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: zxlkho on October 18, 2011, 07:18:57 PM
I can't fucking wait to see what Jon Stewart does with this material.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on October 18, 2011, 07:20:36 PM
I can't wait for Bill Maher to tear these dudes apart.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: zxlkho on October 18, 2011, 07:27:08 PM
Michele Bachmann is a professional question avoiderer.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on October 18, 2011, 07:28:14 PM
I can't tell who's worse: her, Cain, or Perry?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on October 18, 2011, 07:52:03 PM
I'm going to laugh my fucking ass off when Obama gets reelected.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on October 18, 2011, 07:53:23 PM
I can't tell who's worse: her, Cain, or Perry?
I loved when Perry answered the question about Texas's 1,000,000+ uninsured children by accusing Romney of hiring illegal aliens. 

And I certainly loved hearing him get booed. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on October 18, 2011, 08:02:06 PM
I can't wait for Bill Maher to tear these dudes apart.

No offense, but Bill Maher is an idiot. Jon Stewart is infinitely more wise and tactful.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: zxlkho on October 18, 2011, 08:10:45 PM
How anyone can possibly support Herman Cain is just beyond me. He's a complete idiot.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on October 18, 2011, 08:15:26 PM
I can't wait for Bill Maher to tear these dudes apart.

No offense, but Bill Maher is an idiot. Jon Stewart is infinitely more wise and tactful.

I don't need tact. As for wise, I just dig Bill Maher because we are very similar in our political beliefs and other more secular ones. If I may ask, why do you dislike him so?

edit: The only major issue Maher and I disagree upon is the death penalty. I'm set in stone on that one.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on October 18, 2011, 08:22:44 PM
I think Maher is mostly a blowhard but there are sometimes good conversations on his show.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on October 18, 2011, 08:22:58 PM
I can't wait for Bill Maher to tear these dudes apart.

No offense, but Bill Maher is an idiot. Jon Stewart is infinitely more wise and tactful.

I don't need tact. As for wise, I just dig Bill Maher because we are very similar in our political beliefs and other more secular ones. If I may ask, why do you dislike him so?

edit: The only major issue Maher and I disagree upon is the death penalty. I'm set in stone on that one.

Eh, no point in explaining. I disagree with him and he's an absolute ass.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on October 18, 2011, 08:26:58 PM
I think Maher is mostly a blowhard but there are sometimes good conversations on his show.

I'd agree on both accounts, but the first point is just the comedian in him coming out. I enjoy the talks on his shows and he isn't afraid to bring on intense conservatives. He has Ann Coulter (sweet jesus) on a few weeks ago. That made for a good show.

Snapple:

Well, I can understand disagreeing with him, but I would like to know why. However, that is a conversation for outside this thread as it does not pertain to the thread. As for the ass part, yes, he is an ass.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ClairvoyantCat on October 18, 2011, 08:30:00 PM
Maher is too much of a snobby ass for me to take his political discussion seriously, yet not quite funny enough for me to enjoy his show strictly as a comedy either.  Not a fan.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on October 18, 2011, 08:30:57 PM
Ann Coulter should not be on anybody's show :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: zxlkho on October 18, 2011, 08:31:07 PM
Maher is too much of a snobby ass for me to take his political discussion seriously, yet not quite funny enough for me to enjoy his show strictly as a comedy either.  Not a fan.

Yeah I agree with this.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on October 18, 2011, 10:06:45 PM
Holy shit. If Rick Perry doesn't hang it up after this debate, I'll be shocked.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on October 18, 2011, 10:09:36 PM
Holy shit. If Rick Perry doesn't hang it up after this debate, I'll be shocked.

I hope that's the case.  If he's out, that means one less scary Repub to worry about them nominating.

Of the current Repub field, Romney is the one I'd be least worried for the US's future if he became president. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on October 19, 2011, 05:15:19 AM
Well I'm looking for a scary Repub to get the nomination, so... :biggrin:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on October 19, 2011, 05:39:24 AM
Well I'm looking for a scary Repub to get the nomination, so... :biggrin:

I still find Bachman more scary. Rick Perry is an idiot, but Michelle Bachman's platform amounts to "I understand nothing about the subtleties being discussed, but hey OBAMA SUCKS." I'm starting to think that she's just addicted to the guaranteed applause those kinda statements get.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PlaysLikeMyung on October 19, 2011, 06:27:29 AM
I can't take Herman Cain seriously

He once made a comment that black voters vote democrat instead of republican, by and large, because they're 'brainwashed' (totally ad libbing; don't remember the exact quote)

It's like he's blaming his own lack of black support on the democratic party lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 19, 2011, 07:43:58 AM
Holy shit. If Rick Perry doesn't hang it up after this debate, I'll be shocked.

He's got more than enough cash on hand to continue at least through the South Carolina primary, so I don't see him quitting anytime soon.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on October 19, 2011, 07:56:33 AM
Well I'm looking for a scary Repub to get the nomination, so... :biggrin:

You see, my thought is that if Obama somehow loses to the Repubs, I'd much rather that Repub be Mitt than, say, Perry.  Or Bachmann.  Or Cain.  Or any of those guys, really; most of them don't give me good vibes at all, hence, Mitt would be least bad.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 19, 2011, 08:02:17 AM
The only two Republicans that are currently in the race that Obama could possibly lose to would be Mitt Romney and Rick Perry.

The rest of them present no threat to Obama because even the Republicans understand that people like Michele Bachmann are unelectable at this level.


I think Romney will be the nominee, and I hope that it will produce some apathy in the Religious Right base of the Republican party resulting in 4 more years of Obama.  He's not really who I want in office (he's no where remotely close to being liberal enough for me) but he will continue to nominate liberals to the courts, which is the biggest impact any president ever has.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: zxlkho on October 19, 2011, 08:07:54 AM
Why does everyone ignore Ron Paul? I mean seriously he's probably the only honest politician on that stage.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on October 19, 2011, 08:09:07 AM
Well I'm looking for a scary Repub to get the nomination, so... :biggrin:

You see, my thought is that if Obama somehow loses to the Repubs, I'd much rather that Repub be Mitt than, say, Perry.  Or Bachmann.  Or Cain.  Or any of those guys, really; most of them don't give me good vibes at all, hence, Mitt would be least bad.
Why is Romney (who has clearly come out as the Wall Street Candidate (https://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/16/us/romney-perry-and-cain-open-wide-financial-lead-over-field.html?pagewanted=1&_r=2&hp&adxnnl=1&adxnnlx=1319033138-q3WcXFHM9MujRFkZjPgtuA)) any more palatable than the rest of them?

They're all reprehensible.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on October 19, 2011, 08:34:30 AM
Why does everyone ignore Ron Paul? I mean seriously he's probably the only honest politician on that stage.

I'd guess it's because he's not speaking the same language as the other candidates at all. In fact, he doesn't even belong under the same tent. He sells himself as the "tr00 republican" who's more Reagan style than the current bunch, but he would have been on the fringe during Reagan's time too (and, in fact, he was). My guess is the Republican establishment sees him for what he is-- a (albeit noble) poser trying to hijack the party from the inside.

The thing that doesn't help is he seems to be losing some of his articulateness. He was great in 2008, but now he sounds like someone's crazy uncle. This is due, in all probability, to the fact that instead of reassessing his own platform he's spent the last 3 years listening to 17 year old boys reaffirm his positions for him. Compare that to Mitt, who has no-doubt spent every waking moment since losing last year's primary preparing for this moment. The difference in his confidence and preparedness since last time around is astounding, IMHO.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 19, 2011, 08:48:16 AM
Why does everyone ignore Ron Paul? I mean seriously he's probably the only honest politician on that stage.

Well, first off, he's 75 years old.  I think that might be pushing the envelope a bit.  That would make him the oldest president ever elected by 5 years (Reagan was 70 when he was inaugurated)

Secondly, do you really, honestly believe that the Christian right is going to embrace a guy who thinks Heroin should be legal?  It ain't gonna happen.

Other things he says that are just kind of wacky are that he wants to abolish the IRA, end income taxes, eliminate 5 cabinet level positions/departments in the government, it's all pie in the sky nonsense that everyone knows is never going to get done.

Ron Paul is, in a word:  "Unelectable" when it comes to the presidency.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on October 19, 2011, 08:51:23 AM
He really is. Most of his base comes from outside of the Republican establishment, which is why Republican's don't dig him. I personally like a lot of his policies and am glad he's managed to get his views out there into the mainstream, but Republicans know better. They know that if they elect him they'll secretly be getting Noam Chomsky.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on October 19, 2011, 09:04:57 AM
Which is why he should have opted to run as a third party candidate years ago.  His loyalty to the GOP is misguided and more harmful than anything else.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: zxlkho on October 19, 2011, 09:18:22 AM
Ron Paul is, in a word:  "Unelectable" when it comes to the presidency.

That's just sad. He would make a great president.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on October 19, 2011, 09:20:49 AM
My guess is the Republican establishment sees him for what he is-- a (albeit noble) poser trying to hijack the party from the inside.
Ron Paul. A poser? What is he posing as? You're saying he's not honest?

The reason he's running as a republican though is because of voter access. It's terribly hard to even get on the ballot is you're not a republican or a democrat, he has consistently voted for increasing the access for other parties to get on the ballots. He's not there to "infiltrate", he's simply there to spread his views of person liberty and responsibility.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on October 19, 2011, 09:20:58 AM
Ron Paul is, in a word:  "Unelectable" when it comes to the presidency.

That's just sad. He would make a great president.
I don't know about that, but fuck at least he has some integrity.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: zxlkho on October 19, 2011, 09:25:54 AM
Ron Paul is, in a word:  "Unelectable" when it comes to the presidency.

That's just sad. He would make a great president.
I don't know about that, but fuck at least he has some integrity.

That's what I mean. Who do you think was the last president who was honest as Ron Paul is today?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on October 19, 2011, 09:47:14 AM
Ron Paul money bomb is today. Donate.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on October 19, 2011, 09:58:04 AM
Ron Paul is, in a word:  "Unelectable" when it comes to the presidency.

That's just sad. He would make a great president.
I don't know about that, but fuck at least he has some integrity.

That's what I mean. Who do you think was the last president who was honest as Ron Paul is today?

He has integrity, but he is also remarkably detached from the human populace.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on October 19, 2011, 10:00:48 AM
So are the other candidates.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on October 19, 2011, 10:05:59 AM
Nah. The other candidates might be liars, but I think they at least care for people's benefit in general. Paul strikes me as someone who sees people's benefit as a secondary outcome to his ideologies.
When Paul was asked by Blitzer about that 30-year old without medical insurance, I thought Paul's response was very tell-tale. He evaded the answer because people are only a piece in the free-market equation.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on October 19, 2011, 10:11:35 AM
Nah. The other candidates might be liars, but I think they at least care for people's benefit in general.

rumborak

Maybe I'm just hopelessly cynical but I don't really think this at all. Maybe a little bit. Like, the minimum amount. I think Ron Paul, however misguided we think his economic/fiscal policy ideas are, thinks he's doing the right thing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on October 19, 2011, 10:23:59 AM
Ron Paul. A poser? What is he posing as?

A Republican.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on October 19, 2011, 10:24:10 AM
Ron Paul money bomb is today. Donate.

Donated.



A Republican.

I'd say the neo-conservatives are posing as republicans.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on October 19, 2011, 10:26:42 AM
Nah. The other candidates might be liars, but I think they at least care for people's benefit in general.

rumborak

Maybe I'm just hopelessly cynical but I don't really think this at all. Maybe a little bit. Like, the minimum amount. I think Ron Paul, however misguided we think his economic/fiscal policy ideas are, thinks he's doing the right thing.

He is, but I think he's putting the cart before the horse. His idea, i.e. the idea of Libertarianism, is that a process can be trusted more with the welfare of beings than the action of the beings themselves. And I think that notion makes him patently unelectable.
A friend of mine the other day said he's essentially the court jester. It's a very good analogy; he's really good at putting the mirror in front of other people. But he himself would be a disastrous president. And that's why he, once his role if fulfilled as the court jester, drops out of the running.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on October 19, 2011, 10:31:03 AM
I think that's a fair analysis, although I don't think the powers-that-be would let his presidency be disastrous. In any event, I'm glad he exists; if only to hold the mirror up.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on October 19, 2011, 10:32:00 AM
I'd say the neo-conservatives are posing as republicans.

That's what Paul would have you believe, no-doubt. But even Ronald Reagan, for the demi-god he is today, was far from Ron Paul's staunch libertarianism, and I think you're fooling yourself if you can look at American History and honestly say that the current Republican party is further from its Reagan-platform days ideology-wise than Ron Paul is.

The fact is, there has never been a Republican who has run successively on a platform like Ron Paul's. If you disagree, I urge you to find one. But, for now, it seems like Ron Paul's rhetoric about the golden days of being what he calls a "conservative" in the US is just that.

And, sorry, Paul's victories in his Congressional district don't count as victories for his platform. Barely anyone ever runs against him. Sometimes Democrats don't even run for it. Other times, no-one other than him runs for it at all.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on October 19, 2011, 11:16:48 AM
I meant further back than Reagan.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 19, 2011, 12:31:58 PM
Ron Paul is, in a word:  "Unelectable" when it comes to the presidency.

That's just sad. He would make a great president.
I don't know about that, but fuck at least he has some integrity.

Well, I guess that depends on your definition of "integrity" now doesn't it?

Here's the problem I see with Ron Paul.

Contrast his "Plan To Restore America (https://www.ronpaul2012.com/the-issues/ron-paul-plan-to-restore-america/)" which calls for a trillion dollars in spending cuts.

with....

The fact that he is the Republican who has introduced MORE Pork-Barrel spending (https://www.foxnews.com/on-air/your-world-cavuto/2009/03/11/rep-ron-paul-defends-his-earmarks-spending-bill) than ANY other in the House

Ron Paul is a typical, duplicitous, conniving, lying, two-faced hypocritical politician, just like every other politician in the American political system, and that includes the liberals in my party too.

Don't be fooled.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Ħ on October 19, 2011, 12:35:01 PM
Should we all just vote for Huntsman?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 19, 2011, 12:36:25 PM
Nah. The other candidates might be liars, but I think they at least care for people's benefit in general.

rumborak

Maybe I'm just hopelessly cynical but I don't really think this at all. Maybe a little bit. Like, the minimum amount. I think Ron Paul, however misguided we think his economic/fiscal policy ideas are, thinks he's doing the right thing.

He is, but I think he's putting the cart before the horse. His idea, i.e. the idea of Libertarianism, is that a process can be trusted more with the welfare of beings than the action of the beings themselves. And I think that notion makes him patently unelectable.
A friend of mine the other day said he's essentially the court jester. It's a very good analogy; he's really good at putting the mirror in front of other people. But he himself would be a disastrous president. And that's why he, once his role if fulfilled once he's had a bunch of "money-bomb" donations to fund his next House of Representatives election campaign he as the court jester drops out of the running.

rumborak

 :)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 19, 2011, 12:38:08 PM
Should we all just vote for Huntsman?

To be honest, I think it's a tragedy that he's not getting any respect, but then again, he's way, way, way too reasonable and not nearly anti-intellectual enough for today's RepublicanTea PartyTM
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on October 19, 2011, 01:06:27 PM
Well, I guess that depends on your definition of "integrity" now doesn't it?

Here's the problem I see with Ron Paul.

Contrast his "Plan To Restore America (https://www.ronpaul2012.com/the-issues/ron-paul-plan-to-restore-america/)" which calls for a trillion dollars in spending cuts.

with....

The fact that he is the Republican who has introduced MORE Pork-Barrel spending (https://www.foxnews.com/on-air/your-world-cavuto/2009/03/11/rep-ron-paul-defends-his-earmarks-spending-bill) than ANY other in the House

Ron Paul is a typical, duplicitous, conniving, lying, two-faced hypocritical politician, just like every other politician in the American political system, and that includes the liberals in my party too.

Don't be fooled.

But the in the link you posted he completely explains the reason why. If Congress does not make a specific allocation, the task falls to the executive branch... It's not like the money will not get spent if it is not earmarked.  At least some of the federal tax money his constituents pay will be returned to hopefully benefit them, all the while he is fighting against those taxes, as well as voting against budgets that use those taxes in unconstitutional ways. I don't see any other way to handle this.

 And of course you look at the rest of his record. He doesn't take part of the congressional pension, hasn't voted to raise congressional salary, lobbyists never even bother going to his office because he doesn't give them the time of day, he's never taken a government paid vacation, and he returns a portion of his annual congressional office budget to the U.S. treasury every year.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 19, 2011, 01:38:16 PM
Well, I guess that depends on your definition of "integrity" now doesn't it?

Here's the problem I see with Ron Paul.

Contrast his "Plan To Restore America (https://www.ronpaul2012.com/the-issues/ron-paul-plan-to-restore-america/)" which calls for a trillion dollars in spending cuts.

with....

The fact that he is the Republican who has introduced MORE Pork-Barrel spending (https://www.foxnews.com/on-air/your-world-cavuto/2009/03/11/rep-ron-paul-defends-his-earmarks-spending-bill) than ANY other in the House

Ron Paul is a typical, duplicitous, conniving, lying, two-faced hypocritical politician, just like every other politician in the American political system, and that includes the liberals in my party too.

Don't be fooled.

But the in the link you posted he completely explains the reason why. If Congress does not make a specific allocation, the task falls to the executive branch... It's not like the money will not get spent if it is not earmarked.  At least some of the federal tax money his constituents pay will be returned to hopefully benefit them, all the while he is fighting against those taxes, as well as voting against budgets that use those taxes in unconstitutional ways. I don't see any other way to handle this.

 And of course you look at the rest of his record. He doesn't take part of the congressional pension, hasn't voted to raise congressional salary, lobbyists never even bother going to his office because he doesn't give them the time of day, he's never taken a government paid vacation, and he returns a portion of his annual congressional office budget to the U.S. treasury every year.

Most of that stuff is insignificant fluff.  He doesn't need the congressional pension because he's loaded.  He doesn't need the congressional salary because he's loaded.  I'll give the lobbyist thing, they don't like him, but he takes plenty of donations from PACs (https://www.opensecrets.org/politicians/contrib.php?type=C&cid=N00005906&newMem=N&cycle=2012) which isn't that much different, he just doesn't talk to their representatives.  I don't really care that he returns part of his office budget to the treasury.  More meaningless fluff.  What I care about is would a Ron Paul presidency represent my views.  The fact is, in terms of foreign policy, I actually like quite a bit of what he has to say.  I just don't agree with him on much, especially domestically, and you have to admit he's said some downright cooky things.

And he's freaking 75 years old!  I'm sorry, but that's TOO old.  He'd be almost 80 by the end of his first term.



Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on October 19, 2011, 01:44:23 PM
I was only responding to the following accusation:

Quote
Ron Paul is a typical, duplicitous, conniving, lying, two-faced hypocritical politician

I wasn't trying to convince you to vote for him.

As for his age, I don't really know why that matter so much if he is in good health.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 19, 2011, 01:52:42 PM
I was only responding to the following accusation:

Quote
Ron Paul is a typical, duplicitous, conniving, lying, two-faced hypocritical politician

I wasn't trying to convince you to vote for him.

As for his age, I don't really know why that matter so much if he is in good health.

I don't want ANYONE to vote for him.  I think 75 is too old to be President.  I'd think the same thing if he were a Democrat.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on October 19, 2011, 02:17:05 PM
He's going to choose a smart running mate that hold nearly the same views as himself, so if he'd die or anything - it'd be fine with a younger bright VP taking his spot. The ideas are stronger than the person himself, so I hope his age doesn't hold anyone back.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on October 19, 2011, 02:29:05 PM
He's going to choose a smart running mate that hold nearly the same views as himself, so if he'd die or anything - it'd be fine with a younger bright VP taking his spot. The ideas are stronger than the person himself, so I hope his age doesn't hold anyone back.

I seriously doubt he'll make it far enough to choose a running mate.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on October 19, 2011, 06:53:35 PM
I meant further back than Reagan.

Like who?

Ford? No. Nixon? Definitely not. Eisenhower? FAR from a libertarian. Hoover? Yeah, he believed in poor people pulling themselves up by their bootstraps, but what about prohibition?

How far back do we have to go before we realize that Paul's on the fringe, and would be no matter which Republican primary he was taking part in? This thing where he pretends to be the sole guardian and heir of tru republican principles is a lie, typical of the kinds of lies politicians tell all the time.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on October 20, 2011, 10:02:53 AM
Why are you comparing to only presidential candidates, and specifically the ones who won? Barry Goldwater comes to mind.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on October 20, 2011, 10:26:11 AM
I'm not sure what you don't get. RP supporters have no problem admitting and pointing out that he's the black sheep of the Republican Party, but is it really that tough to figure out why? He doesn't run on the GoP's platform, and then he claims that he runs on what the "true" platform of the GoP is, even though he can't factually point to a time when the majority of the GoP shared in his ideology and backed it up with their actions.

People (like most of my family) who've been voting GoP most of their lives see him as a pretender. And, to be brutally honest, that's what he is. In fact, most RP supporters I've met have been people who are anything but actual Republicans. This includes people I know who are left of most democrats, libertarians(not REPUBLICANS for a reason!), and teenagers getting out of their Michael Moore phase. But very few people who actually are card-carrying GoP members.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on October 20, 2011, 11:04:59 AM
It's true he is trying to change the republican party. The system is set up against a third party. I don't see any problem with RP running the the one of the two he closer identifies with.

I actually used to listen to and agree with the likes of Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, Bill O. back in the early 2000's.  In fact I watched the first bombing of Iraq practically with popcorn.  That was in 2003, but within a year I was questioning Bush, the republicans by the next year and by 2007 I was a full on non-interventionist strict constitutionalist. That is the story with a lot of Paul supporters. But you are right, there are some liberals who are on board as well because of the foreign policy and anti-corporatism site of RP's platform combined with his record.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on October 20, 2011, 11:52:27 AM
Some of us just like the fact that he's not on the take and he doesn't give a shit about party loyalty.  That makes him truly unique in a system full of crooked assholes. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on October 20, 2011, 02:35:45 PM
I'm not sure what you don't get. RP supporters have no problem admitting and pointing out that he's the black sheep of the Republican Party, but is it really that tough to figure out why? He doesn't run on the GoP's platform, and then he claims that he runs on what the "true" platform of the GoP is, even though he can't factually point to a time when the majority of the GoP shared in his ideology and backed it up with their actions.

People (like most of my family) who've been voting GoP most of their lives see him as a pretender. And, to be brutally honest, that's what he is. In fact, most RP supporters I've met have been people who are anything but actual Republicans. This includes people I know who are left of most democrats, libertarians(not REPUBLICANS for a reason!), and teenagers getting out of their Michael Moore phase. But very few people who actually are card-carrying GoP members.
Ron Paul is much closer to the Old Right, like Robert Taft, than most of the candidates out there.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on October 20, 2011, 06:42:47 PM
Some of us just like the fact that he's not on the take and he doesn't give a shit about party loyalty.  That makes him truly unique in a system full of crooked assholes.

All fine and dandy. But that's not what we're talking about. Or, at least not what I thought we were talking about. Which is why Republicans don't like Ron Paul and see him as an intruder.

For what it's worth, though, I don't see him as the White Knight you seem to make him out to be. Filling up bills with a shitload of pork so you have further grounds to vote them down later is pretty scummy. And he's never owned up to his bigoted newsletter.

Quote
Ron Paul is much closer to the Old Right, like Robert Taft, than most of the candidates out there.

How?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on October 21, 2011, 11:03:41 AM
Filling up bills with a shitload of pork so you have further grounds to vote them down later is pretty scummy.

No it isn't and I've already discussed why with no response from any one.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on October 28, 2011, 01:21:03 AM
BTW, the thing that blows my mind about American politics is that less than 3/4 of the presidential term is over, and the politicians are already on the campaign trail again. I think that's one reason why it's so slow-moving, because there's only a small time window during which the president actually solely focuses on his job.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on October 28, 2011, 05:46:45 AM
Actually where the study of the presidency is involved, it's said the president is never solely focused on the job. It's called the perpetual campaign; even the legislation he proposes/passes into law somehow go back to his effort towards re-election.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on October 28, 2011, 06:22:20 AM
Well, that part is obviously alright. It's the "driving around the country for rallies" that serves no purpose other than election.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on October 28, 2011, 12:54:06 PM
Actually where the study of the presidency is involved, it's said the president is never solely focused on the job. It's called the perpetual campaign; even the legislation he proposes/passes into law somehow go back to his effort towards re-election.

There's a difference between campaigning, and getting elected on how you ran a country.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on October 28, 2011, 07:16:56 PM
Well sure, but that's where it's all aimed at; it's why political scientists call it the perpetual campaign.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on October 28, 2011, 07:19:38 PM
This perpetual campaigning has made me wonder:

What effect would a (hypothetical) amendment banning any sort of multiple terms in the Fed have on the political ecosystem?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on October 28, 2011, 09:35:59 PM
The only thing needing to be banned is the obsession with the Fed. It's getting to the level of a witch hunt.
If you want to legislate something, legislate something like the EU passed a few days ago: increasing the mandatory bank cash reserve to 9%. One of the major causes of the financial collapse was that banks couldn't deal with the shock to the system that the collapse of the housing market brought.

rumbrak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on October 28, 2011, 09:40:41 PM
Well sure, but that's where it's all aimed at; it's why political scientists call it the perpetual campaign.

I'm saying this logic is cynical, not that it's wrong. It means you can't distinguish between someone who actually has the country at heart, and is ruling how he thinks is good, and getting elected because he does a good job, and someone who's policies are purely aimed at re-election. It's like the argument for human selfishness, you can spin any story to show how someone is being selfish even in an act of altruism.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on October 28, 2011, 11:21:17 PM
I don't think it's supposed to reflect any sort of cynicism (I'm not, at least), although I can see why coming to that conclusion about the presidency might lead to it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on October 30, 2011, 01:46:00 PM
news.yahoo.com/studies-challenge-wisdom-gop-candidates-plans-124434243.html

Quote
Consider proposed cuts in taxes and regulation, which nearly every GOP candidate is pushing in the name of creating jobs. The initiatives seem to ignore surveys in which employers cite far bigger impediments to increased hiring, chiefly slack consumer demand.
...
The Bureau of Labor Statistics, which tracks companies' reasons for large layoffs, found that 1,119 layoffs were attributed to government regulations in the first half of this year, while 144,746 were attributed to poor "business demand."
...
Small businesses rate "poor sales" as their biggest problem, with government regulations ranking second, according to a survey by the National Federation of Independent Businesses. Of the small businesses saying this is not a good time to expand, half cited the poor economy as the chief reason. Thirteen percent named the "political climate."
....
The candidates have said little about another national problem: depressed home prices, as well as the high numbers of foreclosures and borrowers who owe more than their houses are worth.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on October 30, 2011, 02:29:41 PM
In other news:

(https://fbcdn-sphotos-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-snc7/316248_285129958176378_113544412001601_940736_1873646651_n.jpg)

:lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: 73109 on October 30, 2011, 02:30:52 PM
:rollin
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on October 30, 2011, 02:32:54 PM
An account would be quite the juicy bit.   :lol

What I'd really like to see is a full set of pics. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ClairvoyantCat on October 30, 2011, 02:36:47 PM
A million dollars? 

Hot damn, all I need are some semen samples. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on October 30, 2011, 03:03:55 PM
I believe that's been a standing offer for any Republicans for years.  Nothing new here except that he's singling out a specific Republican (and not increasing the bounty).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on November 09, 2011, 10:14:19 PM
This pretty much sums up Rick Perry's debate performance tonight:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zUA2rDVrmNg
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on November 09, 2011, 10:15:44 PM
Yeah, he's not getting that nomination.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: livehard on November 09, 2011, 10:18:11 PM
The only thing needing to be banned is the obsession with the Fed. It's getting to the level of a witch hunt.
If you want to legislate something, legislate something like the EU passed a few days ago: increasing the mandatory bank cash reserve to 9%. One of the major causes of the financial collapse was that banks couldn't deal with the shock to the system that the collapse of the housing market brought.

rumbrak

The problem with that is that when you raise reserves, you basically can't do as much banking.  You're going to hear in a couple weeks about BNP and SocGen doing massive layoffs.  Its basically because of the cost of debt is raising, and their reservce requirement through the BASIL acts are locking up their cash.  To try to get around this banks will basically take things off balance sheet, but it still isnt enough to negate the cost of regulation.

Edit: What I think is that auditors aren't doing their jobs.  If you are going to have regulartory accounting, there needs to be more description in the financials concerning the securities & derivatives that the banks holds.  There are some stress tests but they dont go far enough and should be more explictly descirbed in the finacial statements.  Sooner or later though the shareholders need to really understand what the hell is going on in their company.  There's no excuses why shareholders should be shocked that they have billions of exposure on anything.  Shareholders need to take accountability too, they need to know what they are investing in.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: livehard on November 09, 2011, 10:24:08 PM
To me I think its clear that Gengrich is the most well spoken, coherent of all the candidates.  Along with Ron Paul, I think he's the only that seems to have some sort of moral philosophy from which he derives his political beliefs.  While I think that any of them would be better than Obama, I think that Gengrich & Paul are the only ones that will bring me to the polls election time.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on November 10, 2011, 12:03:21 AM
To me I think its clear that Gengrich is the most well spoken, coherent of all the candidates.  Along with Ron Paul, I think he's the only that seems to have some sort of moral philosophy from which he derives his political beliefs.  While I think that any of them would be better than Obama, I think that Gengrich & Paul are the only ones that will bring me to the polls election time.
Did we watch the same debate? Or the same Gingrich in that debate?

The best performance in tonight's debate was easily John Huntsman. He doesn't have a chance at the nomination though because he isn't willing to say crazy things to pander.

With Perry, that was just... wow. Watching it live, you could actually feel his campaign dying.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on November 10, 2011, 12:27:15 AM
So what do people make of last nights election results? Wasn't very good for Republican policies, at least a lot of the mainstream stuff you hear by Republican candidates who stand a chance in the primaries. They've all had to pander and say some crazy things thus far, Romney basically backtracks on everything, and the reasonable one's seem to never get attention. I think the two party system is basically going to ensure Obama's reelection.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on November 10, 2011, 12:35:10 AM
I think Romney's going to get the nom because he hasn't become a nutty flavor of the month like Bachman/Perry/Cain, and he isn't hopelessly obscure to the average Joe like Huntsman or Paul (not like Paul'd get it if he was more well-known; it seems like some view him as a threat or something).

Honestly I fail to see what would be drastically different about a GOP gov 13-17 vs a Dem gov.   Seems either way, the GOP gets its way.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on November 10, 2011, 12:36:53 AM
This pretty much sums up Rick Perry's debate performance tonight:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zUA2rDVrmNg

 :lol

I remember hearing he had back surgery, or some sort. I'm really thinking the mans high on painkillers...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 10, 2011, 08:06:31 AM
Perry is finished as a candidate. 

I really think Romney is going to end up with the nomination. 

I also think Obama is going to be re-elected

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on November 10, 2011, 08:47:17 AM
LOLPERRY!

I sincerely also hope Gingrich does not get the nomination.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: livehard on November 10, 2011, 09:08:27 AM
I didn't find huntsman impressive at all... He didnt make much sense at all when he talked about the Fed.  Gingirch does two things I like - he asnwers the questions coherently, and then yells at the moderators when they try to cut him off  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on November 10, 2011, 10:48:32 AM
Gingrich just wants to be a smartass and try to evade questions. Truth to this is also that NO ONE answers the questions properly, especially not Cain. He always tries to tie everything to 666.

Huntsman is a very reasonable candidate too, it's sad that most of the electorate won't even consider him because he's not a tr00 conservative.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on November 10, 2011, 10:52:52 AM
I didn't find huntsman impressive at all... He didnt make much sense at all when he talked about the Fed.  Gingirch does two things I like - he asnwers the questions coherently, and then yells at the moderators when they try to cut him off  :lol
Just so you know, answers aren't incoherent just because you disagree with them. Huntsman by far gave the most coherent and intelligent answers of the night.

Gingrich is that kid in the class who thinks he's way smarter than he actually is, and feigns arrogance to cover it up.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 10, 2011, 11:27:32 AM
I'd be thrilled if Gingrich got the nomination.  That would pretty much guarantee an Obama victory.  Gingrich doesn't poll very strongly in any of the battleground states.  The BEST chance of beating Obama is Romney, and even Romney is a crap shoot because of his Mormonism which will prevent a wide swath of the Christian right from voting for him.  When Perry first got in, I really thought he was going to be a formidable candidate, I had no idea he was about as sharp as a bowling ball.  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on November 10, 2011, 11:36:58 AM
Lol. The best Perry had to say was "oops".

I was cracking up there. It must've been SO embarrassing for Perry.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: livehard on November 10, 2011, 12:40:02 PM
Just so you know, answers aren't incoherent just because you disagree with them. Huntsman by far gave the most coherent and intelligent answers of the night.

Ah is that how it works? That must be right, because as you know Im incapable of saying I disagree with things... Thats something as you know Ive struggled with...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: livehard on November 10, 2011, 12:44:32 PM
I'd be thrilled if Gingrich got the nomination.  That would pretty much guarantee an Obama victory.  Gingrich doesn't poll very strongly in any of the battleground states.  The BEST chance of beating Obama is Romney, and even Romney is a crap shoot because of his Mormonism which will prevent a wide swath of the Christian right from voting for him.  When Perry first got in, I really thought he was going to be a formidable candidate, I had no idea he was about as sharp as a bowling ball.  :lol

Perry doens't seem to sharp on the draw.  But i dont think that Gingrich vs. obama would be an easy victory, if they were to set up some debates that were actually debates (not those telivised mini speeches they have now) Gingrich would sway a good amount of the American people.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 10, 2011, 12:55:08 PM
I'd be thrilled if Gingrich got the nomination.  That would pretty much guarantee an Obama victory.  Gingrich doesn't poll very strongly in any of the battleground states.  The BEST chance of beating Obama is Romney, and even Romney is a crap shoot because of his Mormonism which will prevent a wide swath of the Christian right from voting for him.  When Perry first got in, I really thought he was going to be a formidable candidate, I had no idea he was about as sharp as a bowling ball.  :lol

Perry doens't seem to sharp on the draw.  But i dont think that Gingrich vs. obama would be an easy victory, if they were to set up some debates that were actually debates (not those telivised mini speeches they have now) Gingrich would sway a good amount of the American people.

Gingrich has too many moral skeletons in his closet to win the nomination anyway.  I mean, this is a guy who was going after Bill Clinton for getting his knob polished while he was cheating on his wife.  You know, his second wife, the one who had just been diagnosed with Multiple Sclerosis.  Now he's on to wife #3.  Not exactly the "family values" narrative that carries conservative votes.

He's a bright guy, I'll give you that.   But he's lacking in the charisma area, and since when has intellect carried conservative votes? 

I really though Perry was going to be formidable.  He's not very bright.  Folksy.  Likes guns.  Comes from Texas.....all he had to do was not say....."oops!"  :lol

Romney STILL polls the best against Obama in a head up race and he has a very good command of the facts, he's just got more positions than Kama Sutra
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on November 10, 2011, 01:04:27 PM
I'd be thrilled if Gingrich got the nomination.  That would pretty much guarantee an Obama victory.  Gingrich doesn't poll very strongly in any of the battleground states.  The BEST chance of beating Obama is Romney, and even Romney is a crap shoot because of his Mormonism which will prevent a wide swath of the Christian right from voting for him.  When Perry first got in, I really thought he was going to be a formidable candidate, I had no idea he was about as sharp as a bowling ball.  :lol

Perry doens't seem to sharp on the draw.  But i dont think that Gingrich vs. obama would be an easy victory, if they were to set up some debates that were actually debates (not those telivised mini speeches they have now) Gingrich would sway a good amount of the American people.

Gingrich has too many moral skeletons in his closet to win the nomination anyway.  I mean, this is a guy who was going after Bill Clinton for getting his knob polished while he was cheating on his wife.  You know, his second wife, the one who had just been diagnosed with Multiple Sclerosis.  Now he's on to wife #3.  Not exactly the "family values" narrative that carries conservative votes.

He's a bright guy, I'll give you that.   But he's lacking in the charisma area, and since when has intellect carried conservative votes? 

I really though Perry was going to be formidable.  He's not very bright.  Folksy.  Likes guns.  Comes from Texas.....all he had to do was not say....."oops!"  :lol

Romney STILL polls the best against Obama in a head up race and he has a very good command of the facts, he's just got more positions than Karma Sutra

I'm going to have to use this in a political conversation some time. :D
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 10, 2011, 01:12:56 PM
If you do make sure you spell it right, I just noticed that I spelled it wrong  ::)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on November 10, 2011, 03:54:58 PM
None of the likely candidates for Republican could really beat Obama. Obama's gonna demolish all of them on their rhetoric, and the American people are mostly behind the kind of "class warfare" things that Republicans are opposed to. Americans don't consider Corporations people, they think the Rich should pay more in taxes, they want our wars done away with (Obama got shit from Republicans for the Iraq war coming to some sort of end... according to Bush's timeline), and I think Obama's gonna ride the fact that Republicans have been obstructionists his entire term to re-election. He's going to point to all the things he's doing that he has the legal authority to do (foreign policy, student loans, foreclosure statuses, etc) and say your beef isn't with me, it's with the Republicans in Congress. Romney's flipflopped on too many things, Cain would be destroyed by Obama in any debate, Gingrich said you can't quote him or you're lying, Paul won't get the nomination, Huntsman won't get the nomination, and who's left?

I think the American people will actually hear this argument. If we had a better system in place, I don't know if Obama would get reelected, but he's going to be the lesser of two evils.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 10, 2011, 04:01:06 PM
Hey, I'm a liberal registered Democrat, but let me tell you something:  Obama is not going to "crush" anyone.  He's got a very difficult re-election campaign ahead of him.  I think he has a decent chance of winning, and I want him to win because I don't want any more right-wingers appointed to the SCOTUS, but the facts are pretty clear.....this election is going to be a close call.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on November 10, 2011, 04:07:48 PM
Register republican before it's too late and vote for Paul in your primary/caucus.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on November 10, 2011, 04:10:57 PM
I agree that Paul's a solid choice.

However, it seems he's doomed to merely be a spreader of ideas, as the Republican Party seems to view him as a dissident of sorts. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on November 10, 2011, 04:16:39 PM
The two party system is designed to destroy all potential uprisings. Paul has to adopt to the system to spread his views, it's quite sad.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on November 10, 2011, 04:26:51 PM
Hey, I'm a liberal registered Democrat, but let me tell you something:  Obama is not going to "crush" anyone.  He's got a very difficult re-election campaign ahead of him.  I think he has a decent chance of winning, and I want him to win because I don't want any more right-wingers appointed to the SCOTUS, but the facts are pretty clear.....this election is going to be a close call.

All the Republicans running have basically supported ballot measures that got crushed by 2/3's of the population. Romney supported Ohio's collective bargaining, which got crushed. Supported Mississippi's person hood amendment, which got crushed.

The worst thing going for Obama is the economy, and I honestly think the American people are going to listen to him when he blames it all on the Republicans in Congress.

Oh, and by crushed, I mean like 55% of the vote. It's not going to be a slim margin, I don't think. Obama's a good debater.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on November 10, 2011, 08:20:21 PM
Yeah,  I'm starting to see this as a bigger Obama victory than I had previously thought.  Romney's the guy who could do well against him,  but with the Republicans trying their damnedest to avoid nominating him,  he's going to go into the general election pretty lame.  If it had just become a Romney vs. Perry fight,  it'd have been ugly,  but people would be rallying behind him right now.  Instead,  he'll get the anti-Obama vote,  which will be strong,  but very little support of his own. 

Hey, I'm a liberal registered Democrat, but let me tell you something:  Obama is not going to "crush" anyone.  He's got a very difficult re-election campaign ahead of him.  I think he has a decent chance of winning, and I want him to win because I don't want any more right-wingers appointed to the SCOTUS, but the facts are pretty clear.....this election is going to be a close call.

The only two justices who might come up for replacement are Ginsburg and Kennedy.  I think Kennedy's got quite a lot of judging left in him,  and Ginsburg will probably retire after this term.  Looking back,  supreme court justices like to retire when their side is in office.  Souter retired when their was a Republican to replace him*.  Same thing with O'connor.  She was quite clear that she wanted to retire under a Republican president (which might actually have been a factor in Bush v. Gore).  If it looks like Obama might not get reelected,  you'll see Ginsburg hang it up.  If he's a shoe in,  as I suspect he will be,  she might tough it out a bit longer,  but health's going to force her out pretty soon.  Either way,  she won't be around for another term if it means retiring under a GOP president.

*Despite their hatred of him,  Souter remained a die-hard republican.  He was just an old-school type,  rather than the right-wing whack job that the GOP seems to crave, nowadays. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on November 13, 2011, 08:11:11 AM
lolbachmann on why China is better than the US "welfare state":

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/11/12/michele-bachmann-us-china-socialist_n_1090688.html
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on November 13, 2011, 08:38:27 AM
I posted this in the "is Christianity bad for the US" thread, but it is hilarious seeing these debaters criticizing Obama's foreign policy from the right. They come off as psychopaths.

Also, I'm glad Ron Paul pointed out the glaring hypocrisy that is "not trusting the government," yet fully supporting due process free assassinations of Americans, just 'cos some secret panel at the White House said he was guilty.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on November 13, 2011, 08:44:57 AM
I posted this in the "is Christianity bad for the US" thread, but it is hilarious seeing these debaters criticizing Obama's foreign policy from the right. They come off as psychopaths.

Also, I'm glad Ron Paul pointed out the glaring hypocrisy that is "not trusting the government," yet fully supporting due process free assassinations of Americans, just 'cos some secret panel at the White House said he was guilty.

I think I get the context of that one (the guy killed in Yemen), but who is he describing in the not trusting the gov't part?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on November 13, 2011, 08:52:54 AM
I mean...all of them. They're all anti big government unless it involves war or corporate welfare. 

edit: except Huntsman.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on November 13, 2011, 09:35:05 AM
Oh, I thought he was referring to the constituency, my bad.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on November 13, 2011, 10:11:09 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Vm7yNWYyRw

OMG, Rick Perry is an idiot frothing at the mouth.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on November 13, 2011, 12:52:12 PM
 
Also, I'm glad Ron Paul pointed out the glaring hypocrisy that is "not trusting the government," yet fully supporting due process free assassinations of Americans, just 'cos some secret panel at the White House said he was guilty.

I remember when Obama was running for President, and someone for his campaign was at our school; there was a pic in the school newspaper of a conservative asking a question of why government should be trusted, etc... he was wearing an "ARMY" t-shirt.  :facepalm:

Jon Stewart got Bill Krystal at one point to admit that the US government gives it's soldiers the best health care system in the world, through the VA, at a time when Krystal was attacking any idea of having the government involved with health care becuase it would give worse results.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on November 13, 2011, 03:05:23 PM
Ron Paul had like four minutes of speaking time. I'm calling BS on that entire debate. It was all Romney acting like the boss, Hermain Cain making an idiot out of himself on being "clear" about the Pakis, Perry fumbling with his words as usual.

Everyone was war-mongering, and they didn't even let Paul speak out against it that much. Huntsman is also the guy on the stage with real experience in the field, though he can't talk sense into the ignorants in the crowds.

It's sad.

I mean...all of them. They're all anti big government unless it involves war or corporate welfare. 

edit: except Huntsman.
Excuse me? Ron Paul is pro-war and pro-corporatism?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on November 13, 2011, 03:32:13 PM
Ron Paul had like four minutes of speaking time. I'm calling BS on that entire debate. It was all Romney acting like the boss, Hermain Cain making an idiot out of himself on being "clear" about the Pakis, Perry fumbling with his words as usual.

Everyone was war-mongering, and they didn't even let Paul speak out against it that much. Huntsman is also the guy on the stage with real experience in the field, though he can't talk sense into the ignorants in the crowds.

It's sad.

I mean...all of them. They're all anti big government unless it involves war or corporate welfare. 

edit: except Huntsman.
Excuse me? Ron Paul is pro-war and pro-corporatism?

No, see my post before that one.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on November 13, 2011, 04:06:02 PM
No, see my post before that one.
Should've read up.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on November 13, 2011, 04:14:31 PM
Ron Paul had like four minutes of speaking time. I'm calling BS on that entire debate. It was all Romney acting like the boss, Hermain Cain making an idiot out of himself on being "clear" about the Pakis, Perry fumbling with his words as usual.

It was actually like 90 seconds.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on November 15, 2011, 08:23:42 AM
Even worse actually. And Jon Huntsman should've been asked all questions FIRST about China.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on November 15, 2011, 09:15:58 AM
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-15/romney-two-way-race-is-now-four-way-republican-dead-heat-in-iowa-caucuses.html

A Bloomberg News poll shows Cain at 20 percent, Paul at 19 percent, Romney at 18 percent and Gingrich at 17 percent among the likely attendees with the caucuses that start the nominating contests seven weeks away.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on November 15, 2011, 02:06:42 PM
I wonder how the mainstream media is going ignore Paul here too. It's like the Iowa straw Poll, when he came in like third, and every single organization just passed over his standing, and never talked about him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on November 15, 2011, 03:48:24 PM
He was second. Within 1% of Bachmann, who allegedly bought 2000 votes. In the Iowa poll that is. Paul is being ignored here, no doubt.

What I cannot believe is that no one challenged Obama in the primaries. I mean, at least Kucinich could've rallied the base a little and made Obama follow up on some of those promises to protect civil liberties. Real progressives out there have to just go for Obama because he's supposed to be the "lesser evil".

Politics in the US... sad business.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on November 15, 2011, 04:36:32 PM
He is the lesser evil. I'd rather stay in one place (which I don't think we have) than take one step back, and then another, followed by another, rinse and repeat.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on November 15, 2011, 05:11:12 PM
What I cannot believe is that no one challenged Obama in the primaries. I mean, at least Kucinich could've rallied the base a little and made Obama follow up on some of those promises to protect civil liberties. Real progressives out there have to just go for Obama because he's supposed to be the "lesser evil".

Ya, two party politics sucks. I'm glad no one did though, becuase it would only have weakened Obama, and made it more possible for a Republican to win the office.

There is no real left/progressive party in this country anymore. Obama really is more of a conservative, he's not pushing for any new radical American values, despite what the right tries to say about the matter. We've had socialized medicine for a long time now, social security is hardly new, nor are big infrastructure and stimulus projects.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on November 15, 2011, 06:13:06 PM
I think I posted a while back about incumbents who faced competition in the primaries,  and it's almost always a gift to the opposition party.  Obama's weak enough as it is.  Any opposition would almost guarantee a Republican president in '12,  and their only real candidates are total whackjobs.  I can't stand Obama's silly ass,  but the thought of Presidents Perry or Cain is just mind-numbing. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: King Postwhore on November 15, 2011, 06:18:50 PM
I think I posted a while back about incumbents who faced competition in the primaries,  and it's almost always a gift to the opposition party.  Obama's weak enough as it is.  Any opposition would almost guarantee a Republican president in '12,  and their only real candidates are total whackjobs.  I can't stand Obama's silly ass,  but the thought of Presidents Perry or Cain is just mind-numbing.

In the long run both would not make it.  Have you ever seen these kinds of politicians get further along in any primaries except Ross Perot? 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on November 15, 2011, 06:30:51 PM
But who does that leave? Romney? Gingrich? Romney flip flips so much, I don't trust any position he actually holds to be his true one, and imagine he has some secret agenda's in mind. Gingrich is just as bad; remember, you can't quote what he said, or you're lying.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on November 15, 2011, 07:23:08 PM
Romney's for sure gonna win primaries though, considering he isn't totally out there like a lot of them.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on November 15, 2011, 08:04:46 PM
What I cannot believe is that no one challenged Obama in the primaries. I mean, at least Kucinich could've rallied the base a little and made Obama follow up on some of those promises to protect civil liberties. Real progressives out there have to just go for Obama because he's supposed to be the "lesser evil".

Politics in the US... sad business.

I agree. He does not deserve to get off so easily.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 16, 2011, 12:11:52 PM
He was second. Within 1% of Bachmann, who allegedly bought 2000 votes. In the Iowa poll that is. Paul is being ignored here, no doubt.

What I cannot believe is that no one challenged Obama in the primaries. I mean, at least Kucinich could've rallied the base a little and made Obama follow up on some of those promises to protect civil liberties. Real progressives out there have to just go for Obama because he's supposed to be the "lesser evil".

Politics in the US... sad business.

Challenging an incumbent is a recipe for disaster.  See: Jimmy Carter

No good would come of it for the Democrats, and you might as well hand the white house to the Republicans. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on November 16, 2011, 12:40:53 PM
He was second. Within 1% of Bachmann, who allegedly bought 2000 votes. In the Iowa poll that is. Paul is being ignored here, no doubt.

What I cannot believe is that no one challenged Obama in the primaries. I mean, at least Kucinich could've rallied the base a little and made Obama follow up on some of those promises to protect civil liberties. Real progressives out there have to just go for Obama because he's supposed to be the "lesser evil".

Politics in the US... sad business.

Challenging an incumbent is a recipe for disaster.  See: Jimmy Carter

No good would come of it for the Democrats, and you might as well hand the white house to the Republicans. 
I'm not talking about challenging him for the sake of actually trying to win, but get him closer to his base. It'd make people not to casually accept Obama just because he's a dem.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 16, 2011, 01:19:22 PM
Irrelevant, I'm afraid.  A primary challenge is damaging to an incumbent.  Doesn't matter WHY you do it, it matters THAT you do it.  And when it is done, it weakens the incumbent.  Again, I refer you to Jimmy Carter. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on November 16, 2011, 09:31:03 PM
What "base" does Obama need to get closer to? Appeasing to the hardcore lefties is a lost cause, and is exactly what the GOP is struggling with right now on their side with the hardcore right-wingers.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on November 16, 2011, 10:06:12 PM
What "base" does Obama need to get closer to? Appeasing to the hardcore lefties is a lost cause, and is exactly what the GOP is struggling with right now on their side with the hardcore right-wingers.

rumborak

They are? I haven't really been paying attention to the GOP stuff, what's been happening?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on November 16, 2011, 10:08:09 PM
It's why Romney is having such a hard time.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on November 16, 2011, 10:15:11 PM
How the hell is Gingrich gaining so much ground? I thought people had already realized that he was a terrible choice.

It's mind numbing that Huntsman can't seem to get more support. I guess that's what happens when you don't say batshit crazy things just to pander and get attention.

As has been pretty clear for a while now, Romney is going to get the nomination. Out of the current field, he is one of the better choices, and while I don't really like him, I can at least say that the idea of a Romney presidency isn't actively terrifying.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on November 16, 2011, 10:53:42 PM
What "base" does Obama need to get closer to? Appeasing to the hardcore lefties is a lost cause, and is exactly what the GOP is struggling with right now on their side with the hardcore right-wingers.

rumborak

They are? I haven't really been paying attention to the GOP stuff, what's been happening?

Romney supported the Union killing bill in Ohio, and the Personhood Amendment in Mississippi. Both failed horribly.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on November 17, 2011, 01:42:14 AM
What "base" does Obama need to get closer to? Appeasing to the hardcore lefties is a lost cause, and is exactly what the GOP is struggling with right now on their side with the hardcore right-wingers.

rumborak

They are? I haven't really been paying attention to the GOP stuff, what's been happening?

In general I mean. Over the years the GOP has schmoozed so much with their hardcore right-wingers (and the Tea Partiers), that now any sign of being moderate is viewed as weak and back-paddling. They essentially wrote the anti-Climate Change and anti-Evolution on their banner, and now they have to put up with the loony presidential candidates who will push for that stuff.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 17, 2011, 08:00:27 AM
How the hell is Gingrich gaining so much ground?

He's the chosen "Not Romney Flavor of the Week" right now.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on November 17, 2011, 11:10:18 AM
Will Ron Paul get to be a flavour of the week?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: pogoowner on November 17, 2011, 12:11:54 PM
Will Ron Paul get to be a flavour of the week?
Never.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 17, 2011, 12:35:58 PM
Will Ron Paul get to be a flavour of the week?

Ron Paul is actually polling pretty good in Iowa, New Hampshire and California of all places, but, no, he's probably not going to make it too far past the South Carolina primary.  He's way too sane.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on November 17, 2011, 02:00:55 PM
He's starting to advance in the polls. But no, he won't be a "flavor of the week". He will not lose his supporters that easily.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on November 18, 2011, 07:01:20 PM
Will Ron Paul get to be a flavour of the week?

Ron Paul is actually polling pretty good in Iowa, New Hampshire and California of all places, but, no, he's probably not going to make it too far past the South Carolina primary.  He's way too sane.

Apparently the mans not ruling out a third party bid, which I actually think would be interesting. Some talk about him gaining traction in the Republican party as well, which is interesting. Just the presence of Paul at the debates, in the national spotlight, would probably have an effect on how this country moves forward. There's some area's where I massively disagree with him, but he's actually hinted at some reasonable compromises that I think most liberals can get behind.

Obama still present's somewhat of an enigma. He hasn't done very well in the past, but recently he really has gotten better at the job; and I think his message against congress is dead on. He still strikes me as an incredibly intelligent person, and is one reason I think Paul could affect the election whether he wins or not. It would be very interesting to see the two of them debate. I'd find myself in an interesting dilemma, I know that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on November 18, 2011, 07:18:13 PM
I think people grossly underestimate Obama's policy successes. The only reason his policy failures get more attention is because they're failures.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on November 18, 2011, 10:13:04 PM
From what I understand most straw polls are online polls. Which is probably why the GOP believes the results of those as much as we believed that Nickelback's drummer is the best rock drummer.
I don't even need to look online to know that RP's forum will have "let's vote for RP in this poll" threads, with the more internet-savvy guys using their knowledge to give their voice a bit more Oomph than normal.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on November 19, 2011, 04:20:24 AM
I think most straw polls require that you attend the event and pay a fee to be able to vote.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on November 28, 2011, 05:41:17 PM
https://www.politico.com/2012-election/

lol@Herman Cain

I think most straw polls require that you attend the event and pay a fee to be able to vote.


Yes, this. The fact RP has done well in a couple straw-polls is very promising for him, imo.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on November 29, 2011, 01:05:20 PM
https://www.politico.com/2012-election/

lol@Herman Cain

I think most straw polls require that you attend the event and pay a fee to be able to vote.


Yes, this. The fact RP has done well in a couple straw-polls is very promising for him, imo.
He does extremely well. He has won pretty much half or more than half of every major straw poll held since the campaigning began.


And lolCain.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 29, 2011, 01:17:43 PM
I'm pretty sure Cain is done. 

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on November 30, 2011, 06:05:45 AM
Quote
“Those who are going to be over 21 on November 12th, I ask for your support,” Perry said, eliciting a few chuckles from the crowd.” Those who won’t be, just work hard. Because you’re... counting on us.”


Oh Rick Perry.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 30, 2011, 06:30:33 AM
Quote
“Those who are going to be over 21 on November 12th, I ask for your support,” Perry said, eliciting a few chuckles from the crowd.” Those who won’t be, just work hard. Because you’re... counting on us.”


Oh Rick Perry.

I've been compiling most of his major gaffes here:  https://www.governorgoodhair.org

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on November 30, 2011, 08:49:12 AM
From what I understand most straw polls are online polls. Which is probably why the GOP believes the results of those as much as we believed that Nickelback's drummer is the best rock drummer.
I don't even need to look online to know that RP's forum will have "let's vote for RP in this poll" threads, with the more internet-savvy guys using their knowledge to give their voice a bit more Oomph than normal.

rumborak
Straw Polls are not the same as "log on now to Fox News or CNN and vote for your favourite candidate".
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on November 30, 2011, 09:30:51 AM
Quote
“Those who are going to be over 21 on November 12th, I ask for your support,” Perry said, eliciting a few chuckles from the crowd.” Those who won’t be, just work hard. Because you’re... counting on us.”


Oh Rick Perry.

I've been compiling most of his major gaffes here:  https://www.governorgoodhair.org

He actually said "November the 12th". I don't know why, but I freaking hate when people say dates like that. Who does he think he is, George Bush the second?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 30, 2011, 10:11:20 AM
If that's true (that he said "November the 12th") then several news agencies have misquoted him.  Not that it matters much, he's a fucking idiot either way.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 30, 2011, 10:13:13 AM
OK, yeah, you're right, the quotes all have it wrong.  I just found several videos where it's documented and he did say "November the 12th"
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 30, 2011, 10:30:29 AM
Pretty funny that he stepped in it again while defending his latest stupidity
https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/11/30/while-defending-himself-perry-steps-in-it-again/


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on November 30, 2011, 11:14:08 AM
How easy are they trying to make things for Obama? yeesh
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on November 30, 2011, 11:26:13 AM
I actually know very little about who is in the running for the Democrats. So much focus in on the Republican party and how much of a joke the candidates are, people don't seem to be giving the democrats any attention.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on November 30, 2011, 11:27:39 AM
Hint: it's a certain black President from Chicago who's up for reelection.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on November 30, 2011, 11:30:04 AM
Hint: it's a certain black President from Chicago who's up for reelection.

I get that, but a lot of people are not satisfied with the job he has done. I figured there would be a bunch of people interested in alternate options on the democratic side.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on November 30, 2011, 11:38:04 AM
Hint: it's a certain black President from Chicago who's up for reelection.

I get that, but a lot of people are not satisfied with the job he has done. I figured there would be a bunch of people interested in alternate options on the democratic side.
It's a pretty bad idea to run against an incumbent president from your party. Never really turns out well for anyone. There are probably Democrats out there who don't like Obama, but they probably like him a whole lot more than any of the Republicans.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 30, 2011, 11:44:00 AM
Hint: it's a certain black President from Chicago who's up for reelection.

I get that, but a lot of people are not satisfied with the job he has done. I figured there would be a bunch of people interested in alternate options on the democratic side.

There is not going to be another candidate on the Democratic side. 

Can I ask you two questions?  I mean no dis-respect at all, I am just curious.

1. How old are you?

2. Are you a US citizen?

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: KevShmev on November 30, 2011, 11:56:42 AM
Hint: it's a certain black President from Chicago who's up for reelection.

I get that, but a lot of people are not satisfied with the job he has done. I figured there would be a bunch of people interested in alternate options on the democratic side.
It's a pretty bad idea to run against an incumbent president from your party. Never really turns out well for anyone. There are probably Democrats out there who don't like Obama, but they probably like him a whole lot more than any of the Republicans.

This.  Sadly, this reminds me of 2004, but flipped.  Bush was horrible and should have been beatable, but the Democrats had no one worth a crap to beat him (John Kerry? :lol), and we got stuck with Bush for another four years.  Same thing now with Obama, who has also been horrible (not comparing his horribleness to Bush, just saying) and the GOP not having anyone worth a crap to beat him.  Odds are, we are gonna get stuck with Obama for another four.  Yippee.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on November 30, 2011, 12:37:19 PM
Howard Dean should've been the democratic choice in 04, just like Ron Paul should be the one now.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on November 30, 2011, 12:57:28 PM
Actually, I thought John Kerry was massively better suited for the office than Dubya, and of course, we'll never know how a Kerry presidency would have gone, but it certainly couldn't have been any worse than the unmitigated disaster of George W. Bush, easily the worst president in a generation.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on November 30, 2011, 01:25:31 PM
I didn't dislike Kerry all that much. Then again I was much younger when he was in the running, so I probably didn't understand most of it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 02, 2011, 10:38:20 PM
I wasn't sure where to put this, but I saw this Forbes article via Reddit today about a provision of Obamcare that's supposedly going into effect which I thought was interesting.   

Quote
the provision of the law, called the medical loss ratio, that requires health insurance companies to spend 80% of the consumers’ premium dollars they collect—85% for large group insurers—on actual medical care rather than overhead, marketing expenses and profit. Failure on the part of insurers to meet this requirement will result in the insurers having to send their customers a rebate check representing the amount in which they underspend on actual medical care.

This is the true ‘bomb’ contained in Obamacare and the one item that will have more impact on the future of how medical care is paid for in this country than anything we’ve seen in quite some time.  Indeed, it is this aspect of the law that represents the true ‘death panel’ found in Obamacare—but not one that is going to lead to the death of American consumers. Rather, the medical loss ration will, ultimately, lead to the death of large parts of the private, for-profit health insurance industry.

Why? Because there is absolutely no way for-profit health insurers are going to be able to learn how to get by and still make a profit while being forced to spend at least 80 percent of their receipts providing their customers with the coverage for which they paid. If they could, we likely would never have seen the extraordinary efforts made by these companies to avoid paying benefits to their customers at the very moment they need it the most.

Today, that bomb goes off.

Today, the Department of Health & Human Services issues the rules of what insurer expenditures will—and will not—qualify as a medical expense for purposes of meeting the requirement.

As it turns out, HHS isn’t screwing around. They actually mean to see to it that the insurance companies spend what they should taking care of their customers.

Here’s an example: For months, health insurance brokers and salespeople have been lobbying to have the commissions they earn for selling an insurer’s program to consumers be included as a ‘medical expense’ for purposes of the rules. HHS has, today, given them the official thumbs down, as well they should have. Selling me a health insurance policy is simply not the same as providing me with the medical care I am entitled to under the policy. Sales is clearly an overhead cost in any business and had HHS included this as a medical cost, it would have signaled that they are not at all serious about enforcing the concept of the medical loss ratio.

So, can private health insurance companies manage to make a profit when they actually have to spend premium receipts taking care of their customers’ health needs as promised?
 
Not a chance-and they know it. Indeed, we are already seeing the parent companies who own these insurance operations fleeing into other types of investments. They know what we should all know – we are now on an inescapable path to a single-payer system for most Americans and thank goodness for it.

Whether you are a believer in the benefits of single-payer health coverage or an opponent, mark this day down on your calendar because this is the day seismic shifts in our health care system finally get under way.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/rickungar/2011/12/02/the-bomb-buried-in-obamacare-explodes-today-halleluja/2/

Is this guy just bloviating or is this actually significant? I can't tell.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on December 03, 2011, 08:40:02 AM
As someone that used to be a health insurance agent and currently does administrative work for a few health insurance companies, I can tell you this sounds incredibly significant.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 03, 2011, 10:27:22 AM
Ron Paul's attack ad against Newt Gingrich was the best I've probably ever seen. It's gained so much fire now and it's gone viral - just as Gingrich is surging. It's a good thing, Gingrich should not win.


Edit:
The ad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWKTOCP45zY (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWKTOCP45zY)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 03, 2011, 10:56:58 AM
As someone that used to be a health insurance agent and currently does administrative work for a few health insurance companies, I can tell you this sounds incredibly significant.
Interesting. I'm hoping to read or hear more about this since I've only seen that one opinion piece.

and post the ad here jsem
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 03, 2011, 12:54:44 PM
And Herman Cain is officially out of the race! Good riddance, USA.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 03, 2011, 01:08:25 PM
And Herman Cain is officially out of the race! Good riddance, USA.
Aww, that sucks. He was pure comedy gold.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 03, 2011, 01:13:12 PM
I am actually disappointed.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on December 03, 2011, 04:08:12 PM
Who do y'all think will the next to lose?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 03, 2011, 04:50:56 PM
And Herman Cain is officially out of the race! Good riddance, USA.
Aww, that sucks. He was pure comedy gold.

I guess in the end he gave that woodchuck a tuna melt, or a metal skull crusher.

Who do y'all think will the next to lose?

I would think the next suspensions of campaign will wait until the Ohio primaries are in. Thing is, Cain had never been subjected to public scrutiny, whereas the remaining candidates have all been around long enough to not have egregious skeletons in their closet.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on December 03, 2011, 10:52:26 PM
Rumors Of Extramarital Affair End Campaign Of Presidential Candidate Who Didn't Know China Has Nuclear Weapons (https://www.theonion.com/articles/rumors-of-extramarital-affair-end-campaign-of-pres,26801/)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 04, 2011, 05:50:05 AM
Yeah, looks like Newt Gingrich is the new "Not Mitt Romney"
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 04, 2011, 08:20:08 AM
I sincerely hope people understand that Newt ought to be unelectable after his affairs and his hypocrisy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: King Postwhore on December 04, 2011, 08:58:03 AM
I sincerely hope people understand that Newt ought to be unelectable after his affairs and his hypocrisy.

Not that I would vote for him but wouldn't it be refreshing to have someone running for office be candid about his or her past and move on the the real issues?  No one is squeaky clean and I find it repulsive that most lie about their past.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 04, 2011, 11:17:37 AM
Newt is just such an opportunist scumbag.

edit: I realize you could apply that description to anyone running for POTUS.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on December 04, 2011, 12:28:25 PM
Really, it's reflective of both the incredibly messed up state the Republican party is currently in, and how terrible most of the candidates are, that Newt fucking Gingrich is even taken seriously as a candidate, let alone a frontrunner. I like one explanation I heard for his current success; "He is what a stupid person thinks a smart person sounds like".

Seriously. If a political party is celebrating people like Newt Gingrich, Herman Cain, and Michele Bachmann, while ignoring people like Jon Huntsman, they don't deserve to be taken seriously.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MetalMike06 on December 04, 2011, 01:14:51 PM
It's pretty goddamn telling that Herman Cain gets cut down not because of his actual platform or cluelessness on various issues, but some alleged extramarital affair.

All the more reason why I feel like it's not even worthwhile to argue or even care about politics anymore if the bulk of voters are this stupid. I know that sounds elitist, but eh.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 04, 2011, 02:21:19 PM
It's true. It's saddening that people who are clueless go and vote.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 04, 2011, 02:41:21 PM
I'm wondering why this affair, which was supposedly consensual, was the one to bring him down.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on December 04, 2011, 02:47:16 PM
I sincerely hope people understand that Newt ought to be unelectable after his affairs and his hypocrisy.

Not that I would vote for him but wouldn't it be refreshing to have someone running for office be candid about his or her past and move on the the real issues?  No one is squeaky clean and I find it repulsive that most lie about their past.

I'm sorry, but I can't trust a guy who ran up a 500,000 dollar line of credit at Tiffany's with the countries budget. Let's not all forget the fact the Ali G made him look like a complete tard as well  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 04, 2011, 02:47:57 PM
Because the woman had proof to back up her claims (phone records and such), and his poll numbers were already slipping quite drastically. Honestly, I think the media helps us think people are stupider than they are, becuase the media focuses on the scandal; but I think a lot of voters saw the mans response to Libya, and didn't know China has nuclear weapons, and that's why his poll numbers dropped.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: King Postwhore on December 04, 2011, 04:55:31 PM
I sincerely hope people understand that Newt ought to be unelectable after his affairs and his hypocrisy.

Not that I would vote for him but wouldn't it be refreshing to have someone running for office be candid about his or her past and move on the the real issues?  No one is squeaky clean and I find it repulsive that most lie about their past.

I'm sorry, but I can't trust a guy who ran up a 500,000 dollar line of credit at Tiffany's with the countries budget. Let's not all forget the fact the Ali G made him look like a complete tard as well  :lol

No, no.  I agree with you.  I would just like to see some honesty come out for once.  No falsehoods and empty promises.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on December 04, 2011, 09:12:53 PM
I sincerely hope people understand that Newt ought to be unelectable after his affairs and his hypocrisy.

Not that I would vote for him but wouldn't it be refreshing to have someone running for office be candid about his or her past and move on the the real issues?  No one is squeaky clean and I find it repulsive that most lie about their past.

I'm sorry, but I can't trust a guy who ran up a 500,000 dollar line of credit, at Tiffany's, with the country's budget. Let's not all forget the fact the Ali G made him look like a complete tard as well  :lol

No, no.  I agree with you.  I would just like to see some honesty come out for once.  No falsehoods and empty promises.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 04, 2011, 11:13:57 PM
I sincerely hope people understand that Newt ought to be unelectable after his affairs and his hypocrisy.

Not that I would vote for him but wouldn't it be refreshing to have someone running for office be candid about his or her past and move on the the real issues?  No one is squeaky clean and I find it repulsive that most lie about their past.

I'm sorry, but I can't trust a guy who ran up a 500,000 dollar line of credit at Tiffany's with the countries budget. Let's not all forget the fact the Ali G made him look like a complete tard as well  :lol

No, no.  I agree with you.  I would just like to see some honesty come out for once.  No falsehoods and empty promises.

Then Gingrich is definitely not your man. People usually don't change drastically from like 40+, in fact they usually become more entrenched, so we know who Gingrich is, and he's a hypocritical politician out for fame and money.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 04, 2011, 11:27:32 PM
Nancy Pelosi and Newt Gingrich in a climate change advocacy commercial from 2008 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qi6n_-wB154)

what the fuck?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 04, 2011, 11:28:20 PM
Honestly, I don't see how Gingrich's Tiffany's credit-line is of any relevance. If Obama's proven anything, it's that he's an utterly inept politician who allows those "entrenched" insiders to make his every decision for him, whether it be about the economy or the wars.  There are two areas, at least, where I think Gingrich could do better than Obama:

1.) Making his own decisions: Obama's proven again and again that he's just not capable of challenging economists, generals, and other advisers on domestic and foreign issues. Gingrich, however, has been around longer than most, and he probably would do a lot better job at cutting through the bullshit to press his own objectives (does Obama even have personal objectives anymore, or is it just his aids and advisers running the show like W.'s did?). Gingrich's sense of arrogance would probably make him harder to push around then Obama, who in contrast likes to think of himself as being "above the debate" but is actually the guy getting trampled by it.

2.) Leveling with the American people: This is one area where Obama has been beyond horrendous. American people don't understand what he's doing, and since he's so terrible at explaining it to them conservatives easily taint the discussion at the earliest stage, just like they did with Obamacare. Sure, he's got a good vocabulary, but that's not worth anything if you can't make a compelling case for anything you're doing in office. Obama may have seemed like a good debater 3 years ago, but that was when he was up against McCain and Palin, neither of whom are capable of making coherent statements. Gingrich, by comparison, is a much more competent orator than anyone in the running now, and one who seems to do a better job of sounding smart while breaking ideas down to a level normal people can understand.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 04, 2011, 11:43:58 PM
I agree with your analysis of Obama, the first part at least. But just because Newt might be better at "being president" doesn't mean he'll do anything good.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 04, 2011, 11:47:07 PM
Oh, I know. I am a far shot from being under the Newt fan tent. But he is probably the most competent person in the running, which is the most terrifying part of it all. I expect Romney will crack soon. He's managed to stay away from the media while they have basically already granted him the nomination, but the more he opens his mouth the less I'm confident he actually knows more about the issues than he did last time.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 05, 2011, 12:37:46 AM
Obama is easily the most competent person running this time around. I think your analysis is somewhat out-of-date, and also directed falsely at Obama, instead of Executive bureaucracy and, most importantly, the Legislative Branch.. There's a reason incumbent President's often win, and it's becuase of experience. If the Republicans manage to nominate someone who isn't a complete fool, I think he could lose, and the rational will be the one you've given (though like I said, I think it's wrong).

He's been much more promising lately, and a lot of what has happened is still not his fault. He's only the President, he doesn't write laws, he doesn't pass laws, he doesn't control congress.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 05, 2011, 12:44:56 AM
Yes, he doesn't control those things, but do you honestly think he's done a good job communicating what he's done to Americans?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 05, 2011, 03:08:46 AM
Depends who you listen to.

Also, wait until he actually has an opponent to run against. We've all seen the Republicans, what they offer, etc, because they've been given the camera time, for obvious reasons.

I also think it's rather weird to vote for President based upon his ability to communicate to the people what he's done, instead of just actually voting for him based upon what he's done. I'm guessing we both get pre-filtered news, as well, so his ability is also up to other peoples ability, and our media isn't the most competent at times.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on December 05, 2011, 08:27:45 AM
I'm soooo glad Cain is done!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on December 05, 2011, 09:25:51 AM
Somewhat unrelated, but I thought it was kinda funny:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2K8CGeC2M_U&feature=related

From a Michelle Bachmann stand.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 05, 2011, 09:32:56 AM
Yeah, Newt Gingrich, he's really "articulate"

“I am convinced that if we do not decisively win the struggle over the nature of America, by the time [my grandchildren are] my age they will be in a secular atheist country, potentially one dominated by radical Islamists and with no understanding of what it once meant to be an American.” [Address to Cornerstone Church in Texas, March 2011 (https://www.politico.com/news/stories/0311/52023.html)]

And that's just one example of some of the absolute buffoonery that falls out of this guys mouth. 

Newt Gingrich is to reasonable, rational, substantive debate what Milli Vanilli is to excellent vocals  ::)

Can you imagine what kind of whack-jobs this guy will nominate to the federal bench and the SCOTUS?  :eek
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 05, 2011, 09:35:56 AM
Somewhat unrelated, but I thought it was kinda funny:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2K8CGeC2M_U&feature=related (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2K8CGeC2M_U&feature=related)

From a Michelle Bachmann stand.

Yeah, you know something?  Even though I vehemently disagree with Michelle Bachmann on, well, everything in existence.....*I think it's in pretty poor taste to use a kid like that to set her up. 



































*They should have used a kid with a louder voice and a better camera!  :P
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on December 05, 2011, 09:39:37 AM
In all seriousness I thought so too, I just thought her reaction was funny. Not the sorta thing you'd expect from someone well aware that the cameras are always watching.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 05, 2011, 10:05:37 AM
I can't watch it, it's making me too uncomfortable :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on December 05, 2011, 10:47:16 AM
In all seriousness I thought so too, I just thought her reaction was funny. Not the sorta thing you'd expect from someone well aware that the cameras are always watching.

I'm glad a kid said it. Had the mother gone up and said it, she would have had some sort of preplanned response. I am sure she gets that kind of stuff all the time. It's the fact that she had no response to a child in regards to his gay mother that makes it perfectly clear how stupid it is to be against something so insignificat.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 05, 2011, 02:40:54 PM
Different area of the "Election 2012" topic, but I had to post this Ron Paul ad here to see what people think:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXCZVmQ74OA

I'll post my thoughts after a few others comment on it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 05, 2011, 02:43:02 PM
I love it! It's great that he's playing this political game.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on December 05, 2011, 03:02:40 PM
I've liked Newt from the beginning! Go get 'em Tiger!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on December 05, 2011, 03:36:24 PM
Different area of the "Election 2012" topic, but I had to post this Ron Paul ad here to see what people think:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXCZVmQ74OA

I'll post my thoughts after a few others comment on it.

 :metal

It's cheesy, but I like it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MetalMike06 on December 05, 2011, 04:11:12 PM
Different area of the "Election 2012" topic, but I had to post this Ron Paul ad here to see what people think:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXCZVmQ74OA

I'll post my thoughts after a few others comment on it.

I know he's just "playing the game" but...I just went :lolpalm:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 05, 2011, 05:24:00 PM
Ron Paul is, sadly, a pretty disappointing candidate this year (as opposed to in 08, when he was constantly on fire).

In my opinion, the fact that he's actually sitting in debates and getting a decent bit of media exposure is really starting to reveal the flaws in his positions. I mean, did anyone watch his 10 minutes on the Huckabee forum? He spent a decent 3rd of it struggling how to define a "terrorist attack" out-loud, had problems hearing reporters' questions, and burned his final minute of camera time up by radomly launching into an incoherent discussion on the "principle of seccession." How much more out of touch could he be?

Honestly, I would genuinely be surprised if anyone other than his core supporters is even able to figure out what he's going-on about half the time. I don't like admitting it, but he really is starting to sound like a nutty academic who has lost his grip on reality. It's really time for him to move out of the way and let the next guy come forward.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 05, 2011, 05:28:02 PM
Different area of the "Election 2012" topic, but I had to post this Ron Paul ad here to see what people think:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXCZVmQ74OA (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXCZVmQ74OA)

I'll post my thoughts after a few others comment on it.

I know he's just "playing the game" but...I just went :lolpalm:

I almost peed myself laughing at the "pro-wrestling" vibe to be honest  :lol

Is this what our system has become?

A freaking monster-truck ad?   :facepalm: :lol :mehlin :lol

 :\

Wait, why is that funny again?
 :|
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 05, 2011, 05:41:17 PM
Ugh. Who is in charge of producing this crap? Right now, ronpaul.com seems to have a good black, white and red theme going. Have they not realized that shit like that makes them look like Aryan Nation members? OR is that the whole point?

I mean, seriously?

This
(https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-fZOoT1QPTBM/Thf41XCDwvI/AAAAAAAAJ3E/-3lSwd2jJXk/s1600/ron-paul-revolution.png)

Looks like it's begging to be put somewhere with this logo:
(https://2.bp.blogspot.com/_a01AVJotTRE/SuowgNyJvYI/AAAAAAAAAAw/kHC1UAAg8bE/s320/nsalp.jpg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 05, 2011, 06:02:59 PM
What I find most offensive in that poster is that they use the world "love" (in reverse). No offense, but Libertarians are the closest party to "heartless" that I can think of in the American political landscape. For them the words "altruism" and "social" have negative connotations. Not much love there.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on December 05, 2011, 06:44:39 PM
Honestly, I'd be surprise if anyone of either major party would make an ideal president, Ron Paul or not. 

The people who would best benefit the nation through their governing it are those who don't seek the sort of power and prestige found in politics in the first place.

Paul seems to be the least worst in that regard, but that could be false, I dunno. 

Just putting a thought out there. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on December 05, 2011, 07:13:54 PM
It's my personal belief that the person who would best serve the nation's interest does not exist. Such an ideal figure, public or private, is subject to our personal beliefs and desires, and the fickleness and other hypocrisies (sp?) upon which we blame human nature.

The 'best man for the job' is a mythical Mr. Smith who does not exist, never has and never will. Yet our constant expectation as a nation that any single individual can hope to live up to his ever-growing repertoire of paradoxical qualities, ranging from the innocence of being "outside the political game" to his need to still somehow be an expert in policy and the game of politics, will only continue to set us up for disappointment and outrage. And I'm not saying we should take any old guy (or gal) who puts his (or her) name on the ticket. Just saying that we shouldn't keep waiting for Mr. Smith to go to Washington. The best man to serve the nation's interest will be someone who is skilled enough and honest enough, and that's about the best we can realistically ask for.

Whew, sorry. Rant over. It was actually meant for something completely different, entirely different forum actually, but Cup's comment got me thinking about it again.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 05, 2011, 07:20:01 PM
Have they not realized that shit like that makes them look like Aryan Nation members? OR is that the whole point

So everything with black, white and red makes you a Nazi? Most of Ron Paul fervent supporters are < 30, young kids are the least racist generation yet, so they're not making that connection.


Different area of the "Election 2012" topic, but I had to post this Ron Paul ad here to see what people think:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXCZVmQ74OA (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXCZVmQ74OA)

I'll post my thoughts after a few others comment on it.

I know he's just "playing the game" but...I just went :lolpalm:

I almost peed myself laughing at the "pro-wrestling" vibe to be honest  :lol

Is this what our system has become?

A freaking monster-truck ad?   :facepalm: :lol :mehlin :lol

 :\

Wait, why is that funny again?
 :|

I think, or maybe I hope, it's satire.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on December 05, 2011, 07:31:58 PM
Yeah PC, I'm not really seeing the Nazi correlation.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 05, 2011, 09:07:05 PM
(https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-fZOoT1QPTBM/Thf41XCDwvI/AAAAAAAAJ3E/-3lSwd2jJXk/s1600/ron-paul-revolution.png)

Oh no, can't be unseen: Look at his mouth, looks like his teeth are over his lower lip, like a mentally challenged kid would do :lol

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 05, 2011, 09:13:59 PM
Quote
So everything with black, white and red makes you a Nazi?

Where did I say that?

I'm just saying that these are some weird choices he's made in terms of how he markets himself. While most candidates are trying to show they're as red white and blue as possible, Ron Paul goes with the colors of Nazi Germany, not really the best pick for a guy who has some questionable white-supremacist ties in his closet and gets endorsed by well-known anti-semites like Pat Buchanan and, futhermore, gets snubbed by his own party all the time for not being proud enough of America. Plus, he releases ads that look like they belong on SpikeTV. I'm not saying he IS a Nazi, I'm saying that him getting as much of the spotlight as he's been getting is really starting to highlight the weakness of his campaign-- mainly, that his advertising sucks and that he's not really even coherent as an orator (at least anymore, he's pretty old though so I will cut him a little bit of a break).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 05, 2011, 09:21:06 PM
I personally haven't gotten that white supremacy vibe from him, but I'm fully onboard that his public addresses (at least from what I could see from the debates) are pretty incoherent these days. He gets asked a question, and occasionally you can discern what his stance is, but many times he just rambles on with no beginning or end. His die-hard followers don't care because he can do no wrong, but for the rest of us it's like listening to Abe Simpson.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 05, 2011, 10:29:38 PM
(http://)

Oh no, can't be unseen: Look at his mouth, looks like his teeth are over his lower lip, like a mentally challenged kid would do :lol

rumborak

Really? I see it more like a "Dat azz" kinda face :lol

Nazi? Nah.

To be honest "Altruism" and "social" are negative in Objectivism philosophy not in Libertarianism.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 06, 2011, 12:24:38 AM
To be perfectly honest, I find the two hard to separate, since its adherents heavily overlap.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 06, 2011, 08:05:48 AM
Different area of the "Election 2012" topic, but I had to post this Ron Paul ad here to see what people think:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXCZVmQ74OA (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXCZVmQ74OA)

I'll post my thoughts after a few others comment on it.

I know he's just "playing the game" but...I just went :lolpalm:

I almost peed myself laughing at the "pro-wrestling" vibe to be honest  :lol

Is this what our system has become?

A freaking monster-truck ad?   :facepalm: :lol :mehlin :lol

 :\

Wait, why is that funny again?
 :|

I forgot to mention the other GLARING factual stupidity in the ad.  The claim in the ad is that by eliminating the 4 agencies cited, he'll trim $1 Trillion from the budget.

Anyone who believes this is even remotely close to being feasible is an idiot.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on December 06, 2011, 08:11:23 AM
I'v been thinking.... I bet the Democrats would love to have Newt get the nomination. I'm willing to bet that they have some crazy dirt on that guy that they aren't releasing just yet. As soon as he gets the nomination they are going to unleash fury.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 06, 2011, 12:45:35 PM
We don't need dirt on him, there's already enough dirt on him readily available as part of the public record.    Of the candidates remaining in the race that have a realistic chance of winning the nomination, Newt Gingrich is the most favorable candidate for Obama to go up against.

Never mind the debacle about his marriages and serial cheating on wives.

When he was speaker of the house he was basically a scandal factory (https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/govt/leadership/ethics.htm)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 06, 2011, 01:25:10 PM
Different area of the "Election 2012" topic, but I had to post this Ron Paul ad here to see what people think:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXCZVmQ74OA (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXCZVmQ74OA)

I'll post my thoughts after a few others comment on it.

I know he's just "playing the game" but...I just went :lolpalm:

I almost peed myself laughing at the "pro-wrestling" vibe to be honest  :lol

Is this what our system has become?

A freaking monster-truck ad?   :facepalm: :lol :mehlin :lol

 :\

Wait, why is that funny again?
 :|

I forgot to mention the other GLARING factual stupidity in the ad.  The claim in the ad is that by eliminating the 4 agencies cited, he'll trim $1 Trillion from the budget.

Anyone who believes this is even remotely close to being feasible is an idiot.
Not that I'm saying it's a good ad, it's actually a terrible ad imo - but nowhere did the ad claim that eliminating 4 agencies (they cited five by the way) was the way that the 1 trillion was cut.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 06, 2011, 01:39:49 PM
I think you need to watch the ad again and listen to the verbiage very carefully.  I know English isn't your native language, but the way that ad is worded, he claims he's going to cut $1 Trillion dollars, then next he cites 4 agencies he'll cut, which very, very strongly implies that the cutting of those agencies is the means to and end for getting that $1 Trillion out. 

The problem is our entire discretionary spending budget here is $1.3 Trillion and about $550 billion of that is military spending.   NO ONE is going to cut a trillion bucks out of our budget in one year.  Just like I'm not going to get a reach-around from Cleopatra while surfing down a volcanic lava flow on a banana peel.   Of course, none of that really matters to the mouth-breathers this ad is aimed at.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on December 06, 2011, 01:42:43 PM
That ad is almost as bad as his fake debate with Obama on Fox News.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 06, 2011, 01:46:25 PM
I know, it's a ridiculous ad.

Here's a transcription of what the narrator says:

What's up with these sorry politicians? Lots of bark, but when it's showtime, wimpering like little shitzus. You want big cuts, Ron Paul's been screaming it for years.  Budget crisis?  No problem!  Cut a trillion bucks year one.  That's trillion with a T. Department of Education?  Gone! Interior? Energy? HUD? Commerce? Gone! Later bureaucrats!  That's how Ron Paul rolls.  Wanna drain the swamp?  Ron Paul! Do it!


And I was wrong, he cites 5 agencies he'll get rid of, implying in the sentence previous to that one that it will cut $1 Trillion from our budget.  A budget that totals $1.3 Trillion with over 1/3 of it being military spending.

The only thing he DIDN'T say in this ad is "I won't _________ in your mouth"


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 06, 2011, 03:54:33 PM
That ad is almost as bad as his fake debate with Obama on Fox News.
LOL. I just did some research on this again, it was MEANT as a fake debate. It wasn't a guy actually trying to be Obama and them making a real attempt at it. It's hilarious now that I see it again, Ron Paul has some humor lol.

Here's the fake debate: https://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2011/04/ron-paul-debates-obama-impersonator-on-fox.html (https://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2011/04/ron-paul-debates-obama-impersonator-on-fox.html). It even has Paul debates "Obama" in those exact quotation marks.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 06, 2011, 06:13:39 PM
I just watched the ad. Is he intentionally making himself unelectable? I mean, who doesn't get the impression from the ad that Ron Paul's solution to saving money is by destroying the fabric of the country?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on December 06, 2011, 06:40:19 PM
Ugh. Who is in charge of producing this crap? Right now, ronpaul.com seems to have a good black, white and red theme going. Have they not realized that shit like that makes them look like Aryan Nation members? OR is that the whole point?

I mean, seriously?

This
(https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-fZOoT1QPTBM/Thf41XCDwvI/AAAAAAAAJ3E/-3lSwd2jJXk/s1600/ron-paul-revolution.png)

Looks like it's begging to be put somewhere with this logo:
(https://2.bp.blogspot.com/_a01AVJotTRE/SuowgNyJvYI/AAAAAAAAAAw/kHC1UAAg8bE/s320/nsalp.jpg)

Nice troll
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 06, 2011, 08:10:37 PM
Quote
Nice troll

So are you going to answer any of the legitimate points I've made, or are you just going to insult me because of one post you decided to take out of context?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Progmetty on December 06, 2011, 09:32:42 PM
PC You might have noticed I usually land on your side of thing and we have a lot of similar opinions but I think you're way off about Ron Paul. Whether was it your colors theory or your opinion of the man himself.
I think he's the most honest and straight forward of the GOP candidates, he talks less like a Politician than any of them, you can always spot if a campaign ad or slogan is a product of his thinking or campaign managers executing advertising ideas they think would help him, like the love/revolution thing. Which I find cheesy but not horrible.
And again I might not agree with a lot of his plans; I still find him most certainly the least "Nazi comparable" of all the republican candidates. Even though I don't think the current American right wing leading figures/candidates are at all comparable to Nazi leading figures cause unlike the Nazis; these people are not struggling/fighting/lying for the sole glory and prosperity of their own people, so I think we're seeing something worse. Materialistic Nazis  :eek
Judging from the debates we've seen so far I think Ron Paul was never deceptive nor misleading. He doesn't seem as stiff and worried about his image as the others. Frankly right now I like him more than Obama, I never would have imagined myself leaning towards a right winger, ever, so that's gotta tell ya something heh
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 06, 2011, 11:08:31 PM
Again, there is no "colors theory". I am not trying to say Ron Paul is a Nazi. I am simply asking, while every other politician is trying to convince you they piss red white and blue, Ron Paul is gearing his campaign in such a way that seems to cater to monster-truck fans who might or might not be skinheads, too. I'm not making any claims that need defending here, I'm just asking for a rationale. Apparently supporters are willing to just brush this silliness off, but am I really the only one that thinks it's weird this is actually how he's marketing himself to outsiders?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 06, 2011, 11:39:17 PM
Again, there is no "colors theory". I am not trying to say Ron Paul is a Nazi. I am simply asking, while every other politician is trying to convince you they piss red white and blue, Ron Paul is gearing his campaign in such a way that seems to cater to monster-truck fans who might or might not be skinheads, too. I'm not making any claims that need defending here, I'm just asking for a rationale. Apparently supporters are willing to just brush this silliness off, but am I really the only one that thinks it's weird this is actually how he's marketing himself to outsiders?

I don't think those X-Treme ads were meant to cater to anyone but the red meat Spike TV crowd.

But yes, they are silly.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 07, 2011, 07:50:55 AM
Again, there is no "colors theory". I am not trying to say Ron Paul is a Nazi. I am simply asking, while every other politician is trying to convince you they piss red white and blue, Ron Paul is gearing his campaign in such a way that seems to cater to monster-truck fans who might or might not be skinheads, too. I'm not making any claims that need defending here, I'm just asking for a rationale. Apparently supporters are willing to just brush this silliness off, but am I really the only one that thinks it's weird this is actually how he's marketing himself to outsiders?

I don't think those X-Treme ads were meant to cater to anyone but the red meat Spike TV crowd.

But yes, they are silly.

It's not just silly, it's factually bankrupt.  You can't cut $1 Trillion from a $1.3 Trillion budget especially when almost $600 Billion of that budget is the military.  If "people who failed 4th grade mathematics" is a good constituency, then he's right on the money  :tup
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 07, 2011, 08:32:00 AM
He actually was pressed on that point quite a bit during the Huckabee forum, and he didn't really seem to be able to back-up the claim. He just kept saying stuff like "well, we do, you just have to look at it, but the real issue is" aka averting the question to talk about something else, as per usual.

Maybe it's just because I've followed him more than any other living politician, but I feel like because I know him and his rhetoric and his way of dodging questions better than the others, he's starting to seem especially annoying to me.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 07, 2011, 09:01:41 AM
He actually was pressed on that point quite a bit during the Huckabee forum, and he didn't really seem to be able to back-up the claim. He just kept saying stuff like "well, we do, you just have to look at it, but the real issue is" aka averting the question to talk about something else, as per usual.

Maybe it's just because I've followed him more than any other living politician, but I feel like because I know him and his rhetoric and his way of dodging questions better than the others, he's starting to seem especially annoying to me.

The thing with Ron Paul is he's always been a typical politician.  The mythology about him that he has some higher moral standards than any of the others really just comes from a couple of issues he's been vocal about, particularly his stance against the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, which flew directly in the face of Bush & Company's neoconservative war-for-profit model of governance. 

Other than that and the fact that he's a fairly strict isolationist, he's just a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected, and frankly, in the last few debates he's sounded very much like a senile old man who can't put a coherent thought together.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: slycordinator on December 07, 2011, 09:42:46 AM
Other than that and the fact that he's a fairly strict isolationist, he's just a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected, and frankly, in the last few debates he's sounded very much like a senile old man who can't put a coherent thought together.
I saw an interview of his on some Hispanic tv news show and he had been talking about needing to be stronger on immigration and such. The interviewer asked him why he doesn't give a different message for the Latino voters and he responded that he shouldn't placate people by giving them a different, inconsistent message just to get their votes. That's quite clearly not "saying what he needs to say in order to get elected."
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 07, 2011, 10:01:47 AM
Can't believe how much people are gushing over Obama's speech (https://www.salon.com/2011/12/07/the_obama_weve_been_waiting_for/) yesterday in Kansas. Like he's never used empty, meaningless populist rhetoric before.

Yeah, those big banks! Look what they did! It's wrong! Even though I take all their money and appoint their former executives and lapdogs to high level positions in my administration, you can bet I'll do my darndest to fight for you!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on December 07, 2011, 12:13:53 PM
I don't know if anyone's seen this Rick Perry ad yet, but it's really amazing how 'no holds barred' electoral politics has gotten lately.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PAJNntoRgA
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 07, 2011, 12:29:41 PM
I saw that ad this morning.   (https://www.kirksnosehair.com/pics/smilies/puke.gif)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 07, 2011, 12:33:40 PM
Other than that and the fact that he's a fairly strict isolationist, he's just a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected, and frankly, in the last few debates he's sounded very much like a senile old man who can't put a coherent thought together.
I saw an interview of his on some Hispanic tv news show and he had been talking about needing to be stronger on immigration and such. The interviewer asked him why he doesn't give a different message for the Latino voters and he responded that he shouldn't placate people by giving them a different, inconsistent message just to get their votes. That's quite clearly not "saying what he needs to say in order to get elected."
Yeah, right, because he definitely wasn't telling that audience exactly what he knew they wanted to hear.  Nope, Ron Paul is the second coming of George Washington.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 07, 2011, 12:55:26 PM
Nosehair, please.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 07, 2011, 12:58:09 PM
Please what?  Bow at the Paultard temple?  No thanks. 


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MetalMike06 on December 07, 2011, 01:14:38 PM
Kirk, I have yet to see another politician at one of those debates stand by their principles even if it means being booed by the audience. For as many fair complaints you have about Paul, "he's just a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected," is probably the weakest one you can make about him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 07, 2011, 01:24:21 PM
Let me address this point by point:
The thing with Ron Paul is he's always been a typical politician.
RP has been the sole NO vote on bills more than any other congressman ever. He has been talking about the monetary system since he joined congress and been the lone voice for returning to a gold standard. He never was a "team player" when it came to GOP vs Dems. So yeah, he's definitely a typical politician.

The mythology about him that he has some higher moral standards than any of the others really just comes from a couple of issues he's been vocal about, particularly his stance against the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, which flew directly in the face of Bush & Company's neoconservative war-for-profit model of governance. 
Again, he's been the lone NO vote more than enough times to disprove this.

The only thing I can see justifying this kind of a claim is the earmarks he pushed for in a spending bill a few years back. He ended up voting against the bill in the end though, since it was a govm. stimulus bill.

But he doesn't do this because of money he gets from lobbyists. He's actually doing it for his constituency, which is more than you could say about almost any other congressman. Not that it was right, but that's as much you could find on him public policy wise.

Other than that and the fact that he's a fairly strict isolationist,
LOLNO. Non-interventionism =/= Isolationism. An isolationist wants to restrict foreign trade and protect domestic markets as much as possible, as well as not involving oneself at all abroad. Ron Paul wants to have free trade all around the world and wants the LOWEST tariffs possible. How is that isolationist? Just because he doesn't want to bomb, but use diplomacy he's suddenly an isolationist.

he's just a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected,
Remember the debate a few months back, when people booed him? They were discussing the motives for terrorists, and he said it's because of a century of interventionist and occupationist foreign policy in the region. He was BOOED for speaking the truth, and his response was "I'm trying to get you to understand what the motive was (for 9/11)".

and frankly, in the last few debates he's sounded very much like a senile old man who can't put a coherent thought together.
Well, this is purely subjective, and I must say it's very hard for him to articulate his positions so that as many as possible can understand his positions. It's too difficult to in one minute or thirty seconds, articulate a position that is so against the status quo.

It's not just silly, it's factually bankrupt.  You can't cut $1 Trillion from a $1.3 Trillion budget especially when almost $600 Billion of that budget is the military.  If "people who failed 4th grade mathematics" is a good constituency, then he's right on the money  :tup
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_United_States_federal_budget (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_United_States_federal_budget)
It's not 1.3 Trillion, it's about 3.8 Trillion and the revenue is about 2.2 Trillion. Yup, there's a 1,6 Trillion HOLE in the budget. It's about time some one puts a cap on that spending. Hate to say it, but your statement is factually bankrupt.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 07, 2011, 01:27:54 PM
Um, I was referring to discretionary spending - which the ad I posted was referring to:

ItemObama administration request
 (February 2011)Department of Defense (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Defense)$553.0 billion (+0.7%)Overseas Contingency Operations (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_on_Terrorism)$118.0 billion (-26.0%)Department of Health and Human Services (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Health_and_Human_Services)$79.9 billion (-1.8%)Department of Education (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Education)$77.4 billion (+6.2%)Department of Veterans Affairs (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Veterans_Affairs)$58.8 billion (+3.1%)Department of Housing and Urban Development (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Housing_and_Urban_Development)$49.8 billion (+0.5%)Department of State (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_State) and Other International Programs$50.1 billion (-0.9%)Department of Homeland Security (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Homeland_Security)$43.2 billion (-0.9%)Department of Energy (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Energy)$29.6 billion (+4.2%)Department of Justice (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Justice)$28.2 billion (-7.2%)Department of Agriculture (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Agriculture)$23.8 billion (-7.1%)National Aeronautics and Space Administration (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Aeronautics_and_Space_Administration)$18.2 billion (-6.7%)Department of Transportation (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Transportation)$13.4 billion (-4.1%)Department of the Treasury (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_the_Treasury)$14.0 billion (+0.8%)Department of the Interior (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_the_Interior)$12.1 billion (+0.3%)Department of Labor (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Labor)$12.8 billion (-8.3%)Department of Commerce (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Commerce)$8.8 billion (-2.3%)Army Corps of Engineers (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Army_Corps_of_Engineers)$4.6 billion (-6.2%)Environmental Protection Agency (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Environmental_Protection_Agency)$9.0 billion (-10.3%)National Science Foundation (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Science_Foundation)$7.8 billion (+4.6%)Small Business Administration (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Small_Business_Administration)$1.0 billion (-1.0%)Corporation for National and Community Service (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corporation_for_National_and_Community_Service)$1.3 billion (-11.1%)Disaster costs$6.0 billion (+200%)Other On-budget Discretionary Spending$44.9 billion (-3.9%)Total$1.344 trillion (-3.1%)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 07, 2011, 01:28:48 PM
You see, those departments that the absurd Ron Paul ad cites (https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=MXCZVmQ74OA) are all part of the discretionary spending portion of the budget.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 07, 2011, 01:31:21 PM
Kirk, I have yet to see another politician at one of those debates stand by their principles even if it means being booed by the audience. For as many fair complaints you have about Paul, "he's just a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected," is probably the weakest one you can make about him.

Right, because this ad is definitely "principled" right?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=MXCZVmQ74OA

 :lol

Come on, man.  He's a politician, just like the rest of them.  Saying whatever he needs to say in order to appeal to whoever it is he needs to appeal to today.

He's no different than Obama, or any Democrat either.  They all do the same thing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 07, 2011, 01:34:26 PM
It's not pointing to discretionary spending. That's false.

See for yourself here, there's about 300B in cuts in discretionary though.
https://www.ronpaul2012.com/the-issues/ron-paul-plan-to-restore-america/ (https://www.ronpaul2012.com/the-issues/ron-paul-plan-to-restore-america/)

I thought we already went though why he's not just "saying thing in order to appeal". He's not saying it IN ORDER to appeal, he's using his positions without compromising his values, and still trying to get as much out of it as possible.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MetalMike06 on December 07, 2011, 01:47:37 PM
Kirk, I have yet to see another politician at one of those debates stand by their principles even if it means being booed by the audience. For as many fair complaints you have about Paul, "he's just a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected," is probably the weakest one you can make about him.

Right, because this ad is definitely "principled" right?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=MXCZVmQ74OA

 :lol

Come on, man.  He's a politician, just like the rest of them.  Saying whatever he needs to say in order to appeal to whoever it is he needs to appeal to today.

He's no different than Obama, or any Democrat either.  They all do the same thing.

Why haven't his positions changed much in 30 years then?

Dude, there is so much he could change about his platform to basically make him another "electable", "moderate", establishment Republican, a la Mitt Romney, or just a more mainstream candidate for that matter. If your accusation were true, he wouldn't stand at a Republican debate and tell the audience that we should slash overseas military expenditures, or let states decide on gay marriage.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 07, 2011, 01:52:24 PM
It's not pointing to discretionary spending. That's false.


Wrong.

Here's a full transcript from the advertisement (https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=MXCZVmQ74OA) I posted above - these are the things Ron Paul claims he will cut in the first year:
What's up with these sorry politicians? Lots of bark, but when it's showtime, wimpering like little shitzus. You want big cuts, Ron Paul's been screaming it for years.  Budget crisis?  No problem!  Cut a trillion bucks year one.  That's trillion with a T. Department of Education?  Gone! Interior? Energy? HUD? Commerce? Gone! Later beurocrats!  That's how Ron Paul rolls.  Wanna drain the swamp?  Ron Paul! Do it!

Now, here's the Discretionary Spending Budget with those agencies highlighted:
(https://www.kirksnosehair.com/pics/disc_spending.jpg)

The data I have cited is correct.  The TOTAL Discretionary spending budget for 2011 was $1.3 Trillion - Ron Paul is pandering to probably the Tea Party crowd with this advertisement because the claims he makes in it are patently absurd.  The DOD portion of the budget alone (also highlighted in line one) is $553 Billion, as I cited previously.  Ron Paul, first of all has as much chance of being President as Donald Duck. But even if he were, by some freak accident, elected President, he's got less than no chance of enacting a ridiculous budget like the nonsense spewed in that stupid Monster Truck ad - and that ad is precisely why I am saying he's no different than any other politician. 

I know people like the guy, and yes, he does have some principles like standing strong on cutting spending (except for earmarks for Texas  :lol )
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Progmetty on December 07, 2011, 02:04:46 PM
I can overlook all that momentarily and try to find out: which Republican candidate is better than Ron Paul? I'm wondering what the anti-RP crowd are thinking.
Cause if the argument is that they're all just as bad then this really wouldn't solve anything, they're still gonna have a candidate and about half the nation are still gonna vote for that candidate and he'll have as much chance of winning as the Democratic candidate. Reach across the aisle people :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 07, 2011, 02:11:12 PM
Kirk, I have yet to see another politician at one of those debates stand by their principles even if it means being booed by the audience. For as many fair complaints you have about Paul, "he's just a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected," is probably the weakest one you can make about him.

Right, because this ad is definitely "principled" right?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=MXCZVmQ74OA (https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=MXCZVmQ74OA)

 :lol

Come on, man.  He's a politician, just like the rest of them.  Saying whatever he needs to say in order to appeal to whoever it is he needs to appeal to today.

He's no different than Obama, or any Democrat either.  They all do the same thing.

Why haven't his positions changed much in 30 years then?

Dude, there is so much he could change about his platform to basically make him another "electable", "moderate", establishment Republican, a la Mitt Romney, or just a more mainstream candidate for that matter. If your accusation were true, he wouldn't stand at a Republican debate and tell the audience that we should slash overseas military expenditures, or let states decide on gay marriage.

I don't doubt that.  I don't doubt it one bit.  And I really, frankly, kind of like Ron Paul.  But he's a politician.  Look at that ad!  It's intelligence-insulting bilge.  A big fat piece of bleeding red meat bullshit tossed to the hard right Tea Party crowd because he's in third place in Iowa and needs to do something.  Which is precisely my point.  He's a politician, that's what these guys do.  He seems like a nice enough guy, but when you did a little deeper he's, well, kind of a kook too. (https://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/08/16/372364/-Because-Ron-Paul-Is-Nuts,-Thats-Why)

And despite what others will claim over and over here he IS an isolationist. (https://www.conservativenewsandviews.com/2011/08/13/news/ron-paul-isolationist/) 

I really don't have anything against the guy personally, I just marvel at the legions of people who line up to kiss his ring and lots of them (not saying you or any other specific individuals here on this board) are not even really that aware of a lot of his policy positions.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 07, 2011, 02:17:24 PM
I can overlook all that momentarily and try to find out: which Republican candidate is better than Ron Paul? I'm wondering what the anti-RP crowd are thinking.
Cause if the argument is that they're all just as bad then this really wouldn't solve anything, they're still gonna have a candidate and about half the nation are still gonna vote for that candidate and he'll have as much chance of winning as the Democratic candidate. Reach across the aisle people :lol

Out of the group running now the only one I think is got some relative sanity is either Ron Paul (but he's unelectable and too weird on some stuff) or John Huntsman (also unelectable, mostly because he's not crazy enough for the Tea Party crowd)

If you want to BEAT OBAMA (and that's the point, isn't it?) I think Mitt Romney stands the greatest chance of doing it.  He was Governor here in my state for 4 years and I really can't say that I thought he was a bad governor, despite having plenty of policy disagreements with him.  I could never vote for him because he'll put conservative judges on the federal bench.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on December 07, 2011, 02:29:58 PM
I don't wanna beat Obama... :sadpanda:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 07, 2011, 02:42:09 PM
I don't wanna beat Obama... :sadpanda:

Nor do I.  :)

If Gingrich is the Republican nominee, this could be a landslide similar to how Reagan beat Mondale with Obama carrying a larger vote than he did last time. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 07, 2011, 03:02:28 PM
Can't believe how much people are gushing over Obama's speech (https://www.salon.com/2011/12/07/the_obama_weve_been_waiting_for/) yesterday in Kansas. Like he's never used empty, meaningless populist rhetoric before.

Yeah, those big banks! Look what they did! It's wrong! Even though I take all their money and appoint their former executives and lapdogs to high level positions in my administration, you can bet I'll do my darndest to fight for you!

 I don't think you're thinking is wrong factually, I just disagree with the assessment. I don't see what was so new about his speech, it's the same old him. I think we're mostly hearing the same thing because one both Obama's (overcomed?) inexperienced and a completely corrupt and broken congress and bureaucracy; you seem to think it's more Obama's personal fault more, and he's a fraud.

We would have Elizabeth Warren heading up the Consumer Protection Bureau if Obama didn't have to deal with the treasonous Senate Republicans.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 07, 2011, 03:15:43 PM
I don't doubt that.  I don't doubt it one bit.  And I really, frankly, kind of like Ron Paul.  But he's a politician.  Look at that ad!  It's intelligence-insulting bilge.  A big fat piece of bleeding red meat bullshit tossed to the hard right Tea Party crowd because he's in third place in Iowa and needs to do something.  Which is precisely my point.  He's a politician, that's what these guys do.  He seems like a nice enough guy, but when you did a little deeper he's, well, kind of a kook too. (https://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/08/16/372364/-Because-Ron-Paul-Is-Nuts,-Thats-Why)

And despite what others will claim over and over here he IS an isolationist. (https://www.conservativenewsandviews.com/2011/08/13/news/ron-paul-isolationist/) 

I really don't have anything against the guy personally, I just marvel at the legions of people who line up to kiss his ring and lots of them (not saying you or any other specific individuals here on this board) are not even really that aware of a lot of his policy positions.

Ok. Feels like we're just debating the definition of isolationism.

Quote from: Wikipedia
Nonintervention is distinct from isolationism, the latter featuring economic nationalism (protectionism) and restrictive immigration. Proponents of non-interventionism distinguish their policies from isolationism through their advocacy of more open national relations, to include diplomacy and free trade.

But whatever, as a matter of public policy, Ron Paul has got foreign policy RIGHT.


And, yeah - the cabinet level departments are discretionary spending - but NOWHERE in the ad did it suggest that the 1 trillion in cuts came only from those cabinet level departments. Did you even read this?:
See for yourself here, there's about 300B in cuts in discretionary though.
https://www.ronpaul2012.com/the-issues/ron-paul-plan-to-restore-america/ (https://www.ronpaul2012.com/the-issues/ron-paul-plan-to-restore-america/)

This is how discretionary spending would look like following Paul's plan:
(https://c3244172.r72.cf0.rackcdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/graph1.png)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MetalMike06 on December 07, 2011, 03:19:53 PM
Kirk, I have yet to see another politician at one of those debates stand by their principles even if it means being booed by the audience. For as many fair complaints you have about Paul, "he's just a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected," is probably the weakest one you can make about him.

Right, because this ad is definitely "principled" right?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=MXCZVmQ74OA (https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=MXCZVmQ74OA)

 :lol

Come on, man.  He's a politician, just like the rest of them.  Saying whatever he needs to say in order to appeal to whoever it is he needs to appeal to today.

He's no different than Obama, or any Democrat either.  They all do the same thing.

Why haven't his positions changed much in 30 years then?

Dude, there is so much he could change about his platform to basically make him another "electable", "moderate", establishment Republican, a la Mitt Romney, or just a more mainstream candidate for that matter. If your accusation were true, he wouldn't stand at a Republican debate and tell the audience that we should slash overseas military expenditures, or let states decide on gay marriage.

I don't doubt that.  I don't doubt it one bit.  And I really, frankly, kind of like Ron Paul.  But he's a politician.  Look at that ad!  It's intelligence-insulting bilge.  A big fat piece of bleeding red meat bullshit tossed to the hard right Tea Party crowd because he's in third place in Iowa and needs to do something.  Which is precisely my point.  He's a politician, that's what these guys do.  He seems like a nice enough guy, but when you did a little deeper he's, well, kind of a kook too. (https://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/08/16/372364/-Because-Ron-Paul-Is-Nuts,-Thats-Why)

I don't have time to entirely dig through the articles you posted but what's funny is the author doesn't even really refute Ron's positions, just merely tries to smear him by making some connection to white supremacists ('Look! A commenter on a white nationalist website supports Ron!'...seriously?), even though he in no way endorses those groups or their ideology. I mean, I don't support Hate Crimes laws, or foreign aid (not just Israel's exclusively), but not because of anything that has to do with racial preference...So I just think that's a ridiculous connection to make. Even if you disagree with his positions, it's fine to debate the policies themselves; but don't merely demonize him because of unsavory folks that associate themselves with those views.

Quote
I really don't have anything against the guy personally, I just marvel at the legions of people who line up to kiss his ring and lots of them (not saying you or any other specific individuals here on this board) are not even really that aware of a lot of his policy positions.

But look, I agree the ad is silly and so are a lot of the die-hard supporters. I hold many of his positions but I agree he's not the greatest spokesperson for libertarian positions. But it's the first time a libertarian candidate has had some major exposure, so I think many are just motivated to take advantage of that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 07, 2011, 03:22:47 PM
If we would've had the RP from 1988 today, he would've smoked the entire field. He was way more articulate back then, he is becoming older and slower now.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 07, 2011, 03:36:22 PM
*sigh*

Anyway, Mitt Romney decided to bail Donald Trump's debate!
(https://i.qkme.me/35fgjq.jpg)

Have I mentioned my love for Jack Cafferty?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25HxU7O4lmg
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 07, 2011, 03:52:04 PM
Yeah. I saw that clip. Cafferty is a great commentator.

I also think it's good Romney is distancing himself from that debate. Let clowns be clowns with Trump.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: slycordinator on December 07, 2011, 06:01:27 PM
Other than that and the fact that he's a fairly strict isolationist, he's just a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected, and frankly, in the last few debates he's sounded very much like a senile old man who can't put a coherent thought together.
I saw an interview of his on some Hispanic tv news show and he had been talking about needing to be stronger on immigration and such. The interviewer asked him why he doesn't give a different message for the Latino voters and he responded that he shouldn't placate people by giving them a different, inconsistent message just to get their votes. That's quite clearly not "saying what he needs to say in order to get elected."
Yeah, right, because he definitely wasn't telling that audience exactly what he knew they wanted to hear.  Nope, Ron Paul is the second coming of George Washington.
What the hell are you talking about? He was telling them the polar opposite of what they wanted to hear.

If you aren't following, he told a Mexican interviewer that he doesn't agree that a child of an illegal immigrant born here in the US should automatically become a citizen and was asked how he expected to get 35% of the Hispanic vote with supporting such a stance, since it's clear that most of them don't agree with him. Then he said he thought that he shouldn't cowtow to special groups and change his message.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 07, 2011, 06:10:27 PM
Nosehair, please.

Em, why are people not allowed to criticize Ron Paul? If you don't like what nosehair or I have to say, then either argue with us about it or stay out of the topic. I don't see how just making these short, semi-spammy posts like "guys stop" is helping you make your point at all.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on December 07, 2011, 06:23:40 PM
I can see where people are coming from with the 'principled' complements, and I'd generally agree with them for the most part. It's just irrelevant because I find many of the guy's views to be a ways to the right on the "sane/batshit insane" meter.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MetalMike06 on December 07, 2011, 07:28:59 PM
IMO, I don't think it's unreasonable to accuse the status quo of being batshit insane either. (I mean in the general sense, not solely Obama) We've just grown accustomed to this system which keeps digging the hole deeper.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 07, 2011, 07:32:32 PM
Nosehair, please.

Em, why are people not allowed to criticize Ron Paul? If you don't like what nosehair or I have to say, then either argue with us about it or stay out of the topic. I don't see how just making these short, semi-spammy posts like "guys stop" is helping you make your point at all.
What are you talking about? "Guys stop" When did I say that? Semi-spammy (are you, for some reason, still talking about your Nazi remark?) ??? Nosehair was making some crazy conjectures, I politely called him off; Perpetual Change, why don't you let people politely call people off? Do you always need to instigate trouble around here, you've been warned here lots of time, you know.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 07, 2011, 07:51:05 PM
Em, I am referring to the fact that you are just saying things like "sigh" and "please" when people criticize Ron Paul, instead of actually joining in the discussion. Why is that? Is it laziness, or do you just love Ron Paul so much that you consider meeting his critics in debate to be beneath your dedication to him?

And what is a "crazy conjunction"? :biggrin:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: yeshaberto on December 07, 2011, 08:04:25 PM
a "crazy conjuction" is when a "crazy" mod comes on and urges a "conjunction" between two or more users to avoid getting heated and move back to discussion
 :biggrin:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 07, 2011, 08:45:14 PM
And what is a "crazy conjunction"? :biggrin:
I dunno, but it is crazy!

When I say "sigh" or "please" it's a reply to his toooooooooooooooooooone. I don't care if he dislikes "the magnificent, can-do-no-wrong-let-him-be-heard" Dr. Ron -saviour of the world economy and instigator of peace- Paul. I would participate if comments like that could be avoided.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 07, 2011, 08:59:19 PM
Can't believe how much people are gushing over Obama's speech (https://www.salon.com/2011/12/07/the_obama_weve_been_waiting_for/) yesterday in Kansas. Like he's never used empty, meaningless populist rhetoric before.

Yeah, those big banks! Look what they did! It's wrong! Even though I take all their money and appoint their former executives and lapdogs to high level positions in my administration, you can bet I'll do my darndest to fight for you!

 I don't think you're thinking is wrong factually, I just disagree with the assessment. I don't see what was so new about his speech, it's the same old him. I think we're mostly hearing the same thing because one both Obama's (overcomed?) inexperienced and a completely corrupt and broken congress and bureaucracy; you seem to think it's more Obama's personal fault more, and he's a fraud.

We would have Elizabeth Warren heading up the Consumer Protection Bureau if Obama didn't have to deal with the treasonous Senate Republicans.

He still didn't have to appoint all those wall street goons to his administration. And nothing was new about the speech except that he was slightly more sharp-tongued, which made establishment types like Reich wet in the nether regions for whatever reason. And I think it's a combination of the two things you mentioned, not only his sliminess.

It's just like...he didn't HAVE to appoint people like Summers, Geithner, and all those other Wall Street goons who paid for his election. 

edit: That Rick Perry ad. Almost makes me want to vote for Obama :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on December 07, 2011, 09:10:30 PM
Can't believe how much people are gushing over Obama's speech (https://www.salon.com/2011/12/07/the_obama_weve_been_waiting_for/) yesterday in Kansas. Like he's never used empty, meaningless populist rhetoric before.

Yeah, those big banks! Look what they did! It's wrong! Even though I take all their money and appoint their former executives and lapdogs to high level positions in my administration, you can bet I'll do my darndest to fight for you!

 I don't think you're thinking is wrong factually, I just disagree with the assessment. I don't see what was so new about his speech, it's the same old him. I think we're mostly hearing the same thing because one both Obama's (overcomed?) inexperienced and a completely corrupt and broken congress and bureaucracy; you seem to think it's more Obama's personal fault more, and he's a fraud.

We would have Elizabeth Warren heading up the Consumer Protection Bureau if Obama didn't have to deal with the treasonous Senate Republicans.

He still didn't have to appoint all those wall street goons to his administration. And nothing was new about the speech except that he was slightly more sharp-tongued, which made establishment types like Reich wet in the nether regions for whatever reason. And I think it's a combination of the two things you mentioned, not only his sliminess.

It's just like...he didn't HAVE to appoint people like Summers, Geithner, and all those other Wall Street goons who paid for his election. 

edit: That Rick Perry ad. Almost makes me want to vote for Obama :lol

I hate to say it, but I kinda feel like he did. Nothing gets done in this country without Wall Street backing it, not even electoral victories. That's why health care reform, in the end, also had to heavily cater to corporate interests in the insurance industry. Because otherwise they won't back him, or they'll screw him later. And from the look of the last two years, they've opted with the latter.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 07, 2011, 09:25:44 PM

I hate to say it, but I kinda feel like he did. Nothing gets done in this country without Wall Street backing it, not even electoral victories.
What has that gotten us, though? Almost 4 years of same 'ol same 'ol. Someone has to break the mold.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 07, 2011, 09:54:54 PM

I hate to say it, but I kinda feel like he did. Nothing gets done in this country without Wall Street backing it, not even electoral victories.
What has that gotten us, though? Almost 4 years of same 'ol same 'ol. Someone has to break the mold.

Helps to know a thing or two about the mold to break it, but I think you point to some valid problems for Obama. In the end, I think it's really too short historically to say who or what Obama is, honest and incapable of addressing the problems with the power he has, or a sell-out politician like all the rest. Which is why I think some people are interested in what Obama is talking about now, becuase he's attacking Wall street and the establishment. Wallstreet isn't really supporting Obama too much this time around, and they also give to every candidate running, so it's hard to take their campaign contributions with too much weight.

Let's not also forget that Obama called out Citizens United shortly after it happened in his State of the Union. You basically need to prove to me that the man is a complete fraud, and I just don't see any reasons to believe that is true at this point.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 07, 2011, 10:29:20 PM
We've just grown accustomed to this system which keeps digging the hole deeper.

Or from another perspective, people have gotten accustomed to not wanting to pay for the services they enjoy. What almost defines the right-wing side of arguments is the illusion that all those nice things they currently enjoy will reemerge magically, without any penny needed from the citizen.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 08, 2011, 12:31:07 AM

I hate to say it, but I kinda feel like he did. Nothing gets done in this country without Wall Street backing it, not even electoral victories.
What has that gotten us, though? Almost 4 years of same 'ol same 'ol. Someone has to break the mold.

Helps to know a thing or two about the mold to break it, but I think you point to some valid problems for Obama. In the end, I think it's really too short historically to say who or what Obama is, honest and incapable of addressing the problems with the power he has, or a sell-out politician like all the rest. Which is why I think some people are interested in what Obama is talking about now, becuase he's attacking Wall street and the establishment. Wallstreet isn't really supporting Obama too much this time around, and they also give to every candidate running, so it's hard to take their campaign contributions with too much weight.

Let's not also forget that Obama called out Citizens United shortly after it happened in his State of the Union. You basically need to prove to me that the man is a complete fraud, and I just don't see any reasons to believe that is true at this point.

I don't know that he's a complete fraud, and obviously I can't prove it; it's just a gut feeling I have. His speeches, especially ones where he puts on the populist hat just ring empty to me. We need more of that when he's not trying to rally the base for votes. I know I rag on the president here like it's my day job, but I want to like him and give him the benefit of the doubt. He just hasn't earned that from me yet. And you know what? He won't have to.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 08, 2011, 12:49:06 AM
Well really, I think the more important issue is going to be who we elect to congress. You could put the best person in as President, and he'd still fail with what we're given. Remember that the President also has to get Senatorial approval for all of his appointees, at least the big ones like Geithner (?). The reason we don' have a Senate Republicans are filibustering a lot of appointees, for no good reason, and in some cases you could argue it's better to have a corrupt head of some department, then no head at all. But the opposite would apply if we had a Senate that wouldn't approve the nomination of someone like Geithner.

That's true with a Republican President as well.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on December 08, 2011, 07:50:34 AM

I hate to say it, but I kinda feel like he did. Nothing gets done in this country without Wall Street backing it, not even electoral victories.
What has that gotten us, though? Almost 4 years of same 'ol same 'ol. Someone has to break the mold.

Helps to know a thing or two about the mold to break it, but I think you point to some valid problems for Obama. In the end, I think it's really too short historically to say who or what Obama is, honest and incapable of addressing the problems with the power he has, or a sell-out politician like all the rest. Which is why I think some people are interested in what Obama is talking about now, becuase he's attacking Wall street and the establishment. Wallstreet isn't really supporting Obama too much this time around, and they also give to every candidate running, so it's hard to take their campaign contributions with too much weight.

Let's not also forget that Obama called out Citizens United shortly after it happened in his State of the Union. You basically need to prove to me that the man is a complete fraud, and I just don't see any reasons to believe that is true at this point.

I don't know that he's a complete fraud, and obviously I can't prove it; it's just a gut feeling I have. His speeches, especially ones where he puts on the populist hat just ring empty to me. We need more of that when he's not trying to rally the base for votes. I know I rag on the president here like it's my day job, but I want to like him and give him the benefit of the doubt. He just hasn't earned that from me yet. And you know what? He won't have to.

I mean, given that American politics is about the perpetual campaign, that's technically not even possible in the first place. And you know what? Over the course of his term so far, I've heard plenty of people (here at DTF mostly, but other places too) criticizing him for his non-electoral speeches too, for the same reasons you've given. So he can't really win either way, 'cause everyone is like to criticize him whatever the case.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 08, 2011, 08:08:43 AM
I don't doubt that.  I don't doubt it one bit.  And I really, frankly, kind of like Ron Paul.  But he's a politician.  Look at that ad!  It's intelligence-insulting bilge.  A big fat piece of bleeding red meat bullshit tossed to the hard right Tea Party crowd because he's in third place in Iowa and needs to do something.  Which is precisely my point.  He's a politician, that's what these guys do.  He seems like a nice enough guy, but when you did a little deeper he's, well, kind of a kook too. (https://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/08/16/372364/-Because-Ron-Paul-Is-Nuts,-Thats-Why)

And despite what others will claim over and over here he IS an isolationist. (https://www.conservativenewsandviews.com/2011/08/13/news/ron-paul-isolationist/) 

I really don't have anything against the guy personally, I just marvel at the legions of people who line up to kiss his ring and lots of them (not saying you or any other specific individuals here on this board) are not even really that aware of a lot of his policy positions.

Ok. Feels like we're just debating the definition of isolationism.

Quote from: Wikipedia
Nonintervention is distinct from isolationism, the latter featuring economic nationalism (protectionism) and restrictive immigration. Proponents of non-interventionism distinguish their policies from isolationism through their advocacy of more open national relations, to include diplomacy and free trade.

But whatever, as a matter of public policy, Ron Paul has got foreign policy RIGHT.


And, yeah - the cabinet level departments are discretionary spending - but NOWHERE in the ad did it suggest that the 1 trillion in cuts came only from those cabinet level departments. Did you even read this?:
See for yourself here, there's about 300B in cuts in discretionary though.
https://www.ronpaul2012.com/the-issues/ron-paul-plan-to-restore-america/ (https://www.ronpaul2012.com/the-issues/ron-paul-plan-to-restore-america/)

This is how discretionary spending would look like following Paul's plan:
(https://c3244172.r72.cf0.rackcdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/graph1.png)

But the entire ad, which I cited here word for word says exactly that! Here it is again.

What's up with these sorry politicians? Lots of bark, but when it's showtime, wimpering like little shitzus. You want big cuts, Ron Paul's been screaming it for years.  Budget crisis?  No problem!  Cut a trillion bucks year one. That's trillion with a T. Department of Education?  Gone! Interior? Energy? HUD? Commerce? Gone! Later beurocrats!  That's how Ron Paul rolls.  Wanna drain the swamp?  Ron Paul! Do it!

If that is not implying that he's going to cut $1 Trillion from the budget by eliminating those agencies, then, I don't know what else it is implying.

Regardless of that, my ENTIRE POINT was that as I have stated here, Ron Paul is a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected.  And stupid monster-truck ads like this one prove it.  He's not going to cut $1 Trillion from any budget in one year.  NO ONE IS.  That's a fucking fantasy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 08, 2011, 08:10:59 AM
FWIW, I LOVE his ideas on Foreign Policy!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 08, 2011, 08:40:02 AM
@Scheavo: Yes, replacing the entire Congress would be great, but the President is the one person who has the most power to shape public opinion and the terms of the debate through the bully pulpit. And I know, advice and consent, but he didn't have to pick the safest, most entrenched people around.

@SD: It's pretty clear he's back in actual campaign mode though, because he's been saying the right things again. 

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on December 08, 2011, 09:15:21 AM
Of course, but can you blame him? It's campaign season.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 08, 2011, 09:22:03 AM
Not really, I just don't know why people are getting all excited
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on December 08, 2011, 09:24:13 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PAJNntoRgA

Quote
I'm not ashamed to admit that I'm a Christian, but you don't need to be in the pew every Sunday to know there's something wrong in this country when gays can serve openly in the military but our kids can't openly celebrate Christmas or pray in school.
As President, I'll end Obama's war on religion. And I'll fight against liberal attacks on our religious heritage.
Faith made America strong. It can make her strong again.
I'm Rick Perry and I approve this message.


lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 08, 2011, 09:32:07 AM
YEAH THE TRUTH IS FUNNY HUH
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 08, 2011, 09:40:44 AM
But the entire ad, which I cited here word for word says exactly that! Here it is again.

What's up with these sorry politicians? Lots of bark, but when it's showtime, wimpering like little shitzus. You want big cuts, Ron Paul's been screaming it for years.  Budget crisis?  No problem!  Cut a trillion bucks year one. That's trillion with a T. Department of Education?  Gone! Interior? Energy? HUD? Commerce? Gone! Later beurocrats!  That's how Ron Paul rolls.  Wanna drain the swamp?  Ron Paul! Do it!

If that is not implying that he's going to cut $1 Trillion from the budget by eliminating those agencies, then, I don't know what else it is implying.
If that's what it suggests to you, that's what it suggests to you. But that's not the message he's trying to convey with the ad though. I never saw it in that light, but I do agree that the ad is terrible and trying to appeal to monster truck fans - but if that's what's needed for him to win the Iowa caucuses, then so be it.

Regardless of that, my ENTIRE POINT was that as I have stated here, Ron Paul is a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected.  And stupid monster-truck ads like this one prove it.  He's not going to cut $1 Trillion from any budget in one year.  NO ONE IS.  That's a fucking fantasy.

What about Gary Johnson? He has PROMISED to propose a balanced budget in the FY 2013, his first FY, if he becomes president. You don't take his word on that? His record as governor speaks for itself.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 08, 2011, 12:57:16 PM
But the entire ad, which I cited here word for word says exactly that! Here it is again.

What's up with these sorry politicians? Lots of bark, but when it's showtime, wimpering like little shitzus. You want big cuts, Ron Paul's been screaming it for years.  Budget crisis?  No problem!  Cut a trillion bucks year one. That's trillion with a T. Department of Education?  Gone! Interior? Energy? HUD? Commerce? Gone! Later beurocrats!  That's how Ron Paul rolls.  Wanna drain the swamp?  Ron Paul! Do it!

If that is not implying that he's going to cut $1 Trillion from the budget by eliminating those agencies, then, I don't know what else it is implying.
If that's what it suggests to you, that's what it suggests to you. But that's not the message he's trying to convey with the ad though. I never saw it in that light, but I do agree that the ad is terrible and trying to appeal to monster truck fans - but if that's what's needed for him to win the Iowa caucuses, then so be it.

Isn't that what I've been saying all along?  :lol   We AGREE!  Beers are on me!  :metal

Regardless of that, my ENTIRE POINT was that as I have stated here, Ron Paul is a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected.  And stupid monster-truck ads like this one prove it.  He's not going to cut $1 Trillion from any budget in one year.  NO ONE IS.  That's a fucking fantasy.

What about Gary Johnson? He has PROMISED to propose a balanced budget in the FY 2013, his first FY, if he becomes president. You don't take his word on that? His record as governor speaks for itself.


A balanced budget by FY 2013?  (https://www.kirksnosehair.com/pics/tardlol.gif)


In case that's unclear, NO, I don't take his word on it.  Besides Gary Johnson has as much chance of becoming the next President as Charles Manson
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 08, 2011, 01:28:29 PM
Gary Johnson doesn't scare off people like RP does. It's sad he has to deal with the social conservatives in the party. Even lots of progressives could agree with him on so much they'd abandon Obama.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 08, 2011, 01:53:14 PM
Gary Johnson doesn't scare off people like RP does. It's sad he has to deal with the social conservatives in the party. Even lots of progressives could agree with him on so much they'd abandon Obama.

Oh, make no mistake, I've looked him up.  He seems like a decent guy.  I have serious disagreements with him being a liberal and all, but the problem is as a candidate he's nobody.  They won't even let him into the debates.  I'm not saying I agree with that, just making an observation.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 08, 2011, 07:38:54 PM
How is it that the Republican primaries are so full of extremists? Is that really what the GOP is comprised of, or is the tail wagging the dog there?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on December 08, 2011, 08:30:32 PM
More publicity.

Moderates don't make for interesting headlines.

The American popular media can't stand for a lack of headlines.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 08, 2011, 11:07:40 PM
@Scheavo: Yes, replacing the entire Congress would be great, but the President is the one person who has the most power to shape public opinion and the terms of the debate through the bully pulpit. And I know, advice and consent, but he didn't have to pick the safest, most entrenched people around.

And I'm just asking that you pay attention to how the president is trying to shape the current public opinion. Listen to his speeches. I never heard him really sway off track, I just never heard him when I would have liked to - there were some issues he dropped / ignored / switched on, but it's a continuation of bureaucratic policies in essence. Now that it's campaign season, he not only has a reason to bring up these issues, but the media also has a greater reason to pay attention to them.

Besides, as I already pointed out, the people with the most power to shape public opinion is the Media.

As for the entrenchment, I think part of it could have to do with Obama's inexperience as President (Cabinet members would probably have the most experience in the matter), and experience is something you can't just ignore, even if you disagree with it. I hope the issue comes up in the campaign, and that Obama will change up his cabinet in some area's.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 08, 2011, 11:08:20 PM
Gary Johnson doesn't scare off people like RP does. It's sad he has to deal with the social conservatives in the party. Even lots of progressives could agree with him on so much they'd abandon Obama.

Oh, make no mistake, I've looked him up.  He seems like a decent guy.  I have serious disagreements with him being a liberal and all, but the problem is as a candidate he's nobody.  They won't even let him into the debates.  I'm not saying I agree with that, just making an observation.


Never said he was a liberal. I'm just saying a lot of progressives can find lots they like in him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 09, 2011, 04:33:40 AM
Rick Perry ad parody: https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=NtFzuGeCfkc
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 09, 2011, 08:48:31 AM
How is it that the Republican primaries are so full of extremists? Is that really what the GOP is comprised of, or is the tail wagging the dog there?

rumborak

I think it's because the primaries (on both sides) attract the most partisan elements of each party.  So, right now, you have the hard-right dominating the race because it's mostly the hard-right that will vote in the primary elections and caucuses.  The minute one of these people gets the nod, you'll see them bolt straight to the political center and only occasionally toss a hunk of red meat (gay marriage ban, low taxes for rich people, prayer in school, etc) out to the extremists.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 09, 2011, 08:50:13 AM
Gary Johnson doesn't scare off people like RP does. It's sad he has to deal with the social conservatives in the party. Even lots of progressives could agree with him on so much they'd abandon Obama.

Oh, make no mistake, I've looked him up.  He seems like a decent guy.  I have serious disagreements with him being a liberal and all, but the problem is as a candidate he's nobody.  They won't even let him into the debates.  I'm not saying I agree with that, just making an observation.


Never said he was a liberal. I'm just saying a lot of progressives can find lots they like in him.

Right.  I was talking about ME.  I have serious disagreements with him being a liberal and all (<--referring to myself there)

I probably could have worded it better.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on December 09, 2011, 09:25:36 AM
Just missing a comma...
Quote
I have serious disagreements with him, being a liberal and all
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 09, 2011, 11:13:57 AM
@Scheavo: Yes, replacing the entire Congress would be great, but the President is the one person who has the most power to shape public opinion and the terms of the debate through the bully pulpit. And I know, advice and consent, but he didn't have to pick the safest, most entrenched people around.

And I'm just asking that you pay attention to how the president is trying to shape the current public opinion. Listen to his speeches. I never heard him really sway off track, I just never heard him when I would have liked to - there were some issues he dropped / ignored / switched on, but it's a continuation of bureaucratic policies in essence. Now that it's campaign season, he not only has a reason to bring up these issues, but the media also has a greater reason to pay attention to them.

Besides, as I already pointed out, the people with the most power to shape public opinion is the Media.

As for the entrenchment, I think part of it could have to do with Obama's inexperience as President (Cabinet members would probably have the most experience in the matter), and experience is something you can't just ignore, even if you disagree with it. I hope the issue comes up in the campaign, and that Obama will change up his cabinet in some area's.



These are all fair points; however, I still don't believe him when he talks about accountability and economic equality. And about his cabinet, I've read a lot about how poor of a manager of people he is, or at least was at the start of his presidency. I would like to think he's improved since then, but how can we really know if he keeps the same power players around? It would be very nice indeed if he changed it up.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 09, 2011, 11:19:23 AM
Every president who has had a second term since I can remember (going back to Nixon) has shaken up their cabinet for their second term.  I see no reason to believe that Obama would be any different. Hillary Clinton, for example, has already stated many times that she will not serve a second term as Secretary of State (which is a damned shame, I think, because she's probably the best cabinet member he's got)


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 09, 2011, 11:20:07 AM
Just missing a comma...
Quote
I have serious disagreements with him, being a liberal and all

Yeah, you're right.  Pure laziness too.  Or should I write:  Pure laziness, too.  :P
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: sonatafanica on December 09, 2011, 11:54:09 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PAJNntoRgA

Quote
I'm not ashamed to admit that I'm a Christian, but you don't need to be in the pew every Sunday to know there's something wrong in this country when gays can serve openly in the military but our kids can't openly celebrate Christmas or pray in school.
As President, I'll end Obama's war on religion. And I'll fight against liberal attacks on our religious heritage.
Faith made America strong. It can make her strong again.
I'm Rick Perry and I approve this message.


lol

oh those poor, poor christians. always the victims.

so brave of him to admit he's a christian in a predominantly christian country



Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on December 09, 2011, 01:22:13 PM
The interesting thing about America is that in general we look down on people who do not claim to be Christian, but also look down on people who are "too Christian." In order to really fit in, you basically need to be someone who goes to church on a semi-regular basis, believe in the vague notion of a god, but don't really let it get in the way of your daily life all that much outside of giving a little bit of money to your church and maybe saying grace before dinner. Basically what I think Perry is trying to say is that he's not ashamed to say he's in with the people that are "too Christian" for your average American.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 09, 2011, 01:23:36 PM
Rick Perry is blatantly pandering to Evangelicals because they make up a large swath of Republican primary voters and his handlers know that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on December 09, 2011, 01:33:48 PM
Rick Perry is blatantly pandering to Evangelicals because they make up a large swath of Republican primary voters and his handlers know that.
Absolutely. I don't think anyone who is really a devout Christian in the sense that they try to emulate Jesus in all aspects of their life would ever go into politics. There's too much ego involved.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 09, 2011, 01:45:42 PM
Rick Perry is blatantly pandering to Evangelicals because they make up a large swath of Republican primary voters and his handlers know that.
Absolutely. I don't think anyone who is really a devout Christian in the sense that they try to emulate Jesus in all aspects of their life would ever go into politics. There's too much ego involved.

That's a very good observation and one I wholeheartedly agree with.   :hat
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 09, 2011, 03:18:04 PM
Especially in Iowa. Iowa has a huge evangelical electorate.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on December 09, 2011, 03:33:10 PM
So yeah. All that stuff is happening at my school. Cool stuff.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 09, 2011, 03:39:26 PM
So yeah. All that stuff is happening at my school. Cool stuff.
Don't see it having relevance to this election, but it was sad.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on December 09, 2011, 04:05:03 PM
Sorry. I think I was half asleep when I posted that.

I meant that the debate tomorrow night was happening at my school. Unfortunately I wasn't able to get tickets to it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 09, 2011, 04:08:36 PM
Oh, really? That bares some significance then. I hope it's dealt with in the best possible way.

Edit:

Wait a minute. LOL. I'm misreading everything, thought you meant in the first post that you were a student at Virginia Tech.

Nvm, disregard all my comments.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 09, 2011, 05:36:57 PM
This is how discretionary spending would look like following Paul's plan:
(https://c3244172.r72.cf0.rackcdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/graph1.png)
[/quote]

To quote Beverly Crusher, "When you got a patient who just got stabbed, you don't pull out the knife. That'll do more damage than leaving it in."

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: abrahamclark on December 11, 2011, 12:40:40 AM
Regardless of that, my ENTIRE POINT was that as I have stated here, Ron Paul is a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected. 

If this were true he'd say that gays are inhuman, drug prohibition is great, the patriot act is constitutional, and that we should bomb Iran.  The advertisement emphasizes a position he strongly believes in and fights for, which also concurs with the position of many voters.  This is certainly not the same as, "saying whatever he needs to say in order to get elected."




Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on December 11, 2011, 02:07:57 AM
So I saw about 5 minutes of the debate. It seemed like the republicans were just fighting over who hated Obama the most because apparently whoever does hate him the most wins.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Fiery Winds on December 11, 2011, 02:57:47 AM
Yeah, I got the impression too.  I only saw about 10 minutes, and here's my highly in depth analysis of the candidates based on months of following the race:

Bachmann:  Die Obamacare!!

Santorum:  Came across as a reasonable and nice guy.

Romney:  "I worked the private sector".  Something about his personality irks me.

Gingrich:  "I worked the private sector too Mitt!" (Referring to consulting with Freddie Mac, lol)

Paul:  Not as articulate as he used to be.

Perry:  Same as Romney regarding personality.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 11, 2011, 06:17:02 AM
Regardless of that, my ENTIRE POINT was that as I have stated here, Ron Paul is a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected. 

If this were true he'd say that gays are inhuman, drug prohibition is great, the patriot act is constitutional, and that we should bomb Iran.  The advertisement emphasizes a position he strongly believes in and fights for, which also concurs with the position of many voters.  This is certainly not the same as, "saying whatever he needs to say in order to get elected."

Wrong.  He doesn't have to say those things and you've missed my point.   But thanks for playing  :corn
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 11, 2011, 06:21:10 AM
Yeah, I got the impression too.  I only saw about 10 minutes, and here's my highly in depth analysis of the candidates based on months of following the race:

Bachmann:  Die Obamacare!!

Santorum:  Came across as a reasonable and nice guy.

Romney:  "I worked the private sector".  Something about his personality irks me.

Gingrich:  "I worked the private sector too Mitt!" (Referring to consulting with Freddie Mac, lol)

Paul:  Not as articulate as he used to be.

Perry:  Same as Romney regarding personality.

You think it's "reasonable" to force a rape victim to carry the baby to delivery?

Because that's Rick Santorum's position.  No abortion, ever, under any circumstances of any kind.  Period.

So, let's say you were married, and through an unfortunate series of events, your wife was violently raped by "Bubba" the 280 lb African American career criminal.....in Rick Santorum's world, your wife would have no choice but to deliver Bubba's baby.

Still think he's "reasonable" and "nice" now? 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 11, 2011, 09:31:25 AM
Santorum is actually well-spoken, and actually seems sincere about his opinions. He doesn't pander like the others. He might even surge soon because all other panderers implode. But it's actually going to end up being Romney vs. Paul vs. Gingrich


Edit: watched the debates and all. I think RP might surge after this. Also, Newt handled himself extremely well but is eventually going to implode anyway.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 11, 2011, 03:05:04 PM
I feel like Newt has a chance to ruin Romney.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on December 11, 2011, 04:58:11 PM
That 10,000 dollar bet comment made Romney look like a real asshole.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Fiery Winds on December 11, 2011, 05:21:32 PM
Yeah, I got the impression too.  I only saw about 10 minutes, and here's my highly in depth analysis of the candidates based on months of following the race:

Bachmann:  Die Obamacare!!

Santorum:  Came across as a reasonable and nice guy.

Romney:  "I worked the private sector".  Something about his personality irks me.

Gingrich:  "I worked the private sector too Mitt!" (Referring to consulting with Freddie Mac, lol)

Paul:  Not as articulate as he used to be.

Perry:  Same as Romney regarding personality.

You think it's "reasonable" to force a rape victim to carry the baby to delivery?

Because that's Rick Santorum's position.  No abortion, ever, under any circumstances of any kind.  Period.

So, let's say you were married, and through an unfortunate series of events, your wife was violently raped by "Bubba" the 280 lb African American career criminal.....in Rick Santorum's world, your wife would have no choice but to deliver Bubba's baby.

Still think he's "reasonable" and "nice" now?

Like I said, I'm not very familiar with any of the candidates right now other than what I saw last night. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 12, 2011, 06:22:54 AM
^fair enough, and you're right that Santorum does come off as a nice person, but when you dig a little bit under the surface, it's not too surprising that he's never polled above about 5%

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 12, 2011, 06:28:46 AM
He doesn't have what it takes to bring out enthusiasm in people. But he still might end up surging as the other candidates implode.

I have Newt max 7 more days until he begins dropping.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 12, 2011, 07:25:08 AM
Quote
RON PAUL: "We have dumped the debt on the American people through TARP funding as well as the Federal Reserve. So the debt is dumped onto people. And what did we do? We bailed out the people that were benefiting during the formation of the bubble. So as long as we do that, we're not going to have economic growth."  THE FACTS: The $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program was proposed by President George W. Bush and passed by Congress in 2008 to help rescue banks and other imperiled financial institutions. Nearly all of the money has been paid back, with interest.
 Most economists credit the program with keeping the financial system from freezing up and helping to prevent the worst recession in 30 years from becoming another Great Depression. The Federal Reserve does not operate on taxpayer money and does not receive any operating funds from the Treasury. In fact, it makes money every year from its banking operations, and turns over profits to the Treasury.
Read more: https://www1.whdh.com/news/articles/politics/12006138449283/fact-check-plenty-to-question-in-gop-debate/#ixzz1gKVSRFsI (https://www1.whdh.com/news/articles/politics/12006138449283/fact-check-plenty-to-question-in-gop-debate/#ixzz1gKVSRFsI)
 
As much as I hate giving George W. Bush credit for anything, T.A.R.P. was successful.
Quote
Rep. Ron Paul of Texas made questionable and misleading claims (https://factcheck.org/2011/09/cnntea-party-debate/) about taxes in his state since Perry became governor, saying that “our taxes [in Texas] have doubled.” We could find no evidence that taxes for Texas residents had doubled under Perry. Paul also said: “Our spending has gone up double. Our debt has gone up nearly triple.” After adjusting for inflation and population growth, the spending increase was 21 percent, not a doubling. The debt claim is a reference to the state bond debt, which has nearly tripled in real dollars. That’s not the same as running a deficit; the state has a balanced budget requirement.

Read more: https://factcheck.org/2011/12/debate-watch/


More of that famous "principled" politicking  ::)    If he'd quit saying stuff like this, resorting to distorting facts to score cheap points in debates and running monster truck ads full of monstrous amounts of hyperbole, maybe he wouldn't be stuck at 8% to 10% in most of the polls.   Or maybe I'm wrong and he needs to dial the nonsense UP instead of down? 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 12, 2011, 07:29:09 AM
He doesn't have what it takes to bring out enthusiasm in people. But he still might end up surging as the other candidates implode.

I have Newt max 7 more days until he begins dropping.

Santorum isn't going anywhere in the polls, just like Bachmann isn't going anywhere, and Huntsman neither.  I'd be astonished if any of them make further than the Florida primaries.

I hope you're wrong about Gingrich, but Mitt Romney completely blew it with that ridiculous $10,000 bet thing.   And according to most Evangelicals (who make up a huge portion of Republican primary voters) he's in a cult, so they'd rather embrace Gingrich, the serial adulterer than a guy in a cult.  I guess you can "repent" from adultery, but being in a cult is a no-no.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 12, 2011, 01:19:16 PM
Why would you hope I'm wrong? I'm saying that Newt's poll numbers should begin to drop substantially within 7 days.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 12, 2011, 01:29:08 PM
Why would you hope I'm wrong? I'm saying that Newt's poll numbers should begin to drop substantially within 7 days.

Why would I say I hope you're wrong?  Because Obama polls strongest against Gingrich in a general election match-up.  So, I want Gingrich to win the Republican Primaries and be their nominee, because frankly, I think Obama will landslide him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MetalMike06 on December 12, 2011, 01:29:58 PM
Quote
RON PAUL: "We have dumped the debt on the American people through TARP funding as well as the Federal Reserve. So the debt is dumped onto people. And what did we do? We bailed out the people that were benefiting during the formation of the bubble. So as long as we do that, we're not going to have economic growth."  THE FACTS: The $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program was proposed by President George W. Bush and passed by Congress in 2008 to help rescue banks and other imperiled financial institutions. Nearly all of the money has been paid back, with interest.
 Most economists credit the program with keeping the financial system from freezing up and helping to prevent the worst recession in 30 years from becoming another Great Depression. The Federal Reserve does not operate on taxpayer money and does not receive any operating funds from the Treasury. In fact, it makes money every year from its banking operations, and turns over profits to the Treasury.
Read more: https://www1.whdh.com/news/articles/politics/12006138449283/fact-check-plenty-to-question-in-gop-debate/#ixzz1gKVSRFsI (https://www1.whdh.com/news/articles/politics/12006138449283/fact-check-plenty-to-question-in-gop-debate/#ixzz1gKVSRFsI)
 
As much as I hate giving George W. Bush credit for anything, T.A.R.P. was successful.

Read this (https://www.lewrockwell.com/blog/lewrw/archives/100489.html) actually right before I read your post.
Quote
An Associated Press article purporting to correct the errors of the candidates in last weekend's GOP presidential debate includes the following passage:

Quote
RON PAUL: "We have dumped the debt on the American people through TARP funding as well as the Federal Reserve. So the debt is dumped onto people. And what did we do? We bailed out the people that were benefiting during the formation of the bubble. So as long as we do that, we're not going to have economic growth."

THE FACTS: The $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program was proposed by President George W. Bush and passed by Congress in 2008 to help rescue banks and other imperiled financial institutions. Nearly all of the money has been paid back, with interest.

Most economists credit the program with keeping the financial system from freezing up and helping to prevent the worst recession in 30 years from becoming another Great Depression. The Federal Reserve does not operate on taxpayer money and does not receive any operating funds from the Treasury. In fact, it makes money every year from its banking operations, and turns over profits to the Treasury.

A necessarily speculative counterfactual claim made by some economists is scarcely a "fact," and we might wonder about the value of a consensus among economists in the first place in light of their rather unimpressive performance in understanding the economy over the past ten years. David Stockman, on the other hand, notes that "30 months after the fact, evidence that the American economy had been on the edge of a nuclear-style meltdown [at the time TARP was passed] is nowhere to be found."

On the "TARP money was repaid" front, I note the comments of Dean Baker:


Quote
We are also supposed to feel good that the vast majority of the TARP money was repaid. This is another effort to prey on the public's ignorance. Had it not been for the bailout, most of the major center banks would have been wiped out. This would have destroyed the fortunes of their shareholders, many of their creditors, and their top executives. This would have been a massive redistribution to the rest of society — their loss is our gain.

It is important to remember that the economy would be no less productive following the demise of these Wall Street giants. The only economic fact that would have been different is that the Wall Street crew would have lost claims to hundreds of billions of dollars of the economy's output each year and trillions of dollars of wealth. That money would instead be available for the rest of society. The fact that they have lost the claim to wealth from their stock and bond holdings makes all the rest of us richer once the economy is again operating near normal levels of output.

Instead, we have the same Wall Street crew calling the shots, doing business pretty much as they always did. The rest of us are sitting here dealing with wreckage of their recklessness: 9.6 percent unemployment and the loss of much of the middle class's savings in their homes and their retirement accounts. And the lackeys of the Wall Street crew are telling us that we should be thankful that we didn't have a second Great Depression. Maybe we don't have the power to keep the bankers from picking our pockets, but we don't have to believe their lies.

And finally, Ron Paul never said the Fed got money from the Treasury; presumably we can trust that a guy who's written as much as Ron Paul has on the Fed knows something as elementary as this. The point, rather, is that when the Fed qualitatively degrades its balance sheet, as when it swaps decent assets for lousy ones, it harms holders of dollars. The mechanism works like this: When the Fed wants to withdraw money from the economy it sells assets — but if its assets are lousy and won't fetch many dollars, it has a more difficult time reversing its earlier expansionist monetary policy, and the likelihood of price inflation is now all the greater.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 12, 2011, 01:37:15 PM
Hmm, yeah, Dean Baker and the CEPR?  Nah, I'll stick with FactCheck.org.  And I'm a liberal.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 12, 2011, 02:49:20 PM
We are also supposed to feel good that the vast majority of the TARP money was repaid. This is another effort to prey on the public's ignorance. Had it not been for the bailout, most of the major center banks would have been wiped out. This would have destroyed the fortunes of their shareholders, many of their creditors, and their top executives. This would have been a massive redistribution to the rest of society — their loss is our gain.

[...]The only economic fact that would have been different is that the Wall Street crew would have lost claims to hundreds of billions of dollars of the economy's output each year and trillions of dollars of wealth. That money would instead be available for the rest of society. The fact that they have lost the claim to wealth from their stock and bond holdings makes all the rest of us richer once the economy is again operating near normal levels of output.

It's hard to imagine a more retarded argument than that. I guess he doesn't like the Great Depression as a data point, does he?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: abrahamclark on December 12, 2011, 07:21:26 PM
Regardless of that, my ENTIRE POINT was that as I have stated here, Ron Paul is a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected. 

If this were true he'd say that gays are inhuman, drug prohibition is great, the patriot act is constitutional, and that we should bomb Iran.  The advertisement emphasizes a position he strongly believes in and fights for, which also concurs with the position of many voters.  This is certainly not the same as, "saying whatever he needs to say in order to get elected."

Wrong.  He doesn't have to say those things and you've missed my point.   But thanks for playing  :corn

Your argument wasn't missed, it's simply nonsensical.  Your claim is almost laughable considering that Paul is one of the most consistent politicians of our day.  Even those who disagree with him will admit he votes in accordance with what he says.   
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MetalMike06 on December 12, 2011, 07:38:54 PM

It's hard to imagine a more retarded argument than that. I guess he doesn't like the Great Depression as a data point, does he?


Many people don't. There's still plenty of debate over that to this day.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: abrahamclark on December 12, 2011, 09:18:01 PM

It's hard to imagine a more retarded argument than that. I guess he doesn't like the Great Depression as a data point, does he?


Many people don't. There's still plenty of debate over that to this day.

Murray Rothbard's explanation for the Great Depression is the closest inline with Paul's. https://mises.org/Rothbard/AGD.pdf
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on December 12, 2011, 09:45:39 PM
I'm kind of torn on Ron Paul.  I agree with a lot of what he says,  but he suffers from the same delusions that many Libertarians do, which is that political ideology has to be pure to work.  Hell,  Republicans and Democrats both occasionally get things right. 

I do think he has integrity.  I also think it's worth noticing that it's an easy thing to have when you know there aren't any consequences.  He can vote against spending bills because his general philosophy says to,  but he also knows that they'll pass anyway.  He certainly understands the game.  Attach expenditures and earmarks for your district, and then vote against the bill!   :lol

What I really do appreciate about him is something I read a while back from a former Republican Whip,  who said that there was a general understanding that you could crack any heads necessary to get a bill to pass,  but leave RP the hell alone.  Nothing you're going to do will persuade him,  so spend your efforts elsewhere.  I wish there were 500 more people like that in Congress.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: abrahamclark on December 12, 2011, 10:00:26 PM
I'm kind of torn on Ron Paul.  I agree with a lot of what he says,  but he suffers from the same delusions that many Libertarians do, which is that political ideology has to be pure to work.  Hell,  Republicans and Democrats both occasionally get things right. 

I do think he has integrity.  I also think it's worth noticing that it's an easy thing to have when you know there aren't any consequences.  He can vote against spending bills because his general philosophy says to,  but he also knows that they'll pass anyway.  He certainly understands the game.  Attach expenditures and earmarks for your district, and then vote against the bill!   :lol

What I really do appreciate about him is something I read a while back from a former Republican Whip,  who said that there was a general understanding that you could crack any heads necessary to get a bill to pass,  but leave RP the hell alone.  Nothing you're going to do will persuade him,  so spend your efforts elsewhere.  I wish there were 500 more people like that in Congress.

Just a note on earmarks.  He supports them because his interpretation of the constitution is that only the Congress has the power to appropriate funds.  If earmarks weren't in place, the President could spend the money however he/she saw fit. I hear you on the ideological front, many people like the idea of a Paul-Nader, Paul-Sanders, or vice-versa ticket, to add some balance.

On another note, it's nice to see you are still on here El Barto. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on December 12, 2011, 10:10:33 PM
I'm kind of torn on Ron Paul.  I agree with a lot of what he says,  but he suffers from the same delusions that many Libertarians do, which is that political ideology has to be pure to work.  Hell,  Republicans and Democrats both occasionally get things right. 

I do think he has integrity.  I also think it's worth noticing that it's an easy thing to have when you know there aren't any consequences.  He can vote against spending bills because his general philosophy says to,  but he also knows that they'll pass anyway.  He certainly understands the game.  Attach expenditures and earmarks for your district, and then vote against the bill!   :lol

What I really do appreciate about him is something I read a while back from a former Republican Whip,  who said that there was a general understanding that you could crack any heads necessary to get a bill to pass,  but leave RP the hell alone.  Nothing you're going to do will persuade him,  so spend your efforts elsewhere.  I wish there were 500 more people like that in Congress.

Just a note on earmarks.  He supports them because his interpretation of the constitution is that only the Congress has the power to appropriate funds.  If earmarks weren't in place, the President could spend the money however he/she saw fit. I hear you on the ideological front, many people like the idea of a Paul-Nader, Paul-Sanders, or vice-versa ticket, to add some balance.

On another note, it's nice to see you are still on here El Barto.
I think he's just playing the game well.   :lol 

And more power to him.  As long as he's voting his conscience,  and I think he is,  I have no problem with him hedging his bets for the benefit of his constituents.  Hell,  most of his colleagues are doing neither. 

And thanks.  I was happy to see you pop back up.  Been a while. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 12, 2011, 11:04:04 PM

It's hard to imagine a more retarded argument than that. I guess he doesn't like the Great Depression as a data point, does he?


Many people don't. There's still plenty of debate over that to this day.

What I mean is, I think it's not exactly up to debate that people were piss-poor at the outcome of the Great Depression. The guy makes it sound as if banks are big silos of money, and once they explode everybody can just pick up dollar bills from the wreckage.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 12, 2011, 11:10:35 PM
Not if it's fractional reserve anyway :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 13, 2011, 12:25:22 PM
Regardless of that, my ENTIRE POINT was that as I have stated here, Ron Paul is a typical politician who will say whatever he needs to say in order to get elected. 

If this were true he'd say that gays are inhuman, drug prohibition is great, the patriot act is constitutional, and that we should bomb Iran.  The advertisement emphasizes a position he strongly believes in and fights for, which also concurs with the position of many voters.  This is certainly not the same as, "saying whatever he needs to say in order to get elected."


Wrong.  He doesn't have to say those things and you've missed my point.   But thanks for playing  :corn

Your argument wasn't missed, it's simply nonsensical.  Your claim is almost laughable considering that Paul is one of the most consistent politicians of our day.  Even those who disagree with him will admit he votes in accordance with what he says.

Right, he's never pandered to any political constituency.   He's Ron Paul.   ::)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 13, 2011, 12:38:43 PM
You tell me when he last pandered. Whenever he actually does something the crowd likes, at least he doesn't sacrifice his principles when doing it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 13, 2011, 01:17:44 PM
You tell me when he last pandered. Whenever he actually does something the crowd likes, at least he doesn't sacrifice his principles when doing it.

Well, let's make sure we have the definition of pandering (in the realm of politics) (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandering_%28politics%29) out here, because I know not everyone here is a native English speaker.

Now, with that out there, because he's Ron Paul, I know that many (maybe even most) who support him here are still going to refuse to acknowledge that -like every politician in office- he panders (https://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/saint-paul-inside-ron-paul-effort-convince-christian-150637605.html) to whatever constituency he deems necessary to get him elected.  And he's never sacrificed his principles, except when he did. (https://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,508604,00.html)

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 13, 2011, 01:33:36 PM
I don't want to defend Paul to the grave, but I can't see how he sacrificed his principles there. He was going to vote against it anyway, so you might fill it up with grease to help your constituents. He at least represents his district well, compared to most other congressmen.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 13, 2011, 01:57:00 PM
You tell me when he last pandered. Whenever he actually does something the crowd likes, at least he doesn't sacrifice his principles when doing it.

Well, let's make sure we have the definition of pandering (in the realm of politics) (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandering_%28politics%29) out here, because I know not everyone here is a native English speaker.

Now, with that out there, because he's Ron Paul, I know that many (maybe even most) who support him here are still going to refuse to acknowledge that -like every politician in office- he panders (https://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/saint-paul-inside-ron-paul-effort-convince-christian-150637605.html) to whatever constituency he deems necessary to get him elected.  And he's never sacrificed his principles, except when he did. (https://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,508604,00.html)

That doesn't seem to being pandering so much as pragmatic to me.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 13, 2011, 02:18:08 PM
Pandering to your current audience is very pragmatic.  They all do it.  And it's easy to see why.    Some do it more than others, and some do it in direct conflict with their stated political positions.  Paul is not someone who does it very often, and for that I give him credit.  But it just triggers my  ::) reaction when Paulbots claim he's like the second coming of Jesus and can do no wrong.  You don't stay in congress as long as Ron Paul has stayed in congress without making some sausage.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 13, 2011, 02:46:55 PM
Well, he does some sausage to his district, but that's as far as it goes. As pointed out, he's giving his constituents back their tax money :).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 13, 2011, 02:49:10 PM
Well, he does some sausage to his district, but that's as far as it goes. As pointed out, he's giving his constituents back their tax money :) .

Right, and he does that out of one side of his mouth while condemning the very same practice out of the other side.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 13, 2011, 03:08:44 PM
PAUL: But — but, Neil — Neil, you're — you're missing the whole point.

The principle of the earmark is our responsibility. We're supposed to — it's like a — a tax credit. And I vote for all tax credits, no matter how silly they might seem. If I can give you any of you of your money back, I vote for it. So, if I can give my district any money back, I encourage that.




MAJOR EDIT:
Found this video with Ron Paul himself explaining this earmarks thing:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xgvrXFehWok (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xgvrXFehWok)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 15, 2011, 08:19:26 PM
Iowa debate right now. https://live.foxnews.com/ Ron Paul doesn't talk as smoothly as others, he stutters a lot, but he answers the questions he's been asked.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 15, 2011, 09:15:21 PM
Man, Megan Kelly would probably be able to convince me to become a Republican  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 15, 2011, 10:48:39 PM
Dear FOX, please do not use the Google Chat message sound for the you're-talking-too-long sound. Some people may have Gmail open, you know.

Didn't last longer than 15 minutes in, couldn't stand the verbal masturbation those things are. So, no idea who was good and who wasn't. Too many candidates in the fold, too much blablah.

EDIT: Huh, hotel TV has it on too just now. Haha, Paul is almost the Democrat in the group! :lol

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 16, 2011, 12:01:58 AM
I've just watched a few clips. The warmongering is absolutely horrifying. I'm really glad Paul is there if for that reason only https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1dKp6Ej7I2E
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 16, 2011, 12:36:44 AM
Yeah, I definitely agree. It was disturbing to hear the thinly veiled warmongering, and refreshing to hear Paul talk sense (for the most part). Not that he really has a supportable foreign policy himself, but he calls out the other candidate on their ridiculous stances.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on December 16, 2011, 02:01:13 AM
It's like my friend says. I might not agree some of Ron Paul's points, but it seems like he's the only one up there making any sense at all.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 16, 2011, 05:47:24 AM
I don't like how RP handled himself on Iran this time around, even though he is right on the issue.

Not good among Republican voters. I hope that debate performance doesn't hurt him in the Iowa caucus.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on December 16, 2011, 06:04:11 AM
Pretty much what everyone else has said: I can't abide by his FP, but I'm really glad he came out and said that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 16, 2011, 03:46:33 PM
RON PAUL ON EARMARKS:

Kirk, you ought to read this:

https://www.ronpaul.com/on-the-issues/earmark-reform/ (https://www.ronpaul.com/on-the-issues/earmark-reform/)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: pogoowner on December 17, 2011, 10:14:56 AM
Leno actually let Ron Paul talk for quite some time in his recent interview. Pretty good stuff.

https://ronpaulflix.com/2011/12/ron-paul-with-jay-leno-dec-16-2011

Edit: Well, I see this was already posted in the chat thread.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 17, 2011, 10:22:23 AM
I hate Jay Leno's guts but it was good that he let Paul actually speak.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 17, 2011, 11:00:35 AM
I thought Paul's visit to Leno could be seen as good and bad. I'm convinced that it could lead to more liberals being exposed to his views and might vote for him. But among conservatives, what he said about Bachmann and Santorum might not be to his benefit.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 17, 2011, 12:15:13 PM
That was the best part :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 17, 2011, 12:54:01 PM
I thought Paul's visit to Leno could be seen as good and bad. I'm convinced that it could lead to more liberals being exposed to his views and might vote for him. But among conservatives, what he said about Bachmann and Santorum might not be to his benefit.

Honestly, I'm pretty sure liberals know who Ron Paul is.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 17, 2011, 02:56:41 PM
I thought Paul's visit to Leno could be seen as good and bad. I'm convinced that it could lead to more liberals being exposed to his views and might vote for him. But among conservatives, what he said about Bachmann and Santorum might not be to his benefit.

Honestly, I'm pretty sure liberals know who Ron Paul is.
I said more liberals would get convinced.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 17, 2011, 03:00:35 PM
I thought Paul's visit to Leno could be seen as good and bad. I'm convinced that it could lead to more liberals being exposed to his views and might vote for him. But among conservatives, what he said about Bachmann and Santorum might not be to his benefit.

Honestly, I'm pretty sure liberals know who Ron Paul is.
I said more liberals would get convinced.

May be what you meant, but what you said is that more liberals would be exposed to his views, which implies that they are not already aware of his views.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 17, 2011, 03:04:16 PM
Nah, they'd just get convinced to actually make an effort and go vote in the primaries/caucuses.

Not many, but maybe a few.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on December 17, 2011, 03:34:40 PM
Nah, they'd just get convinced to actually make an effort and go vote in the primaries/caucuses.

Not many, but maybe a few.

Eh, they'd have to register republican to do so.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: abrahamclark on December 17, 2011, 04:02:49 PM
RON PAUL ON EARMARKS:

Kirk, you ought to read this:

https://www.ronpaul.com/on-the-issues/earmark-reform/ (https://www.ronpaul.com/on-the-issues/earmark-reform/)

Your effort to explain the difference between earmarks and pork is apparently futile.  Somehow perception has been swayed into confusion; I admire your tenacity.  I'll try one last analogy for others:

We have choice A, B and amendment C.

Choice A: Allows Jones to steal Smith's bread.  (Lose)
Choice B: Does not allow Jones to steal Smith's bread. (Win)

Amendment C: Restricts Jones to only stealing 70% of Smith's bread if Choice A is chosen.  (Lose Win)

Ron Paul chooses Choice B with Amendment C just in case.  He votes for Choice B, but he includes amendment C in the worst case scenario that Choice A is chosen.

He doesn't support the spending bill, but if a spending bill is to pass then the best case scenario is that he has a say in how the money is delegated, otherwise the President can spend it however he/she sees fit.

The only remaining argument is that Paul truly wants Choice A with Amendment C to be chosen, i.e., he makes a safe bet.  This is of course an improvable assumption.

 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on December 17, 2011, 04:24:20 PM
Or there's my scenario.  Paul votes for choice B,  but knows that A is inevitable,  so he tacks on Amendment D which says that his family gets 15% of the stolen bread.  Once again,  I'm not saying that this is a bad thing.  Only that it casts a pall of uncertainty over his integrity.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 17, 2011, 04:34:46 PM
Abraham, I see your point, but the earmarking is done for transparency reasons as I read Paul's statements. It puts it in the hands of the congress.


Anyway, RP @ Jay Leno. He's going to lose Iowa due to the last remarks on the candidates, but he's going to catch fire in other states from non-fundamentalists. Those remarks do not fly well with the evangelical base in Iowa too.

The next few days are going to be REALLY important, how this is handled.


Also, I'm really worried about momentum after the last debate on Iran.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: abrahamclark on December 17, 2011, 04:46:32 PM
Or there's my scenario.  Paul votes for choice B,  but knows that A is inevitable,  so he tacks on Amendment D which says that his family gets 15% of the stolen bread.  Once again,  I'm not saying that this is a bad thing.  Only that it casts a pall of uncertainty over his integrity.

I actually addressed that:

Quote
The only remaining argument is that Paul truly wants Choice A with Amendment C to be chosen, i.e., he makes a safe bet.  This is of course an improvable assumption.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: abrahamclark on December 17, 2011, 04:48:37 PM
Anyway, RP @ Jay Leno. He's going to lose Iowa due to the last remarks on the candidates, but he's going to catch fire in other states from non-fundamentalists. Those remarks do not fly well with the evangelical base in Iowa too.

The next few days are going to be REALLY important, how this is handled.

Also, I'm really worried about momentum after the last debate on Iran.

He's still doing just as well.  The polls haven't dropped.  His core support has quadrupled this election and his core doesn't leave.  I didn't like his comment on Bachman either, but it was overall a great interview and his comment was more or less supposed to be a joke.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 17, 2011, 04:53:42 PM
Except that it's true, so there's that as well :p
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on December 17, 2011, 05:11:54 PM
Or there's my scenario.  Paul votes for choice B,  but knows that A is inevitable,  so he tacks on Amendment D which says that his family gets 15% of the stolen bread.  Once again,  I'm not saying that this is a bad thing.  Only that it casts a pall of uncertainty over his integrity.

I actually addressed that:

Quote
The only remaining argument is that Paul truly wants Choice A with Amendment C to be chosen, i.e., he makes a safe bet.  This is of course an improvable assumption.
For one thing,  my amendment D is different from your amendment C.  Also,  I'm willing to give him the benefit of the doubt that he really doesn't want A to happen at all. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 18, 2011, 09:50:50 PM
https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/12/paul-leads-in-iowa.html

December 18, 2011
Paul leads in Iowa

Newt Gingrich's campaign is rapidly imploding, and Ron Paul has now taken the lead in Iowa.  He's at 23% to 20% for Mitt Romney, 14% for Gingrich, 10% each for Rick Santorum, Michele Bachmann, and Rick Perry, 4% for Jon Huntsman, and 2% for Gary Johnson.

Gingrich has now seen a big drop in his Iowa standing two weeks in a row.  His share of the vote has gone from 27% to 22% to 14%.  And there's been a large drop in his personal favorability numbers as well from +31 (62/31) to +12 (52/40) to now -1 (46/47). Negative ads over the last few weeks have really chipped away at Gingrich's image as being a strong conservative- now only 36% of voters believe that he has 'strong principles,' while 43% think he does not.

Paul's ascendancy is a sign that perhaps campaigns do matter at least a little, in a year where there has been a lot of discussion about whether they still do in Iowa.  22% of voters think he's run the best campaign in the state compared to only 8% for Gingrich and 5% for Romney. The only other candidate to hit double digits on that question is Bachmann at 19%. Paul also leads Romney 26-5 (with Gingrich at 13%) with the 22% of voters who say it's 'very important' that a candidate spends a lot of time in Iowa.  Finally Paul leads Romney 29-19 among the 26% of likely voters who have seen one of the candidates in person.

Paul's base of support continues to rely on some unusual groups for a Republican contest.  Among voters under 45 he's at 33% to 16% for Romney and 11% for Gingrich.  He's really going to need that younger than normal electorate because with seniors Romney's blowing him out 31-15 with Gingrich coming in 2nd at 18%. Paul is also cleaning up 35-14 with the 24% of voters who identify as either Democrats or independents. Romney is actually ahead 22-19 with GOP voters.  Young people and non-Republicans are an unusual coalition to hang your hat on in Iowa, and it will be interesting to see if Paul can actually pull it off.

Romney's vote share is up 4 points from a week ago to 20% from it previous 16% standing. His favorability numbers have improved a little bit as well from 48/44 to 49/40. One thing Romney really has going for him is more room for growth than Paul.  Among voters who say they're not firmly committed to their current candidate choice, Romney is the second choice for 19% compared to 17% for Perry, 15% for Bachmann, and only 13% for Paul.   It's particularly worth noting that among Gingrich- who seems more likely to keep falling than turn it around- voters, he's the second choice of 30% compared to only 11% for Paul.

In addition to having more support right now Paul also has firmer support (73% solidly committed) than Romney does (68% solidly committed.) But at the same time Romney appears to have more room for growth, which could allow him to overtake Paul in the last two weeks.

Two other notes on Romney: he's now winning the electability primary- 25% of voters think he would have the best chance to defeat Obama compared to 17% for Gingrich and 16% for Paul. And he also leads Paul 24-18 among voters who watched the Sioux City debate on Thursday night, confirming general perception that he had the stronger performance.

The rest of the field isn't getting much traction. Among the three candidates tied at 10%, Santorum has gained a couple points compared to last week, Perry has moved up a single point, and Bachmann is down a point. There is some indication that Iowans are warming up to Perry a little bit. He's gone from a -4 (43/47) favorability to a +8 (48/40).

With six candidates in double digits there are still a lot of different things that could happen the final two weeks in Iowa. But it looks like Paul and Romney have emerged as the clear front runners.

Full results here: https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IA_1218925.pdf

:dangerwillrobinson:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on December 18, 2011, 10:25:07 PM
No matter what happens, I don't think he's getting the nom. At best he'll declare his candidacy for a third party ticket.

Unless I'm totally missing the point of that article, in which case just ignore me.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 19, 2011, 01:50:24 AM
He's not gonna get the nomination in the end. What I hope it does though is to force the other candidates to assume some of his stances, and that is good.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on December 19, 2011, 04:24:08 AM
He's not gonna get the nomination in the end. What I hope it does though is to force the other candidates to assume some of his stances, and that is good.

rumborak
I'm sure that Romney will, or already has.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 19, 2011, 05:35:01 AM
No matter what happens, I don't think he's getting the nom. At best he'll declare his candidacy for a third party ticket.

Unless I'm totally missing the point of that article, in which case just ignore me.
Nah, he clearly stated on Leno that those kind of comments happen because he's rising on the polls. I think there's no way he'll leave the Republican Party.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on December 19, 2011, 07:34:51 AM
He's not gonna get the nomination in the end. What I hope it does though is to force the other candidates to assume some of his stances, and that is good.

rumborak
I'm sure that Romney will, or already has.

He has today, but what about tomorrow? :P (kidding, btw)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 19, 2011, 09:21:42 AM
I thought Paul's visit to Leno could be seen as good and bad. I'm convinced that it could lead to more liberals being exposed to his views and might vote for him. But among conservatives, what he said about Bachmann and Santorum might not be to his benefit.

Honestly, I'm pretty sure liberals know who Ron Paul is.

And I'm equally sure that very few actual liberals would ever vote for a guy who will pack the courts with more right-wingers.  His position on abortion alone disqualifies him as someone I can vote for and I know most of my liberal friends feel the same way.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 19, 2011, 09:27:12 AM
He's not gonna get the nomination in the end. What I hope it does though is to force the other candidates to assume some of his stances, and that is good.

rumborak

It's the same as any other primary election.   Once the nominee is "picked" (most likely Romney, but still up for grabs) and they are running directly against Obama, they'll head straight for the political center, just like George W. "We shouldn't use our troops for nation building" Bush did.  Then if/when they are elected,  it's amnesia time.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on December 19, 2011, 09:26:31 PM
This is interesting:  Washington Post article (https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/romney-says-gingrichs-idea-to-send-police-after-judges-neither-practical-nor-constitutional/2011/12/19/gIQA7LnQ5O_story.html)
Quote
By Associated Press, Updated: Monday, December 19, 7:12 PM

WASHINGTON — Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney says rival Newt Gingrich’s idea to send Capitol Police or U.S. marshals to bring judges before lawmakers to explain their decisions is neither practical nor constitutional.

Romney says the answer to out-of-control judges is not to tear up the Constitution and say that Congress is the ultimate power in the country. Instead, he says the Constitution should be followed when it comes to removing judges or reversing judicial decisions.

Romney made the comments Monday night on the Fox News Channel.

Over the weekend, Gingrich leveled wide-ranging criticism at the judicial system and suggested that as president he could ignore some Supreme Court decisions and would seek to abolish left-leaning courts. He also said Congress should subpoena judges to explain their decisions to lawmakers.
It's not Newt's position that intrigues me; we all know he's a loon.  It's that Romney is wanting to remove judges and reverse their decisions if he disagrees with them,  and he's coming off as the reasonable sort.  This is actually exactly what's been happening in American politics for a while.  The right keeps foisting maniacs out to represent them, and the effect is to slide the fulcrum a little to the right.  That's why we have a Republican president who's mascaraing as a democrat,  and half the country no longer recognizes that he's essentially the second coming of their patron saint, Lord Reagan. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 19, 2011, 09:40:41 PM
I thought Paul's visit to Leno could be seen as good and bad. I'm convinced that it could lead to more liberals being exposed to his views and might vote for him. But among conservatives, what he said about Bachmann and Santorum might not be to his benefit.

Honestly, I'm pretty sure liberals know who Ron Paul is.

And I'm equally sure that very few actual liberals would ever vote for a guy who will pack the courts with more right-wingers. His position on abortion alone disqualifies him as someone I can vote for and I know most of my liberal friends feel the same way.
:therearenowords:

I wonder if you really know his position. It basically reminds me of this (just replace the fake "I don't believe in Evolution;" he does.) Deal wtih:

(https://i.imgur.com/bXcty.jpg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on December 19, 2011, 09:46:26 PM
I don't get why that is a facepalm? I feel the same way.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 19, 2011, 11:32:09 PM
I don't get it either. It says a lot about "Dr." Ron Paul and his supposed adherence to reason.
Not only that, but Obama "believes" in Empire? He "believes" in corporate wars? I think that picture kinda illustrates the level of discourse in a significant portion of Paul's following.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 20, 2011, 05:02:17 AM
Emindead, it's just something that might throw off voters - his stance on abortion that is.

It also abandons a lot of libertarians. Actually most libertarians are pro-choice and not pro-life.

And I don't see how his stance on evolution at all should matter when it comes to public policy. It's not like he's trying to force schools to teach intelligent design to my knowledge.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 20, 2011, 06:22:41 AM
Ron Paul is pro-life, yet still he wants that each State to decide whether it's legal to practice it or not - pretty reasonable. (I'm hugely pro-life yet if someone is pro-choice and still proposed and had a record like Paul, i.e. being consistent for a great amount of time, I wouldn't doubt to vote for him. It actually seems pretty fucking stupid not to vote for a guy just because his stance on abortion is contrary to mine. Each person has his views, sure, it doesn't make them less stupid when there are bigger issues at stake.)

jsem, even if most Libertarians are pro-choice it doesn't matter in the individual level.

And I don't see how his stance on evolution at all should matter when it comes to public policy. It's not like he's trying to force schools to teach intelligent design to my knowledge.
It should not. The example just tried to make a point on the "I won't vote for him because he's 'ridiculous' on this precise instance", hence the "ignore the fake stance".
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on December 20, 2011, 06:33:11 AM
I don't get it either. It says a lot about "Dr." Ron Paul and his supposed adherence to reason.
Not only that, but Obama "believes" in Empire? He "believes" in corporate wars? I think that picture kinda illustrates the level of discourse in a significant portion of Paul's following.

rumborak

Pretty much this. I'm sorry but it's just plain ridiculous, and about half of those belong to Chimpy anyway.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 20, 2011, 07:22:28 AM
I honestly don't even know what just happened there, but the only thing I can really react with is (https://www.kirksnosehair.com/pics/smilies/scratchhead.gif)

The graphic that was posted had nothing to do with my comment.  I'm reminded of the three stooges episode where Moe, Larry and Curly are sleeping on a train and Moe gets woken up by Larry who is snoring so he slaps Curly and tells him "wake up and go to sleep"  :lol

Ron Paul is pro-life.  That's a well documented fact.  Ron Paul will nominate conservative judges.  Judges who would continue to bring us wonderful things like the Citizens United case which brought us corporate personhood.   But his pro-life stance alone renders him disqualified to any liberal, including this liberal.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 20, 2011, 07:49:04 AM
Not that I think you should vote for Ron Paul or anything, but why do you always bring up that classification, "liberal," like it's some cookie cutter mold that people fall neatly into? Hell, one could consider a lot of my views "liberal" (although I probably wouldn't label myself as such) and I'm *considering* voting for the man.

It's just that in the current political climate, social issues - especially ones that don't directly affect me - aren't as important to me right now.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on December 20, 2011, 07:52:35 AM
Ron Paul is pro-life, yet still he wants that each State to decide whether it's legal to practice it or not - pretty reasonable. (I'm hugely pro-life yet if someone is pro-choice and still proposed and had a record like Paul, i.e. being consistent for a great amount of time, I wouldn't doubt to vote for him. It actually seems pretty fucking stupid not to vote for a guy just because his stance on abortion is contrary to mine. Each person has his views, sure, it doesn't make them less stupid when there are bigger issues at stake.)

jsem, even if most Libertarians are pro-choice it doesn't matter in the individual level.

And I don't see how his stance on evolution at all should matter when it comes to public policy. It's not like he's trying to force schools to teach intelligent design to my knowledge.
It should not. The example just tried to make a point on the "I won't vote for him because he's 'ridiculous' on this precise instance", hence the "ignore the fake stance".

So I'm confused... instead of being an educated voter and searching for a candidate that is of the same opinions and mindset as myself, I should be searching for what? The most handsome? The best speaker? If we aren't looking at beliefs and stances on issues, what are we looking at?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 20, 2011, 08:12:13 AM
Emindead, you just have to get over the fact that for some people, the question of abortion is so important that they cannot in their mind support a pro-life or a pro-choice candidate at all.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 20, 2011, 08:49:26 AM
Not that I think you should vote for Ron Paul or anything, but why do you always bring up that classification, "liberal," like it's some cookie cutter mold that people fall neatly into? Hell, one could consider a lot of my views "liberal" (although I probably wouldn't label myself as such) and I'm *considering* voting for the man.

It's just that in the current political climate, social issues - especially ones that don't directly affect me - aren't as important to me right now.

Why do I always bring it up? Fist of all, I am a liberal.  And I'm not afraid of admitting it.  I'm not saying you or anyone else here is afraid of anything, but you know, when you get to the point when you've been on this earth for about half a century, you really stop giving a shit what people think and just be who you are.  Who I am is a liberal and a registered Democrat.  So, since we're talking about an election and since there are generally three major voting blocs in the united states -  Liberals, Conservatives and Independents- I bring it up when it's germane to the point I'm making in one of these discussions.  Such as the point I was making above about Ron Paul being pro-life.  Pro-life is typically a position held by conservatives, and it's one rarely held by liberals.  Thus, my use of the term liberal in this instance.

As far as whether or not social issues effect you, well, I would urge you to consider the fact that the Supreme Court is the longest-lasting legacy of any presidency.   Many justices serve on the court for 20 or 30 years and they will shape the laws of the land for a large portion of your life.   It's not about whether or not you think -this week or even this year- if social issues are important.  It's about whether or not you think they are important, period.  Personally, I think they're extremely important.  (although abortion is pretty much at the bottom of my list of importance when it comes to social issues).   Young people like yourself should take a keen interest in how the courts may be shaped by the president.  It's going to have a very, very long impact on you.

Oh, and one more thing:  I don't see "liberal" as some cookie cutter mold that people fit into.  It's a worldview, just like conservative is a worldview, or even libertarian.  It's just a word used to describe a general set of beliefs, and certainly nothing to get offended about.



Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 20, 2011, 08:56:40 AM
Emindead, you just have to get over the fact that for some people, the question of abortion is so important that they cannot in their mind support a pro-life or a pro-choice candidate at all.

For me it's a flag.  When I see that a politician is "Pro-Life" I know what is almost always to follow - basically, conservatism.  I haven't met many liberals (ooohh, there's that word again!  :lol ) who are pro-life.   I think abortion is one place where libertarians are, for lack of a better term, inconsistent. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Libertarian_perspectives_on_abortion) 

Ron Paul is a member of the Republican party, holds quite a few libertarian positions  (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_positions_of_Ron_Paul)on the issues, but he also holds quite a few of the Republican party's positions as well.

But yeah, when I see the word pro-life, I exclude that candidate from consideration because I know a person who is pro-life will not nominate liberal justices.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 20, 2011, 09:50:17 AM
There is no "Republican party's position". Everyone has their own views, and RP doesn't compromise his views to fit into the party.

Plus, Paul is the only one who is consistently pro-life - against the warfare.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on December 20, 2011, 10:42:46 AM
There is absolutely an official Repub Party position; otherwise it wouldn't be so easy for the Senate Republicans to block so many bills.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 20, 2011, 12:14:07 PM
There is no "Republican party's position". Everyone has their own views, and RP doesn't compromise his views to fit into the party.

Plus, Paul is the only one who is consistently pro-life - against the warfare.

Um, reality would like a word with you  (https://www.issues2000.org/Republican_Party.htm) :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 20, 2011, 12:15:44 PM
Huh. I was always of the belief that there was no official party position, just positions of different people within the party.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 20, 2011, 12:16:38 PM
Huh. I was always of the belief that there was no official party position, just positions of different people within the party.

It's cool man....they usually refer to it as the "platform" here.

lemme see if I can find the democrat one....brb
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 20, 2011, 12:17:31 PM
OK, yeah, here's the Democratic party platform (https://www.democrats.org/issues)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 20, 2011, 12:21:17 PM
The two party system in the US must go.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on December 20, 2011, 12:22:36 PM
Like many things, it should be changed, but it won't.

Not much to be done about that, short of a full-out citizens' revolution.

Which isn't going to happen anytime soon.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 20, 2011, 12:31:01 PM
The two party system in the US must go.

Well, you know, it's definitely far from perfect, but the fact is, the United States has been a pretty successful experiment now for over 200 years and it is still evolving.  I think our culture is pretty self-correcting, although to use an analogy, like an aircraft carrier, it often takes a LONG time to change course......

The problem with the idea that the "two party system must go" is you have to have a viable alternative that enough people are actually interested in to bring a third option into play.  There are plenty of alternatives to the Democratic/Republican party tickets in most of our elections, but most of the power/money/influence is currently concentrated in those two parties, and, well, that's just the reality of it.

I've come to accept it for what it is and I vote mostly according to two things:  My conscience and fate of the supreme court.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on December 20, 2011, 12:43:18 PM
The two party system in the US must go.

https://www.dreamtheaterforums.org/boards/index.php?topic=26382.msg1109414#msg1109414

https://www.americanselect.org/
I'm really excited to see where this goes in the next 6 months.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on December 20, 2011, 01:21:52 PM
My thoughts on the two party system,  and more importantly,  why Americans won't change it:

As I've been watching the midterm circle jerk, I've been more and more inclined to think that this noble experiment of ours has turned out to be a resounding failure.  As much as we like to blame the two party system, and we all know it sucks, I think that it's actually just an inevitable consequence of a bigger problem.  People don't seem to realize that what they tout as the biggest strength of a democratic government is actually it's biggest weakness.  The system will inevitably steer towards electioneering rather than governing.  The simple truth is that you can't govern if you don't get elected, but once you actually get into office, how you govern is merely a function of maintaining electability.  Nobody has ever held onto an office while telling an unpopular truth.  Right or wrong is no longer relevant.

Quote from: James E. Carter
I'm asking you for your good and for your nation's security to take no unnecessary trips, to use carpools or public transportation whenever you can, to park your car one extra day per week, to obey the speed limit, and to set your thermostats to save fuel... I have seen the strength of America in the inexhaustible resources of our people. In the days to come, let us renew that strength in the struggle for an energy-secure nation. . . .

Quote from: George H. W. Bush
"it is clear to me that both the size of the deficit problem and the need for a package that can be enacted require all of the following: entitlement and mandatory program reform, tax revenue increases, growth incentives, discretionary spending reductions, orderly reductions in defense expenditures, and budget process reform."

The problem as I see it is that getting yourself elected requires selling yourself to the masses, and as I'm so fond of pointing out, the masses are fucking stupid.  As Turdblossom demonstrated with such extraordinary success, the more you boil things down to the simplest, black and white components, the more people you can get to rally behind your cause.  It's campaigning to the lowest common denominator.  A politician who even suggests that an issue is complicated and needs to be carefully considered will get clobbered in two years by an empty suit that says "IT'S US VS. THEM!!!"  The Romans figured this out 2000 years ago. 

Rather than suggesting that Americans should build a fire and put on a damn sweater, Carter should have told them to crank up the heat and buy a big V8 Cadillac because he'll take care of obtaining more oil.  After all, we deserve it.  Instead of raising taxes, Bush should have made up some of his own voodoo economics, lowered taxes, and told everybody that we're doing better than ever (until the next president comes along to inherit the problem).  "That extra $50 on my tax return is worth a helluva lot more than those imaginary problems that nobody can understand!"

This is the only result that can be obtained in a system derived off of popularity. 

Unfortunately, with great ignorance comes great arrogance.  The people who are convinced that we control the government for the better are the same people who believe this to be the greatest and most free nation on Earth.  With those beliefs, it is inconceivable that they could ever accept that the system has failed.  Convinced that our way is right, we go out and force our ways onto others whether they want it or not, completely refusing to consider that perhaps there could be a better option.  Alas, the inevitable outcome is that Americans will never resolve the problems with the government,  and in that refusal, we will eventually force ourselves into irrelevance; much like the Romans before us.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 20, 2011, 03:07:20 PM
The two party system in the US must go.

https://www.dreamtheaterforums.org/boards/index.php?topic=26382.msg1109414#msg1109414

https://www.americanselect.org/
I'm really excited to see where this goes in the next 6 months.

By the way, I saw MSNBC covering this issue last night. Found it interesting, becuase it was a mainstream media outlet talking about how you could not support the two party system.

Judges who would continue to bring us wonderful things like the Citizens United case which brought us corporate personhood.   

I'd really like to hear Pauls position on this. It's perhaps the biggest reason I wouldn't vote for him, even though I really hope he gets the nomination, and wish he would still merge with Obama to create something new in American politics - a liberal libertarian party.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 20, 2011, 03:13:30 PM
Merge with Obama? He doesn't even represent the progressive base anymore.

Gary Johnson would be the best poster-boy for a liberal/libertarian party, along with people like Kucinich and Nader.


I am also anxious to hear how he views the Citizens United case, I think he's for the Supreme Court verdict though.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 20, 2011, 03:43:49 PM
I've heard some not-so-good things about Americans Elect lately. Apparently it's run by some unsavory characters. And it doesn't publicly disclose its donations. I'll try to dig up some links.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on December 20, 2011, 05:26:37 PM
Why focus on the negative press or where the $ is from? Why not discuss the idea and possible 3rd option for a candidate? I believe they have enough signatures in a large quantity of the states.

Let me clarify... we don't really know where the money comes from for the current parties and candidates. Its all hidden in PACs and corporations. I would also say that our current parties are run by some "unsavory" characters. So in my mind whats the difference? Well this one is appearing to be a nominated person by a large amount of people. Not based on party lines. Why treat this candidate differently? They would still be backed by unknown funds, still be swayed by money, and still promise things they can't deliver. But at least its a new option that isn't visibly tied to the issues with the current parties.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 20, 2011, 05:47:40 PM
I thought the whole point of it was that it was going to be free of the trappings of current partisan politics. Anyway I'm not completely discounting it, I just wanted to point out some somewhat legitimate misgivings people had with it. Always better to know!

I'm definitely still interested to see what comes of it. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MetalMike06 on December 20, 2011, 07:25:43 PM
The problem with the idea that the "two party system must go" is you have to have a viable alternative that enough people are actually interested in to bring a third option into play.  There are plenty of alternatives to the Democratic/Republican party tickets in most of our elections, but most of the power/money/influence is currently concentrated in those two parties, and, well, that's just the reality of it.

This is unfortunately true. The sad thing is, I've always thought that if all the people who say "I'd vote for a third party but won't because that would be giving a vote away to the Dems/Reps" actually voted third party, you'd have possibly over half the country voting for third parties, and that'd be a huge turning point.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 21, 2011, 03:43:53 PM
The problem with the idea that the "two party system must go" is you have to have a viable alternative that enough people are actually interested in to bring a third option into play.  There are plenty of alternatives to the Democratic/Republican party tickets in most of our elections, but most of the power/money/influence is currently concentrated in those two parties, and, well, that's just the reality of it.

This is unfortunately true. The sad thing is, I've always thought that if all the people who say "I'd vote for a third party but won't because that would be giving a vote away to the Dems/Reps" actually voted third party, you'd have possibly over half the country voting for third parties, and that'd be a huge turning point.

Psychology is against you. When people think a rule is, well, a rule, they justify it, etc; when they think the rule can be broken, they, well, break it. Everyone sees the two party system as a rule they cannot break, becuase of the money, becuase of other people, so they don't break the rule.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MetalMike06 on December 21, 2011, 06:16:35 PM
That's basically what I'm saying, isn't it? People won't vote for a third party because they know other people won't for the same reason.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 21, 2011, 06:46:42 PM
I thought you were saying that people could vote for a third party, and that'd be a turning point; all I meant is that without structural changes, that turning point won't happen.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 22, 2011, 06:10:53 AM
Ouch. Ron Paul is really dropping the ball on owning up to his racist newsletters.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 22, 2011, 06:32:51 AM
Ouch. Ron Paul is really dropping the ball on owning up to his racist newsletters.

This comes up every time he runs, usually when he's polling well.  The problem is it's a no-win situation for him.  For one thing, the newsletters with the racist content have no by line.  So it's unclear if Ron Paul himself actually wrote it.  So he could deny that he wrote it.  But then if he denies he wrote it, the very next question that comes up is "well, why aren't you overseeing the content of these newsletters?" He can't win on this one.  He looks irresponsible if he claims he can't control the content of every newsletter put out by his office or he looks like a racist if he claims he wrote it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 22, 2011, 06:51:44 AM
He didn't write then, that's very clear. But people are still holding him responsible for this, and legitimately so.

There is one person who was a ghost writer for him who is responsible for pretty much all if not all of these remarks in his newsletters, but it's not 100% clear it's him and it would be unfair for RP to throw that person under the bus without being certain that it was him and blaming somebody innocent instead.

The person who wrote the remarks has to come forward so this can be put to rest once and for all. Lew Rockwell might know who wrote them, but it would be a huge blow to the liberty movement if he were thrown under the bus too. He can't really come out and take responsibility and "take one for the team", he's too vital with the Mises institute and all - it would discredit a lot of what RP stands for.

The ghost writer responsible simply has to come forward, there's no other way out of this. People have a pretty good presumption about who it is, but you cannot just come out and blast someone if you're not positively sure about it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 22, 2011, 07:14:27 AM
It's not "very clear" that he didn't write them. That's his claim when it comes up, but essentially it becomes a case of he-said-she-said, and the fact that he can't point to a writer doesn't bode well for him. Taking the mic off when a journalist asks you about it? Ouch. Even Herman Cain knew not to do that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 22, 2011, 07:23:35 AM
He answered her question but she continued to ask him the same question over and over. I think it's fair to see the frustration.

But yeah, read this (https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&pid=explorer&chrome=true&srcid=0B2u-MCilk3n2ODdjMmI2OTgtMWE4NC00OWEzLWE1MWUtY2Y4Yzg5M2ZkMjY4&hl=en_US) if you're not convinced he's being sincere about this.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 22, 2011, 07:39:19 AM
Sorry, but that does not do much to make anyone feel much better about this all. Some of those arguments are so weak that it's not even worth getting into. I'm sure RP die-hards are satisfied with them, but no-one else will be. I mean, it's OK that his signature appears on those things because "it could have been photo-copied."? Alrighty. And the Dallas Star is wrong for attributing that he "did not deny" writing the comments when asked because they didn't say so in a direct quote? Wow.

This is the type of stuff that kills front-runners, and these "denials" simply will not satisfy the voting public no matter how the RP fanboys feel about the issue. It's a shame that someone with more integrity than most will likely see his final political showdown cut short in typical politician fashion, for the same types of mistakes that always bring politicians down.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 22, 2011, 09:02:56 AM
Eh, is anyone really surprised by this? RP has a million skeletons in his closet, but because he was such a fringe candidate none of the big contenders saw it worth attacking him. Now that he's leading in Iowa they started to hone in on him, and he will go straight down. His racist stuff, his stance on Iran, his "destroy 5 state departments", that's all welcome canon fodder. It would also be a cinch to tie him to some really loopy Libertarian characters (think Jeremiah Wright).

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 22, 2011, 09:17:13 AM
It's really a non-issue anyway because Ron Paul is never going to be nominated for president anyway. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 22, 2011, 09:44:39 AM
I just read an excellent article in The Atlantic (https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2011/12/grappling-with-ron-pauls-racist-newsletters/250206/) about the racist newsletters and finding a "pure" candidate. It's pretty long but well-worth the read. There's an excerpt toward the end where the author does some intellectual grappling with himself on who to vote for that I found myself agreeing with. He's not an ardent Paul supporter or anything like that.

Quote
"How could you vote for someone who..."

Isn't that a thorny formulation? I'm sometimes drawn to it. And yet. We're all choosing among a deeply compromised pool of candidates, at least when the field is narrowed to folks who poll above 5 percent. Put it this way. How can you vote for someone who wages an undeclared drone war that kills scores of Pakistani children? Or someone who righteously insisted that indefinite detention is an illegitimate transgression against our civilizational values, and proceeded to support that very practice once he was elected? How can you vote for someone who has claimed to be deeply convicted about abortion on both sides of the issue, constantly misrepresents his record, and demagogues important matters of foreign policy at every opportunity?  Or someone who suggests a religious minority group should be discriminated against? Or who insists that even given the benefit of hindsight, the Iraq War was a just and prudent one?

And yet many of you, Republicans and Democrats, will do just that -- just as you and I have voted for a long line of past presidents who've deliberately pursued policies of questionable-at-best morality.

In voting for "the lesser of two evils," there is still evil there -- we're just better at ignoring certain kinds in this fallen world. A national security policy that results in the regular deaths of innocent foreigners in order to maybe make us marginally safer from terrorism is one evil we are very good at ignoring.

[...]

Figuring out what flaws to accept in a candidate is a brutal calculus. I wouldn't begrudge someone who, having pondered the matter, decided that as best as they could tell -- we're all guessing about character judgments -- the racist newsletters are reason enough to refrain from supporting Paul. In some ways, it would be easiest for me to reach that conclusion: to establish as a litmus test that I'll never vote for anyone even remotely associated with what is poisonous drivel.

What I find harder, but compulsory, by my code, is at least comparing candidates all of whom stand for something poisonous, immoral or idiotic. Should I stay home? Does that not make me complicit in a different way? These quandaries are inescapable in a large democracy, especially one that is a global hegemon. My tentative conclusion: among the candidates who could win, Paul is least complicit in needlessly killing innocents abroad; he is least likely to deprive innocent foreigners of their God given rights to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness; he is most committed to civil liberties and drug legalization at home. The contrary policies, which I regard as abhorrent, are easily ignored by most voters, because they are the status quo.

It is easiest to evade the moral implications of policies already in place.

Should Paul continue to perform well in the polls, or even win the Iowa caucuses, national media attention is going to focus intensely on his newsletters as never before, and it won't represent a double-standard: published racism under any candidate's name would rightly attract press attention! Paul ought to stop acting aggrieved. He is not a victim here. Voters ought to do their best to understand the controversy, gauge Paul's character, and render judgment about his likely behavior were he elected to the presidency, relative to his competitors.

 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 22, 2011, 10:09:29 AM
Well, to me, as much as I hate myself that Obama backpeddled on quite a few things, I must still say that I feel I can get most of the good things Paul stands for (emphasis on diplomacy, upholding the rule of law, drug legalization) without the loopy bits (destruction of 5 state departments) by plain reelecting Obama.
In fact, I find it rather hilarious that a lot of this bruhaha about Ron Paul's stances is really just him having Democrat values on certain things.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 22, 2011, 10:20:16 AM
I must still say that I feel I can get most of the good things Paul stands for (emphasis on diplomacy, upholding the rule of law, drug legalization) without the loopy bits (destruction of 5 state departments) by plain reelecting Obama.

rumborak

In what world does Obama stand for upholding the rule of law and drug legalization?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 22, 2011, 12:55:44 PM
Eh, is anyone really surprised by this? RP has a million skeletons in his closet, but because he was such a fringe candidate none of the big contenders saw it worth attacking him. Now that he's leading in Iowa they started to hone in on him, and he will go straight down. His racist stuff, his stance on Iran, his "destroy 5 state departments", that's all welcome canon fodder. It would also be a cinch to tie him to some really loopy Libertarian characters (think Jeremiah Wright).

rumborak

Don't forget the monster truck ad, and the debate against the Obama imposter.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 22, 2011, 12:57:37 PM
I think we're all trying to forget that :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 22, 2011, 01:01:29 PM
I must still say that I feel I can get most of the good things Paul stands for (emphasis on diplomacy, upholding the rule of law, drug legalization) without the loopy bits (destruction of 5 state departments) by plain reelecting Obama.

rumborak

In what world does Obama stand for upholding the rule of law and drug legalization?

I (obviously) can't speak for rumborak, but I think the operative word in his post was "most"
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 22, 2011, 01:08:54 PM
Right, and then he put some stances in parentheses that I figured he was ascribing to both people. I disagree either way.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 22, 2011, 01:29:10 PM
Right, and then he put some stances in parentheses that I figured he was ascribing to both people. I disagree either way.

So, to be clear, you prefer Ron Paul over Obama?  Just curious.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 22, 2011, 01:49:23 PM
I suppose so.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on December 22, 2011, 02:16:16 PM
It could be interesting to have polls as mock DTF elections to see who would win. One of Obama vs Paul, Obama vs Romney, etc.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on December 22, 2011, 02:24:17 PM
I suppose so.
I have to agree.  My only concern would be judicial appointments,  and I don't think that'll get much worse.  If it looks like Obama will get bounced,  and he won't,  then Ginsburg and possibly Kennedy would announce their retirements so he'd be the one to replace them.  Thomas will be the first to retire from the right,  but he won't do that until there's a Republican to replace him; much like O'Connor.  With a President Paul,  that might happen sooner than later,  and it's not like Paul would find somebody as equally obtuse.  I wouldn't be too terribly surprised if Roberts were to drop dead one morning,  but it's certainly not something I'd bet on. 

The federal appeals courts are already a hodgepodge of ideologies,  so I don't see RP screwing that up too badly.   

As for everything else,  I think Paul would be a much better choice than Chimpy Jr.  While Paul might swing the court a bit more to the right,  but probably not,  he'd at least stand up for civil liberties, lessening the damage that gets done.  Obama's fucking us all,  and the court's already in place to back up him.  Paul would fuck us less,  so the court wouldn't be such an issue.


edit:
It could be interesting to have polls as mock DTF elections to see who would win. One of Obama vs Paul, Obama vs Romney, etc.
Obama would beat any of the GOP whackjobs handily,  and Paul would beat Obama by a similar margin. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on December 22, 2011, 02:29:58 PM

edit:
It could be interesting to have polls as mock DTF elections to see who would win. One of Obama vs Paul, Obama vs Romney, etc.
Obama would beat any of the GOP whackjobs handily,  and Paul would beat Obama by a similar margin.

You think its that obvious? I guess I don't have that much of a feel of everyone's political leanings towards all the candidates.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 22, 2011, 02:44:48 PM
Somebody start that thread, I'm lazy. My guess would be Obama.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 22, 2011, 02:46:26 PM
Here's a better question to all of you calling Paul a racist: What can he do to save himself in your eyes?

Ah well, I guess this video is just going to prove your point about Paul actually being a racist, I mean - it's in his rhetoric: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jdGGx7fj9j0 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jdGGx7fj9j0)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 22, 2011, 02:47:52 PM

edit:
It could be interesting to have polls as mock DTF elections to see who would win. One of Obama vs Paul, Obama vs Romney, etc.
Obama would beat any of the GOP whackjobs handily,  and Paul would beat Obama by a similar margin.

You think its that obvious? I guess I don't have that much of a feel of everyone's political leanings towards all the candidates.

I agree Obama's got the GOP pretty much covered at this point. However, I don't think Paul would win. People like their Medicare and their Social Security, so either Paul would really have to moderate his tone (that is, agree to a compromise), or he's going to basically have nothing left but young people who don't think they need health insurance. He'd have half of what the American people like regarding "Wallstreet," but until we know his position on Citizens United, that could be another very damming position.

Those two issues alone would mean Obama beats Paul. The "99%" movement hasn't gone away, it's effecting Republican politics, and Paul will find himself in a hard battle against Obama regarding these issues.

Besides, it's all going to depend upon Congress anyways. Obama or Paul alone means jack shit if you still have the current Republicans controlling the Senate and the House. Ron Paul with a Democratic Majority in the House and a Supermajority in the Senate would be a very interesting result, maybe more interesting than Obama.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 22, 2011, 02:52:22 PM
Eh, is anyone really surprised by this? RP has a million skeletons in his closet, but because he was such a fringe candidate none of the big contenders saw it worth attacking him. Now that he's leading in Iowa they started to hone in on him, and he will go straight down. His racist stuff, his stance on Iran, his "destroy 5 state departments", that's all welcome canon fodder. It would also be a cinch to tie him to some really loopy Libertarian characters (think Jeremiah Wright).

rumborak

Don't forget the monster truck ad, and the debate against the Obama imposter.
Dude. Do you even know the story about that Obama imposter? It was on Stossel, and the context is important. It wasn't MEANT to be an actual Obama, it was a joke debate that Paul participated in: https://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2011/04/ron-paul-debates-obama-impersonator-on-fox.html (https://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2011/04/ron-paul-debates-obama-impersonator-on-fox.html)

They say after the interview after who the actor was an everything.

I'm sick of this taken out context.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 22, 2011, 02:55:18 PM
Here's a better question to all of you calling Paul a racist: What can he do to save himself in your eyes?

Ah well, I guess this video is just going to prove your point about Paul actually being a racist, I mean - it's in his rhetoric: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jdGGx7fj9j0 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jdGGx7fj9j0)

Err, that made him look particularly non-racist actually.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 22, 2011, 02:57:40 PM
Exactly. Because his actual views are represented in that video. Especially as a matter of public policy, he's the best choice for all races.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 22, 2011, 02:58:08 PM

Ah well, I guess this video is just going to prove your point about Paul actually being a racist, I mean - it's in his rhetoric: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jdGGx7fj9j0 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jdGGx7fj9j0)

Explain how that is racist? Or is it sarcasm? Cause I really hope the video title is satire, otherwise I'm more inclined to think that whoever made the video is a racist, and not Paul.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 22, 2011, 03:05:35 PM
It was sarcasm, and the person who made it wanted a troll title apparently.

Here's RP's portfolio, (hmm I wonder what he invests in?): https://www.marketwatch.com/video/asset/check-out-ron-pauls-stock-portfolio-2011-12-22/A1CBC8F3-0424-41B8-BCD4-C07F90A587F1?dist=afterbell#!A1CBC8F3-0424-41B8-BCD4-C07F90A587F1 (https://www.marketwatch.com/video/asset/check-out-ron-pauls-stock-portfolio-2011-12-22/A1CBC8F3-0424-41B8-BCD4-C07F90A587F1?dist=afterbell#!A1CBC8F3-0424-41B8-BCD4-C07F90A587F1)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 22, 2011, 04:24:56 PM
So, I guess it comes down to his racist ghost writer, but is that better though?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 22, 2011, 05:19:26 PM
That allegedly racist newsletter is never late.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 22, 2011, 06:55:15 PM
That allegedly racist newsletter is never late.

There is nothing "alleged" about the racism contained in the newsletters (note: plural).

Exactly. Because his actual views are represented in that video. Especially as a matter of public policy, he's the best choice for all races.

Yes. And no-one is saying Paul's a racist now. The point is, he's done a horrible job owning up to those newsletters which have always haunted him,  ironic considering he seems to think he's adequately explained for them even though the majority of people outside of his supporters know that's not true. Furthermore, I'm sorry, but Ron Paul is a 76 year old rich white dude who's spent a lifetime in public opposition to the Civil Rights Act. His views on race have likely tamed over time, but is it really that wild to suggest that maybe the race-rhetoric he found appropriate 20 years ago wouldn't exactly hold-up by today's standards?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 23, 2011, 05:18:28 AM
Yes. And no-one is saying Paul's a racist now.
Except tons of pundits on TV discrediting his entire run for the presidency.

So, I guess it comes down to his racist ghost writer, but is that better though?
No. But if this person were to come out and apologize it himself would be better
I don't know how the public would perceive it if:
a) Ron Paul threw Fred Reed or whoever wrote it under the bus, saying it's most likely him. It raises the question about why he suddenly knows it was that person etc. And what if Fred Reed didn't actually write them and goes out and denies he ever wrote them? That would just stockpile this entire thing.
b) Fred Reed goes out himself and says he wrote them, the best case scenario. Ron Paul can distance himself from it better.

Some people might never forgive him, he was the publisher after all. The best thing he can do is to go out and debunk the statements in the newsletters one by one, explaining how they are not his views. Plus, one of those statements in the newsletters are incorrect, because the person writes in Paul's name saying "As a congressman I voted against every attempt to commemorate MLK" or someting like that, but in actuality, he has voted FOR commemorating MLK.

Well. Enough of me defending this guy. He does have some owning up to do.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 23, 2011, 02:24:02 PM
So, given that I kinda got late into the game because of my trip, I am somewhat surprised to see this:

www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-1452.html

and combine that with the notion that Paul at some point led the polls. According to that site Paul doesn't even have half of the leaders percentages, and never had. So, what gives?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 23, 2011, 03:38:08 PM
This is national average, which includes states other than Iowa/NH where Paul is doing well.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 23, 2011, 03:52:03 PM
Ah, I see. I just looked at the Iowa one and indeed he is the leader in that one.
I have a hard time believing that though. Mysteriously Iowa likes Paul, whereas the national average doesn't care about him. And neither do the NH or SC polls. Something is very off, we all saw the same debates.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 23, 2011, 03:57:03 PM
Last three NH polls have RP @ 21%, 21%, 19%.

Debates have less effect than ground game: phone from home, door to door, super brochures, etc. That's the reason he's doing better in Iowa and NH imo.

That last Florida poll from early in the month has Gingrich @ 44%, I very hardly think he would poll that well now.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 23, 2011, 04:02:00 PM
Yeah, but Romney has 10% more. While that could be explained by the proximity to Massachusetts, in SC people care even less about Paul.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 23, 2011, 04:07:47 PM
True, but his poll numbers are consistently rising. Time will only tell how the Iowa results are going to play out in the polls subsequent.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 23, 2011, 11:21:33 PM
A friend of mine recently likened Ron Paul to a court jester, and I thought that hit it on the nail right there. His "job" is to show the folly of the ruling class, but he never really is electable himself.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 24, 2011, 03:09:58 AM
Mitt vs Paul in Virginia.

Both Newt and Perry failed to get on the ballot with the 10K signatures needed. With all the hate Mitt has, this is maybe what Paul needs.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on December 24, 2011, 03:12:47 AM
I hope so.

If he can pull a victory out of this, this could be a setup for something that could grow into a real streak for the guy. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 24, 2011, 03:20:20 AM
Plus, there are no winner take all states - so a brokered convention is very likely at this point.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on December 24, 2011, 04:28:09 AM
Keep in mind that Huckabee won the Iowa primary 4 years ago and then quickly faded. Iowa in not a good first test, nor is NH. NH in particular is a very Paul friendly state. I really can't see Paul winning much beyond that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 24, 2011, 06:56:18 AM
Mitt vs Paul in Virginia.

Both Newt and Perry failed to get on the ballot with the 10K signatures needed. With all the hate Mitt has, this is maybe what Paul needs.

YOU CANNOT MAKE THIS UP!!!! :rollin :rollin :rollin :rollin

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/virginia-politics/post/perry-disqualified-from-va-primary-ballot/2011/12/23/gIQA3BZNEP_blog.html

Posted at 03:40 AM ET, 12/24/2011
Gingrich, Perry Disqualified from Va. Primary Ballot
By Anita Kumar

Former House speaker Newt Gingrich and Texas Gov. Rick Perry failed to submit enough valid signatures to qualify for the Virginia primary ballot, state GOP officials said Friday evening and early Saturday.

The Republican Party of Virginia announced early Saturday that Gingrich and Perry failed to submit 10,000 signatures of registered voters required to get their names on the ballot for the March 6 primary.

“After verification, RPV has determined that Newt Gingrich did not submit required 10k signatures and has not qualified for the VA primary,” the party announced on Twitter.

The rejection is a significant setback for the Gingrich campaign since he is leading the polls in Virginia among likely Republican voters and is seen as a strong contender for the nomination.

Perry’s campaign told state election officials it had submitted 11,911 signatures, and Gingrich’s campaign said it submitted 11,050 signatures. State party officials spent Friday night validating the signatures.

Earlier Friday, the Republican Party of Virginia certified former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney and Rep. Ron Paul (Texas) to appear on the ballot.

The four candidates turned in thousands of signatures by the 5 p.m. deadline Thursday.

Jerry Kilgore, former attorney general and chairman of Perry’s campaign in Virginia, said he was disappointed, but that qualifying for the Virginia ballot is a “daunting task.”

“Hopefully, he will do better in other states,’’ he said. “He can focus on other states.”

Candidates had until 5 p.m. to collect 10,000 signatures from across the state, including 400 from each of the 11 congressional district.

Republican presidential candidates Michele Bachmann, Jon Huntsman and Rick Santorum did not submit signatures and failed to qualify on Thursday, according to state GOP officials.

Virginia, an increasingly important swing state, will hold its primary on Super Tuesday, March 6.

Romney became the first Republican presidential candidate Tuesday to submit signatures for Virginia’s primary election ballot.

On Thursday morning, Gingrich said at an event outside Richmond that his campaign was still collecting signatures, but expected to have enough.

A poll released Wednesday showed Gingrich with a slight lead over Romney among Virginia Republicans in the race for president. The Quinnipiac University poll shows Gingrich at 30 percent and Romney at 25 percent among Republican voters.

President Obama was the first presidential candidate to submit his signatures Dec. 2.

The Democratic Party of Virginia certified his signatures Friday. He was the only Democrat to qualify for the ballot so the State Board of Elections will cancel the primary. All Virginia delegates to the Democratic National Convention will be cast for him, said Brian Moran, party chairman.


To quote a redditor: Newt Gingrich wants to be president so bad, he forgot to get himself on the ballot IN THE STATE HE LIVES IN.

(https://s3.amazonaws.com/kym-assets/photos/images/original/000/155/594/yesitis2.gif?1318992465)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 24, 2011, 08:36:49 AM
I already said that. I wonder who people hate more: Romney or Paul. I hope it's Romney.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 24, 2011, 09:19:30 AM
Sorry, man. Edited my post.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 24, 2011, 10:36:03 AM
They keep asking Paul if he'd run as an independent if he didn't get the nomination. But I'm curious; even though it's a long shot, do you think the 80 percent of the Republican establishment that finds Paul's views reprehensible would run their own candidate given an unlikely Paul nomination?

Given the nature of most Republicans during Barry's first term, I could see the party actually failing to fall in line behind their nominee and cannibalizing themselves during the General Election. This class of Republicans have definitely shown time and time again that they prefer making dramatic statements and perfect ideological adherence over the practical concerns of governance, and the primaries have been ugly. Given how pathetic they've done over the last four years, I'd expect them to lose anyway; but the way they've looked during the primaries has got me thinking that either Paul or another candidate will run third party and just fuck up everything for the GOP. 

I really hate to play the partisan, but given what Republicans did during Bush's terms, what they've done with their one term having some control of the House under Obama, and the absolute boneheads they've tried to pre-ordain as "serious candidates" over the last two general elections (Palin, Cain, Newt, etc), you've really got to wonder whether the GOP is capable of governing at all anymore; or whether they're a party on the fritz that realizes they have more in common with corporate democrats than they do with their own withering base. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 24, 2011, 11:56:55 AM
They're going to align themselves behind whoever is the candidate, because they want to beat Obama over all.

Paul has leverage though, because if he runs 3rd party he could split the vote and guarantee an Obama win. This leaves me to think that whoever the candidate is going to be is going to have to adopt a more humble foreign policy, and challenge the monetary system, to earn the backing of Paul supporters.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 24, 2011, 12:25:09 PM
Man, this primary is more drama than one could ever wish for. :lol
So, are Perry and Gingrich pulling out?
EDIT: Ah, they're gonna try to still get in by write-in. What a mess :lol

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 24, 2011, 12:39:09 PM
They're going to align themselves behind whoever is the candidate, because they want to beat Obama over all.

Paul has leverage though, because if he runs 3rd party he could split the vote and guarantee an Obama win. This leaves me to think that whoever the candidate is going to be is going to have to adopt a more humble foreign policy, and challenge the monetary system, to earn the backing of Paul supporters.

So, do you think the party would actually unite behind Ron Paul, given that actually happens? I highly doubt it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 24, 2011, 12:42:36 PM
They want to beat Obama no matter what. I think they will come around to support him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 24, 2011, 09:00:20 PM
No way in hell. Paul is a threat to their way of politicking.

I don't know if you could get any one of them to admit it but I'm sure they would prefer four more years of Obama over Paul.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 24, 2011, 09:03:37 PM
No write-ins for Gingrich, VA law doesn't allow it. While I agree with Gingrich that the system is ridiculous, there's clearly something amiss if he can't get 10,000 signatures off the ground in VA.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 25, 2011, 12:03:27 AM
Didn't ya hear? He's running a unique kind of presidential campaign, because we have NEVER seen a candidate like Newt Gingrich before.

That, or he just got in for the free promotion, basically, so that he can sell his books and his time for more / still... but that would be dirty, so there's just no way that could ever apply to Newt.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 25, 2011, 07:40:30 AM
Man, talk about an epic fail.  not getting on the ballot in Virginia  :lol

And it's only 10,000 signatures needed.  That's not a lot in the grand scheme of things
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 25, 2011, 10:35:57 AM
It's also his home state, Newt that is.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 25, 2011, 10:50:48 AM
Didn't realize that, that's even more of a blow. My prediction is that he will lose massively in Iowa, then pull out shortly after.

What I thought was really interesting about this graph:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/ia/iowa_republican_presidential_primary-1588.html

is that every candidate has their distinct "phase".
August: Bachmann
September: Perry
October: Cain
November: Gingrich
December: Paul

In all of that, only Romney maintained a stable number of votes. It seems the Republican voters have a "anybody but Romney!!" approach, trying every other candidate only to see them blow up publicly. My guess is that RP will be the next peak on that graph.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 25, 2011, 11:22:22 AM
But since no early states are winner take all, only proportionate, I think at least Newt will stay in the race til after Super Tuesday. Perry will drop out after 5-6 primaries I presume.

Romney will be the inevitable candidate though.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 25, 2011, 12:18:12 PM
Yeah, without a major upset, I think so too. Every other candidate (except Paul) has "blown their load" so to speak. And even the Paul momentum is bound to run out soon.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 25, 2011, 02:05:51 PM
It's definitely down to Paul and Romney; both have a more stable support than any of the other candidates, but in the end, I think too many conservatives will not vote for Paul because of his foreign policy, and the fact taht he actually wants to end something as horrendous as the Drug War.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 25, 2011, 04:10:30 PM
There's also the thing that Paul isn't "presidential" really. Can you imagine him at a G8 summit?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 25, 2011, 04:19:12 PM
That'd be hilarious to watch from the inside.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 26, 2011, 05:01:15 AM
It's also his home state, Newt that is.

He resides in Georgia and was born in Pennsylvania (bio here (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newt_Gingrich))
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 26, 2011, 05:15:52 AM
Oh. Well, I heard it was his home state, didn't bother checking it up. It's still pretty embarrassing.

Edit: No, actually:

Residence    
Carrollton, Georgia (1979–1993, while in office)
Marietta, Georgia (1993–1999, while in office)
McLean, Virginia (1999–present)[1]


Guess I was correct.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 26, 2011, 07:59:00 AM
Can you imagine him at a G8 summit?

rumborak
Taking into account his (right, imho) view on the UN, I guess the G8 will be insignificant (this follows my view of how the UN will be without the US: as irrelevant as The League of Nations) once the US steps down from those summits (G8, G20, etc.).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 26, 2011, 08:59:39 AM
Oh. Well, I heard it was his home state, didn't bother checking it up. It's still pretty embarrassing.

Edit: No, actually:

Residence   
Carrollton, Georgia (1979–1993, while in office)
Marietta, Georgia (1993–1999, while in office)
McLean, Virginia (1999–present)[1]


Guess I was correct.

You identified Virginia as his "home state" yes, he lives there now, but it's not his "home state."    I think of "home state" as the place you were born, not necessarily the place you reside.    But I guess we're splitting hairs on this  :lol

Doesn't matter anyway, Romney's going to be the nominee, I think.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 26, 2011, 09:04:12 AM
Can you imagine him at a G8 summit?

rumborak
Taking into account his (right, imho) view on the UN, I guess the G8 will be insignificant (this follows my view of how the UN will be without the US: as irrelevant as The League of Nations) once the US steps down from those summits (G8, G20, etc.).

My point was wider really. A president needs to be in front of a lot of international congregations. Can I see Romney representing the United States of America? Yes. Can I see Paul doing the same thing? No. His "erratic professor" mannerism is fine for primary debates, but not for being a president.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 26, 2011, 09:15:07 AM
Can you imagine him at a G8 summit?

rumborak
Taking into account his (right, imho) view on the UN, I guess the G8 will be insignificant (this follows my view of how the UN will be without the US: as irrelevant as The League of Nations) once the US steps down from those summits (G8, G20, etc.).

My point was wider really. A president needs to be in front of a lot of international congregations. Can I see Romney representing the United States of America? Yes. Can I see Paul doing the same thing? No. His "erratic professor" mannerism is fine for primary debates, but not for being a president.

rumborak

I see Ron Paul as one of those candidates that would never be elected (let's face it, he's unelectable as POTUS) but he has a productive impact on the debates leading up to the election because while he's got some positions that are sheer lunacy (see: The Monster Truck Ad (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3aSNk4981DI) for example) and have zero chance of ever being enacted, those positions DO serve a purpose by dragging the dialog in a certain direction.

What I wonder now is since this is Ron Paul's last presidential election where's he's a truly viable candidate in terms of age, will his son Rand (a complete whack-job from the word go, btw) take up his mantle?  I don't think so, but I still wonder if Rand will try to remake his image in his father's mold.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 26, 2011, 09:31:33 AM
Can you imagine him at a G8 summit?

rumborak
Taking into account his (right, imho) view on the UN, I guess the G8 will be insignificant (this follows my view of how the UN will be without the US: as irrelevant as The League of Nations) once the US steps down from those summits (G8, G20, etc.).

My point was wider really. A president needs to be in front of a lot of international congregations. Can I see Romney representing the United States of America? Yes. Can I see Paul doing the same thing? No. His "erratic professor" mannerism is fine for primary debates, but not for being a president.

rumborak

I see Ron Paul as one of those candidates that would never be elected (let's face it, he's unelectable as POTUS) but he has a productive impact on the debates leading up to the election because while he's got some positions that are sheer lunacy (see: The Monster Truck Ad (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3aSNk4981DI) for example) and have zero chance of ever being enacted, those positions DO serve a purpose by dragging the dialog in a certain direction.

I totally agree, his "services" as a court jester who shows the ridiculousness of the other attendants was invaluable. But, that's a lot of money dumped into being a court jester. I mean, RP and his clan truly believe he could be a good president, and that's what really surprises me. I really have the impression that many of his followers believe that, once he's in power, international relations will just become trade negotiations.

EDIT: Just looked at CNN for news. So it begins, the guns have been positioned: https://www.cnn.com/2011/12/26/opinion/frum-ron-paul-newsletters/index.html?hpt=hp_t2

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 26, 2011, 12:02:55 PM
Uh oh. David Frum is such a windbag.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MetalMike06 on December 26, 2011, 12:49:25 PM
Can you imagine him at a G8 summit?

rumborak
Taking into account his (right, imho) view on the UN, I guess the G8 will be insignificant (this follows my view of how the UN will be without the US: as irrelevant as The League of Nations) once the US steps down from those summits (G8, G20, etc.).

My point was wider really. A president needs to be in front of a lot of international congregations. Can I see Romney representing the United States of America? Yes. Can I see Paul doing the same thing? No. His "erratic professor" mannerism is fine for primary debates, but not for being a president.

I don't think it really matters. I know you don't like non-interventionism and all, but I don't think he will just go to some diplomatic event and basically give everyone the finger or something.

But yeah, Romney might, ya know, bomb another country, expand our overseas presence, domestic surveillance, etc. But hey! He looks "presidential".

Not a trade off I'm really willing to make, personally.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 26, 2011, 01:12:31 PM
Can you imagine him at a G8 summit?

rumborak
Taking into account his (right, imho) view on the UN, I guess the G8 will be insignificant (this follows my view of how the UN will be without the US: as irrelevant as The League of Nations) once the US steps down from those summits (G8, G20, etc.).

My point was wider really. A president needs to be in front of a lot of international congregations. Can I see Romney representing the United States of America? Yes. Can I see Paul doing the same thing? No. His "erratic professor" mannerism is fine for primary debates, but not for being a president.

rumborak

I see Ron Paul as one of those candidates that would never be elected (let's face it, he's unelectable as POTUS) but he has a productive impact on the debates leading up to the election because while he's got some positions that are sheer lunacy (see: The Monster Truck Ad (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3aSNk4981DI) for example) and have zero chance of ever being enacted, those positions DO serve a purpose by dragging the dialog in a certain direction.

I totally agree, his "services" as a court jester who shows the ridiculousness of the other attendants was invaluable. But, that's a lot of money dumped into being a court jester. I mean, RP and his clan truly believe he could be a good president, and that's what really surprises me. I really have the impression that many of his followers believe that, once he's in power, international relations will just become trade negotiations.

EDIT: Just looked at CNN for news. So it begins, the guns have been positioned: https://www.cnn.com/2011/12/26/opinion/frum-ron-paul-newsletters/index.html?hpt=hp_t2

rumborak

They have been upping the ante lately against Paul. Just think of how the media would handle an Iowa win.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 26, 2011, 02:55:21 PM
Can you imagine him at a G8 summit?

rumborak
Taking into account his (right, imho) view on the UN, I guess the G8 will be insignificant (this follows my view of how the UN will be without the US: as irrelevant as The League of Nations) once the US steps down from those summits (G8, G20, etc.).

My point was wider really. A president needs to be in front of a lot of international congregations. Can I see Romney representing the United States of America? Yes. Can I see Paul doing the same thing? No. His "erratic professor" mannerism is fine for primary debates, but not for being a president.

But yeah, Romney might, ya know, bomb another country, expand our overseas presence, domestic surveillance, etc. But hey! He looks "presidential".

Not a trade off I'm really willing to make, personally.

I don't actually think Romney will push particularly hard on those issues once he's in power. He's playing along so he doesn't lose the extreme right, but frankly, once he's in power, I don't expect him to be particularly different in many policies than Obama.

Quote
I don't think it really matters. I know you don't like non-interventionism and all, but I don't think he will just go to some diplomatic event and basically give everyone the finger or something.

I'm not against non-interventionism as a guiding rule for international policy, far from it, but RP's approach to it doesn't exceed that of a idealistic 14-year old. He's clearly never spent any significant thought on what to do when push comes to shove, which is sadly how many of those things happen in international politics.
And yes, there *is* a value to being "presidential". Like Obama's policies or not, but he is extremely presidential and that has eased a lot of diplomatic relations with other countries. RP is a bumbling old man, and combined with many of his untenable stance in international politics, he would drive US credibility into the ground.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 26, 2011, 04:14:41 PM
Ron Paul would make a much better Speaker than President.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 26, 2011, 04:21:06 PM
He's going to have some leverage after this election cycle, that's for sure. He might use it to get a good position, and maybe becoming Speaker is a trade-off he'd be willing to make - but he has said that he's not running for re-election as a congressman.

Another tradeoff could be a cabinet position and the best would by far be Secretary of State, but that would NEVER happen. Treasury Secretary is a position I'd hope for, but he'd be such a danger to the special interests they would NEVER allow that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 26, 2011, 04:55:56 PM
Heh, CNN is preparing the next salvo for Gingrich. Apparently he lied about his first divorce.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 26, 2011, 05:30:52 PM
I'm not surprised about Gingrich.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 26, 2011, 06:53:13 PM
FIRE AWAY!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ResultsMayVary on December 26, 2011, 08:33:45 PM
I hate to backtrack a bit of the thread's history, but I hope Paul wins the nomination (even though it's extremely unlikely). I will be voting for him here in Ohio for the primary and the general election (regardless of whether or not he's nominated).

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on December 27, 2011, 04:54:37 AM
Another tradeoff could be a cabinet position and the best would by far be Secretary of State, but that would NEVER happen.
He would be an awful Secretary of State.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 27, 2011, 05:32:26 AM
I'm saying, the best for him to be able to advance his positions and his influence.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 27, 2011, 06:12:55 AM
Hate to say "I told you so," but it looks like there is something after all to Ron Paul's campaign being kinda Nazi-ish.

https://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/26/us/politics/ron-paul-disowns-extremists-views-but-doesnt-disavow-the-support.html?pagewanted=all
Quote
The American Free Press, which markets books like “The Invention of the Jewish People” and “March of the Titans: A History of the White Race,” is urging its subscribers to help it send hundreds of copies of Ron Paul’s collected speeches to voters in New Hampshire. The book, it promises, will “Help Dr. Ron Paul Win the G.O.P. Nomination in 2012!”

Don Black, director of the white nationalist Web site Stormfront, said in an interview that several dozen of his members were volunteering for Mr. Paul’s presidential campaign, and a site forum titled “Why is Ron Paul such a favorite here?” has no fewer than 24 pages of comments. “I understand he wins many fans because his monetary policy would hurt Jews,” read one.

Quote
Mr. Crane of the Cato Institute recalled comparing notes with Mr. Paul in the early 1980s about direct mail solicitations for money. When Mr. Crane said that mailing lists of people with the most extreme views seemed to draw the best response, Mr. Paul responded that he found the same thing with a list of subscribers to the Spotlight, a now-defunct publication founded by the holocaust denier Willis A. Carto.


Honestly, I would not be surprised at all if one of those Stormfront guys helped decide that Ron Paul's "unofficial" campaign should have that black white and red theme I was pointing out earlier.

This, the Lew Rockwell stuff, and everything else is making me wonder if Paul's opposition to the Civil Rights Act and his other bizarre stances on race issues was always just a consequence of him being a true libertarian, or if maybe the "libertarianism" has just been a way for him to intellectualize much uglier beliefs.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 27, 2011, 08:58:13 AM
To me this is a classic sign of opportunism. Paul is a politician, so he wants support. Paul however saw his chance not in the mainstream, but instead by vacuuming up the fringes. And to get those, he had to purport a couple of nasty views. Whether he actually believed those or not is secondary really. What matters is to what ends he was willing to go in order to get political support. And to this day, there's a lot of questionable elements in Paul's ranks.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 27, 2011, 09:30:51 AM
Another tradeoff could be a cabinet position and the best would by far be Secretary of State, but that would NEVER happen.
He would be an awful Secretary of State.
Even if a Republican topples Obama next year (I'd say Romney has a 50/50 shot at it) Ron Paul will not be SoS.  He's articulated a position on foreign policy that is pretty much 180 degrees in opposition to Republican foreign policy orthodoxy.  None of them would put Ron Paul in that position.

To me this is a classic sign of opportunism. Paul is a politician, so he wants support. Paul however saw his chance not in the mainstream, but instead by vacuuming up the fringes. And to get those, he had to purport a couple of nasty views. Whether he actually believed those or not is secondary really. What matters is to what ends he was willing to go in order to get political support. And to this day, there's a lot of questionable elements in Paul's ranks.

rumborak


I agree rumborak.  I also think David Frum's article on CNN is basically a moderate Republican establishment hit piece that has essentially leveraged Ron Paul's "fringe vacuuming" propensity and used it against him. 

What really blows my mind is the rhetorical gymnastics I see a lot of my "born again" and "evangelical" Christian friends doing to rationalize voting for Ron Paul.  I actually feel sorry for a lot of them (and I don't mean that in a condescending way at all) because in this election cycle they've been given the opportunity (if they want to back a candidate that might actually win more than two states in the general election) to support a philandering, serial liar (Gingrich).......a guy who has taken more positions on the issues than the Kama Sutra (Romney), or a guy who thinks the Civil Rights Act of 1964 was a bad idea (Ron Paul)......not the most competitive alternatives......

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 27, 2011, 09:46:20 AM
To me this is a classic sign of opportunism. Paul is a politician, so he wants support. Paul however saw his chance not in the mainstream, but instead by vacuuming up the fringes. And to get those, he had to purport a couple of nasty views. Whether he actually believed those or not is secondary really. What matters is to what ends he was willing to go in order to get political support. And to this day, there's a lot of questionable elements in Paul's ranks.

I agree rumborak.  I also think David Frum's article on CNN is basically a moderate Republican establishment hit piece that has essentially leveraged Ron Paul's "fringe vacuuming" propensity and used it against him. 

It's also the reason why he won't completely own up to it. Because if he whole-heartedly disassociated himself from those former views, he would lose part of his die-hard supporters, the guys who stand in the pouring rain somewhere in Iowa trying to get Paul elected.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 27, 2011, 09:52:59 AM
It's like when Boehner would evade the interview questions about Obama's birthplace. I'm sure Boehner doesn't give two craps about where the President was born but he didn't give a completely straight answer that closed the door on the issue for fear of losing the birthers.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 27, 2011, 10:02:07 AM
To me this is a classic sign of opportunism. Paul is a politician, so he wants support. Paul however saw his chance not in the mainstream, but instead by vacuuming up the fringes. And to get those, he had to purport a couple of nasty views. Whether he actually believed those or not is secondary really. What matters is to what ends he was willing to go in order to get political support. And to this day, there's a lot of questionable elements in Paul's ranks.

I agree rumborak.  I also think David Frum's article on CNN is basically a moderate Republican establishment hit piece that has essentially leveraged Ron Paul's "fringe vacuuming" propensity and used it against him. 

It's also the reason why he won't completely own up to it. Because if he whole-heartedly disassociated himself from those former views, he would lose part of his die-hard supporters, the guys who stand in the pouring rain somewhere in Iowa trying to get Paul elected.

rumborak
Call me crazy but I'm sure this exact thing happened four years ago. A reporter asked him on camera if he like these kind of supporters and without hesitation he said: "No."
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 27, 2011, 10:35:44 AM
Well, it's definitely not enough, as one can see right now. Does anyone really have the impression he's distancing himself from them? I certainly don't. Just like antigoon said, it's like Boehner trying to please two masters at once, the moderates and the extreme. Paul tries the same thing.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 27, 2011, 02:25:42 PM
Call me crazy but I'm sure this exact thing happened four years ago. A reporter asked him on camera if he like these kind of supporters and without hesitation he said: "No."

And then, when he was asked if he'd return their financial contributions, he talked around it in a circle like he does whenever any of his bizarre views or circumstances come up.

But anyway, the point is, no-one really cares that a primary candidate who doesn't have a chance and gets left out of debates might have ties to White Nationalists and other unsavory right-wing extremist ('08 RP). That is par for course if we're talking about the Republican Party. It DOES matter when the candidate is a front-runner, though. In a way, Paul's not been able to live up to his reputation all that well. The more he gets put under the media spot-light, the more he looks like a very typical politician who just so happens to be more rigid in his positions.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 27, 2011, 02:45:50 PM
I don't understand. So people ignored these issues back in '08 because he had no chance, but now, even if answered or refuted (circling? that's not only unfair but false) those issues somehow have to haunt him again.
To be fair I don't live in the US and don't stay tuned 24/7 to CNN, MSNBC or FOX News (their signal comes here with my Cable), but I don't see the "heat" (on these issues) you're saying that it's making him look "like a very typical politician". Last time I checked he's doing really well, #1 spot and still rising (God, sometimes I miss The Daily Show just to see how Stewart would handle this event.)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 27, 2011, 03:32:26 PM
I don't understand. So people ignored these issues back in '08 because he had no chance, but now, even if answered or refuted (circling? that's not only unfair but false) those issues somehow have to haunt him again.

Of course. Media stations have people whose job it is to dig through candidates' past. They're not gonna waste their time going through candidates' past who they think have no chance of winning anyway. Now that all but one non-Mitts are gone or on their way down, Paul is in the focus and the public gets focused on his skeletons in the closet.

Quote
Last time I checked he's doing really well, #1 spot and still rising (God, sometimes I miss The Daily Show just to see how Stewart would handle this event.)

He is indeed still the front runner in Iowa. The "rising" part comes mostly from Gingrich's support having completely collapsed over the last few days (from 31% to 15% in just a few days); Romney is rising too.
In the national polls Paul is barely over Bachmann and Perry however.

EDIT: Gingrich says if RP gets to be nominated, he wouldn't vote for him: https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/12/27/gingrich-wouldnt-vote-for-ron-paul/?hpt=hp_t2

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 27, 2011, 03:57:41 PM
That's a fairly typical verbal vomit moment for Gingrich.  He often says really stupid things, which is one (of many) reasons that he will not be the Republican nominee.

 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 27, 2011, 04:00:39 PM
I think he realizes that his star has set, and now he's trying to his remaining influence to help Romney.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on December 27, 2011, 04:03:01 PM
He's going to be the nominee! I mean he said it himself! (https://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/12/gingrich-tells-abc-news-im-going-to-be-the-nominee) DUHH.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 28, 2011, 07:21:00 AM
https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/12/paul-maintains-his-lead.html

December 27, 2011
Paul maintains his lead

The last week and a half has brought little change in the standings for the Iowa Republican caucus: Ron Paul continues to lead Mitt Romney by a modest margin, 24-20. Newt Gingrich is in 3rd at 13% followed by Michele Bachmann at 11%, Rick Perry and Rick Santorum at 10%, Jon Huntsman at 4%, and Buddy Roemer at 2%.

Paul's strength in Iowa continues to depend on a coalition of voters that's pretty unusual for a Republican in the state.  Romney leads 22-20 with those who are actually Republicans, while Paul has a 39-12 advantage with the 24% who are either independents or Democrats. GOP caucus voters tend to skew old, and Romney has a 34-12 advantage with seniors. But Paul's candidacy looks like it's going to attract an unusual number of younger voters to the caucus this year, and with those under 45 he has a 35-11 advantage on Romney. The independent/young voter combo worked for Barack Obama in securing an unexpectedly large victory on the Democratic side in 2008 and it may be Paul's winning equation in 2012.

Paul continues to have much more passionate support than Romney. 77% of his voters are firmly committed to him, compared to 71% for Romney. Among voters who say their minds are completely made up Paul's lead expands to 7 points at 28-21. If Paul's lead holds on through next Tuesday it appears he'll have won this on the ground- 26% of voters think he's run the strongest campaign in the state to 18% for Bachmann and 10% for Santorum with just 5% bestowing that designation to Romney. There's also an increasing sense that Paul will indeed win the state- 29% think he'll emerge victorious with 15% picking Romney and no one else in double digits.

Although Romney's support has held steady at 20% over the last week his favorability numbers have taken a hit, something that could keep him from moving into first place over the final week. He was at +9 (49/40) but has dipped now into negative territory at -3 (44/47). Additionally Romney is the second choice of only 10% of voters, barely better than Paul's 9%. It's certainly still close enough that he could win, but there's nothing within the numbers this week to suggest that he should win. One of Romney's biggest problems continues to be his inability to hold onto his 2008 voters. Only 48% of them are still with him.

In a development that probably no one would have expected a year ago Romney is winning big with regular Fox News viewers, getting 27% to 16% for Gingrich, 15% for Bachmann, and just 12% for Paul. But Paul leads Romney 38-13 with the 48% of likely caucus voters who don't regularly watch Fox News.

Newt Gingrich just keeps on sliding. He's gone from 27% to 22% to 14% to 13% over the course of our four Iowa tracking polls.  His favorability numbers are pretty abysmal now at 37/54 and only 32% of likely voters think that he has strong principles to 45% who believe he does not. Once the darling of Tea Party voters in the state, he's now slipped to third with that group behind Bachmann and Paul.  There's not much reason to think Gingrich can return to his former strong standing in the state in the final week.

Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry, and Rick Santorum continue to all be clustered right around 10%. Santorum actually has the best favorability numbers of any of the candidates at +27 (56/29). He's also the most frequent second choice of voters at 14%.  Whether he can translate any of this into a top 3 finish remains to be seen, but he's someone who would seem to have the potential to grow his support in the final week.

One thing that's hurt Santorum's ability to really make a move is that the Evangelical vote is incredibly fragmented with 6 different candidates getting between 12 and 21%. Paul actually leads the way with that group at 21% to 16% for Romney and Bachmann, 15% for Santorum, 14% for Gingrich, and 12% for Perry.

Bachmann  leads the way with Tea Party voters 24-21 over Paul but the fact that you can be winning Tea Partiers but only in 4th place overall speaks to the diminished power of that movement compared to 2010 within the Republican electorate...only 26% of likely caucus voters consider themselves to be members.

Iowa looks like a 2 person race between Paul and Romney as the campaign enters its final week.  If Paul can really change the electorate by turning out all these young people and independents who don't usually vote in Republican caucuses, he'll win. If turnout ends up looking a little bit more traditional, Romney will probably prevail. And given all the strange twists and turns to this point don't be surprised to see yet another surprise in the final week...and based on the innards of this poll the person best positioned to provide that surprise in the closing stretch is Santorum.

Apparently, digging a two decade old skeleton in a closet hasn't affected him that much. Paul is still leading, Gingrich is plummeting while Mitt Romney is barely maintaining his 20% support - I really don't think he can reach RP by next Tuesday. All I can say is that these are some good GOP elections thus far.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 28, 2011, 06:14:01 PM
Well, the whole article kinda relies mostly on the most recent ARG poll, which is however quite a few days old. Whatever influence the recent attacks on Paul had remains to be seen.
I thought Huckabee (of all people) had an interesting point. The winner of Iowa might be decided by the weather. Weather is good (i.e. above 40 people come out and vote) and Romney comes out on top, weather is bad (die-hard Paulites stand in the rain), Paul wins.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on December 29, 2011, 06:16:11 AM
That "skeleton" will dig at him, even if it doesn't in Iowa. Right now, Paul likes to leave the stage without taking a single question from reporters (https://"https://www.politico.com/news/stories/1211/70919_Page2.html"); no-doubt there are plenty who want to ask him about the newsletters, Lew Rockwell, and so-on. You get to do that when you're a potential winner of one state in a party primary; not when you're a major candidate in a national election.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Tick on December 29, 2011, 06:17:43 AM
Obama is going to have a field day on the Republicans when the time comes based on the fact all he will have to say is...
You couldn't even decide who was best to lead your party, how can you believe he can lead a nation?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 29, 2011, 08:44:53 AM
Obama is going to have a field day on the Republicans when the time comes based on the fact all he will have to say is...
You couldn't even decide who was best to lead your party, how can you believe he can lead a nation?

Eh, that's not much of an attack when you consider that the Democratic primaries in 2008 were just as volatile, (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2008) if not more so.

His best line of attack against Republicans will be the "do nothing congress (https://articles.cnn.com/2011-12-27/politics/politics_obama-do-nothing-congress_1_debt-ceiling-debate-house-speaker-john-boehner-trillion-in-deficit-reduction?_s=PM:POLITICS)"
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ddtonfire on December 30, 2011, 08:28:45 AM
Eh, that's not much of an attack when you consider that the Democratic primaries in 2008 were just as volatile, (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2008) if not more so.

Yes, four years ago, I was convinced the Democrats couldn't win since their base seemed so divided at the time.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on December 30, 2011, 01:04:58 PM
Eh, that's not much of an attack when you consider that the Democratic primaries in 2008 were just as volatile, (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2008) if not more so.

Yes, four years ago, I was convinced the Democrats couldn't win since their base seemed so divided at the time.

Right.  And who would have imagined that after such a bitter and heated primary battle that Hillary Clinton would have ended up in the most powerful cabinet position there is?  It seemed unimaginable at the time, but as has often been postulated here and elsewhere, a week in politics is an eternity. 

The Republicans will have their battle, some blood will be spilled, but then at the end they will band together and support their nominee.  And I'll tell you right now, if Mitt Romney is who they nominate, Obama is going to have his work cut out for him getting re-elected.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on December 30, 2011, 01:19:25 PM
Nah, Obama will have a field day with Mitt, and all the endorsements and crazy shit he's said. Mitt supported the Personhood Amendment in Mississippi, which failed by 2/3's of the vote, as well as his support for ending public unions in Ohio, which also failed by 2/3's.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on December 30, 2011, 02:12:21 PM
And if he wants to play nasty, all he needs to mention is the word "Mormon" numerous times in his ads.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on December 30, 2011, 04:34:12 PM
https://www.ronpaul.com/2011-12-30/iowas-choice-dr-paul-or-u-s-bankruptcy-more-wars-and-many-more-dead-soldiers-and-marines/

Michael Scheuer Endorses Ron Paul for President

By RonPaul.com on December 30, 2011

Michael Scheuer is the former head of the Bin Laden unit for the CIA. He was with the CIA for 22 years. He quit in disgust after the 9-11 commission report was released. He is the best-selling author of four books on the subject of foreign policy and the Middle East, and he is a painful thorn in the side of the establishment. [Full article in the link above]

It's nice to see this kind of support.  :tup
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on December 30, 2011, 04:47:24 PM
I wasn't surprised at all to see it, he's been a real good spokesman for non-interventionism.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 01, 2012, 07:28:24 AM
From CNN.com
 (https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/12/30/in-early-book-rep-ron-paul-criticized-aids-patients-minority-rights-and-sexual-harassment-victims/?hpt=hp_bn3)
Quote
In his 1987 manifesto "Freedom Under Siege: The U.S. Constitution after 200-Plus Years," Paul wrote that AIDS patients were victims of their own lifestyle, questioned the rights of minorities and argued that people who are sexually harassed at work should quit their jobs.

Another item in a growing list of reasons why Ron Paul isn't going anywhere as a candidate for president, regardless of where he finishes in Iowa.

His own toxic words are going to eat him alive from the inside out.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 01, 2012, 12:43:23 PM
Iowans are getting desperate, now Santorum is surging.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 01, 2012, 01:24:12 PM
Let's wait for the PPP poll to come out tonight.

It's going to be a race between Paul and Romney. I don't think Santorum's going to break the top two.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 01, 2012, 04:06:46 PM
From CNN.com
 (https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/12/30/in-early-book-rep-ron-paul-criticized-aids-patients-minority-rights-and-sexual-harassment-victims/?hpt=hp_bn3)
Quote
In his 1987 manifesto "Freedom Under Siege: The U.S. Constitution after 200-Plus Years," Paul wrote that AIDS patients were victims of their own lifestyle, questioned the rights of minorities and argued that people who are sexually harassed at work should quit their jobs.

Another item in a growing list of reasons why Ron Paul isn't going anywhere as a candidate for president, regardless of where he finishes in Iowa.

His own toxic words are going to eat him alive from the inside out.

Ya know, this sorta brings up an interesting question in politics: how much are politicians allowed to grow, change, learn, etc? I'm not sure if this necessarily fits this case, but in other cases, it seems like we expect politicians to think the same thing today as they did decades ago. Any change is seen as "flip-flopping," but it's rather unfair in the overall gist of things. In fact, I'd probably be more disturbed if someone didn't change their opinion over thirty years; reminds me of Colbert's Correspondence performance, where he said Bush would think the same thing on Wednesday as he did on Monday, no matter what happened on Tuesday.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on January 03, 2012, 01:42:55 PM
(https://i29.photobucket.com/albums/c276/chknptpie/ObamaWellPlayed.jpg)

Well played Mr. Obama....
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 03, 2012, 03:53:42 PM
:lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 03, 2012, 07:26:10 PM
I'm amazed how well RP is doing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 03, 2012, 08:06:17 PM
Really? I'm surprised how well Santorum is doing.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 03, 2012, 08:26:33 PM
Really? I'm surprised how well Santorum is doing.

rumborak

I'm not. The media was jerking him off the last few days, can't remember why. But it makes sense, in a way.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on January 03, 2012, 08:36:16 PM
lol. Ron Paul is doing well. I'm loving it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 03, 2012, 08:39:40 PM
He seems to be falling behind though. But, only half of the votes are in so far.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 03, 2012, 08:43:56 PM
They haven't even started counting Jefferson county, the only county Paul won on 08. Also nothing in from Scott County - which is Ames, a college campus site.

I can't wait to go to bed, but I know I couldn't sleep - too exciting.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 03, 2012, 08:49:35 PM
Ok. Seems like it's over for Paul.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 03, 2012, 08:50:28 PM
Yeah, right now it's 4% difference to Santorum.

EDIT: WTF, it jumped from 60% reported to 79%!! Yeah, that will have been it.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on January 03, 2012, 08:54:24 PM
FUCK!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 03, 2012, 08:55:06 PM
Romney came back! 25% right now. Paul is out.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on January 03, 2012, 09:00:34 PM
Even Santorum's nephew hates his uncle!!!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 03, 2012, 09:03:48 PM
Ugh  :facepalm:

Does Romney bring anything to the table other than piles of cash?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on January 03, 2012, 09:06:06 PM
Only 12 votes of difference!!! What the hell?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 03, 2012, 09:06:06 PM
Ugh  :facepalm:

Does Romney bring anything to the table other than piles of cash?

He is the only one IMHO who has a chance to beat Obama.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 03, 2012, 09:07:00 PM
I'm smelling a recount :lol

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Pyroph on January 03, 2012, 09:18:43 PM
They haven't even started counting Jefferson county, the only county Paul won on 08. Also nothing in from Scott County - which is Ames, a college campus site.

I can't wait to go to bed, but I know I couldn't sleep - too exciting.

Story county. I'm in Scott county which is the Quad Cities.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on January 03, 2012, 09:19:29 PM
Holy shit if people at Twitter are ignorant. When Paul said "We're all Austrians now" it was just a gag of Nixon's "We're all Keynesians now." Twitter retarded folks thinks he means Austrian citizens. :lol Idiots.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 03, 2012, 09:20:49 PM
This is ridiculous. Romney is 13 votes ahead! :lol

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 03, 2012, 09:33:53 PM
Man. 5.30 AM

On to New Hampshire. I'm hoping for Huntsman to surge in the last week like Santorum did, only that Huntsman takes votes from Romney, leaving RP unchanged. RP has a shot to do in South Carolina what he did in Iowa.

But it's looking more and more like the inevitable Romney nomination and the thus the inevitable reelection of Obama.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 03, 2012, 09:36:13 PM
Ugh  :facepalm:

Does Romney bring anything to the table other than piles of cash?

He is the only one IMHO who has a chance to beat Obama.

rumborak

Really? I can't think of a reason he might outright lose to him, but I can't think of any sort of upper hand on his part aside from the cash. And cash really only votes so far.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 03, 2012, 09:43:16 PM
People are too stupid to understand all of Paul's positions, but he has a shot vs Obama because of independents and disgruntled progressives on civil liberties and foreign policy.

Romney would lose, he's just a weak flip flopper.

Huntsman is the only candidate who has a good shot at it, but he's too moderate for the base.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 03, 2012, 09:44:56 PM
People are too stupid to understand all of Paul's positions,

That must be it  :\

RP would have zero chance against Obama, sorry.

On to New Hampshire.

Do you really think anybody but Romney will win NH? He was the governor of Massachusetts, and there's a lot of MA Republicans who live in Southern NH. He's going at 41% in the current polls.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 03, 2012, 10:05:35 PM
It's going to be a LOT closer than it looks now. That's all I'm going to say. Santorum and Huntsman are going to come from behind, RP will end @ about 20% in NH too, Romney maybe at 27.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 03, 2012, 10:09:11 PM
I very much doubt that prediction. NH isn't chock full of evangelicals like Iowa is, and Romney was quite a popular governor in MA for the Republicans. That doesn't just go away.
Regarding RP, my prediction is that his star is setting soon. I think this was his peak. Had he won he could have extended his momentum, but the conclusion here was that it was between Romney and Santorum.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 03, 2012, 10:16:55 PM
Maybe I'm just being fed what I want, but this article just popped up:

https://www.businessinsider.com/ron-paul-winner-iowa-caucuses-strategy-201201 (https://www.businessinsider.com/ron-paul-winner-iowa-caucuses-strategy-201201)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 03, 2012, 10:19:58 PM
Errr .... am I understanding this article correctly in that it suggests RP volunteers are planning to go against the will of Iowa and try to subvert the process by secretly becoming delegates in the RNC and then voting for RP in the actual nomination?
If he actually tried that and somebody could prove it, it would be the immediate end of RP.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 03, 2012, 10:24:09 PM
A "recount" is certainly on tonight's menu.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 03, 2012, 10:27:36 PM
Well. It's well within the realms of the delegate process, it's about depth of support really.

You may see it as undemocratic, and the caucus system really confuses me and is a bit undemocratic, but it's the way it is.

Ron Paul may as well end up with an unproprtionally large number of delegates.

edit:
"Delegates from the precinct caucuses go on to the county conventions, which choose delegates to the district conventions, which in turn selects delegates to the Iowa State Convention. Thus, it is the Republican Iowa State Convention, not the precinct caucuses, which selects the ultimate delegates from Iowa to the Republican National Convention. All delegates are officially unbound from the results of the precinct caucus, although media organizations either estimate delegate numbers by estimating county convention results or simply divide them proportionally."
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 03, 2012, 10:29:54 PM
Well. It's well within the realms of the delegate process, it's about depth of support really.

You may see it as undemocratic, and the caucus system really confuses me and is a bit undemocratic, but it's the way it is.

Ron Paul may as well end up with an unproprtionally large number of delegates.

Your statement right there pretty much cements my belief of what's wrong with RP's base. I mean, you'd be plain willing to override the public vote just to have it your way.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 03, 2012, 10:30:43 PM
Jeez, 98%, and now Romney is back on top :lol

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 03, 2012, 10:34:25 PM
Well. It's well within the realms of the delegate process, it's about depth of support really.

You may see it as undemocratic, and the caucus system really confuses me and is a bit undemocratic, but it's the way it is.

Ron Paul may as well end up with an unproprtionally large number of delegates.

Your statement right there pretty much cements my belief of what's wrong with RP's base. I mean, you'd be plain willing to override the public vote just to have it your way.

rumborak

The caucus system is designed for this, it's for depth of support. Primary states speaks more about breadth of support. This is how the game is played.

It's either play, or get played.


Now 5 votes between frothy and mittens.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 03, 2012, 10:38:00 PM
Just 5 votes, absolutely insane.

I know this is somewhat unrelated? But does anyone know offhand how large a difference the popular and electoral vote count was between George Bush and Gore back in '00?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 03, 2012, 10:39:45 PM
@jsem: Sorry,but sticking around the longest after the event does not qualify you to override thousands of people's faithful vote. The fact that you seriously suggest this is nothing but disturbing.But, as you said, people are apparently too stupid to understand RP's policies, so I guess their votes don't really count.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 03, 2012, 10:48:08 PM
But what are you supposed to do, play nice even though you could play rough WITHIN the rules? People ought to understand how the caucus process works, this is about ORGANIZATION on the behalf of the campaign and DEPTH OF SUPPORT. This is more about getting out the vote, it's also about getting the voters to stay around and be active in being delegates.

That being said, I seriously don't understand the stupidity of the caucus process, and the delegate process altogether, and why some states are first and the last states have almost no say in choosing their nominee - it's a stupid voting process as a whole. Primaries like New Hampshire are much fairer imo. I'm saying that I don't agree with the game, but when you're in it you've gotta play the way it CAN be - and it's completely within the rules.

STILL: The caucus straw vote is more about creating momentum, the delegates are awarded in March or something.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 04, 2012, 12:25:01 AM
I'm smelling a recount :lol

rumborak

Is it winner take all? I know some aren't, but I don't know what Iowa does.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 04, 2012, 04:00:46 AM
Nah, it's all proportionate.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on January 04, 2012, 06:25:50 AM
It's non-binding as well I believe, so delegates aren't forced to vote for a certain candidate.

RP will end @ about 20% in NH too
I wouldn't be surprised if RP did pretty well in NH. Romney will get the first spot, but I'd predict Paul will get #2. We have a lot of anti-government people in NH. But the more populated areas are very close to Mass. and many of them commute to work in Mass., so I think Romney will have little problem winning.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on January 04, 2012, 06:28:58 AM
Just freaking 8 votes of difference. Wow.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 04, 2012, 06:45:33 AM
NH is the Live Free or Die state.

Also home to the Free State project.

Paul is going to do very well.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Perpetual Change on January 04, 2012, 07:10:24 AM
I don't get why NH is such a big primary state. Isn't it going to go liberal, anyway?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PlaysLikeMyung on January 04, 2012, 07:35:52 AM
I fear for this country if Ron Paul is even CLOSE to getting the nomination.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Blackfield on January 04, 2012, 07:49:14 AM
Why?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on January 04, 2012, 07:55:06 AM
Why?

While, idealistically, he's very attractive for voters, the fact is that he probably wouldn't beat Obama. Even if he did, he wouldn't get anything passed that he wants to do. No one in Congress would ever vote in favor of some of his ideas, and we'd have a stagnant office and a wasted 4 years.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 04, 2012, 08:02:34 AM
That's not true at all; Paul loves the idea of cutting spending and government, and so does the Republican establishment. The reason they dislike him is because he's not an establishment Republican.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on January 04, 2012, 08:20:50 AM
I think Paul would do alright in a general election.  I don't think anybody they pick is really going to energize the base,  and RP certainly won't.  The difference is that RP can get a ton of independent support that Romney or Santorum can't.  There are plenty of people like me who would generally support the democrat but think that Obama is a worthless pile of dog-doo.  While I wouldn't vote for an establishment Republican,  I would vote for one with an independent streak like Paul.  I'm starting to think the votes gained from independents might be greater than the votes lost by apathetic republicans should Paul get the nomination. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on January 04, 2012, 08:52:34 AM
I don't get why NH is such a big primary state. Isn't it going to go liberal, anyway?
Not necessarily. They don't seem to vote consistently one party or the other. But they're only 4 electoral votes anyway, which is pretty much negligible. NH is a big primary state because they're the second primary, that's it. There's really no significance to the state otherwise. I'm sure they have an early primary just so they matter for a while.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on January 04, 2012, 09:10:17 AM
That's not true at all; Paul loves the idea of cutting spending and government, and so does the Republican establishment. The reason they dislike him is because he's not an establishment Republican.

Eh, it's plenty true. Someone has to pay for their re-elections. Those people like government money or money created by government programs/regulations etc.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: wasteland on January 04, 2012, 09:21:58 AM
I can't undestand how anyone would wish to support a politician who thinks of admitting the existence of evolution or not denying the global warming as a reproachful act.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 04, 2012, 09:35:27 AM
Well, Santorum made it closer than I thought, but as I suspected Romney wins.  I think Romney will do even better in NH, but not a LOT better.  Ron Paul will probably be gone by or right after Super Tuesday.    The only question that remains is will he mount a disgruntled independent challenge, effectively ensuring an Obama victory in the General Election or will he simply take his ball and go home? 

Bachmann will probably announce that she's out this week.  Maybe even today.

Huntsman is the wild card in NH.  Did his strategy pay off? 

None of this matters much anyway, since it's Romney's turn.  He'll be the nominee.  And the general election will be one of the closest in history.

Obama's problem is obvious.  The highly motivated youth vote that propelled him to victory in 2008 are all pretty much disgusted with him.  Voter apathy on the Democrat side is going to make this election very close.  I still say 50/50 shot -at best- for Obama....the only way that improves between now and November is if we get some fairly dramatic GOOD NEWS about the economy between now and then.  With home prices still going down, that seems unlikely.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 04, 2012, 09:56:21 AM
I can't undestand how anyone would wish to support a politician who thinks of admitting the existence of evolution or not denying the global warming as a reproachful act.
I can't understand how anyone would wish to support a politician who's secret drone wars kill innocent men, women, and children - Someone who supports the assassination of American citizens abroad and has codified into law the ability of the government to indefinitely detain US citizens. 

It's easy to play this game; I could go on for days. I don't mean to trivialize very reasonable and logical concerns with someone like Paul's positions, but frankly, I'd like for the rule of law to be somewhat re-established before addressing that stuff.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 04, 2012, 10:09:26 AM
That's not true at all; Paul loves the idea of cutting spending and government, and so does the Republican establishment. The reason they dislike him is because he's not an establishment Republican.

Eh, it's plenty true. Someone has to pay for their re-elections. Those people like government money or money created by government programs/regulations etc.

What government money? Donors are primarily corporate or private.

I can't undestand how anyone would wish to support a politician who thinks of admitting the existence of evolution or not denying the global warming as a reproachful act.
I can't understand how anyone would wish to support a politician who's secret drone wars kill innocent men, women, and children - Someone who supports the assassination of American citizens abroad and has codified into law the ability of the government to indefinitely detain US citizens. 

It's easy to play this game; I could go on for days. I don't mean to trivialize very reasonable and logical concerns with someone like Paul's positions, but frankly, I'd like for the rule of law to be somewhat re-established before addressing that stuff.



I hate to say it, but problems like global warming are a much more time sensitive issue. Social and political justice is a ticking time bomb only in the sense that the failure to secure either *may* spark violent backlash, and the effects of that will be very localized.

I know I sound like I'm trivializing the very important issue of justice, but we should probably try to prevent millions from dying from cataclysmic environmental reactions and potential extinction of life on Earth first, and deal with questions like those later.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 04, 2012, 10:18:25 AM
I know you're just piggybacking on sensationalist posts, but do you really think things will be THAT much worse on the climate change front with four years of Paul? From what I gather things aren't so great right now anyway.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 04, 2012, 10:23:44 AM
Obama may not be taking us forward, but the Republican agenda so far has been going backward. End the EPA and all that nonsense.

Anyway, sorry about that tirade. I wrote it fresh out of editing a policy paper. It may be more accurate to say that the longer we wait, the harder it will be to make the necessary changes to avoid both a human and economic catastrophe, here as well as abroad. The point is climate change mitigation is a much more time-critical issue, in that there is such a thing as 'too late.'
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on January 04, 2012, 10:25:21 AM
That's not true at all; Paul loves the idea of cutting spending and government, and so does the Republican establishment. The reason they dislike him is because he's not an establishment Republican.

Eh, it's plenty true. Someone has to pay for their re-elections. Those people like government money or money created by government programs/regulations etc.

What government money? Donors are primarily corporate or private.


I'm pretty sure BP backs candidates that are going to make oil regulations less rigid allowing BP to make more money. Things of that nature.


/imnotsayingallpoliticiansareboughtoffbutthereareenoughwhoaretomakeadifference
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 04, 2012, 10:26:20 AM
Well yeah, that's what I was saying. Republicans don't need government money, they get plenty in corporate funds (not to say Democrats don't as well, but that's why Republicans don't sweat the smaller government thing).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on January 04, 2012, 01:07:00 PM
Well yeah, that's what I was saying. Republicans don't need government money, they get plenty in corporate funds (not to say Democrats don't as well, but that's why Republicans don't sweat the smaller government thing).

Democrats are just as bad.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 04, 2012, 01:14:54 PM
Well yeah, that's what I was saying. Republicans don't need government money, they get plenty in corporate funds (not to say Democrats don't as well, but that's why Republicans don't sweat the smaller government thing).

Democrats are just as bad.

Well yeah, that's what I was saying. Republicans don't need government money, they get plenty in corporate funds (not to say Democrats don't as well, but that's why Republicans don't sweat the smaller government thing).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 04, 2012, 01:51:56 PM
Ron Paul will probably be gone by or right after Super Tuesday.    The only question that remains is will he mount a disgruntled independent challenge, effectively ensuring an Obama victory in the General Election or will he simply take his ball and go home?

Yeah, it'll be interesting. A lot of disillusioned teenagers will be the result.

Quote
Bachmann will probably announce that she's out this week.  Maybe even today.

Yup, she's out. Even though she still said yesterday she'd stay in the race.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on January 04, 2012, 02:01:02 PM
Yup, she's out. Even though she still said yesterday she'd stay in the race.

rumborak


As a conservative, this is how I feel about her dropping out :

(https://assets0.ordienetworks.com/images/GifGuide/dancing/tumblr_lgqwsbEa891qfjmnk.gif)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on January 04, 2012, 02:02:02 PM
As a liberal, this is how I feel about her dropping out :

(https://assets0.ordienetworks.com/images/GifGuide/dancing/tumblr_lgqwsbEa891qfjmnk.gif)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 04, 2012, 02:02:50 PM
As a human being, this is how I feel about her dropping out :

(https://assets0.ordienetworks.com/images/GifGuide/dancing/tumblr_lgqwsbEa891qfjmnk.gif)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 04, 2012, 02:06:08 PM
I'm all fucking warm and fuzzy right now  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on January 04, 2012, 02:10:24 PM
Whenever she started talking during the debates  this is what would happen in my house:

I'd start drinking my beer (you need 2-3 for the debates regardless of Bachman) and looking at my phone
My mom would hit mute and look at her phone and glance up to see if she's shut up yet
My dad would start reading his book


Every time.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 04, 2012, 02:18:31 PM
That would be due to the fact that she's dumber than a bag full of hammers  :lol

And the worst part is, EVERYONE - I think even the people who elected her - know it!  :lol

And it's got NOTHING to do with her ideology.  She's just an idiot.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on January 04, 2012, 02:22:19 PM
And it's got NOTHING to do with her ideology.  She's just an idiot.

:clap: POTYAY

(post of the year, any year)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 04, 2012, 03:38:32 PM
I am still stunned that there were 2 counties in which Perry won. WTF. It's also interesting to see how Romney allured to the city folks, whereas Santorum was more popular in rural areas.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 04, 2012, 04:14:40 PM
According to AP, Romney gets 13 delegates, Santorum gets 12, the rest get 0.

Apparently, Paul supporters didn't win the delegate process in any of the congressional districts or something.

Just a projection though, not official yet.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 04, 2012, 10:36:25 PM
I think Paul would do alright in a general election.  I don't think anybody they pick is really going to energize the base,  and RP certainly won't.  The difference is that RP can get a ton of independent support that Romney or Santorum can't.  There are plenty of people like me who would generally support the democrat but think that Obama is a worthless pile of dog-doo.  While I wouldn't vote for an establishment Republican,  I would vote for one with an independent streak like Paul.  I'm starting to think the votes gained from independents might be greater than the votes lost by apathetic republicans should Paul get the nomination.

If the prospect of a Ron Paul and a Democratic Congress was possible, then I think more might get done than with any other options. Our foreign policy would at least change, and I sorta wonder if he would just stop enforcing the drug war. I mean, he could pardon every drug offender in the country. Democrats wouldn't do away with the welfare aspects, but I honestly think if the President pushed for this, they wouldn't really push back too much.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 05, 2012, 06:31:17 AM
A lot of laws have been written with executive orders too. If he disagrees with them, he'll just repeal them with another executive order.

He wants laws to be passed by the legislative branch, so he'd undo a LOT of what many previous administrations have done.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 05, 2012, 05:17:26 PM
Btw, just to clear things up, the last "this" of my last post was meant to refer to the Wars and the Drug War, not welfare, as it would imply.

He wants laws to be passed by the legislative branch, so he'd undo a LOT of what many previous administrations have done.

Well, it'd be lot trickier than simply undoing them.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 07, 2012, 03:45:59 PM
Scheavo, I heard you talking about RP @ corporate personhood some while back:

"The corporation itself isn't a person, only we as individuals are"
- RP @ University of New Hampshire Town Hall


But substantively, Paul doesn't favor campaign finance reform. I think he'd be in favor of full transparency of who's donating, but can't tell for sure.

It's a sad thing. Public finance isn't perfect, but might actually be better than the current system in the US. Sweden's system of elections totally protects the status quo, the unions have a stranglehold over the political situation, and the only possible changes are really minor in the steps toward freedom. The corruption in terms of corporate influence is MUCH less though, you don't have lobbyists flocking Stockholm. Public finance would be a net benefit to the US election system.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 07, 2012, 04:46:21 PM
RP's quote doesn't really answer the question.

If there was a small donation limit to campaign contribution, and require that such contributions come from a single person, and not a corporation, I'd be fine. You're going to have to build somewhat of a base to campaign, you can't go to a few people, get money, and get famous by running a few TV ads.

Also,

Buddy Roehmer.

https://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26315908/ns/msnbc_tv-rachel_maddow_show/

4th video down.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 07, 2012, 05:27:36 PM
If you want to reform something, I would say limit the time of campaigning. I mean, seriously, campaigning for 7 months, to nominate the candidate?! And then another 4 months of campaigning for the actual election?!! Candidates need inordinate amounts of money to do that.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 07, 2012, 06:27:25 PM
If you want to reform something, I would say limit the time of campaigning. I mean, seriously, campaigning for 7 months, to nominate the candidate?! And then another 4 months of campaigning for the actual election?!! Candidates need inordinate amounts of money to do that.

rumborak

Why not just limit the money, and then let that dictate the amount of time they can run? Trying to set the amount of time seems weird to me, especially considering it still wouldn't deal with corruption in the political system.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: King Postwhore on January 08, 2012, 07:07:39 PM
If you want to reform something, I would say limit the time of campaigning. I mean, seriously, campaigning for 7 months, to nominate the candidate?! And then another 4 months of campaigning for the actual election?!! Candidates need inordinate amounts of money to do that.

rumborak

Why not just limit the money, and then let that dictate the amount of time they can run? Trying to set the amount of time seems weird to me, especially considering it still wouldn't deal with corruption in the political system.

This is the right call.  In the end we lessen the payola the candidates take in.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 09, 2012, 08:54:32 AM
I'll take it one step further and say that limiting the TIME to campaign could even encourage more corruption because then you've got an even more intense race to come up with as much money as possible to outspend your opponents.  Cut the head off the beast.  The money is the head, not the time. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 09, 2012, 09:10:28 AM
The problem with making it money-based is, the value of money changes, the value of time doesn't. So, you'd be in a constant battle over how much money is an appropriate amount, over and over again, just like Congress salary increases. When going by time, that wouldn't be an issue.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 09, 2012, 11:49:03 AM
So, what's everybody's guess at who quits next? Santorum seems a likely candidate is NH turns out bad for him; apparently he has almost no money left. Huntsman sadly seems another likely candidate, which is a bummer because he's the only reasonable in the bunch.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 09, 2012, 12:20:06 PM
The problem with making it money-based is, the value of money changes, the value of time doesn't. So, you'd be in a constant battle over how much money is an appropriate amount, over and over again, just like Congress salary increases. When going by time, that wouldn't be an issue.

rumborak

Nah, just weight it on the inflation rate like they do with welfare. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 09, 2012, 12:26:15 PM
So, what's everybody's guess at who quits next? Santorum seems a likely candidate is NH turns out bad for him; apparently he has almost no money left. Huntsman sadly seems another likely candidate, which is a bummer because he's the only reasonable in the bunch.

rumborak

My best guess based on the most current polling trends (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-1452.html) is Gingrich and Perry will be out, probably after Florida.  Romney will lock up the nomination on Super Tuesday, most likely.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 09, 2012, 12:33:26 PM
Wow, hadn't seen the Gingrich dip in SC yet in the polls. Yeah, that was it for him. No candidate has managed to recover from a dip so far.
It's interesting how Paul just trudges on with his 10-20% in the various states, despite the massive fluctuations of the other candidates. He really polarizes people; either pople stand to him no matter what, or they consider him patently unelectable. Unless he manages to generate major momentum soon, I think Florida and SC will break his back though. In both states he's not exceeding 10%.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 09, 2012, 12:37:49 PM
So, what's everybody's guess at who quits next? Santorum seems a likely candidate is NH turns out bad for him; apparently he has almost no money left. Huntsman sadly seems another likely candidate, which is a bummer because he's the only reasonable in the bunch.

rumborak

Actually, Huntsman's getting more coverage and attention lately - even negative ads against him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 09, 2012, 12:40:14 PM
Seriously, I would LOVE to see a Huntsman vs. Obama race. Because that would force the two to discuss REAL issues, not bullshit like wars on religion and who has experienced more trauma in some war (what a dick-waving contest that was in the debate!)

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 09, 2012, 12:50:11 PM
I think their history would probably make it more of a topic of real issues than anything else. Obama never really went off on McCain like he could have last time, he tried to keep it on more real issues, and Huntsman seems like someone who has the same desire. I think they have a good relationship, which would also go a long ways too.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 09, 2012, 01:02:54 PM
They seem pretty similar to me, actually.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 09, 2012, 01:06:27 PM
Wow, hadn't seen the Gingrich dip in SC yet in the polls. Yeah, that was it for him. No candidate has managed to recover from a dip so far.
It's interesting how Paul just trudges on with his 10-20% in the various states, despite the massive fluctuations of the other candidates. He really polarizes people; either pople stand to him no matter what, or they consider him patently unelectable. Unless he manages to generate major momentum soon, I think Florida and SC will break his back though. In both states he's not exceeding 10%.

rumborak

I never really thought Gingrich would get as much steam as he did.  Way too much personal baggage.  Remember, this is a guy who paid a $300k fine and resigned as Speaker of the House under a fairly substantial ethics violation cloud.  A guy like that just isn't going to get too far in an election.  He did OK for a while in Iowa, I think, on his name recognition and early debate performances, but once the attack ads were rolled out by the pro-Romney PACs and people started either remembering (or being told about) how corrupt he actually was when he held office, his numbers took a nose dive and they've never recovered, and I don't think they will.  His days are numbered.  Huntsman never had a chance.  Perry self-destructed with his "oops moment" combined with 3 consecutive terrible debate performances and Ron Paul is, well, Ron Paul.  He's unelectable at this level, he always has been.  He IS a *slight* wild card because I think with this being his final realistic shot at higher office, he could (25% chance I'd say) launch an independent bid for the White House as a way of saying "Fuck You" to the Republican establishment for never giving him his shot.  If he does that, he ensures an Obama victory and I just don't know if he's quite that bitter and vindictive.....possible, bot not probable.

Mitt Romney's the nominee and if the DNC or Obama fumbles, even just a little bit, Romney's the next president.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 09, 2012, 01:27:22 PM
They're just setting this up for an Obama win in 2012.. oh boy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 09, 2012, 01:47:42 PM
There are only three things that prevent me from supporting Huntsman. These are his stances on abortion, support for the Keystone XL pipeline, and his bid to reduce corporate taxes. Otherwise I might have even chosen him over Obama.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on January 09, 2012, 01:49:36 PM
They're just setting this up for an Obama win in 2012.. oh boy.
Yep, this is going to be just like 2004. A president ready for defeat, but the other party couldn't come up with a good candidate. For the record, I don't think Romney is too bad, but is anyone out there really all that excited about him? I like that he's moderate, but beyond that there's not much to get excited about.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 09, 2012, 01:50:05 PM
They're just setting this up for an Obama win in 2012.. oh boy.

They? Who is "They?"

Romney is a formidable opponent.  And Obama hasn't exactly been the rock star as President Obama as he was as Candidate Obama.  Voter apathy on the Democrat side is going to hurt him and his support among independents as well as progressives has slid.

If it comes down to Obama or Romney I definitely want Obama to win but it's certainly not going to be the cakewalk on easy street that some people are making it out to be.  Not against Romney.

Here's the current polling (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html) in a General Election match-up.  Well within the margin of error.  It's basically a tie at this point.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 09, 2012, 01:58:27 PM
I think whatever goes down this year will easily decide the election. If for example the economy continues to pick up (and not just the occasional slight updrift), Obama will look good. If Iran goes apeshit, Romney will be favored.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 09, 2012, 02:10:15 PM
I think whatever goes down this year will easily decide the election. If for example the economy continues to pick up (and not just the occasional slight updrift), Obama will look good. If Iran goes apeshit, Romney will be favored.

rumborak

I agree with that.  In fact, I think the economy is one place where Obama may have an edge now, because it appears to have bottomed out and things are picking up again.  I also think the "Iran threat" has been massively overblown and overhyped by the neocon wing of the Republican party.  I'd say at this point the election may even be Obama's to lose, but he hasn't shown me anything in the last 4 years that make me very confident, with a couple of rare exceptions like the auto-industry bail out.  I also think the he's done "OK" on foreign policy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 09, 2012, 02:36:29 PM
Holy crap, what a bad wording. Romney says he "like being able to fire people":

https://www.boston.com/Boston/politicalintelligence/2012/01/mitt-romney-says-like-being-able-fire-people-new-hampshire-event/DSLNx9xGGR7KhEiyXEHVJI/index.html?p1=News_links

Obama definitely had his DVR running on that one.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 09, 2012, 03:02:53 PM
They're just setting this up for an Obama win in 2012.. oh boy.

They? Who is "They?"

Romney is a formidable opponent.  And Obama hasn't exactly been the rock star as President Obama as he was as Candidate Obama.  Voter apathy on the Democrat side is going to hurt him and his support among independents as well as progressives has slid.

If it comes down to Obama or Romney I definitely want Obama to win but it's certainly not going to be the cakewalk on easy street that some people are making it out to be.  Not against Romney.

Here's the current polling (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html) in a General Election match-up.  Well within the margin of error.  It's basically a tie at this point.
The republicans. They can't rally enthusiastically between anyone. The only reason Romney is leading is because of his supposed "electability".

Obama would DESTROY Romney, and quite frankly, all other candidates but Huntsman. Or perhaps Roemer.
Paul is a different story, there's no telling what would happen - but the GOP cannot go on without his base, they're here to stay.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 09, 2012, 03:19:23 PM
jsem, if you think Obama would destroy Romney, he would OBLITERATE Paul. Paul looks good against the backdrop of obscenely bizarre GOP candidates. When compared to a moderate candidate like Obama, he would come across as that "crazy neighbor", as somebody referred to him today in a video of NH residents' reactions.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 09, 2012, 03:21:47 PM
I do think Obama would win against Paul, pretty significantly. But the revolution WILL go on, and will attract even more people. The campaign is not only working for Ron Paul, this is a long term revolution of the minds.

Eventually, Rand Paul will become POTUS.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: pogoowner on January 09, 2012, 03:26:08 PM
I do think Obama would win against Paul, pretty significantly. But the revolution WILL go on, and will attract even more people. The campaign is not only working for Ron Paul, this is a long term revolution of the minds.

Eventually, Rand Paul will become POTUS.
Look, I'm as big a supporter of the Ron Paul movement as anyone, but I don't see that happening.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on January 09, 2012, 03:26:39 PM
Holy crap, what a bad wording. Romney says he "like being able to fire people":

https://www.boston.com/Boston/politicalintelligence/2012/01/mitt-romney-says-like-being-able-fire-people-new-hampshire-event/DSLNx9xGGR7KhEiyXEHVJI/index.html?p1=News_links

Obama definitely had his DVR running on that one.

rumborak

In terms of context, he likes to be able to choose his services, but yes very bad wording indeed!

Also this:

Quote
When Kushner held an impromptu news conference after the event had finished, the Romney campaign instructed the individual operating the music to increase the volume to a decibel so loud, nobody could hear the woman speak.
https://news.yahoo.com/romney-likes-being-able-fire-people-174752665--abc-news.html
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 09, 2012, 04:39:03 PM
I do think Obama would win against Paul, pretty significantly. But the revolution WILL go on, and will attract even more people. The campaign is not only working for Ron Paul, this is a long term revolution of the minds.

Eventually, Rand Paul will become POTUS.
Look, I'm as big a supporter of the Ron Paul movement as anyone, but I don't see that happening.
It will happen, mark my words.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on January 09, 2012, 04:58:52 PM
What's POTUS?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 09, 2012, 04:59:37 PM
President of the US
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on January 09, 2012, 10:45:31 PM
Wow, I'm bad with acronyms.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Gorille85 on January 10, 2012, 12:52:36 AM
The end is near.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 10, 2012, 09:27:20 AM
I do think Obama would win against Paul, pretty significantly. But the revolution WILL go on, and will attract even more people. The campaign is not only working for Ron Paul, this is a long term revolution of the minds.

Eventually, Rand Paul will become POTUS.
Look, I'm as big a supporter of the Ron Paul movement as anyone, but I don't see that happening.
It will happen, mark my words.

 :lol   
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 10, 2012, 11:01:16 AM
Yeah. Laugh all you want.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 10, 2012, 11:19:30 AM
Rand Paul is an idiot.  And that's probably an insult to idiots.  He'll never be president, just like his father will never be president.   He'll pick up the mantle of his whacky father's ideas, and maybe, like his father, he'll run for president a few times.  But, like his father, he'll never get any more than maybe 15% of the vote, because (like his father) he believes in stuff that's just never going to appeal to the mainstream in this country. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 10, 2012, 11:49:29 AM
And whoever said that thing about the "crazy neighbor" views was right.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 10, 2012, 12:16:09 PM
One thing I found rather humorous is how apparently at RP rallies, people break into "Dr. Paul, Dr. Paul" chants. Not a discredit to the profession, but he's a physician, for crying out loud.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 10, 2012, 01:15:39 PM
One thing I found rather humorous is how apparently at RP rallies, people break into "Dr. Paul, Dr. Paul" chants. Not a discredit to the profession, but he's a physician, for crying out loud.

rumborak

It's interesting.  At a few other places I post we've been discussing the election and the PaulbotsTM almost always refer to him as "Dr. Paul" as if it makes him a superior candidate.  Mostly, it comes off as sort of smug and elitist.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on January 10, 2012, 01:34:43 PM
Eventually, Rand Paul will become POTUS.
lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 10, 2012, 09:08:05 PM
So, I guess Roemer and Perry are out. 0% and 1%, respectively.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 10, 2012, 10:00:29 PM
Roamer never stood a shot in hell, which is sad.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on January 10, 2012, 10:03:49 PM
It's disappointing that Romney did as well as he did. The guy is such a slimy fuck. I was really hoping he wouldn't crack 35% tonight. I was also hoping Huntsman would hit at least 20%.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Jamariquay on January 10, 2012, 11:05:31 PM
The question from here isn't "Will Romney win?" but rather, "Who will Romney pick for his running mate?"

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on January 11, 2012, 12:11:56 AM
I guess I should thank Republican voters for not voting for someone that is batshit crazy, but it's Mitt Romney, so it feels kinda hollow, like thanking someone for taking a shit in your sink as opposed to shitting in your microwave.

Also, I listened to his winning speech on NPR on the way home from work. Totally sounds like he's already the Republican nominee. I mean, granted, he pretty much is but still , kinda funny how he's jumping the gun.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 11, 2012, 04:57:55 AM
Perry is not out, he's pulling out all the stops in South Carolina.

Expect a Perry uprising, he's going to be the Santorum/Huntsman of South Carolina.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 11, 2012, 07:48:41 AM
Well, he better get rolling then, so far the polls show him at 5%.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on January 11, 2012, 08:23:00 AM
As I understand it the GOP in S.C.  is dominated by the religious whack-jobs that fawn over the Perry types.  I suspect Romney will win again,  but Santorum, and to a lesser extent Perry, will do much better there.  This is where Romney's "cult" membership will hurt him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 11, 2012, 08:45:01 AM
Here's the current polling in South Carolina  (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/sc/south_carolina_republican_presidential_primary-1590.html)

No way Perry's going to climb out of that hole in 10 days.  Although, it is true that the Evangelical vote in South Carolina is quite strong and Perry has a lot more money and resources than Santorum.  Watch for Rick Perry to go after Santorum and Gingrich in a bid for third place.  Ron Paul.....eh.....he'll probably come in third or fourth.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 11, 2012, 11:04:03 AM
BTW, what's that talk about RP's potential bid as an independent if the GOP nomination doesn't work out? It would seem to me the public perception of such a move would come across as "someone who wants it too badly and can't take No for an answer".

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on January 11, 2012, 11:17:25 AM
It would also come across as someone who actually wants a second term from Obama.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 11, 2012, 11:33:49 AM
Well alright then, I say have at it!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 11, 2012, 11:49:22 AM
If running as an independent would somehow get him into a televised debate with Romney and Obama I would be all for it. I think that could be extremely beneficial to public discourse.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 11, 2012, 11:54:39 AM
It would also come across as someone who actually wants a second term from Obama.

Considering that the current general election polling projections (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html) put Romney and Obama in a statistical tie, I think it can be confidently articulated that an independent bid by ANYONE who siphons votes from the Conservative voting contingent in this country would practically guarantee Obama a second term.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 11, 2012, 12:39:46 PM
Here's the current polling in South Carolina  (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/sc/south_carolina_republican_presidential_primary-1590.html)

No way Perry's going to climb out of that hole in 10 days.  Although, it is true that the Evangelical vote in South Carolina is quite strong and Perry has a lot more money and resources than Santorum.  Watch for Rick Perry to go after Santorum and Gingrich in a bid for third place.  Ron Paul.....eh.....he'll probably come in third or fourth.


Santorum was polling dead last a week before the caucus. Jon Huntsman was polling at about 10% a week ago, ended up 18%.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 11, 2012, 12:56:18 PM
Here's the current polling in South Carolina  (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/sc/south_carolina_republican_presidential_primary-1590.html)

No way Perry's going to climb out of that hole in 10 days.  Although, it is true that the Evangelical vote in South Carolina is quite strong and Perry has a lot more money and resources than Santorum.  Watch for Rick Perry to go after Santorum and Gingrich in a bid for third place.  Ron Paul.....eh.....he'll probably come in third or fourth.


Santorum was polling dead last a week before the caucus. Jon Huntsman was polling at about 10% a week ago, ended up 18%.

No, he wasn't.  On December 29th - 6 days (also known as one day less than a week) prior to the caucus he was polling in third place at 16% (https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/iowa/2012_iowa_republican_caucus)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 11, 2012, 01:59:44 PM
True. 1½ week before though. He started surging right after Christmas.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on January 11, 2012, 08:56:09 PM
I really wish that newsletter stuff hadn't come up pre-Iowa, because Ron Paul winning Iowa really could have shaken things up. Now, I haven't really been a Ron Paul fan since I went through a bit of a phase back in early 2008, but at least the man has a few good policy positions, and seems very genuine. Romney, again, is a slimy fuck who will take whatever position he needs to to win. He embodies so many things that are wrong with American politics.

I'm rooting for Obama to win a second term, but would really like him to have an opponent who isn't completely terrible. Here's hoping Huntsman is able to build some name recognition this time around and does well in 2016.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 12, 2012, 11:57:32 AM
I hear you loud and clear, TL, and I agree about Romney.  He's like a used car salesman on steroids.

It's easy to tell when he's lying.  Just look at his lips.  If they're moving, he's lying.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 12, 2012, 02:48:18 PM
Meanwhile, Rick Perry and Newt Gingrich are stepping in it by violating Ronald Reagan's famous 11th Commandment "thou shalt not attack another Republican" by going after Romney (https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/01/12/perry-donor-defects-to-romney-citing-bain-attacks/) for the work he did with Bain Capital.  I've always thought that was a bad strategy.  Bain Capital is actually a very, very well respected company in the business community and they give generously to lots and lots of charities.   
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 12, 2012, 04:23:04 PM
Meanwhile, Rick Perry and Newt Gingrich are stepping in it by violating Ronald Reagan's famous 11th Commandment "thou shalt not attack another Republican" by going after Romney (https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/01/12/perry-donor-defects-to-romney-citing-bain-attacks/) for the work he did with Bain Capital.  I've always thought that was a bad strategy. Bain Capital is actually a very, very well respected company in the business community and they give generously to lots and lots of charities.

I love Republicans.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on January 12, 2012, 09:06:11 PM
Colbert 2012
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 13, 2012, 08:14:56 AM
(https://www.kirksnosehair.com/Portals/0/images/smilies/uplaugh.gif)

What's funniest about that is he's probably the best candidate in the entire field

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on January 13, 2012, 09:31:03 AM
In all complete and utter honesty, I would vote for him over any of the Republicans running.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 13, 2012, 10:34:17 AM
I mean frankly that's not such a hard choice.

Anyway, lol of the day: according to Paul Krugman, Romney defended his actions at Bain Capital by likening it to Obama's auto industry bailout, a presidential act he had previously condemned. I can't find another article atm confirming this, but still lol.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: GuineaPig on January 13, 2012, 10:46:39 AM
lolamericanpolitics (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-16549624)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 13, 2012, 11:20:59 AM
I mean frankly that's not such a hard choice.

Anyway, lol of the day: according to Paul Krugman, Romney defended his actions at Bain Capital by likening it to Obama's auto industry bailout, a presidential act he had previously condemned. I can't find another article atm confirming this, but still lol.

Just read it (https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/01/12/romney-and-the-bailout/) a little while ago.  It was LOLtastic.  :lol

This is the actual quote from Romney:

“In the general election, I’ll be pointing out that the president took the reins of General Motors and Chrysler, closed factories, closed dealerships, laid off thousands and thousands of workers. He did it to try to save the business,” Romney said on “CBS This Morning.” “We … had, on occasion, to do things that are tough to try to save a business.”

And this was Mitt Romney's opinion (https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/181102/bad-worse/mitt-romney) of the auto industry bail out when Obama proposed it.


He really ought to shut his hole pretty soon or Obama IS going to landslide him.   Don't his handlers vet this stuff?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 13, 2012, 11:30:20 AM
Obama didn't bail out the auto industry? That was George W., Obama just had to deal with the aftermath.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 13, 2012, 11:32:05 AM
No no, Obama did in 2010. It was the move that got my best friend to finally like Obama. :lol

It may be a different presidential act from the one you were thinking of.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 13, 2012, 11:33:49 AM
Not the way I remember it happening... Goerge W. gave the bailout, then Obama basically had to structure how that bailout would work, and made sure that the auto companies were using that money appropriately. I guess you could say Obama "bailed" them out with his plan, but it wasn't a choice he truly made going into office.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 13, 2012, 11:37:27 AM
Oh, that could be. My bad.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 13, 2012, 11:41:21 AM
I've noticed a lot of people have merged the end of Bush's economic policies with Obama's. Obama gets blamed by a lot of people for bailing out Wallstreet (LOL) and the auto-company (LOL), when both were provisions enacted Bush. Bush went to Congress and tried to get an official bail out of the auto-industry, got denied, so he used TARP funds to get his way.

But it's Obama's fault, cause he's a socialist ya know.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 13, 2012, 11:46:09 AM
For the record, before I knew that I kinda liked that it was Obama who bailed out the auto industry. :p

Ya know, with me being into global warming and all that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 13, 2012, 12:17:50 PM
Eh, I think the money would have been better spent buying hybrid / electric vehicles for the government fleet. Go to Tesla, work out a contract with them for some cars. That'd provide jobs, and not just prop up a shitty industry.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 13, 2012, 12:40:44 PM
I think we're doing that this year or next anyway, aren't we? I think Obama mentioned something along those lines when he went to Georgetown last year.

And the point of propping up that shitty industry (and indeed I agree with you there fully) is to get them on our side, so to speak. We bailed you out, now go make us some green cars.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: AcidLameLTE on January 13, 2012, 03:05:30 PM
lolamericanpolitics (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-16549624)
I just came in here to post that article.

Crazy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 13, 2012, 03:31:47 PM
What kind of campaigns are those guys running?!

https://www.cnn.com/2012/01/13/politics/virginia-gop-primary-ballot/index.html?hpt=hp_t2

Rick Santorum, Rick Perry, Jon Huntsman and Newt Gingrich are not on the Virginia ballot.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 13, 2012, 05:26:42 PM
Well, more of how Obama's gonna run is coming out:

https://blogs.ajc.com/jamie-dupree-washington-insider/2012/01/13/obama-jumps-on-romney/


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on January 14, 2012, 11:19:30 AM
So Steven Colbert was getting more poll votes than John Huntsman early in the week... so he has now announced that he is running for President in South Carolina since people already seemed to be writing him in :rollin

https://www.foxnews.com/entertainment/2012/01/13/stephen-colbert-announces-run-in-south-carolina-presidential-primary-hands-pac/?test=faces
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 14, 2012, 11:53:44 AM
Oh man that Colbert crap is hilarious.

If liberals can just rally around him, he could potentially win South Carolina because it's an open primary.

That would be HILARIOUS.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 14, 2012, 06:05:45 PM
Oh man that Colbert crap is hilarious.

If liberals can just rally around him, he could potentially win South Carolina because it's an open primary.

That would be HILARIOUS.

Except for the one fatal flaw: you can't write in candidates in South Carolina.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 15, 2012, 06:00:52 AM
You mean he's not on the ballot?

It should be for more than just the show.. he should've been on the ballot.

Btw, the Colbert Super Pac just released an attack ad on Mitt Romney.
https://colbertsuperpac.com/ (https://colbertsuperpac.com/)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on January 15, 2012, 09:39:21 AM
 :rollin holy crap at that ad! and awesome John Lithgow!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on January 15, 2012, 09:49:52 AM
That was hilarious.  :lol

If nothing else, I hope the existence of the Definitely Not Coordinating With Stephen Colbert Super Pac brings to light the sheer idiocy of the Super Pac in general.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 15, 2012, 01:35:55 PM
You mean he's not on the ballot?

The ONLY people on the ballot in South Carolina are Romney and Paul. I mean, the amount of coverage this doesn't exist makes me think that this isn't the case in primaries, or there's some exception, or there's a loophole, or something. Probably though, people just assume you can write in a candidate, becuase why the fuck can't you write in a candidate in a democracy? Maybe if we voted for parties, but we don't.

*edit*

Oh, and so it's clear, I think it's great what Colbert and Stewart are doing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on January 15, 2012, 02:11:05 PM
Holy shit, Rick Perry! 

Quote
Perry: Marines in video are 'kids,' not criminals

By ANNE FLAHERTY, Associated Press – 56 minutes ago

WASHINGTON (AP) — Republican presidential hopeful Rick Perry on Sunday accused the Obama administration of "over-the-top rhetoric" and "disdain for the military" in its condemnation of a video that purportedly shows four Marines urinating on corpses in Afghanistan.

Perry's comments put him at odds with Sen. John McCain, the top Republican on the Senate Armed Services Committee, who said the images could damage the war effort.

"The Marine Corps prides itself that we don't lower ourselves to the level of the enemy," McCain said when asked about Perry's position. "So it makes me sad more than anything else, because ... I can't tell you how wonderful these people (Marines) are. And it hurts their reputation and their image."

No one has been charged in the case, but officials in the U.S. and abroad have called for swift punishment of the four Marines. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta said last week that he worried the video could be used by the Taliban to undermine peace talks.

A military criminal investigation and an internal Marine Corps review are under way. The Geneva Conventions forbid the desecration of the dead.

Texas Gov. Perry said the Marines involved should be reprimanded but not prosecuted on criminal charges.

"Obviously, 18-, 19-year-old kids make stupid mistakes all too often. And that's what's occurred here," Perry told CNN's "State of the Union."

He later added: "What's really disturbing to me is the kind of over-the-top rhetoric from this administration and their disdain for the military."

Later appearing on the same show, McCain said he disagreed.

"We're trying to win the hearts and minds" of the Afghanistan population, he said. "And when something like that comes up, it obviously harms that ability."

This guy really is too stupid to live. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 15, 2012, 02:19:39 PM
He's not going anywhere so this doesn't really matter all that much, but yeah he's a freaking idiot.  And that might be an insult to idiots.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 15, 2012, 02:50:26 PM
Pissing on their corpse is adding insult to injury. We don't have to condone it, but I think it would be way more unjust to seriously punish the soldiers for "war crimes," when the people who started and perpetuate this door are the one's prosecuting.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 15, 2012, 04:59:27 PM
You mean he's not on the ballot?

The ONLY people on the ballot in South Carolina are Romney and Paul. I mean, the amount of coverage this doesn't exist makes me think that this isn't the case in primaries, or there's some exception, or there's a loophole, or something. Probably though, people just assume you can write in a candidate, becuase why the fuck can't you write in a candidate in a democracy? Maybe if we voted for parties, but we don't.

*edit*

Oh, and so it's clear, I think it's great what Colbert and Stewart are doing.
No, not only Romney and Paul. Where did you get that? Why would Santorum, Gingrich and Perry be holding events there then?

Colbert is obviously not on the ballot. It's just the current people in the field, as well as Cain, Bachmann and Johnson. I saw a pic of a ballot.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 15, 2012, 05:42:24 PM
You mean he's not on the ballot?

The ONLY people on the ballot in South Carolina are Romney and Paul. I mean, the amount of coverage this doesn't exist makes me think that this isn't the case in primaries, or there's some exception, or there's a loophole, or something. Probably though, people just assume you can write in a candidate, becuase why the fuck can't you write in a candidate in a democracy? Maybe if we voted for parties, but we don't.

*edit*

Oh, and so it's clear, I think it's great what Colbert and Stewart are doing.
No, not only Romney and Paul. Where did you get that? Why would Santorum, Gingrich and Perry be holding events there then?

So apparently I'm an idiot and confused South Carolina with Virginia in the news reports.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 15, 2012, 08:16:16 PM
Annnd there goes Huntsman.

https://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/01/huntsman-to-drop-out-of-gop-race/

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 15, 2012, 08:17:38 PM
I'm just surprised he hung on as long as he did.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 15, 2012, 08:19:42 PM
Whatever.

I can't wait til November, man. This shit is so drawn out it's painful.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 15, 2012, 08:27:01 PM
I can't wait til November, man. This shit is so drawn out it's painful.

Not sure if it ever really stopped.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 15, 2012, 08:37:51 PM
Whatever.

I can't wait til November, man. This shit is so drawn out it's painful.

I agree. It's self-paralyzing to the country.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 16, 2012, 11:47:34 PM
I thought Huntsman's drop out speech was good (might have missed some of it, I was watching the CC of it at the gym). Did he say whether or not he was going to endorse anyone?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 17, 2012, 12:20:08 AM
He endorsed Romney in his speech.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 17, 2012, 06:23:55 AM
He endorsed Romney in his speech.

Oh what the fuck! >:(

After all that shit about how this campaign was nothing more than pointless slandering not worthy of the American people, he goes and picks the worst offender.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 17, 2012, 06:30:48 AM
I never got why people thought Huntsman was much better than any of the other candidates. He threw a few bones to the moderates and didn't always pander to the lowest common denominator for cheers at debates but other than that, he seemed like same ol same ol.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 17, 2012, 11:46:14 AM
Prediction: if Romney somehow wins (I have a hard time seeing this happening), Huntsman should be the obvious pick for State Secretary. He has the experience, he looks at the seen and the unseen of foreign affairs - including economic prospects.

The only problem is, Romney's foreign policy advisers are largely neo-con Bush/Cheney people... huge problem.

I personally love Romney's free enterprise rhetoric, but his foreign policy rhetoric scares me deeply.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 17, 2012, 01:01:48 PM
Prediction: if Romney somehow wins (I have a hard time seeing this happening)

Winning as in winning the election, or winning the nomination? Because, winning the nomination is at this point just a matter of time, IMHO. None of the other candidates really have any momentum going.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 17, 2012, 01:14:27 PM
I wouldn't say Huntsman should be an obvious replacement for Clinton if Obama gets reelected :lol

I mean winning the general election. It's probably not likely to happen though.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 17, 2012, 07:14:34 PM
I imagine it'll depend upon the poll numbers in July, and right up to the convention, but Obama can always do something good and switch up the VP.

He endorsed Romney in his speech.

Oh what the fuck! >:(

After all that shit about how this campaign was nothing more than pointless slandering not worthy of the American people, he goes and picks the worst offender.

Ya, this sorta makes me not like the man. He's always seemed a little more genuine then the rest of the crop, and quite a bit more moderate. I mean, I wouldn't vote for him, but I wouldn't be horrified if he got into office.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 17, 2012, 08:00:23 PM
Do people not like the VP? I can understand frustration with his basically being a non-entity, but did he actively do something bad?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 18, 2012, 08:45:35 AM
I like Joe Biden.  I actually liked him for President.  I wanted the ticket switched with Obama as VP and Biden as president.  Might have been a little bit less gridlock that way because Biden has a lot of friends across the aisle.

As far as Huntsman endorsing Romney, I think that was his only good move.  Everyone knows Romney's going to be the nominee.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 18, 2012, 08:56:13 AM
Yeah, I don't see how people are so upset about Huntsman doing that. Endorsing anyone else would have been stupid. Without a major deal breaker from Romney's side, the nomination is essentially over.

Totally disagree about the Biden thing though :lol He never would have won against McCain.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 18, 2012, 10:33:49 AM
Yeah, I don't see how people are so upset about Huntsman doing that. Endorsing anyone else would have been stupid. Without a major deal breaker from Romney's side, the nomination is essentially over.

rumborak

He could have endorsed no one. His endorsement is basically a sign that he wants in on the cabinet, and considers that more important than sticking to what he believes and has said about the man.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 18, 2012, 10:43:01 AM
I don't know whether I read it that way. I perceived it as a statement of "for all those that supported me: Romney is closest to my own views". Besides, Huntsman would indeed be a good VP IMHO, with all his foreign relations knowledge.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 18, 2012, 11:12:21 AM
I don't know whether I read it that way. I perceived it as a statement of "for all those that supported me: Romney is closest to my own views". Besides, Huntsman would indeed be a good VP IMHO, with all his foreign relations knowledge.

rumborak

He's too similar to Romney to be VP pick, and if only becuase they're both Mormon. VP pick is all about politics and who you can get into the tent, because the VP actually does like nothing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 18, 2012, 01:18:15 PM
I don't know whether I read it that way. I perceived it as a statement of "for all those that supported me: Romney is closest to my own views". Besides, Huntsman would indeed be a good VP IMHO, with all his foreign relations knowledge.

rumborak

Two Mormons on the ticket?  Never happen.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 18, 2012, 01:29:38 PM
Rubio or Christie is going to be his choice,
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 18, 2012, 01:38:01 PM
I don't think Christie will accept, but Rubio....hmm....maybe.   He's pretty far right, so he would definitely fill the traditional "attack dog" role that the VP fills.  He lacks executive experience, though.

Then again, he's from Florida and would definitely help in a battleground state.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 19, 2012, 07:23:30 AM
Rick Perry is dropping out.

Look for an announcement soon
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 19, 2012, 07:27:37 AM
And another one bites the dust  (https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/01/19/breaking-perry-to-drop-out-thursday/)

bye, bye, douche
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 19, 2012, 07:42:56 AM
This is really, really funny....  :lol

ABC News is going to air an in-depth interview with one of his ex wives.  Story here (https://www.cnn.com/2012/01/19/politics/gingrich-wife-interview/index.html?hpt=hp_c1) for those who are interested.

The thing that made me guffaw pretty hard, though, was this quote from a Gingrich campaign staffer:

Quote
"ABC News or other campaigns may want to talk about the past, just days before an important primary election. But Newt is going to talk to the people of South Carolina about the future- about job creation, lower taxes, and about who can defeat Barack Obama by providing the sharpest contrast to his damaging, extreme liberalism. We are confident this is the conversation the people of South Carolina are interested in having."

Extreme Liberalism??  :eek    :rollin
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on January 19, 2012, 07:52:08 AM
https://www.colbertsuperpac.com/episodeiv-anewhope/

 :rollin Samuel L Jackson

https://www.colbertsuperpac.com/marist-south-carolina-poll-results/
"Vote for Colbert? 18% in South Carolina Kinda Somewhat Likely"
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 19, 2012, 08:22:50 AM
Newt's new "scandal" isn't going to hurt him at all.

People are just going to say that the "liberal media" crafted this story to kill Newt's momentum.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 19, 2012, 08:29:16 AM
I wish Newt would win the Republican primary and be the nominee.  That would pretty much guarantee an Obama victory in November.  :tup
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 19, 2012, 08:45:11 AM
Perry is suppose to be dropping out today.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 19, 2012, 08:58:40 AM
He's going to endorse Newt.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Dark Castle on January 19, 2012, 11:42:50 AM
He's going to endorse Newt.
Eyeh, Newt's doomed  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 19, 2012, 11:56:34 AM
Actually, Newt is now leading the polls (https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/south_carolina/election_2012_south_carolina_republican_primary) in South Carolina

So, the guy who wanted an "open marriage" (https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/01/19/marianne-gingrich-newt-gingrich-ex-wife_n_1216106.html) with his second of three wives will beat the guy who's been married to the same woman for over three decades and did not leave office in a huge cloud of ethics scandals. 

All this in the most Evangelical state in the early primaries!   :lol

Go GOP!  :tup
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 19, 2012, 12:49:27 PM
The fact that Newt has bounced back is a rather healthy? sign for his campaign. Palin endorsed him so that's probably big for a lot of people.. *sigh*

I mean, it would be rather funny I think to see Newt try and debate Obama. Let's see what Obama does to his bullshit about teaching poor people a proper "work ethic" by hiring "inner city high school" students to be janitors.

Oh, not to mention the pure amount of dirt on Newt. Obama can afford to play nice again, cause all that shit will come up on it's own.

I just hope we have the amount of debates that's occurring now for the Presidential Campaigns. Isn't there usually just 4 during the Presidential? Fuck, seems like there's been 4 in the past week!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 19, 2012, 01:39:23 PM
I'm not as confident Obama will wipe Newt off the map anymore :lol

Romney would definitely lose though.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 19, 2012, 01:50:34 PM

Oh, not to mention the pure amount of dirt on Newt. Obama can afford to play nice again, cause all that shit will come up on it's own.



This. Even if Obama is forced to play dirty, I'm sure the democrats have plenty of dirt they are saving in the event it comes to that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 19, 2012, 07:58:28 PM
Wow, after watching that debate, I feel much better about Obama's prospects.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 19, 2012, 08:51:14 PM
It was really bad. The race baiting stuff in particular made me wanna puke.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 19, 2012, 08:53:30 PM
Not to mention both Paul and Santorum during the abortion bit seemed to be a little confused about whether they were pro-state or pro-federal.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on January 19, 2012, 09:33:59 PM
Holy shit, Ron Paul was on fire tonight! No mumbling, not stuttering, direct answers... even the crowd demanded him to speak! Of course CNN loved all the jabs Santorum gave to Gingrich, but still. This was a great debate for RP (that abortion part, lovely).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 19, 2012, 09:37:59 PM
Wait...there was another debate today?!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: William Wallace on January 19, 2012, 10:09:33 PM
A brief analysis (https://www.policymic.com/articles/3471/gop-candidates-vie-for-most-conservative-title-in-south-carolina-presidential-debate/headline_story) of tonight's debate.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 19, 2012, 10:27:40 PM
Quote
Too much media coverage is expended on the cadidates' personalities, who they sleep with, and how much money they make

So first of all, there's a typo (I didn't notice that myself until I pasted, lol);

I agree with you on the who they sleep with, but I think the other two aspects are perfectly apt in a Presidential debate. Personality is insanely important when picking a President - for instance, I don't want a psychopath in the White House - and how much money they make can show you how little the person is capable of understanding your issues. When Romney calls 375k a little bit of money, he's showing just how unfamiliar he is with the things actual Americans go through. He's not running for Representative, but he is still supposed to represent the American people. Doing so isn't demonizing them as a person, or anything at all that can be considered an "attack" on being wealthy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: William Wallace on January 19, 2012, 10:50:10 PM
Quote
Too much media coverage is expended on the cadidates' personalities, who they sleep with, and how much money they make

So first of all, there's a typo (I didn't notice that myself until I pasted, lol);
Where?

Quote
I agree with you on the who they sleep with, but I think the other two aspects are perfectly apt in a Presidential debate. Personality is insanely important when picking a President - for instance, I don't want a psychopath in the White House - and how much money they make can show you how little the person is capable of understanding your issues. When Romney calls 375k a little bit of money, he's showing just how unfamiliar he is with the things actual Americans go through. He's not running for Representative, but he is still supposed to represent the American people. Doing so isn't demonizing them as a person, or anything at all that can be considered an "attack" on being wealthy.
They're all fair game. But they shouldn't be discussed at the expense of more substantive issues.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 19, 2012, 11:13:04 PM
Cadidates, sorry.

I agree with your general verdict of the American media, I just think Newt's past, and his apparent personality, is rather important aspect of his bid to become President. I mean, him wanting to have an open marriage doesn't bother me at all; it's his hypocrisy on the issue recently, and how he's tried to run. It's also his ethics scandal, and what he did when he was Speaker (politically motivated impeachment). It's more then fair to ask if the man has the temperament and personality to be President, and it's not insubstantive or somehow fallacious.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: William Wallace on January 20, 2012, 12:02:12 AM
Cadidates, sorry.
Fuck. Yeah, I was in a hurry.

Quote
I agree with your general verdict of the American media, I just think Newt's past, and his apparent personality, is rather important aspect of his bid to become President. I mean, him wanting to have an open marriage doesn't bother me at all; it's his hypocrisy on the issue recently, and how he's tried to run. It's also his ethics scandal, and what he did when he was Speaker (politically motivated impeachment). It's more then fair to ask if the man has the temperament and personality to be President, and it's not insubstantive or somehow fallacious.
I agree to a point. But if such discussions displace in depth debate about energy policy, war or spending, we have a problem in my view. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 20, 2012, 01:43:19 AM
I agree to a point. But if such discussions displace in depth debate about energy policy, war or spending, we have a problem in my view. 

Ron Paul aside, who in the Republican field is actually capable of this? I'll agree with the problem, but I don't think it's the media bringing up some of the problems with Newt, it's that Newt is given a stage in the first place. Did you see the standing ovation he got for demonizing poor people?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 20, 2012, 06:46:07 AM
I agree to a point. But if such discussions displace in depth debate about energy policy, war or spending, we have a problem in my view. 

Ron Paul aside, who in the Republican field is actually capable of this? I'll agree with the problem, but I don't think it's the media bringing up some of the problems with Newt, it's that Newt is given a stage in the first place. Did you see the standing ovation he got for demonizing poor people?

Not just for demonizing poor people, for demonizing poor racial minorities.

It's becoming increasingly clear to me that the two ideological and cultural poles of this nation are entirely reconcilable. Most will disagree with me, but it might be better off if we split.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on January 20, 2012, 08:12:29 AM
When Romney calls 375k a little bit of money, he's showing just how unfamiliar he is with the things actual Americans go through.

In the grand scheme of a federal budget or our debt, 375k is very little money though.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 20, 2012, 08:35:43 AM
I was of the impression that that was referring to Romney's income, not the debt. Not that I would know if that's his actual income, but I wouldn't be surprised.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 20, 2012, 08:57:06 AM
When Romney calls 375k a little bit of money, he's showing just how unfamiliar he is with the things actual Americans go through.

In the grand scheme of a federal budget or our debt, 375k is very little money though.

Yeah, that's only about 12 hours of operations in Afghanistan.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 20, 2012, 11:21:03 AM
I think Paul did VERY well last night. Gingrich as well. I expect Gingrich to narrowly beat Romney, and Paul ending up at about 19% at third. Santorum last at maybe 15-16%.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 20, 2012, 11:45:39 AM
It absolutely blows my mind that SC Republicans would choose a guy with a marital history that gives US Magazine a hard-on, over a guy whose main fault is being Mormon.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on January 20, 2012, 11:49:44 AM
Obama sings Al Green and Biden congratulates Giants for making it to the Superbowl, in a conference in San Fransisco.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 20, 2012, 11:51:18 AM
It absolutely blows my mind that SC Republicans would choose a guy with a marital history that gives US Magazine a hard-on, over a guy whose main fault is being Mormon.

rumborak

Do you really thing that is the primary thing against Romney?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 20, 2012, 12:08:40 PM
It absolutely blows my mind that SC Republicans would choose a guy with a marital history that gives US Magazine a hard-on, over a guy whose main fault is being Mormon.

rumborak

Do you really thing that is the primary thing against Romney?

In South Carolina?  His Mormonism is at or near the top of the list of reasons they don't like him.  Most Evangelicals consider Mormonism to be a cult.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 20, 2012, 12:37:46 PM
Is that really factual though? Is it that view really that wide spread among Evangelicals?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 20, 2012, 12:45:38 PM
When Romney calls 375k a little bit of money, he's showing just how unfamiliar he is with the things actual Americans go through.

In the grand scheme of a federal budget or our debt, 375k is very little money though.

Yeah, that's only about 12 hours of operations in Afghanistan.

And this means what? That collectively we all have more money than individually? You're simply starting a truism. We're talking about personal income here, and him saying that 375k is not that much, which for him is not. Even though 375k a year is enough to make you the top 1% of Americans, Romney thinks it's "just a little." That's because he's extremely rich and extremely out of touch with the American experience.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 20, 2012, 12:51:43 PM
When Romney calls 375k a little bit of money, he's showing just how unfamiliar he is with the things actual Americans go through.

In the grand scheme of a federal budget or our debt, 375k is very little money though.

Yeah, that's only about 12 hours of operations in Afghanistan.

And this means what? That collectively we all have more money than individually? You're simply starting a truism. We're talking about personal income here, and him saying that 375k is not that much, which for him is not. Even though 375k a year is enough to make you the top 1% of Americans, Romney thinks it's "just a little." That's because he's extremely rich and extremely out of touch with the American experience.

Ah, that's what I thought. My family is considered part of the 1%, and yet we make only a fraction of that, which should say a lot about Mitt's "out-of-touchness" with his base and the rest of the American populace.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on January 20, 2012, 12:54:45 PM
I guess I just don't care what a politician's income is. The fact that they are a politician to me means they are probably out of touch, not because of their level of income. Someone who has knowledge and experience on large amounts of money would probably know how to budget and fight the deficit better than someone in my economic level.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 20, 2012, 01:14:12 PM
Is that really factual though? Is it that view really that wide spread among Evangelicals?

Synopsis here (https://askville.amazon.com/evangelicals-mormons-christian/AnswerViewer.do?requestId=7552017)

A more technical dissertation on Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mormonism_and_Christianity)

Basically, Mormon theology is just not compatible Evangelical theology at all.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 20, 2012, 01:24:33 PM
I guess I just don't care what a politician's income is. The fact that they are a politician to me means they are probably out of touch, not because of their level of income. Someone who has knowledge and experience on large amounts of money would probably know how to budget and fight the deficit better than someone in my economic level.

Well, it's not just about income, it's about their life experience, and other factors in the income. Someone as rich as Romney has never had to seriously "budget" in his life. What he made his career doing what basically sure money, something anyone could do if they had the resources. Buy out a company, leverage it out, take money, earn money no matter what happens to the company you bought out. Seems to me a person who as at least been poor in their lifetime is going to be better at it (and knowing most people who lived through the Great Depression is testament to that). They're going to have a lot of experience budgeting, and getting rid of things that are personally important for the necessity of reducing the budget. Seeing as how the real issue with the American deficit is the Bush Tax Cuts, and our Wars in Afghanistan, Romney policies would drive us off the roof . At this point, I'd almost like this to happen, just so people can finally get over the delusion of the Republican message.

Which is entirely besides the point, because neither Obama or Romney as President has any real control over the budget. True control is in the House, everyone else just adds to the debate, and has political power to pressure people.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 20, 2012, 02:10:18 PM
It said that 1/3 don't consider LDS as being Christians. Wow.

But to say that most evangelicals consider Romney a cultist goes beyond that. I don't really think that can be the case.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 20, 2012, 02:23:35 PM
It said that 1/3 don't consider LDS as being Christians. Wow.

But to say that most evangelicals consider Romney a cultist goes beyond that. I don't really think that can be the case.

Read between the lines..... (https://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/frame_game/2011/10/mitt_romney_s_mormon_cult_controversy_anti_mormonism_is_the_prej.html)

Quote
  National polls taken in recent months show how far anti-black prejudice has subsided compared to anti-Mormon prejudice. In a Gallup survey (https://www.gallup.com/poll/148100/hesitant-support-mormon-2012.aspx), 5 percent of adults said they wouldn’t vote for their party’s presidential nominee if he were black. Six percent said they wouldn’t vote for a woman, 7 percent said they wouldn’t vote for a Catholic, 9 percent said they wouldn’t vote for a Jew, and 10 percent said they wouldn’t vote for a Hispanic. But 22 percent said they wouldn’t vote for a Mormon. Gallup reported:
     The stability in U.S. bias against voting for a Mormon presidential candidate contrasts markedly with steep declines in similar views toward several other groups over the past half-century, including blacks, women, Catholics, and Jews. The last time as many as 22% of Americans said they would not vote for any of these groups (the same level opposed to voting for a Mormon today) was 1959 for Catholics, 1961 for Jews, 1971 for blacks, and 1975 for women. As noted, opposition to voting for each of these has since tapered off to single digits.
     In a Pew survey (https://people-press.org/2011/06/02/section-2-candidate-traits-and-experience/), 7 percent of adults said they’d be more likely to support a presidential candidate if he were black. Only 3 percent said they’d be less likely. (Among whites, 3 percent said more likely; 4 percent said less likely.) But while 5 percent said they’d be more likely to support a presidential candidate if he were Mormon, 25 percent said they’d be less likely. In the four years since Pew’s last survey on this topic, taken in August 2007, the percentage of respondents who said they’d be less likely to support a black, Hispanic, or female candidate shrank. But the percentage who said they’d be less likely to support a Mormon didn’t change (https://people-press.org/files/legacy-pdf/06-02-11%202012%20Campaign%20Release.pdf).
Maybe "most" is too strong of a word, I don't know, I only say that because most of the evangelicals I know (probably 15 or 20 people give or take a few) have told me they believe Mormonism is a cult.  Combine that with all of these fairly high-profile pastors coming out and saying it's a cult, and you've got a pretty wide swath of these folks that simply won't vote for the guy based on his religion.  Which, to me, personally, is kind of silly.  But then I also think not voting for a guy because he's rich is silly too.



 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 20, 2012, 02:24:53 PM
Here's another poll (https://pollposition.com/2011/10/10/28-say-mormon-faith-is-cult/) where almost 1/3 said Mormonism is a cult.

Quote
Thirty-one percent of Republicans said Mormonism is a cult, as did 25% of Democrats and 25% of independents.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 20, 2012, 02:49:41 PM
Then again, I wonder what the percentage of Protestants is who think Catholicism is a cult. It's almost a defining feature of a religion to fight tooth and nail amongst each other.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 20, 2012, 02:51:31 PM
Wow. As a LDS myself, I don't know whether to laugh or cry at that stat. There are many other reasons to not support Romney's bid for presidency :lol

And those polls you showed earlier shows the obscenity of US politics. Especially that anti-black sentiment. What is wrong with people?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Dark Castle on January 20, 2012, 02:53:15 PM
Wow. As a LDS myself, I don't know whether to laugh or cry at that stat. There are many other reasons to not support Romney's bid for presidency :lol

And those polls you showed earlier shows the obscenity of US politics. Especially that anti-black sentiment. What is wrong with people?
We're all just jealous of all the hot wives you get to have :D
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on January 20, 2012, 03:09:58 PM
I guess I just don't care what a politician's income is. The fact that they are a politician to me means they are probably out of touch, not because of their level of income. Someone who has knowledge and experience on large amounts of money would probably know how to budget and fight the deficit better than someone in my economic level.

Well, it's not just about income, it's about their life experience, and other factors in the income. Someone as rich as Romney has never had to seriously "budget" in his life. What he made his career doing what basically sure money, something anyone could do if they had the resources. Buy out a company, leverage it out, take money, earn money no matter what happens to the company you bought out. Seems to me a person who as at least been poor in their lifetime is going to be better at it (and knowing most people who lived through the Great Depression is testament to that). They're going to have a lot of experience budgeting, and getting rid of things that are personally important for the necessity of reducing the budget. Seeing as how the real issue with the American deficit is the Bush Tax Cuts, and our Wars in Afghanistan, Romney policies would drive us off the roof . At this point, I'd almost like this to happen, just so people can finally get over the delusion of the Republican message.

Which is entirely besides the point, because neither Obama or Romney as President has any real control over the budget. True control is in the House, everyone else just adds to the debate, and has political power to pressure people.

I wasn't really focusing on Romney. I don't care what any politicians income is was my point and I think you agree with it? It has to do with their background and knowledge. That is what should be discussed, not the dollar amount.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 20, 2012, 04:10:43 PM
No, but as Scheavo was trying to explain, that income disparity is part and parcel to their personal background. Someone who's never known want will never truly be able to sympathize with the plight of average Americans, and it will reflect in his/her platform and policies.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on January 20, 2012, 04:15:21 PM
Someone who's never known want will never truly be able to sympathize with the plight of average Americans, and it will reflect in his/her platform and policies.
This.  I don't care if someone has built themselves into a success and now makes a zillion dollars a year.  But someone who has never bought his own groceries or fretted over making a mortgage payment simply won't be able to empathize with the vast majority of Americans.

I realize that exceptions are possible.  I also believe those exceptional people wouldn't bother with trying to run for President.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 20, 2012, 07:30:17 PM
https://campaign2012.washingtonexaminer.com/blogs/beltway-confidential/america-hates-newt-gingrich/326161

Quote
Fox News, 1/12-1/14:
Obama, fav/unfav, 51%/46%, +5
Romney, fav/unfav, 45%/38%, +7
Gingrich, fav/unfav, 27%/56%, -29

CBS/NYT, 1/12-1/17:
Obama, fav/unfav, 38%/45%, -7
Romney, fav/unfav, 21%/35%, -14
Gingrich, fav/unfav, 17%/49%, -32

PPP, 1/13-1/17:
Obama, app/dis, 47%/50%, -3
Romney, fav/unfav, 35%/53%, -18
Gingrich, fav/unfav, 26%/60%, -34

Yikes.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 20, 2012, 07:42:42 PM
Obama is polling surprisingly well, particularly from Faux News.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Progmetty on January 21, 2012, 12:18:35 AM
This is playing out like a DTF Images & Words survivor. NG is Metropolis, MR is LTL, RP is TTT & RS is PMU. You know that LTL is probably gonna win but sometimes Metropolis is a serious threat to it while some would really hope TTT wins and PMU is admired but remains behind.
I think it's really unfair that a big part of how you're judged is how good you do on debates, RS was fast and articulate on that CNN debate while's the shittiest one of stage. NG is witty and that gave him some advantage on MR in the debate but only in the debate. How is being a clever talking or having a faster and tighter command of the English language making you better than the rest when you obviously have the same ideology with minor differences? Just an unfiltered thought.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 21, 2012, 02:07:24 AM
Lol, look at Gingrich's favorability numbers.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on January 21, 2012, 12:31:28 PM
How is Obama polling so well from Fox News? Are they trying to scare people into action?  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on January 21, 2012, 12:36:01 PM
Could be a strategy. "Listen, Republican folks! If we don't get our shit together and choose Romney this BLACK GUY is going to WIN AGAIN and finish leading us to HELL! Let's choose him QUICK!"

It adds up.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 21, 2012, 12:38:27 PM
Fox hasn't been that kind to Romney. They don't like him that much.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 21, 2012, 01:25:04 PM
Mostly for the Mormon thing, it seems, which is a foolish reason to tear him down but hey.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 21, 2012, 01:35:04 PM
Lol, look at Gingrich's favorability numbers.

Apparently his response:

Quote
But the presidency is not about likeability. The presidency is about are you capable of doing the job?

Which just begs the question: what about the President's diplomatic job? There, he certainty must be likeable.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 21, 2012, 03:34:40 PM
Wow. As a LDS myself, I don't know whether to laugh or cry at that stat. There are many other reasons to not support Romney's bid for presidency :lol

And those polls you showed earlier shows the obscenity of US politics. Especially that anti-black sentiment. What is wrong with people?


I wish I knew what these people think.  I really do.  It's baffling to me. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 21, 2012, 07:29:27 PM
Wow... interseting results. Gingrich dominates, Paul comes in 4th. This party does not seem like it's coalescing at all, this next election is going to be a complete mess.

Delegate count:

https://www.cbsnews.com/primary-election-results-2012/scorecard.shtml?party=R

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on January 21, 2012, 07:43:44 PM
Herman Cain apparently got around 9% of the vote.  Way to go, Colbert!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 21, 2012, 09:02:09 PM
Hah, interesting result tonight. Romney got his work cut out, momentum is everything. I guess Santorum is still somewhat in the game, whereas RP is slowly falling by the wayside. He'd been struggling to break the 20% barrier, and now he can't even get close to that one anymore.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 22, 2012, 02:31:01 AM
Brokered convention is going to happen. But, Paul 4th, what is wrong with SC.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: wasteland on January 22, 2012, 03:13:18 AM
What happens if two or more candidates make it to the convention with roughly the same number of delegates?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 22, 2012, 08:53:42 AM
Well, that's what jsem is saying. It's called a "brokered convention" and involves horse trades between delegates, and revoting.

But, Paul 4th, what is wrong with SC.

Well, tbh, I think the 13% is somewhere around the real percentage of people supporting RP's libertarian views. The high NH votes were partially because it was RP's turn at that point to have a slight surge (just like any of the other candidates had before).

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on January 22, 2012, 12:31:09 PM
But, Paul 4th, what is wrong with SC.
Nothing really, that's about accurate.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 22, 2012, 01:18:11 PM
Holy crapola, just saw this:

https://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/epolls/sc?hpt=hp_t2

99% of the GOP in SC are white?!!!

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 22, 2012, 11:16:27 PM
Is the Republican party that much different anywhere?

But ya, that's why when people like Gingrich, who are basically the definition of a condescending white man on race, get standing ovations, instead of booed.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 23, 2012, 06:57:31 AM
Only 9% of electorate 18-29. And only 31% for Paul. I'm disappointed there.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 23, 2012, 08:35:45 AM
Only 9% of electorate 18-29. And only 31% for Paul. I'm disappointed there.

I know you're disappointed, but the reality is what it is.  Ron Paul has never had a chance in the Republican party.  His foreign policy views are way too far outside of today's conservative orthodoxy for him to ever achieve anything more than around 15% of the vote.  I'm not trying to rub it in, jsem, I know you like the guy, I know you support him.  I just think in the United States of 2012, Ron Paul just ain't going anywhere, neither is libertarianism in general.

What is fascinating to me is to watch this sort of circular firing squad that the Republicans are forming, all because of -let's be honest- Mitt Romney's religion.  I mean, other than his religion, Mitt Romney is really the perfect candidate to win back the white house for the Republican party.  He polls the strongest in most match-ups against Obama, he's got the executive experience, he clearly has a pretty vast amount of knowledge with respect to how the economy works, he's done extremely well in the debates, has a monstrous organization, he LOOKS very presidential and I think his handlers selected the precise theme (the Optimism/Pessimism theme he's running on) that can best be wielded against Obama and the Democrats......

yet......

They are selecting Gingrich?  Newt Gingrich?  :lol

Now THAT would be an Obama landslide.   

I still think the Republicans CAN'T be this stupid.  Can they?  :|

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 23, 2012, 10:45:22 AM
I know you're disappointed, but the reality is what it is.  Ron Paul has never had a chance in the Republican party.  His foreign policy views are way too far outside of today's conservative orthodoxy for him to ever achieve anything more than around 15% of the vote.  I'm not trying to rub it in, jsem, I know you like the guy, I know you support him.  I just think in the United States of 2012, Ron Paul just ain't going anywhere, neither is libertarianism in general.

I think that's a pretty reasonable assessment. I kinda hope that RP's staff is laying out reality to him as it is, and isn't sugar-coating things making him believe that he actually has a chance at either candidacy or presidency. He never had, and I really hope RP knew this going in but wanted to use the GOP nomination cycle as a way to publicly spread his views.
RP's support base mostly draws on the same young, idealistic, willing-to-destroy-the-status-quo demographic that every country has. In Germany, those guys are Communists. In the US, they're Libertarians.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 23, 2012, 12:09:41 PM
Even though I think a few of his policy positions are pretty "out there" I actually think you're right about his rationale for running.  He's a fairly committed libertarian who is trying to spread his message.  Nothing wrong with that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 23, 2012, 02:12:52 PM
Newt isn't going to contest for 500 delegates. Ron Paul and Romney are on the ballot in all 50 states, if Newt continues this streak - winning Florida and such - a brokered convention might just end up happening.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 23, 2012, 02:20:14 PM
That would be fine in my book.  Brokered convention = compromised & wounded ticket
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 23, 2012, 03:52:35 PM
Newt isn't going to contest for 500 delegates. Ron Paul and Romney are on the ballot in all 50 states, if Newt continues this streak - winning Florida and such - a brokered convention might just end up happening.

I don't want to pound on this unnecessarily, but given you've mentioned this twice now and given your exclusive support for RP, am I right to assume you see a brokered convention as a chance for him to get the nomination after all?
If so, I would have to add another dose of reality: While there is the somewhat "mathematical" possibility that with a constant back and forth between Romney, Gingrich and Santorum the delegates might be so fractured that Ron Paul might actually end up with a big enough chunk of delegates to look equally eligible for president, the GOP base would essentially boycott the RNC if RP got the bid. Because all he would have done is to game the shoddy nomination system. Reality is that only about 10% want RP; the rest just can't make up their mind about either Romney or Gingrich.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 23, 2012, 09:00:41 PM
Watching the debate.... Mitt's response in regard to the space program just made me facepalm for a good ten minutes.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on January 23, 2012, 09:10:30 PM
Where are you watching it at?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 23, 2012, 09:38:56 PM
It was on NBC, it's over now.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on January 23, 2012, 09:51:32 PM
Ah. It's a shame I don't watch TV anymore. I'd find these debates fascinating.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ResultsMayVary on January 23, 2012, 10:00:30 PM
As a RP supporter, I thought he did the best in this debate. No one really went after him, though. Romney handled himself well, again (with the exception of a few questions where I wanted to smash my head into the top of my desk).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 23, 2012, 10:10:23 PM
As a RP supporter, I thought he did the best in this debate. No one really went after him, though. Romney handled himself well, again (with the exception of a few questions where I wanted to smash my head into the top of my desk).

RP's stance on Cuba was really well presented.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ResultsMayVary on January 23, 2012, 10:49:30 PM
As a RP supporter, I thought he did the best in this debate. No one really went after him, though. Romney handled himself well, again (with the exception of a few questions where I wanted to smash my head into the top of my desk).

RP's stance on Cuba was really well presented.
Yes, it was. Too bad the majority of Republicans are all set on "KILL CASTRO, KILL EVERYTHING" mode.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 23, 2012, 11:10:46 PM
Newt isn't going to contest for 500 delegates. Ron Paul and Romney are on the ballot in all 50 states, if Newt continues this streak - winning Florida and such - a brokered convention might just end up happening.

I don't want to pound on this unnecessarily, but given you've mentioned this twice now and given your exclusive support for RP, am I right to assume you see a brokered convention as a chance for him to get the nomination after all?
If so, I would have to add another dose of reality: While there is the somewhat "mathematical" possibility that with a constant back and forth between Romney, Gingrich and Santorum the delegates might be so fractured that Ron Paul might actually end up with a big enough chunk of delegates to look equally eligible for president, the GOP base would essentially boycott the RNC if RP got the bid. Because all he would have done is to game the shoddy nomination system. Reality is that only about 10% want RP; the rest just can't make up their mind about either Romney or Gingrich.

rumborak
Ron Paul won't be the nomination, but he'll have a definite say in the platform.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on January 24, 2012, 04:30:33 AM
I doubt it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 24, 2012, 08:20:32 AM
Watching the debate.... Mitt's response in regard to the space program just made me facepalm for a good ten minutes.

I want to bitch about this in a little more depth. Mitt verabally assaulted Obama, saying that he does not care enough scinence and space exploration. Obama isn't the one who tried to cripple the James Webb telescope, we have the house of representatives to thank for that. He went on to say how Obama has set no goals for the future of space exploration. This angers me because Obama has said more than enough times that he wants to have humans on Mars by 2030.

Mitt was also talking about how the private sector needs to get in the game. I personally believe that SpaceX is going to take over the duties of NASA, at least in regards to human space flight. Anyway, Mitt kept saying how the government needs to offer cash rewards to the private sector for the completion of specific goals. The problem I see with this is that the government can't benefit a whole lot from this. The government sponsors the DARPA competition every year, mainly because they get the rights to use any of the technology displayed in the competition. DARPA is more or less free research and developement for our miltary. I don't see how a competition to get to Mars will make us stronger as a country.

I did like the fact that all the candidates seemed to agree that space research is important. However, I don't think any of them know enough about it to discuss it as a topic.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 24, 2012, 12:00:07 PM
Watching the debate.... Mitt's response in regard to the space program just made me facepalm for a good ten minutes.

I want to bitch about this in a little more depth. Mitt verabally assaulted Obama, saying that he does not care enough scinence and space exploration. Obama isn't the one who tried to cripple the James Webb telescope, we have the house of representatives to thank for that. He went on to say how Obama has set no goals for the future of space exploration. This angers me because Obama has said more than enough times that he wants to have humans on Mars by 2030.

Mitt was also talking about how the private sector needs to get in the game. I personally believe that SpaceX is going to take over the duties of NASA, at least in regards to human space flight. Anyway, Mitt kept saying how the government needs to offer cash rewards to the private sector for the completion of specific goals. The problem I see with this is that the government can't benefit a whole lot from this. The government sponsors the DARPA competition every year, mainly because they get the rights to use any of the technology displayed in the competition. DARPA is more or less free research and developement for our miltary. I don't see how a competition to get to Mars will make us stronger as a country.

I did like the fact that all the candidates seemed to agree that space research is important. However, I don't think any of them know enough about it to discuss it as a topic.

From FactCheck.org (https://factcheck.org/2012/01/factual-flubs-in-florida/):

Quote
Romney Wrong on NASA
Romney went too far when he claimed that Obama has “no plans” for NASA.  Obama in 2010 set in motion a plan to  build a heavy-lift launch vehicle to go beyond the Earth’s orbit. The president’s plan calls on NASA to land astronauts on an asteroid by 2025, orbit Mars  by the mid-2030s and, ultimately, land on Mars.
 <blockquote>Romney: His plans for NASA, he has no plans for NASA. The space coast is — is struggling. This president has failed the people of Florida.</blockquote> Some background: President Bush announced (https://history.nasa.gov/Bush%20SEP.htm) in January 2004 that he would retire the Shuttle program and return to the moon by 2020. The Shuttle program ended (https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/shuttle/main/index.html) last year, leading to job losses (https://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/2011-07-01-space-coast-business_n.htm) along the so-called “space coast.” The question facing Obama early in his administration was whether he would continue Bush’s plan for NASA or come up with his own. Obama proposed a new course.
In February 2010, Obama’s proposed budget for NASA called for killing (https://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=agzQHt17aPXI) Bush’s plan to return to the moon. In an April 15, 2010, speech in Florida, Obama unveiled (https://www.nasa.gov/news/media/trans/obama_ksc_trans.html) his proposal for a deep-space exploration plan that included the goals of landing on an asteroid by 2025 and orbiting Mars by the middle of the 2030s — with the  ultimate goal of landing on Mars. The proposal caused a rift among some  of NASA’s most famous astronauts, with Neil Armstrong opposing it and  Buzz Aldrin supporting it, as the Los Angeles Times reported (https://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2010/04/houston-we-have-a-problem-no-one-likes-obamas-space-plan.html) at the time.
Nevertheless, Obama’s plans are moving forward. NASA announced (https://www.nasa.gov/exploration/systems/sls/sls1.html) a design for the heavy-lift launch vehicle that would make it possible to go beyond the Earth’s orbit. In making the announcement on the design  plans, NASA administrator Charles Bolden said: “President Obama challenged us to be  bold and dream big, and that’s exactly what we are doing at NASA. While I  was proud to fly on the space shuttle, tomorrow’s explorers will now  dream of one day walking on Mars.”

Basically, when one of these clowns has their gums flapping, most of the junk that's falling out of their mouths is bullshit.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 24, 2012, 12:02:35 PM
It's pretty sad really. What's the point of listening to the debates if they at this point all just flat-out lie?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 24, 2012, 12:04:37 PM
It's pretty sad really. What's the point of listening to the debates if they at this point all just flat-out lie?

rumborak

Red Meat for their constituencies, which, supposedly drums up more interest in the elections, which in turn could improve voter turnout, which, of course, is always a good thing for your party.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on January 24, 2012, 01:05:37 PM
I would love to have a debate where they did fact checking on the fly and called them on it later in the debate so they had time to clarify. Of course, the candidates would never agree to such a thing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: skydivingninja on January 24, 2012, 02:02:15 PM
I miss Jon Huntsman in the GOP debates.  I don't agree with his regressive stance towards Roe v. Wade, but he was a small beacon of rationality, common sense, and moderate thinking in a cesspool of Republican extremism.  Maybe in 2016 he'll have a better chance...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 24, 2012, 02:51:00 PM
I would love to have a debate where they did fact checking on the fly and called them on it later in the debate so they had time to clarify. Of course, the candidates would never agree to such a thing.

Paul would. Gingrich would probably be vain enough to think he was right, or attack the moderator in some fashion. Romney would basically be stuttering.

I say, let Jon Stewart moderate a debate. Put it on a bigger network, so a lot of people who normally don't watch Jon Stewart get exposed to him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on January 24, 2012, 03:17:05 PM
I like the realtime fact check idea.  My suggestion would be to let Bill O'Reilly moderate the democratic debates and Bill Mahr the GOP debates.  The biggest problem with them now is that the moderators are just tossing them softballs as lead ins to their scripted spiels and diatribes.  I'd like to see these things happen with moderators who are actually trying to grill them.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on January 24, 2012, 03:30:38 PM
I would love to have a debate where they did fact checking on the fly and called them on it later in the debate so they had time to clarify. Of course, the candidates would never agree to such a thing.

Paul would. Gingrich would probably be vain enough to think he was right, or attack the moderator in some fashion. Romney would basically be stuttering.

I say, let Jon Stewart moderate a debate. Put it on a bigger network, so a lot of people who normally don't watch Jon Stewart get exposed to him.
I would love to see that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 24, 2012, 04:39:03 PM
I like the realtime fact check idea.  My suggestion would be to let Bill O'Reilly moderate the democratic debates and Bill Mahr the GOP debates.  The biggest problem with them now is that the moderators are just tossing them softballs as lead ins to their scripted spiels and diatribes.  I'd like to see these things happen with moderators who are actually trying to grill them.

Bill Maher on the GOP debates would be amazing. Barto, do you watch Real Time? I make it a point to every Friday.

I would like to see more emphasis on the cause of this recession in these debates. They briefly brought it up last night, and you can tell they don't really enjoy talking about it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Progmetty on January 24, 2012, 04:45:59 PM
^ I had the impression everybody here collectively hate Bill Maher!

I say, let Jon Stewart moderate a debate. Put it on a bigger network, so a lot of people who normally don't watch Jon Stewart get exposed to him.

Why not Colbert? I prefer him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 24, 2012, 05:23:46 PM
^ I had the impression everybody here collectively hate Bill Maher!



Not me. Other than Neil  Degrasse Tyson, he might be my favorite living person.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Progmetty on January 24, 2012, 05:37:25 PM
I was neutral until he expressed some support for SOPA and then I realized it's dumb to dislike because of that. I might start watching the show.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 24, 2012, 05:46:53 PM
I was neutral until he expressed some support for SOPA and then I realized it's dumb to dislike because of that. I might start watching the show.

This is the last sidebar post I'll make. Watch this clip.

*edit* wrong link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3_F3pw5F_Pc
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on January 25, 2012, 05:56:12 AM
I'm not sure that I would want a moderator who would be actively hostile towards the candidates, but one who asked tough questions and demanded the proof of the candidates statements would be nice.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 25, 2012, 07:19:55 AM
I'm not sure that I would want a moderator who would be actively hostile towards the candidates, but one who asked tough questions and demanded the proof of the candidates statements would be nice.

 I don't think they should be hostile, but I do think they should make them sweat. Try and trip them up with their own thoughts and ideas. Make them screw up in front of the American people. I don't say this because I think they should be treated cruely, but I think it is of upmost importance to find out who really knows their stuff and who doesn't. Even though Mitt was wrong about NASA, and was proven so, the majority of Americans would never realize or hear about it. I think that it would be a good thing if they were called out on their errors on the spot.


I think Obama did really well during the state of the union address last night. The man said nothing I disagree with. I would love to see the remaining republican candidates try and oppose anything he said.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 25, 2012, 08:24:01 AM
I'm not sure that I would want a moderator who would be actively hostile towards the candidates, but one who asked tough questions and demanded the proof of the candidates statements would be nice.

Well you're not gonna get that in-party from either side, so...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on January 25, 2012, 08:45:20 AM
I'm not sure that I would want a moderator who would be actively hostile towards the candidates, but one who asked tough questions and demanded the proof of the candidates statements would be nice.
The reasons I picked O'Reilly and Mahr was because I think they could be hard-assed without being hostile.  The trick is to get somebody who refuses to accept bullshit,  but professional enough to be civilized.  Mahr is the one of the two I'd be concerned about.  I think O'Reilly is a pompous windbag,  but he's certainly capable of being a professional when it suits his needs. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on January 25, 2012, 09:04:33 AM
I'm not sure that I would want a moderator who would be actively hostile towards the candidates, but one who asked tough questions and demanded the proof of the candidates statements would be nice.

Well you're not gonna get that in-party from either side, so...
Sure, but there are plenty of opposite party people that would be more professional than O'Reilly or Mahr. It's possible either of them could restrain themselves and be professional, but there typical character is one who is hostile towards opposing views.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Progmetty on January 25, 2012, 09:46:51 AM
How about Michael Moore & Rush Limbaugh?  :biggrin:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Dark Castle on January 25, 2012, 10:09:01 AM
Honestly, John Stewart proved what a badass he was in that interview on Fox, I'd go with Stewart and O'Reilly.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: j on January 25, 2012, 12:23:57 PM
Honestly, John Stewart proved what a badass he was in that interview on Fox, I'd go with Stewart and O'Reilly.

I wouldn't be too opposed to this.  Although if you get O'Reilly on the wrong day, I feel like he wouldn't be able to stop himself from doing a lot more than just "moderating."

-J
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on January 25, 2012, 01:02:52 PM
How about Michael Moore & Rush Limbaugh?  :biggrin:

Michael Moore would be interesting. I know this goes against a lot of you, but I really like they guy. I'm not saying I agree with every word that comes out of his mouth, but I have to give the guy a lot of respect for what he does / stands for.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on January 25, 2012, 01:57:22 PM
How about Michael Moore & Rush Limbaugh?  :biggrin:

Michael Moore would be interesting. I know this goes against a lot of you, but I really like they guy. I'm not saying I agree with every word that comes out of his mouth, but I have to give the guy a lot of respect for what he does / stands for.

You have respect for a lair who abuses the experiences of people who are emotionally traumatized to further a political agenda that completely contradicts his own personal lifestyle?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 25, 2012, 02:00:12 PM
What is a "lair" ?  :P
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Dark Castle on January 25, 2012, 02:28:41 PM
What is a "lair" ?  :P
(https://i42.tinypic.com/mc65iu.jpg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 25, 2012, 02:32:33 PM
 :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 25, 2012, 02:35:32 PM
I say, let Jon Stewart moderate a debate. Put it on a bigger network, so a lot of people who normally don't watch Jon Stewart get exposed to him.

Why not Colbert? I prefer him.

His interviews can be awesome, and sometimes brilliant, but which Colbert do you get? His character, or himself? Jon Stewart would be very fair, and given who he's interviewed and that history, I'd say it would be most likely be amiable.

Maher would be entertaining, but I don't think it would be as constructive as Stewart.



Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 25, 2012, 02:59:31 PM
Obviously we're talking hypothetically here but I don't think Stewart would ever go for it. It would undermine his "I'm only a comedian" schtick.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 26, 2012, 01:35:23 PM
Obviously we're talking hypothetically here but I don't think Stewart would ever go for it. It would undermine his "I'm only a comedian" schtick.

Then he wouldn't do such serious interviews with politicians.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on January 26, 2012, 02:39:21 PM
Time Traveler From The Year 1998 Warns Nation Not To Elect Newt Gingrich (https://www.theonion.com/articles/time-traveler-from-the-year-1998-warns-nation-not,27178/)
Quote
WASHINGTON—Saying he came bearing an important message from the past, a stranger from the year 1998 appeared on the Capitol steps Thursday and urged voters not to elect Newt Gingrich president in 2012. "In the late 20th century, Newt Gingrich is a complete disgrace!" said the time-traveling man, warning Americans that 14 years in the not-so-distant past, Gingrich becomes the only speaker in the history of the House of Representatives to be found guilty on ethics charges, and is later forced to resign. "In my time, he shuts down the federal government for 28 days because his feelings get hurt over having to sit at the back of Air Force One. Gingrich gets our president impeached for lying about marital infidelities when, at the same time, Gingrich himself is engaged in his own extramarital affairs. And for God's sake, he divorced his first wife after she was diagnosed with cancer. Won't anyone listen to me?!?" When asked about Donald Trump, the time-traveler said he had no information on the man, as no one from 1998 cared about a "washed-up fake millionaire."
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 26, 2012, 03:07:53 PM
Obviously we're talking hypothetically here but I don't think Stewart would ever go for it. It would undermine his "I'm only a comedian" schtick.

Then he wouldn't do such serious interviews with politicians.
I think this would clearly take it to another level.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 26, 2012, 04:13:10 PM
So according to realclearpolitics.com, both Santorum and Paul have dropped into the single digits. Who is next to drop out? My guess would be Santorum.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 26, 2012, 06:39:25 PM
Anybody watching the debates? Romney is definitely looking pretty good. If he can hold it up til the end of the debate, Florida should be in the bag for him.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on January 26, 2012, 07:37:20 PM
Yeah, I think Romney has looked pretty good in this one.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 26, 2012, 08:18:45 PM
After all these debates you would think Ron Paul would have thought of better answers to those standard questions. I mean, he doesn't seem to even care about assuaging the concerns of Republicans that his foreign policy is essentially nonexistent.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on January 27, 2012, 04:30:21 AM
After all these debates you would think Ron Paul would have thought of better answers to those standard questions. I mean, he doesn't seem to even care about assuaging the concerns of Republicans that his foreign policy is essentially nonexistent.

rumborak
My cousin-in-law is a big RP fan and loved his performance last night.  I thought he came across as almost impotent.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Progmetty on January 27, 2012, 07:25:32 AM
He never puts any effort into the "performance" and his reactions and answers are very consistent.
Where was last night's debate? I didn't catch it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 27, 2012, 07:34:16 AM
I know Paul has written off Florida, but yesterday will not have helped him in Maine. Santorum at least has some bite to him.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 27, 2012, 07:36:13 AM
How did Newt do in the debate? I didn't get a chance to watch it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 27, 2012, 07:38:50 AM
I personally thought he was significantly worse than Romney. Frankly, at some point Mitt ripped him a new one, and Newt could only do his nasty look of smugness.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 27, 2012, 10:14:37 AM
I think the Republican machine is coming to its senses now.  Latest polling in Florida shows Gingrich's lead is gone and Romney is ahead again.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 27, 2012, 12:48:54 PM
Yeah, I think yesterday really hurt Gingrich. He just came across as a hater, but with little redeeming qualities. I agree with Hef, RP just looked impotent. Or, rather irrelevant. At the end I asked myself "why is he even invited anymore at this point?". The realistic answer to the question is probably: To serve as a "commercial break" between Romney vs. Gingrich. I mean, they even clustered Santorum and RP together in their answers, almost as a "and now for the lulz".

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 27, 2012, 01:18:07 PM
Yeah, wow, I watched some of the debate on YouTube today while loading up a few servers here and Gingrich kind of got his rhetorical head caved in by Romney. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 27, 2012, 01:36:26 PM
I really liked when Romney got pissed at the immigration thing. Holy crap, Romney was fuming, and he essentially got almost standing ovations with his response to Newt.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 27, 2012, 02:12:22 PM
I didn't see, what was Romney's deal with immigration?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 27, 2012, 02:27:30 PM
I didn't see, what was Romney's deal with immigration?

This is the relevant exchange:

Quote
Again, Romney learned from previous debates. He first had an excellent line answering Gingrich's assertion that grandmothers and grandfathers were not likely to "self-deport." Romney came back: "Our problem is not 11 million grandmothers." Boom! It both mocked Gingrich's grandmother self-deportation argument while at the same time underscoring the vast issue of illegal immigration.

It's from THIS opinion piece (https://www.cnn.com/2012/01/27/opinion/graham-debate-florida/index.html?hpt=hp_t2) on CNN.com by Todd Graham, director of debate at Southern Illinois University

I've been watching Graham's columns and he's clearly a fan of Mitt Romney, so take that piece with a boulder of salt, but he's got a point about how well Romney seems to have done yesterday.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 27, 2012, 03:37:58 PM
I was actually referring to another thing. Gingrich had apparently called Romney "anti-immigrant" in one of his ads, and Gingrich (upon Blitzer's request) reiterated that.
Romney got really pissed off and said (paraphrased): "WTF are you talking about. My father was born in Mexico and my wife's father was born in Wales. It's this incendiary bullcrap that we don't need in these debates. It's fine to disagree with me, but your charged epithet is something you should apologize for." The audience erupted in strong applause after that.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Progmetty on January 28, 2012, 12:53:18 AM
What network hosted that latest debate?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 28, 2012, 09:11:35 AM
That was CNN. Seems there are no debates for another month though (good!), meaning this would be the chance for Romney to keep rolling on the momentum he built in the last debate.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 28, 2012, 03:00:50 PM
Read an interesting article today that RP could be planning to blackmail himself into the cabinet. He could threaten the actual nominee to run as an Independent and thus almost guarantee the loss of that nominee. With that in his pocket he could try to secure himself an office in the administration by promising to play along.
Because, let's be honest, there is zero chance at this point to be nominated. However, if he manages to keep the 10% devout to himself until the nomination, he has a bargaining chip.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on January 28, 2012, 03:04:48 PM
Not a bad play,  actually.  I wonder if he'd buck for a position where he could really influence things,  or a cush job with which to run out the clock.  Ambassador to Thailand would probably be a great job to settle into. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 28, 2012, 03:11:30 PM
I doubt he would go for a cushiony job, he's way too idealistic for that. He would want something like Treasury so he can shape policy. Which of course will give Romney a major headache since RP is really a loose cannon.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 28, 2012, 03:17:49 PM
It'll be a catch-22 for whoever gets it (and for more hardcore, establishment voters a possible deal breaker), should be interesting to watch.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 28, 2012, 04:50:41 PM
That would certainly be interesting.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 28, 2012, 05:06:20 PM
It would be hard to get the public perception right though I think. How would he go about it? Officially endorse the nominee he made the deal with? Given how hardcore his base is he would come across as a sellout, and that might backfire then.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 28, 2012, 06:46:47 PM
Speaking of the cabinet, the grapevine is hinting that both Clinton and Geithner will not stick around for Obama's 2nd term.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on January 29, 2012, 04:24:20 AM
Speaking of the cabinet, the grapevine is hinting that both Clinton and Geithner will not stick around for Obama's 2nd term.
I don't know about a grapevine, but I'm pretty sure that Geitner said himself the other day that he doubted he would serve for a second term.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 29, 2012, 08:36:56 AM
Wow. If the polls are to be believed, Gingrich's support has completely collapsed and Romney is 15 points ahead.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 29, 2012, 08:53:28 PM
Speaking of the cabinet, the grapevine is hinting that both Clinton and Geithner will not stick around for Obama's 2nd term.
I don't know about a grapevine, but I'm pretty sure that Geitner said himself the other day that he doubted he would serve for a second term.

I heard that too, but only from one source, and it hasn't been reported on much. I'll refer to that as the "grapevine," until there's an actual report on the issue.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on January 30, 2012, 05:57:41 AM
It's not unusual for the cabinet to have a good amount of turnover between terms. Plus I'm sure Clinton is gearing herself up for another run at president in 2016.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 30, 2012, 11:02:41 AM
pls go geithner. pls.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 30, 2012, 12:09:24 PM
Speaking of the cabinet, the grapevine is hinting that both Clinton and Geithner will not stick around for Obama's 2nd term.
I don't know about a grapevine, but I'm pretty sure that Geitner said himself the other day that he doubted he would serve for a second term.

Clinton has already articulated that on more than one occasion as well.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 30, 2012, 12:12:14 PM
Not a bad play,  actually.  I wonder if he'd buck for a position where he could really influence things,  or a cush job with which to run out the clock.  Ambassador to Thailand would probably be a great job to settle into.

Right and the counter play is to tell him "yeah, sure, you can have ____________________" position.  Then just do what every politician who ever lived has done.  Go back on your promise after you're elected.  What's Ron Paul going to do about it?  Hint: It's something that starts with an "N" and ends in "othing"  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 30, 2012, 12:36:41 PM
Ron Paul will get played badly in a brokered convention if he is not the leader in delegates.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 30, 2012, 01:34:25 PM
Ron Paul will get played badly in a brokered convention if he is not the leader in delegates.

You seem to be in touch more with the RP base. Does anyone actually still believe that RP will be a leader in delegates? I mean, the show is over, right? Tomorrow Romney will have 69 delegates, and Ron Paul 3.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 30, 2012, 03:32:18 PM
What? There's no way to know the actual delegate count from the caucus states until their state conventions.

Plus, there will have been 4/50 primaries tomorrow - I can't believe people are so quick to declare a winner.

He's going to end up with about the same number of delegates as Gingrich, and Romney probably around 300 ahead of them.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 30, 2012, 04:31:04 PM
Which still is to say that Paul is, for all intents and purposes, sunk.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on January 30, 2012, 04:45:29 PM
He's going to end up with about the same number of delegates as Gingrich
I sincerely doubt it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 30, 2012, 04:49:53 PM
Of course I can't exactly quote stats on this, but how many candidates have gotten the nomination after they deserted the 4th most populous state in the nation? You don't win battles by fighting on the sidelines.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 30, 2012, 05:35:25 PM
Ron Paul will win Montana.

Which will do him absolutely no good.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on January 30, 2012, 10:53:31 PM
He'll also win Washington, and perhaps Alaska. Which will also do him no good.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 31, 2012, 08:23:57 AM
After betting on the wrong horse, Cain is trying to improve his standings with Romney:

https://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2012/01/31/after_endorsing_gingrich_cain_says_romney_ok_too/?p1=News_links

Vying for a place in the administration, are we? :lol

He'll also win Washington, and perhaps Alaska. Which will also do him no good.

We'll see. In my perception he's now down to the core supporters. The undecided voters were at some points causing a slight upswing in his popularity, but at this point, in the eyes of undecided, he's out of the race.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 31, 2012, 08:27:40 AM
That headline belongs in the Onion :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on January 31, 2012, 09:28:15 AM
That headline belongs in the Onion :lol

 :rollin   I was going to post the exact same thing!

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 31, 2012, 06:55:19 PM
(https://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/rumborak/ron-paul-2012.jpg)

 :biggrin:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 31, 2012, 07:04:06 PM
Wow, I tried to watch Romney's victory speech tonight, and it's just amazing to me how much of a charlatan and demagogue the man is. Just spewing crap after crap that's either invalid or just completely lacking any evaluation. It was full of fucking lies, just pure lies, and a complete straw man of a President who does not exist. Of course, all the Republicans are responsible of this, but Romney seems to be staking his entire bid on complete lies. It's disgusting. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 31, 2012, 07:15:35 PM
How is it that the more rural you get, the more extreme and conservative people are? I'm looking at the by-county map of the Florida results, and there's places in nothern Florida where Gingrich has a 10% lead. And in every county that has a major city, Romney won by a landslide.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on January 31, 2012, 07:24:59 PM
But Gingrich isn't really that conservative?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 31, 2012, 07:26:38 PM
That's how he's positioning himself though against Romney.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on January 31, 2012, 07:50:40 PM
I would just like to say that the winner/loser phase of the Florida primary bumped a keynote speech from Australia's Prime Minister discussing the economy, fiscal policy and industry policy from our two 24 hour news programs.

I hope you guys and your celebrity political system are happy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on January 31, 2012, 08:04:30 PM
Hey, we're the only country that matters, so...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on January 31, 2012, 08:34:20 PM
I would just like to say that the winner/loser phase of the Florida primary bumped a keynote speech from Australia's Prime Minister discussing the economy, fiscal policy and industry policy from our two 24 hour news programs.

I hope you guys and your celebrity political system are happy.
I've been tired of this crap since November and we still have 6 months to go.  Ugh.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 31, 2012, 08:50:13 PM
I would just like to say that the winner/loser phase of the Florida primary bumped a keynote speech from Australia's Prime Minister discussing the economy, fiscal policy and industry policy from our two 24 hour news programs.

I hope you guys and your celebrity political system are happy.
But how could we find the most qualified person for the job if we didn't do it this way? 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on January 31, 2012, 09:03:04 PM
Predictable results in Florida. Holy shit, Latino's are truly embarrassing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on January 31, 2012, 09:31:29 PM
Here's a weird observation: How come there's no polls anymore for the upcoming states? Up until now there were several polls running per state, but the last polls for the upcoming ones are ancient and really have no meaning.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on January 31, 2012, 09:41:12 PM
This may be an obvious question, but how did it come about that Iowa, South Carolina, and New Hampshire -three states not very representative of the electorate on the whole- came to pretty much determine who the nominee would be?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on January 31, 2012, 10:32:57 PM
Here's a weird observation: How come there's no polls anymore for the upcoming states? Up until now there were several polls running per state, but the last polls for the upcoming ones are ancient and really have no meaning.

rumborak
Many stages of the US political system are more for show than anything. The GOP knew Romney was going to be their nominee before a single vote was cast. They just needed to make it look like they were still being democratic about the whole process until Romney gained enough ground that they could justify treating his nomination as inevitable.

Putting states like Iowa and New Hampshire early on allows them to play up a candidate's "electability" if the person they like wins, but dismiss it as just a small state and not representative of 'real america' if the candidate they like loses.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 31, 2012, 11:08:13 PM
Predictable results in Florida. Holy shit, Latino's are truly embarrassing.

I'm gonna go ahead an guess that most Latino's didn't vote in the Republican primary.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on January 31, 2012, 11:10:03 PM
Predictable results in Florida. Holy shit, Latino's are truly embarrassing.

I'm gonna go ahead an guess that most Latino's didn't vote in the Republican primary.
Now, why would you say that?

 :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on January 31, 2012, 11:14:12 PM
Predictable results in Florida. Holy shit, Latino's are truly embarrassing.

I'm gonna go ahead an guess that most Latino's didn't vote in the Republican primary.
Now, why would you say that?

 :lol

Sarcasm?

Serious answer, historical voting records. They generally vote Democratic. It's also not in their economic interest to support any of the Republicans.

You know what's refreshing about Paul? His speech isn't a diatribe against Obama. He calls out the Federal Government, but at least he isn't stooping to the extremely low and dishonest nature of saying everything that's wrong with our government is somehow "Obama's fault."
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Progmetty on February 01, 2012, 01:05:45 AM
The man is really classy, he can't be president.
Finished watching the debate on youtube. When the guy from the audience asked about what they'll do about the creation of a Palestinian state Romney and Gingrich really weren't shy to lay back and show some width and wetness right away.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 01, 2012, 06:29:09 AM
(https://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/rumborak/ron-paul-2012.jpg)

 :biggrin:
Lol. This was a pretty predictable result though.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 01, 2012, 01:45:03 PM
Wow, I tried to watch Romney's victory speech tonight, and it's just amazing to me how much of a charlatan and demagogue the man is. Just spewing crap after crap that's either invalid or just completely lacking any evaluation. It was full of fucking lies, just pure lies, and a complete straw man of a President who does not exist. Of course, all the Republicans are responsible of this, but Romney seems to be staking his entire bid on complete lies. It's disgusting.

It's really pretty astonishing how it works, isn't it?  You're just seeing the tip of the iceberg.  The man is a walking contradiction of himself. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rsCmiFcRyIc)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 01, 2012, 01:51:36 PM
I seriously think one of Obama's biggest assets this coming election will be his general likability. His good guy family man vibe is undeniable. Romney just can't help but seem unpleasant, cold, and completely in his own world.

I can't think of a more prickly POTUS candidate in recent years...besides, like, Gingrich.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 01, 2012, 02:13:41 PM
Wow, I tried to watch Romney's victory speech tonight, and it's just amazing to me how much of a charlatan and demagogue the man is. Just spewing crap after crap that's either invalid or just completely lacking any evaluation. It was full of fucking lies, just pure lies, and a complete straw man of a President who does not exist. Of course, all the Republicans are responsible of this, but Romney seems to be staking his entire bid on complete lies. It's disgusting.

It's really pretty astonishing how it works, isn't it?  You're just seeing the tip of the iceberg.  The man is a walking contradiction of himself. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rsCmiFcRyIc)

Oh I know, it's just getting completely disturbing to me how much of a complete lie the man is running on. It's demagoguery, it's the worst of the human spirit, and I really don't know if I'll be able to live in a country that is so ignorant. Hopefully, when he, or any of the likely nominee's start running against Obama, the American people by and large see the bullshit for what it is.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 01, 2012, 02:16:09 PM
But what is one supposed to do when both candidates are bs? I mean I'll vote third party, but...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 01, 2012, 02:25:43 PM
Speaking of third parties, are there even any at this point? Haven't heard anything of the Green Party since Nader.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on February 01, 2012, 02:37:50 PM
Well, the "Tea Party" was supposed to be independent, but lack of a singular cohesive identity combined with the GOP basically doing a hostile takeover led to them basically disappearing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 01, 2012, 04:24:50 PM
But what is one supposed to do when both candidates are bs? I mean I'll vote third party, but...


I guess I still don't see what's so bs about Obama. Is there some? Ya, but for the most part he's pretty factually accurate, and he's kept to his campaign promises something like 98%+ of the time.

I still wish him and Ron Paul would both get in a teleporter together, and become Barack Paul, or Ron Obama. Give me a candidate who wants to end our empire, end the drug war, but not completely go after Medicare and Social Security (especially considering neither of those programs are truly responsible for any debt at this point).

Speaking of third parties, are there even any at this point? Haven't heard anything of the Green Party since Nader.

rumborak

Well, there's America Elects (or whatever the internet thing is), but that's sorta been out of the news. I know there's still technically a Libertarian party, but again, no media coverage.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on February 01, 2012, 08:29:29 PM
AE is on the ballot in at least 15 states last I heard.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 02, 2012, 07:36:06 AM
I still wish him and Ron Paul would both get in a teleporter together, and become Barack Paul, or Ron Obama. Give me a candidate who wants to end our empire, end the drug war, but not completely go after Medicare and Social Security (especially considering neither of those programs are truly responsible for any debt at this point).
You know, Ron Paul isn't cutting much at all out of Social Security and Medicare as of his current plans.
Well, there's America Elects (or whatever the internet thing is), but that's sorta been out of the news. I know there's still technically a Libertarian party, but again, no media coverage.

Which is sad. The Libertarian Party could see some momentum behind it after this Paul campaign.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 02, 2012, 07:58:16 AM
Polls are showing the usual percentages for Nevada. Romney at 45%, Gingrich 25%, Santorum 11%, Paul 9%.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on February 02, 2012, 08:08:42 AM
What do you all think about Mitt saying "I'm not concerned about the very poor, we have a safety net there. If it needs repair, I'll fix it."?

I gave him the benefit of the doubt with the firing people comment. Even though I dislike the guy, I understood what he meant with that comment. With this one though, I just get angry. Even if it is being taken out of context, this one is hard to swallow. It just seems like really stupid thing to say in a country where 1 and 10 can't find work, and 1 in 6 families are struggling to eat well. I highly doubt he meant that he doesn't care about the poor, but what is this safety net he speaks of? "If it needs repair", what the fuck does that mean? Of course it needs repair, look at the state of our country right now.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 02, 2012, 08:19:49 AM
Not to mention "we have a safety net there" isn't an excuse when a major component of the conservative platform is actually eliminating that safety net.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 02, 2012, 08:23:31 AM
New Nevada poll:

Quote from: https://2012nevadacaucus.com/romney-lead-poll-paul-leaps/
In the most recent 2012NevadaCaucus.com phone poll.....

Mitt Romney 34%
Ron Paul 24%
Undecided 19%
Newt Gingrich 14%
Rick Santorum 9%

Results are based on telephone survey from 1-31-12 to 2-1-12, with a random sample of 300 Republican registered voters, aged 18 and older, living in state of Nevada and are likely to vote in the 2012 Nevada Caucus.
Margin of error is ±5 percentage points.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 02, 2012, 08:45:31 AM
I've seen that, but apparently nobody really knows where that poll comes from. PPP Polls also said that RP wouldn't make second, but instead 3rd or 4th.
Besides, the above result I find also very implausible. Romney only getting 34% in a Mormon state? RP getting a quarter of the votes when he barely made 7% in FL? And Gingrich only 14%? All very bizarre. I find the other polls far more believable.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 02, 2012, 09:01:44 AM
Not to mention "we have a safety net there" isn't an excuse when a major component of the conservative platform is actually eliminating that safety net.
First thing I thought as well. He is just so bad at hiding his true self.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: eric42434224 on February 02, 2012, 11:07:37 AM
All I hear from the candidates, as well as voters, is that the biggest issue is who can beat Obama.
I personally get put off when the main platform or concern is to just beat the opponent of the opposing party, rather than what they can or will do to fix the country.
And does anyone feel that any Republican candidate will be able to beat Obama?  Not sure I do.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 02, 2012, 11:29:47 AM
I certainly don't get the impression that any of the candidates, with the notable exception of Ron Paul, has anything vastly different to offer in terms of solutions than Obama. They're using the language the GOP base wants to hear ("save money", "smaller government") but then proceed to talk about expanding the military etc.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 02, 2012, 11:30:37 AM
It seems by design that the challenging party will rarely ever able to beat the incumbent. And I'm not just talking about the money disparity, either -- the candidate selection process has been pretty crap. Since Reagan:

Walter Mondale
Bob Dole
John Kerry
Mitt Romney

I wasn't around for Mondale, but jeez talk about a lot of bland, uninspiring folks.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on February 02, 2012, 11:34:55 AM
And does anyone feel that any Republican candidate will be able to beat Obama?  Not sure I do.

Unless they can prove that Obama caused this country's melt down and not the Bush administration, I'd say no. I can wait to see which republican has to go head to head with Obama. I'm sure Obama has a ton of artillery that he is just waiting to fire off when the time is right.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 02, 2012, 11:36:07 AM
It's going to be so easy for him to paint Romney as Mr. Douchebag 1% it's not even funny.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 02, 2012, 11:40:18 AM
Yeah. Romney isn't even that popular with the Republicans themselves. And the Dems will have a field day with Romneycare.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 02, 2012, 11:48:36 AM
I just hope the Dems don't get cocky. They do still have to win the hearts and minds, even Obama haters.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on February 02, 2012, 11:51:30 AM
I just hope the Dems don't get cocky. They do still have to win the hearts and minds, even Obama haters.

The Dems already have a lot of hearts and minds. My whole mindset is that Obama was in office for the beginning of this mess, he is much more in tune with it than any of the current Republican candidates. I don't think it is wise to throw a new guy into the mix to try and correct something that they really aren't familiar with.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 02, 2012, 11:58:14 AM
I just hope the Dems don't get cocky. They do still have to win the hearts and minds, even Obama haters.

The Dems already have a lot of hearts and minds. My whole mindset is that Obama was in office for the beginning of this mess, he is much or in tune with it than any of the current Republican candidates. I don't think it is wise to throw a new guy into the mix to try and correct something that they really aren't familiar with.

From a politically knowledgeable standpoint, I totally agree with you. Unfortunately there are people in this country, people who even voted for Obama in 2008, who believe he alone is to blame for the current situation.

I might be misunderstanding your point though, so please notify me.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on February 02, 2012, 12:01:18 PM
I just hope the Dems don't get cocky. They do still have to win the hearts and minds, even Obama haters.

The Dems already have a lot of hearts and minds. My whole mindset is that Obama was in office for the beginning of this mess, he is much more in tune with it than any of the current Republican candidates. I don't think it is wise to throw a new guy into the mix to try and correct something that they really aren't familiar with.

From a politically knowledgeable standpoint, I totally agree with you. Unfortunately there are people in this country, people who even voted for Obama in 2008, who believe he alone is to blame for the current situation.

I might be misunderstanding your point though, so please notify me.

Nah, we're on the same page.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on February 02, 2012, 12:03:05 PM
What do you all think about Mitt saying "I'm not concerned about the very poor, we have a safety net there. If it needs repair, I'll fix it."?

Stupid comment that may very well come back to haunt him.

#1, as you said, it goes against party principles about even having a "safety net."

#2, even leaving #1 aside, I don't disagree with what he was trying to say, but what he actually said doesn't sound a whole lot like what he was trying to say.

And by the way, in context, here is what I believe he was actually trying to communicate:  What he was trying to say is NOT that he doesn't care about the poor; what he was trying to say is that the very rich don't need help, and there are programs in place to help the very poor (and he said right after that that those programs need to be fixed so that they work better and more efficiently).  So given those facts, his focus is on the vast majority that fall somewhere in between.  Again, not an issue of not caring about the poor.  But rather an issue of where to put more focus, the thought being that, for the poor, it takes a lot less energy to improve programs that are already in place than to spend a ton of energy trying to create something new.  His really sloppy way of saying that is going to haunt him, I just know it.  It really makes him sound out of touch.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on February 02, 2012, 12:04:30 PM
What do you all think about Mitt saying "I'm not concerned about the very poor, we have a safety net there. If it needs repair, I'll fix it."?

Stupid comment that may very well come back to haunt him.

#1, as you said, it goes against party principles about even having a "safety net."

#2, even leaving #1 aside, I don't disagree with what he was trying to say, but what he actually said doesn't sound a whole lot like what he was trying to say.

And by the way, in context, here is what I believe he was actually trying to communicate:  What he was trying to say is NOT that he doesn't care about the poor; what he was trying to say is that the very rich don't need help, and there are programs in place to help the very poor (and he said right after that that those programs need to be fixed so that they work better and more efficiently).  So given those facts, his focus is on the vast majority that fall somewhere in between.  Again, not an issue of not caring about the poor.  But rather an issue of where to put more focus, the thought being that, for the poor, it takes a lot less energy to improve programs that are already in place than to spend a ton of energy trying to create something new.  His really sloppy way of saying that is going to haunt him, I just know it.  It really makes him sound out of touch.

Very good post  :tup
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 02, 2012, 12:10:19 PM
What do you all think about Mitt saying "I'm not concerned about the very poor, we have a safety net there. If it needs repair, I'll fix it."?

Stupid comment that may very well come back to haunt him.

#1, as you said, it goes against party principles about even having a "safety net."

#2, even leaving #1 aside, I don't disagree with what he was trying to say, but what he actually said doesn't sound a whole lot like what he was trying to say.

And by the way, in context, here is what I believe he was actually trying to communicate:  What he was trying to say is NOT that he doesn't care about the poor; what he was trying to say is that the very rich don't need help, and there are programs in place to help the very poor (and he said right after that that those programs need to be fixed so that they work better and more efficiently).  So given those facts, his focus is on the vast majority that fall somewhere in between.  Again, not an issue of not caring about the poor.  But rather an issue of where to put more focus, the thought being that, for the poor, it takes a lot less energy to improve programs that are already in place than to spend a ton of energy trying to create something new.  His really sloppy way of saying that is going to haunt him, I just know it.  It really makes him sound out of touch.

Very good post  :tup

Agreed, and unfortunately for him the highlighted section will inevitably be undermined by the fact that, as you acknowledge, the party platform is against allowing the safety net to exist in the first place. He'll be caught between betraying his platform and therefore his party or betraying his constituents.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 02, 2012, 01:33:06 PM
Of coures the man's out of touch, he' makes 57k a day, which is basically more than the average person makes in a year.

I still wish him and Ron Paul would both get in a teleporter together, and become Barack Paul, or Ron Obama. Give me a candidate who wants to end our empire, end the drug war, but not completely go after Medicare and Social Security (especially considering neither of those programs are truly responsible for any debt at this point).
You know, Ron Paul isn't cutting much at all out of Social Security and Medicare as of his current plans.

See, the way I look at it, there shouldn't be any cutting out of Social Security or Medicare. They're paid for by their own taxes, and they have their own trust funds (which have been raided constantly). Some tweaks need to be made for the system (raising the age of eligibility makes sense to me, seeing as how we're living longer, working longer and are healthier longer), but to actually cut anything out of this irresponsible.

I guess I should also add someone who is willing to have sensible financial reform (completely reforming the Fed is fine with me, getting rid of a national bank is not), as well as a serious attempt to deal with our health care problem, and energy problems.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 02, 2012, 02:33:11 PM
I've seen that, but apparently nobody really knows where that poll comes from. PPP Polls also said that RP wouldn't make second, but instead 3rd or 4th.
Besides, the above result I find also very implausible. Romney only getting 34% in a Mormon state? RP getting a quarter of the votes when he barely made 7% in FL? And Gingrich only 14%? All very bizarre. I find the other polls far more believable.

rumborak

Romney won with over 50% of the vote last time by dragging out every last LDS vote.

Paul supporters were treated miserably at the state convention, because McCain robocalls had identified them by phone polling. That's why a lot of Paul supporters aren't answering to polls now. I don't know how true that is, but I believe Paul will end up second, far behind Romney.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 02, 2012, 02:43:43 PM
I've seen that, but apparently nobody really knows where that poll comes from. PPP Polls also said that RP wouldn't make second, but instead 3rd or 4th.
Besides, the above result I find also very implausible. Romney only getting 34% in a Mormon state? RP getting a quarter of the votes when he barely made 7% in FL? And Gingrich only 14%? All very bizarre. I find the other polls far more believable.

rumborak

This place (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-1452.html) has the best polling I've seen anywhere.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 02, 2012, 02:45:40 PM
See, the way I look at it, there shouldn't be any cutting out of Social Security or Medicare. They're paid for by their own taxes, and they have their own trust funds (which have been raided constantly). Some tweaks need to be made for the system (raising the age of eligibility makes sense to me, seeing as how we're living longer, working longer and are healthier longer), but to actually cut anything out of this irresponsible.

I guess I should also add someone who is willing to have sensible financial reform (completely reforming the Fed is fine with me, getting rid of a national bank is not), as well as a serious attempt to deal with our health care problem, and energy problems.

But shouldn't people have the choice to be involved or not?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 02, 2012, 02:51:02 PM
It seems by design that the challenging party will rarely ever able to beat the incumbent. And I'm not just talking about the money disparity, either -- the candidate selection process has been pretty crap. Since Reagan:

Walter Mondale
Bob Dole
John Kerry
Mitt Romney

I wasn't around for Mondale, but jeez talk about a lot of bland, uninspiring folks.

Mondale sucked.  When he picked Geraldine Ferraro as his running mate, he chose to lose the election just to make a social statement.  Biggest landslide in a presidential election in my lifetime.  The Gipper carried 49 states. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on February 02, 2012, 04:33:31 PM
All I hear from the candidates, as well as voters, is that the biggest issue is who can beat Obama.
I personally get put off when the main platform or concern is to just beat the opponent of the opposing party, rather than what they can or will do to fix the country.
Timewarp quote lol.

We had this happen to our Labor Party (leftish) in 2007 - although we are talking parliamentary not presidential. They elected this guy called Kevin Rudd as leader, had this massive campaign around him being this deity sent to save ua from the horrible conservatives who had been in power for a decade or so. He won, but it turned out he was a little dictator, making decisions with no consultation with his ministers and very little with his bureaocracy. Made a bunch of bad moves, pissed off the media, community at large, lobby groups and, finally, the parts of the business community and got rolled. Labor still won power in 2010 in minority, but they are still working through the shit he kicked up and are so deeply unpopular that a the opposition looks like they will waltz into power with basically no policies.

So, beware.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 02, 2012, 06:21:15 PM
See, the way I look at it, there shouldn't be any cutting out of Social Security or Medicare. They're paid for by their own taxes, and they have their own trust funds (which have been raided constantly). Some tweaks need to be made for the system (raising the age of eligibility makes sense to me, seeing as how we're living longer, working longer and are healthier longer), but to actually cut anything out of this irresponsible.

I guess I should also add someone who is willing to have sensible financial reform (completely reforming the Fed is fine with me, getting rid of a national bank is not), as well as a serious attempt to deal with our health care problem, and energy problems.

But shouldn't people have the choice to be involved or not?

You do. No one is forcing you to stay in the country. There's plenty of places to live that don't have such laws.

The guarantee is one reason why Social Security and Medicare can work. Without that guarantee, you neuter the entire system. It's a social contract, that changes how you are compensated, it does not change how much you are compensated. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 02, 2012, 06:57:50 PM
I've not signed any contract.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 02, 2012, 07:06:37 PM
You never signed a contract to be a US citizen either. Or held an oath to uphold the law. Or asked what religion or language you want to be taught by your parents.

Just because you don't sign something doesn't mean you aren't bound by it. It's called "society".

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 02, 2012, 07:19:00 PM
I've not signed any contract.
You never signed a contract to be a US citizen either. Or held an oath to uphold the law. Or asked what religion or language you want to be taught by your parents.

Just because you don't sign something doesn't mean you aren't bound by it. It's called "society".

rumborak


Ya, and where's my contract I signed approving my being born? How dare my parents force to me live, it should have been consensual.

unkle, do you feel you have the right to your property? Or life? Or all the other things guaranteed to you by the US Constitution? Cause you didn't sign onto any of those things, either. It's called a social contract for a reason, and you "sign" it by continuing to be a part of the society.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 02, 2012, 07:50:26 PM
Unless you wanna go live in the woods and be a Unibomber. Or go to another country.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 02, 2012, 08:46:45 PM
You never signed a contract to be a US citizen either. Or held an oath to uphold the law. Or asked what religion or language you want to be taught by your parents.

Just because you don't sign something doesn't mean you aren't bound by it. It's called "society".

rumborak

The things listed here are not the same as forcing some one to be involved in a retirement plan.

unkle, do you feel you have the right to your property? Or life? Or all the other things guaranteed to you by the US Constitution? Cause you didn't sign onto any of those things, either. It's called a social contract for a reason, and you "sign" it by continuing to be a part of the society.

I didn't sign on to those things, but they are natural rights inherent to being a human being, and none of them require me to partake of them if I choose not to.  And it's funny you mentioned the constitution. I don't believe I have read anywhere that the federal government has the authority to set up a mandatory retirement plan.

Unless you wanna go live in the woods and be a Unibomber.

So I have a choice of being forced to give up my money for a retirement plan that I don't want, or being the Unibomber.... got it.

Or go to another country.

This is an interesting comment. The U.S. is supposed to be a union of states. The federal government was not given authority to mandate things like retirement plans, although the states can initiate social experiments like this.  This gives an individual the option to vote with their feet. They can move to a totally different place under different laws without giving up their citizenship and protection of the bill of rights. This is one of the separations of power, and generates competition between states. And most of all it gives people choice.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on February 02, 2012, 09:49:38 PM
Anyone that appeals to the "Go live to another country" argument or even implies that it's a relatively valid one immediately lands in my "ignore" list.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 02, 2012, 09:58:13 PM
(https://i.imgur.com/TwW1X.gif)
Ed Norton: emindead
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 02, 2012, 10:01:35 PM
Anyone that appeals to the "Go live to another country" argument or even implies that it's a relatively valid one immediately lands in my "ignore" list.

OK.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 02, 2012, 11:29:20 PM
unkle, do you feel you have the right to your property? Or life? Or all the other things guaranteed to you by the US Constitution? Cause you didn't sign onto any of those things, either. It's called a social contract for a reason, and you "sign" it by continuing to be a part of the society.

I didn't sign on to those things, but they are natural rights inherent to being a human being, and none of them require me to partake of them if I choose not to.  And it's funny you mentioned the constitution. I don't believe I have read anywhere that the federal government has the authority to set up a mandatory retirement plan.

There are no natural rights, there are only socially agreed upon moral rights. The only "natural" right is your right to be free, becuase it's physically impossible to ever fully control someone (at least so far). You're right to property? How inherent is that right, when I can easily steal your property? It's a "right" because I, and other people in our society, have an obligation to respect your right, and claim, to your property, in exchange for the same. How is property a "natural right" when numerous societies in history have not had a conception of property, or thought you could really "own" something? It's a pure social fabrication, it's a social contract. Notice how historically, "rights" came into proper conception with the concept of a social contract, and of the evolution from a state of nature to a social state. "Rights" are simply statements of a morality, to be enforced by a government and a collective will. If you don't respect my claims to property, we'll imprison you. If you don't respect my right to life, we'll imprison you (and maybe kill you). It set's up a framework.

I also never said that the social contract we have is limited to the Constitution, nor is the Constitution a strictly limited thing. It set's up a groundwork for how the government can work, it does not say with precision what can and cannot be done. It gives the power for certain things, it denies the power for certain things, and it gives the framework for other things to come about. The framers were smart enough to realize that setting up a strict and rigid government, like the one you advocate, would be harmful, and it wouldn't work. Where does the authority come from for social safety nets? The stated power to "promote the General Welfare," and the stated power to do everything "necessary and proper" to achieve this end. Did the Founders imagine something like Social Security? No, but they didn't write anything in the Constitution that actually forbids this from occurring, and it leaves the door open; allowing for the people of the Nation to come to their own decision. They first and foremost set up a government responsible to the People.

Your kind of libertarian faces a huge inherent problem: the Founders set up a government. If they believed as you did, there wouldn't BE a federal government, there wouldn't BE a Constitution.


Anyone that appeals to the "Go live to another country" argument or even implies that it's a relatively valid one immediately lands in my "ignore" list.

You are aware it's an extenuation of libertarian philosophy, don't you? Every libertarian I have ever argued against has no problem with people banding together, and doing the things discussed about on their own accord. However, for some reason, when the scale of this banding together get's so large, this goes out the window, and people are no longer allowed to come to social agreements.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 02, 2012, 11:38:01 PM
It's like that old joke about the anarchist convention, and it makes no sense to me.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on February 02, 2012, 11:43:01 PM
I do not see why one would so harshly oppose some portion of their income going into SS.  I mean, one may or may not end up needing it, but you cannot necessarily tell for sure until around the time you are eligible.  Even if you don't end up needing your SS checks, they're still a nice bonus.  It's the gov. doing something real beneficial for you; why be so opposed to it? 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on February 03, 2012, 07:24:32 AM
I do not see why one would so harshly oppose some portion of their income going into SS.  I mean, one may or may not end up needing it, but you cannot necessarily tell for sure until around the time you are eligible.  Even if you don't end up needing your SS checks, they're still a nice bonus.  It's the gov. doing something real beneficial for you; why be so opposed to it?

I don't think the fact that it is social security that is the problem. I think people get upset because their money is being taken away for something they never agreed to. In this case it happens to be social security, any other fund with the same money holdings would generate the exact same response.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: eric42434224 on February 03, 2012, 07:32:16 AM
Where was the agreement I made to pay any sort of taxes?  Fed Taxes.  State Taxes.  Sales Tax.  I never signed an agreement to obey any laws either.
Its a social contract that is agreed upon by our society.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 03, 2012, 08:16:29 AM

There are no natural rights, there are only socially agreed upon moral rights. The only "natural" right is your right to be free, becuase it's physically impossible to ever fully control someone (at least so far). You're right to property? How inherent is that right, when I can easily steal your property? It's a "right" because I, and other people in our society, have an obligation to respect your right, and claim, to your property, in exchange for the same. How is property a "natural right" when numerous societies in history have not had a conception of property, or thought you could really "own" something? It's a pure social fabrication, it's a social contract. Notice how historically, "rights" came into proper conception with the concept of a social contract, and of the evolution from a state of nature to a social state. "Rights" are simply statements of a morality, to be enforced by a government and a collective will. If you don't respect my claims to property, we'll imprison you. If you don't respect my right to life, we'll imprison you (and maybe kill you). It set's up a framework.

That's your opinion, mine is that we have natural rights.

The framers were smart enough to realize that setting up a strict and rigid government, like the one you advocate, would be harmful, and it wouldn't work.


I'm not advocating a rigid government, I'm advocating that we use the rules that we have set up. We give the federal government new powers by ammendment. It makes it a harder and slower process, but this is a good thing. It prevents major changes at the whim of poplular demand that may or may not be good in the long run, or easily reversable if need be.

Where does the authority come from for social safety nets? The stated power to "promote the General Welfare," and the stated power to do everything "necessary and proper" to achieve this end.

If this was a method of granting the government powers, then why was the tenth ammendment added?


Your kind of libertarian faces a huge inherent problem: the Founders set up a government. If they believed as you did, there wouldn't BE a federal government, there wouldn't BE a Constitution.

No, the federal government was created to regulate commerce between (not within) states and provide national deffence. And these are necessary roles for it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 03, 2012, 08:32:02 AM
But we don't live in the 18th century anymore. The demands on the nation have drastically changed.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 03, 2012, 08:42:06 AM
You know this will get a few mentions on the campaign trail once Obama hits the road: https://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/04/business/economy/us-economy-added-243000-jobs-in-january-unemployment-rate-is-8-3.html?_r=1&hp
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 03, 2012, 08:44:17 AM
Romney won with over 50% of the vote last time by dragging out every last LDS vote.

What's to stop him from doing so this time?

Quote
Paul supporters were treated miserably at the state convention, because McCain robocalls had identified them by phone polling. That's why a lot of Paul supporters aren't answering to polls now. I don't know how true that is, but I believe Paul will end up second, far behind Romney.

I find it highly unlikely he will come in above Gingrich. In both polls used by realclearpolitics.com, Gingrich gets 25%, whereas RP has either 9% or 15%.  Your explanation of "the RP supporters are hiding because they got treated badly last time" will not amount for a 10% difference.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 03, 2012, 08:48:20 AM
But we don't live in the 18th century anymore. The demands on the nation have drastically changed.

rumborak

Well there is a way to change the constitution if it really is needed.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 03, 2012, 08:48:43 AM
Speaking of the Green Party, they declared their nominee: Roseanne.

https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/02/03/roseanne-is-running-for-president-not-a-joke/

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Dark Castle on February 03, 2012, 08:51:30 AM
Speaking of the Green Party, they declared their nominee: Roseanne.

https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/02/03/roseanne-is-running-for-president-not-a-joke/

rumborak

DDDDDDDDDDDAAAAAAAAAAANNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN
I've been watching Roseanne lately  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 03, 2012, 08:54:58 AM
:|
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 03, 2012, 09:16:02 AM
Romney won with over 50% of the vote last time by dragging out every last LDS vote.

What's to stop him from doing so this time?

Nothing. He'll probably end up at around 50% this time too. I never made any claim that he'd lose votes.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 03, 2012, 09:57:19 AM
But we don't live in the 18th century anymore. The demands on the nation have drastically changed.

rumborak

Well there is a way to change the constitution if it really is needed.

Weren't you just saying that we need to go back to the Constitution's original intentions?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 03, 2012, 12:36:45 PM
See, the way I look at it, there shouldn't be any cutting out of Social Security or Medicare. They're paid for by their own taxes, and they have their own trust funds (which have been raided constantly). Some tweaks need to be made for the system (raising the age of eligibility makes sense to me, seeing as how we're living longer, working longer and are healthier longer), but to actually cut anything out of this irresponsible.

I guess I should also add someone who is willing to have sensible financial reform (completely reforming the Fed is fine with me, getting rid of a national bank is not), as well as a serious attempt to deal with our health care problem, and energy problems.

But shouldn't people have the choice to be involved or not?

Shouldn't I have a choice about whether or not the money taken from my paycheck every week is used to drop bombs on people in a country 6000 miles from here that I don't give a flying fuck at a rolling doughnut about?

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: eric42434224 on February 03, 2012, 12:40:43 PM
See, the way I look at it, there shouldn't be any cutting out of Social Security or Medicare. They're paid for by their own taxes, and they have their own trust funds (which have been raided constantly). Some tweaks need to be made for the system (raising the age of eligibility makes sense to me, seeing as how we're living longer, working longer and are healthier longer), but to actually cut anything out of this irresponsible.

I guess I should also add someone who is willing to have sensible financial reform (completely reforming the Fed is fine with me, getting rid of a national bank is not), as well as a serious attempt to deal with our health care problem, and energy problems.

But shouldn't people have the choice to be involved or not?

Shouldn't I have a choice about whether or not the money taken from my paycheck every week is used to drop bombs on people in a country 6000 miles from here that I don't give a flying fuck at a rolling doughnut about?

It is moot.  The logistics of invividuals directing tax revenue to their own particular destination makes it impossible.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 03, 2012, 12:45:05 PM
Should have colored my post for more clarity
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 03, 2012, 01:33:42 PM
It is moot.  The logistics of invividuals directing tax revenue to their own particular destination makes it impossible.

So put the most invasive and controlling as close to the individual as possible. City, county, state. It is much easier to leave from under them, or change them this way.

Shouldn't I have a choice about whether or not the money taken from my paycheck every week is used to drop bombs on people in a country 6000 miles from here that I don't give a flying fuck at a rolling doughnut about?

I've vowed to never argue with you again, but I'll say this one thing. Act's of war should only be done as a last resort under direct threat of attack, or actual attack,  with declaration of congress, and with an exit strategy.  I feel that those who want preemptive war with 3rd world nations should pick up a gun, buy a plane ticket, and fight it themselves.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 03, 2012, 02:15:04 PM
It is moot.  The logistics of invividuals directing tax revenue to their own particular destination makes it impossible.

So put the most invasive and controlling as close to the individual as possible. City, county, state. It is much easier to leave from under them, or change them this way.

Shouldn't I have a choice about whether or not the money taken from my paycheck every week is used to drop bombs on people in a country 6000 miles from here that I don't give a flying fuck at a rolling doughnut about?

I've vowed to never argue with you again, but I'll say this one thing. Act's of war should only be done as a last resort under direct threat of attack, or actual attack,  with declaration of congress, and with an exit strategy.  I feel that those who want preemptive war with 3rd world nations should pick up a gun, buy a plane ticket, and fight it themselves.

Then we have no argument here (https://www.kirksnosehair.com/Portals/0/images/smilies/cheers.gif)

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on February 03, 2012, 02:22:54 PM
That still doesn't have anything to do with tax money going toward purposes you as an individual don't agree with.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 03, 2012, 02:32:15 PM
That still doesn't have anything to do with tax money going toward purposes you as an individual don't agree with.

Well, yeah, I'm just trying to play nice in the sandbox.  :P
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on February 03, 2012, 02:41:47 PM
It is appreciated.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 03, 2012, 03:10:11 PM

There are no natural rights, there are only socially agreed upon moral rights. The only "natural" right is your right to be free, becuase it's physically impossible to ever fully control someone (at least so far). You're right to property? How inherent is that right, when I can easily steal your property? It's a "right" because I, and other people in our society, have an obligation to respect your right, and claim, to your property, in exchange for the same. How is property a "natural right" when numerous societies in history have not had a conception of property, or thought you could really "own" something? It's a pure social fabrication, it's a social contract. Notice how historically, "rights" came into proper conception with the concept of a social contract, and of the evolution from a state of nature to a social state. "Rights" are simply statements of a morality, to be enforced by a government and a collective will. If you don't respect my claims to property, we'll imprison you. If you don't respect my right to life, we'll imprison you (and maybe kill you). It set's up a framework.

That's your opinion, mine is that we have natural rights.

Go tell that to a bear. I'm sure he'll understand your natural rights. The reality of life is, you have no rights that are not protected and assured to you by society, and your rights are tied to the society you live. Go to Saudi Arabia, and try and claim your right to free speech.

It's also not just my opinion, it's a fully loaded argument I am giving. There's a difference between the two, even though they obviously overlap.

Quote
Where does the authority come from for social safety nets? The stated power to "promote the General Welfare," and the stated power to do everything "necessary and proper" to achieve this end.

If this was a method of granting the government powers, then why was the tenth ammendment added?

Why did the tenth amendment not get rid of the necessary and proper clause, and the other stated powers? Why, under thsi scenario, did the founders, and Madison himself, come to agree that a National Bank was constitutional because it was necessary and proper? I'm not sure about you, but I've read the notes on the debate, and they were quite aware of this limited their foresight was, and that they didn't want to basically doom their country because they couldn't foresee every possibility.

The 10th amendment also gives the States any powers not granted in the Constitution - this, however, is very specifically a power granted to the Federal Government.
 
Quote
Your kind of libertarian faces a huge inherent problem: the Founders set up a government. If they believed as you did, there wouldn't BE a federal government, there wouldn't BE a Constitution.

No, the federal government was created to regulate commerce between (not within) states and provide national deffence. And these are necessary roles for it.

Yes, but the Federal Government we have came about because there was too little cohesion, too much anarchy.

There's also the preamble, which quite clearly tells us why the Federal Government was set up:

Quote
We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.

Again, the promotion of the general Welfare is mentioned, as well as some other things you're ignoring.

The Founders did quite a few things that today's Libertarians whitewash over.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 03, 2012, 07:38:37 PM
Getting back to the OP topic, today's economic numbers must have been a heart attack for the GOP.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on February 03, 2012, 09:20:40 PM
Getting back to the OP topic, today's economic numbers must have been a heart attack for the GOP.

rumborak
I would think so.  Not only with the unemployment info, but how well the stocks did today was also great news. 

Well, not for the Republicans, I guess.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 03, 2012, 09:47:54 PM
According to Mitt, Obama has still made the economy worse. We should've been here two years ago, or something.

What's so entertaining about how long elections are now, is that candidates start running on issues that evolve and become false issues to run on. Mitt's still running like it's 2008 (probably because he's been running since 2006), and his positions are horribly anachronistic. Now, he's stuck in the uncomfortable position of trying to cast doom on the economy, because he would basically give the election to Obama if he actually admitted the truth of the economy.

I heard an interesting statistic that basically guarantee's the next President will be hailed as a hero. Apparently, by 2015, manufacturing in China will no longer be cheaper than manufacturing in the US. Apparently, this'll be worth somewhere around 2-3 million jobs, just in manufacturing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 03, 2012, 10:38:23 PM
According to Mitt, Obama has still made the economy worse. We should've been here two years ago, or something.

Unfortunately, there will be plenty who jump on board with him on that.

I heard an interesting statistic that basically guarantee's the next President will be hailed as a hero. Apparently, by 2015, manufacturing in China will no longer be cheaper than manufacturing in the US. Apparently, this'll be worth somewhere around 2-3 million jobs, just in manufacturing.

Yeah, I hope you're right on that, and I hope it's our man.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on February 04, 2012, 12:15:21 AM
Getting back to the OP topic, today's economic numbers must have been a heart attack for the GOP.

rumborak
At a glance they are ok (in terms of job creation), but the unemployment number is almost totally misleading at the moment. The US participation rate has dropped to its lowest level on record (records go back to 1948) to 63.7 per cent I think. This is a very, very low rate of workforce participation - on par with the socialist parts of Europe (who have structurally lower participation due to higher social welfare on average*). Prior to "The Great Recession" - which is a stupid name by the way, participation was about 66-67 per cent. A ~3 per cent fall doesn't sound like much...but:

If we were to hold the participation rate steady at its pre-crisis peak, 66.4 per cent, the US unemployment rate would be sitting pretty at 11.9 per cent as oppose to 8.2 per cent. No kidding either.

Why? People have given up looking for work. I don't think you can argue anything other than that - the change in participation is far too severe for it to be simple fluctuation in the level of participation. So yeah, its great that the US economy is creating jobs, but you've got a hell of a long way to go yet until things are under control.

I heard an interesting statistic that basically guarantee's the next President will be hailed as a hero. Apparently, by 2015, manufacturing in China will no longer be cheaper than manufacturing in the US. Apparently, this'll be worth somewhere around 2-3 million jobs, just in manufacturing.

I wouldn't bet your house on it. That would require heaps to go your way: that the US continues to trash the Dollar, that China allows the Yuan to keep rising, that China runs out of cheap labour (it won't, I don't think), that India doesn't get its shit together (which it is), that Africa remains a basket case (can't say on that one), that Europe survives (and so the Euro doesn't become either non-existent or remain well undervalued), etc etc. That's way too big a call to make. Reminds me of a couple of articles that I've read earlier in the week, the second of which is quite relevant - although it states the obvious really (we call it garbage in, garbage out):

https://www.watoday.com.au/business/the-very-model-of-a-future-based-on-guesswork-20120203-1qxma.html

Who made that assertion, by the way?



*Please don't let that comment start a flame warm between the right and the left. I'm suprised this thread has gone as far as it has without it so far.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 04, 2012, 12:33:28 AM
What counts as participating? Our population is getting older, more people would be retiring and leaving the workforce naturally anyways. And what about people going back to school and getting new training?

I mean, it's a valid point, but it still needs to be evaluated. What's the "ideal" participation? If there is such a thing. Personally I think it's odd how much we think everyone needs to have a job. And let's say before that both people in a relationship were working, or that some people got married, and because their partner got a better paying job, they no longer have to work. Is that accounted for, and whose to say its not better, or can't be better? More people have to work if there's just shitty paying jobs.

The fact that American manufacturing is coming back is huge, as is the fact that were closing the trading gap.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on February 04, 2012, 12:44:58 AM
Yeah there are a whole bunch of reasons that the particpation rate fluctuates, but in my professional opinion its to do with discouraged workers by in large. Sure, you get labour market churn all the time - I read this week that in any given year the Australian economy churns through about 1,000,000 people (out of total employment of ~12,000,000), I can imagine the US would be similar as a percentage. Oh yeah, and the participation rate is derived as the percentage of people aged between 15 and 65 (I think...) either in work or actively seeking, so an ageing population may not necesserally drive a fall in participation.

I don't think there is an "ideal" participation rate, but I know the OECD average is around 65 per cent. This is including socialist Europe, which as said has a structurally lower participation rate. Australia's overall rate is ~66 per cent, while my state almost hit 70 per cent recently (made it to 69.8 per cent). Participation is driven by a lot of forces; I'm actually working with the policy team over the next few months to come up with some papers on participation so hopefully I'll have an answer soon.

I don't think everyone needs to have a job, but I think everyone that wants a job should be able to find one within a reasonable timeframe. If they can't, presumably they will drop out of the labour fore, which means that although they can't find a job, they are not statistically unemployed - and so that inflates (deflates) your unemployment rate.

Not saying its right, but thats just how things are measured.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 04, 2012, 01:00:30 AM
Well, I guess my point would just be that lower participation doesn't equate with a worse economy. There's a lot of factors involved and it could really go either way. Republicans though only want to use it as a sign that things are actually worse still, which seems groundless to me, without a full explanation of why and how.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on February 04, 2012, 01:06:08 AM
I would agree with that. Although I still believe the lower participation rate relative to before TGR is an indicator of how bad things have become in the US labour market.

The abuse of statistics is something that pisses me off pretty much more than anything - whether to talk up or talk down.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on February 04, 2012, 01:46:13 AM
People aren't just giving up in searching for jobs.  You can't really do that here in America; that is a recipe for eviction, foreclosure, and becoming homeless.  Unemployment benefits only last so long.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on February 04, 2012, 02:09:28 AM
I'm an economist, I can conviniently assume those things to the dustbin :)

However, the BLS stats are generally pretty good...and they do indicate that this is happening. Haven't foreclosures been pretty high for quite a while now?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on February 04, 2012, 02:36:53 AM
Yes, but part of that is actually voluntary.  I read an article about that a month or so ago.  There is a growing number of people who are voluntarily giving up their mortgages and letting banks foreclose, especially people who are underwater on their mortgage.  A foreclosure doesn't count as badly toward your credit as a bankruptcy, so they are saying "fuck it" and renting instead.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on February 04, 2012, 05:24:28 AM
When life hands you lemons, just say fuck the lemons and bail.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on February 04, 2012, 07:04:12 AM
Yes, but part of that is actually voluntary.  I read an article about that a month or so ago.  There is a growing number of people who are voluntarily giving up their mortgages and letting banks foreclose, especially people who are underwater on their mortgage.  A foreclosure doesn't count as badly toward your credit as a bankruptcy, so they are saying "fuck it" and renting instead.

This has been going on here in Arizona for years. So many people just walk away from a house they bought for $300k that is now only worth $150k. Just pack up and move on, leave it empty. It's crazy to me to think about doing something like that.



As far as Romney saying we should have been here 2 years ago, blame congress, not the president.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 04, 2012, 07:22:26 AM
Yes, but part of that is actually voluntary.  I read an article about that a month or so ago.  There is a growing number of people who are voluntarily giving up their mortgages and letting banks foreclose, especially people who are underwater on their mortgage.  A foreclosure doesn't count as badly toward your credit as a bankruptcy, so they are saying "fuck it" and renting instead.

This has been going on here in Arizona for years. So many people just walk away from a house they bought for $300k that is now only worth $150k. Just pack up and move on, leave it empty. It's crazy to me to think about doing something like that.



As far as Romney saying we should have been here 2 years ago, blame congress, not the president.

Yep, the central point that everyone somehow misses. I don't really know how we can do it (especially without resulting in the opposite problem: an executive that actually is overpowered), but this country really has to rein in its legislative branch.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on February 04, 2012, 11:12:42 AM
When life hands you lemons, just say fuck the lemons and bail.

It felt so wrong to read that with your icon.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 04, 2012, 11:53:26 AM
True dat.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 05, 2012, 05:58:31 AM
Jesus, how long does it take Nevada to do their fricking  counts?! It's the next day and there's still only 70% reported.
That said, looks like in the other states. Big margin for Romney, Gingrich second, then Paul, then Santorum.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 05, 2012, 06:16:04 AM
Getting back to the OP topic, today's economic numbers must have been a heart attack for the GOP.

rumborak

True, but consider this:  No incumbent since Roosevelt has won reelection with an unemployment rate higher than 7.2% and it's unlikely in the extreme that the economy will expand fast enough for us to reach those numbers by election day.

Still, these are unusual times, since we're simultaneously recovering from the deepest recession of our lifetimes and experiencing the globalization of money and labor markets, which tends to apply downward pressure on the GDP.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 05, 2012, 03:04:53 PM
So, complete clusterfuck #2 in the GOP primaries: Nevada has to completely recount the votes in Clark County. Apparently the sign sheet count doesn't match the ballot count. :lol

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 05, 2012, 03:28:00 PM
Oh boy. I hate to be yelling vote fraud, because of the whole Paulite = conspiracy theorist, but seriously - how difficult can it be to count votes accurately.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ClairvoyantCat on February 05, 2012, 04:05:02 PM
I wouldn't put it past the GOP to intentionally half-ass the counting to encourage cries of voter fraud.  Cases of mistaken identity are a hell of a lot more common than actual fraud, but making the threat of voter fraud seem much larger than it actually is legitimizes more severe voting requirements that keep legitimate votes out.  Making it so these requirements block the right kind of people out doesn't seem out of the question. 

But actual voter fraud?  Nah.  Difficult, high risk, and probably not terribly effective. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 05, 2012, 06:00:09 PM
Some new results in, and Paul actually moved up a bit. Call off the conspiracy theories.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 06, 2012, 08:08:00 AM
I can't say I blame anyone for being suspicious.

https://www.ktvn.com/Global/story.asp?S=11421562
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 06, 2012, 09:57:39 AM
Hmm, good point. Even though, the article made it look as if the Paulites were using a technicality to push through (undeservedly?) delegates, in which case I could understand the GOP's stance on it.

BTW, so far I had been scratching my head at why Santorum would still remain in the race. But I just saw the Minnesota polls, and he's leading there. WTF?!

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 06, 2012, 11:02:53 AM
Hmm, good point. Even though, the article made it look as if the Paulites were using a technicality to push through (undeservedly?) delegates, in which case I could understand the GOP's stance on it.

BTW, so far I had been scratching my head at why Santorum would still remain in the race. But I just saw the Minnesota polls, and he's leading there. WTF?!

rumborak

Same state Michelle Bachmann in office.    Kinda takes the edge off that "WTF" doesn't it?  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on February 06, 2012, 11:11:24 AM
Hmm, good point. Even though, the article made it look as if the Paulites were using a technicality to push through (undeservedly?) delegates, in which case I could understand the GOP's stance on it.

BTW, so far I had been scratching my head at why Santorum would still remain in the race. But I just saw the Minnesota polls, and he's leading there. WTF?!

rumborak

Same state Michelle Bachmann in office.    Kinda takes the edge off that "WTF" doesn't it?  :lol
For the record, Michelle Bachmann is disliked by most people in the state. She manages to win in a district that is very different politically than most of the state. And those district lines are being redrawn, so she may have a tougher time getting reelected. Why Santorum is popular there, I don't know.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 06, 2012, 11:35:56 AM
First of all, if Minnesota doesn't like Michelle Bachmann, someone should tell Minnesota, because she's been getting elected to public office there since 2000 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michele_Bachmann) - that's over a decade of winning elections.  Someone must like her. 

I get the redistricting thing, but the fact is, enough people have voted for her that she's won.  Again and again and again.  So, it's not THAT surprising to me that a guy like Santorum -a guy who thinks pregnancy via rape is a "gift from god" (https://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/belief/2012/jan/25/rick-santorum-rape-pregnancy)- is polling well in a state where Bachmann has been winning either state or national elections for about 12 years.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on February 06, 2012, 12:17:25 PM
Bachmann has never won a statewide election though (though I don't know that she's ever tried). She's popular in her district and that's about it. That's all that matters for a representative. If she were to run for Senate or Governor she would likely lose. At least among those I knew when I lived in Minnesota, she was seen as a joke and a bit of an embarrassment (I did not live in her district).

I guess Minnesota has enough conservative evangelical types to boost a guy like Santorum. For the most part it's a relatively liberal state (at least for the midwest).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 06, 2012, 01:45:20 PM
Bachmann has never won a statewide election though (though I don't know that she's ever tried). She's popular in her district and that's about it. That's all that matters for a representative. If she were to run for Senate or Governor she would likely lose. At least among those I knew when I lived in Minnesota, she was seen as a joke and a bit of an embarrassment (I did not live in her district).

I guess Minnesota has enough conservative evangelical types to boost a guy like Santorum. For the most part it's a relatively liberal state (at least for the midwest).

They appear to "lean Obama" statewide, but the 2004 presidential election was very close there.....you just never know in politics.  Look at MA where Ted Kennedy's seat was taken by a Republican.  No one ever thought that was possible.....

If you look at the stats here  (https://www.270towin.com/states/Minnesota)it's easy to see why Santorum might do OK in a primary in that state.  It's definitely not a "liberal" state by any means.

Doesn't matter anyway, because Mitt Romney will be the nominee.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 06, 2012, 01:48:33 PM
Look at MA where Ted Kennedy's seat was taken by a Republican.  No one ever thought that was possible.....

A mistake we intend to rectify this year :)

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 06, 2012, 01:52:02 PM
Look at MA where Ted Kennedy's seat was taken by a Republican.  No one ever thought that was possible.....

A mistake we intend to rectify this year :)

rumborak

I'm with ya.  I'll be voting for Liz Warren.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 06, 2012, 02:21:28 PM
Bachmann has never won a statewide election though (though I don't know that she's ever tried). She's popular in her district and that's about it. That's all that matters for a representative. If she were to run for Senate or Governor she would likely lose. At least among those I knew when I lived in Minnesota, she was seen as a joke and a bit of an embarrassment (I did not live in her district).

I guess Minnesota has enough conservative evangelical types to boost a guy like Santorum. For the most part it's a relatively liberal state (at least for the midwest).

They appear to "lean Obama" statewide, but the 2004 presidential election was very close there.....you just never know in politics.  Look at MA where Ted Kennedy's seat was taken by a Republican.  No one ever thought that was possible.....

Against an apparently rather weak Democrat. I'm not sure that fits Obama.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 06, 2012, 02:34:01 PM
Bachmann has never won a statewide election though (though I don't know that she's ever tried). She's popular in her district and that's about it. That's all that matters for a representative. If she were to run for Senate or Governor she would likely lose. At least among those I knew when I lived in Minnesota, she was seen as a joke and a bit of an embarrassment (I did not live in her district).

I guess Minnesota has enough conservative evangelical types to boost a guy like Santorum. For the most part it's a relatively liberal state (at least for the midwest).

They appear to "lean Obama" statewide, but the 2004 presidential election was very close there.....you just never know in politics.  Look at MA where Ted Kennedy's seat was taken by a Republican.  No one ever thought that was possible.....

Against an apparently rather weak Democrat. I'm not sure that fits Obama.

Right, Obama's more of a weak Republican  :P
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 06, 2012, 02:42:56 PM
Strong Corporitist.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 06, 2012, 02:44:26 PM
Because none of his Republican predecessors were strong corporatists.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 06, 2012, 02:48:05 PM
Because none of his Republican predecessors were strong corporatists.

Because?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 06, 2012, 02:50:15 PM
Or that Romney isn't way more corporatist than Obama.

Strong Corporitist.

What makes him a strong corporatist? I'll agree that governmental policy while he has been President has been Corporatist, but it seems like decreasingly less so, and Obama isn't the King.  He was also against Citizens United pretty quickly and publicly.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 06, 2012, 02:55:47 PM
Obama is the best presidential candidate that isn't Mitt Romney that I can think of in the coming election. 

 :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 06, 2012, 03:02:10 PM
Obama is a corporatist because his policies favor certain corporations, whether it be corporate bailouts, the health care bill, cap and trade, or continued endless war in the middle east.


I don't know why you guys keep bringing up other people who are corporatists. They don't have any bearing on Obama being a corporatist. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 06, 2012, 04:00:32 PM
Obama is a corporatist because his policies favor certain corporations, whether it be corporate bailouts, the health care bill, cap and trade, or continued endless war in the middle east.

>Implying that no Republican would ever dare do such a thing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 06, 2012, 04:05:23 PM
I've yet to make any such implications.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on February 06, 2012, 06:36:27 PM
I'm pretty sure both parties have their share of guilt.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 06, 2012, 07:37:08 PM
I would also like to point out that some of the corporate bailouts were actually not his doing but Bush's (although your speaking about them like they were a bad thing befuddles me), people have been proposing that health care legislation at least since the 90s and the person just before Obama was actually Mitt Romney, cap and trade doesn't belong to him as far as I can tell (I thought it was a Gore idea anyway), and the endless wars are Bush's and Obama actually managed to end one of them.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 06, 2012, 08:25:34 PM
Obama is a corporatist because his policies favor certain corporations, whether it be corporate bailouts, the health care bill, cap and trade, or continued endless war in the middle east.

Obama didn't do much bailing out, that's historically inaccurate. The health care bill was written by Congress, it wasn't written by Obama, and Obama has voiced support in the past for a single-payer system, and was somewhat of an advocate for at least a public option. Cap and trade isn't motivated by some corporate desire, it's motivated by something else, so it's hard to say he's a corporatist for that. And I think it's equally as weird to claim that corporatism is responsible for why Obama is involved in the Middle East, which is to let the fact go that Obama has reduced our military involvement in the Middle East in a lot of ways (Iraq war is over, Afghanistan War is drawing down).

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 06, 2012, 10:35:57 PM
3 GOP primaries tomorrow. It's weird to see how Romney now has to battle with Santorum, and Gingrich is back to being a side figure. I'm assuming Paul will trail in most if not all of them.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on February 06, 2012, 11:54:05 PM
Obama is a corporatist because his policies favor certain corporations, whether it be corporate bailouts, the health care bill, cap and trade, or continued endless war in the middle east.

I'm impartial when it comes to US politics, but this is an insane conclusion to make. Any decision made by any politician will "favor" certain corporations, as it is these corporations who provide the markets and services that said policy is designed to target.

Or am I missing something?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on February 07, 2012, 06:07:34 AM
3 GOP primaries tomorrow. It's weird to see how Romney now has to battle with Santorum, and Gingrich is back to being a side figure.
It's almost like the country can't agree on who the "not Romney" candidate should be. If everyone would just rally around one or the other, they might actually have a shot.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 07, 2012, 06:28:50 AM
Well, they *will* rally once they're against a common enemy (read: Obama). But yeah, without that enemy it's remarkable to see how internally torn the GOP is.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 07, 2012, 07:27:19 AM
Well, we'll see. If Obama can continue to milk this recent economic upturn, I'm hoping he has a shot.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 07, 2012, 07:40:04 AM
I really think he's going to crush Romney unless something terrible and unexpected happens.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 07, 2012, 07:57:20 AM
There won't be any "crushing" of anything.  Romney is a formidable candidate with a nearly flawless personal history (i.e. no skeletons in his closet to speak of) and he's also well funded.  Obama has a decent shot at reelection with the economy clearly heading in the right direction, but this is nowhere near a done deal.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 07, 2012, 08:01:26 AM
Eh, I disagree (about the formidable candidate part). Really don't think he has much of a chance.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 07, 2012, 08:05:06 AM
Also I'd say the corporate raiding thing kinda counts as a skeleton in the closet, even if most probably don't see that as a big deal.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 07, 2012, 08:05:07 AM
I'm not certain about Obama's reelection either. One thing that might nip Romney in the bud however is the Romneycare thing. Unless the Democrats are stupid they will roll out the hypocrisy of his stance change, and the fact that even the Republican candidate saw it as a good thing to implement.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on February 07, 2012, 08:09:12 AM
Assuming the economic recovery continues and unemployment goes down, I think Obama will win. Not by a huge margin, but at least a few percentage points. Anyone who either of the major parties nominates is a formidable candidate. There's so much money tied up in these elections, both the Reps and Dems could nominate a potato and it would get 40 percent of the vote.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 07, 2012, 08:18:33 AM
I don't think it's necessarily a question about the money. There's "base voters" who will not even consider voting for another party, and every country has those. My parents have been voting conservative for a long time, and now they just do it out of habit.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 07, 2012, 08:33:50 AM
I'm not certain about Obama's reelection either. One thing that might nip Romney in the bud however is the Romneycare thing. Unless the Democrats are stupid they will roll out the hypocrisy of his stance change, and the fact that even the Republican candidate saw it as a good thing to implement.

rumborak

Yeah, that will be important, but another thing I think would help Obama's cause is the fact that he recently went to Congress seeking to downsize the federal government.

By the way, does anyone know what happened to that?

Fake edit: Also, young people who voted for Obama in the last election who are now turning to Paul will probably not vote for Romney.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on February 07, 2012, 08:39:25 AM
young people who voted for Obama in the last election who are now turning to Paul
Not sure if it's the same group of young people changing to Paul or if it's a new set of young voters, but this is kind of interesting. To me it says that young people see the need for radical change to the way things work. Obama was supposed to be a change, but he's basically more of the same in most cases. Paul (though at the opposite end of the spectrum politically) is a radical change from the status quo. It's almost like young people don't really care what the change is, they just realize there needs to be a change.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 07, 2012, 08:45:20 AM
From my own personal experience, I know there are at least *some* 2008 voters who are making the switch, although there is certainly a constituency of Obama faithfuls (myself included). Although I hadn't thought of that, you could be right.

As to the remark about Paul being a radical change, there was an interesting op-ed about him in New York Times today, one that explains his political background. Based on what I saw, I'm not sure whether I'd call it a radical change (or at least one that moves forward rather than backward), and it disturbs me a little what the basis of his political philosophy is.

For those who are interested: https://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/06/us/politics/for-ron-paul-a-distinctive-worldview-of-long-standing.html?src=me&ref=general
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 07, 2012, 08:49:44 AM
It's almost like young people don't really care what the change is, they just realize there needs to be a change.

I made that point a while ago. In Germany the same kind of young people turn Communist and try to effect the "rEVOLution" that way. And I think it also shows that there is essentially a hard limit to the support RP can really get nation-wide. RP suggests very drastic measures, and he currently benefits from the recession. Every time things aren't good, people (especially the young) look towards extreme solutions (my home country having been a prime example). I think if the economy is steadily coming up this year, his support will immediately go back to the small levels it used to be.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 07, 2012, 08:50:14 AM
Minnesota could be a Paul win. He has enough support to win it, but the campaign has for some reason had trouble getting out the young vote. It could actually go any way though, any of the four candidates could win there.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 07, 2012, 08:52:25 AM
Well, it's young people. As willing as they are to look for extreme measures, as quickly does their attention fade to something else. That isn't a problem of the RP campaign, that's a plain function of age :lol Voter turnout amongst the young is low across the world.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 07, 2012, 08:56:17 AM
And lowest in the U.S., I think.

Anyway, I'm guessing there hasn't been any news on the Obama six-agency merger proposal?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on February 07, 2012, 10:22:18 AM
Apparently Santorum is expected to do well in Minnesota. Yeah, I have no idea why either.

Also, I love how Missouri has both a Primary and a Caucus, with all of the delegates determined by the caucus, basically rendering tonight's primary there pointless.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 07, 2012, 10:37:34 AM
WTF, they have both?! :lol

The American voting system is one giant clusterfuck, seriously.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 07, 2012, 01:54:32 PM
Obama didn't do much bailing out, that's historically inaccurate.

He wasn't president for all of the bail outs, but he was for some, and he voted for TARP while in the Senate.

The health care bill was written by Congress, it wasn't written by Obama, and Obama has voiced support in the past for a single-payer system, and was somewhat of an advocate for at least a public option.

But he did not veto it.

Cap and trade isn't motivated by some corporate desire, it's motivated by something else, so it's hard to say he's a corporatist for that.

His relationship with the CEO of General Electric, and the amount they would benefit from that legislation is more than eyebrow raising.

And I think it's equally as weird to claim that corporatism is responsible for why Obama is involved in the Middle East, which is to let the fact go that Obama has reduced our military involvement in the Middle East in a lot of ways

The Iraq draw down followed Bush's time table. Afghanistan escalated under the Obama administration. Libya. Now Syria and possibly Iran.  And as to why it's corporatism... fist Oil interests and then there is this: https://www.militaryindustrialcomplex.com/
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 07, 2012, 02:01:38 PM
Assuming the economic recovery continues and unemployment goes down, I think Obama will win. Not by a huge margin, but at least a few percentage points. Anyone who either of the major parties nominates is a formidable candidate. There's so much money tied up in these elections, both the Reps and Dems could nominate a potato and it would get 40 percent of the vote.

I don't dispute that Obama has a very good chance of winning a second term.  But he ain't gonna "crush" anyone.  I'd be surprised if the margin were more than 5% to 7% on the popular vote.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 07, 2012, 02:02:14 PM
Lol unklejman, are you seriously chalking up Syria to Obama?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 07, 2012, 02:12:51 PM
I'm just saying that I wouldn't be surprised if we end up with some sort of military presence in that situation.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 07, 2012, 02:14:13 PM
Lol unklejman, are you seriously chalking up Syria to Obama?

rumborak

Conservatives these days seem pretty desperate to find some albatross to hang around his neck. 

This is a CLASSIC example of the double-standard.  He gets "blamed" by conservatives for getting involved in Libya but when he takes a hands-off approach to Syria he gets the same crap from them.  Obama could walk around shitting 50 pound diamonds and conservatives would find a way to fault him for it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 07, 2012, 02:24:33 PM
If your talking to me I'm right here. I actually have made an effort not to play politics of personalities, or football politics for years now. I've only been going on about Obama in this thread because a conversation about him was underway. I threw in one comment about him that was slightly relevant and people have been responding. I honestly don't really feel like talking about it any more.

The preconceptions being cast on me throughout this thread are getting tired and I'm about to just leave the conversation all together since you guys don't need me to know what I think.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 07, 2012, 03:10:02 PM
Obama didn't do much bailing out, that's historically inaccurate.

He wasn't president for all of the bail outs, but he was for some, and he voted for TARP while in the Senate.

Sometimes it's better to do something than nothing. It's not like there was a reasonable liberal plan on the table, or one that stood a chance of passing.

Quote
The health care bill was written by Congress, it wasn't written by Obama, and Obama has voiced support in the past for a single-payer system, and was somewhat of an advocate for at least a public option.

But he did not veto it.

Because it's still a step forward from where we were. It's actually going to save the government ~150 billion dollars, as without the Bill, and it gets rid of horrible practices like not insuring kids for pre-existing conditions and dropping coverage for people when they get sick. There's plenty of good things in the Bill, and I'd say it outweights any of it's faults. Obama has a yes/no power over legislation, nothing more.

Quote
Cap and trade isn't motivated by some corporate desire, it's motivated by something else, so it's hard to say he's a corporatist for that.

His relationship with the CEO of General Electric, and the amount they would benefit from that legislation is more than eyebrow raising.

Yet hasn't Obama called for the end of all the loopholes and other suck things which allow a company like GE to pay no Federal income tax? Either way, we don't have cap and trade, and considering his stance on Global Warming, it's absurd say this is a decision made from corporatism.

Quote
And I think it's equally as weird to claim that corporatism is responsible for why Obama is involved in the Middle East, which is to let the fact go that Obama has reduced our military involvement in the Middle East in a lot of ways

The Iraq draw down followed Bush's time table. Afghanistan escalated under the Obama administration. Libya. Now Syria and possibly Iran.  And as to why it's corporatism... fist Oil interests and then there is this: https://www.militaryindustrialcomplex.com/

I'm not sure it's corporatism to be interested in the oil fields. It's definitely true that everyone in the country benefits in some way from the low cost of fuel. It's imperialistic.

Iran? There's been no indication whatsoever that Obama has any interest in fighting Iran. In fact, everything I see is just the opposite. I know I've seen headlines about the Obama administration disagreeing with Israel on a military strike in Iran. You cannot blame Obama for Iran being a threat, that's due to years of horrible foreign police - on this I'd be willing to be we fully agree - most recently that of the invasion of Iraq.

Just so ya know, I'm not saying you're not bringing up points I disagree with - I just think it's wrong to say it's Obama being a corporatist, or that those policies are in place for corporatist reasons. Since we're talking about Obama being a Corportists, I sorta need proof that this is intentional, otherwise I say we're being a little unethical.


young people who voted for Obama in the last election who are now turning to Paul
Not sure if it's the same group of young people changing to Paul or if it's a new set of young voters, but this is kind of interesting. To me it says that young people see the need for radical change to the way things work. Obama was supposed to be a change, but he's basically more of the same in most cases. Paul (though at the opposite end of the spectrum politically) is a radical change from the status quo. It's almost like young people don't really care what the change is, they just realize there needs to be a change.

Knowing most people my age, the problem is I'm not sure they all know how the government actually works. They have correct gripes against the Governmnent, but they have undue expectations of how much change a President, any President, can reasonably bring. Quick change is going to mean vast power, which basically means an expansion of Presidential authority.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 07, 2012, 03:20:14 PM
I mean I think it's within reason to argue that the only way to get a real idea of the weight presidential authority has (or doesn't) is to actively study it. Even as a Politics major, I'm sure the only reason I know what I do is because I had classes that forced me to closely examine the composition of and dynamics within the executive branch.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 07, 2012, 07:08:02 PM
On the topic of American government and conspiracy:

https://qkme.me/35y4ok
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 07, 2012, 08:04:55 PM
Man, RP supporters are the best. Just read this:

"The whole thing is rigged by the damn media and the companies that control them and the government."

:lol Gotta cover all the bases!

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 07, 2012, 08:10:48 PM
Where was that??? :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 07, 2012, 08:31:07 PM
This is all on the Ron Paul forums. It might be mean, but damn it's entertaining to read.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 08, 2012, 12:45:50 AM
It was that CNN poll that pushed Santorum to surge a week or so before Iowa, and Public Policy Polling called the poll phony. Then Santorum wins Iowa.

And now he wins three more states - WHAT IS GOING ON HERE. How can people seriously vote for Santorum.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 08, 2012, 01:16:01 AM
It was that CNN poll that pushed Santorum to surge a week or so before Iowa, and Public Policy Polling called the poll phony. Then Santorum wins Iowa.

And now he wins three more states - WHAT IS GOING ON HERE. How can people seriously vote for Santorum.

Gingrich wasn't on the ballot in Missouri, and didn't spend much time in those states because I believe most of them don't actually lead to delegates.

I think winning Colorado for Santorum is the biggest.

Oh, interesting to note that I think participation has been low. The republican base is divided and unenthusiastic.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 08, 2012, 01:21:35 AM
This is going to head to a brokered convention for sure.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 08, 2012, 07:46:23 AM
Oh man. Seriously, now Santorum? I think I will change my name to Ritt Momney and run in the primaries. Should get me some votes as a non-Mitt.
All this shows how sad, sad the GOP has become.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 08, 2012, 08:09:04 AM
There's some uber neocon Catholic psycho I graduated college with endorsing Santorum on Facebook, saying he's a "true conservative." He's the only person I know who has any interest in the guy.

Nominating Santorum would be a great way to get me to vote for Obama. Talk about a disaster for the GOP.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 08, 2012, 08:20:49 AM
I can't help but think that in this context "true conservative" just means "true Christian". If Romney wasn't a Mormon the GOP would fawn over him like Reagan's second coming.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on February 08, 2012, 09:01:37 AM
Man, RP supporters are the best. Just read this:

"The whole thing is rigged by the damn media and the companies that control them and the government."



rumborak

It's not rigged like you would rig the lottery, but it is to a large degree controlled and guided.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 08, 2012, 09:13:34 AM
Eh, that border conspiracy theory IMHO.
Ron Paul isn't trailing because there is some shady conglomerate of online and TV channels and GOP officials that tries to shut down RP. The plain reality is that Republicans have looked at him, and after seeing his debates and his stances on things, have just decided it's not what they want. I mean, is it in any way surprising that when a Libertarian who advocates complete non-interventionism, decides to run as a Republican, gets poor reception? I don't think so.
Look at it. Republicans are desperately switching between candidates still because they just can't find that combination of true Christian (i.e. Protestant), military-strong, fiscally responsible and a family guy. Ron Paul simply doesn't have enough match. He totally downplays his Christianity, is not militarily strong, and not that much of a family guy either.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Progmetty on February 08, 2012, 09:14:23 AM
Everyone has a bunch of dumb ass supporters among their fan base. rumborak seems overly obsessed with the Ron Paul ones  even though you'd find amazing talents of the same caliber in the other GOP nominees internet discussion spots. I still don't have the guts to check out any Rick Santorum internet gathering :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 08, 2012, 09:19:10 AM
To be honest, the only reason why I latch on to RP is because there are (or at least used to be) so many supporters of him on this forum, and I've recently taken to reading threads on the RP forum. It's a very interesting exercise in seeing people justifying to themselves why they aren't winning. The "explanations" are numerous of course; from conspiracy theories to voter fraud, to blaming the campaign managers etc. etc. The only one who never gets questioned is the man himself. He enjoys near-Jesus status there.
And yeah, of course every candidate will have those kinds of supporters. RP ones are just very vocal, and they use the internet a lot.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Progmetty on February 08, 2012, 09:33:09 AM
I admire your honesty about the reason you latched on RP so much but it's always been pretty obvious :D
10$ says you're bound to find something way funnier on a NG or RS forum when they're completely out of the race.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 08, 2012, 09:38:23 AM
Well, RP is also more interesting because his supporters claim a certain superior understanding of issues (especially financial), where I personally find (if anything) the opposite to be true. I would imagine the supporters of NG or MR to be much more general-fare in their views. RS forums I would imagine would just have Christian threads over and over, which would just be annoying to read.

That said, I think my lurking phase is over too. The GOP race doesn't look anywhere near done, and the thing is just soooo damn stretched out. I expect Gingrich to drop out at some point, Santorum to drop to his previous levels once his surge is over, Romney getting the nomination, and Paul just not knowing when to quit. His delegate strategy is obviously not working.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 08, 2012, 11:01:29 AM
How do you know his delegate strategy isn't working?

The delegates of the caucus states won't be finally known until the respective State Conventions, which are in June. No one can project the # of unbound delegates of these caucus states.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 08, 2012, 11:23:29 AM
I don't know the intricacies of the delegate voting system, but I can tell you that the GOP will make sure a candidate who's been trailing in every single state will not be a nominee. Face it, Ron Paul is right now the rag doll of the other candidates; the real "war" is fought between Gingrich, Santorum and Romney, with Paul feeding on the scraps as they fall by the wayside. It's also the reason for that supposed "media blackout", because the media focuses on the meat of the battle, not on a candidate who they perceive will sooner or later run out of support and money.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 08, 2012, 01:20:39 PM
It certainly is a fascinating primary.  I kind of expected Santorum to do OK in Missouri and maybe in Minnesota but I have to admit being pretty surprised by the Colorado vote.   :lol

If you really want a good laugh about this whacko, read these quotes. (https://www.addictinginfo.org/2012/01/05/31-rick-santorum-quotes-that-prove-he-would-be-a-destructive-president/)   :facepalm:

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 08, 2012, 01:29:20 PM
I don't know the intricacies of the delegate voting system, but I can tell you that the GOP will make sure a candidate who's been trailing in every single state will not be a nominee.

This was in an update from the Paul campaign. I don't know how relevant it is, but here it is:

Quote
We are confident in gaining a much larger share of delegates than even our impressive showing yesterday indicates. As an example of our campaign’s delegate strength, take a look at what has occurred in Colorado:

In one precinct in Larimer County, the straw poll vote was 23 for Santorum, 13 for Paul, 5 for Romney, 2 for Gingrich. There were 13 delegate slots, and Ron Paul got ALL 13.

In a precinct in Delta County the vote was 22 for Santorum, 12 for Romney, 8 for Paul, 7 for Gingrich. There were 5 delegate slots, and ALL 5 went to Ron Paul.

In a Pueblo County precinct, the vote was 16 for Santorum, 11 for Romney, 3 for Gingrich and 2 for Paul. There were 2 delegate slots filled, and both were filled by Ron Paul supporters.

We are also seeing the same trends in Minnesota, Nevada, and Iowa, and in Missouri as well.

“We may well win Minnesota, and do far better in Colorado than yesterday’s polls indicate."
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 08, 2012, 02:01:29 PM
OK, somebody needs to explain to me then, how can it be that the delegates fly in the face of the public opinion? Isn't the point that the delegates represent their constituency?
I may be going on a limb here, by if RP supporters just stick around long enough to be delegates and then intend to do whatever they please at the RNC, I'm pretty sure the RP movement will pay dearly.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 08, 2012, 02:06:30 PM
lol GOP?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 08, 2012, 03:07:51 PM
OK, somebody needs to explain to me then, how can it be that the delegates fly in the face of the public opinion? Isn't the point that the delegates represent their constituency?
I may be going on a limb here, by if RP supporters just stick around long enough to be delegates and then intend to do whatever they please at the RNC, I'm pretty sure the RP movement will pay dearly.

rumborak
Pay dearly?

The delegates game is fair play - fortunately or unfortunately. Paul didn't make up the rules, his supporters didn't make up the rules - but none were broken.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 08, 2012, 03:19:06 PM
Do you really think RP would get away with being nominated when only having a 10% public support? Just because one can undermine an inherently flawed process doesn't mean people are going to just shrug away the process of doing so. Especially not when it comes to a presidential election.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: unklejman on February 08, 2012, 03:27:35 PM
Do you really think RP would get away with being nominated when only having a 10% public support?

21% at this point according to national polls.  But I know what you are saying.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 08, 2012, 03:31:39 PM
That's the highest. According to realclearpolitics the average is 15%.

I think it's somewhat moot though. Unless he generates momentum soon he will run out of money. From what I read the recent "money bombs" have fizzled out.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 08, 2012, 04:32:51 PM
OK, somebody needs to explain to me then, how can it be that the delegates fly in the face of the public opinion? Isn't the point that the delegates represent their constituency?
I may be going on a limb here, by if RP supporters just stick around long enough to be delegates and then intend to do whatever they please at the RNC, I'm pretty sure the RP movement will pay dearly.

rumborak

This whole thing shows us how fucked up the electoral college is, and the nomination processes that follow it.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on February 08, 2012, 06:40:04 PM
Regarding last night's contests;
Just when I think the primary season may be wrapping up prematurely, it gets hilarious again.

I would love to have seen the look on Romney's face when he realized he had lost all three. Or even better, when he found out that, in Minnesota, he was 10 points behind Ron Paul.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on February 08, 2012, 11:16:15 PM
Clearly, the only way for the GoP to actually pick one of them is for Paul, Santorum, Romney and Gingrich to get into a teleporter together and hope that what comes out the other end is, at the very least, slightly more palatable than a Jeff Goldblum Brundle-fly.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on February 09, 2012, 06:36:42 AM
This whole delegate thing makes no sense to me. How can a person lose the popular vote, yet gain all the delegates from a region?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 09, 2012, 06:44:05 AM
They're the ones that stay behind and vote for delegates.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 09, 2012, 07:23:05 AM
None of this matters anyway.  Ron Paul has no more chance of winning the nomination than Ronald McDonald.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on February 09, 2012, 07:34:31 AM
They're the ones that stay behind and vote for delegates.
So everyone votes for a candidate, many of them leave, and those who remain pick the delegates? Why aren't they compelled to vote for the winning candidate?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 09, 2012, 07:46:34 AM
I have no idea. Some people are uninformed about the caucus process and the Paul campaign is very involved in caucus training. I wouldn't be surprised if Paul ends up with over half the unbound delegates from all the caucus states combined.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on February 09, 2012, 09:55:46 AM
None of this matters anyway.  Ron Paul has no more chance of winning the nomination than Ronald McDonald.
Ron Burgundy!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 09, 2012, 10:14:58 AM
I would like to vote for Vermin Supreme:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DFXXAuDK1Ao

I want my pony!!

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: splent on February 09, 2012, 10:34:43 AM
Vermin Surpreme for president
Basil Marceaux for VP

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fnx-SqMYknI&feature=related
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 09, 2012, 11:46:08 AM
Holy crap. If those were the best shots, I can only imagine what the worse ones were.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 09, 2012, 01:57:56 PM
Vermin Surpreme for president
Basil Marceaux for VP

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fnx-SqMYknI&feature=related (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fnx-SqMYknI&feature=related)

I love that guy  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 09, 2012, 04:26:32 PM
Here's a question: Does the current expenses for the candidates cut into the later funds when the nominee runs against Obama? A lot seems to come from public donations, and the longer the current struggle goes on, it strikes me the less money is left for the actual campaigning.

On another note, it seems Santorum misses no chance to spew his Christian hate.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 09, 2012, 09:18:00 PM
Here's a question: Does the current expenses for the candidates cut into the later funds when the nominee runs against Obama?

Ya.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 09, 2012, 11:47:19 PM
I wonder if in Virginia, all Santorum supporters and Gingrich supporters are going to vote for Paul. Romney is a bigger threat clearly.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on February 11, 2012, 02:21:22 PM
I wonder if in Virginia, all Santorum supporters and Gingrich supporters are going to vote for Paul. Romney is a bigger threat clearly.
I could see that happening, especially if Paul does well in Maine tonight.

I would love to see Romney's reactions to recent developments. This primary season has really delivered on the entertainment factor so far; even the so-called inevitable nominee can't stay ahead.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 11, 2012, 02:45:15 PM
I do not envy the Republicans. I mean, overall the candidates are shit. You essentially got the choice between a hateful Bible thumper, the crazy uncle, the deathbed divorcer, and the crazy-religion Obama copycat.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 11, 2012, 03:17:26 PM
So Ron Paul wins Maine tonight and Mittens wins CPAC - guess which one the media is going to pump?


I do not envy the Republicans. I mean, overall the candidates are shit. You essentially got the choice between a hateful Bible thumper, the crazy uncle, the deathbed divorcer, and the crazy-religion Obama copycat.

rumborak

I have to make some remarks regarding this though. Santorum has NO credibility left as a social conservative after he tried to cover up the sex scandal of John Ensign - just saying. He's a crooked hypocrite on family values.



edit: wut, mitt won maine!?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on February 11, 2012, 03:24:51 PM
Here's a question: Does the current expenses for the candidates cut into the later funds when the nominee runs against Obama? A lot seems to come from public donations, and the longer the current struggle goes on, it strikes me the less money is left for the actual campaigning.

On another note, it seems Santorum misses no chance to spew his Christian hate.

rumborak

Hey rumby, I know you're not this way but, I feel I need to say this anyway

Please, don't let someone as stupid as Santorum represent Christianity in your mind. He's an idiot.

Thanks,

Christian (actually mah name)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 11, 2012, 04:26:25 PM
I really thought Paul would win. I'm actually VERY surprised about this.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 11, 2012, 05:48:47 PM
I expected it to go either way tbh. Both had strong support, RP because of the libertarian lean of Maine (just like in NH), Romney because of its proximity to MA. People might be libertarian leaning there, but they're also moderate.
And it was a crucial state for both too. Mitt really needed to win this one to show he could break the counter-momentum Santorum generated, and RP needed to win it to show he can win states. In that sense, Mitt definitely won tonight (also because of CPAC), even if it was just by a few inches.

Interestingly, now there's gonna be nothing for more than 2 weeks, and Super Tuesday is just around the corner. After that I would think things are settled.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on February 11, 2012, 07:07:51 PM
Apparently 10% of the caucuses in Maine aren't going to be counted because they're holding their caucuses after today. In a contest this close, that seems more than a bit fishy. Also, the vote seems to be holding around 95% reporting, and I wouldn't count on that hitting 100, seeing as Minnesota is still "95% reporting". The vote gap between Romney and Paul right now is about 195. That missing 5% of the vote that they actually are counting represents about 295 based on the current vote. They're just straight up not going to include it, even though it certainly could change the outcome.

Basically, the establishment has decided that they wanted Romney to win this one. I'm not even a Paul supporter, and I'm calling bullshit on this.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 11, 2012, 07:53:17 PM
Nothing less than what I'd expect from that wholesome buncha folks.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 11, 2012, 08:09:17 PM
Apparently 10% of the caucuses in Maine aren't going to be counted because they're holding their caucuses after today. In a contest this close, that seems more than a bit fishy. Also, the vote seems to be holding around 95% reporting, and I wouldn't count on that hitting 100, seeing as Minnesota is still "95% reporting". The vote gap between Romney and Paul right now is about 195. That missing 5% of the vote that they actually are counting represents about 295 based on the current vote. They're just straight up not going to include it, even though it certainly could change the outcome.

Basically, the establishment has decided that they wanted Romney to win this one. I'm not even a Paul supporter, and I'm calling bullshit on this.

Eh, hold the conspiracy theory horses on that one. Reality is that all counties had the chance to get counted; all they needed to do was to move their caucus dates before today (or today). The counties knew very well (and for a looong time) that if they don't do it they won't get counted. So, this was by choice. Also, there's no reason to believe that the distribution of the remaining counties would be vastly different in terms of outcome than all the others.
So, it's a non-issue really.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on February 12, 2012, 01:24:39 AM
Again, I'm not a Paul supporter.
Regardless of what the Maine GOP agreed upon, the voters were not properly represented tonight. It's very possible that Romney legitimately won, but now we'll never know.

The fact remains, a Paul victory after three Santorum victories would have been devastating to the Romney campaign, so it's not out of the question. I personally just don't want Romney sailing to victory entirely on the whims of the GOP higherups.

I won't be shocked if Romney wins a few more contests, and then we learn that Paul actually won Maine, all too late for it to actually make a difference.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 12, 2012, 06:05:54 AM
Sounds a lot like what happened to Santorum in Iowa
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 12, 2012, 08:21:05 AM
Meh. The next and only Paul win will then come in Washington State. He was 4% behind a win there in 2008, so he's got in the bag if he just hits Seattle tomorrow and starts campaigning.

Delegate wise, I think Paul is going to advance with a huge delegate percentage from Maine, that's what the grassroots is revealing.

Also, Maine is only: 83.7% reporting (502/600). That's quite the number of precincts left.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 12, 2012, 08:26:32 AM
Again, I'm not a Paul supporter.
Regardless of what the Maine GOP agreed upon, the voters were not properly represented tonight. It's very possible that Romney legitimately won, but now we'll never know.

https://www.mainegop.com/2012/01/maine-g-o-p-2012-caucus-information/

Quote
The Maine Republican Party is encouraging all municipal committees to hold their caucuses between February 4th and 11th

You'd have to reel in a big conspiracy theory to say those precincts were forced to not move theirs up.

Also, a little math here: There've been 5524 votes so far, which is 83.7%. Which means the 100% would be about 6,600 votes.
That means 1076 votes are still to come.
Right now Mitt leads RP by 194 votes currently. Which means, for RP to win against Mitt he has to have at least 194 more votes than Mitt would get with the remaining incoming votes. 194 votes are 18% of the remaining. Which means, RP would have to have 18% on top of his 35.7%, i.e. more than 50%.

The likelihood of RP having more than 50% in the remaining precincts, where overall he has 36%, is rather low I would say. Possible, but low.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 12, 2012, 08:33:17 AM
Well, they're not even going to count the other precincts for the total straw vote - so it doesn't even matter anymore except for delegates, which Ron Paul is going to own.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 12, 2012, 08:37:23 AM
Oh I know, they're not going to revise the delegate allocation, even if the overall result changes. But TL seemed to imply that there'd been some funky business happening, that's why I was rolling that out.

Regarding RP's delegate scheme, as a Democrat-leaning person, god do I hope that RP supporters can pull it off. It would be a major outrage in the GOP, and if it went through Obama could take a dump on the American flag and still be reelected.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 12, 2012, 08:57:04 AM
Here's a question: Does the current expenses for the candidates cut into the later funds when the nominee runs against Obama? A lot seems to come from public donations, and the longer the current struggle goes on, it strikes me the less money is left for the actual campaigning.

On another note, it seems Santorum misses no chance to spew his Christian hate.

rumborak

Hey rumby, I know you're not this way but, I feel I need to say this anyway

Please, don't let someone as stupid as Santorum represent Christianity in your mind. He's an idiot.

Thanks,

Christian (actually mah name)

Weeeellll, I appreciate the sentiment. But, Santorum is being strongly supported by Christians all over the country. You're right, one person's statements doesn't much about Christianity, but 30% of the GOP (in certain states)? That's something different.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on February 12, 2012, 12:33:43 PM
I get that. But, you know, politicians say/do/blow anything to get a vote. Especially if there is money behind said vote. He's against heavy metal and blames most of societies problems on it, too. I do believe Santorum is an idiot of colossal magnitudes.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 12, 2012, 12:40:53 PM
He said that about metal? Really?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on February 12, 2012, 12:43:26 PM
He said that about metal? Really?

Yeah, don't remember where I found it, but I'm looking
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: XJDenton on February 12, 2012, 12:55:53 PM
Why is it the people who campaign strongly against gay marriage dont say a peep on all the divorces or adultery going on? I mean in terms of sheer number I would have thought those two things threaten the covenant of marriage far more but I doubt they feature at all in the campaign material, and nobody seems in a hurry to outlaw them.

(Perhaps this isnt strictly relevant to the topic but it occurred to me when reading some santorum stuff.)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on February 12, 2012, 01:02:41 PM
Apparently, it wasn't true. Oh well, it's not like it seemed weird for Santorum to say heavy metal was evil.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on February 12, 2012, 01:11:29 PM
Why is it the people who campaign strongly against gay marriage dont say a peep on all the divorces or adultery going on? I mean in terms of sheer number I would have thought those two things threaten the covenant of marriage far more but I doubt they feature at all in the campaign material, and nobody seems in a hurry to outlaw them.

(Perhaps this isnt strictly relevant to the topic but it occurred to me when reading some santorum stuff.)

Divorce your wife while she's in the hospital with cancer? Perfectly fine. Two guys getting married? IT'S DESTROYING THE SACRED PRINCIPLES OF MARRIAGE
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 13, 2012, 09:16:42 AM
I get that. But, you know, politicians say/do/blow anything to get a vote. Especially if there is money behind said vote. He's against heavy metal and blames most of societies problems on it, too. I do believe Santorum is an idiot of colossal magnitudes.

Theoretically, this is an insult to idiots.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on February 13, 2012, 09:22:45 AM
I get that. But, you know, politicians say/do/blow anything to get a vote. Especially if there is money behind said vote. He's against heavy metal and blames most of societies problems on it, too. I do believe Santorum is an idiot of colossal magnitudes.

Theoretically, this is an insult to idiots.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 13, 2012, 10:34:34 PM
I was just looking at the polls, man what a disaster. :lol Just about every state has a different guy leading (except RP who trailed in all).

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ResultsMayVary on February 13, 2012, 10:40:02 PM
I was just looking at the polls, man what a disaster. :lol Just about every state has a different guy leading (except RP who trailed in all).

rumborak
Ehh, it was a good run ( :facepalm: ).

There's always 2016. :sadpanda:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on February 14, 2012, 07:46:36 AM
I was just looking at the polls, man what a disaster. :lol Just about every state has a different guy leading (except RP who trailed in all).

rumborak
Ehh, it was a good run ( :facepalm: ).

There's always 2016. :sadpanda:

Isn't that the same line Newt fans have been saying for 15 years?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 14, 2012, 07:52:08 AM
For RP time is working against him also. He's in his late 70s now, he would be 80s in 2016. If you look at how quickly presidents age when in office (GWB and Obama), RP wouldn't survive the first year.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 14, 2012, 08:16:18 AM
Hey, if the revolution is inevitable...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on February 14, 2012, 08:39:30 AM
The age factor is quite determinant, that's true. But I don't know, seeing how good Ron Paul's health is I think his first term would be a breeze. Now, if you are talking about a reelection, he wouldn't make it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on February 14, 2012, 09:08:48 AM
It will be interesting to see if Paul is actually able to pull off the delegate ploy his campaign is attempting. Basically, by exploiting the incredibly convoluted way caucus states choose their delegates, his campaign could technically get most of the caucus delegates even if he never wins any states. His campaign is being completely up front about it too.

Obviously even if he actually manages to get a majority that way, the GOP will never allow him to be their nominee, but it would be really fun to see what happened under those circumstances.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 14, 2012, 10:49:27 AM
I think it also says something about the movement itself that they wholly embrace this way of achieving power. I mean, they're completely willing to ignore the public will with this. And if you look at the RP forums (admittedly, this will have the most extreme), for them the American public are mindless mongrels who best have the power wrestled from them.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 14, 2012, 11:42:32 AM
I was just looking at the polls, man what a disaster. :lol Just about every state has a different guy leading (except RP who trailed in all).

rumborak
Ehh, it was a good run ( :facepalm: ).

There's always 2016. :sadpanda:

Ron Paul will be 77 in August of 2012, which means he'll be 80 years old when the 2016 campaign gets rolling.  Bottom line:  He's done running for president.   
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 14, 2012, 12:44:18 PM
He's probably the healthiest of all the candidates. But it's his mind that is not a clear as it used to be say 25 years ago.

If he had that fire now, he'd pwn the entire field.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 14, 2012, 04:31:18 PM
He's probably the healthiest of all the candidates.

He is remarkably healthy for a man his age. Whether he is healthier than say Romney or Santorum, that I would find highly doubtful.

Quote
But it's his mind that is not a clear as it used to be say 25 years ago.

If he had that fire now, he'd pwn the entire field.

I think that's really the elephant in the room. I have seen older footage of him and he was indeed a force to be reckoned with. But these days I think things aren't as sharp as they used to be.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 14, 2012, 04:34:12 PM
Yup, it's sad. The ideas hadn't really caught up to the mainstream back in 1988.

I'd probably say he'd win a 20 mile bike ride in the heat of Texas vs. all of the other candidates though. Obviously, Newt would collapse, but I don't think Santorum and Romney exercise regularly like Paul does.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 14, 2012, 04:40:42 PM
Yup, it's sad. The ideas hadn't really caught up to the mainstream back in 1988.

I dunno dude, this sounds as if "the world wasn't ready" or something for RP's messages.
IMHO, the reason why RP enjoys the current popularity is because people turn to extreme solutions in bad times. I would say that once the economy starts showing solid progress, support for RP's stuff will dwindle again.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 14, 2012, 05:58:39 PM
That's been my thought this whole time as well. The solution sounds good because it's conceptually simple but at the end of the day it just sounds so radical, in the sort of way that has unintended side-effects.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 14, 2012, 06:14:36 PM
I hate, hate, hate to make this comparison, but Germany in the 1930s is the perfect comparison. Germany was down in the dumps, and Hitler provided simple scapegoats for the population to cling on to. The whole" the Fed is the cause of all evil" is not very different.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on February 14, 2012, 08:43:42 PM
eeeeeh, yes it is very different.

Yup, it's sad. The ideas hadn't really caught up to the mainstream back in 1988.
IMHO, the reason why RP enjoys the current popularity is because people turn to extreme solutions in bad times. I would say that once the economy starts showing solid progress, support for RP's stuff will dwindle again.
four years and counting.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 14, 2012, 09:06:36 PM
eeeeeh, yes it is very different.

Is it? Mind you, I am not equation the *consequences*.

The theory that the Fed has been the cause of economic woes is simplistic, and long been shown to be wrong by Economists. But, it is a perfect scapegoat for people wanting to get out of the economic crisis.
Libertarians have a desire for a "Revolution", and frankly, that's what Germans wanted in the 1930s. They too jumped on simplistic explanations of economic decline.
I also have to say, what I've seen on RP forums, they're not full of people with deep understandings of economics. All they do is regurgitate mantras they've been fed.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 14, 2012, 09:07:29 PM
four years and counting.

Well the moment you've been waiting for has finally arrived, and the economy is actually improving.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 15, 2012, 05:42:27 AM
eeeeeh, yes it is very different.

Is it? Mind you, I am not equation the *consequences*.

The theory that the Fed has been the cause of economic woes is simplistic, and long been shown to be wrong by Economists. But, it is a perfect scapegoat for people wanting to get out of the economic crisis.
Libertarians have a desire for a "Revolution", and frankly, that's what Germans wanted in the 1930s. They too jumped on simplistic explanations of economic decline.
I also have to say, what I've seen on RP forums, they're not full of people with deep understandings of economics. All they do is regurgitate mantras they've been fed.

rumborak
For every economist, there's another with different data to show his point.

It's true that every RP fan doesn't know about the ABCT, and they ought to learn though. That's what his entire mission is about, changing the hearts and minds of people to change the world from the bottom up.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 15, 2012, 08:03:35 AM
eeeeeh, yes it is very different.

Yup, it's sad. The ideas hadn't really caught up to the mainstream back in 1988.
IMHO, the reason why RP enjoys the current popularity is because people turn to extreme solutions in bad times. I would say that once the economy starts showing solid progress, support for RP's stuff will dwindle again.
four years and counting.

Four years and counting what?  We've had 23 consecutive months of job growth coming (https://www.insperity.com/economy/) on the heels of the worst recession in a generation. 

I'm sorry, you were saying...what?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on February 16, 2012, 08:39:58 AM
I don't remember ever seeing such a diverse group of fucktard candidates.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 16, 2012, 09:39:50 AM
And in other news, Dave Mustaine endorses Rick Santorum. WTF.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 16, 2012, 09:42:22 AM
Not that he needed another nail in his coffin of irrelevancy, but wow :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: AcidLameLTE on February 16, 2012, 09:45:02 AM
And in other news, Dave Mustaine endorses Rick Santorum. WTF.

rumborak
He claims he didn't actually endorse him:

https://legacy.roadrunnerrecords.com/blabbermouth.net/news.aspx?mode=Article&newsitemID=169854

I don't know how "I'm hoping that if it does come down to it, we'll see a Republican in the White House... and that it's Rick Santorum."" is anything other than an endorsement though.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on February 19, 2012, 01:51:55 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=yn-eejMcmuA

tl;dr: Santorum says that people in the netherlands wear 'do not euthanize' bracelets, that 50% of those euthanized in the Netherlands are done so against their will, that 10% of all deaths there are from euthanasia, and that the elderly refuse to go to the hospital for fear that they'll be euthanized rather than treated.

I can't decide whether the guy is simply stupid or whether he just has no problem making shit up.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 19, 2012, 06:05:39 PM
As a moderate Republican you somewhat have to stick to the facts. As a core Republican you can just make up shit.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 19, 2012, 07:32:11 PM
As a moderate Republican you somewhat have to stick to the facts. As a core Republican you can just make up shit.

rumborak

rumborak

Double signed for truth.

Super Dude

Super Dude
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 19, 2012, 08:57:27 PM
That's what happens when you edit with a smartphone :lol

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on February 19, 2012, 10:54:51 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=yn-eejMcmuA

tl;dr: Santorum says that people in the netherlands wear 'do not euthanize' bracelets, that 50% of those euthanized in the Netherlands are done so against their will, that 10% of all deaths there are from euthanasia, and that the elderly refuse to go to the hospital for fear that they'll be euthanized rather than treated.

I can't decide whether the guy is simply stupid or whether he just has no problem making shit up.
Christ.  That's insane.   :rollin

Honestly, I expect candidates to make shit up at will.  What's annoying to me is a moderator who sits there and nods on queue, and an audience who ooh's and ah's like it's automatically true because that ass-hat said it.  These are the people who actually vote in this country! 

As for Frothy here, he's just doing what a lot of weak candidates do.  These nimrods hear something and latch onto it without bothering to fact-check it, or even stop to think about it rationally for a second or two.  A stupid person hears a statistic like 5% of the population is being killed in some Soylent green style weirdness, and his first inclination is to embellish and exploit it rather, than verify it. 

This begs a fascinating question.  Does doing research and telling the truth actually help you anymore?  Why bother when most people won't even notice?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on February 19, 2012, 11:18:39 PM
This begs a fascinating question.  Does doing research and telling the truth actually help you anymore?  Why bother when most people won't even notice?
Dealin' with this every day.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on February 20, 2012, 09:42:50 AM
Obama isn't Christian enough for Santorum.  And I must say that it is really interesting seeing a Catholic accuse another Christian of following a theology "not based on the Bible."

lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on February 20, 2012, 05:25:24 PM
Santorum went to my high school. Apparently they released a letter recently saying that they do not endorse or promote him. It's a Catholic school.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on February 20, 2012, 05:47:24 PM
Santorum went to my high school. Apparently they released a letter recently saying that they do not endorse or promote him. It's a Catholic school.
I think that they legally cannot endorse or promote him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 20, 2012, 05:51:40 PM
Romney went to my brother's high school. He's coming to Michigan pretty soon, isn't he?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on February 20, 2012, 09:54:15 PM
Santorum went to my high school. Apparently they released a letter recently saying that they do not endorse or promote him. It's a Catholic school.
I think that they legally cannot endorse or promote him.

Maybe those words were to official. I mean like...they recommend not voting for him. They are kind of against them.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on February 21, 2012, 07:49:51 AM
Apparently the GOP are a bit worried about if Santorum actually wins the nomination;
https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/02/20/some-republicans-whisper-about-a-plan-b/?hpt=hp_t2

Quote
"Santorum would so alienate voters, especially women…he would be lucky to carry a dozen states [in the general election]" one senior Republican told CNN
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 21, 2012, 11:53:17 AM
Apparently the GOP are a bit worried about if Santorum actually wins the nomination;
https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/02/20/some-republicans-whisper-about-a-plan-b/?hpt=hp_t2 (https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/02/20/some-republicans-whisper-about-a-plan-b/?hpt=hp_t2)

Quote
"Santorum would so alienate voters, especially women…he would be lucky to carry a dozen states [in the general election]" one senior Republican told CNN

Santorum gets the nomination, Obama wins in a landslide.  I don't think Santorum can carry 15 states.

Meanwhile, Ron Paul is attacking Santorum  (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgNJBdTaKE8&feature=player_embedded)from the right.   That's fucking rich.  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 21, 2012, 12:26:01 PM
Ron Paul's ads are pretty funny :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 21, 2012, 12:56:48 PM
Ron Paul's ads are pretty funny :lol

Yeah, but the problem is, those ads make him look like a clown.  I think it's part of the reason no one really takes him seriously. 

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 21, 2012, 01:01:20 PM
Eh, I've seen worse this election cycle. People don't take him seriously because he represents a fringe viewpoint, I don't really think it has anything to do with the ads.

Have you seen this one? (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OtOcrS6axnE) :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on February 21, 2012, 01:02:42 PM
Have you seen this one? (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OtOcrS6axnE) :lol

Holy shit.

This cannot be real.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 21, 2012, 01:35:33 PM
Oh my....there are no words. :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 21, 2012, 01:41:33 PM
Eh, I've seen worse this election cycle. People don't take him seriously because he represents a fringe viewpoint, I don't really think it has anything to do with the ads.

Have you seen this one? (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OtOcrS6axnE) :lol

Yep.  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: wolfandwolfandwolf on February 21, 2012, 01:47:10 PM
The Rick Perry "Strong" ad still has my vote as most awesome.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 21, 2012, 02:03:25 PM
The Rick Perry "Strong" ad still has my vote as most awesome.

Wait until we have a nominee on the Republican side and the PACs get going full speed against Obama.

You ain't seen nothing yet.  They don't have much to attack Obama on with the economy picking up steam and the wars winding down so they are going to make some of the biggest and most ridiculous straw men you've ever seen this year.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: wolfandwolfandwolf on February 21, 2012, 02:14:13 PM
As a Christian, I'm pretty appalled that "gays serving in the military" is Perry's main problem with America.

We can make her strong again guys.  Just get rid of all of the gays and let the kids pray in the schools.  It's what white blonde haired baby Jesus wrapped in an American flag wants.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on February 21, 2012, 06:29:13 PM
Have you seen this one? (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OtOcrS6axnE) :lol

No.

Way.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Orthogonal on February 21, 2012, 10:25:37 PM
Have you seen this one? (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OtOcrS6axnE) :lol

Wow, the intellectual discourse of election politics has been in a steady decline for years, but this is a new low. We've gotten to elementary school gimmicks.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on February 21, 2012, 10:51:19 PM
The best thing about living in Texas is that we're spared most campaign advertising.  Of course the tradeoff is that our votes don't count, but then I think that about everybody else in this country, so we come out way ahead.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 22, 2012, 07:23:52 AM
Meanwhile, Ron Paul is attacking Santorum  (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgNJBdTaKE8&feature=player_embedded)from the right.   That's fucking rich.  :lol
Well, all those things in the ads are true. It's funny that he claims to be a social conservative, but he covered up the Ensign scandal and he boasted about funding Planned Parenthood.

The ad was pretty stupid though, I liked the Gingrich attack ads MUCH better.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 22, 2012, 08:29:51 AM
Meanwhile, Ron Paul is attacking Santorum  (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgNJBdTaKE8&feature=player_embedded)from the right.   That's fucking rich.  :lol
Well, all those things in the ads are true. It's funny that he claims to be a social conservative, but he covered up the Ensign scandal and he boasted about funding Planned Parenthood.

The ad was pretty stupid though, I liked the Gingrich attack ads MUCH better.

Oh, I know those are true things.  I think it's hilarious that Santorum, who is claiming to be the "most conservative" person in the race can easily be attacked from the right by a guy like Ron Paul.  I think Santorum believes that his views on social issues give him a great deal of "street cred" among conservatives, but really, his views just make look like a an out of touch misogynistic neanderthal.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on February 22, 2012, 08:58:31 AM
Running on social issues equals a guaranteed Obama second term that this country can't afford. After blacks, single women are the biggest voting group for him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 22, 2012, 09:08:38 AM
That's really the problem with the GOP field. I mean, there's not a single candidate who doesn't really have a "can not elect" side to him, is there? Romney is too Mormon, Santorum is a misogynist theocrat, Gingrich is just plain nasty, and RP is, well, RP.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: wolfandwolfandwolf on February 22, 2012, 10:05:31 AM
*Most* Christians that I talk politics with feel that a vote for Obama is the safest thing they could do in conscience, given the field of Republicans.  I am one of those Christians.  I voted for him the first time, and I likely will a second.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 22, 2012, 11:15:07 AM
Obama is an interesting president.  Liberals don't like him because they say he's not liberal enough, and conservatives don't like him because he's too liberal. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 22, 2012, 11:40:44 AM
How Obama is "too liberal" is beyond me. There was very little difference between him and Huntsman, and that guy ran for the GOP.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 22, 2012, 12:14:58 PM
Exactly. The only reason he's too liberal is because of the D next to his name.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 22, 2012, 12:41:24 PM
You don't get it. He's a radical socialist marxist.


:neverusethis:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 22, 2012, 12:48:42 PM
 :lol   Yeah, I really don't get the "too liberal" criticism either. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 22, 2012, 01:54:36 PM
You don't get it. He's a radical socialist marxist.


:neverusethis:

Don't forget Nazi Muslim atheist!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: wolfandwolfandwolf on February 22, 2012, 01:57:42 PM
You don't get it. He's a radical socialist marxist.


:neverusethis:

Don't forget Nazi Muslim atheist!
Born in Kenya!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 22, 2012, 05:28:53 PM
Don't forget, he's also a lizard person. Has to be right?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on February 22, 2012, 06:09:48 PM
Debate is on. I get so furious watching all of these guys.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on February 23, 2012, 07:40:49 AM
Obama is a corporatist, just like Bush, Romney, Gingrich, Santorum, etc. Follow the money.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on February 23, 2012, 07:57:16 AM
Obama is a corporatist, just like Bush, Romney, Gingrich, Santorum, etc. Follow the money.

I'm not denying that he is, but I don't think he is so to the extent of Romney or Gingrich. It's hard to tell if Santorum is, he blabbers too much about religion and his beliefs about how all Americans should behave.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on February 23, 2012, 08:19:36 AM
Did anyone catch the end of the debate last night? The mod asked each candidate to describe a misconception about themself. MR went off on a totally unrelated answer. The mod repeated the question and MR said something along the lines of "You ask the questions you want to ask, but I'm going to answer the way I want to"... What a fucking dick.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 23, 2012, 09:01:32 AM
Obama is a corporatist, just like Bush, Romney, Gingrich, Santorum, etc. Follow the money.

It is true, he's definitely a corporatist.  But he won't appoint any more people to the SCOTUS who think "corporations are people" like Alito, Thomas, Scalia, et al.    And as far as I'm concerned with all other things considered, for this next election, that's game/set/match for me.  I'll be voting for Obama.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 23, 2012, 09:02:56 AM
Did anyone catch the end of the debate last night? The mod asked each candidate to describe a misconception about themself. MR went off on a totally unrelated answer. The mod repeated the question and MR said something along the lines of "You ask the questions you want to ask, but I'm going to answer the way I want to"... What a fucking dick.

I didn't see it. But, given your description I take it the GOP holocaust happened, with Romney not being able to recapture momentum?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 23, 2012, 09:04:20 AM
Did anyone catch the end of the debate last night? The mod asked each candidate to describe a misconception about themself. MR went off on a totally unrelated answer. The mod repeated the question and MR said something along the lines of "You ask the questions you want to ask, but I'm going to answer the way I want to"... What a fucking dick.
Yeah, that was pretty funny. Newt Gingrich liked it, anyway. :lol

Romney seemed to have the crowd's favor for most of the night, rumbo.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 23, 2012, 09:06:32 AM
Did anyone catch the end of the debate last night? The mod asked each candidate to describe a misconception about themself. MR went off on a totally unrelated answer. The mod repeated the question and MR said something along the lines of "You ask the questions you want to ask, but I'm going to answer the way I want to"... What a fucking dick.

I think Romney can feel the nomination slipping away from him so he's getting a little bit desperate lately.  I have to be honest, I am absolutely astonished that Rick Santorum is getting the attention and love he's getting because as I've already mentioned previously, I don't think he can carry 15 states.  If he's the nominee, Obama will win by the biggest landslide since Reagan wiped out Mondale.

One sign I saw last night that some of these conservatives might actually be coming to their senses is when the question came up about "Contraception" (an issue that has basically been settled in the US for about 35 years now, btw) the audience booed pretty loudly.  PraXis is 100% correct that if the GOP continues to pound on these social issues, they're handing the election to Obama.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on February 23, 2012, 09:15:35 AM
One sign I saw last night that some of these conservatives might actually be coming to their senses is when the question came up about "Contraception" (an issue that has basically been settled in the US for about 35 years now, btw) the audience booed pretty loudly.  PraXis is 100% correct that if the GOP continues to pound on these social issues, they're handing the election to Obama.

Hard to say.  My gut tells me you are correct, which is quite unnerving.  However, my head tells me that, as in the past, the social issues are being discussed in such detail at this stage merely to try to differentiate the candidates, but once we have a Republican nominee, a lot of those issues will mostly fade into the background. 

On the contraception issue, I actually loved Santorum's answer.  Note that he did not say he wanted the government to step in at all.  What he said was: 

[paraphrase]  The way we have looked at contraception in this country is creating lots of other problems that I believe are bad for the country.  I think we need to talk about those issues and re-examine them.  But I do not think it is the government's job to step in and make any changes.

I mean, really, what's wrong with that position?  Although an issue may be "settled" in the minds of many, if there is a legitimate argument that there are problems, why not talk about them and keep a government "hands off" approach at the same time?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 23, 2012, 09:18:57 AM
The problem is also how fragmented the conservative movement is. You got everybody tugging into a different direction, be it fiscally, socially etc.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 23, 2012, 09:22:53 AM
I worry that these endless GOP debates are helping to even further shift the national dialogue down the neoconservative path. Everyone up there is speaking in such extremes right now.

I feel physically ill every time they talk about war with Iran.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 23, 2012, 09:25:31 AM
One sign I saw last night that some of these conservatives might actually be coming to their senses is when the question came up about "Contraception" (an issue that has basically been settled in the US for about 35 years now, btw) the audience booed pretty loudly.  PraXis is 100% correct that if the GOP continues to pound on these social issues, they're handing the election to Obama.

Hard to say.  My gut tells me you are correct, which is quite unnerving.  However, my head tells me that, as in the past, the social issues are being discussed in such detail at this stage merely to try to differentiate the candidates, but once we have a Republican nominee, a lot of those issues will mostly fade into the background. 

On the contraception issue, I actually loved Santorum's answer.  Note that he did not say he wanted the government to step in at all.  What he said was: 

[paraphrase]  The way we have looked at contraception in this country is creating lots of other problems that I believe are bad for the country.  I think we need to talk about those issues and re-examine them.  But I do not think it is the government's job to step in and make any changes.

I mean, really, what's wrong with that position?  Although an issue may be "settled" in the minds of many, if there is a legitimate argument that there are problems, why not talk about them and keep a government "hands off" approach at the same time?

I don't know what "problems" there are?  Mostly, I hear guys like Santorum pontificating a bunch of his religious-based views about "morality" and frankly, he's got zero business telling anyone what they should or should not be doing with respect to reproductive health decisions they make.  Virtually every woman (99%) in the US have used one or more contraception methods (Pill, IUD, Diaphragm, etc) during their lives.  I don't see what there is to talk about, ESPECIALLY by MEN.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 23, 2012, 09:26:18 AM
I worry that these endless GOP debates are helping to even further shift the national dialogue down the neoconservative path. Everyone up there is speaking in such extremes right now.

I feel physically ill every time they talk about war with Iran.

Never even thought of that. That's a bit of a worrying prospect, although I'm not sure how, on the electoral stage, the conversation can be made more moderate. Even if Paul and Obama ended up on the stump together, perhaps the topics under discussion would be more reasonable, but I hardly think the prescribed solutions would be any different.

One sign I saw last night that some of these conservatives might actually be coming to their senses is when the question came up about "Contraception" (an issue that has basically been settled in the US for about 35 years now, btw) the audience booed pretty loudly.  PraXis is 100% correct that if the GOP continues to pound on these social issues, they're handing the election to Obama.

Hard to say.  My gut tells me you are correct, which is quite unnerving.  However, my head tells me that, as in the past, the social issues are being discussed in such detail at this stage merely to try to differentiate the candidates, but once we have a Republican nominee, a lot of those issues will mostly fade into the background. 

On the contraception issue, I actually loved Santorum's answer.  Note that he did not say he wanted the government to step in at all.  What he said was: 

[paraphrase]  The way we have looked at contraception in this country is creating lots of other problems that I believe are bad for the country.  I think we need to talk about those issues and re-examine them.  But I do not think it is the government's job to step in and make any changes.

I mean, really, what's wrong with that position?  Although an issue may be "settled" in the minds of many, if there is a legitimate argument that there are problems, why not talk about them and keep a government "hands off" approach at the same time?

I don't know what "problems" there are?  Mostly, I hear guys like Santorum pontificating a bunch of his religious-based views about "morality" and frankly, he's got zero business telling anyone what they should or should not be doing with respect to reproductive health decisions they make.  Virtually every woman (99%) in the US have used one or more contraception methods (Pill, IUD, Diaphragm, etc) during their lives.  I don't see what there is to talk about, ESPECIALLY by MEN.

This. It shouldn't even be an issue. I mean seriously, it's like advocating that we should be using prayer and leeches in place of modern medical science because it disagrees with Christian morality.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on February 23, 2012, 09:33:49 AM
Wow.  Okay...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 23, 2012, 09:35:56 AM
I worry that these endless GOP debates are helping to even further shift the national dialogue down the neoconservative path. Everyone up there is speaking in such extremes right now.

I feel physically ill every time they talk about war with Iran.

Never even thought of that. That's a bit of a worrying prospect, although I'm not sure how, on the electoral stage, the conversation can be made more moderate. Even if Paul and Obama ended up on the stump together, perhaps the topics under discussion would be more reasonable, but I hardly think the prescribed solutions would be any different.

The problem is that there's nothing on the other side to balance it out. The GOP hopefuls are spouting hardcore and (depending on the topic) extreme rhetoric right now and there's just silence from the other side. And even if there was a Democratic race right now there wouldn't be anywhere near the left's equivalent of what the 4 Republicans left are saying.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 23, 2012, 09:41:49 AM
Also, it's fine to have contrarian views about contraception and sex, I just don't think he's doing himself any favors by way of attracting the female vote by sharing them, especially when you (bosk) say he doesn't even want to change the law regarding them. They're topics people regard as highly personal and private.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 23, 2012, 01:59:33 PM
Obama is a corporatist, just like Bush, Romney, Gingrich, Santorum, etc. Follow the money.

I'm not sure if you're aware of this, but Congress writes and passes the laws, and where our money goes. I mean, how is it that Obama can get flak for being socialist, and a corporatist?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 23, 2012, 02:18:46 PM
He is a corporatist. I mean, Jack Lew is his COS for heavens sake. He's HARDLY a socialist. The only real progressive in the WH seems to be Michelle.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 23, 2012, 02:27:39 PM
He is a corporatist. I mean, Jack Lew is his COS for heavens sake. He's HARDLY a socialist. The only real progressive in the WH seems to be Michelle.

Yet he fought for the Consumer Advocacy Bureau, he wants to end corporate loop holes and tax companies more, he bought back Student Loans, citing not giving money to the middle men as a reason.

He has corporatist beliefs, he has some socialist beliefs, meaning, he's neither. It's ridiculous to call Obama a "corporatist," just as ridiculous as it is to all him a "socialist." If the argument is that some of his policies go about to benefit corporations, my only question is so what, and isn't' that inevitable, under current economic and political conditions?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 23, 2012, 03:09:32 PM
If the argument is that some of his policies go about to benefit corporations, my only question is so what, and isn't' that inevitable, under current economic and political conditions?

This part is particularly pertinent. I mean look at the battles over the Wall Street reform bills, and the cap-and-trade bills, the health care bills, the debt ceiling bill, so on and so forth. When its form is a scathing remedy to corporate irresponsibility as it enters Congress, corporate heads have a veritable political flame war and representatives and Senators supported by corporate representatives delay the bills via filibuster, threaten to vote them down, call for revisions, etc., all while the populace decries Obama's socialism. The corporate entities affected by those bills won't have it, so the bills don't go to law and instead to negotiation and compromise.

Fast forward to the revised bills, some of which pass, and some that don't. As shown in the previous chain of events, in which corporate disapproval prevented these bills from passing, this was the only way to placate lobbyists and the like, at which point the Congressmen in question agree to pass the bill. They do so by moderating the terms of the legislation, making it more amenable to corporate interests. Yay, the bill passes! And the public declares Obama a corporatist because he panders to corporate interests. Despite the fact that if he continued to bull on with the less amenable/more punitive version of the bill, it most likely wouldn't pass and he'd be branded a socialist. The funniest part of this being that the only role Obama plays in this tale is proposing the bill, if he does so at all. Oftentimes it occurs entirely within the realm of the Congress, and yet he's at fault somehow.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: King Postwhore on February 23, 2012, 03:43:52 PM
What gets me is republicans who think that Santorum is the right call fr the GOP.  Are the voters out of their mind?!  And what is it about Romney that scares them?!  Why  does a republican have to be that one "certain" way?  The GOP is handing the election over to Obama.

In Obama's first few years, he had the axis power, (House, Senate, Presidency) and had a hard time pushing his agenda with majority power.  Now the Reps can't get their act together on who they want and you can see the people who a year ago who were looking to vote out Obama are now having second thoughts. 

Talk about dropping the ball GOP.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 23, 2012, 04:02:42 PM
hard time? He barely tried, that's the problem.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 23, 2012, 05:44:06 PM
hard time? He barely tried, that's the problem.

Is it his job AND how would you know this?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: King Postwhore on February 23, 2012, 07:28:50 PM
hard time? He barely tried, that's the problem.

Hard to get anything done when your ideals are not backed by your own party.  you think he just sat around twiddling his thumbs or just couldn't get anything passed because the Dems just didn't like his policies?  I think it's the latter.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 24, 2012, 12:07:40 AM
hard time? He barely tried, that's the problem.

Hard to get anything done when your ideals are not backed by your own party.  you think he just sat around twiddling his thumbs or just couldn't get anything passed because the Dems just didn't like his policies?  I think it's the latter.

This. My post above was basically all about this dilemma.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on February 24, 2012, 02:38:05 AM
Lets cut income tax by 20% AND bring the budget deficit down.

That was really cynical of me. At least he's going to cut tax expenditures (concessions). I cant believe you guys have tax breaks for people earning over 200k! Thats asinine, no wonder your fiscal house is bent outta shape, the people with capacity to pay aint paying...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 24, 2012, 06:40:00 AM
THANK YOU! :lol

Why is it that everyone in the world except us realizes why our country is in such dire straits right now?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 24, 2012, 06:53:48 AM
But the job creators  ::)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on February 24, 2012, 07:19:54 AM
THANK YOU! :lol

Why is it that everyone in the world except us realizes why our country is in such dire straits right now?

Because our candidates as well as most of the media speak to Americans in a very simplistic manner, very rarely addressing true issues. The public is spoken to as if no one outside of politics has a mentality higher than that of a high schooler.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 24, 2012, 10:24:31 AM
Well I wouldn't say no one myself, but I lost faith in the collective intelligence of the public a long, long time ago. After all, there are constituents out there rallying for job creators as strongly as among the pedagogy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 24, 2012, 03:48:42 PM
Lets cut income tax by 20% AND bring the budget deficit down.

That was really cynical of me. At least he's going to cut tax expenditures (concessions). I cant believe you guys have tax breaks for people earning over 200k! Thats asinine, no wonder your fiscal house is bent outta shape, the people with capacity to pay aint paying...

Apparently, you're a communist, and you probably hail Hitler.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 25, 2012, 05:27:16 PM
Well, I guess Super Tuesday is just around the corner. Should be interesting.
My projection would be: Total chaos between Romney and Santorum, with no clear winner. Gingrich will get Georgia, Ron Paul will get nothing.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on February 25, 2012, 08:05:45 PM
It won't happen, but it would be hilarious if Paul won Virginia. Gingrich and Santorum aren't on the ballot, and it's an open primary, so non-Republicans could go and vote for Paul, on the basis that it would be funny.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 27, 2012, 11:56:36 AM
Well, I guess Super Tuesday is just around the corner. Should be interesting.
My projection would be: Total chaos between Romney and Santorum, with no clear winner. Gingrich will get Georgia, Ron Paul will get nothing.

rumborak

Polls are starting to show the momentum heading back in Romney's direction.  I think Santorum's 15 minutes are just about over.  Note that not a single of his fellow Senators have endorsed him?  Not even one? (https://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/02/former-sen-rick-santorums-lack-of-senate-support/)  Contrast that to Romney, who never served at the national level, who has 14 endorsements from sitting Senators.

Generally, I agree with you here, but I just think maybe Romney's going to have a little bit more of a decisive day on Super Tuesday than current polling is indicating.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 27, 2012, 01:25:54 PM
Yeah, with the news of the last few days I kinda retract my statements. I still think Santorum will get a hick state or two, but Romney will probably come out bruised but victorious.
Gingrich and Paul are still out of the race though. Was discussing that today with a coworker; for his sake Paul should call it a day after Super Tuesday's inevitable beating. If he keeps on going he will come across as someone who can't get a message.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 27, 2012, 02:09:22 PM
Some of my friends on another board where we talk about this stuff think Paul is angling for a speaking spot at the convention.   Not sure why, but I suppose it would be a nice cap to put on his career....or....something.  Gingrich is just an egomaniac.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on February 27, 2012, 02:57:19 PM
Yeah, with the news of the last few days I kinda retract my statements. I still think Santorum will get a hick state or two, but Romney will probably come out bruised but victorious.
Gingrich and Paul are still out of the race though. Was discussing that today with a coworker; for his sake Paul should call it a day after Super Tuesday's inevitable beating. If he keeps on going he will come across as someone who can't get a message.

rumborak

Michigan, please vote for Romney. God forbid we're viewed as a hick-state to someone out on the east coast.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 27, 2012, 03:54:17 PM
Yeah, with the news of the last few days I kinda retract my statements. I still think Santorum will get a hick state or two, but Romney will probably come out bruised but victorious.
Gingrich and Paul are still out of the race though. Was discussing that today with a coworker; for his sake Paul should call it a day after Super Tuesday's inevitable beating. If he keeps on going he will come across as someone who can't get a message.

rumborak

You do know Paul is in it because he has a large forum to spread his message. If it were just for the presidency, his campaign would be a whole lot different. This is an educational campaign.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 27, 2012, 04:06:43 PM
Yeah, with the news of the last few days I kinda retract my statements. I still think Santorum will get a hick state or two, but Romney will probably come out bruised but victorious.
Gingrich and Paul are still out of the race though. Was discussing that today with a coworker; for his sake Paul should call it a day after Super Tuesday's inevitable beating. If he keeps on going he will come across as someone who can't get a message.

rumborak

Michigan, please vote for Romney. God forbid we're viewed as a hick-state to someone out on the east coast.

Say what?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 27, 2012, 04:08:30 PM
I assure you, Michigan is not viewed as a hick state on the East Coast.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on February 27, 2012, 04:13:01 PM
Depends which Michigan.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on February 27, 2012, 04:27:21 PM
Depends which Michigan.

Lower Michigan  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on February 27, 2012, 04:30:57 PM
I cant believe you guys have tax breaks for people earning over 200k!

???  We don't.  Where did you get that from?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 27, 2012, 04:32:29 PM
Yeah, with the news of the last few days I kinda retract my statements. I still think Santorum will get a hick state or two, but Romney will probably come out bruised but victorious.
Gingrich and Paul are still out of the race though. Was discussing that today with a coworker; for his sake Paul should call it a day after Super Tuesday's inevitable beating. If he keeps on going he will come across as someone who can't get a message.

rumborak

You do know Paul is in it because he has a large forum to spread his message. If it were just for the presidency, his campaign would be a whole lot different. This is an educational campaign.

Errrrr, when did that change happen? Last I remember he was in to become the POTUS.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on February 27, 2012, 04:34:10 PM
Yeah, with the news of the last few days I kinda retract my statements. I still think Santorum will get a hick state or two, but Romney will probably come out bruised but victorious.
Gingrich and Paul are still out of the race though. Was discussing that today with a coworker; for his sake Paul should call it a day after Super Tuesday's inevitable beating. If he keeps on going he will come across as someone who can't get a message.

rumborak

You do know Paul is in it because he has a large forum to spread his message. If it were just for the presidency, his campaign would be a whole lot different. This is an educational campaign.

Errrrr, when did that change happen? Last I remember he was in to become the POTUS.

rumborak

Probably around the time it became so painfully obvious that he wasn't going to win that his extreme die hard fan base had to find some way to rationalize it without accepting defeat.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 27, 2012, 04:34:22 PM
I assure you, Michigan is not viewed as a hick state on the East Coast.

More to the point, snapple, was that sarcasm about Romney? I mean I hate to sound like a soundbyte, but that guy is not good for Michigan. Not to say any of them are, but especially that guy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on February 27, 2012, 04:59:34 PM
I think Romney would be good for Michigan.

Here's how I see it

Santorum - downgrade from Obama
Obama - stays the same
Romney - addition by subtraction of Obama
Newt - GOAT
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: pogoowner on February 27, 2012, 05:00:29 PM
Yeah, with the news of the last few days I kinda retract my statements. I still think Santorum will get a hick state or two, but Romney will probably come out bruised but victorious.
Gingrich and Paul are still out of the race though. Was discussing that today with a coworker; for his sake Paul should call it a day after Super Tuesday's inevitable beating. If he keeps on going he will come across as someone who can't get a message.

rumborak

You do know Paul is in it because he has a large forum to spread his message. If it were just for the presidency, his campaign would be a whole lot different. This is an educational campaign.

Errrrr, when did that change happen? Last I remember he was in to become the POTUS.

rumborak

Probably around the time it became so painfully obvious that he wasn't going to win that his extreme die hard fan base had to find some way to rationalize it without accepting defeat.
I don't think Ron Paul has ever actually thought he could win.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 27, 2012, 05:15:59 PM
Wouldn't it be rather calloused to collect millions of dollars in donations by telling your base you're running for POTUS, but actually only use it marketing your cause?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on February 27, 2012, 05:36:45 PM
I think Romney would be good for Michigan.

Here's how I see it

Santorum - downgrade from Obama
Obama - stays the same
Romney - addition by subtraction of Obama
Newt - GOAT

Serious question; how is Obama bad for Michigan? The bailouts that he and Bush both had a hand in basically saved the auto industry in Detroit. Romney is the guy who literally wrote an op-ed at the time titled "Let Detroit Go Bankrupt".
https://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/19/opinion/19romney.html

The auto companies themselves have basically said that Romney's plan at the time would probably have killed them.

In other matters, this Super Tuesday could be very interesting, in that we may not lose any candidates immediately afterward. Romney is obviously still in unless something crazy happens, Santorum will most likely still be in, unless he current slight decline turns into a freefall, Paul will probably stay in until the end like in 2008, and if he can afford it, Gingrich will stay in out of spite.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on February 27, 2012, 05:38:49 PM
Oh, the same bailouts that helped the unions? Okay. If you knew what Michigan's problems were, it's not just the auto industry.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 27, 2012, 05:48:55 PM
I think Romney would be good for Michigan.

Here's how I see it

Santorum - downgrade from Obama
Obama - stays the same
Romney - addition by subtraction of Obama
Newt - GOAT

Serious question; how is Obama bad for Michigan? The bailouts that he and Bush both had a hand in basically saved the auto industry in Detroit. Romney is the guy who literally wrote an op-ed at the time titled "Let Detroit Go Bankrupt".
https://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/19/opinion/19romney.html

The auto companies themselves have basically said that Romney's plan at the time would probably have killed them.

In other matters, this Super Tuesday could be very interesting, in that we may not lose any candidates immediately afterward. Romney is obviously still in unless something crazy happens, Santorum will most likely still be in, unless he current slight decline turns into a freefall, Paul will probably stay in until the end like in 2008, and if he can afford it, Gingrich will stay in out of spite.

Ninja'd.

Oh, the same bailouts that helped the unions? Okay. If you knew what Michigan's problems were, it's not just the auto industry.

It might not just be the auto industry, but saving that did a great deal more good than you could imagine. If Detroit had been allowed to go bankrupt, as per Romney's wishes, we'd be complaining about a lot more than an economic recovery that only took two years.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on February 27, 2012, 06:02:31 PM
Oh, the same bailouts that helped the unions? Okay. If you knew what Michigan's problems were, it's not just the auto industry.

It might not just be the auto industry, but saving that did a great deal more good than you could imagine. If Detroit had been allowed to go bankrupt, as per Romney's wishes, we'd be complaining about a lot more than an economic recovery that only took two years.

Not that we can every really "know" for certain what would have happened, but something I feel necessary to point out:  Are you aware that many corporate bankruptcy filings do not result in companies closing their doors, but instead are forced company reorganizations under an appointed trustee whose job it is to make sure the necessary changes are made to get the corporation back on sound financial footing?  FYI, that is the type of bankruptcy some of the car companies were considering.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 27, 2012, 09:05:16 PM
Those bankruptcies usually benefit from a functioning market around them who buys up pieces of the bankrupt company. At the time no automaker, domestic or foreign, would have bought anything, resulting in the necessity of massive layoffs.

I find it ludicrous to somehow assert that, just because Obama is a Democrat, he somehow gets a hard on by throwing government money at companies. Remember that GWB came to the same solution as Obama before.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on February 27, 2012, 10:45:02 PM
I cant believe you guys have tax breaks for people earning over 200k!

???  We don't.  Where did you get that from?
The article I read regarding Romney's tax priorities seemed to imply that there were tax breaks. Note I'm being a nerd here and including government subsidies as well - all things that the government provides that reduce a) the amount of tax you pay and b) the amount of money you pay for other things (directly, ofcourse).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on February 27, 2012, 10:49:04 PM
Those bankruptcies usually benefit from a functioning market around them who buys up pieces of the bankrupt company. At the time no automaker, domestic or foreign, would have bought anything, resulting in the necessity of massive layoffs.
Which is why I said all along the best solution would have been a controlled bankruptcy with the government loans to keep them afloat. 


I really can't believe what a buffoon Frothy is.  Now we have the college snobbery debacle (https://video.msnbc.msn.com/the-last-word/46550620/#46550620).  The guy's crafted this brilliant strategy of misstating facts and positions at will, secure in the knowledge that Republicans won't fact-check him anyway;  pretty shrewd.  But my God if you can't knock your own pitches out of the park you're going to look like a genuine village idiot.  He's striking himself out with with issues that he's creating for his own benefit.  How does a person so politically inept get as far as he has?

At this point I'd really love to see him get the nomination just because of the entertainment value.  Give him six more months against a real opponent and it could be a real blast.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 27, 2012, 11:17:15 PM
Is he retarded or something?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 28, 2012, 08:17:50 AM
Is he retarded or something?

rumborak

Pretty much, yeah. (https://www.ranker.com/list/most-outrageous-rick-santorum-quotes/pilgrimsprogressive)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: AcidLameLTE on February 28, 2012, 08:53:02 AM
Pretty much, yeah. (https://www.ranker.com/list/most-outrageous-rick-santorum-quotes/pilgrimsprogressive)
Quote
[Rape victims should] make the best of a bad situation.

Wow
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 28, 2012, 09:04:19 AM
It is quite amazing how actively he alienates so many societal groups.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 28, 2012, 09:12:38 AM
I feel like there should be a conspiracy Keanu about Santorum purposely sabotaging the Republican primary for Obama. :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 28, 2012, 09:19:22 AM
Supposedly Michael Moore called on Democrats to go voting for Santorum in Michigan (where you don't need to register).

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 28, 2012, 10:21:02 AM
If it wasn't too late for me to do so, I totally would.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 28, 2012, 10:40:43 AM
It would be a disaster for Romney to lose Michigan for sure, and could shift the momentum back to Santorum. The GOP higher-ups are probably on the edge of their seats today.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on February 28, 2012, 10:54:03 AM
I feel like there should be a conspiracy Keanu about Santorum purposely sabotaging the Republican primary for Obama. :lol

That makes more sense than anything else.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on February 28, 2012, 11:18:41 AM
Supposedly Michael Moore called on Democrats to go voting for Santorum in Michigan (where you don't need to register).

rumborak
Looks like Frothy is making the same pitch.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/02/28/santorum-encourages-michigan-democrats-to-vote-against-romney-in-phone-calls/

Quote
The robocall going around Monday says Democrats should send "a loud message" to Romney by voting for Santorum. The message says it's supported by "hard-working Democratic men and women" and paid for by the Santorum campaign.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 28, 2012, 12:05:41 PM
:lol What the hell?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 28, 2012, 12:22:18 PM
How brain-dead is his target audience?! The "only true conservative" is supported by Democrats? :lol

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 28, 2012, 12:28:43 PM
How brain-dead is his target audience?! The "only true conservative" is supported by Democrats? :lol

rumborak

Actually, it's a smart move by Santorum, because he knows that most Democrats want him to be the nominee because of his perceived weakness against Obama.  Anything can happen between now and November. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on February 28, 2012, 12:44:25 PM
How brain-dead is his target audience?! The "only true conservative" is supported by Democrats? :lol

rumborak

Actually, it's a smart move by Santorum, because he knows that most Democrats want him to be the nominee because of his perceived weakness against Obama.  Anything can happen between now and November.
Yeah, that's exactly how I see it.  Honestly, the dude's working some pretty solid strategies.  His problem is that he's too big an imbecile to actually take advantage.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on February 28, 2012, 01:19:40 PM
I cant believe you guys have tax breaks for people earning over 200k!

???  We don't.  Where did you get that from?
The article I read regarding Romney's tax priorities seemed to imply that there were tax breaks. Note I'm being a nerd here and including government subsidies as well - all things that the government provides that reduce a) the amount of tax you pay and b) the amount of money you pay for other things (directly, ofcourse).

There's a bunch of loopholes for rich people to take advantage of (they're the ones who can afford the accountants, who also lobby for loopholes and gimmicks in the first place), so it's a little hard to know exactly what you're talking about. If I had to take a guess, though, you're most likely referencing the fact that capital gains is only taxed at 16% - and that's how he "earns" the vast majority of the money he makes.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: King Postwhore on February 28, 2012, 03:16:05 PM
How brain-dead is his target audience?! The "only true conservative" is supported by Democrats? :lol

rumborak

Actually, it's a smart move by Santorum, because he knows that most Democrats want him to be the nominee because of his perceived weakness against Obama.  Anything can happen between now and November.
Yeah, that's exactly how I see it.  Honestly, the dude's working some pretty solid strategies.  His problem is that he's too big an imbecile to actually take advantage.

That didn't stop W from becoming the President. :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on February 28, 2012, 04:05:26 PM
Oh, the same bailouts that helped the unions? Okay. If you knew what Michigan's problems were, it's not just the auto industry.

It might not just be the auto industry, but saving that did a great deal more good than you could imagine. If Detroit had been allowed to go bankrupt, as per Romney's wishes, we'd be complaining about a lot more than an economic recovery that only took two years.

Not that we can every really "know" for certain what would have happened, but something I feel necessary to point out:  Are you aware that many corporate bankruptcy filings do not result in companies closing their doors, but instead are forced company reorganizations under an appointed trustee whose job it is to make sure the necessary changes are made to get the corporation back on sound financial footing?  FYI, that is the type of bankruptcy some of the car companies were considering.
Yes, controlled bankruptcy was what Romney was advocating. However, controlled bankruptcy hinges quite a bit on a large influx of private capital. At the time, they could not reasonably expect to get such private capital. Many of the auto company execs have since said this.

I wouldn't be as critical of Romney's stance if he would admit that he was wrong about this one. Heck, since he's in the middle of a campaign and as such definitely won't admit such a thing, I'd settle for having him stop actively insisting that the bailouts were a bad idea, since, as we have seen, they weren't.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 28, 2012, 04:09:43 PM
@ shmegs: For better or worse, Bush won because his rivals were more moronic than he was (believe it or not). I was reading an article a couple months ago comparing a prospective Obama-Romney race to Bush-Kerry.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 28, 2012, 04:13:07 PM
To this day I can not fathom that Kerry lost a public debate to GWB. I mean, wtf?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 28, 2012, 04:14:08 PM
Flip-flops.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on February 28, 2012, 04:24:37 PM
Predictions for tonight's primaries;

Romney will win the popular vote in Michigan by a slim margin; 2, maybe three percentage points. However, Santorum will win more congressional districts, and thus more delegates, because of how Michigan handles delegate selection.

Romney will win Arizona. It will be much closer than expected, but Arizona is winner take all, so there won't be any narrative there other than 'Romney won Arizona', even if it's insanely close.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 28, 2012, 04:28:06 PM
Yeah, that sounds about right. I would put Gingrich and Paul In the low teens.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on February 28, 2012, 04:37:19 PM
To this day I can not fathom that Kerry lost a public debate to GWB. I mean, wtf?

rumborak
Well, most importantly, debates in this country are little more than live advertisements.  No thought is involved; merely a memory for your talking points.  The other thing, and this is applicable to the Bush/Santorum comparison, is that Bush was a likable idiot.  He related well to the masses (many of whom are idiots themselves).  Neither Gore nor Kerry were particularly likable, and while they're both Einsteins compared to Chimpy, it really just made them seem arrogant in comparison.  This is one of Frothy's problems.  Yes, he's an imbecile, and as W demonstrated that can be a huge selling point, but unlike Bush he's not a particularly likable imbecile.  And when it comes down to Romney vs. Obama, Mitt will have the same problem.  Being brighter or having better ideas doesn't help you much if you just look like a conceited prick when you explain them.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 28, 2012, 05:03:18 PM
Yeah! Romney definitely has that problem, he comes across like that detached CEO a lot of us know from company meetings.
Interestingly Obama had the same problem for the longest time, but as of late he's loosened up quite a bit.

BTW, reading Ron Paul forums is a blast. Now they're convincing themselves that everything is rigged, that all primaries strategically flip votes to Romney.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on February 28, 2012, 05:07:46 PM
https://youtu.be/ihq0DRqv-A4 <---Me about to vote.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 28, 2012, 06:31:00 PM
OK, seriously: WTF Oakland County?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 28, 2012, 06:50:02 PM
Holy crap, he might actually lose Michigan.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on February 28, 2012, 07:02:20 PM
In relation to what I said the other day:

https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/28/four-fiscal-phonies/?smid=tw-NytimesKrugman&seid=auto

Krugman on the offensive. He gets quite emotive towards the end.



Disclaimer: I don't know how Krugman is perceived in the US, but in Aus he is held in high regard.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on February 28, 2012, 07:14:16 PM
With 26% of the vote in, CNN has Romney ahead in Michigan 41% to Santorum's 38%.
Also, CNN has already called Arizona for Romney, though no votes have actually been counted yet (seriously, I know they have polling info, but it pisses me off when the news networks do this). We'll have to wait to see what the margin is there.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 28, 2012, 07:31:03 PM
FOX has the same thing. WTF? :lol

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 28, 2012, 07:34:42 PM
Holy crap, he might actually lose Michigan.

rumborak

Meaning Romney or Santorum?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 28, 2012, 07:39:59 PM
Well, now it flipped around, but it's ridiculously close. Right now Romney is in the lead.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 28, 2012, 07:58:44 PM
Not as much. A 20,000 vote lead is quite a bit. Goddammit Oakland.

Edit: Dammit Michigan.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 28, 2012, 08:39:32 PM
Yeah, that win today might have been all it took for Romney to be finally locked in. Santorum was going down already, and this one, combined with Saturday's shoe-in for Romney in WA, will create a good amount of momentum for him.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 28, 2012, 08:42:04 PM
Obama better have a great debate presence and that economic recovery better continue.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: wolfandwolfandwolf on February 28, 2012, 09:25:46 PM
Yeah, that win today might have been all it took for Romney to be finally locked in. Santorum was going down already, and this one, combined with Saturday's shoe-in for Romney in WA, will create a good amount of momentum for him.

rumborak
There were so, so many foot in mouth moments for Santorum this week.  That had to be some kind of factor.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on February 29, 2012, 12:01:57 AM
Remember that Political Compass test that always pops up around here every so often? They did one with the current candidates. The link has a write-up about it, written by I'm-not-sure-who.
(https://www.politicalcompass.org/charts/us2012.php)

https://www.politicalcompass.org/uselection2012
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 29, 2012, 04:53:23 AM
So, last night should pretty much settle the Republican nomination.  The only states that are going to be really competitive on Super Tuesday now are Ohio and maybe Georgia (Newt Gingrich's home state)

As I've said from the beginning, Romney will be the nominee because it's his turn.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on February 29, 2012, 09:16:00 AM
So, last night should pretty much settle the Republican nomination.  The only states that are going to be really competitive on Super Tuesday now are Ohio and maybe Georgia (Newt Gingrich's home state)

As I've said from the beginning, Romney will be the nominee because it's his turn.
I disagree. Last night went more or less exactly how it was expected to. Santorum will probably lose some momentum, but Super Tuesday is still going to be somewhat unpredictable. The real shakeup last night would have been if Romney had lost the popular vote in Michigan (and he may still lose the delegate count there).

Yes, Romney will eventually get the nomination, and will probably have the best results next week. However, last night only really indicates that he's having some difficulty, rather than being in severe trouble.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on February 29, 2012, 10:07:19 AM
There's a thread right now on reddit saying accusing Romney of vote-flipping in South Carolina, it seems at the very least thought-out, but I don't know enough about to stats to really say anything more: https://www.reddit.com/r/AskReddit/comments/qb9ea/reddit_can_you_debunk_this_some_people_with/

edit: though it apaprently came from the Ron Paul forum originally, so that should say something.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 29, 2012, 10:12:47 AM
Quote
A candidate's cumulative score should gradually converge with reducing volatility towards his final result. This is an absolute mathematical law.

Stopped reading there. The guy is clueless about math and statistics.

EDIT: Tribble_trouble posted exactly the right thing.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 29, 2012, 11:18:50 AM
RP: "We're very pleased with our strategy"

https://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-pn-ron-paul-michigan-primary-20120228,0,779662.story?track=rss&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+latimes%2Fnews%2Fpolitics+(L.A.+Times+-+Politics)

Not sure what that strategy is though....

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 29, 2012, 12:24:19 PM
RP: "We're very pleased with our strategy"

https://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-pn-ron-paul-michigan-primary-20120228,0,779662.story?track=rss&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+latimes%2Fnews%2Fpolitics+(L.A.+Times+-+Politics (https://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-pn-ron-paul-michigan-primary-20120228,0,779662.story?track=rss&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+latimes%2Fnews%2Fpolitics+%28L.A.+Times+-+Politics))

Not sure what that strategy is though....

rumborak

There's a reason why he lost his seat in the senate by 16 points and why not ONE sitting senator has endorsed him.  (read: he's toxic and nobody wants him to win)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 29, 2012, 12:25:53 PM
So, last night should pretty much settle the Republican nomination.  The only states that are going to be really competitive on Super Tuesday now are Ohio and maybe Georgia (Newt Gingrich's home state)

As I've said from the beginning, Romney will be the nominee because it's his turn.
I disagree. Last night went more or less exactly how it was expected to. Santorum will probably lose some momentum, but Super Tuesday is still going to be somewhat unpredictable. The real shakeup last night would have been if Romney had lost the popular vote in Michigan (and he may still lose the delegate count there).

Yes, Romney will eventually get the nomination, and will probably have the best results next week. However, last night only really indicates that he's having some difficulty, rather than being in severe trouble.

Did you misread my post?  I never wrote that Romney is in any trouble of any kind.  What are you disagreeing with?   ???
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 29, 2012, 01:10:38 PM
I have to say, in the long run I'm happier that Romney is the nominee. Despite the fact that of course Romney has a decent chance of becoming president as opposed to Santorum (who would have been a dud) and I would rather like to see Obama reelected, it's better for the national discourse to not have lunatics like Santorum get a public platform. Having him even just run against Obama would have given Santorum and his views legitimacy.
Romney is a pretty smart guy, so I would hope the debates benefit from that fact.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on February 29, 2012, 01:32:39 PM
I have to say, in the long run I'm happier that Romney is the nominee. Despite the fact that of course Romney has a decent chance of becoming president as opposed to Santorum (who would have been a dud) and I would rather like to see Obama reelected, it's better for the national discourse to not have lunatics like Santorum get a public platform. Having him even just run against Obama would have given Santorum and his views legitimacy.
Romney is a pretty smart guy, so I would hope the debates benefit from that fact.

rumborak

That is precisely how I feel.   I may have strong disagreements with Romney, and he's pretty socially and politically tone deaf because of his wealth, but......I have to admit that I begrudgingly respect the guy.  I have less than no respect for Santorum.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on February 29, 2012, 03:28:57 PM
I don't. Come on, the guy will say anything to get elected. He'll even contradict himself.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on February 29, 2012, 04:18:00 PM
Remember that Political Compass test that always pops up around here every so often? They did one with the current candidates. The link has a write-up about it, written by I'm-not-sure-who.
(https://www.politicalcompass.org/charts/us2012.php)

https://www.politicalcompass.org/uselection2012
I lost faith in that political compass LONG ago. I mean, some questions on there would for myself have no effect on public policy matter but would make me seem more socially conservative. And what about the astrology question, or arts? That doesn't affect public policy for a minarchist/an-cap in the slightest, might do for a radical theocrat-like creature like Santorum.

But considering the limitations of that test, it fairly represents the current political spectrum. There is no actual choice for change but Paul.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on February 29, 2012, 04:49:27 PM
Given that neither of those guys will have sat down and filled out the test, I find the chart rather questionable. in its accuracy.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on February 29, 2012, 06:04:46 PM
Given that neither of those guys will have sat down and filled out the test, I find the chart rather questionable. in its accuracy.

rumborak
I'd think the opposite.  If the values were supplied by outsiders based on the actions and statements of the candidates, I'd think it more accurate than if they were merely what the candidates like to think they are.  I find it rather hard to answer some of those questions, but a group of people could probably answer them for a third party pretty accurately. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on February 29, 2012, 07:16:01 PM
So, last night should pretty much settle the Republican nomination.  The only states that are going to be really competitive on Super Tuesday now are Ohio and maybe Georgia (Newt Gingrich's home state)

As I've said from the beginning, Romney will be the nominee because it's his turn.
I disagree. Last night went more or less exactly how it was expected to. Santorum will probably lose some momentum, but Super Tuesday is still going to be somewhat unpredictable. The real shakeup last night would have been if Romney had lost the popular vote in Michigan (and he may still lose the delegate count there).

Yes, Romney will eventually get the nomination, and will probably have the best results next week. However, last night only really indicates that he's having some difficulty, rather than being in severe trouble.

Did you misread my post?  I never wrote that Romney is in any trouble of any kind.  What are you disagreeing with?   ???
Did you misread mine?
I'm agreeing that Romney will get the nomination. What I'm disagreeing with is that this thing is anywhere close to being resolved. I'm saying that Super Tuesday this time around isn't going to be particularly decisive. I would honestly be shocked if there's an end in sight before April.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 01, 2012, 08:37:51 AM
Nah, it's already over.  Santorum won't be the nominee.  And it certainly isn't going to be Ron Paul or Newt Gingrich.  Everything from here forward is nothing but window dressing.  The only way Romney doesn't get the nod now is if he pulls his pants down and pisses on the next debate moderator's head on live TV.  It's his turn.  And Marco Rubio will probably be his running mate.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 01, 2012, 08:39:01 AM
Holy. Crapola. In Tennessee Santorum has a 20 point lead over Romney:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/tn/tennessee_republican_presidential_primary-2043.html

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 01, 2012, 08:57:00 AM
If I knew more about Tennessee, I might chalk it up to religion.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 01, 2012, 09:18:40 AM
Tennessee is a weird place. Been to Nashville, it's one of the few places where I arrived and said to myself "not in a million years would I want to live here".

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on March 01, 2012, 09:40:55 AM
I don't have much good to say about Tennessee.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: pogoowner on March 01, 2012, 09:55:16 AM
I don't have much good to say about Tennessee.
I went on a mission trip and worked on houses there for a week, and I don't have anything good to say either. Obviously I was in an extremely run-down area, though. Contrary to rumborak's feelings, however, a lot of people say Nashville is great.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 01, 2012, 02:34:28 PM
Tennessee is pretty much right in the heart of the bible belt so this doesn't come as much of a surprise, since most Christians consider Romney to be a cultist

(https://wp.patheos.com.s3.amazonaws.com/blogs/friendlyatheist/files/2009/01/map.jpg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 01, 2012, 02:45:41 PM
Honestly, I don't think the primaries are mattering at all. Every new one is supposed to be the "end," so let's not kid ourselves, we have no idea who will actually be the nominee. One thing is clear, the partly is fractured. There's always been a rift between the social and fiscal conservatives, they just sorta agreed to terms... but that really doesn't seem to be the case anymore. I just can't imagine a strong candidate after all of this. Obama and Hillary fought it out, but there really wasn't a whole lot different about them ideologically; there's a huge one between Santorum and Romney.

I have to say, in the long run I'm happier that Romney is the nominee. Despite the fact that of course Romney has a decent chance of becoming president as opposed to Santorum (who would have been a dud) and I would rather like to see Obama reelected, it's better for the national discourse to not have lunatics like Santorum get a public platform. Having him even just run against Obama would have given Santorum and his views legitimacy.
Romney is a pretty smart guy, so I would hope the debates benefit from that fact.

rumborak

That is precisely how I feel.   I may have strong disagreements with Romney, and he's pretty socially and politically tone deaf because of his wealth, but......I have to admit that I begrudgingly respect the guy.  I have less than no respect for Santorum.

I'm with SD, I'm really not sure what leads you to respect Romney. I'll grant him ability, but respect is far too approving for such a weasel.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 01, 2012, 03:07:04 PM
Well, I live in MA, and I have to say that RomneyCare is quite nice.
Of course he's phony and lives on some bizarre echelon, but at least he's not a Bible-thumping lunatic such as Santorum.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 01, 2012, 04:03:37 PM
Honestly, I don't think the primaries are mattering at all. Every new one is supposed to be the "end," so let's not kid ourselves, we have no idea who will actually be the nominee. One thing is clear, the partly is fractured. There's always been a rift between the social and fiscal conservatives, they just sorta agreed to terms... but that really doesn't seem to be the case anymore. I just can't imagine a strong candidate after all of this. Obama and Hillary fought it out, but there really wasn't a whole lot different about them ideologically; there's a huge one between Santorum and Romney.

This more than anything interests me about this particular primary/election (aside from the obvious concerning the Obama factor). Back in the 60s, we see an ideological split turn into a new party when Dixiecrats simply up and became Republicans. I wonder if this fracture might end up having similarly huge consequences in the future.

Whether or not something of that magnitude happens will certainly answer the question once and for all about whether the two-party system has indeed constricted all political progress and flexibility in this country by neatly lumping everything into two clean categories.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 01, 2012, 04:08:41 PM
https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/blogs/taibblog/andrew-breitbart-death-of-a-douche-20120301

Everything that is wrong with politics. Both ends of the spectrum in one article. Can't we all just get along?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 01, 2012, 08:44:08 PM
Nope.

That was a good piece though. I'm a fan of Taibbi.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 02, 2012, 03:30:11 AM
He was a douche. No question. It's really sad that he leaves 4 kids behind.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 02, 2012, 06:50:12 AM
Well, I live in MA, and I have to say that RomneyCare is quite nice.
Of course he's phony and lives on some bizarre echelon, but at least he's not a Bible-thumping lunatic such as Santorum.

rumborak

He's a politician.  They ALL say what they need to say in any given moment, and that includes Obama and others that I agree with ideologically.  I don't have to like or agree with someone to respect them. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 02, 2012, 09:36:12 AM
Nope.

That was a good piece though. I'm a fan of Taibbi.

I'm really surprised at some of the comments down below. Did people actually like this guy? 'Cause he sounds like a complete douchenozzle, irrespective of your political views.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 02, 2012, 09:40:52 AM
Nope.

That was a good piece though. I'm a fan of Taibbi.

I'm really surprised at some of the comments down below. Did people actually like this guy? 'Cause he sounds like a complete douchenozzle, irrespective of your political views.
He was wildly popular. I'm surprised you'd never heard of him before.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 02, 2012, 09:42:54 AM
Yeah, same here. I mean I don't normally pay attention to who I'm reading as much as what I'm reading, so that may be part of it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 02, 2012, 12:54:50 PM
Well, I live in MA, and I have to say that RomneyCare is quite nice.
Of course he's phony and lives on some bizarre echelon, but at least he's not a Bible-thumping lunatic such as Santorum.

rumborak

He's a politician.  They ALL say what they need to say in any given moment, and that includes Obama and others that I agree with ideologically.  I don't have to like or agree with someone to respect them.

And how long has it been called "Romneycare"? He also had a democratic legislature.

Also, saying that there is a difference of degree, not of kind, still doesn't meant hat there isn't, ya know, a large difference between Romney constantly taking opposing position, and downright lying about the state of things, and more honest politicians. C'mon, it's easy enough to tell who's playing the game, to play the game, and who's playing the game because, well, they have to in order to affect government.

One of the things necessary for me to "respect" someone, is to actually know where they stand on matters. With Romney, that's simply impossible. If he get's negative backlash, he immediately basically takes the opposing position, and tries to deny what he said.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 02, 2012, 01:07:07 PM
Case in point: didn't he recently do a 180* on some policy while being interviewed on the radio?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 02, 2012, 01:10:53 PM
Case in point: didn't he recently do a 180* on some policy while being interviewed on the radio?

Nah, I think he really did just goof the answer to that one.  If you read the entire transcript of the exchange the question was phrased in a pretty confusing way.

However, he HAS flip-flopped on abortion in quite spectacular fashion. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cFMdK0TWtks)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 02, 2012, 11:06:10 PM
Wow, had never seen that one. That's just ridiculous.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: King Postwhore on March 03, 2012, 04:42:48 AM
Well, I live in MA, and I have to say that RomneyCare is quite nice.
Of course he's phony and lives on some bizarre echelon, but at least he's not a Bible-thumping lunatic such as Santorum.

rumborak

He's a politician.  They ALL say what they need to say in any given moment, and that includes Obama and others that I agree with ideologically.  I don't have to like or agree with someone to respect them.

And how long has it been called "Romneycare"? He also had a democratic legislature.

Also, saying that there is a difference of degree, not of kind, still doesn't meant hat there isn't, ya know, a large difference between Romney constantly taking opposing position, and downright lying about the state of things, and more honest politicians. C'mon, it's easy enough to tell who's playing the game, to play the game, and who's playing the game because, well, they have to in order to affect government.

One of the things necessary for me to "respect" someone, is to actually know where they stand on matters. With Romney, that's simply impossible. If he get's negative backlash, he immediately basically takes the opposing position, and tries to deny what he said.

Scheavo, you do know the stronghold dems have had in Mass except the Governor for some strange reason.  Very weird indeeed.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 03, 2012, 11:24:42 AM
Honestly, I don't think the primaries are mattering at all. Every new one is supposed to be the "end," so let's not kid ourselves, we have no idea who will actually be the nominee.
The way I see it, there are basically three possible scenarios right now;

1) By far the most likely - After a much longer than expected primary season, a battered and bruised Romney finally gets the nomination. Some Republicans sigh, shrug, and then try to salvage their party's presidential campaign, while a few are just too uninspired with him and stay home.

2) Less likely, but stranger things have happened - Somehow, through a combination of unlikely factors, Santorum gets the nomination. Many of the GOP higherups are a bit horrified. He wins a few states in the general by a large margin, but overall gets absolutely trounced, as even many current Republicans just can't bring themselves to support him.

3) Unlikely, but with a non-zero chance of happening - No one gets a delegate majority, and the party nominates someone other than the current 4 candidates at the convention. Having to basically start a presidential campaign from scratch with only about two months to the general, this scenario would be an absolute disaster.

My guess; Romney will get the nomination. Somehow, in spite of not being a particularly good choice overall, he has become their safe option.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 03, 2012, 11:35:45 AM
At this point I'm not sure Romney can ever close the deal. I was earlier looking at polls for the Super Tuesday states, and it looks bad for him. Georgia looks like it's going to Gingrich, Santorum is leading in Ohio and North Carolina. Even in Washington (today) Romney has only a small lead that might not even materialize.
The only person who's completely out of the picture is Paul. Other than in WA he can't even break the 10% mark anymore.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 03, 2012, 01:27:20 PM
Well, I live in MA, and I have to say that RomneyCare is quite nice.
Of course he's phony and lives on some bizarre echelon, but at least he's not a Bible-thumping lunatic such as Santorum.

rumborak

He's a politician.  They ALL say what they need to say in any given moment, and that includes Obama and others that I agree with ideologically.  I don't have to like or agree with someone to respect them.

And how long has it been called "Romneycare"? He also had a democratic legislature.

Also, saying that there is a difference of degree, not of kind, still doesn't meant hat there isn't, ya know, a large difference between Romney constantly taking opposing position, and downright lying about the state of things, and more honest politicians. C'mon, it's easy enough to tell who's playing the game, to play the game, and who's playing the game because, well, they have to in order to affect government.

One of the things necessary for me to "respect" someone, is to actually know where they stand on matters. With Romney, that's simply impossible. If he get's negative backlash, he immediately basically takes the opposing position, and tries to deny what he said.

Scheavo, you do know the stronghold dems have had in Mass except the Governor for some strange reason.  Very weird indeeed.

Well, I know it's a liberal state, don't know anything about it's recent governmental history. But I'm afraid I don't get your point?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 03, 2012, 01:52:46 PM
While I don't think the results in Washington today will have much of an effect on Super Tuesday, I think it will provide a good barometer for how well Romney will do. He needs at least a 4 point lead today to be at all comfortable. Less than that, and honestly, some of the less likely scenarios may be in play. A significant margin in WA on the other hand could signal that Republicans have finally gotten to stage 5 of the Romney candidacy; acceptance.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: King Postwhore on March 03, 2012, 02:06:07 PM
No point at all.  It's just weird that a liberal state has had so many Republican governors in it's recent past history.


Rumbo, it's a bit shocking to see how undecided the republican voters are.  They don't like any of the candidates for various reasons all said here.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 03, 2012, 02:09:25 PM
Honestly, I see convention troubles ahead. Paul claims to have a good chance at delegates, which could be the final thing which breaks a majority bid. Super Tuesday will have to be decisive, as in a vast majority to one person. or I'd say nothing's gonna change from what it has been. I mean remember, Santorum started out by winning Iowa, and he's still doing well now. THere's been fluctuation in between, but Romeny still hasn't gotten huge victories.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 03, 2012, 11:29:09 PM
Rumbo, it's a bit shocking to see how undecided the republican voters are.  They don't like any of the candidates for various reasons all said here.

Looking at today's results in WA, amazing that Santorum pulled on par with Paul despite barely campaigning in it. What might be happening is that there's voter fatigue setting in, with people having settled on whoever they want to vote for.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 04, 2012, 12:04:05 AM
I can't believe Paul nearly made 25% of the WA vote. Unless WA is a particularly libertarian state and I just don't know any better.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 04, 2012, 12:12:30 AM
I think he had focussed his efforts there, yeah. Probably with the hope he could eek out a win, which would have generated momentum for him. And because it's a caucus state, he avoid primary states because he can't win them.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 04, 2012, 10:37:18 AM
Even though the campaign is working the delegates game very well, Paul isn't going anywhere anymore. He has no momentum and thus no campaign contributions coming in.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 04, 2012, 01:08:20 PM
I don't believe that the delegate game was ever the true game. I personally think it was somewhat of a ruse to the grassroots movement, to keep them going. The real game will have been the same as Gingrich and Santorum, the hope that Paul would at some point become the "non-Romney du jour" and from there generate momentum.
(At least to me) foreseeably that never happened, and now the diehard supporters are dry and can no longer donate money.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 04, 2012, 02:58:03 PM
I don't believe that the delegate game was ever the true game. I personally think it was somewhat of a ruse to the grassroots movement, to keep them going. The real game will have been the same as Gingrich and Santorum, the hope that Paul would at some point become the "non-Romney du jour" and from there generate momentum.
(At least to me) foreseeably that never happened, and now the diehard supporters are dry and can no longer donate money.

rumborak

Well, there's numerous polls that show him doing the best against Obama. So I think the problem is that Paul isn't a Republican, and his supporters aren't really Republican, which makes it obvious that Pauls performance in a Republican process, isn't going to be all that great. This really does help explain why Paul feels he has more support than he gets in the Repubilcan process, and why his supporters feel he has more support than he's getting in the process.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 04, 2012, 03:06:11 PM
I have seen those polls, but frankly I'm not sure what to make of them. My best "explanation" is that those polls not so much reflect how much trust people put into RP for being able to defeat Obama, but rather that they have the last violent opinion of his inability thereof. That is, people are painfully aware that someone like Gingrich or Santorum would lose against Obama in a landslide and thus vote accordingly in such a poll, but with RP they kinda shrug their shoulders because they have little opinion either way.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 04, 2012, 07:58:14 PM
I can't believe Paul nearly made 25% of the WA vote. Unless WA is a particularly libertarian state and I just don't know any better.
He got 21% in the WA caucus back in 2008, so it wasn't really unexpected.
In 2008, they held both a primary, where Paul got about 7.5%, and a caucus, whereas this time around they cancelled the primary for budget reasons. For some reason, most polling going in this time was geared more toward the primary system.

As for Paul's caucus delegate strategy;
Even if he somehow manages to get the majority of delegates in every single caucus, there just aren't enough caucus delegates for such a strategy to yield anything beyond a possible bargaining chip.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 04, 2012, 08:27:50 PM
Oh wow, I didn't even realize that. I just looked at the schedule, and there's only 8 more caucuses coming. All other states will be primaries (which I assume are winner-takes-all).

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 04, 2012, 08:32:35 PM
That would explain it; I wasn't paying attention to politics in 2008. :p
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 04, 2012, 08:54:08 PM
Oh wow, I didn't even realize that. I just looked at the schedule, and there's only 8 more caucuses coming. All other states will be primaries (which I assume are winner-takes-all).

rumborak
Some of the primaries are proportional, but the delegate count for those are typically somewhat tied to the results. Few if any have the caucus loophole that could allow a candidate to get a bunch of delegates without actually doing well in the vote.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 04, 2012, 09:18:23 PM
Eh, I think even among the diehard RP supporters it's a bit of an open secret that he's dead in the water. There's still some hilarious threads on his forum about "here's how the math works", but I think most people there realize it's grasping for straws.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 05, 2012, 09:09:55 AM
Man, the lack of condemnation of Limbaugh's stunt there from the candidates is sad and depressing, I can definitely say that a McCain would have at least stood up and injected some class into the whole thing.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on March 05, 2012, 09:34:13 AM
Class?  These are Republicans.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: XJDenton on March 05, 2012, 09:40:02 AM
What was the stunt?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 05, 2012, 09:46:48 AM
Man, the lack of condemnation of Limbaugh's stunt there from the candidates is sad and depressing, I can definitely say that a McCain would have at least stood up and injected some class into the whole thing.

rumborak

Is this referring to the "girls who take birth control are sluts" thing?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on March 05, 2012, 09:47:57 AM
What was the stunt?

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/02/29/rush-limbaugh-sandra-fluke-slut_n_1311640.html?ref=media

Quote
Rush Limbaugh called the woman who was denied the right to speak at a controversial contraception hearing a "slut" on Wednesday.

Sandra Fluke, a student at Georgetown Law School, was supposed to be the Democratic witness at a Congressional hearing about the Obama administration's contraception policy. However, Darrell Issa, the committee chair at the hearing, prevented her from speaking, while only allowing a series of men to testify about the policy. Fluke eventually spoke to a Democratic hearing, and talked about the need for birth control for both reproductive and broader medical reasons. She mentioned in particular a friend of hers who needed contraception to prevent the growth of cysts.

To Limbaugh, though, Fluke was just promoting casual sex.

"Can you imagine if you were her parents how proud...you would be?" he said. "Your daughter ... testifies she's having so much sex she can't afford her own birth control pills and she wants President Obama to provide them, or the Pope."

He continued:
"What does it say about the college co-ed Susan Fluke [sic] who goes before a congressional committee and essentially says that she must be paid to have sex -- what does that make her? It makes her a slut, right? It makes her a prostitute. She wants to be paid to have sex. She's having so much sex she can't afford the contraception. She wants you and me and the taxpayers to pay her to have sex."

Limbaugh then said, "ok, so she's not a slut. She's round-heeled." "Round-heeled" is an old-fashioned term for promiscuity.

Limbaugh's comments came on the same day that Fluke was mentioned during a debate in the Senate about the so-called "Blunt Amendment," which would override Obama's contraception rule. Sen. Barbara Boxer brought up Fluke's testimony, recounting what she would have said at the Congressional panel if she had been given the opportunity.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 05, 2012, 09:50:10 AM
What was the stunt?

There's a discussion about whether health insurances should be required to cover birth control. A girl spoke in front of Congress about the matter, and Rush Limbaugh openly called her a "slut" and a "prostitute". At this point I think 7 of his sponsors have pulled out, but the current presidential candidates have barely said anything against his statements. It' despicable really.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Ryzee on March 05, 2012, 09:51:38 AM
You also forgot the part where he later said that if his tax dollars had to pay for her contraception so she can have all the casual sex that she should post videos of it online so he can watch.   Stay classy conservatives.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 05, 2012, 09:54:04 AM
XJ, the sad part is that this isn't some isolated case really. The Republicans as of late have shifted their discourse to more and more acrid statements. The stuff people like Santorum and Gingrich have said publicly can not be classified any other than "running on hate". Given how the Republicans can essentially forget about the black voters in the first place, I'm surprised the N word hasn't surfaced yet in some interview about Obama, in the hope of pandering to yet another sub-class of Republicans that should be best kept suppressed.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 05, 2012, 10:47:17 AM
Needless to say, this election will be a veritable culture war.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 05, 2012, 01:26:53 PM
yes yes and the issues I care about will again go untouched.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 05, 2012, 01:29:55 PM
Just as a point of curiosity, what are the issues you care about?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 05, 2012, 01:30:47 PM
Tentacle porn will never become a campaign issue. Live with it, antigoon.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 05, 2012, 01:32:10 PM
Why would it, unless Santorum would want to ban it (which he probably would, by executive order). :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on March 05, 2012, 01:42:56 PM
Tentacle porn will never become a campaign issue. Live with it, antigoon.

rumborak

 :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 05, 2012, 01:57:48 PM
Tentacle porn will never become a campaign issue. Live with it, antigoon.

rumborak

(https://www.dreamtheaterforums.org/forumavatars/avatar_1781_1328301939.gif)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 05, 2012, 03:05:08 PM
Tentacle porn will never become a campaign issue. Live with it, antigoon.

rumborak

Look man I've had enough of your pessimism. One day it will. You'll see. And when it does, I'll be like,
(https://i.imgur.com/XbjyF.gif)

edit - SD: Endless war, civil liberties, y'know.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 05, 2012, 08:10:13 PM
:lol

So, what's everybody's guess? After tomorrow, do you think all candidates will continue?
I would think Gingrich will call it a day. He will have gotten his trophy Georgia and can then stop without losing too much face, maybe with the intent of having another go at it in 2016.
Santorum will definitely continue I would think, no matter tomorrow's results.
Ron Paul, no idea. He will get his ass handed to him tomorrow (Georgia has him at 8%, Tennessee at 9%), after which this whole "our delegate strategy works fine" will sound ludicrous.

EDIT: Interesting article:

https://m.cnn.com/primary/wk_article?articleId=urn:newsml:CNN.com:20120305:brazile-gop-primary:1&branding=election.2012&category=cnnd_politics&pagesize=10

It predicts that no candidate will quit because each of them is backed by some billionaire.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 06, 2012, 08:34:09 AM
How to commit political suicide:

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/03/05/ron-paul-tornado-fema-aid-_n_1321690.html?ncid=edlinkusaolp00000009

RP: "Tornado victims should not get any help, they should have bought insurance."

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on March 06, 2012, 08:43:43 AM
I actually don't have a problem with some of those statements about federal money and disaster. There are some interesting thoughts behind it, once you get past the "how could he think that" sentiment.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 06, 2012, 08:56:39 AM
Here are my projections for today's voting - these are the winners in each state:

Alaska:
Mitt Romney

Idaho:
Mitt Romney

North Dakota:
Mitt Romney

Georgia: 
Newt Gingrich

Massachusetts:
Mitt Romney

Ohio:
Mitt Romney

Oklahoma:
Rick Santorum

Tennessee:
Rick Santorum

Virginia:
Mitt Romney

April 3rd:
Wisconsin:
Rick Santorum

Even though Romney walks away with over 200 delegates and Santorum only takes about 70 to 80 delegates, this won't be enough to get Santorum out of the race.  Gingrich will call it a day and Ron Paul is, er, Ron Paul.   

As far as Ron Paul's position on federal disaster aid, yeah, that's typical Libertarianism
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 06, 2012, 09:01:54 AM
I actually don't have a problem with some of those statements about federal money and disaster. There are some interesting thoughts behind it, once you get past the "how could he think that" sentiment.

What Paul doesn't seem to understand is how to word this. Of course I understand his stance, and of course it would be better for people to purchase insurance instead of having to rely on outside help, but he should be talking about the future, not the present. He should talk about how when he is president, he will try to make sure everybody has enough insurance to not have to rely on FEMA. Paul already has a public reputation of liking money more than people, telling tornado victims "Tough luck, shoulda bought insurance while you had time!" only strengthens that perception.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 06, 2012, 09:15:34 AM
That's the point the Republicans have gotten to. The guy saying victims of natural disasters shouldn't get any federal assistance is the least detestable in the race. Heck, Barbara Bush has called this campaign the worst she has ever seen.

Speaking of Paul, apparently CNN is floating the possibility of Paul winning Alaska and North Dakota. I doubt it will happen, but given how unpredictable this primary season has been, it wouldn't be the most shocking thing ever.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 06, 2012, 12:08:08 PM
Five Romney family members endorse Ron Paul and will speak for him in Idaho:

https://www.ronpaul2012.com/2012/03/05/ron-paul-idaho-team-welcomes-romney-family-members-as-surrogate-caucus-speakers/ (https://www.ronpaul2012.com/2012/03/05/ron-paul-idaho-team-welcomes-romney-family-members-as-surrogate-caucus-speakers/)

Boy oh boy :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 06, 2012, 12:13:10 PM
I'm really interested to see what happens today.  I'm not expecting today the results to be definitive.  But if Santorum gains significant ground, Romney could be in trouble.  I think Michigan was potentially a serious momentum shift.  If Romney is to be "the guy," he really should have been able to carry more delegates than he did. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 06, 2012, 12:13:39 PM
I couldn't help but notice that they never mention the relation to Mitt. The only mention is "sharing common ancestry" for one of them. At this point I'm assuming they're talking second cousin removed or something.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 06, 2012, 12:18:25 PM
Okay, here are my predictions;

Romney;
Massachusetts, Vermont, Virginia, Idaho, Ohio

Gingrich;
Georgia

Santorum;
Oklahoma, Tennessee

Paul;
North Dakota

Idaho will have surprisingly strong Paul support, but not enough to turn it in his favor. Ohio will be very close between Romney and Santorum, with Romney getting a slight edge in the popular vote, while getting significantly more delegates due to Santorum not filling out all of the proper paperwork (even if Santorum were to win Ohio in a landslide, he's literally ineligible to win at least a quarter of the state's delegates because of a clerical error).

As for Alaska, I have absolutely no idea. It will be close between Romney and Paul. Santorum will do better than expected, but will be running for second there rather than first.

No one will drop out after today. All of the candidates will declare that they did better than expected and attempt to spin the results to their advantage. We're nowhere near the end of this thing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 06, 2012, 12:49:33 PM
I couldn't help but notice that they never mention the relation to Mitt. The only mention is "sharing common ancestry" for one of them. At this point I'm assuming they're talking second cousin removed or something.

rumborak

From what I've read the relation is very distant, as in, they don't know each other.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 06, 2012, 01:09:56 PM
due to Santorum not filling out all of the proper paperwork (even if Santorum were to win Ohio in a landslide, he's literally ineligible to win at least a quarter of the state's delegates because of a clerical error).

What's this? I never heard about that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 06, 2012, 01:30:05 PM
Couple of first cousin's and second cousin's sons and stuff.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 06, 2012, 01:34:06 PM
He is Mormon, the families bound to be large.



Oh, and another reason I think Obama will win this election was what he did today. He does play the game of politics well, and he's become very good at distracting attention away from Republicans.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on March 06, 2012, 01:35:23 PM
At the end of the day, if Santorum or Romney win the nomination he will not have a chance against Obama.




Right?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 06, 2012, 01:36:24 PM
Nah.  Hopefully, we'll be smart enough not to make the same mistake twice.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 06, 2012, 01:36:33 PM
Yes.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 06, 2012, 01:37:08 PM
I think Romney has a reasonable chance. Santorum no, Gingrich and Paul hell no.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 06, 2012, 01:38:51 PM
due to Santorum not filling out all of the proper paperwork (even if Santorum were to win Ohio in a landslide, he's literally ineligible to win at least a quarter of the state's delegates because of a clerical error).

What's this? I never heard about that.

More or less what it is; in Ohio, you need to fill out certain paperwork for each congressional district to be eligible to win that districts delegates. He didn't properly fill out the paperwork for as many as 9 of Ohio's congressional districts, so even if he 'wins' them, he can't get them. It's a very convoluted system.

Word has it he'll run into similar problems in Illinois.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 06, 2012, 01:41:28 PM
Oh, and another reason I think Obama will win this election was what he did today. He does play the game of politics well, and he's become very good at distracting attention away from Republicans.

Referring to Obama's Iran comment?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 06, 2012, 01:41:44 PM
At the end of the day, if Santorum or Romney win the nomination he will not have a chance against Obama.




Right?

Romney polls more strongly against Obama than Santorum who would lose in a landslide.  Anything can happen between now and then, but with the economy improving and Obama's approval ratings edging up, he's got a very good shot at two terms.  It's not a cakewalk, but I'd say he's got a better than 50/50 shot
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 06, 2012, 01:43:41 PM
At the end of the day, if Santorum or Romney win the nomination he will not have a chance against Obama.




Right?

I don't think so. Obama's good at debate, he'll play off extremely well to the cold Romney.

Plus, the Republican party is split. Enthusiasm is low, and getting lower. For the same reasons, Republicans keep doing things which mostly alienate themselves from the majority of Americans, because they're appealing to only part of just the conservatives.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 06, 2012, 01:51:53 PM
This is where Obama is going to absolutely demolish Mitt Romney in the debates, if Romney is the nominee:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y6DrH6P9OC0

Mitt Romney was for mandates before he was against being for taking a position against anyone who is for being against being for them.   :tup   
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 06, 2012, 02:13:12 PM
I like this one better:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qyp2QIGejq4

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 06, 2012, 02:32:42 PM
Dear God. I think having the flexibility to change your mind on positions is a positive quality but man that's nuts :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on March 06, 2012, 04:17:22 PM
I prefer a guy who's at least consistent on his views, even if I'm against them. Seeing him in office, governed by his bipolar personality, is just :dangerwillrobinson:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 06, 2012, 04:29:18 PM
Independent voters who are pissed at the economy: "BUT HE'S A BUSINESS MAN"

Romney over Obama in 6 games.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 06, 2012, 05:51:35 PM
I know it's way too soon to make a call in Georgia, but it's being interesting, isn't it?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 06, 2012, 06:16:54 PM
It will definitely be interesting if Romney finishes 3rd in Georgia. He was expected to come in a solid 2nd there.

Anyone who wants to see how Ohio turns out is going to be up late.

While Romney will win Virginia by a decent margin, Paul is holding his own there. Paul is also 2nd in Vermont by a few points over Santorum.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 06, 2012, 06:20:25 PM
I know it's way too soon to make a call in Georgia, but it's being interesting, isn't it?

How so?  Gingrich has almost twice as many votes as Santorum, with about 73% reporting.  Sounds like it's about over to me.  :lol

EDIT:  Never mind.  I was looking at what percentage were reporting in VA.  GA still has a long way to go.  Carry on...   :facepalm:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 06, 2012, 06:30:04 PM
Gingrich winning in Georgia was more or less a given. The interesting thing there tonight will be seeing who takes 2nd.

Also, 5.1% of Tennessee has gone for 'Uncommitted' so far. Now, I will stress that only about 1% has reported there so far, and I'm expecting that percentage to drop dramatically, but if it doesn't, that would be interesting. For reference, 2% Uncommitted is typically considered high.

Also, I'm freaking myself out right now with my prediction in Virginia. In an election pool I have going with a few people, I picked 60/40 for Romney and Paul respectively. No one else placed Paul higher than 32. He's at 41.2 with 85% reporting.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 06, 2012, 07:00:09 PM
I know it's way too soon to make a call in Georgia, but it's being interesting, isn't it?

How so?  Gingrich has almost twice as many votes as Santorum, with about 73% reporting.  Sounds like it's about over to me.  :lol

EDIT:  Never mind.  I was looking at what percentage were reporting in VA.  GA still has a long way to go.  Carry on...   :facepalm:

Yeah, I was about to say... :lolpalm:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 06, 2012, 07:45:04 PM
Gingrich winning in Georgia was more or less a given. The interesting thing there tonight will be seeing who takes 2nd.

Also, 5.1% of Tennessee has gone for 'Uncommitted' so far. Now, I will stress that only about 1% has reported there so far, and I'm expecting that percentage to drop dramatically, but if it doesn't, that would be interesting. For reference, 2% Uncommitted is typically considered high.

Also, I'm freaking myself out right now with my prediction in Virginia. In an election pool I have going with a few people, I picked 60/40 for Romney and Paul respectively. No one else placed Paul higher than 32. He's at 41.2 with 85% reporting.

Well, it's him or romney, so that probably distorts things a little.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 06, 2012, 08:06:29 PM
Gingrich winning in Georgia was more or less a given. The interesting thing there tonight will be seeing who takes 2nd.

Also, 5.1% of Tennessee has gone for 'Uncommitted' so far. Now, I will stress that only about 1% has reported there so far, and I'm expecting that percentage to drop dramatically, but if it doesn't, that would be interesting. For reference, 2% Uncommitted is typically considered high.

Also, I'm freaking myself out right now with my prediction in Virginia. In an election pool I have going with a few people, I picked 60/40 for Romney and Paul respectively. No one else placed Paul higher than 32. He's at 41.2 with 85% reporting.

Well, it's him or romney, so that probably distorts things a little.
Most estimates going in had Paul winning 28 to 32%.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 06, 2012, 09:12:25 PM
Wow, Ohio is close.  It was looking like Santorum would take it, but a late run by Romney has him up half a point with about 15% left to report.  This is interesting.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 06, 2012, 09:44:19 PM
This thing will drag on for a looong time now. Santorum getting 3 states (or more) will make him go on.
I guess the only interesting thing will be what Gingrich and Paul decide to do now.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 06, 2012, 09:49:19 PM
This is gonna be a crazy year.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 06, 2012, 10:44:37 PM
This has been a really bad night for Paul. I'm basing that on what could have been reasonably expected for him. I definitely thought he would be at least closer in North Dakota, and Idaho was a runaway for Romney.
He also should have capitalized way more on Virginia. He just had to convince Santorum and Gingrich supporters that they'd be better off having those delegates go to Paul than Romney, but his campaign didn't really seem to make any kind of effort on that front.

I guess we'll see what happens in Alaska.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: soundgarden on March 07, 2012, 01:40:06 AM
Mitt Romney IS flip-flopping with this talks.  However, from his records he is clearly a moderate Republican that is willing to work with the other side.  And more importantly, able to get things done as we saw in Mass.  All his speech now is just typical pandering to win votes.

If he becomes president and with the pressures of electioneering out of the way; I see him working with the Democrats towards moderately conservative policies.

Its one reason I am honestly thinking of voting for him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 07, 2012, 05:20:05 AM
Man, what's the deal with Wyoming?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 07, 2012, 06:36:28 AM
This has been a really bad night for Paul. I'm basing that on what could have been reasonably expected for him. I definitely thought he would be at least closer in North Dakota, and Idaho was a runaway for Romney.
He also should have capitalized way more on Virginia. He just had to convince Santorum and Gingrich supporters that they'd be better off having those delegates go to Paul than Romney, but his campaign didn't really seem to make any kind of effort on that front.

I guess we'll see what happens in Alaska.

Alaska is called for Romney too. From here on it's all winner takes all, which means show is over for Paul.

Wyoming yeah,wtf? Dud they forget how to count?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on March 07, 2012, 07:23:23 AM
This has been a really bad night for Paul. I'm basing that on what could have been reasonably expected for him. I definitely thought he would be at least closer in North Dakota, and Idaho was a runaway for Romney.
He also should have capitalized way more on Virginia. He just had to convince Santorum and Gingrich supporters that they'd be better off having those delegates go to Paul than Romney, but his campaign didn't really seem to make any kind of effort on that front.

I guess we'll see what happens in Alaska.

Alaska is called for Romney too. From here on it's all winner takes all, which means show is over for Paul.

Wyoming yeah,wtf? Dud they forget how to count?

rumborak

Dud you forget how to spell?    :heart
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on March 07, 2012, 07:27:51 AM
(https://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/compare_and_contrast.png)
Hover text says: "Frankly, I see no difference between thee and a summer's day. ONLY Ron Paul offers a true alternative!"
Too late? :(
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 07, 2012, 08:36:04 AM
Here are my projections for today's voting - these are the winners in each state:

Alaska:
Mitt Romney

Idaho:
Mitt Romney

North Dakota:
Mitt Romney

Georgia: 
Newt Gingrich

Massachusetts:
Mitt Romney

Ohio:
Mitt Romney

Oklahoma:
Rick Santorum

Tennessee:
Rick Santorum

Virginia:
Mitt Romney


Actual:

Alaska:
Mitt Romney

Idaho:
Mitt Romney

North Dakota:
Mitt Romney (wrong - it went to Santorum)

Georgia: 
Newt Gingrich

Massachusetts:
Mitt Romney

Ohio:
Mitt Romney

Oklahoma:
Rick Santorum

Tennessee:
Rick Santorum

Virginia:
Mitt Romney


I forgot about Vermont, but I would have gotten that right because I would have predicted a Romney win there too.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: berrege on March 07, 2012, 08:57:02 AM
What are the predictions for the next major states (Kansas, Alabama, Mississippi)?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 07, 2012, 09:18:03 AM
I really wonder if Kansas will vote for Romney? On the grounds of religion, I mean.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 07, 2012, 10:26:13 AM
Man, what is up with Wyoming indeed.
CNN still has their totals from when they did some sort of vote a week ago, while NYT has a completely different, very small set of numbers, still only at 26% reporting. They also have the 2008 totals for Wyoming at only 12 votes combined, which I'm assuming isn't correct.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 07, 2012, 10:34:42 AM
I mean, normally there are only five people in the state of Wyoming; I suspect those seven others tried to rig the system by coming from other states.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 07, 2012, 10:39:37 AM
I mean, normally there are only five people in the state of Wyoming; I suspect those seven others tried to rig the system by coming from other states.

No, you're confusing Wyoming with Kentucky.  But it's not 5 people.  It's 5 million people, but only 5 last names.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 07, 2012, 10:59:24 AM
What are the predictions for the next major states (Kansas, Alabama, Mississippi)?

hmm, without looking at any polling at all, I suspect all three of those are at least "in play" for Santorum, considering their proximity to the bible belt.  Lemme check the polling.  *brb*

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 07, 2012, 11:07:40 AM
What are the predictions for the next major states (Kansas, Alabama, Mississippi)?

hmm, without looking at any polling at all, I suspect all three of those are at least "in play" for Santorum, considering their proximity to the bible belt.  Lemme check the polling.  *brb*

I don't think it matters much at this point.  Yeah, there's a long way to go.  And after what Santorum was able to accomplish in Michigan, it seemed like yesterday could mark a massive shift if he could gain a bit of ground on Romney with all the delegates at stake.  But given that he actually lost ground, I think it's pretty much over.  He'll likely stay in it awhile longer to keep his name out there, but it seems pretty obvious to me who the nominee will be.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 07, 2012, 11:18:31 AM
I can't really find much polling on the next three states, but they all lean heavily Republican in he general election. 

Here's the map of the bible belt with the state abbreviations for Kansas (KA), Alabama (AL) and Mississippi (MS) on it:

(https://www.kirksnosehair.com/pics/map1.jpg)

By the looks of this map and those state's proximity to the bible belt, I'd say Romney's best chance is in Kansas and he may be in trouble in Alabama and Mississippi.  I'd love to see what the polling projections say about this, but I'm too lazy to dig them up.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 07, 2012, 11:20:28 AM
What are the predictions for the next major states (Kansas, Alabama, Mississippi)?

hmm, without looking at any polling at all, I suspect all three of those are at least "in play" for Santorum, considering their proximity to the bible belt.  Lemme check the polling.  *brb*

I don't think it matters much at this point.  Yeah, there's a long way to go.  And after what Santorum was able to accomplish in Michigan, it seemed like yesterday could mark a massive shift if he could gain a bit of ground on Romney with all the delegates at stake.  But given that he actually lost ground, I think it's pretty much over.  He'll likely stay in it awhile longer to keep his name out there, but it seems pretty obvious to me who the nominee will be.

Oh, I've said all along that Romney will get the nomination.  I still think that today.  But Santorum could now be hoping to have enough delegates to get Romney to put him on the ticket.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 07, 2012, 11:26:51 AM
Well, if Ssntorum plays his cards right he might get all of those, which could be a big blow to Romney.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 07, 2012, 12:44:20 PM
Delegates:

Romney: 429
Santorum: 169
Gingrich: 118
Paul: 67

Needed to win: 1144

Most of the remaining states allocate delegates proportionally, not winner take all.  I don't think anyone can catch Romney.

So, all they're doing now in reality is helping Obama by beating each others heads in.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on March 07, 2012, 01:03:48 PM
Delegates:

Romney: 429
Santorum: 169
Gingrich: 118
Paul: 67

Needed to win: 1144

Most of the remaining states allocate delegates proportionally, not winner take all.  I don't think anyone can catch Romney.

So, all they're doing now in reality is helping Obama by beating each others heads in.

IMO, they started doing that a few months ago.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 07, 2012, 01:13:41 PM
Well, yeah, but the closer we get to November with these guys at each others throats the more powerful and lasting the impact will be.  However, I still think Romney will put up a pretty good challenge to Obama.  At the end of the day, though, his lack of strong core beliefs and his flip-flops are going to do to him the same thing that a lack of strong core beliefs and flip-flops did to John Kerry.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 07, 2012, 01:17:43 PM
There is absolutely NO way those delegate counts are accurate. Just saying.

Obama's going to win EASILY.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 07, 2012, 01:35:51 PM
There is absolutely NO way those delegate counts are accurate. Just saying.

Obama's going to win EASILY.

Depends where you look, but those are pretty much the numbers right now.

Realclearpolitics.com has them this way:

Romney: 404
Santorum: 161
Gingrich: 105
Paul: 61

So, I'm not really sure what you're objecting to.  Some are only "pledged" and the other numbers I got were from CNN.com
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 07, 2012, 01:40:43 PM
There is absolutely NO way those delegate counts are accurate. Just saying.

Obama's going to win EASILY.

Also, you should really keep your eye on this web site for polling data:  https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/president_obama_vs_republican_candidates.html

They're the best in the business and they aggregate polls from all over the place and give an average, which I think is the most accurate reflection of what's really going on.

Right now they've got Obama leading Romney in a general election match up but it's not by any landslide type numbers like you seem to be implying, and is, in fact, very close to the margin of error.

Obama: 49.5%
Romney: 44.3%

Obama +5.2%

Margin: 4%
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 07, 2012, 01:46:34 PM
^Yes.  VERY good site.  And the guy who runs it is a class act.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 07, 2012, 01:47:01 PM
Gotta love YouTube - for all of the conservatives raging against Obama right now because of gas prices, they should look at this video first. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UzEnKdBAb_o&feature=player_embedded)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 07, 2012, 02:03:38 PM
That was great. :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 07, 2012, 02:10:24 PM
Yep, reality is a mo-fo
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 07, 2012, 02:11:07 PM
^Yes.  VERY good site.  And the guy who runs it is a class act.

That site has been my #1 go-to for polls, absolutely.

Regarding the delegate count, there's usually agreement between the major media outlets about it. Only the RP supporters seem to count completely differently due to their crazy "if then else" scheme of how delegates will vote.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 07, 2012, 02:26:32 PM
There is absolutely NO way those delegate counts are accurate. Just saying.

Obama's going to win EASILY.

Also, you should really keep your eye on this web site for polling data:  https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/president_obama_vs_republican_candidates.html

They're the best in the business and they aggregate polls from all over the place and give an average, which I think is the most accurate reflection of what's really going on.

Right now they've got Obama leading Romney in a general election match up but it's not by any landslide type numbers like you seem to be implying, and is, in fact, very close to the margin of error.

Obama: 49.5%
Romney: 44.3%

Obama +5.2%

Margin: 4%
My prediction isn't based on actual evidence. More of a general hunch.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 07, 2012, 02:32:46 PM
Gotta love YouTube - for all of the conservatives raging against Obama right now because of gas prices, they should look at this video first. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UzEnKdBAb_o&feature=player_embedded)
:lol

Maybe this deserves its own topic, but what is behind the fluctuation (increase) of pump prices? I was always under the impression that the price of gas had more to do with the speculation of oil futures than it did anything else.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 07, 2012, 02:35:59 PM
I think the "X vs. Obama" polls are pretty meaningless tbh. Obama hasn't even run a single ad, i.e. the airwaves have been permeated with conservative fare for the last few months. I think the polls will shift quite a bit once it switches to "liberal vs. conservative".

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 07, 2012, 02:39:16 PM
Maybe this deserves its own topic, but what is behind the fluctuation (increase) of pump prices? I was always under the impression that the price of gas had more to do with the speculation of oil futures than it did anything else.

Gas prices are, for all intents and purposes, outside the sphere of influence for a president. It's the OPECs and the Irans that influence it. The president can choose to subidize the price, but all that does is to eventually cause the gas price to rise even higher because demand becomes artificially inflated. Yet another reason to become more energy independent (preferably with renewables), because then you have domestic control over the single more important resource, energy.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 07, 2012, 02:39:46 PM
I think the "X vs. Obama" polls are pretty meaningless tbh. Obama hasn't even run a single ad, i.e. the airwaves have been permeated with conservative fare for the last few months. I think the polls will shift quite a bit once it switches to "liberal vs. conservative".

rumborak


Exactly.  Not that they're completely meaningless, but they're definitely of very limited utility.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 07, 2012, 02:42:37 PM
Any poll that has RP as the "most likely candidate to defeat Obama" as a result also has that giant red flag of "something's amiss here" waving over it.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 07, 2012, 02:44:37 PM
:lol  I personally think you are right.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 07, 2012, 02:47:02 PM
Any poll that has RP as the "most likely candidate to defeat Obama" as a result also has that giant red flag of "something's amiss here" waving over it.

rumborak


I think you don't understand young liberals.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 07, 2012, 02:51:08 PM
Hey, conjecture can't stand against empirical evidence. Not to mention young folks have the lowest voting rate in the country.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 07, 2012, 02:51:40 PM
@Scheavo: Not sure I follow. Are you a) saying I missed that young liberals have flooded those polls with their idea that RP could defeat Obama or b) you're actually saying RP has a chance of defeating Obama?

If RP becomes the nominee, all they will need to do is to do a collection of RP's wild stuff. E.g. shut down half of the federal government in one year, don't give money to disaster victims, let Iran acquire nuclears etc. etc.
Then you invite him to a debate and let him ramble like grandpa on coke, and the deal is done.

EDIT: Lol, first had the typo "RP has a chance of defeating RP" in my post. That's probably closest to reality actually.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 07, 2012, 03:15:45 PM
@Scheavo: Not sure I follow. Are you a) saying I missed that young liberals have flooded those polls with their idea that RP could defeat Obama or b) you're actually saying RP has a chance of defeating Obama?

rumborak

Out of all the Republican candidates, I actually think he has the best chance. Oh, voter turnout, overall, might be lower, but I think Obama could theoretically lose enough votes to Paul, who could siphon away a lot of his base. I think there's enough young people who would just love the opportunity to end our foreign involvements (especially in the Middle East), and end the War on Drugs (seriously, that'd win you the under thirty crowd pretty quickly), that it would make it interesting.

Plus, there'd still be quite a bit of pure anti-Obama votes.

I mean, he has some of the strongest and most fervent supporters out there, and when you have as low of voter turnout as is normal in America, sometimes that's more important than anything else (which is why elections always feature politicians riling up and playing to the base).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 07, 2012, 03:19:08 PM
I wish there was some way to increase voter turnout. Like the Australian compulsory system or something.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 07, 2012, 03:24:06 PM
Regarding ending the foreign involvement, you get that with Obama too, only at a much more reasonable level, not just shrugging your shoulders and walking away from genocide and nuclear ambitions like RP suggests.

Yes, RP has a fervent base, but his problem is that that's all he has. He can not garner any support from other people, as has been painfully obvious over the last few months. Ever candidate turned out to be shit, and yet RP got nowhere as Republicans turned from one bizarre person to the next in hope for that anti-Romney.

Also, I find RP hasn't even remotely been scrutinized as much as the other candidates, simply because everybody agree he's not gonna be the candidate. If the Democratic war chest focused all its efforts on exposing the faults of RP, his current semi-benign image of the half-senile crazy neighbor would switch to "this guy set out to destroy the fabric of society".

I wish there was some way to increase voter turnout. Like the Australian compulsory system or something.

Get rid of winner-takes-all. It is pointless in MA to go voting essentially.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 07, 2012, 08:13:38 PM
The thing that will help Romney in Alabama and Mississippi is Gingrich.

I can call it right now; Romney will at best win a plurality in those states. He has no chance of a majority in either.
If Gingrich drops out before those states hold their contests, Santorum will win both. However, it's a strong region for Gingrich as well. Gingrich has no shot at the nomination himself, but he can still split the vote with Santorum in the deep south.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 07, 2012, 10:51:04 PM
Regarding ending the foreign involvement, you get that with Obama too, only at a much more reasonable level, not just shrugging your shoulders and walking away from genocide and nuclear ambitions like RP suggests.

And while I agree with this, I also know our involvement over there is only self-perpetuating our need to be there. And I know quite a few people who are in the same dilemma. Considering Paul has very high support from the military, this could play into an interesting election dynamic.

Quote
Yes, RP has a fervent base, but his problem is that that's all he has. He can not garner any support from other people, as has been painfully obvious over the last few months. Ever candidate turned out to be shit, and yet RP got nowhere as Republicans turned from one bizarre person to the next in hope for that anti-Romney.

The last few months have been primaries and caucuses, not a general election. For example, Mitt Romney has won the primaries by getting out and winning the rich vote. Voter turnout is extremely low for primaries, and it's generally been lower than in 2008 so far. Considering the working class, and a lot of people, don't get off work, or school, to vote in the primaries, whose gonna be able to vote more? The old, and the rich. It's sorta false to use the Republican primaries to actually gauge Ron Paul's support, when polls show him, in a general election, fairing quite well, and have for a while.

(the above is a reason I think Romney will, in the end, get beaten badly. I don't think he's nearly as strong as some people think he is)

Quote
Also, I find RP hasn't even remotely been scrutinized as much as the other candidates, simply because everybody agree he's not gonna be the candidate. If the Democratic war chest focused all its efforts on exposing the faults of RP, his current semi-benign image of the half-senile crazy neighbor would switch to "this guy set out to destroy the fabric of society".

I don't think that's true. He was getting a surge for a little bit, and the newsletters showed up, and some other baggage.


---

By the way, just so it's clear, I'd either vote for Obama, or not vote, if Paul was somehow the candidate - but he won't be, so it's not really a real issue. Paul gets the attention of a lot of young people, and a lot of young liberals, and I think he splits the liberal vote up in some ways that might explain why he gets as much support, in current national polls, as Romney, the "front runner."
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 08, 2012, 04:47:46 AM
I wish there was some way to increase voter turnout. Like the Australian compulsory system or something.
Factoring in the average intelligence and ignorance of the average voter - a compulsory system would be terrible.

Maybe that's why Australia is sliding into a surveillance state.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 08, 2012, 07:01:48 AM
Maybe that's why Australia is sliding into a surveillance state.

Any Aussies like to confirm this? No offense, the claim just seems like the sort that would come from someone with whom I regularly disagree about U.S.'s becoming a nanny state.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 08, 2012, 07:05:10 AM
I'd like to remind everyone that it will be Romney in Game 6.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 08, 2012, 08:02:49 AM
Maybe that's why Australia is sliding into a surveillance state.

Any Aussies like to confirm this? No offense, the claim just seems like the sort that would come from someone with whom I regularly disagree about U.S.'s becoming a nanny state.

Kinda had the same reaction to that post. Reminds me of Santorum claiming that Dutch elders run around with "do not euthanize" bracelets.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 08, 2012, 08:54:33 AM
Maybe that's why Australia is sliding into a surveillance state.

Any Aussies like to confirm this? No offense, the claim just seems like the sort that would come from someone with whom I regularly disagree about U.S.'s becoming a nanny state.

Kinda had the same reaction to that post. Reminds me of Santorum claiming that Dutch elders run around with "do not euthanize" bracelets.

rumborak
It wasn't meant as a serious post. I wouldn't ever blame that on compulsory voting.

On a more serious note though, Australia has relative economic freedom but the people are losing the civil liberties battle over there.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 08, 2012, 09:06:07 AM
Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you, the 2012 electoral map. Red is Obama, Blue is Romney. 389/149
(https://i41.tinypic.com/314vymx.jpg)

Texas will be closer than usual, due to the rapidly increasing Latino population, and their growing disapproval of the GOP. Romney will still most likely hold it though.

I may do a projection later for Obama vs Santorum, though we won't actually need that one.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 08, 2012, 09:17:39 AM
Dare I ask on what you base those projections? :lol

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 08, 2012, 09:18:49 AM
Why are the colors flipped? Lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 08, 2012, 09:21:47 AM
Why are the colors flipped? Lol
The site I happened to use has them that way. As it should be though. Every proper country represents the left wing party with red and right wing party with blue.

Quote
Dare I ask on what you base those projections?
A combination of results from 2008, looking at certain factors in states that were close in either direction, and a bit of instinct.

To his credit, Romney will get Indiana back into the Republican column, so... that's something.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 08, 2012, 09:25:47 AM
That map is ridiculous  :rollin

Go here for the best projections of electoral college voting:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 08, 2012, 09:28:31 AM
That map is ridiculous  :rollin

Go here for the best projections of electoral college voting:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html
I really don't think that projection is all that far fetched. What exactly do you disagree with, and why?

Heck, if Santorum wins the nomination, Texas might be in play for the first time in 36 years.

I think the most far fetched part of my projection is Montana going for the Democrats. Some might think the most unlikely part would be Georgia, but that state was much closer than expected in 2008, and both it and South Carolina have seen some big demographic shifts over the past four years.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 08, 2012, 10:29:37 AM
Why are the colors flipped? Lol
The site I happened to use has them that way. As it should be though. Every proper country represents the left wing party with red and right wing party with blue.
Yup. The republicans used to be more to the left than Dems, before the progressive era.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 08, 2012, 10:39:40 AM
That map is ridiculous  :rollin

Go here for the best projections of electoral college voting:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html)
I really don't think that projection is all that far fetched. What exactly do you disagree with, and why?


You've got Obama winning in what amounts to an electoral landslide.  Ain't gonna happen.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 08, 2012, 11:31:29 AM
Yup. The republicans used to be more to the left than Dems, before the progressive era.
Plus, the colors for the Democrats and Republicans weren't really standardized until the 1980s.

Quote
You've got Obama winning in what amounts to an electoral landslide.  Ain't gonna happen.
I have him winning a few more states than he did against McCain (and one state he won in '08 going back to the Republicans) against a weaker candidate than McCain, after a primary season that isn't doing the Republicans any favors. The Dakotas may stay in the Republican column, but even then, that's just 6 electoral votes.

With some of the margins, and the outdated practice of the electoral college, a few thousand votes going the other way can shift quite a few electoral votes.

This said, I invite you guys to make your own projections. I think this could be an interesting topic of discussion.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 08, 2012, 11:42:19 AM
I'm pretty much in agreement with the RealClearPolitics view right now.  Obama will win, but he will not have any mandate.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 08, 2012, 11:55:14 AM
The site I happened to use has them that way. As it should be though. Every proper country represents the left wing party with red and right wing party with blue.

Nah. At least in Germany right-wing is associated with the color black. (and extreme right-wing with brown, because those were the colors of the Nazi uniforms).

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 08, 2012, 02:21:00 PM
I think the most far fetched part of my projection is Montana going for the Democrats.

Probably not, but it wouldn't really shock me either.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 08, 2012, 04:43:49 PM
I'm pretty much in agreement with the RealClearPolitics view right now.  Obama will win, but he will not have any mandate.

No he won't.  :heart
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 08, 2012, 06:54:56 PM
lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 08, 2012, 07:05:35 PM
I'm pretty much in agreement with the RealClearPolitics view right now.  Obama will win, but he will not have any mandate.

I'm more and more convinced this is going to be a landslide for Obama. Wait till the presidential debates, it'll become very clear who is a better candidate. If Romney looks strong, it's by comparison.

*edit*

Foreign policy could easily stil be an important issue, and republicans are all fear-mongering, and I don't know anyone who wants more War. Obama has a strong moderate record on the issue.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on March 08, 2012, 07:42:45 PM
My contribution to the Election 2012 debate today:

https://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/09/opinion/krugman-ignorance-is-strength.html?_r=1&smid=tw-NytimesKrugman&seid=auto

Based on this, a more generous education policy looks like it could be winner for Obama should he pursue it. The Republicans look like they don't give a shit, basically, and even if they do these remarks will come back to haunt whoever becomes the candidate. Ofcourse, this raises the issue of how to pay for any reform, but I would be of the view that if you can break your implicit deficit reduction rules on one area, this would be it (or infrastructure investment).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on March 08, 2012, 07:51:00 PM
Maybe that's why Australia is sliding into a surveillance state.
Any Aussies like to confirm this? No offense, the claim just seems like the sort that would come from someone with whom I regularly disagree about U.S.'s becoming a nanny state.
Kinda had the same reaction to that post. Reminds me of Santorum claiming that Dutch elders run around with "do not euthanize" bracelets.

rumborak
It wasn't meant as a serious post. I wouldn't ever blame that on compulsory voting.
On a more serious note though, Australia has relative economic freedom but the people are losing the civil liberties battle over there.
Haha compulsory voting is good and bad, but I reckon it turns the Westminster system into a pseudo-presidential style system, where the layperson basically votes for the leader rather than their local member. I remember reading a book on Australia's social evolution that said ~60 per cent of voters didn't actually know they were voting for their local member as oppose to the leader of the party :lol

Oh and the whole civil liberties thing - Aussies don't really care about that in the main, its too confusing for most people. In my view, we aren't losing rights or anything like that. I mean, there is a cold war going on between the Murdoch press and the Federal government, but we've got nothing like the TSA stuff that you guys regularly whinge about, and we've got rallys and shit going on every other week. So I don't think there is an erosion liberties.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 08, 2012, 10:20:22 PM
If PPP Polls is to be believed, the base is now finally falling in line with Romney. Apparently support for Santorum is collapsing. Given that of course Gingrich isn't going anywhere and Paul doesn't even get reported on anymore. So, this might be finally the end of the road.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 08, 2012, 10:25:21 PM
Well, as long as Obama wins, I don't care if it's by a small margin.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 09, 2012, 12:11:43 AM
If PPP Polls is to be believed, the base is now finally falling in line with Romney. Apparently support for Santorum is collapsing. Given that of course Gingrich isn't going anywhere and Paul doesn't even get reported on anymore. So, this might be finally the end of the road.

rumborak

I've been hearing that do like two weeks now.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 09, 2012, 07:32:46 AM
We'll see how Santorum does in the next few primaries. He'll probably do well in Alabama and Mississippi. With Kansas, I have no idea. In Illinois, which would probably be a good state for Romney anyway, Santorum faces the same problem as Ohio, where by default he can't win some of the delegates there due to paperwork issues.

Romney will be the nominee; it's a matter now of how long Santorum can drag this out. The only outside chance Santorum has is keeping Romney from getting to 1144 delegates, and having a brokered convention (which probably won't happen).

Gingrich and Paul will stay in, but are both becoming less and less of a factor. Gingrich has been out for a while, with everyone but him knowing it. He'll continue to chip a few points off Santorum's totals in some states. Paul really needed a better performance on Super Tuesday to build/keep any momentum. If Maine had turned out better for him, or if he'd picked up even one state earlier this week, he'd still be a factor. He wouldn't have a shot at the nomination, but the upcoming primary season would have a lot less certainty.

If Santorum does well in a few upcoming states, I could see Romney not sealing the deal until May. If Santorum doesn't do well in the next few contests, Republicans will accept Romney sooner.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on March 09, 2012, 07:51:30 AM
I'm basically convinced Romney wins the bid.... so begs the question, who becomes his running mate?!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 09, 2012, 08:09:09 AM
Maybe Huntsman because at least that'll make him seem moderate.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 09, 2012, 08:20:51 AM
Is that what Romney would want though? His moderateness is already considered his fault somewhat in the GOP.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 09, 2012, 08:27:41 AM
Rubio?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on March 09, 2012, 08:36:18 AM
Is that what Romney would want though? His moderateness is already considered his fault somewhat in the GOP.

rumborak

The only real alternative would be Obama though. Unless there's a ultra conservative major third party candidate, Republicans are going to vote for Romney. He's the lesser of two evils. By selling his moderate side, he might pick up some undecided voters who aren't thrilled with Obama.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 09, 2012, 08:43:53 AM
Also I can't see "the Mormon ticket" going over too well with, y'know, those people.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 09, 2012, 08:45:33 AM
Also, I dunno. Even though the GOP has essentially declared Romney the winner, there doesn't seem to be too much enthusiasm for any of the candidates anymore.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on March 09, 2012, 09:01:02 AM
Also, I dunno. Even though the GOP has essentially declared Romney the winner, there doesn't seem to be too much enthusiasm for any of the candidates anymore.
Not really. This reminds me a lot of the Dems in 2004. There was no real excitement over Kerry then and an unpopular president was reelected.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on March 09, 2012, 09:05:31 AM
I'm pretty much in agreement with the RealClearPolitics view right now.  Obama will win, but he will not have any mandate.

I'm more and more convinced this is going to be a landslide for Obama. Wait till the presidential debates, it'll become very clear who is a better candidate.

I want Santorum to get the nomination just for the awesome entertainment that he will deliiver while trying to debate Obama.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on March 09, 2012, 09:17:33 AM
I'm pretty much in agreement with the RealClearPolitics view right now.  Obama will win, but he will not have any mandate.

I'm more and more convinced this is going to be a landslide for Obama. Wait till the presidential debates, it'll become very clear who is a better candidate.

I want Santorum to get the nomination just for the awesome entertainment that he will deliiver while trying to debate Obama.
I kind of think the same way except that there would be a small chance he would actually end up as president. Safer that he doesn't even get the nomination. I can live with Romney as president.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 09, 2012, 09:19:48 AM
I can't. Romney would put us back to where we were at the start of the crash.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 09, 2012, 11:58:24 AM
I'm pretty much in agreement with the RealClearPolitics view right now.  Obama will win, but he will not have any mandate.

I'm more and more convinced this is going to be a landslide for Obama. Wait till the presidential debates, it'll become very clear who is a better candidate.

I want Santorum to get the nomination just for the awesome entertainment that he will deliiver while trying to debate Obama.
I kind of think the same way except that there would be a small chance he would actually end up as president. Safer that he doesn't even get the nomination. I can live with Romney as president.

Nope, I really believe that Santorum would lose in a landslide to Obama because he can't draw independents and moderates.  You have to be able to attract independents and moderates in the general election.  This is why I think Romney makes a formidable candidate against Obama.  Both are equally moderate.  Romney's biggest problem now is he can't connect with middle class voters the same way Obama can.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 09, 2012, 12:07:11 PM
I can't. Romney would put us back to where we were at the start of the crash.

Hey, any improvement is still progress.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 09, 2012, 12:34:27 PM
 :lol   Oh you
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on March 09, 2012, 12:39:46 PM
I can't. Romney would put us back to where we were at the start of the crash.

Hey, any improvement is still progress.
Clever. :clap:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Fiery Winds on March 09, 2012, 01:26:19 PM
I figure Romney's running mate is going to be a right-->far right Christian.  He needs something to reach out to those who are hesitant about his Mormanism, and to address claims of being too moderate. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 09, 2012, 01:39:33 PM
Not sure whether that is the best strategy or not.  Personally, I don't care if he picks Sonic the Hedgehog as his running mate if it gets Obama out of the White House.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 09, 2012, 01:44:27 PM
Romney winning the presidency would be very disappointing to me. Santorum winning it would be actively terrifying.

Anyway, tomorrow is Kansas. I'm expecting this one to be close, with a slight edge for Santorum. Gingrich will be more or less a non-factor. With Paul, this will be the our first glimpse at how his poor showing on Super Tuesday has effected his numbers. It's proportional statewide, with some delegates being allocated to the winners of the congressional districts. I'm expecting it to be more or less an even split between Santorum and Romney.

Also, unrelated, I was looking over some results from Tuesday. Jon Huntsman, who you may recall dropped out about two months ago, got 2% of the vote there. For comparison, Gingrich, who is still technically in it, got 8%. This has no bearing on anything; I just thought it was funny.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 09, 2012, 01:45:23 PM
Rush Limbaugh is the obvious choice for Romney as a running mate.  :P
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 09, 2012, 01:52:04 PM
I can't. Romney would put us back to where we were at the start of the crash.

Hey, any improvement is still progress.

Y'know, I realize this was supposed to be a joke and all, but... :-\

Rush Limbaugh is the obvious choice for Romney as a running mate.  :P

Now that's funny.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 09, 2012, 02:02:22 PM
I can't. Romney would put us back to where we were at the start of the crash.

Hey, any improvement is still progress.

Y'know, I realize this was supposed to be a joke and all, but... :-\

No, it wasn't.  Not that I have faith in Romney to actually undo the damage, but at least we will hopefully slow it down.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 09, 2012, 02:03:44 PM
Not sure whether that is the best strategy or not.  Personally, I don't care if he picks Sonic the Hedgehog as his running mate if it gets Obama out of the White House.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 09, 2012, 02:22:45 PM
I have to be honest here, I find the comments about "damage" and Obama pretty  :lol worthy, considering his predecessor had us borrowing hundreds of billions of dollars from the most repressive communist regime on earth in order to fund tax cuts for hedge fund managers and prosecute a war to spread democracy free the Iraqi people from a dictator find WMDs find and kill Al Queda...um, what was I saying again?  ::)   Damage?  Yeah, we need more time to fix all of it. It took 8 years to destroy our economy, give us time.  You can't turn a battleship on a dime nor can you turn an economy, but we've now had 24 consecutive months of job growth.  Patience is needed. 

Getting back to the VP slot, Chris Christie won't be the pick.  This is one of many reasons why. (https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/03/09/christie-argues-with-veteran_n_1334963.html)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 09, 2012, 02:23:17 PM
Could you guys please explain to me what Obama has done that has been so unworthy of the Office? I've asked this question a lot, and I still just don't see it. Not that he's perfect, but he seems to be at worst having a slightly positive effect for us, not some catastrophic meltdown, that he needs to be out of the office, no matter what. Could a better candidate beat him? Ya, but none of those are the current mix of Republicans, and I can't fathom why you'd accept someone worse, just because it's not Obama.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 09, 2012, 02:27:20 PM
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Recovery_and_Reinvestment_Act_of_2009

That's a big one for me.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 09, 2012, 02:33:52 PM
The worst parts of those are due to Congress, not Obama, and there were numerous positive effects from the stimulus. Many economists have stated things would be worse without the stimulus. I mean, what are you going to try and argue, that infrastructure investment is bad? Let's also not forget that half of the $700 billion were tax cuts. Payroll tax cuts and unemployment benefits, especially, helped us fall deeper into a hole.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 09, 2012, 02:34:44 PM
The worst parts of those are due to Congress, not Obama, and there were numerous positive effects from the stimulus. Many economists have stated things would be worse without the stimulus. I mean, what are you going to try and argue, that infrastructure investment is bad? Let's also not forget that half of the $700 billion were tax cuts. Payroll tax cuts and unemployment benefits, especially, helped us fall deeper into a hole.

Totally due to Congress. Fucking sucks that the President can't veto anything.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 09, 2012, 02:38:29 PM
So, do something that's not as good as it could be, or do nothing at all. Your choice.

Let's not pretending a veto would have changed the bill, it would have meant nothing happened, and that would have been far worse than passing a corrupt piece of legislation. We should be blaming congress for the pieces of shit, not Obama. Because guess what, that's where the power of our government lies. If Congress wasn't corrupt, it wouldn't pass corrupt legislation, and no President, regardless of party, could do anything about it. If they veto it, because it's not corrupt, Congress can override him.



Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 09, 2012, 02:49:39 PM
Oh, and a lot of that money lined the pockets of special interests groups. Solydnra anyone?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 09, 2012, 02:54:42 PM
Could you guys please explain to me what Obama has done that has been so unworthy of the Office? I've asked this question a lot, and I still just don't see it.

Nah, not worth debating if you ask me.  I'll just say that I have to think for awhile before I can think of anything he has done that has been a positive rather than detrimental, and I'll just leave it at that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 09, 2012, 02:58:02 PM
 :facepalm:

You are aware Solyndra goes back to the Bush administration (https://thinkprogress.org/romm/2011/09/13/317594/timeline-bush-administration-solyndra-loan-guarantee/?mobile=nc), right? The loan was finally approved under Obama, but the process and the actual loan secured were part of a program that came into existence before Obama was ever elected. There's also not much reason, still, to believe Solyndra was done out of anything other than good intentions. There are countless other companies which got loans, which did not fail, and the simple fact is, some companies are going to fail.

So ya, you can point to corruption of our Federal Government, but you still aren't showing me how this is Obama. In fact, you point to Solyndra, which only helps me prove my point. "The Obama Administration restructured the original Bush-era deal to further protect the taxpayers’ investment."
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 09, 2012, 03:00:54 PM
???  I didn't say a word about Solyndra or Bush.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 09, 2012, 03:02:27 PM
It's not like Obama went to Solyndra and gave a speech about how they were going to be leaders in the industry.

Bush blaming is so 2008. Can't you guys come up with ANYTHING new? I don't need to explain why I don't like the guy. You're just going to tell me I'm wrong, and I don't feel like debating it. I've done my research. Or I could just say it's because he's black and take the easy way out ;) (no, it's not because he's black. that's just my go-to tactic to get people to shut up when they want to debate me over stupid shit).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 09, 2012, 03:17:00 PM
For the record, Solyndra didn't collapse because it was a failure; it collapsed because the solar panel market under their wing expanded too rapidly and they couldn't keep up. The "too big to fail" effect, as it were.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 09, 2012, 04:59:57 PM
???  I didn't say a word about Solyndra or Bush.

Never said you did.

It's not like Obama went to Solyndra and gave a speech about how they were going to be leaders in the industry.

Bush blaming is so 2008. Can't you guys come up with ANYTHING new? I don't need to explain why I don't like the guy. You're just going to tell me I'm wrong, and I don't feel like debating it. I've done my research. Or I could just say it's because he's black and take the easy way out ;) (no, it's not because he's black. that's just my go-to tactic to get people to shut up when they want to debate me over stupid shit).

First of all, I don't think Solyndra is a scandal, you do, so I'm not blaming Bush. I'm pointing out how Solyndra, if it's a scandal, can hardly be said to be purely Obama. You're blaming Obama, and Im showing you how silly that is. Giving a speech at the factory doesn't show corruption, it shows they picked a bad example to tout.

But nice try to change the topic.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 09, 2012, 05:23:05 PM
My gripes with Obama are numerous but I don't see how Romney & Co. could possibly do a better job. Actually...electing a Republican might force the Democrats to pretend to care about civil liberties and all that silly stuff again.


.....ROMNEY 2012!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 09, 2012, 05:37:15 PM
Here's the deal. Im not going to throw out all of the reasons why I am not voting for the guy as if it is a discussion. It's venturing into opinion territory. And when it's my opinion, you're always going to be wrong. I don't see why it's even worth discussing. I cited Solyndra as an example. I disagree with that amount of government spending fundamentally (with the exception of war time spending). So, it doesn't matter who/what. I wasn't the biggest Bush fan either.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 09, 2012, 05:46:37 PM
Why is wartime spending an exception?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 09, 2012, 05:48:42 PM
I believe the USA should always be on the cutting edge of military technology. Wartime spending gets exception because you can't put a price on safety of ourselves or others.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 09, 2012, 06:25:47 PM
Why is wartime spending an exception?
Because obviously killing defenseless brown people half way around the world is good, but providing health care to your own citizens so they don't die of easily avoidable/treatable disease or go bankrupt from medical treatments is bad.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 09, 2012, 06:34:29 PM
TL, that is absolutely unacceptable.  Knock it off.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on March 09, 2012, 07:47:26 PM
Why is that unacceptable?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 10, 2012, 06:53:23 AM
Yeah, I said something in a previous post that I thought I would have been warned for. While I think TL's post is asinine, I don't see what's particularly bad about it.

I was being a bitch last night. Getting hella lag in counter strike. Fucking up my kpd. But, I disagree with a lot of Obama's rhetoric. Being conservative, why should I like anything he says?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 10, 2012, 07:17:42 AM
Why should your political alignment affect your ability to reach across the line?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 10, 2012, 07:28:08 AM
IMO, he hasnt said anything that has made me want to compromise.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 10, 2012, 07:30:32 AM
Okay, so try to be more specific: what did he say that was so offensive?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 10, 2012, 07:33:23 AM
Nothing offensive, just nothing I agree with.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 10, 2012, 07:34:51 AM
What I find sort of baffling is the fact that Obama has really been a very centrist president, yet, conservatives continue to despise the guy as if he's actually been able to move any truly progressive legislation through congress.  The only thing that even comes remotely close to a liberal or progressive legislative achievement are the stimulus (which despite conservatives efforts to paint as something that's created no jobs has in fact created a lot of jobs) and the health care legislation, which the NON-Partisan CBO notes will be paid for.

He appointed a couple of liberals to the SCOTUS, I guess I can see why conservatives wouldn't like that, but it's not like the court isn't still tipped to the right.

I think conservatives should just take a deep breath and let it out slowly.  :)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 10, 2012, 07:36:58 AM
Nothing offensive, just nothing I agree with.

We'll let's start here:

You don't agree with reining in wall street so we don't have another financial crisis?
You don't agree with ending the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy?
You don't agree with the payroll tax cut that makes your paychecks bigger?
You don't agree with ending the Iraq war?
You don't agree with giving more people opportunities to go to college?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 10, 2012, 07:42:26 AM
What I find sort of baffling is the fact that Obama has really been a very centrist president, yet, conservatives continue to despise the guy as if he's actually been able to move any truly progressive legislation through congress.  The only thing that even comes remotely close to a liberal or progressive legislative achievement are the stimulus (which despite conservatives efforts to paint as something that's created no jobs has in fact created a lot of jobs) and the health care legislation, which the NON-Partisan CBO notes will be paid for.

He appointed a couple of liberals to the SCOTUS, I guess I can see why conservatives wouldn't like that, but it's not like the court isn't still tipped to the right.

I think conservatives should just take a deep breath and let it out slowly.  :)

Which, as was mentioned before, actually was thrown together under the Bush administration anyway, so it's not Obama's.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 10, 2012, 07:46:52 AM
1.) I'm not pitchfork and torches mad at Obama :P
2.) All of the things you asked I have to say no to. If there were a perfect answer to all of those questions, I'd take it. But there aren't. How is he going to make it easier to go to college? I think it's premature to end the war. I don't give a shit about wall street bankers. Why doesn't he do something about oil speculators (I believe the problem stems from Bush Sr.)? I don't think the rich should foot my bills. I'm going to work as hard as it takes to pay my bills. I guess having more in my paycheck is nice except that I've owed taxes the last two years even though I haven't claimed any exemptions.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 10, 2012, 08:51:35 AM
Whoa, Dennis Kucinich lost his primary.

I always liked that guy. Stood up for what was right and got called names for it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 10, 2012, 12:06:07 PM
Yeah, I said something in a previous post that I thought I would have been warned for. While I think TL's post is asinine, I don't see what's particularly bad about it.

I was being a bitch last night. Getting hella lag in counter strike. Fucking up my kpd. But, I disagree with a lot of Obama's rhetoric. Being conservative, why should I like anything he says?

Because Obama is a conservative too? He's practically Reagan.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 10, 2012, 12:47:42 PM
In the US, a single payer universal health care system was actually more or a Republican policy than a Democratic one until about a decade ago. Some Republicans oppose it now largely because the Democrats support it.
Heck, here in Canada, while the idea was conceived by the first leader of the NDP, it was first put into place nationally by Conservative PM John Diefenbaker.

On another note, we have a few new primary results in today;

Guam, with a total of 215 votes, has gone 100% for Romney. That's 9 delegates.

The Northern Marianas Islands were more competitive, only going 88% for Romney. 738 votes for Romney, 51 for Santorum, 25 for Paul, 25 for Gingrich. 9 more delegates for Romney.

The Virgin Islands are going today, but we don't have any results yet. In 2008, 'Uncommitted' won there with 47% of the vote.

Kansas, which is by far the biggest contest today, has about 24% reporting so far. Santorum currently has 51.5%. Gingrich has 18.6%, Romney has 18.1%, and Paul is at 10.7%.
0.7% has gone for 'Uncommitted', while Bachmann, Huntsman, Cain, and Perry each have 0.1%.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 10, 2012, 01:33:15 PM
With 77% reporting, CNN has called it for Santorum.
Santorum 53%, Romney 17%, Gingrich 16%, Paul 13%.

We still don't have many votes in from more urban areas, so Romney will probably gain a few percentage points before we're done, but Santorum definitely has it. Santorum's win isn't really a surprise, and his margin was bumped a bit by the fact that some people literally seem to base their vote on 'that guy visited my state, so I'll vote for him'. That said, even accounting for that, the margin he's winning by is a good sign for him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 10, 2012, 01:39:01 PM
In the US, a single payer universal health care system was actually more or a Republican policy than a Democratic one until about a decade ago. Some Republicans oppose it now largely because the Democrats support it.
Heck, here in Canada, while the idea was conceived by the first leader of the NDP, it was first put into place nationally by Conservative PM John Diefenbaker.

And the individual mandate was a conservative idea until Democrats started to agree to that compromise. Republicans aren't very conservative anymore, because they want to basically undo everything that's been done for that past 80 years. For the most part, Democrats are basically just arguing for idea's we've already done, and many of which conservatives used to argue for.



As for the current news, I think this goes to show you how unpopular Romney is in the "heartland" of America. He doesn't represent the base of the Republican party, and that's a huge factor.

Also, I heard the actual delegate conventions were happening for Iowa and Wyoming, so Paul's claim that he has more delegates will actually be challenged today.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: berrege on March 10, 2012, 01:42:34 PM
I'm a European but I follow the 2012 election very closely. I always hope Santorum does well, not because I like him or his ideas, on the contrary, but because the pre-elections last longer that way. Here in Europe almost everyone I know hopes Obama gets re-elected instead of one of those crazy Republicans. Go Barack!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 10, 2012, 03:04:09 PM
I'm a European but I follow the 2012 election very closely. I always hope Santorum does well, not because I like him or his ideas, on the contrary, but because the pre-elections last longer that way. Here in Europe almost everyone I know hopes Obama gets re-elected instead of one of those crazy Republicans. Go Barack!

Thank you. Why does everyone else in the world get it but us? :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 10, 2012, 03:54:29 PM
With 99% reporting in Kansas, Santorum has 51%. Romney was able to get above 20%, and may be eligible to get a few delegates, but the bulk of them will go to Santorum.
Out of 40, NYT has projected 30 delegates for Santorum, while CNN has projected 33 for Santorum and 7 for Romney.

Romney has also picked up 18 delegates total from Guam and North Marianas Islands. He'll likely pick up 9 more from the Virgin Islands.

Quote
Also, I heard the actual delegate conventions were happening for Iowa and Wyoming, so Paul's claim that he has more delegates will actually be challenged today.
Reading into it, it sounds like today is when the counties select delegates to go to the state convention, and then the state convention, which will take place later, will determine who Iowa's delegates officially go to. By the end of the day, we should have an indication of whether or not there's anything to Paul's caucus delegate strategy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 10, 2012, 04:28:17 PM
Well, some of us don't agree with some of the policies that Obama/other left leaning people want in place. To me, it's like that old saying there's no such thing as a free lunch. Someone is paying for it somewhere.

There should be some degree of safety net (which I'll admit I'm a bit more moderate in that regard) but, healthcare for all via government scares me. In fact, my doctor installed a new plan that wouldn't accept insurance anymore so he could still make money from being a doctor. He actually went from about 400 patients to 50. He's an ADD specialist and is trying to find a way so that he can still see me and a few other patients. I've been going to him for nearly 7 years. He referred me to someone else, but fuck. 7 years is a long time to see the same doctor when you're almost 22. We had a trusting enough relationship where I could tell him that I didn't like a certain med/dosage and we could change it right then and there; no questions asked. But now, I don't get to see him. Yes - it was my doctor's choice and I don't blame him at all. He is trying to keep his job that makes his money.

The option to see him costs 1,500 a year. It's great for regular checkups, but at 22 I don't really need regular. I only need to see him about 3-4 times a year (which he would like to charge 40-60 per visit). So, yeah. You can see why 1,500 without any sort of insurance is a bit of a pain.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 10, 2012, 04:31:24 PM
I think a leftist equivalent to libertarianism on the public stage would be healthy for national discourse. I mean, we've basically got a Reagan Republican in the White House and the GOP is posturing itself so far to the right of him. There's no balance. 

Being labeled a socialist is like a kiss of death nowadays.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 10, 2012, 04:33:47 PM
I think a leftist equivalent to libertarianism on the public stage would be healthy for national discourse. I mean, we've basically got a Reagan Republican in the White House and the GOP is posturing itself so far to the right of him. There's no balance. 

Being labeled a socialist is like a kiss of death nowadays.

I hardly call him Reagan. He openly states that he wants to tax the higher ups. I mean, sure it's not like he's Lenin or w/e, but that's not Reagan.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 10, 2012, 04:54:35 PM
Well, some of us don't agree with some of the policies that Obama/other left leaning people want in place. To me, it's like that old saying there's no such thing as a free lunch. Someone is paying for it somewhere.

There should be some degree of safety net (which I'll admit I'm a bit more moderate in that regard) but, healthcare for all via government scares me. In fact, my doctor installed a new plan that wouldn't accept insurance anymore so he could still make money from being a doctor. He actually went from about 400 patients to 50. He's an ADD specialist and is trying to find a way so that he can still see me and a few other patients. I've been going to him for nearly 7 years. He referred me to someone else, but fuck. 7 years is a long time to see the same doctor when you're almost 22. We had a trusting enough relationship where I could tell him that I didn't like a certain med/dosage and we could change it right then and there; no questions asked. But now, I don't get to see him. Yes - it was my doctor's choice and I don't blame him at all. He is trying to keep his job that makes his money.

The option to see him costs 1,500 a year. It's great for regular checkups, but at 22 I don't really need regular. I only need to see him about 3-4 times a year (which he would like to charge 40-60 per visit). So, yeah. You can see why 1,500 without any sort of insurance is a bit of a pain.

 what you know of other countries healthcare systems? And i can both agree that "obamacare" has some faults, but in the end, we can expect to pay less for better care.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 10, 2012, 05:26:45 PM
Well, some of us don't agree with some of the policies that Obama/other left leaning people want in place. To me, it's like that old saying there's no such thing as a free lunch. Someone is paying for it somewhere.
When all costs, such as insurance premiums, taxes, etc are taken into account, Canadians on average spend about half as much per capita on health care, compared to Americans. This doesn't include many additional costs you would pay in America at the time of actually receiving medical care.

One of the largest factors is a much higher emphasis on early diagnosis/treatment, and preventative care. If you want to see a doctor for a regular checkup, or because you think you may have a medical problem, you can see someone (your primary physician or another doctor if you so choose) for free. In the US, you often have to pay for checkups and tests, and so many people put it off until they absolutely have to go.
Most serious illnesses are easier and cheaper to treat the earlier you catch it.

So the argument that you shouldn't have to pay for the health care of others doesn't really work, because you're paying less for your own care under this kind of system as well.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 10, 2012, 05:33:12 PM
I hardly call him Reagan. He openly states that he wants to tax the higher ups. I mean, sure it's not like he's Lenin or w/e, but that's not Reagan.
Reagan raised taxes 11 times, including on businesses, and on the highest earners.
https://www.forbes.com/2010/02/02/barack-obama-ronald-reagan-budget-taxes-opinions-contributors-rob-shapiro.html
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jammindude on March 10, 2012, 10:14:09 PM
As someone who has no horse in this race...can I just ask a stupid question?   (I'm totally Apolitical and always will be...but that's off topic)

The way the system is run now...majority rules, right?   What would happen (theoretically) if socialism carried a majority vote?   

I mean, hypothetically...it seems like quite a few people are debating over whether or not the health care situation is actually "socialism" or not...and I was just curious as to what would happen if there actually was a "socialist party" (is there?  I know there's lots of parties we never hear about) and they ended up carrying the majority of the vote? 

I mean, could the government veto that in some way and say, "Majority rules...but you can't change our form of government even if it is the majority."   

As an outsider, I guess I'm just curious.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Fiery Winds on March 10, 2012, 10:21:19 PM
Others can answer that far better than I can, but the system (in theory) is to prevent the majority from infringing upon the rights of the minority.  That's why we're not a direct democracy (which is majority rule) but a representative republic.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 10, 2012, 10:33:41 PM
Any elected party would need to do things within the confines of the current system. If the Socialist Party of America somehow had their nominee for President elected, but they still had a congress made up of Democrats and Republicans, they would have to work with that congress on any laws they wanted to pass.

Also, it's important to make a distinction between socialism and communism. Many developed countries, including the United States and Canada, have many socialist policies in practice. There are even many developed, prospering countries that are socialist. When thinking socialism in modern times, don't think the Soviet Union; think Sweden. They're doing just fine. Socialism is simply a different, valid means of running a country.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on March 11, 2012, 04:47:27 AM
I think a leftist equivalent to libertarianism on the public stage would be healthy for national discourse. I mean, we've basically got a Reagan Republican in the White House and the GOP is posturing itself so far to the right of him. There's no balance. 

Being labeled a socialist is like a kiss of death nowadays.

I hardly call him Reagan. He openly states that he wants to tax the higher ups. I mean, sure it's not like he's Lenin or w/e, but that's not Reagan.
Yes it is.  Reagan most certainly raised taxes on the highest earners.  He said it was their obligation, exactly what Obama and Warren Buffett have said.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 11, 2012, 08:00:18 AM
Any elected party would need to do things within the confines of the current system. If the Socialist Party of America somehow had their nominee for President elected, but they still had a congress made up of Democrats and Republicans, they would have to work with that congress on any laws they wanted to pass.

Also, it's important to make a distinction between socialism and communism. Many developed countries, including the United States and Canada, have many socialist policies in practice. There are even many developed, prospering countries that are socialist. When thinking socialism in modern times, don't think the Soviet Union; think Sweden. They're doing just fine. Socialism is simply a different, valid means of running a country.

But...but Communism! Those damned Reds are gonna take away all our personal freedoms!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 11, 2012, 09:38:08 AM
Also, it's important to make a distinction between socialism and communism. Many developed countries, including the United States and Canada, have many socialist policies in practice. There are even many developed, prospering countries that are socialist. When thinking socialism in modern times, don't think the Soviet Union; think Sweden. They're doing just fine. Socialism is simply a different, valid means of running a country.

This, totally. Being "socialist" in modern times really just means that you one of your priorities is to equalize inherent (unfair) inequalities in your society.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jammindude on March 11, 2012, 10:26:16 AM
Thanks for all the feedback.  Fascinating stuff.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 11, 2012, 11:45:31 AM
In the end the GOP is heavily abusing the fact that a lot of people have been woefully ignorant of what has been going on outside the US borders. So, knowing that, they've been able to convince their base of stuff like that in the Netherlands old people wear "do not euthanize" bracelets. And, that there's no difference between Socialism and Communism.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 11, 2012, 03:18:16 PM
Woeful ignorance is just the epithet I'd use. It shocks and appalls me how unworldly Americans today can be, and what voting power that sector of society has.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 12, 2012, 11:07:40 AM
Woeful ignorance is just the epithet I'd use. It shocks and appalls me how unworldly Americans today can be, and what voting power that sector of society has.

There's plenty of woeful ignorance (https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/03/12/obama-religion-mississippi-alabama_n_1338990.html) to go around too. 

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 12, 2012, 12:32:33 PM
Quote
"It's not about your jobs. It's about some phony ideal. Some phony theology. Oh, not a theology based on the Bible."

What in the fuck? The Quran definitely acknowledges and was without a doubt heavily based on the Bible.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 12, 2012, 12:35:34 PM
MUSLIM APOLOGIST!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 12, 2012, 01:14:32 PM
Quote
"It's not about your jobs. It's about some phony ideal. Some phony theology. Oh, not a theology based on the Bible."

What in the fuck? The Quran definitely acknowledges and was without a doubt heavily based on the Bible.

You really think the people who believe Obama is a Muslim (as many as 52% by some polls in the south) give a shit about inconvenient things like facts?

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 13, 2012, 09:13:52 AM
So more contests today.
Also, according to MSNBC, Ron Paul actually won the vote in the Virgin Islands back on Saturday, but will only get 1 delegate, while Romney will get at least 7 (there are 9 total), because they have some crazy, convoluted system there.

As for today, we have the HAMAS primaries; Hawaii, Alabama, Mississippi, American Samoa. My predictions;

- Hawaii will go to Romney. Paul will do surprisingly well and come in a decent second, though not close enough to Romney to actually have a shot of winning it.

- Alabama will go to Gingrich, but Romney and Santorum will be close behind. It's proportional, so depending on how the congressional districts go, the delegate split could be somewhat even between the three of them.

- Mississippi; basically the same story as Alabama, except without Gingrich coming in first.

- American Samoa; Somehow part of the US, in spite of being closer to New Zealand than to Hawaii. I have no idea how the voting will go, but Romney will get most, if not all, of the delegates, because hey why not.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 13, 2012, 09:20:38 AM
It's kinda hilarious to see Gingrich and Santorum bitch at each other "No, you leave! No, you leave!"

I've seen RP supporters complaining about the mass media ignoring him, but I was just reading a CNN article about today's election, at this point he's mentioned with a half-sentence at best.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: pogoowner on March 13, 2012, 10:40:40 AM
I found this somewhat amusing: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G106jlvZYmQ
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 13, 2012, 10:43:43 AM
The comments are really sad.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: pogoowner on March 13, 2012, 10:50:38 AM
The comments are really sad.
It's Youtube, the comments are always sad.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 13, 2012, 11:22:12 AM
Haha, gotta give it to Santorum on that one. That guy was a classic Ron Paul drone.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 13, 2012, 11:56:22 AM
Haha, gotta give it to Santorum on that one. That guy was a classic Ron Paul drone.

rumborak

True, but Santorum is a raging hypocrite any time he opens his mouth about "spending" - something he himself voted in favor of (https://www.clubforgrowth.org/whitepapers/?subsec=137&id=902) time and time again during the Bush years.  Something he now cites as "being a team player (https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/02/23/rush-limbaugh-rick-santorum-team-player_n_1297508.html)."
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 13, 2012, 12:31:49 PM
I noticed this today, and I've been noticing this kind of thing more and more.

From this CNN piece. (https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/03/13/romney-focused-on-obama-and-gas-prices-not-competitors/)

Quote from: CNN.com
Mitt Romney did not mention either of his GOP rivals on the day of a hard-fought pair of Republican contests, but instead kept his focus on President Obama and rising fuel prices at a Missouri rally.

So, basically, the media now considers Ron Paul to no longer be a candidate.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 13, 2012, 12:55:48 PM
That's what I meant earlier. RP is no longer mentioned at all, or if, then only at the very end of the article with "oh, there's this other guy too". I mean, it's of course true that RP is simply no longer in any way a credible candidate, but it's also a bit harsh :lol

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 13, 2012, 01:46:31 PM
Well, reality is what it is.  When I hear him talking about how they have a "solid delegate strategy" it really just makes me  ::)

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 13, 2012, 01:54:17 PM
Here's a different thought actually: I just saw some news snippet about the campaigning today, and they noted that the live music is distinctly different from the other states. It's all fiddle and steel guitar.
Here's the question: Don't Southerners feel "token" when this stuff happens? I mean, it's like as if I went to a rally here in Massachusetts, and the main speaker would sound like the mayor from The Simpsons.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 13, 2012, 01:59:19 PM
Here's a different thought actually: I just saw some news snippet about the campaigning today, and they noted that the live music is distinctly different from the other states. It's all fiddle and steel guitar.
Here's the question: Don't Southerners feel "token" when this stuff happens? I mean, it's like as if I went to a rally here in Massachusetts, and the main speaker would sound like the mayor from The Simpsons.

rumborak

Nah, I don't think so.  It's just politicians pandering to the locals.  They do the same thing in Maine when they take pictures down at the lobster boat docks, and in New Jersey when they have Bon Jovi or Bruce Springsteen music playing or in Iowa when they gobble corn dogs at the State Fair.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 13, 2012, 02:01:47 PM
Well, it seems people have a different sensitivity for this :lol
I always hate it when people come to Boston and say stuff like "Beantown" or whatever. It's the surefire way of telling an out-of-towner.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 13, 2012, 06:44:53 PM
Any predictions about who will throw in the towel? RP should have done so a long time ago, but clearly his perception is different from the rest of the country.
Do you think there's something to Gingrich and Santorum teaming up?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 13, 2012, 06:50:55 PM
Paul was never actually in this to win. I think even he knows that he never had a shot (though many of his supporters still haven't realized that). He's in this to shape the debate. He'll probably stay in until the end.

If anyone else were in Gingrich's position, they would probably have already dropped out, and if not, they would after tonight. That said, Gingrich is an ego-based lifeform, and seems to be the last person around who hasn't realized that he doesn't have a shot at the nomination.

Santorum definitely won't drop as long as he stays in 2nd place in the delegate count, unless Romney starts winning every remaining contest overwhelmingly. He doesn't have to pass Romney in the count, he just needs to keep Romney from hitting 1144 delegates.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 13, 2012, 06:55:40 PM
Re RP, isn't this slowly working against him now? There's the point after which you become "the guy who just doesn't get the memo" and I think RP is past it now. If he really cares about his cause he should drop out now and try to become an outside commentator.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 13, 2012, 09:00:25 PM
Santorum is projected to win both Alabama and Mississippi, and Romney will probably come in 3rd in both.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 14, 2012, 07:43:40 AM
Any predictions about who will throw in the towel? RP should have done so a long time ago, but clearly his perception is different from the rest of the country.
Do you think there's something to Gingrich and Santorum teaming up?

rumborak

Here's the thing.  As TL mentioned above, Newt Gingrich has a massive ego and he's incredibly arrogant.  I really don't see him dropping out at all.  Santorum shouldn't drop out.  I really don't think he can actually catch Romney, but he *can* prevent Romney from getting to 1144.  Ron Paul is basically a meaningless senile old man and is pretty much irrelevant at this point.  The GOP have formed a circular firing squad that is leading to a messy brokered convention.  Their candidate is going to limp into the general election, and even under those circumstances, I still put Obama's chances at reelection at 50/50 at best.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 14, 2012, 07:49:30 AM
Any predictions about who will throw in the towel? RP should have done so a long time ago, but clearly his perception is different from the rest of the country.
Do you think there's something to Gingrich and Santorum teaming up?

rumborak

Here's the thing.  As TL mentioned above, Newt Gingrich has a massive ego and he's incredibly arrogant.  I really don't see him dropping out at all.  Santorum shouldn't drop out.  I really don't think he can actually catch Romney, but he *can* prevent Romney from getting to 1144.  Ron Paul is basically a meaningless senile old man and is pretty much irrelevant at this point.  The GOP have formed a circular firing squad that is leading to a messy brokered convention.  Their candidate is going to limp into the general election, and even under those circumstances, I still put Obama's chances at reelection at 50/50 at best.

Why is that? Personally I think the short decline in approval rating is a non-issue.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 14, 2012, 08:01:36 AM
Any predictions about who will throw in the towel? RP should have done so a long time ago, but clearly his perception is different from the rest of the country.
Do you think there's something to Gingrich and Santorum teaming up?

rumborak

Here's the thing.  As TL mentioned above, Newt Gingrich has a massive ego and he's incredibly arrogant.  I really don't see him dropping out at all.  Santorum shouldn't drop out.  I really don't think he can actually catch Romney, but he *can* prevent Romney from getting to 1144.  Ron Paul is basically a meaningless senile old man and is pretty much irrelevant at this point.  The GOP have formed a circular firing squad that is leading to a messy brokered convention.  Their candidate is going to limp into the general election, and even under those circumstances, I still put Obama's chances at reelection at 50/50 at best.

Why is that? Personally I think the short decline in approval rating is a non-issue.

Watch this video (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ciuGxdMuQLg&feature=player_embedded), then remember that in order to win again, Obama must carry at least a few states in the south.  The only reason he won in 2008 is because of how terrible of a president George W. Bush was combined with the fact that John McCain chose Sarah Palin as a running mate.  Had McCain chose someone with an actual brain, I believe he would have won.

Edit: fixed a typo
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 14, 2012, 08:29:49 AM
He'll have to carry the South sure, but he's still got the Democratic North, and I know what people say about Democrats being turned off by Obama but I hardly think even a disappointed Democrat would vote against his/her self-interest.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 14, 2012, 08:30:07 AM
Also don't underestimate that all people have been hearing in the last few months is Republican thought. I think once the actual campaigning kicks in we will see some shifts going on.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 14, 2012, 01:10:56 PM
Here's the thing.  As TL mentioned above, Newt Gingrich has a massive ego and he's incredibly arrogant.  I really don't see him dropping out at all.  Santorum shouldn't drop out.  I really don't think he can actually catch Romney, but he *can* prevent Romney from getting to 1144. 

But here's something that makes it even more interesting:  If Gingrich isn't in the race and you are basically looking at a head-to-head race between Romney and Santorum, Santorum would likely be leading right now instead of Romney. 


Also don't underestimate that all people have been hearing in the last few months is Republican thought. I think once the actual campaigning kicks in we will see some shifts going on.

rumborak


Honestly, I don't think most people have been paying attention at all.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 14, 2012, 01:13:29 PM
He'll have to carry the South sure, but he's still got the Democratic North, and I know what people say about Democrats being turned off by Obama but I hardly think even a disappointed Democrat would vote against his/her self-interest.

No, but what I think you have now with Democrats that you didn't have in 2008 is apathy.  In 2008, everyone was so sick of Bush and so excited about the possibility of actually electing a black president, that I think a TON of people who might otherwise have just stayed home on election day actually went out and voted.  And that pushed Obama over the top.

Now you've got a relatively weak economy, rising gas prices, an incumbent Democrat president with only moderate approval ratings who did NOT deliver on quite a few of his campaign promises.

The only incumbent president with an approval rating below 50% to ever win re-election (ironically) was George W. Bush (48% approval at the time of his reelection). 

Also, since 1976, no incumbent president has been reelected when the unemployment rate is at or over 7%  I don't know if there is enough time to get the rate back under 7% between now and November.

Look, I'm generally a pretty optimistic guy, but I'm also a pragmatist.  This election will be no cakewalk for Obama. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 14, 2012, 01:17:36 PM
He'll have to carry the South sure, but he's still got the Democratic North, and I know what people say about Democrats being turned off by Obama but I hardly think even a disappointed Democrat would vote against his/her self-interest.

No, but what I think you have now with Democrats that you didn't have in 2008 is apathy.  In 2008, everyone was so sick of Bush and so excited about the possibility of actually electing a black president, that I think a TON of people who might otherwise have just stayed home on election day actually went out and voted.  And that pushed Obama over the top.

Now you've got a relatively weak economy, rising gas prices, an incumbent Democrat president with only moderate approval ratings who did NOT deliver on quite a few of his campaign promises.

The only incumbent president with an approval rating below 50% to ever win re-election (ironically) was George W. Bush (48% approval at the time of his reelection). 

Also, since 1976, no incumbent president has been reelected when the unemployment rate is at or over 7%  I don't know if there is enough time to get the rate back under 7% between now and November.

Look, I'm generally a pretty optimistic guy, but I'm also a pragmatist.  This election will be no cakewalk for Obama.

Yes, but the political and national climate we're looking at these days does look a whole lot like the late 60's through 70's, so I wouldn't call it too farfetched.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 14, 2012, 01:22:12 PM
But I didn't do that.  I said he's got a 50/50 shot at getting reelected  :)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 14, 2012, 01:28:59 PM
Here's the thing.  As TL mentioned above, Newt Gingrich has a massive ego and he's incredibly arrogant.  I really don't see him dropping out at all.  Santorum shouldn't drop out.  I really don't think he can actually catch Romney, but he *can* prevent Romney from getting to 1144. 

But here's something that makes it even more interesting:  If Gingrich isn't in the race and you are basically looking at a head-to-head race between Romney and Santorum, Santorum would likely be leading right now instead of Romney. 

Current Delegate Counts (https://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries.html?hpt=hp_t2):

Romney: 498

Santorum: 239

Gingrich: 139

If you gave all of Gingrich's delegates to Santorum, he'd have 378.  Much closer to Romney, but nowhere near being in the lead.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 14, 2012, 01:31:23 PM
I know, but I don't think it's that simple.  I think a lot of delegates that Romney actually won because votes against him were split between Romney and Santorum, Romney would have actually lost to Santorum if not for those splits. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 14, 2012, 02:09:25 PM
I'm not sure I follow that
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 14, 2012, 02:23:35 PM
Actually NYT gives 495 to Romney, 252 to Santorum.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 14, 2012, 02:36:44 PM
I'm not sure I follow that

Hypothetical:  In a given district, Romney wins the delegate with the following popular vote:
Romney:  40%
Santorum:  35%
Gingrich:  20%
Paul:  5%

Of the 20% of votes that went to Gingrich, let's say 3/4 of those would have gone to Santorum if Gingrich had not been running, and the other 1/4 would have gone to Romney.  So if Gingrich had not taken away some of the anti-Romney votes, the percentage would have played out this way if Gingrich had not been in the race:
Romney:  45%
Santorum:  50%
Paul:  5%

So Santorum would have taken that district's delegate rather than Romney if Gingrich had been out of the race.  That's what I'm saying.  I get the sense that Romney would not carry his current 498 if Gingrich had been out of the race earlier.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 14, 2012, 06:21:11 PM
There's definitely a lot to that theory. There are a number of fairly significant states where Romney won, which could have been taken by Santorum had Gingrich not been splitting the vote. There's even talk that the wealthy donor who is more or less single handedly funding Gingrich's campaign at this point is doing so to stop Santorum.

Quote
Also, since 1976, no incumbent president has been reelected when the unemployment rate is at or over 7%  I don't know if there is enough time to get the rate back under 7% between now and November.
Statistics like this are meaningless bullshit that news networks use to fill airtime. Including the 1976 election, that's a sample size of 9 elections, each with very different circumstances. If we just look at races with an incumbent seeking re-election, it's down to 6.

Did you know that since 1960, no incumbent that has faced a third party candidate in a general election debate has won re-election?
It's like saying how 4 of the last 7 elections went to the candidate who won Texas. It doesn't actually mean anything.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on March 14, 2012, 07:17:13 PM
Speaking of economics and US politics:

https://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/15/us-obama-energy-spr-idUSBRE82E00P20120315

Very interesting development on this front. Barrak and Camo (UK PM), the newest bestest buds in the whole world, apparently discusses releasing some of their oil reserves in order to take pressure of global oil prices.

I'll reserve (he...he.....) my thoughts for now.

Oh and the differences between the 60s/70s and now is that inflation then was ridiculously high (like...10% high), while now its ridiculously low (1%). So you can't compare the two as similar circumstances, because inflation changes everything.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on March 14, 2012, 07:18:24 PM
It doesn't actually mean anything.
It does if Fox says it does.

Also, statistics.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on March 15, 2012, 10:26:21 AM
(https://i39.tinypic.com/2s6kgue.jpg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 15, 2012, 11:05:17 AM
Obama is "War"?

I guess the point was to make RP look good, so "artistic license" is allowed.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 15, 2012, 11:23:17 AM
lol

If Ron Paul and the libertarians are so concerned with minimizing our involvement on the world stage, why is it so important/great that Ron Paul is a war veteran supported by military institutions? And for that matter, how does that at all correlate with being interested in peace?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 15, 2012, 11:34:55 AM
What RP would achieve is less US involvement, but at the price of creating an international "Wild West". It's a question he has evaded time and time again, how he feels about watching genocide happening in other countries. His almost juvenile answer of "we'll just trade more with them" is one of the big reasons why he's been relegated to non-running.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on March 15, 2012, 01:00:23 PM
We have no Constitutional authority to invade countries with murderous dictators anyway. RP is not against war, but he's against pointless, undeclared wars. This is why veterans support him overwhelmingly. Who funds the other candidates? The biggest lobbyists around, big energy and big banks. If we're going to have more wars, they must be declared as the law mandates. Then again, we're broke.

The "we'll just trade with them" is actually how our foreign policy must become. We do not meddle in other countries' affairs. We can't afford to be the world's police any more. I like how the other GOP candidates are so excited for potential war with Iran even though they have no nukes, whereas countries such as India, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia have had nukes for a while.

If you (generally speaking) are pissed about genocide in [insert third world garbage hole here], then travel there and buy some guns. We have zero obligation to anyone but ourselves. Ron Paul has said countless times that he is for defense, not offense, and that we'd probably have more military bases on our soil than in other areas around the world.

And yea, we're broke!

It all comes down to the Israel influence. They have plenty of nukes and can defend themselves (even Netanyahu said this himself in many speeches). I'm sick of Santorum, Gingrich, and Romney treating them like our 51st state.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 15, 2012, 01:03:07 PM
I agree with you guys that his foreign policy ought to be more nuanced. I just wish he wasn't the only anti-war candidate. I'd rather our country not be responsible for cluster bombing and drone killing children across the world.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on March 15, 2012, 01:05:53 PM
I agree with you guys that his foreign policy ought to be more nuanced. I just wish he wasn't the only anti-war candidate. I'd rather our country not be responsible for cluster bombing and drone killing children across the world.

Agree 1000000000000%
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 15, 2012, 01:17:03 PM
I know, but I don't think it's that simple.  I think a lot of delegates that Romney actually won because votes against him were split between Romney and Santorum, Romney would have actually lost to Santorum if not for those splits.

If you meant to say Gingrich and Santorum, this makes sense, otherwise, not so much.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 15, 2012, 01:19:13 PM
I know, but I don't think it's that simple.  I think a lot of delegates that Romney actually won because votes against him were split between Romney and Santorum, Romney would have actually lost to Santorum if not for those splits.

If you meant to say Gingrich and Santorum, this makes sense, otherwise, not so much.

Yes, that is what I meant.  Sorry.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 15, 2012, 01:21:23 PM
There's definitely a lot to that theory. There are a number of fairly significant states where Romney won, which could have been taken by Santorum had Gingrich not been splitting the vote. There's even talk that the wealthy donor who is more or less single handedly funding Gingrich's campaign at this point is doing so to stop Santorum.

Quote
Also, since 1976, no incumbent president has been reelected when the unemployment rate is at or over 7%  I don't know if there is enough time to get the rate back under 7% between now and November.
Statistics like this are meaningless bullshit that news networks use to fill airtime.

The unemployment rate is "meaningless bullshit" as it applies to and impacts presidential politics?  Wow.  Um, ok.  :|
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 15, 2012, 01:23:22 PM
I know, but I don't think it's that simple.  I think a lot of delegates that Romney actually won because votes against him were split between Romney and Santorum, Romney would have actually lost to Santorum if not for those splits.

If you meant to say Gingrich and Santorum, this makes sense, otherwise, not so much.

Yes, that is what I meant.  Sorry.

No problem  :lol   That's what had me doing this: (https://www.kirksnosehair.com/Portals/0/images/smilies/scratchhead.gif)

Otherwise, I think you're definitely on the right track there. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 15, 2012, 02:11:39 PM
If you (generally speaking) are pissed about genocide in [insert third world garbage hole here], then travel there and buy some guns. We have zero obligation to anyone but ourselves. Ron Paul has said countless times that he is for defense, not offense, and that we'd probably have more military bases on our soil than in other areas around the world.

And that's the rub, and the reason why RP is out of the game. Like it or not, but Democrats and Republicans, that is, just about every American, feels there is a moral obligation (of course, within reason) to help people in need who are getting murdered wholesale by some ruthless dictator or whatnot.
Paul's answer was, in essence, "Eh, not our problem. I'll buy their goods, maybe that helps them". If he really thought that kind of answer would find any resonance in the general public, especially Republicans, well...

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 15, 2012, 02:17:24 PM
There's definitely a lot to that theory. There are a number of fairly significant states where Romney won, which could have been taken by Santorum had Gingrich not been splitting the vote. There's even talk that the wealthy donor who is more or less single handedly funding Gingrich's campaign at this point is doing so to stop Santorum.

Quote
Also, since 1976, no incumbent president has been reelected when the unemployment rate is at or over 7%  I don't know if there is enough time to get the rate back under 7% between now and November.
Statistics like this are meaningless bullshit that news networks use to fill airtime.

The unemployment rate is "meaningless bullshit" as it applies to and impacts presidential politics?  Wow.  Um, ok.  :|
No. Statistics like "only X out of Y Presidents between the years E and F were re-elected when statistic A was at B%" are meaningless. The sample size as far as presidential elections go is just far too small, and the number of variables too great and differing, for any statistics like that to mean anything in that sort of context. I explained that in my post about this.
It's like when CNN go on about their exit polls where 37% of men in Jackson county who are left handed and put cream in their coffee chose Romney over Santorum. It's just chatter to fill time.

Unemployment obviously matters. It's currently lower than it was when Obama took office. That's what matters.

Including the 1976 election, we've only had 3 incumbent presidents lose re-election in that timeframe; Ford, Carter, and Bush senior. Three elections each with a large, differing set of circumstances doesn't really lend itself to statistics like the one you presented.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 15, 2012, 02:24:35 PM
Yeah, it's the same with sports stats. "Team X has not won against Y since there's been more than 3 players whose last names start with an M".

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 15, 2012, 02:35:07 PM
But I disagree that it's a meaningless statistic.  Not all statistics are just mental masturbation.  I believe the unemployment rate has a strong impact on how people vote.  Personally, I know people who are independents who voted for Obama last time, but are telling me they will not vote for him this time because he hasn't improved the job market.  These are hard, unmitigated facts.  Votes he previously received that he now will not receive.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 15, 2012, 03:19:34 PM
(https://fbcdn-sphotos-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-snc7/s320x320/425318_372832136071332_162379530449928_1263317_1691887264_n.jpg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 15, 2012, 03:21:40 PM
That's terrible. 

I...just...I feel like that deserves a longer response, but I'm honestly completely at a loss for what to say to that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 15, 2012, 03:21:48 PM
Oh dear.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: yeshaberto on March 15, 2012, 03:35:17 PM
 :xbones
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: King Postwhore on March 15, 2012, 03:37:28 PM
That's just not right.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 15, 2012, 03:54:53 PM
The family across the street from my place has these on their bumpers:

(https://antzinpantz.com/kns/images/Nov10/obama%20ass%20look%20big.JPG)

I guess it's supposed to be witty (hah, Dems = donkey = ass), but still pretty low-brow. Oh well, they're hermits anyway, the only neighbors you never see outside.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 15, 2012, 04:06:40 PM
Okay, that one is actually funny.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 15, 2012, 05:03:54 PM
heh, cute.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on March 15, 2012, 05:52:15 PM
I'm so fucking sick of hearing this shit about Romney putting his dog on the roof of his car. It's not different than letting a dog ride in the bed of a pickup truck.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on March 15, 2012, 06:54:04 PM
Can Romney get Evangelical votes? I bet a majority of them refrain from voting entirely if he's nominated.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: juice on March 15, 2012, 07:17:43 PM
I think that whoever becomes the Republican candidate will gain the majority support of whoever doesn't want Obama as president.  So I would think so.  If they're smart they'll vote for someone no matter who the candidate is.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on March 15, 2012, 07:25:42 PM
I'm so fucking sick of hearing this shit about Romney putting his dog on the roof of his car. It's not different than letting a dog ride in the bed of a pickup truck.

I have no idea what story you're talking about but roof = can slide off, bed of truck = must jump out. I think there is a big difference.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on March 15, 2012, 07:29:37 PM
I refuse to put any anti-Obama bumper stickers on my luxury SUV. I do not want it damaged.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 15, 2012, 09:53:53 PM
But I disagree that it's a meaningless statistic.  Not all statistics are just mental masturbation.  I believe the unemployment rate has a strong impact on how people vote.  Personally, I know people who are independents who voted for Obama last time, but are telling me they will not vote for him this time because he hasn't improved the job market.  These are hard, unmitigated facts.  Votes he previously received that he now will not receive.
Again, I'm not saying all employment statistics are meaningless. Saying "no president in the last randomly selected number of years with less than an arbitrary number next to this statistic has ever been re-elected" is meaningless.

The fact is, unemployment is lower now than when Obama took office. I don't think the average worker really cares about employment statistics from the Carter administration. They care if things have or haven't gotten better under the current administration. Those who will ignore facts and blame him anyway probably weren't going to vote for him in the first place.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 15, 2012, 10:12:51 PM
It's not a *meaningless* statistic, it's just that the scarcity of evidence makes any trends statistically non-significant. We'd need a sample size of at least a hundred more elections to make even an educated guess about things like that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on March 15, 2012, 10:40:15 PM
Obama is "War"?



rumborak

Um... yes? Where have you been the last four years. Oh, and his rhetoric is very bellical.

God, I remembered that Obama has a Nobel Peace Prize. :rollin
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on March 15, 2012, 10:42:24 PM
(https://fbcdn-sphotos-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-snc7/s320x320/425318_372832136071332_162379530449928_1263317_1691887264_n.jpg)
NO FUCKING WAY!!! I want to smash his window so bad right now.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 15, 2012, 10:51:32 PM
Obama is "War"?



rumborak

Um... yes? Where have you been the last four years. Oh, and his rhetoric is very bellical.

God, I remembered that Obama has a Nobel Peace Prize. :rollin

Where have you been?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on March 15, 2012, 11:04:24 PM
It's not a *meaningless* statistic, it's just that the scarcity of evidence makes any trends statistically non-significant. We'd need a sample size of at least a hundred more elections to make even an educated guess about things like that.
Maybe not 100...but yes you need a bigger sample.

I think the point the people who use it are trying to make, in broad brush strokes, is that in an environment of high unemployment the incumbent is more likely to be blamed than any challenger and so it makes it more difficult to be re-elected.

As you learn in Stats 100 - correlation does not imply causality. People forget/ignore that sometimes.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 15, 2012, 11:26:06 PM
But it's not impossible. We live in extraordinary and unusual times.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on March 15, 2012, 11:33:47 PM
Oh ofcourse, and I think unemployment will be 7.x by November, so it will be well off its highs.

Also: from an outsiders perspective, I can't see what Obama has done wrong. Secondary to this, I can't see how America as a collective would allow any of the republican candidates except Romney get into office. In a battle between Obama and Romney, I see Obama winning, because as I said from an outsiders perspective I can't see what he has stuffed up so badly that he needs to be turfed. All I can see from the Obama is bad camp is that he isn't white and he isn't republican.

Can someone correct me?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 16, 2012, 12:20:18 AM
He has made bipartisan consensus out of some of the worst post-9/11 Bush era abuses, so there's that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 16, 2012, 01:19:38 AM
And speaking of war, investigative journalist Jeremy Scahill has an excellent new piece in The Nation called Why is President Obama Keeping a Journalist in Prison in Yemen (https://www.thenation.com/article/166757/why-president-obama-keeping-journalist-prison-yemen) about the detention of a Yemeni journalist who first uncovered in 2009 that the US was behind reportedly Yemeni airstrike on an Al Qaeda camp that killed 14 women and 21 children. He also conducted interviews with Al Awlaki and members of AQ. It's somewhat long but definitely worth it.
Quote
There is no doubt that Shaye was reporting facts that both the Yemeni and US government wanted to suppress. He was also interviewing people Washington was hunting. While the US and Yemeni governments alleged that he was a facilitator for Al Qaeda propaganda, close observers of Yemen disagree. “It is difficult to overestimate the importance of his work,” says Gregory Johnsen, a Yemen scholar at Princeton University who had communicated regularly with Shaye since 2008. “Without Shaye’s reports and interviews we would know much less about Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula than we do, and if one believes, as I do, that knowledge of the enemy is important to constructing a strategy to defeat them, then his arrest and continued detention has left a hole in our knowledge that has yet to be filled.”

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 16, 2012, 07:33:57 AM
Oh ofcourse, and I think unemployment will be 7.x by November, so it will be well off its highs.

Also: from an outsiders perspective, I can't see what Obama has done wrong. Secondary to this, I can't see how America as a collective would allow any of the republican candidates except Romney get into office. In a battle between Obama and Romney, I see Obama winning, because as I said from an outsiders perspective I can't see what he has stuffed up so badly that he needs to be turfed. All I can see from the Obama is bad camp is that he isn't white and he isn't republican.

Can someone correct me?

I agree, while acknowledging goon's contribution. But I mean come on, as far as presidents go, he's actually been really good, and no president's policies are ever perfect. Plus, do you really think his Republican equivalent would not continue Bush era abuses? In fact I can easily see things getting much, much worse under a Republican.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 16, 2012, 08:18:37 AM
No, of course a Republican president would. However there would have at least been some resistance to it by people pretending to care 'cos it wasn't "their guy" in the white house. I think Democratic presidents are more dangerous in that regard.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 16, 2012, 08:32:06 AM
No, of course a Republican president would. However there would have at least been some resistance to it by people pretending to care 'cos it wasn't "their guy" in the white house. I think Democratic presidents are more dangerous in that regard.

Well if OWS doesn't work under a Democratic president, what makes you think it would with a Republican one? In fact, when did Bush ever consider any constituency other than his own support base?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 16, 2012, 08:37:09 AM
I'm not talking about OWS. I'm talking about people in power who would publicly decry what he did. That was valuable. Instead of all the Bush Administration crap being an aberration, it's now just the way we do things.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 16, 2012, 09:01:42 AM
I'm not talking about OWS. I'm talking about people in power who would publicly decry what he did. That was valuable. Instead of all the Bush Administration crap being an aberration, it's now just the way we do things.

Maybe I wasn't politically aware at the time, but I don't remember much of that either, tbh. And it certainly doesn't happen now.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 16, 2012, 09:08:43 AM
Oh ofcourse, and I think unemployment will be 7.x by November, so it will be well off its highs.

Also: from an outsiders perspective, I can't see what Obama has done wrong.

1. He exists
2. He's not a Republican
3. He's.....um.......yeah, I went there

Lather, rinse, repeat.

You see the bumper stickers posted herein?

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 16, 2012, 09:09:30 AM
There definitely was. Another piece discussing botched drone/cluster bomb attacks I posted about before mentions it as well.

Why We Should Care More About 'Blowback' From U.S. Foreign Policy (https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/03/why-we-should-care-more-about-blowback-from-us-foreign-policy/254537/)
Quote from: Conor Friedersdorf
President Obama is likely to campaign in part on his repeated successes in killing various al-Qaeda members, Osama bin Laden foremost among them. It's perfectly legitimate for him to do so. But the various assessments of Obama's foreign policy record, whether offered by the mainstream media, the conservative press, or the Republican presidential candidates, almost invariably ignore the cost of waging undeclared, under-the-radar drone and missile wars in numerous Muslim countries. During the Bush Administration, the blowback critique was commonplace. It even persisted into the early days of current administration. Said Obama himself:

"Instead of serving as a tool to counter terrorism, Guantanamo became a symbol that helped al-Qaeda recruit terrorists to its cause. Indeed the existence of Guantanamo likely created more terrorists than it ever detained."

But now that establishment Democrats have one of their own in office and are less inclined to advance the blowback critique, almost no one is doing it. Look at our sad loyal opposition: It's a political liability to be seen as overly apologetic to foreigners. A single press conference about American exceptionalism has generated critical mentions for years. But a bungled raid that kills dozens of innocents? Opinion polls positing that Obama is less popular in the Arab world than Bush? Aren't those major fails? Neither Republicans nor mainstream Democrats act like it. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on March 16, 2012, 10:19:15 AM
I think that whoever becomes the Republican candidate will gain the majority support of whoever doesn't want Obama as president.  So I would think so.  If they're smart they'll vote for someone no matter who the candidate is.

Some Evangelicals really dislike "cults" though. And it's clear with the Obama-Muslim thing that religion is a pretty big deal to many. I'ts reasonable to doubt whether a Catholic could have ever won if running as a Republican.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 16, 2012, 11:25:07 AM
The question then is if Evangelicals prefer a "Muslim" or a Mormon.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on March 16, 2012, 12:29:40 PM
Well both are far too deep in alliance with the devil, see. If Romney is chosen I predict that a good number of Evangelicals will either refrain from voting or vote for a third-party candidate.

P.S. I take back my comment on Catholics, I forgot that Santorum was a Catholic and that Evangelicals pretty much back him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: the Catfishman on March 16, 2012, 01:22:45 PM
I can't believe the Obama/Muslin thing is still a ...thing, I love US politics.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: King Postwhore on March 16, 2012, 04:49:29 PM
I can't believe the Obama/Muslin thing is still a ...thing, I love US politics.

I haven't heard much of this nonsense in a long time but I do live in the north.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on March 16, 2012, 08:07:02 PM
I can't believe the Obama/Muslin thing is still a ...thing, I love US politics.

I haven't heard much of this nonsense in a long time but I do live on a college campus.

fixed for me. We're so snooty.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 17, 2012, 10:31:43 AM
I can't believe the Obama/Muslin thing is still a ...thing, I love US politics.
To be fair, if the people harping on that gave it up, they'd just pick another blatantly false thing to complain about. It's a crowd that can't be won over by things like 'facts' or 'reality'.

Anyway, we have a couple of contests this weekend, sort of.
Today, we have 'Missouri: This time, for realzies'. You may recall that Missouri had a primary back in early February. Santorum won with 55% to Romney's 25%. However, because of the amazing consistency of this primary season, that primary actually never counted for anything, and they're going to have a closed, super secret caucus today, which the earlier primary will have no relation to. Like in the other caucuses, they're electing delegates to the state convention, where delegates will be chosen to go to the national convention in August. There will be no public vote, because technically that's what the primary was.

Tomorrow, we have Guam. Santorum has been campaigning there. During one campaign stop, he told them that if they want to be a state (which more than half of Guam residents don't), they have to speak english as their main language, because it's required by federal law. The two problems with that are of course that;
a) There is no such law. He actually mentioned that there should be in one of the GOP debates, so he's aware of this. Or he at least was, and forgot.
b) Typically, when you want people to vote for you, you don't walk into their home and tell them to stop speaking their non-english funny speak.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on March 17, 2012, 10:59:33 AM
I'm back home for spring break, which means that I'm in a place where people watch TV often. God I forgot how much I hate political ads. There's a particular one against Santorum/for Romney that's trying to say that Romney is the best GOP candidate since Reagan. And everyone here is saying that Obama is basically Reagan. It's all stupid and confusing and blargh. Politics.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 17, 2012, 11:05:05 AM
TL, are you sure tomorrow is Guam? I'm pretty sure the schedule said Puerto Rico, and that whole statehood discussion was about PR, not Guam. I don't think Guam wants to be a state, do they? (I think it would be ludicrous. The place is north of Australia, and has 150k people)

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 17, 2012, 11:14:44 AM
TL, are you sure tomorrow is Guam? I'm pretty sure the schedule said Puerto Rico, and that whole statehood discussion was about PR, not Guam. I don't think Guam wants to be a state, do they? (I think it would be ludicrous. The place is north of Australia, and has 150k people)

rumborak
I was in fact wrong. It is Puerto Rico.
Take my post, but swap out Guam with Puerto Rico. Guam was back on the 10th.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 17, 2012, 11:16:57 AM
I personally reject PR statehood because I can't see where that additional star would go in the flag.

Regarding Santorum, I take it he's (probably correctly) writing off the Latino vote, and thus uses PR to score cheap points among the WASP constituency.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on March 17, 2012, 11:26:52 AM
I personally reject PR statehood because I can't see where that additional star would go in the flag.

(https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/05/US_flag_51_stars.svg/800px-US_flag_51_stars.svg.png)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on March 17, 2012, 11:27:56 AM
Rick Santorum has to be suffering from some kind of mental disorder, right?  Every time he opens his mouth, he destroys his ability to win a national election.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 17, 2012, 11:41:16 AM
You'd almost think he was paid by Obama, yeah.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on March 17, 2012, 12:16:08 PM
You'd almost think he was paid by Obama, yeah.

rumborak

Seriously.

Between the corporate welfare, ungraceful foreign policy, and general inability to lead, it's not like Obama's been a great president.  It's like all the Republican candidates are plants by Obama to say "hey guys, I'm not great, but look at my competition.  Vote Obama 2012.  Thank you, thank you."

Three interesting sub-plots of this election so far:

 - At the very start of the Republican primary season, all the big name and respected Republicans sat this election out.  They wanted more political experience and didn't want to go up against Obama, who was polling well at the time.  But for the last few months, Obama has not done particularly well.  There's a sense things are worse in the country and he's doing nothing to handle them.  For a few weeks, he was polling about even with Romney in particular.  At that point, I wonder if all the bigger Republicans were kicking themselves for not seeing this coming?  But then again...

 - We're essentially seeing the minor league of the Republican party right now.  Chris Christie (governor of New Jersey) is probably as well liked as Romney, Santorum, and Gingrich combined.  I'd gladly vote for him.  He can actually run a government.  Fundamentally, the three main Republicans are bad at politics.  It's virtually always bad to overtly play dirty.  People fundamentally believe you should be able to rise above dirty tactics, and instead the Republicans are chosing to make it worse.  If you're Chris Christie, one of the most respected politicians in the country, why do you want your name dragged through the mud by these three doofuses?

 - It's always been suggested, directly or indirectly, by the left that the Republican party and the right are anti-woman.  Now, the idea is quickly gaining mainstream acceptance.  When potentially half the voting population thinks you think of them as animals, isn't that potential death for your party?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 17, 2012, 12:32:14 PM
The GOP have more or less lost the Hispanic vote this time around.
George W. Bush got something like 48% of the Hispanic vote in 2004. McCain got about 42 or 43%.
Currently, the Republican candidate that would get the highest turnout among Hispanic voters is Romney... with 17%. Santorum does considerably worse.

This is why, as far fetched as it may seem, a Santorum candidacy puts Texas in play, with its rapidly increasing Hispanic population. It could even make Arizona of all places a non-sure thing for Republicans; Arizona is basically extremely Republican voters vs a growing Hispanic population. McCain won Arizona with about 1.2 million votes to Obama's 1 million, which is closer than most would have expected. That said, Romney would still have it more or less in the bag. It's more a sign of how badly Santorum does among certain demographics.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 17, 2012, 12:38:04 PM
Regarding Chris Christie, interestingly my sister was au pair for the guy, and she told me he was pretty despotic at home.
Which plays into your other comment about the anti-woman thing. There's a part of the GOP who want that stuff. And then there's the part that's socially progressive. And then there's the plain racists etc etc. I think the biggest problem of the GOP is that it tries to harbor a too-wide range of individuals at this point. Every time it shifts into one direction, it leaves people behind on the opposite end.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on March 17, 2012, 12:38:46 PM
I don't see why the GOP has such a hard time with the hispanic vote.  They want to be treated like human beings.  Saying that you want English to be the official language creates a conflict, yes.  But ultimately, you can argue your position.  Most countries have an official language.  Multiple languages create cultural divides.  Countries need a common culture to survive.  No rational person would disagree with this.

But when you say, explicitly or implicitly, that children of illegal immigrant parents who attend college, speak English, and want to be American citizens need to be labeled as outsiders and deported, you're going to lose everytime, because now you're saying they don't fully deserve to be treated as human beings.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 17, 2012, 01:07:44 PM
IMHO, the real solution to the problem would be to allow parties to form coalitions. In parliamentary governments a party like the GOP would long have split up into more ideologically coherent sub-units. Assuming the Democrats would undergo a similar split, the two center parties could form a coalition, not having to deal with the extreme shit on both sides. The smaller extreme fringe parties would realize they have to become more moderate in order to have any importance, leading to all parties having to focus on the important issues. As it is right now, the tail is wagging the dog with all those fringe views dominating the Republican party, because the GOP (probably rightly) believes it can't ignore those views.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on March 17, 2012, 01:20:12 PM
Regarding Chris Christie, interestingly my sister was au pair for the guy, and she told me he was pretty despotic at home.

Interesting.

Quote
Which plays into your other comment about the anti-woman thing. There's a part of the GOP who want that stuff. And then there's the part that's socially progressive. And then there's the plain racists etc etc.

Yeah... I know all too well.

The thing is, up until now it was about the idea of when life begins.  There's a real debate to be had about when a fetus becomes a person.  If a woman is carrying a person inside her, the issue isn't her body, it's killing another human being.  This debate can be had in good faith.

But two things seemed to have happened.  The tone of the pro-choice side has shifted to a place where they no longer even acknowledge the idea a zygote/fetus/whatever is a person.  By doing this, the possibility of having a debate about the issue that exists in reality doesn't exist.  Just as wrongly, the pro-life side has starting going after birth control, which is considered acceptable by something like 90% of the country.  Both sides have chosen to make the debate about ideology.  But, if this is the case, the left will win by default.  People want to have sex and avoid raising unwanted children.

Quote
I think the biggest problem of the GOP is that it tries to harbor a too-wide range of individuals at this point. Every time it shifts into one direction, it leaves people behind on the opposite end.

Maybe.  The issue has more to do with social conservatism.  Pot and gay marriage will almost certainly both be legalized nationally within the next 20 years.  Abstinence before marriage (straight or otherwise) is considered a joke by anyone without an ideological reason to to chose the belief.  The internet has caused porn to be a part of everyday life.  In twenty years, will even a significant minority identify with the beliefs that are traditionally considered socially conservative?

The GOP needs to be future-minded.  Social conservatism isn't as much about specific policies as it is about attitude.  Instead of saying "social conservatism meant this in the 1950's and that's what it should mean forever," the GOP should look at what socially conservative people think today and try to appeal to them.  This might come as a shock, but the evangelical voting bloc doesn't seem to be growing.  You have to cut ties with them eventually.

IMHO, the real solution to the problem would be to allow parties to form coalitions. In parliamentary governments a party like the GOP would long have split up into more ideologically coherent sub-units. Assuming the Democrats would undergo a similar split, the two center parties could form a coalition, not having to deal with the extreme shit on both sides. The smaller extreme fringe parties would realize they have to become more moderate in order to have any importance, leading to all parties having to focus on the important issues. As it is right now, the tail is wagging the dog with all those fringe views dominating the Republican party, because the GOP (probably rightly) believes it can't ignore those views.

rumborak

In a broad sense, I don't disagree.  In America, you'd need four parties to accurately represent how people think;  the social conservative party, the kinda libertarian party, the conservative democrat party, and the leftist party.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 17, 2012, 01:24:41 PM
What would be really interesting to see, and would never happen in a million years, is the US switching to a 538 seat parliamentary system. I think they would very quickly migrate away from the two party system in such a hypothetical.

On another note, I'm thinking of putting together a group projection when we get a bit closer to the general, and have the nominees selected. Basically, going state by state, with people having a quick debate over who they think will win the vote there, and why, and then casting votes, with the projection going to the majority (again, based on who you think will win, not who you want to win). It could be interesting to see how accurately we as a group could predict the results.
I'll see if I can work out a good system for that.

Edit: It would be 438 seats if they just used the current congressional districts, since a state's electoral votes are literally "number of congressional districts, plus 2".
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 17, 2012, 01:34:58 PM
What would be really interesting to see, and would never happen in a million years, is the US switching to a 538 seat parliamentary system. I think they would very quickly migrate away from the two party system in such a hypothetical.

What's really troublesome to me is the utter lack of public discourse about the shortcomings of whatever system the US is in. Look at the electoral system which really has nothing to do with fair elections, fair in the sense that every citizen has equal say in the future of the country.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on March 17, 2012, 01:53:56 PM
What's really troublesome to me is the utter lack of public discourse about the shortcomings of whatever system the US is in. Look at the electoral system which really has nothing to do with fair elections, fair in the sense that every citizen has equal say in the future of the country.

rumborak

This was done purposefully.  The intent was to make sure heavy population centers didn't have the political ability to chose a president that would impose their political will on less populated areas.  If we had a simple popular vote, why would you even campaign in, say, the Dakotas?

The winner-take-all system is maddening though.  And congress is clearly a broken institution.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 17, 2012, 01:57:37 PM
What's really troublesome to me is the utter lack of public discourse about the shortcomings of whatever system the US is in. Look at the electoral system which really has nothing to do with fair elections, fair in the sense that every citizen has equal say in the future of the country.

rumborak

This was done purposefully.  The intent was to make sure heavy population centers didn't have the political ability to chose a president that would impose their political will on less populated areas.  If we had a simple popular vote, why would you even campaign in, say, the Dakotas?

The winner-take-all system is maddening though.  And congress is clearly a broken institution.

Why would you even campaign in the Dakotas now?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 17, 2012, 02:05:02 PM
Y'know as a high schooler I never thought it would happen but I'm fully pro-pot legalization now. We'll empty the jails, fill in the national labor market, and end Mexican drug wars if we can just legalize and regulate the damn thing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 17, 2012, 03:26:04 PM
Lol. End the Mexican drug wars with just pot legalization? Wishful thinking if you'd ask me. If you want to solve the real problem you have to decriminalize HARD drugs.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 17, 2012, 05:52:52 PM
And you don't mind paying the inevitable human price?
With your statement there and RP's I'm arriving at the conclusion that being Libertarian means being apathetic.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 17, 2012, 06:20:01 PM
Not to mention how the FP statements and a bunch of things he's said about free markets where failures are involved betray the reckless oversimplification of everything inherent in said ideology.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: j on March 18, 2012, 12:16:46 AM
Lol. End the Mexican drug wars with just pot legalization? Wishful thinking if you'd ask me. If you want to solve the real problem you have to decriminalize HARD drugs.

Weed makes up like 60% of their product.  It would be a significant blow.

-J
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 18, 2012, 04:44:22 AM
And you don't mind paying the inevitable human price?
With your statement there and RP's I'm arriving at the conclusion that being Libertarian means being apathetic.

rumborak
The inevitable human price? Elaborate.

And apathetic? Just because I don't want to use violence to solve a certain social problem, that of drug abuse, makes me apathetic. Yeah, I can definitely see the reasoning behind that. If a guy next door likes to do cocaine, I'm not going to go in there and hold a gun to his head, kidnap him and put him in a cage.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 18, 2012, 06:41:39 AM
Ugh. What's the point.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 18, 2012, 07:24:17 AM
And apathetic? Just because I don't want to use violence to solve a certain social problem, that of drug abuse, makes me apathetic. Yeah, I can definitely see the reasoning behind that. If a guy next door likes to do cocaine, I'm not going to go in there and hold a gun to his head, kidnap him and put him in a cage.

That's funny since that's pretty much what we've been doing up until now. Legalizing pot (and I never said hard drugs, only pot) would go really far in allowing us to stop such nonsense.

But seriously, a legal but regulated pot market could do so much for our economy right now. Remember that ailing economy with its labor shortage?

Oh, and before the accusations start rolling in, I have never and I will never unless under dire duress (i.e. requiring the medical variety) try pot, and I've never and will never under any circumstances whatsoever try any form of hard drugs. It's a personal choice, and it's only my politics regarding the matter that have changed.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on March 18, 2012, 11:47:27 AM
Gary Johnson's stance on drugs sounds pretty reasonable to me.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 18, 2012, 11:48:14 AM
Ugh. What's the point.

rumborak
I'm sorry. I actually understand what you mean now - and what I said there just proves your point kinda.

So yes, you have a point when it comes to libertarians coming off as apathetic. For instance, libertarians often say that private charities do a much better job than government in various causes. I would say that's true. But it's another step to take to actually actively donate, and I feel like a fail this requirement - which I even consider to be a moral duty, so I'm not happy with myself. So, I guess at least I deserve coming off as heartless, and I deserve it. But I'm not a people person at all, and I tend to see social problems from either a strict philosophical standpoint (the use of force, etc) or cost-benefit - and I fail to take into account the "human cost" - and yes it will get taken care of better with charity but that depends on charitable people, and many libertarians do not classify as charitable people.

The worst part of that is Objectivists. They do not hold to the moral principle that we are our brother's keeper. So they definitely cast a negative light on libertarianism in a way, and I actually don't think too highly of Ayn Rand as a person.

This is all true when it comes to domestic policy, but on foreign policy it's equally true. Libertarians get praise from anti-war lefties when it comes to interventions. Rwanda is the best of these examples. True non-interventionists (like many of the founders) would NOT have intervened militarily to stop the genocide in Rwanda. That could DEFINITELY be seen as heartless. How libertarians can counter that, I don't even know. And by counter that I mean the heartless claim. Because you would simply have to let them slaughter those people because you'd have faith that in the long run, non-intervention and free trade will prevail.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 18, 2012, 11:58:48 AM
And you don't mind paying the inevitable human price?
With your statement there and RP's I'm arriving at the conclusion that being Libertarian means being apathetic.

rumborak

Well, I hope you would admit we should at least decriminalize personal use of hard drugs. That doesn't mean we have allow it to be sold it stores, but it could help us do a lot to address demand. People are afraid to get help for an illegal drug because they're worried about legal consequence. Portugal provides a clear example that the "inevitable human price" is much, much higher with criminalization, and our current policies.

So really, it's hard to call that apathy. Especially when I would add that instead of imprisoning people, we can use a fraction of that money to help people get over their addictions (if they chose to), which is pretty much the opposite of apathy.



Legalization of weed would be great, and I think it would do a lot to help our ailing economy, but I don't think it would be magic bullet.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 18, 2012, 12:10:24 PM
Oh I don't think it is either, but the benefit of legalization far far outweights the costs of criminalization.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on March 18, 2012, 12:35:03 PM
And you don't mind paying the inevitable human price?
With your statement there and RP's I'm arriving at the conclusion that being Libertarian means being apathetic.

rumborak

What?  If you want to make the issue of drugs purely about human price, then legalize all drugs except meth right now.  Seriously.  The wars fought over the illegal drug trade are appallingly horrific and wasteful.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: XJDenton on March 18, 2012, 01:48:22 PM
Why only meth?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on March 18, 2012, 05:11:51 PM
I'm pretty sure there's legal bath salts and shit out there that are worse than meth.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 18, 2012, 07:01:04 PM
To weigh in on the current conversation; I fully agree that marijuana should be legalized and regulated in a manner similar to alcohol. Most hard substances should be decriminalized (an important distinction), and treated as a health issue rather than a legal one, so that people truly facing problems with these substances can seek the assistance they need without fear of stigma or legal repercussion. Rather than using the encompassing label of 'drugs', each substance needs to be judged on an individual basis.

Anyway;
The Puerto Rico primary was today. It has been called for Romney by most major sources. With 25% of the vote in, CNN has Romney at 83% with 26,860 votes. Santorum is in second with 2.642 votes. Shockingly, it looks like Santorum's strategy of 'You guys need to speak English dammit' didn't play well there.
Having gotten more than 50% of the vote, Romney will get all 20 pledged delegates there.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 18, 2012, 07:31:20 PM
@ That first bit: totally. Like someone else said already, no one will seek help if they think they're gonna be thrown in jail, and all that does is ensure further addiction and problems down the road.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 18, 2012, 08:51:09 PM
Wow, Romney cleared out this one for sure.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on March 18, 2012, 11:42:30 PM
Why only meth?

 - It's known for making people violent.

 - Meth labs can explode.

 - To say Meth aggressively destroys the body is an understatement.  Unless I understand incorrectly, a meth addiction can kill you in two years.  I don't think any other drug is quite so horrible to you.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 19, 2012, 06:14:16 AM
So maybe all the more reason to take these on an individual basis, rather than relegating it all to "hard drugs." Not that I want to legalize or even decriminalize anything "harder" than pot, but I understand the sentiment.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on March 19, 2012, 12:14:15 PM
I don't think any other drug is quite so horrible to you.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rv1QAk2-8d8 (NSFW)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on March 19, 2012, 01:05:35 PM
Libertarians are apathetic for the most part. As far as I'm concerned, do whatever you want as long as it doesn't harm someone else. Your body, you choose what to put into it. You won't get any compassion out of me if you screw up, so you must accept the consequences of your actions.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 19, 2012, 02:08:31 PM
That's all ideologically convenient, but it misses the fact that a single misstep can render a person incapable to make any further rational decision regarding his life. I'm just not Libertarian enough to not care.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 19, 2012, 02:16:40 PM
That's all ideologically convenient, but it misses the fact that a single misstep can render a person incapable to make any further rational decision regarding his life. I'm just not Libertarian enough to not care.

rumborak

And this is prevented now? It would be one thing if prohibition works, but seeing as how it just makes the problem worse, this complaint is misguided and wrong.

Alcohol causes thousands of deaths a year, many from a simple misstep. If we want to take your principle concern seriously, we would have to ban alchohol if anything.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on March 19, 2012, 02:18:14 PM
That's all ideologically convenient, but it misses the fact that a single misstep can render a person incapable to make any further rational decision regarding his life. I'm just not Libertarian enough to not care.

rumborak

And this is prevented now? It would be one thing if prohibition works, but seeing as how it just makes the problem worse, this complaint is misguided and wrong.

Alcohol causes thousands of deaths a year, many from a simple misstep. If we want to take your principle concern seriously, we would have to ban alchohol if anything.

I think he was more referring to the concept of "Let them do what they want, but screw them if they need any help because of it".
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 19, 2012, 03:05:18 PM
That's all ideologically convenient, but it misses the fact that a single misstep can render a person incapable to make any further rational decision regarding his life. I'm just not Libertarian enough to not care.

rumborak

I hope you read my previous post. I would definitely disagree. While I do agree that "rewarding" bad behavior creates the wrong incentives - we still have a MORAL personal obligation to help out when some one is in dire straits. At least in my opinion.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 19, 2012, 05:32:35 PM
When in doubt, just trade with them more.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 20, 2012, 05:14:39 PM
That's all ideologically convenient, but it misses the fact that a single misstep can render a person incapable to make any further rational decision regarding his life. I'm just not Libertarian enough to not care.

rumborak

And this is prevented now? It would be one thing if prohibition works, but seeing as how it just makes the problem worse, this complaint is misguided and wrong.

Alcohol causes thousands of deaths a year, many from a simple misstep. If we want to take your principle concern seriously, we would have to ban alchohol if anything.

I think he was more referring to the concept of "Let them do what they want, but screw them if they need any help because of it".

Well, then much of my post still applies. Even without giving governmental assistance for people to overcome an addiction, it would still make it more likely that they'll seek private help.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 20, 2012, 09:06:04 PM
Ah, show is over. Romney dominated two states in a row, and Santorum is imploding. Gingrich and Paul are roadkill.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 21, 2012, 08:14:07 AM
Correct.  Romney is the nominee.  Absolutely no doubt now.

The only thing left to wonder about now is how much Gingrich and Sanntorum will humiliate themselves by living in a state of denial.  I think Gingrich's massive head will not allow him to quit.  Santorum......I dunno. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 21, 2012, 09:17:28 AM
And Paul's still goin'. :biggrin:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 21, 2012, 10:02:34 AM
his last hurrah, perhaps.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 21, 2012, 10:49:55 AM
Apparently he was at Jay Leno yesterday night. I dunno, I somewhat understand his desire to get his message across, but there's the danger of being "that guy" who doesn't get the drift at all. I mean, he's now with Gingrich in that "stooges" category that news writer use to fluff up the volume of their article.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 21, 2012, 11:47:05 AM
You know what, though, I think it's a little bit different with Ron Paul.  Kinda like the Green Party candidates and the other fringe candidates.  They're mostly about the message, most people know that.  Ron Paul was never a viable candidate just like his son will never be a viable candidate, because Libertarianism will never be a viable political philosophy in this country.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 21, 2012, 11:50:12 AM
Funny considering my best friend's girlfriend's Randian younger sister was just poo-pooing me about how libertarianism is the only correct system for the US. :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 21, 2012, 12:34:42 PM
Right, because a plurality of Americans (you know, a group large enough that it has to include at least some minorities) are going to jump on a system that believes the 1964 Civil Rights Act is garbage  ::)

Yep, that's gonna happen right around the same time a giraffe crawls out of my ass and plays "Eruption" on a banjo while whistling Dixie in 7/8
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on March 21, 2012, 12:36:29 PM
Funny considering my best friend's girlfriend's Randian younger sister was just poo-pooing me about how libertarianism is the only correct system for the US. :lol

And something tells me she is a middle/upper class white girl with no actual responsibilities yet.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 21, 2012, 12:46:53 PM
Affirmative. She lives in a nice big house and she believes all libertarians are posers except those that stick to the core principles of the original Ayn Randian flavor.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 21, 2012, 12:49:07 PM
Sounds like a nightmare.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 21, 2012, 12:52:24 PM
Making all kinds of generalizations seems to be the way to go around here.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 21, 2012, 12:53:17 PM
In this case, no exaggerations. That is what she said. She said Ron Paul is an idiot who's corrupted the original message.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 21, 2012, 12:54:29 PM
How is it an unwarranted generalization? It's widely known that RP's core are young impressionable middle/upper class whites.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 21, 2012, 12:59:35 PM
Yep, that's gonna happen right around the same time a giraffe crawls out of my ass and plays "Eruption" on a banjo while whistling Dixie in 7/8

Keep in mind that I don't mean to pry, and I'm only saying this because I care:  Dude, you seriously need to think about changing your diet.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 21, 2012, 12:59:51 PM
Making all kinds of generalizations seems to be the way to go around here.

Delegates:

Romney: 562
Santorum: 249
Gingrich: 137
Paul: 71

Romney has 8 times the delegates that Ron Paul has.  Libertarianism is DOA in American Politics, my friend.  That may be a generalization, but it's also a fact.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 21, 2012, 01:01:13 PM
Yep, that's gonna happen right around the same time a giraffe crawls out of my ass and plays "Eruption" on a banjo while whistling Dixie in 7/8

Keep in mind that I don't mean to pry, and I'm only saying this because I care:  Dude, you seriously need to think about changing your diet.

I should eat more foods that whistle in 4/4  :P
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 21, 2012, 01:12:02 PM
Libertarianism is DOA in American Politics, my friend.  That may be a generalization, but it's also a fact.
Yup. Political action rarely is a means to change the nature of government itself. Libertarians instead need to start practicing the NAP in their personal lives - then you'll see a change of philosophy occurring from the bottom up. Maybe then it'll be possible to also open people's eyes to the violence inherit in the state.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 21, 2012, 02:00:51 PM
Well, who is to say what changes can happen over a few generations?  If enough people support it, almost anything can happen.  But I do think if Libertarianism is to become more mainstream, it must jettison some of the perceived philosophical baggage it carries so that it can appeal to a wider demographic.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 21, 2012, 02:49:36 PM
The actual moral argument is used way too rarely imo. When you're arguing economics, or even the socialist calculation problem, you're just going to end up going back to historical references where there are economic historians who have studied the same thing over a period of time and come up with different conclusions. It becomes an interpretation of data.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 21, 2012, 03:08:54 PM
I don't know how well Paul represented the Libertarian mindset, but if he did, I think you can say goodbye to a Libertarian becoming POTUS for a long time. Reality is, not a lot of people see inflation as a giant evil, nor do they want to stand by with crossed arms when it comes to suffering of other people, both domestic and foreign (which RP has called for ceasing both).
Frankly, even though RP supporters now think they've truly "tapped into" that latent Libertarianism of the public, I think reality is that RP is just another non-Romney, and had there been a good GOP candidate, RP would have been at his usual 5%.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 21, 2012, 04:53:11 PM
Ron Paul just doesn't want go around with a gun acquiring that money to help others.

I mean, is it right for you to go around with a gun, door to door, and asking for people's money to help the starving poor? If it's not, why is right to delegate that right to government?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 21, 2012, 05:03:02 PM
Making all kinds of generalizations seems to be the way to go around here.

Delegates:

Romney: 562
Santorum: 249
Gingrich: 137
Paul: 71

Romney has 8 times the delegates that Ron Paul has.  Libertarianism is DOA in American Politics, my friend.  That may be a generalization, but it's also a fact.

It's DOA in Republican Politics, that's for sure.

Also, Romney may have more than all the other candidates, but will he have 1044 (or whatever) to get the nomination?

I'm also not sure whose delegate count to use. There's a lot of disputes and issues going on with delegates this year, and it's really showing major flaws with the nomination process.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 21, 2012, 06:56:49 PM
Ron Paul just doesn't want go around with a gun acquiring that money to help others.

I mean, is it right for you to go around with a gun, door to door, and asking for people's money to help the starving poor? If it's not, why is right to delegate that right to government?

I've always hated that stock scenario. Yes, taxes are compulsory, but it's not like you face a death threat by not handing them over. And also, ffs, it's not like you're really suffering for forking over some small amount of money if you live here in America and can complain about it on a message board. I would understand libertarianism in a place like a third world country with a totalitarian dictator, but here...nah.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 21, 2012, 08:16:47 PM
Inb4 the standard "I didn't sign no stinkin' social contract".

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 21, 2012, 09:46:43 PM
Btw, interesting exercise to look at the graphs on Google Trends of the candidate names.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 22, 2012, 06:51:44 AM
OK, here's something I don't get about conservative and libertarian discourse lately, particularly on this forum. Why is it that conservatives and libertarians will say that we have to stop getting involved in wars, that the military-industrial complex is one of the main sources of all our foreign policy and economic woes, that we should become more isolationist, etc., and then in the same breath say that we should cut a slew of governmental departments but raise the military budget, because there be dragons out there?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 22, 2012, 07:25:49 AM
I think those are two different sets of people.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 22, 2012, 07:51:30 AM
I was using it collectively, but I have seen it embodied collectively in individuals of both political persuasions.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 22, 2012, 12:51:18 PM
It's Mitt Romney's platform. He's going to cap, balance and cut the budget, but he's also going to increase our military presence, and give out huge tax break.

Of course, he's an etch-a-sketch.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 22, 2012, 01:04:07 PM
That was a pretty bad wording I have to say. Playing right into the fears of the base.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 22, 2012, 01:17:57 PM
It's Mitt Romney's platform. He's going to cap, balance and cut the budget, but he's also going to increase our military presence, and give out huge tax break.

Of course, he's an etch-a-sketch.
Uhm. He hasn't said anything about reigning in the military industrial complex afaik.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 22, 2012, 02:17:10 PM
Socialism for the rich, capitalism for the poor!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 22, 2012, 02:40:16 PM
This is awesome:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=bxch-yi14BE
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ZBomber on March 22, 2012, 03:17:42 PM
 :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 22, 2012, 03:43:50 PM
It's Mitt Romney's platform. He's going to cap, balance and cut the budget, but he's also going to increase our military presence, and give out huge tax break.

Of course, he's an etch-a-sketch.
Uhm. He hasn't said anything about reigning in the military industrial complex afaik.

....

 :facepalm:

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 22, 2012, 04:32:38 PM
What am I missing here...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 22, 2012, 05:14:00 PM
You guys are talking past each other.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 22, 2012, 08:12:49 PM
So a few days ago, I mentioned that I would be running a DTF electoral map projection after a nominee was selected for the Republicans.
Just to save time, I've projected states that are, beyond any reasonable doubt, sure things come election day. I've omitted states where there's even the slightest bit of doubt from this projection. Many of the non-called states will almost certainly go one way or the other, but I'm leaving those ones up for debate here when the time comes. The ones I've called are ones where, no matter who's selected, they'll go the way I'm projecting.

I just wanted to see if anyone here objected to any of these projections.
I'm using that backwards color scheme one again because I like their site. Red is Obama, Blue is Republican (probably Romney), grey is uncalled. Let me know if any of you disagree with any of the called states on this map;

(https://i41.tinypic.com/i255ps.jpg)
Obama: California, Connecticut, Delaware, D.C., Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington

Republican (probably Romney): Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Mississippi, Utah, West Virginia, Wyoming

Again, every state not called will be brought up for debate here. I'm just submitting some 'sure things' to save time later.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 22, 2012, 08:15:07 PM
Well, there are smart people in California, Connecticut, Delaware, D.C., Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington, so those should not automatically go to Obama.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 22, 2012, 08:17:27 PM
Smart people indeed. :yeahright:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 22, 2012, 09:22:51 PM
Bosk, on a serious note though: Given the Republican candidates, is any of them really better than Obama? I mean, Romney is like the Wonderbread of the Republicans. Yes it's officially bread, but nobody likes it, and you only eat it because the other stuff is inedible.

Even though I have this nagging suspicion that you actually consider Santorum a viable candidate.


rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 22, 2012, 09:38:12 PM
I don't disagree with you, but I would consider Obama the "inedible stuff." 

As far as Santorum, I was just more interested in the dynamic of him running against Romney than anything.  I don't think he is the answer.  There are things I really admire about him, but there are other things that are a turnoff and make me think he is not the right guy at all.  So, on balance, I think I have to favor Romney (although if, against all odds and common sense, Santorum won the nomination and it were Santorum vs. Obama, I would vote Santorum in a heartbeat).  Santorum just seems to have too many issues that are difficult to overlook.  But I have to admit, I do not follow the races all that closely at this stage, so I can't give as many specifics as I would like to to be able to give a detailed rundown on what I like and dislike about him.  Suffice it to say, I don't think he's the right guy.

All in all, I'm pretty disgusted with American politics.  None of the candidates on either side of the aisle ever seem to be good choices, and that goes for the Leg. branch as much as the Exec.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 23, 2012, 12:21:27 AM
What am I missing here...

I'm saying the same thing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 23, 2012, 07:01:42 AM

All in all, I'm pretty disgusted with American politics.  None of the candidates on either side of the aisle ever seem to be good choices, and that goes for the Leg. branch as much as the Exec.

We may be on opposite ends of the ideological spectrum, but we're in 100% congruity here.  :hat
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on March 23, 2012, 11:37:53 AM

All in all, I'm pretty disgusted with American politics.  None of the candidates on either side of the aisle ever seem to be good choices, and that goes for the Leg. branch as much as the Exec.

We may be on opposite ends of the ideological spectrum, but we're in 100% congruity here.  :hat

I can almost guarantee that if Americans felt like the politicians we elect weren't lying to us, weren't corrupt, and listened to the concerns of the every-day citizen, a lot more of us on either side of the aisle wouldn't mind so much having someone in office who might be more on the opposite side.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 23, 2012, 11:48:12 AM
I think that is what attracted a lot of non-libertarians to Ron Paul.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: gmillerdrake on March 23, 2012, 03:21:51 PM

All in all, I'm pretty disgusted with American politics.  None of the candidates on either side of the aisle ever seem to be good choices, and that goes for the Leg. branch as much as the Exec.

We may be on opposite ends of the ideological spectrum, but we're in 100% congruity here.  :hat

No matter where (we) stand.....democrat, republican, right, left, conservative, liberal......whatever label that would be placed upon us due to our political leanings......I'd be willing to bet that the majority of us are disgusted with US politics and what it has evolved into. I'd say the career politicians should be ashamed of themselves but that would imply they actually give a crap about the 'real' people in this country.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 23, 2012, 05:01:18 PM
Quit posting the red as the democrats and the blue as republican. That's just asinine.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 23, 2012, 06:21:21 PM

Obama: California, Connecticut, Delaware, D.C., Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington

Republican (probably Romney): Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Mississippi, Utah, West Virginia, Wyoming

Again, every state not called will be brought up for debate here. I'm just submitting some 'sure things' to save time later.

I know Mass is most likely going to be the Republican nominees home state, but I find it hard to believe they would vote Republican.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 23, 2012, 06:59:48 PM
Yeah, that sounds rather unlikely.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 23, 2012, 07:51:10 PM
Mitt Romney is from Michigan :shrug
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 23, 2012, 07:54:21 PM
Michigan is a largely Republican state, except for a small circle of blue in Oakland County.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 23, 2012, 07:57:32 PM
Michigan is a largely Republican state, except for a small circle of blue in Oakland County.

Oh, that small blue Oakland county is 85 fucking % of the state's population.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 23, 2012, 08:08:55 PM
Actually according to the 2010 Census, that number is closer to 10%. :biggrin:

That's approximately 1.2 million out of nearly 9.9 million, in case you were wondering.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 23, 2012, 08:12:25 PM
Actually according to the 2010 Census, that number is closer to 10%. :biggrin:

???

Oakland County is like 85% of the population of Michigan last I checked...

Ah, it's 3 or 4 counties down there, including Wayne county. Detroit metro area makes up most of Michigan's population. I'm from Leelanau County...21k.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 23, 2012, 09:01:26 PM
OK, but in the grand scheme of things, 1.2 million out of 9.9 million still ain't what I'd call the majority of the Michigan population. And hey, even in that circle of blue a decent number of Romney supporters are mixed in. Rich and with an interest in staying rich, as you'd well imagine.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 23, 2012, 09:59:08 PM

Obama: California, Connecticut, Delaware, D.C., Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington

Republican (probably Romney): Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Mississippi, Utah, West Virginia, Wyoming

Again, every state not called will be brought up for debate here. I'm just submitting some 'sure things' to save time later.

I know Mass is most likely going to be the Republican nominees home state, but I find it hard to believe they would vote Republican.
I do find that interesting; the most likely Republican nominee will almost definitely lose his 'home state'. To be fair, Romney has about 13 home states (only slightly exaggerating), but it would be shocking if the democrats lost Massachusetts, and they'll probably keep Michigan in their column in 2012. Obama has roughly a 10 point lead over Romney in Michigan right now.

Quote
Quit posting the red as the democrats and the blue as republican. That's just asinine.
I really do like that site, but I'll consider picking a site with the Dems as blue and the GOP as red, since you Americans have that silly inverse color scheme.  ;D

Anyhoo, most likely I will be using those projections from the previous page to save time. There's not exactly anything controversial in those pics. I mean, I didn't even call Massachusetts or Texas.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 24, 2012, 04:51:34 AM


Quote
Quit posting the red as the democrats and the blue as republican. That's just asinine.
I really do like that site, but I'll consider picking a site with the Dems as blue and the GOP as red, since you Americans have that silly inverse color scheme.  ;D

Anyhoo, most likely I will be using those projections from the previous page to save time. There's not exactly anything controversial in those pics. I mean, I didn't even call Massachusetts or Texas.

Glad you didn't take me that seriously :)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 24, 2012, 12:56:38 PM
I guess today's primary isn't all that exciting, other than the certainty that it will keep the battle going because Santorum will win.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 24, 2012, 07:07:02 PM
I like that, at this point, even CNN doesn't seem to care. They didn't block off a timeslot for Primary coverage, and have already called it for Santorum.

The perfectly fitting thing is that today, the New Democratic Party here in Canada is holding its leadership convention. Sure, they've had a few debates, but the entire selection process takes place today. They've already gotten it down from 7 candidates to 2, and will probably have a new party leader within the hour.
The contrast is pretty staggering.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 25, 2012, 06:20:55 AM
MA is an odd state.  We chose Scott Brown over Martha Coakley to fill Ted Kennedy's seat, but I think that was more a function of Coakley's terrible campaign than it was of Brown's superiority as a candidate.


I think the general election voting will be pretty tight here, but I think Obama will probably win it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: King Postwhore on March 25, 2012, 08:19:19 AM
I just love Kristen Schaal.  She was on the Daily Show and her skit on the The Vulgar Games - Republican Policy Routine, was to die for.


https://www.thedailyshow.com/watch/tue-march-13-2012/the-vulgar-games---republican-policy-routine
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 26, 2012, 02:40:28 PM
I'm not sure whether or not I hope this is real:

(https://fbcdn-sphotos-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-ash4/303372_2518056130545_1827515045_1528236_1702048467_n.jpg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 26, 2012, 02:48:36 PM
Well, I know he came out against pornography, so it wouldn't surprise me the least.

Is there a way to institute a fairness and honestly policy for Presidential candidates? Like, if you blatantly lie or distort more than 5 times, you're kicked off the fucking ballot. I mean, what the fuck? He favors pornographers over children and families?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 26, 2012, 02:49:48 PM
Actually what caught my eye was the Taliban part. :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 26, 2012, 02:52:19 PM
Has to be troll img. But he has made similar statements.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on March 26, 2012, 02:56:19 PM
YOUR GAY PORN
DETERMINES YOUR DEATHSTYLE
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: AcidLameLTE on March 26, 2012, 04:53:56 PM
YOUR GAY PORN
DETERMINES YOUR DEATHSTYLE
First thing I thought when I read it
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 26, 2012, 05:07:24 PM
YOUR GAY PORN
DETERMINES YOUR DEATHSTYLE
First thing I thought when I read it
:lol :lol :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: AcidLameLTE on March 26, 2012, 06:31:23 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=DApjHZq9o7M

Another great Santorum advert
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on March 26, 2012, 06:40:00 PM
Pffff. Excellent.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on March 26, 2012, 06:43:50 PM
What the fuck did I just watch?

1,088 likes, 13,526 dislikes
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 27, 2012, 04:53:30 AM
The only thing "coming soon" to RickSantorum.com is his concession message to the eventual Republican nominee.   :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on March 27, 2012, 08:13:40 AM
So Mitt Romney said that Russia was USA's "number-one foe". Dimitri Medvedev told him to think before speaking and to check his watch; it's 2012 not the 70s.
Romney is sooo stupid.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 27, 2012, 08:17:52 AM
Hey, if they can get country bumpkins to point fingers at someone else, they can easily sidestep problems that are their own fault.

Exhibit A: Terrorists for the entire last decade.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on March 27, 2012, 08:38:13 AM
I'm not sure whether or not I hope this is real:

(https://fbcdn-sphotos-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-ash4/303372_2518056130545_1827515045_1528236_1702048467_n.jpg)

He ended before just before "I will ban.."
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 27, 2012, 09:09:59 AM
I don't get the point of creating a fake image like that. Why make shit up and giving people the excuse to say "half of the stuff that's said about him isn't true!!", when the guy already said so much ridiculous stuff?

Romney's statement is unfathomably stupid.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on March 27, 2012, 09:55:25 AM
Americans for a More American America

https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.315376551848856.76806.314941821892329&type=3
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on March 27, 2012, 10:30:13 AM
I don't get the point of creating a fake image like that. Why make shit up and giving people the excuse to say "half of the stuff that's said about him isn't true!!", when the guy already said so much ridiculous stuff?

Romney's statement is unfathomably stupid.

rumborak

https://www.snopes.com/politics/santorum/taliban.asp
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 27, 2012, 11:59:17 AM
I bet high gas prices will hurt Obama in the election, whether or not he actually has anything to do with it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 27, 2012, 12:13:33 PM
The overall international ignorance of the US population definitely helps with that. Was listening to German news yesterday, same thing there, gas prices are at an all-time high.
Unless Obama can stop the Chinese and Indians from wanting to drive, I don't see any possible direction for gas than up.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 27, 2012, 12:25:45 PM
Yeah, gas is pretty expensive these days. Too bad we don't have some cheaper alternative we can turn to.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 27, 2012, 01:59:58 PM
Too bad we don't tap into our own natural resources.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 27, 2012, 02:04:01 PM
That wouldn't change much. We may be sitting on a good amount of oil, but not a ridiculous amount of oil. It's never going to be $20 to fill up your tank ever again, that I can promise you.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 27, 2012, 02:08:49 PM
That wouldn't change much. We may be sitting on a good amount of oil, but not a ridiculous amount of oil. It's never going to be $20 to fill up your tank ever again, that I can promise you.

That's the most asinine argument I've ever heard.

1.) Regardless of the amount of oil, it's irresponsible to not tap into it. Relying on someone else is always retarded. We all know how group work in college goes, so why should I trust someone from a different country with my lifeline?

2.) I didn't say fucking shit about $20 to fill up my tank. $4 is sustainable. I'm used to it at this point. I don't want to fucking pay $5+ for a fucking tank of gas.


While gas prices go up, we're sitting around with our thumbs up our asses and not doing anything. There is no reason why we aren't drilling. We can drill and find alternatives. Let's quit throwing all of our eggs in one basket. This is why I think Obama's administration is completely fucktarded. "OOO ALT ENUR-G" Yeah, BUT FUCKING USE WHAT WE HAVE TO HELP GET THE ALTERNATIVE SHIT.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 27, 2012, 02:12:12 PM
It's gonna be ok man.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 27, 2012, 02:13:17 PM
It's gonna be ok man.

It'll be okay when we don't get a fucking retard* in the White House.


* A fucking retard when it comes to shit like this.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 27, 2012, 02:18:17 PM
That wouldn't change much. We may be sitting on a good amount of oil, but not a ridiculous amount of oil. It's never going to be $20 to fill up your tank ever again, that I can promise you.

That's the most asinine argument I've ever heard.

1.) Regardless of the amount of oil, it's irresponsible to not tap into it. Relying on someone else is always retarded. We all know how group work in college goes, so why should I trust someone from a different country with my lifeline?

2.) I didn't say fucking shit about $20 to fill up my tank. $4 is sustainable. I'm used to it at this point. I don't want to fucking pay $5+ for a fucking tank of gas.


While gas prices go up, we're sitting around with our thumbs up our asses and not doing anything. There is no reason why we aren't drilling. We can drill and find alternatives. Let's quit throwing all of our eggs in one basket. This is why I think Obama's administration is completely fucktarded. "OOO ALT ENUR-G" Yeah, BUT FUCKING USE WHAT WE HAVE TO HELP GET THE ALTERNATIVE SHIT.

Welcome to the first role of global economics: trade with the guy who has the comparative advantage. Right now that's either the Saudis or the Venezuelans.

Second of all, I'm all for finding alternatives while using oil, but we're not gonna start using alternatives in massive quantities if people stay stuck on oil. That's been the score the last few decades, it's nothing new. People will delay the switch as long as possible, even willing to take on the unnecessary burdens of expensive gas.

Third of all, for the record, we have been using alternatives alongside oil for a long time actually. It's just that politically we're addicted to oil, which causes way more problems than using alternatives, whether we're talking environmentally or even in terms of foreign relations. Basically, we're using alternatives, but not nearly enough to actually solve any of these problems.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 27, 2012, 02:22:26 PM
All piss poor excuses for us not drilling.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 27, 2012, 02:23:02 PM
Clearly you didn't even bother to read a single word I said. There are plenty of reasons to drill, but those cause way more problems than they'd solve. It's like scratching chicken pox: it may feel good at first, but in the end all you're doing is giving yourself scars. And it still fucking itches.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 27, 2012, 02:24:38 PM
To my knowledge, the untapped resourcess in the US are also not those super-easy-to-get-to ones, but require significant processing, which rakes up the price. So, you might no longer be as much at the mercy of some obscure country, but the price will still be high.

And yeah, god forbid we have a president who actually looks toward the future and doesn't try to lull the gullible part of the population into a false sense of security that everything can stay the same as it was.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 27, 2012, 02:29:10 PM
And even if we do tap into it and say "DRILL BABY, DRILL!" the fact remains that U.S. oil has long since peaked, and it won't nearly be enough to tide us over with the impending global peak.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 27, 2012, 02:29:44 PM
To my knowledge, the untapped resourcess in the US are also not those super-easy-to-get-to ones, but require significant processing, which rakes up the price. So, you might no longer be as much at the mercy of some obscure country, but the price will still be high.

Iran and the Saudi's are far from obscure (hint: I've heard about them ;)). But that's the gist of it. If I am paying a fuck load for gas, I'd rather it be to my countrymen. The money, now, goes to Saudi princes who spend here (tax free, IIRC).


Quote
And yeah, god forbid we have a president who actually looks toward the future and doesn't try to lull the gullible part of the population into a false sense of security that everything can stay the same as it was.

rumborak

Looking towards the future is good. But doing nothing when you have oil companies begging to be allowed to drill is asinine. Right/left pub/dem aside, Obama has been pretty pro-Alt Energy and somewhat anti-oil. Well, at least US Oil. I'm not saying there aren't legitimate reasons why we couldn't drill. But, I'd rather control my own destiny than some country on the other side of the world.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 27, 2012, 02:30:42 PM
And even if we do tap into it and say "DRILL BABY, DRILL!" the fact remains that U.S. oil has long since peaked, and it won't nearly be enough to tide us over with the impending global peak.

Again, completely asinine and a piss poor excuse.

"well, these gold mines aren't worth digging out because they won't meet the demand being set forth by the world!"
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 27, 2012, 02:32:30 PM
The problem is that the US-based drilling is also in ridiculously deep off-shore wells under the ocean. The Deep Water Horizon's spill was partially caused by the fact that it's getting more and more risky to drill in the depths it requires to get to the oil.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 27, 2012, 02:34:19 PM
Talk about asinine absolutism. Alright rumbo I'm out, you can take over if you want.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 27, 2012, 02:36:41 PM
The problem is that the US-based drilling is also in ridiculously deep off-shore wells under the ocean. The Deep Water Horizon's spill was partially caused by the fact that it's getting more and more risky to drill in the depths it requires to get to the oil.

rumborak

So we don't do something because it's risky? I get it, but sweet Neptune of the sea. That's about as sad as it gets. This is the US of fucking A. We shouldn't allow something to not happen because it's risky. If there were any indications that drilling in these places would be okay if the risks were addressed, I'm sure someone would be ontop of that and get the shit under control.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 27, 2012, 02:37:44 PM
So, you're fine with devastating whole shorelines of the United States for the few years of oil supply it gets you?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 27, 2012, 02:40:13 PM
So, you're fine with devastating whole shorelines of the United States for the few years of oil supply it gets you?

rumborak

No, I'm fine with researching how to get this shit done safely. Do you think that Obama's administration has authorized research on how to drill safely? Or said they'd gladly accept drilling in one of these areas if they can drill safely? If so, post a source. I'm just going with my gut and assuming "no".

You've got to exhaust all possibilities.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 27, 2012, 02:48:42 PM
With unlimited resources, sure. With limited resources, I'd rather spend the money on things that will last for decades than researching on how to not fuck up the shorelines of the US to get to oil that buys you a miniscule amount of time (and research has shown that it wouldn't make a significant dent in the oil price anyway).

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 27, 2012, 03:22:18 PM
Don't mistake my tone with anger. Sure, I'm out of patience in the entire situation, but I'm not angry. I could get many a friends to testify on here that I swear like that all the time.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 27, 2012, 03:24:12 PM
With unlimited resources, sure. With limited resources, I'd rather spend the money on things that will last for decades than researching on how to not fuck up the shorelines of the US to get to oil that buys you a miniscule amount of time (and research has shown that it wouldn't make a significant dent in the oil price anyway).

rumborak


Like alternatives, for example, which as noted, we've had for several decades. Hell, the first electric car was actually produced alongside the gas-driven Model T.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: gmillerdrake on March 27, 2012, 03:29:52 PM
So, you're fine with devastating whole shorelines of the United States for the few years of oil supply it gets you?

rumborak

The US is the only country not milking the Gulf for its oil. There are multiple countries just off the US shores out in 'International Water' in both the Gulf and the Atlantic that are pumping out oil that are just as 'dangerous' to those shorelines. The fact that the US refuses to do the same is ridiculous.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: skydivingninja on March 27, 2012, 03:38:52 PM
That wouldn't change much. We may be sitting on a good amount of oil, but not a ridiculous amount of oil. It's never going to be $20 to fill up your tank ever again, that I can promise you.

That's the most asinine argument I've ever heard.

1.) Regardless of the amount of oil, it's irresponsible to not tap into it. Relying on someone else is always retarded. We all know how group work in college goes, so why should I trust someone from a different country with my lifeline?

2.) I didn't say fucking shit about $20 to fill up my tank. $4 is sustainable. I'm used to it at this point. I don't want to fucking pay $5+ for a fucking tank of gas.


While gas prices go up, we're sitting around with our thumbs up our asses and not doing anything. There is no reason why we aren't drilling. We can drill and find alternatives. Let's quit throwing all of our eggs in one basket. This is why I think Obama's administration is completely fucktarded. "OOO ALT ENUR-G" Yeah, BUT FUCKING USE WHAT WE HAVE TO HELP GET THE ALTERNATIVE SHIT.

Welcome to the first role of global economics: trade with the guy who has the comparative advantage. Right now that's either the Saudis or the Venezuelans.
Canada actually gives us most of our oil.  They don't hate us AS much as the other guys :P  Plus Venezuela is a risky place to be.  Chavez basically stole a shitton of Exxon assets from them, after all.  The Saudis do have a lot of oil though. :P

Snapple, your argument for wanting to drill here so you can give your money to other Americans isn't entirely sound.  For one, no matter where you buy gas from, money gets back to the US.  It gets to the truck drivers, convenience store owners, the guys who have to fix the lights when they go out, etc. etc.  You can boycott places based on where they get their oil, certainly (IIRC, Shell gets their gas from Venezuela), but to imply that all our money is going to the Saudis or Canadians is just silly, especially when those countries can and will invest it back into us. 

I'm all for alternative energy sources.  We're gonna need to switch eventually, there's no reason not to explore them now, and we need to save the oil we have.  Its certainly better to campaign for them rather than to try and perpetuate the myth that everything will stay the same forever, because it can't in any situation.  Or, as Rumbo  put it:
With unlimited resources, sure. With limited resources, I'd rather spend the money on things that will last for decades than researching on how to not fuck up the shorelines of the US to get to oil that buys you a miniscule amount of time (and research has shown that it wouldn't make a significant dent in the oil price anyway).

rumborak

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 27, 2012, 03:45:58 PM
Besides, what ever happened to technological progress and social development? Staying on oil brings us closer to neither, and it's really frustrating, even forgetting all the environmental stuff. That's the stuff of stagnation, and stagnation is what causes great civilizations to fall.

Hmm...although, massive economic crash...waning international power...well, whaddya know! It's already happening.

So, you're fine with devastating whole shorelines of the United States for the few years of oil supply it gets you?

rumborak

The US is the only country not milking the Gulf for its oil. There are multiple countries just off the US shores out in 'International Water' in both the Gulf and the Atlantic that are pumping out oil that are just as 'dangerous' to those shorelines. The fact that the US refuses to do the same is ridiculous.

Has everyone forgotten the BP Oil Spill disaster?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: emindead on March 27, 2012, 04:06:33 PM
Was it wise for the US to ever start drilling in the Middle East? Nationalization was just about a matter of time...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 27, 2012, 04:07:29 PM
Hooray, autarky. We all know where that leads.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: gmillerdrake on March 27, 2012, 04:19:21 PM
Besides, what ever happened to technological progress and social development? Staying on oil brings us closer to neither, and it's really frustrating, even forgetting all the environmental stuff. That's the stuff of stagnation, and stagnation is what causes great civilizations to fall.

Hmm...although, massive economic crash...waning international power...well, whaddya know! It's already happening.

So, you're fine with devastating whole shorelines of the United States for the few years of oil supply it gets you?

rumborak

The US is the only country not milking the Gulf for its oil. There are multiple countries just off the US shores out in 'International Water' in both the Gulf and the Atlantic that are pumping out oil that are just as 'dangerous' to those shorelines. The fact that the US refuses to do the same is ridiculous.

Has everyone forgotten the BP Oil Spill disaster?
Which was a disaster...definately....no argument. But even there due to ridiculous rules about drilling BP was forced to set up shop far out at sea doing deep water drilling. Which is as we've seen, way more difficult and open to 'disaster'. These rigs that are drilling at the moment are deep water drilling which is just as dangerous as the BP rig was.
  Let them bring it closer in to shore where it is more managable.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 27, 2012, 04:22:22 PM
Actually, it wasn't so much due to the ridiculous rules as the fact that they weren't following them... :yeahright
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 27, 2012, 04:22:43 PM
Screw that wildlife. I heard they're liberals.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 27, 2012, 04:54:50 PM
Too bad we don't tap into our own natural resources.

What fantasy land to you live in where we aren't drilling more now than ever? Seriously, I want to know how it is you don't think we're tapping our own natural resources. Obama had a temporary ban on drilling, AFTER the BP oil spill, becuase there were and are legitimate safety concerns. Natural gas is going through a gigantic boom right now, and Obama simply wants to monitor and make sure safety isn't thrown out the window for profits - which oil companies do quite fucking often. That's not saying, "we're not going to drill."

Meanwhile, Obama's policies and investments have helped us reduce our demand for oil (56 mpg fleet standard, vastly increased our capacity to manufacture batteries for hybrid and electric vehicles, and investments in solar and wind to help us power those vehicles. Meaning, he's actually doing something to help us ween ourselves of oil, which means maybe we can reasonably expect to leave the Middle East, and end the entire clusterfuck we're there for. We could drill everything we got, right now, and it still wouldn't be enough for us to ween ourselves of oil.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on March 27, 2012, 07:03:41 PM
Domestic oil production under Obama has actually been on average higher than under Bush.

The two largest foreign suppliers of oil to the United States are Canada and Mexico, with Canada's percentage currently going up.

One of the things sending gas prices up right now? It's spring. In the fall, closer to the election, gas prices are going to go down a bit. This happens basically every year.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on March 27, 2012, 07:09:03 PM
You guys are funny :lol

Ofcourse its ideal to have complete energy security, I mean if given the option of relying on foreign entities for one of, if not the most, important inputs into the economy or being fully self-sufficient - I know what I'd choose.

But, its nieve to think that having full energy security at all costs is good policy: it aint. If you can get it cheaper overseas in a reasonably secure fashion, then thats the way to go, otherwise you raise the price of practically everything because it costs you more than it would otherwise to source domestically. Fortunately/unfortunately, thats just how the economy works.

The price of oil reflects three key things: cost of production, relative scarcity and transport. Sourcing domestically may reduce transport costs, but it won't do anything to relative scarcity (as in, the trade-off between supply and demand) because other producers will just cut production to keep prices up. And you are left with the cost of production which would be higher, and so you don't really gain anything other than pissing off the cartels who can really hurt your economy.

Basically, let the market do its thing. Sure, invade a couple of countries every once in a while to shore up your supply contracts, but mess with the market at your peril.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: gmillerdrake on March 27, 2012, 08:03:23 PM
Screw that wildlife. I heard they're liberal
rumborak

Wildlife has nothing to worry about, it'll be here long after all we know is all an oil deposit being sucked up by the next round of idiots.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 27, 2012, 08:05:30 PM
Too bad we don't tap into our own natural resources.

What fantasy land to you live in where we aren't drilling more now than ever? Seriously, I want to know how it is you don't think we're tapping our own natural resources. Obama had a temporary ban on drilling, AFTER the BP oil spill, becuase there were and are legitimate safety concerns. Natural gas is going through a gigantic boom right now, and Obama simply wants to monitor and make sure safety isn't thrown out the window for profits - which oil companies do quite fucking often. That's not saying, "we're not going to drill."

Meanwhile, Obama's policies and investments have helped us reduce our demand for oil (56 mpg fleet standard, vastly increased our capacity to manufacture batteries for hybrid and electric vehicles, and investments in solar and wind to help us power those vehicles. Meaning, he's actually doing something to help us ween ourselves of oil, which means maybe we can reasonably expect to leave the Middle East, and end the entire clusterfuck we're there for. We could drill everything we got, right now, and it still wouldn't be enough for us to ween ourselves of oil.

I'd like to see your literature, I'm interested to know about whatever policies allowed him to enact this change and see how well it's working.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 27, 2012, 10:31:16 PM
Too bad we don't tap into our own natural resources.

What fantasy land to you live in where we aren't drilling more now than ever? Seriously, I want to know how it is you don't think we're tapping our own natural resources. Obama had a temporary ban on drilling, AFTER the BP oil spill, becuase there were and are legitimate safety concerns. Natural gas is going through a gigantic boom right now, and Obama simply wants to monitor and make sure safety isn't thrown out the window for profits - which oil companies do quite fucking often. That's not saying, "we're not going to drill."

Meanwhile, Obama's policies and investments have helped us reduce our demand for oil (56 mpg fleet standard, vastly increased our capacity to manufacture batteries for hybrid and electric vehicles, and investments in solar and wind to help us power those vehicles. Meaning, he's actually doing something to help us ween ourselves of oil, which means maybe we can reasonably expect to leave the Middle East, and end the entire clusterfuck we're there for. We could drill everything we got, right now, and it still wouldn't be enough for us to ween ourselves of oil.

I'd like to see your literature, I'm interested to know about whatever policies allowed him to enact this change and see how well it's working.

(search: obama mpg standards)
https://www.whitehouse.gov/blog/2011/07/29/president-obama-announces-new-fuel-economy-standards
https://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/174351-obama-unveils-tighter-vehicle-fuel-economy-standards

Sorry, 54.5. What's interesting to note, is that the industry was directly involved in the negotiations. Basically, the industries had issues with uncertainty at the state level, meaning they didn't know what minimum they had to make. This was a welcomed agreement, and unclustered governmental rules like conservatives like, and it didn't do it by ignoring the industries concerns. It was really a win win for everyone - and it seems to be helping.


(search: obama car batteries)
https://blogs.wsj.com/drivers-seat/2012/03/12/obama-report-electric-car-batteries-getting-cheaper/

Quote
The cost of batteries for electric and hybrid cars is expected to fall in the next three years to levels where everyday consumers could consider them affordable

Much of the expected price drop is attributable to increased battery production, the administration said. According to the report, the U.S. had two factories making advanced batteries for cars in 2009.

“Since then, we have supported 30 new advanced battery and electric vehicle component plants that are opening across the country,” the report said.

The above is actually news to me as well, but he mentioned these things in at least one state of the union (he may have mentioned it in 2009, then again later to demonstrate what he's done, he at least has done so in speech form). It was part of the stimulus package, that conservatives hate.

(search: Obama solar energy)

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/03/21/president-obama-doubles-down-on-efforts-to-boost-solar-industry/
https://www.cbsnews.com/2100-250_162-6643511.html

Think it was part of the stimulus. There was a couple of billion to renewable and green development, so not nearly enough - but that's not really in Obama's power.

You can find anything I'll find, and probably more. I'm just ranting off from my memory of numerous articles and general media exposure regarding Obama and his position.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on March 27, 2012, 11:48:11 PM
Martin Wolf (one of the world's sharpest non-academic economic thinkers) on oil & the US:

https://www.businessspectator.com.au/bs.nsf/Article/US-Oil-gas-supply-energy-Barack-Obama-pd20120328-SSSVT?OpenDocument&src=sph

 :facepalm: I just realised this may be behind a login wall...you don't have to pay to sign up, but for anyone who is interested let me know and I can PM or email. Its that interesting...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 28, 2012, 05:49:51 AM
Ron Lawl can't explain his lack of primary success: https://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/28/us/politics/in-ron-pauls-campaign-strength-and-weakness.html?_r=1&hp&gwh=FB019D9187ACFC9BE02151C347C0CD99
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: skydivingninja on March 28, 2012, 06:02:08 AM
It really is kind of baffling.  I don't know how they turn these numbers at rallies but see less people actually voting for him.  It doesn't help that mainstream media, especially conservative-slanted media like Fox News, never gave him a minute of their time, yet lavished all this praise on the Tea Party.  The statistic in that article about half of his supporters being disillusioned with Republicans is probably very true though.  I know I am.  :P
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 28, 2012, 07:52:32 AM
Whaddya know, so am I! :biggrin:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 28, 2012, 09:27:04 AM
I guess the article tried to stay with the "let's hear RP talk about it" theme, but I don't think it's all that hard to guess why he's not getting anywhere. First of all, he's a Libertarian running for a Republican nomination, that's the biggest.  Sure, Republicans stand for small government, but that's not all they stand for, and Paul never managed to even address the concerns of the "average" Republican. In fact, anytime a topic in either Foreign Policy or Social Issues came up it became brutally obvious that he either doesn't care, or has an almost juvenile stance on it.
So, the younger crowd is energetic and idealistic enough to zone out all that, but the older folks I think cared about the "full package", and Paul was just weak. Some of his public debate responses also made one wonder how close he is to becoming senile, and that is another death sentence for voters.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 28, 2012, 12:22:36 PM
He's not senile. He can think like he has always done. He just has never been the best at delivering the message. He has to explain a position completely contradictory to common belief in 60 seconds, and he has so much to say that he mumbles and puts his foot in his mouth way too often. Plus, the constant traveling is not a bonus for a man his age - he does get exhausted.

It was better when he was like 50, he had a flamethrower back then.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Cool Chris on March 28, 2012, 12:32:29 PM
He's not senile. He can think like he has always done. He just has never been the best at delivering the message. He has to explain a position completely contradictory to common belief in 60 seconds, and he has so much to say that he mumbles and puts his foot in his mouth way too often. Plus, the constant traveling is not a bonus for a man his age - he does get exhausted.

It was better when he was like 50, he had a flamethrower back then.

And yet he keeps being the spokesperson for libertarians  :facepalm:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 28, 2012, 12:37:03 PM
He's not senile. He can think like he has always done.
He has to explain a position completely contradictory to common belief in 60 seconds
[/quote]

Eh, that awfully sounds like the "people don't vote for him because the message is too complex for them to understand" I've seen float around.

Which arguments do you think were not understood by the people? The isolationist one I think was pretty obvious. The "I will tear down half of the government in one year" too.

One of the weirdest aspects of the RP campaign were the ads tbh. They looked more like ads for The Biggest Catch than for a candidate whose message is the important thing.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 28, 2012, 12:48:28 PM
I think once Santorum loses the primary he or his P/R should go to Hollywood and start a career in showbiz.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 28, 2012, 01:24:44 PM
Eh, that awfully sounds like the "people don't vote for him because the message is too complex for them to understand" I've seen float around.

Which arguments do you think were not understood by the people? The isolationist one I think was pretty obvious. The "I will tear down half of the government in one year" too.

One of the weirdest aspects of the RP campaign were the ads tbh. They looked more like ads for The Biggest Catch than for a candidate whose message is the important thing.

rumborak
It's not that the message is that complex, it's that it challenges most of the things believed by ordinary people. And people are reluctant to change their own views.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on March 28, 2012, 01:37:41 PM
Or his views are just crazy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 28, 2012, 01:43:36 PM
Ugh. Not even worth addressing that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on March 28, 2012, 01:55:25 PM
There is a ton of truth to a lot of what Paul says. His problem is that he doesn't articulate his ideas very well, and that kernel of truth is often times couched in extreme rhetoric.

I agree that dismissing Paul as crazy is a convenient way to dismiss him out of hand. There are tons and tons of "crazy" policies our government has (war on drugs) that have just become the way we do things. I think a lot of the Obama administration's policies are 'crazy.' Just because they've been going on for years and years and years doesn't make them any less so.

Taking Paul out of the picture for a moment, libertarianism is, by nature, a radical world view. A pure libertarian is probably never going to get an overwhelming amount of support because most people aren't comfortable with something like that.

 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 28, 2012, 02:00:14 PM
As long as there is sufficient reasoning (moral or empirical) behind any belief, it should never be called crazy. (including the war on drugs, even though it has been a total failure - morally and pragmatically)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 28, 2012, 04:29:05 PM
Well, while the stuff he said in the debates might not all have been that crazy, you gotta look at the whole picture. Paul wants to have private companies issue competing currencies. No matter how you slice it, that's a bad idea, and pretty close to "bats hit" territory. Remember when the Saudi company did the US border control? Now imagine the same, but the company controls your monetary policy.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 28, 2012, 04:57:47 PM
Why not just legalize other currencies to compete with the Fed's currency? I thought we had established that violent monopolies were bad, but no - not when it comes to currency is it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 29, 2012, 08:44:15 AM
Why not?  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 29, 2012, 08:48:05 AM
Why do we even have the fed...




(https://assets0.ordienetworks.com/images/GifGuide/dancing/tumblr_lj3t79ToKm1qchk28.gif)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 29, 2012, 09:14:16 AM
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Reserve_System
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 29, 2012, 09:54:43 AM
Why not just legalize other currencies to compete with the Fed's currency? I thought we had established that violent monopolies were bad, but no - not when it comes to currency is it.

Well, first of all, nobody keeps you from keeping your money in a foreign currency. When you actually do the purchase you will have to convert, but how would that be different in your scenario? What you would want is to push the conversion down to the vendor (who likely will have his account in a different currency than you do), but what incentive would any seller have for that? Frankly, if a law like that *ever* got through, nothing would happen at all. All vendors would plain say "we accept US dollar" and that's it. Just like they already say "we only accept Mastercard and Visa" because they don't want to take the burden of American Express' fees.

Why do we even have the fed...

Interestingly, that question is always swept under the rug by Fed abolishers. You know, there was a reason for its inception (and its equivalent across the globe).

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on March 29, 2012, 12:14:47 PM
I like the fed. Just wish that the people who worked for it had more accountability.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on March 29, 2012, 01:21:04 PM
In my understanding, the Fed acts like the shocks in a car do. There's external impacts to the system (international market events), but the Fed can absorb those events somewhat and spread them out over time, by adjusting the money printed/interest collected on it. Whether that always works is a different question, but taking out the shocks of your car is *definitely* not the right thing to do.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on March 29, 2012, 01:35:54 PM
The Wiki I linked to above is actually quite good and describes how it works, what it does and why it was established in pretty clear terms.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on March 29, 2012, 04:02:36 PM
Something that link doesn't pick up on, suprisingly, is the Feds role in creating a market for money. IMO, first and foremost the Fed is the bank of the banks. It manages transactions and the supply and demand for "money" in the market. Say you've got two banks. Overnight, one has a surplus holding of cash equal to 100 billion bucks, while the other has a deficit of 100 billion (it must equal zero all up, because MS=MD). The first bank lends it to the Fed at the going rate of interest, while the second borrows it from the Fed at the rate of interest. Now, scale this up to 2,000-3,000 financial institutions....

The Fed also sets the benchmark rate which every other asset is priced relative to, and acts as the 'lender of last resort' (like Rumbo said).

So you don't just get rid of the Fed....
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on March 29, 2012, 04:40:18 PM
Kinda funny, an anarcho-capitalist who has worked for Fed Reserve of NY.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YasmmiR0PrM (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YasmmiR0PrM)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on March 29, 2012, 04:53:57 PM
If anarcho-capitalists build a rocket, and colonize Mars, I don't doubt that their society would (at least immediately) succeed.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 02, 2012, 04:32:28 PM
https://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2012-04-01/swing-states-poll/53930684/1

Quote
In the fifth Swing States survey taken since last fall, Obama leads Republican front-runner Mitt Romney 51%-42% among registered voters just a month after the president had trailed him by two percentage points.


So ya, I'd say Obama's gonna win.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 02, 2012, 09:50:02 PM
Eh. Political polls mean very little up until a few weeks before election.

So, yet another set of primaries tomorrow, and then a long stretch of no primaries. The story will be the usual, Romney winning, Santorum shortly behind, and Gingrich and Paul nowhere to be seen. Any bets on whether one of them will bail out after tomorrow?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 02, 2012, 11:05:58 PM
Eh. Political polls mean very little up until a few weeks before election.

So, yet another set of primaries tomorrow, and then a long stretch of no primaries. The story will be the usual, Romney winning, Santorum shortly behind, and Gingrich and Paul nowhere to be seen. Any bets on whether one of them will bail out after tomorrow?

rumborak

Normally, I'd probably agree with you, but this is a pretty good signal that woman aren't going to vote Republican, in heavy numbers. It's become too much of a campaign issue, and Republicans took the wrong side on the birth control fiasco. Romney was close, until this issue, and there's no reason to think woman are going to just forget, or that Democrats aren't going to use it. 


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 03, 2012, 07:54:47 AM
Which woman are you talking about?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 03, 2012, 08:17:27 AM
 :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 03, 2012, 09:17:06 AM
Any bets on whether one of them will bail out after tomorrow?
The only one who might drop after today is Gingrich, and I doubt he will.

Santorum will stay in at least until April 24th, when Pennsylvania has its primary.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 03, 2012, 11:23:24 AM
Which woman are you talking about?

The one women elect to vote. That's how it works, right?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 03, 2012, 12:11:41 PM
Any bets on whether one of them will bail out after tomorrow?
The only one who might drop after today is Gingrich, and I doubt he will.

Santorum will stay in at least until April 24th, when Pennsylvania has its primary.

Gingrich has far too massive an ego to drop out.  The only way he drops out is if his campaign is financially bankrupt and that won't happen because he's got enough of his own funds to keep at least a skeleton campaign up and running until the convention.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 03, 2012, 01:22:50 PM
So out of the three contests tonight, Santorum isn't even on the ballot in D.C. He never even applied. Seriously, it's not like he submitted an application and didn't meet a certain criteria; he didn't apply.

Romney is polling far ahead of Santorum in Maryland. I wouldn't be surprised to see that one called as soon as the polls close.

So the race to watch tonight is Wisconsin. Santorum started off well there, but Romney pulled ahead when he started spending fifty times as much money there. At the very least, it won't be called instantly.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 03, 2012, 01:29:12 PM
Santorum is finished.  The only question now is whether or not he has a shred of common sense or if his ego, like Gingrich's, is big enough to literally help Obama by prolonging this thing or -worse yet- taking it to a floor fight at the convention.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 03, 2012, 01:37:07 PM
Oh, Romney will be the nominee. For there to even be a remote chance that it goes to convention, Santorum would have to win Wisconsin tonight, and have a strong showing on the 24th. He'll continue to the 24th either way, but if he doesn't win Wisconsin tonight, it's effectively over.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 03, 2012, 01:46:39 PM
Then again, there's a lot of Southern states yet to come up, and Santorum (maybe not incorrectly) banks on them giving him a late boost, at least enough to make it a brokered convention. Essentially the whole month of May could be good for Santorum, as long as he can scrape together enough momentum until then.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 03, 2012, 02:10:40 PM
Then again, there's a lot of Southern states yet to come up, and Santorum (maybe not incorrectly) banks on them giving him a late boost, at least enough to make it a brokered convention. Essentially the whole month of May could be good for Santorum, as long as he can scrape together enough momentum until then.

rumborak

Texas is, I think, 155 delegates, and I just don't see Romney doing too well in that state.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 03, 2012, 02:14:55 PM
Really? I would think that the oil and industrial wealth there would carry him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 03, 2012, 02:16:16 PM
Really? I would think that the oil and industrial wealth there would carry him.

Isn't it fairly evangelical though?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 03, 2012, 02:21:19 PM
Oh I wouldn't know about that, I was focusing on the political/economic element.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 03, 2012, 06:43:27 PM
(https://www.ronpaulforums.com/ammo.jpg)

:lol

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 03, 2012, 07:52:44 PM
 :lol :lol

Paul Ryan introduces Romney, one of his lines was we need a President who makes us dream, and doesn't appeal to our fears and anxieties. Romney starts his speech talking about all the anxious people he met in Wisconsin, and all the "horrible things" that people have to face - including a very idiotic mention of gas prices.

Romney really disgusts me. He mentioned the number of jobs lost under Obama - as if Obama was somehow responsible for the first 4 months of his Presidency.

*edit*

I'm not sure what I find more disturbing, the possibility that Romney believes what he says, or that he's just lying out of his ass.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on April 03, 2012, 08:13:59 PM
(https://www.ronpaulforums.com/ammo.jpg)

:lol

rumborak

 :rollin

Might as well get 5000 more rounds.  :tup
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 04, 2012, 12:29:55 PM
Then again, there's a lot of Southern states yet to come up, and Santorum (maybe not incorrectly) banks on them giving him a late boost, at least enough to make it a brokered convention. Essentially the whole month of May could be good for Santorum, as long as he can scrape together enough momentum until then.

rumborak

Texas is, I think, 155 delegates, and I just don't see Romney doing too well in that state.

Texas hands out their delegates proportionally.  Most polling right now has Santorum and Romney running within 1 or 2 points of each other.  None of this is going to matter.  Rick Santorum isn't going to win anything.  Romney's the nominee.  It's not a matter of "if" but a matter of "when" it gets decided.

I have to admit, though, the circular firing squad that the Republicans have formed is fun to watch  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 04, 2012, 12:38:37 PM
From CNN.com: (https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/04/04/mccain-santorums-irrelevant/)

Quote from: CNN.com
Santorum vowed once again on Tuesday night to remain in the nomination fight, despite a trailing delegate count and falling national and state wide poll numbers. Romney currently has 648 delegates, well ahead of Santorum's 264, according to a CNN estimate. Romney must win 44% of the remaining delegates to reach 1,144 delegates necessary to clinch the nomination. Santorum needs to win 79% of the remaining delegates to do the same.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 04, 2012, 01:22:34 PM
Then again, there's a lot of Southern states yet to come up, and Santorum (maybe not incorrectly) banks on them giving him a late boost, at least enough to make it a brokered convention. Essentially the whole month of May could be good for Santorum, as long as he can scrape together enough momentum until then.

rumborak

Texas is, I think, 155 delegates, and I just don't see Romney doing too well in that state.

Texas hands out their delegates proportionally.  Most polling right now has Santorum and Romney running within 1 or 2 points of each other.  None of this is going to matter.  Rick Santorum isn't going to win anything.  Romney's the nominee.  It's not a matter of "if" but a matter of "when" it gets decided.

I have to admit, though, the circular firing squad that the Republicans have formed is fun to watch  :lol

Ahh, some reason I thought I heard the rest were basically all winner-take-all.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 04, 2012, 03:21:25 PM
From CNN.com: (https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/04/04/mccain-santorums-irrelevant/)

Quote from: CNN.com
Santorum vowed once again on Tuesday night to remain in the nomination fight, despite a trailing delegate count and falling national and state wide poll numbers. Romney currently has 648 delegates, well ahead of Santorum's 264, according to a CNN estimate. Romney must win 44% of the remaining delegates to reach 1,144 delegates necessary to clinch the nomination. Santorum needs to win 79% of the remaining delegates to do the same.

Ha, the Democrats are probably cheering when they hear that. The longer it gets driven into people's heads (by Santorum's presence) that Romney is some weird flip-flopping pseudo-conservative, the harder it will be during the election to convince people otherwise.

Which brings up an interesting point: Has the GOP spread out too much to be united under a single person? With the creation of the Tea Party it seems there's a been an even further shift to the right, and also a sense of entitlement (i.e. "we are a force whose demands have to be met"). Romney is trying to achieve the ridiculous split of both housing Tea Partiers and Moderates under him, but it seems that no matter which direction he moves towards, he's losing people on the other end. Almost like a a too-small blanket you're sharing with your partner, where both remain cold :lol

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 04, 2012, 04:27:03 PM
Which brings up an interesting point: Has the GOP spread out too much to be united under a single person? With the creation of the Tea Party it seems there's a been an even further shift to the right, and also a sense of entitlement (i.e. "we are a force whose demands have to be met"). Romney is trying to achieve the ridiculous split of both housing Tea Partiers and Moderates under him, but it seems that no matter which direction he moves towards, he's losing people on the other end. Almost like a a too-small blanket you're sharing with your partner, where both remain cold :lol

rumborak

I've referenced this several times, actually. In modern history, there's been a marriage between fiscal and social conservatives, where fiscal conservatives agree to go along with social policies, and social conservative agree to go along with fiscal conservative policies, in order for a conservative to be in office, and have some say. It was either that, or just cede every elections to the Democrats. That marriage definitely looks like it's broken, and the milk's been spilled and it ain't going back in the glass.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 04, 2012, 04:31:32 PM
And now that fiscal conservatives have a political ideology of their own in which to articulate their views, namely in Tea Party Libertarianism, they don't really need the social side as they once did, is that what you're saying? Or am I totally off the mark?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 04, 2012, 04:39:36 PM
The problem is, how would they ever get to power under the American system? If the social conservatives split off from the fiscally conservatives, neither will get enough votes. Unless they started a coalition, which would be unprecedented.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 04, 2012, 04:46:21 PM
I don't know that it's a matter of "uniting" or "forming a coalition."  I would hope common sense would prevail and that people could just realize that, whether Romney sucks or not, he's not Obama.  I would think it almost doesn't even matter who is on the Republican ticket.  They should still be able to win by virtue of not being Obama.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 04, 2012, 04:51:02 PM
Are the ultra-conservatives safe though? I mean, the ones that are most easily lost to the Dems are the moderates. So, is it a safe bet by Romney to currently pander to the ultraconservatives, and once he's the nominee do an Etch-a-Sketch and go back to the middle in hope to get the moderates, assuming the ultracons won't bail in the process?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on April 04, 2012, 06:39:27 PM
I mean, isn't that what every candidate ever has done?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 04, 2012, 07:10:26 PM
Yeah, but the problem is the party is splitting apart. He has to stretch his arms farther than usual, so to speak.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 04, 2012, 07:15:20 PM
And now that fiscal conservatives have a political ideology of their own in which to articulate their views, namely in Tea Party Libertarianism, they don't really need the social side as they once did, is that what you're saying? Or am I totally off the mark?

I'm saying, evangelicals aren't going to be voting in big numbers this elections. Their dislike of Obama is not going to be a big enough factor for them to vote for a Massachusetts, liberal Mormon. Since Reagan, they would vote Republican, and they'd get some social conservative cookies tossed at them, like anti-gay marriage, abortion, etc. In return, they'd support less regulations, etc, so that fiscal conservatives can get into office.


I don't know that it's a matter of "uniting" or "forming a coalition."  I would hope common sense would prevail and that people could just realize that, whether Romney sucks or not, he's not Obama.  I would think it almost doesn't even matter who is on the Republican ticket.  They should still be able to win by virtue of not being Obama.

If that happens, it's only because of racism. Not that everyone who votes against Obama is a racist, but you'd only get enough distaste of Obama to actually vote him about by relying upon ~15% of the presidential vote against Obama being purely becuase of racism.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 05, 2012, 08:40:27 AM
It's really kind of incredible that the argument against Obama that I seem to hear most often from conservatives is "we just want someone who is not Obama"
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 05, 2012, 08:57:07 AM
Especially considering the alternative. was just reading yesterday how Romney has done a complete 180 on global warming in order to get the GOP bid. Same with pro-choice. Or healthcare.

Is there actually anything the guy stands for? Other than wanting to become the most powerful man in the world?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 05, 2012, 09:01:13 AM
Especially considering the alternative. was just reading yesterday how Romney has done a complete 180 on global warming in order to get the GOP bid. Same with pro-choice. Or healthcare.

Is there actually anything the guy stands for? Other than wanting to become the most powerful man in the world?

rumborak

I wasn't aware of him (recently) being anything but anti-environment/EPA?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on April 05, 2012, 09:02:26 AM
To be fair, though I'm definitely of the view that Obama has been pretty great on the authoritarian and conservative fronts, do you really expect most Republican-registered voters to vote for a Democrat when there's an ostensibly more conservative option? 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 05, 2012, 09:09:30 AM
It's really kind of incredible that the argument against Obama that I seem to hear most often from conservatives is "we just want someone who is not Obama"

I think that's a bit of a misread.  I think antigoon is closer to the point.  It's not that any other candidates are great, but that they are better choices than him (although pretty much anyone who has run for president in the last century or so has been a better choice for president than Obama, so that is not surprising).  What is incredible to me is that there are still many we are unwilling to acknowledge the damage that has been done under his watch.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 05, 2012, 09:23:16 AM
One ludicrous aspect is also that Romney is now accusing Obama for being responsible for high gas prices. I am sure some percentage sucks that up right there.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 05, 2012, 09:39:30 AM
Yeah, almost as ludicrous as a president saying repeatedly, in his words, that it would be "unprecedented" for a federal court to overturn a piece of federal legislation that was approved in both houses.  Because, you know, it's not like (1) that isn't the court's specific job, and (2) the court hasn't established over 150 cases worth of "precedent" of doing that very thing.  But, eh, you know, truth is optional and should be discarded when more convenient lies can actually get people to vote for you.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 05, 2012, 09:43:54 AM
It's really kind of incredible that the argument against Obama that I seem to hear most often from conservatives is "we just want someone who is not Obama"

I think that's a bit of a misread.  I think antigoon is closer to the point.  It's not that any other candidates are great, but that they are better choices than him (although pretty much anyone who has run for president in the last century or so has been a better choice for president than Obama, so that is not surprising).  What is incredible to me is that there are still many we are unwilling to acknowledge the damage that has been done under his watch.

Barack Obama is worse than Herbert Hoover? Richard Nixon? :orly:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 05, 2012, 09:49:52 AM
It looks that way from where I am standing.  However, admittedly, I did not live through either of those presidencies (well, just a tiny bit of Nixon, but at just a few months old, I can't really say I "experienced" any of it), and it is always easier to put more extreme labels of "best" and "worst" on things you are presently experiencing than things in the distant past.  But, yeah, it speaks volumes that whether he is in fact "worse" than either of them, he is and should be spoken of in the same sentence.  And we know Hoover had horrible economics and unregulated corporate corruption to deal with, and that Nixon was dishonest and shady, but it's like we now have both of those (among other problems) all rolled into one person in Obama...  Just...ugh.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 05, 2012, 09:58:29 AM
I can't shake the feeling that your opposition to Obama doesn't have at least certain visceral element to it, bosk.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 05, 2012, 10:06:27 AM
I can't shake the feeling that your opposition to Obama doesn't have at least certain visceral element to it, bosk.

rumborak


I'm not certain what you mean by that, so it's hard to admit or deny.  Can you elaborate?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 05, 2012, 10:11:50 AM
Things is, I certainly can see many of the points you bring forward against Obama. Overall I find his performance too rather disappointing. But, that is a far cry from your statements about him having been a disaster, having caused a "lot of damage", or as you put it, "plain Ugh". I can't help but think that there's a good amount of "I won't give a Democrat so much as a pinky" in this.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 05, 2012, 10:29:55 AM
I can't help but think that there's a good amount of "I won't give a Democrat so much as a pinky" in this.

Okay, fair enough.  I see where you care coming from.  My response is, yes and no.  I try to keep my criticisms of Obama mostly limited to what he has said and done versus merely his party affiliation.  But, admittedly, it is impossible for me to do that 100%.  As I have said many times, I do not consider myself a republican, so please don't take this as blind GOP loyalty.  It isn't.  But as far as party ideology (whether we are talking about "official" party ideology or just the more nebulous set of core beliefs that tend to be shared by those who are members of the party), yes, I am admittedly opposed to a great deal of it.  Certainly not all, but a fair portion of it.  So in that regard, yes, I do have an anti-Democrat bias.  I will not deny that at all.  And I also admit that sometimes, that bias may lead me to make more broad judgments than are fair.  I don't think it's a good idea to let my biases unfairly act as a lens through which I view all actions of Obama or anyone else, but I am admittedly guilty of that at times, sure.  I think that's human nature, and we are all guilty of it to varying degrees.  But I do try to be objective, and will absolutely give credit where credit is due. 

To pick an obvious and oversimplistic example, I am of the opinion that bringing known terrorists to justice is a priority.  So to pick the specific example of Bin Laden, we knew for decades that the guy was dangerous, and that he should be stopped.  He was on the nation's priority list going WAY back.  Clinton had the opportunity to get him and dropped the ball.  I give him an F in that regard.  Not because he is a Dem, but because he had Bin Laden on a silver platter and failed to take action.  Bush could have been more focused instead of going off on tangents, but didn't have the very specific opportunities Clinton had.  Still, his administration missed a lot of clues and was led down rabbit holes that had little to do with the goal.  It's hard to know what he knew and didn't know, so it's hard to give a specific grade, but he didn't do well either.  Probably somewhere in the D+ to C range (again, if he had the specifics Clinton had, he would clearly get an F).  Obama seemed to take a long time, but the dude was seriously underground by the time Obama took office.  And he had other fish to fry, so Bin Laden was obviously not priority #1.  But when the opportunity presented itself, he acted swiftly and achieved the result.  I give him a B+ (would be in the A- or possibly A range if not for what I consider to be mishandling after the fact in terms of what information was released, the handling of the body, etc.).  I applaud him for what he accomplished in that regard, democrat or not.  He did something good, and he deservedly gets all the credit for it.  Again, simplistic example, but what I am trying to say is, I am aware that I am biased, and I consciously try to give credit where credit is due regardless of ideology.  That is merely one example.

But in looking at the entire balance sheet, yeah, I find him to be severely lacking and, as I have said before, in the bottom tier all-time.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 05, 2012, 11:14:06 AM
See, if you don't think Obama is a good president, and you prefer Romney, that's valid.
But when you ramp up the rhetoric to such a silly, undeserved level (such as calling Obama the worst presidential candidate out of any major candidate in the past century), it makes anything you say on the matter much harder to take seriously.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 05, 2012, 11:20:42 AM
Why?  If I think Romney would make a bad president, but I think Obama has made a terrible president, should I not validly prefer Romney?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 05, 2012, 11:27:51 AM
Yeah, almost as ludicrous as a president saying repeatedly, in his words, that it would be "unprecedented" for a federal court to overturn a piece of federal legislation that was approved in both houses.  Because, you know, it's not like (1) that isn't the court's specific job, and (2) the court hasn't established over 150 cases worth of "precedent" of doing that very thing.  But, eh, you know, truth is optional and should be discarded when more convenient lies can actually get people to vote for you.

Isn't it true that no piece of legislation as "hallmark" worthy as "Obamacare" has been overturned? I think it's just as silly of thing to say, but it still different than what you're making it out to be.

It's really kind of incredible that the argument against Obama that I seem to hear most often from conservatives is "we just want someone who is not Obama"

I think that's a bit of a misread.  I think antigoon is closer to the point.  It's not that any other candidates are great, but that they are better choices than him (although pretty much anyone who has run for president in the last century or so has been a better choice for president than Obama, so that is not surprising).  What is incredible to me is that there are still many we are unwilling to acknowledge the damage that has been done under his watch.

Cept Obama and Romney are really not that far apart, except for foreign policy. And on foreign policy, Obama is probably the best President we've had in decades.

What's so incredible to me, is that people still want to blame the President for everything and anything that happens in the Government, while he is in office. Or that he even has the power to prevent all damage from happening. You think damage has been done while Obama has been President? Great - then vote out your congressmen and congresswoman.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 05, 2012, 11:31:08 AM
What's so incredible to me, is that people still want to blame the President for everything and anything that happens in the Government, while he is in office. Or that he even has the power to prevent all damage from happening. You think damage has been done while Obama has been President? Great - then vote out your congressmen and congresswoman.

I agree with all of that.  But this thread has focused on the exec. branch, hence the comments relating to the presidency.  And your post in particular was focused on a presidential candidate, hence my comments on the current president.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 05, 2012, 11:52:28 AM
It's really kind of incredible that the argument against Obama that I seem to hear most often from conservatives is "we just want someone who is not Obama"

I think that's a bit of a misread.  I think antigoon is closer to the point.  It's not that any other candidates are great, but that they are better choices than him (although pretty much anyone who has run for president in the last century or so has been a better choice for president than Obama, so that is not surprising).  What is incredible to me is that there are still many we are unwilling to acknowledge the damage that has been done under his watch.

It wasn't really directed at anyone here in particular, just a general observation.  I rarely hear (or read) a compelling argument in support of all of this alleged "damage" that has been done under his watch.  Damage to what, exactly?  The guy before him conducted what is arguably the biggest blunder in United States Foreign Policy history (Iraq) and got us into a pattern of borrowing a billion dollars a week from Communist China to finance that along with tax breaks for rich people who don't need them.  The end result of all of that after 8 years was an economy on the brink of collapse.  Boy, he sure was good, eh?  ::)   Obama comes in and immediately engages economic policies that have now resulted in 25 consecutive months of economic growth, 17 consecutive moths of non-farm job growth, an improving economic picture all around.  Meanwhile, he's extricated us from a costly and idiotic war we never should have gotten into and found and killed the guy responsible for the 9/11 attacks (a guy the the previous president said he "didn't think about much") but conservatives are wringing their hands about "damage" that they really never seem to be able to articulate in anything but vague partisan talking points memo type stuff.   

Yeah, color me somewhat baffled by this.

I get that conservatives want a conservative as president, but the narrative about "damage" as it relates to Obama is kind of silly.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Dark Castle on April 05, 2012, 01:21:54 PM
It's really kind of incredible that the argument against Obama that I seem to hear most often from conservatives is "we just want someone who is not Obama"

I think that's a bit of a misread.  I think antigoon is closer to the point.  It's not that any other candidates are great, but that they are better choices than him (although pretty much anyone who has run for president in the last century or so has been a better choice for president than Obama, so that is not surprising).  What is incredible to me is that there are still many we are unwilling to acknowledge the damage that has been done under his watch.

It wasn't really directed at anyone here in particular, just a general observation.  I rarely hear (or read) a compelling argument in support of all of this alleged "damage" that has been done under his watch.  Damage to what, exactly?  The guy before him conducted what is arguably the biggest blunder in United States Foreign Policy history (Iraq) and got us into a pattern of borrowing a billion dollars a week from Communist China to finance that along with tax breaks for rich people who don't need them.  The end result of all of that after 8 years was an economy on the brink of collapse.  Boy, he sure was good, eh?  ::)   Obama comes in and immediately engages economic policies that have now resulted in 25 consecutive months of economic growth, 17 consecutive moths of non-farm job growth, an improving economic picture all around.  Meanwhile, he's extricated us from a costly and idiotic war we never should have gotten into and found and killed the guy responsible for the 9/11 attacks (a guy the the previous president said he "didn't think about much") but conservatives are wringing their hands about "damage" that they really never seem to be able to articulate in anything but vague partisan talking points memo type stuff.   

Yeah, color me somewhat baffled by this.

I get that conservatives want a conservative as president, but the narrative about "damage" as it relates to Obama is kind of silly.
Couldn't have said it better myself.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 05, 2012, 03:58:40 PM
What's so incredible to me, is that people still want to blame the President for everything and anything that happens in the Government, while he is in office. Or that he even has the power to prevent all damage from happening. You think damage has been done while Obama has been President? Great - then vote out your congressmen and congresswoman.

I agree with all of that.  But this thread has focused on the exec. branch, hence the comments relating to the presidency.  And your post in particular was focused on a presidential candidate, hence my comments on the current president.

Don't think it was my post, but regardless, I don't think it's fair to use the President as a scapegoat. To add to what Kirk said, as someone who follows current events pretty closely, I have absolutely no idea what damage you are referencing to, that should somehow be Obama's responsibility.

The worst thing I think that can factually be said about Obama's policies is that they haven't gone far enough, or that they haven't helped enough - but to call them damaging just seems to be an outright fabrication.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on April 05, 2012, 04:08:35 PM
That's what I think as well.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 05, 2012, 04:21:25 PM
Why?  If I think Romney would make a bad president, but I think Obama has made a terrible president, should I not validly prefer Romney?
If you think that Romney would be better than Obama, while I disagree, it's a valid opinion. If you think both are bad choices, but that Romney is better comparatively, that's a valid opinion.

What I'm talking about is silly, hyperbolic statements like 'Obama is literally the worst choice for the presidency out of every major candidate in the past one hundred years'. He's not. To make a statement like that requires a staggering lack of perspective and objectivity.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 05, 2012, 04:43:07 PM
What I'm talking about is silly, hyperbolic statements like 'Obama is literally the worst choice for the presidency out of every major candidate in the past one hundred years'. He's not. To make a statement like that requires a staggering lack of perspective and objectivity.

It's only "silly" and "hyperbolic" if made with no perspective whatsoever about other candidates.  In this case, I literally cannot think of a worse candidate during that timeframe.  I cannot think of a single president who damaged the country more than Obama has, or a candidate who seemed likely to have the potential to do so.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on April 05, 2012, 05:01:35 PM
What "damage" has he done?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 05, 2012, 05:02:08 PM
I think two costly wars, massive tax cuts that caused a skyrocketing deficit, and removal of banking regulations almost causing an international economic collapse are more damaging than attempted health care reform, but that's just me.

As others have said, I honestly don't know what this 'overwhelming damage' is that you keep referring to. If you were saying that you had significant political disagreements with Obama, or strongly disapproved of his policies, that would be something people could understand. Damage though?

To paraphrase Bob Dole referring to Clinton in the 1996 election; "He's my political opponent, not my enemy".
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on April 05, 2012, 05:04:25 PM
I mean, I think his presidency has done some damage but as usual I'm sure my reasons are completely different than Bosk's.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 05, 2012, 05:04:59 PM
From what I've seen of conservative discourse lately, "I disagree with your policies/views" and "You're destroying the country!!" are now fairly synonymous.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on April 05, 2012, 05:09:45 PM
I mean that's certainly true of a lot of folks but I think we should give Bosk the benefit of the doubt. Just not sure what he's referring to.

Not defending DOMA in courts?
Obamacare?
left-leaning rhetoric?
DADT repealed under his watch?

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 05, 2012, 05:11:12 PM
massive tax cuts that caused a skyrocketing deficit, and removal of banking regulations almost causing an international economic collapse

I know, but why are you even bringing Clinton into the discussion?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 05, 2012, 05:29:08 PM
massive tax cuts that caused a skyrocketing deficit, and removal of banking regulations almost causing an international economic collapse

I know, but why are you even bringing Clinton into the discussion?
See, it's funny, because you probably think you're being witty, or making a good argument.
Clinton had several budget surpluses under his watch, and, you know, didn't start two full scale wars.

Are you going to actually answer any of the questions people are asking you, or continue being evasive and hope no one notices?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on April 05, 2012, 05:34:23 PM
To be fair, the Clinton Administration endorsed the repeal of Glass-Steagall.

THANKS RUBIN.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 05, 2012, 05:46:17 PM
massive tax cuts that caused a skyrocketing deficit, and removal of banking regulations almost causing an international economic collapse

I know, but why are you even bringing Clinton into the discussion?
See, it's funny, because you probably think you're being witty, or making a good argument.
Clinton had several budget surpluses under his watch, and, you know, didn't start two full scale wars.

Are you going to actually answer any of the questions people are asking you, or continue being evasive and hope no one notices?

Dude, calm down.  (1) It was actually witty and funny, whether you disagree with the premise or not.  And you'll notice, if you paid attention, that I'm not defending GWB either.  (2) If you have a question you would like me to answer, ask it.  I'm not trying to evade anything.  There are no questions on the table, best I can tell.  We're having a "discussion."  You don't agree with my positions, and that's fine.  I'm not trying to persuade anybody, and I'm not really inclined to get into it in a whole lot of detail, because I don't see much to be gained from that.  But knock off the attitude.  Nobody is evading anything, but you are injecting a lot of attitude into the discussion that doesn't need to be part of this.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 05, 2012, 06:38:59 PM
People have repeatedly asked for information on what kind of damage Obama has done. I know previously, you said the list was so long that you didn't feel like putting it up here, but it's hard to know what damage you're talking about when you don't even point to it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on April 05, 2012, 07:38:55 PM
I'm not trying to evade anything.  There are no questions on the table, best I can tell. 

What "damage" has he done?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 05, 2012, 08:00:19 PM
I'm not trying to evade anything.  There are no questions on the table, best I can tell. 

What "damage" has he done?

Yes, and as to what I can tell is the only "question" on the table, as I said:

I'm not trying to persuade anybody, and I'm not really inclined to get into it in a whole lot of detail, because I don't see much to be gained from that. 

I'm not sure why people seem to get so worked up over not wanting to get into an issue that isn't going to go anywhere other than each side thinking the other is out of its mind.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on April 05, 2012, 08:07:27 PM
I can only speak for myself, but I wasn't looking to judge or anything, I'm genuinely curious. It's interesting to see how people with views very different than your own think.

Obviously you're under no obligation to answer it but surely you realize that people will expect some follow up to a claim they find to be a bit...extreme?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 05, 2012, 08:33:53 PM
I can only speak for myself, but I wasn't looking to judge or anything, I'm genuinely curious. It's interesting to see how people with views very different than your own think.

Obviously you're under no obligation to answer it but surely you realize that people will expect some follow up to a claim they find to be a bit...extreme?

No, that's fine.  Some of the reasons I feel that way are:

-Court appointments:  It's looking like two pretty bad ones on the S.Ct., and many more in the lower courts.  Not that this is worse than other democratic court appointments, but it continues a very, very bad trend.

-Economics:  I largely feel it is completely disingenuous to bring up economics, for the most part, because other than helping drive the creation of the budget and approving the budget, the White House is not directly responsible for the economy.  However, since Obama so vocally ran on promises to right the ship and is quick to take credit whenever there are successes, it at least deserves mentioning that problems have only grown.  The debt has never been so high.  Never. 

Unemployment rate, non-farm, overall, was up 27% as of this time last year from when he took office (not sure what the overall rates are as of today).

-Government has grown by leaps and bounds with a record number of federal employees (not including military) topping 3 million.  Which means, more debt.

-Bailouts:  Ugh.  Does this even need explanation?

-Military has been further reduced, making the U.S. weaker and more vulnerable, and an unprecedented amount of government land that was once military bases has been sold off, making it impossible to reopen those bases if we ever needed to expand again.

-Foreign policy is a mess because of a general attitude and policy of appeasement.

-Lies, lies, and more lies when addressing the American people.

Those are some of the things that bother me personally.  And, yeah, for a lot things I could bring up, you can point to presidents who were as bad, if not worse.  But when you combine them all in one person, the total package is just very lacking to me--more so than probably any president we have had in the past century, IMO.

So to put the above in terms of "damage," IMO, our relations with other countries have further deteriorated; our economy has further deteriorated and, despite recent short-term gains, I believe may have reached a point of no turning back in terms of long-term permanent damage; our military has been weakened, again, possibly irreparably; the government has reached such a bloated size and is so inextricably intertwined with private enterprise that I do not believe there is a feasible way to reduce its size without it being scrapped entirely (not that we weren't past the point of no return on that one already, but, again, the ball has been advanced farther down field at an unprecedented rate); and any perceived integrity high government offices within the exec., leg., and judiciary have been severely undermined (again, he's not the first, but the ball has certainly been advanced on his watch).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 05, 2012, 10:43:31 PM
I don't really expect you to respond, but I thought I'd deal with your complaints, one by one (except for the first one, as that's probably just a genuine disagreement).

Quote
-Economics:  I largely feel it is completely disingenuous to bring up economics, for the most part, because other than helping drive the creation of the budget and approving the budget, the White House is not directly responsible for the economy.  However, since Obama so vocally ran on promises to right the ship and is quick to take credit whenever there are successes, it at least deserves mentioning that problems have only grown.  The debt has never been so high.  Never. 

Obama's policies, and policies enacted under Obama, have added very little to our deficit. Most of the increase in the deficit that has occurred during his watch is a result of previous policies (mostly Bush), and a decrease in tax revenues due to the economic troubles he inherited, and a horrible tax code. Also, debt is not the end all be all of an economy - for instance, the downgrading of our credit rating was due to our political system, it didn't have as much to do with our theoretical possibility to repay our debt.

Then there's "Obamacare," which at worst doesn't increase our debt one bit, but which get's attacked for being some massive spending bill.

Quote
Unemployment rate, non-farm, overall, was up 27% as of this time last year from when he took office (not sure what the overall rates are as of today).

That, for the most part, occurred in the first 6 months of his Presidency, before his policies could possibly have an effect.

(https://s3.amazonaws.com/obama.3cdn.net/e7cdf8e46376ef1ff8_dcm6bxfz8.jpg)

You can say it hasn't grown quickly enough, but you cannot say that things are worse becuase of him.

Quote
-Government has grown by leaps and bounds with a record number of federal employees (not including military) topping 3 million.  Which means, more debt.

This is just flat out false (https://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/01/06/under-obama-a-record-decline-in-government-jobs/).

Quote
Three years into his presidency, he has exceeded Reagan in one area: reductions in government jobs.

Quote
-Bailouts:  Ugh.  Does this even need explanation?

The banks, I'll mostly agree with you. I will just say, though, that Obama did make sure that bailouts were more in the taxpayers favors, working to protect taxpayers more than Bush did. The auto-bailout? That was Bush, who bypassed a congress who didn't want to bail out the industry. Obama simply renegotiated the terms.

Quote
-Military has been further reduced, making the U.S. weaker and more vulnerable, and an unprecedented amount of government land that was once military bases has been sold off, making it impossible to reopen those bases if we ever needed to expand again.

You complain about the debt, and then you complain about extremely modest changes to our spending - which still has us spending an increasing amount of money on the military. A lot of the rest of it is simply a transition away from the Iraq and Afghanistan Wars (which need to end, and our present there really does only harm America), and is changing focus to the Pacific, and possible rising issues with China (imagine that, planning for the future...).

ALso, remember... there's eminent domain. If we need to build military bases, we will build military bases, and it doesn't mater who owns the land. And also, if our military is too big, and we had too much and, wouldn't selling some of it off be the rather intelligent thing to do?

Quote
-Foreign policy is a mess because of a general attitude and policy of appeasement.

Negotiating is not appeasement, and there's really nothing Obama has done that can be considered appeasement. He's been fairly strong-fisted (angering quite a few liberals in the process, in fact), he's just made it clear he's willing to negotiate, and is geniune about wanting peace.

Quote
-Lies, lies, and more lies when addressing the American people.

You can ignore the rest of the post, but what lies are he telling the American people?


So really, most of what you say just doesn't seem to be factually correct. I follow "conservative" and "liberal" news sources
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on April 06, 2012, 01:01:55 AM
All of that, and to somehow think our foreign policy status is worse now than before simply baffles me.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 06, 2012, 04:28:44 AM
Has there really been 27% unemployment at some point? I thought it hadn't reached 20% yet?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on April 06, 2012, 05:47:28 AM
Has there really been 27% unemployment at some point? I thought it hadn't reached 20% yet?
He didn't say the rate was 27%.  He said it was up 27% over where it had been.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 06, 2012, 06:32:21 AM
Was there a time of negative unemployment at some point? :orly: I'm not sure how unemployment can increase by 27% without reaching the absolute value.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 06, 2012, 07:11:47 AM
I don't really expect you to respond

Good because, as I said, I'm not really interested in that, and I don't think it pertains to the discussion in this thread.


But I will respond quickly to one thing, because it is very characteristic of the way you tend to argue.

Quote
-Government has grown by leaps and bounds with a record number of federal employees (not including military) topping 3 million.  Which means, more debt.

This is just flat out false (https://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/01/06/under-obama-a-record-decline-in-government-jobs/).

Quote
Three years into his presidency, he has exceeded Reagan in one area: reductions in government jobs.


No, Scheavo, it's not false.  You are selectively picking and choosing what you want from that article.  The quote you picked is a nice statement.  But the article says that the only areas in which government jobs are down as a whole over Obama's term are at the state and local levels, which he has nothing to do with.  As far as the federal government, the article actually directly supports what I said if you read a little farther down to where it actually supplies facts:

Quote
Federal employment fell 1.3 percent in 2011, but for the three years it is up 1.3 percent, while the total fell by the same amount in Mr. Reagan’s first three years.

In other words, the number of federal jobs was up by a LOT in 2009 and up a LOT again in 2010.  And despite cutbacks in 2011,1 it is still up over the entire term.

1.  Assuming the numbers for 2011 are correct.  I have not seen the final numbers for 2011.  I know earlier in the year, the projections were looking like there was going to be more growth or simply a flatline.  If the cutbacks for 2011 actually happened as that article suggests, then that mitigates my argument somewhat, and I apologize for overstating it (except that there really isn't much to apologize for, since I said more than once that I am not putting these points out there to argue or to prove a point, but simply because antigoon asked me if I wouldn't mind saying why I felt the way I did).  But still, a 1.8% increase over his total term means he still added a net of 33,000-34,000 government jobs over 3 years to a government that was ALREADY bloated and huge thanks in large part to the prior two administrations.  So, no, what I said is not "flat out false."  I may have slightly overstated it, but it is 100% true.  The numbers don't lie.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 06, 2012, 07:16:08 AM
Was there a time of negative unemployment at some point? :orly: I'm not sure how unemployment can increase by 27% without reaching the absolute value.

First, it should be 23.7%, not 27%.  Typo.  My bad.

Second, ???  Where are you getting "negative numbers" from?  In January 2009, the rate was 7.6%.  Two years later, it was 9.4%.  That is a 23.7% increase.  /math
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: AcidLameLTE on April 06, 2012, 07:18:05 AM
False.

It's maths.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 06, 2012, 07:19:28 AM
:facepalm:

I believe I done been math'd. 

:hefdaddy
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 06, 2012, 08:12:10 AM
Was there a time of negative unemployment at some point? :orly: I'm not sure how unemployment can increase by 27% without reaching the absolute value.

First, it should be 23.7%, not 27%.  Typo.  My bad.

Second, ???  Where are you getting "negative numbers" from?  In January 2009, the rate was 7.6%.  Two years later, it was 9.4%.  That is a 23.7% increase.  /math

Well, this is just mostly spin, really.  When Obama took office he inherited an economy in complete disarray.  You can't blame him for the continued slide in the first two years and I think deep down you know that's true.  The current unemployment rate is 8.3% and has been in steady (albeit slow) decline ever since his policies began taking effect.  So, I think it's interesting that you purposely found the lowest unemployment rate we hit (which was caused largely by economic conditions that have nothing to do with Obama) to cite as "damage" supposedly caused by Obama.  This is one of the reasons I have to mostly kind of do this  ::) at the claims that most conservatives make about Obama with respect to this alleged "damage" he's supposed to have caused.  It's really a lot of spin and not a whole lot of substance.

This, however, is not spin.  It's plain, statistical fact, backed up by the Bureau of Labor Statistics chart posted below it:

Net jobs created since March 2010:  2.3 Million

Net jobs created in George W. Bush's entire 8 years: 1 million

(https://farm6.staticflickr.com/5041/5333277156_038f02c717_b.jpg)


If I were working in the Office of the Democratic Leader, I'd use this chart as wallpaper.  If we're going to assign blame and responsibility to presidents for the economy citing "damage" as a result of policies they propose and implement, then that works both ways.  They also get credit for economic achievement.  So, Republicans are essentially saying, the guy responsible for the data on the right side of the chart above should be removed from office and replaced with someone who would choose to take us back in the direction of the guy who netted less than half the amount of jobs as the current guy.

I think I'm gonna pass on that idea and stick with what's working.  :biggrin:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 06, 2012, 08:42:24 AM
So, I think it's interesting that you purposely found the lowest unemployment rate we hit (which was caused largely by economic conditions that have nothing to do with Obama) to cite as "damage" supposedly caused by Obama. 

Barry, you can disagree with me, but don't accuse me of purposefully doctoring the numbers, because I wouldn't do that.  When I was putting my post together, I did a quick google search, and those dates (the date Obama assumed office, and the first date two years later that data was publicly available) were in a comparison chart by the BLS in the very first link that came up.  I'm just has happy to look at the numbers you gave as well.  The present 8.3% unemployment rate is still an increase over the 7.6% rate when he took office--which was already at a problematic level.  So, again, call me out of my facts are wrong.  But don't accuse me of being dishonest with the facts because I wouldn't do that.

But at the end of the day, as I said in my first post leading into when I brought up that area, it's not even really fair to lay that at the president's feet.  I don't even say that that fact alone is indicative of the damage being done to the country.  Again, as I pointed out, the only reason I bring it up is because, from Obama's campaign up to the present, he has tried to take ownership of the issue and tried to portray it as something the White House can and does directly influence.  I would much rather he (and his predecessors) was honest about it and just acknowledged that it is a problem, and not one the White House can directly impact for better or worse.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on April 06, 2012, 08:51:56 AM
88 million Americans are no longer in the labor force... a record high.. and unemployment "falls" to 8.2%. Gotta love gubmint math!  :rollin
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 06, 2012, 09:10:43 AM
Just fixin' your mess for ya. :tup
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 06, 2012, 10:58:19 AM
With regard to my previous post, let me also just say that I am "taking off my mod/admin hat" for that one, so in case it was an issue, please don't feel like you can't respond just because I run the site.  I'm saying please don't attack my motives, because you don't know what my motives are, and that's not cool.  Attack my facts if they are wrong, or attack my arguments if they are off base.  But don't attack my motives or my integrity.  I have given you no reason to do so.  And I say that is just another person posting on the forum, not as the admin., so please feel free to disagree or to point out where I am wrong.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Ryzee on April 06, 2012, 11:40:50 AM
Hey guys, come on stop ganging up on Bosk.  He can't help it if he's conservative (and no, I don't think being consertive is a "choice," otherwise why would anybody "choose" to be conservative?).  Conservatives are people too and they deserve all of the same rights and freedoms as the rest of us, even if they live a lifestyle that we can't relate to or don't understand.  :P
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 06, 2012, 11:51:20 AM
>:(  :bosk1:

































:lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 06, 2012, 12:02:44 PM
So, I think it's interesting that you purposely found the lowest unemployment rate we hit (which was caused largely by economic conditions that have nothing to do with Obama) to cite as "damage" supposedly caused by Obama. 

Barry, you can disagree with me, but don't accuse me of purposefully doctoring the numbers, because I wouldn't do that.  When I was putting my post together, I did a quick google search, and those dates (the date Obama assumed office, and the first date two years later that data was publicly available) were in a comparison chart by the BLS in the very first link that came up.  I'm just has happy to look at the numbers you gave as well.  The present 8.3% unemployment rate is still an increase over the 7.6% rate when he took office--which was already at a problematic level.  So, again, call me out of my facts are wrong.  But don't accuse me of being dishonest with the facts because I wouldn't do that.

But at the end of the day, as I said in my first post leading into when I brought up that area, it's not even really fair to lay that at the president's feet.  I don't even say that that fact alone is indicative of the damage being done to the country.  Again, as I pointed out, the only reason I bring it up is because, from Obama's campaign up to the present, he has tried to take ownership of the issue and tried to portray it as something the White House can and does directly influence.  I would much rather he (and his predecessors) was honest about it and just acknowledged that it is a problem, and not one the White House can directly impact for better or worse.

I didn't accuse you of doctoring anything. (edit: but I apologize for my wording if you were offended. That was not my intention at all) But your cited facts are pretty selectively chosen to paint Obama in a bad light.  When you look at the entire set of facts surrounding the unemployment situation things look quite a bit different than what you're asserting here.  I think your assertion of "damage" caused by Obama is, frankly, not really supported by the facts.  There was a time when the unemployment rate was as high as you wrote.   In fact, it was even higher.  When Obama was inaugurated, the rate was 7.9% but it had already begun a slow steady climb in 2008 as the recession had begun.  According to the BLS it actually peaked at 10% in October 2009 (https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000).  (9 months after Obama's inauguration) 

Now, I think it's fair to say that after only 9 months in office we were still experiencing a recession that did not commence under Obama's watch and therefor could not possibly have been caused by any policy initiatives that he brought to the table.  I don't see how anyone could disagree with that.

Now then, with the exception of a couple of small fluctuations here and there, that rate of unemployment has actually gone down steadily since October 2009 (or since 9 months after Obama was inaugurated).  What I  take issue with is the fact that you categorize this as part of the "damage" that Obama has supposedly done.  Obama did not cause the recession, nor have his policies caused any damage with respect to unemployment. 

Your other points are matters of ideology.  If you think of liberal judicial appointees as "damaging" I don't have any problem with that at all, because from a conservative perspective that is to be expected and actually makes sense.  I consider Bush's judicial appointees in the same fashion, since I am a more liberal person.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 06, 2012, 01:05:49 PM
Quote
Federal employment fell 1.3 percent in 2011, but for the three years it is up 1.3 percent, while the total fell by the same amount in Mr. Reagan’s first three years.

In other words, the number of federal jobs was up by a LOT in 2009 and up a LOT again in 2010.  And despite cutbacks in 2011,1 it is still up over the entire term.

1.  Assuming the numbers for 2011 are correct.  I have not seen the final numbers for 2011.  I know earlier in the year, the projections were looking like there was going to be more growth or simply a flatline.  If the cutbacks for 2011 actually happened as that article suggests, then that mitigates my argument somewhat, and I apologize for overstating it (except that there really isn't much to apologize for, since I said more than once that I am not putting these points out there to argue or to prove a point, but simply because antigoon asked me if I wouldn't mind saying why I felt the way I did).  But still, a 1.8% increase over his total term means he still added a net of 33,000-34,000 government jobs over 3 years to a government that was ALREADY bloated and huge thanks in large part to the prior two administrations.  So, no, what I said is not "flat out false."  I may have slightly overstated it, but it is 100% true.  The numbers don't lie.

I'll find another source, becuase I heard recently that federal numbers were down, once again.

https://www.politicususa.com/big-government-obama-reagan/

Quote
By the end of 2010, the United States STILL has less employees on the books than we did back in 1980 even though the population has grown from 226,545,805 to approximately 330,000,000 in 2010.

TOTAL NONMILITARY EMPLOYEES IN 1980 — 2,875,000
TOTAL NONMILITARY EMPLOYEES IN 2010 — 2,840,000

We have 35,000 less nonmilitary employees under President Obama than we had 30 years ago.

https://www.govexec.com/federal-news/fedblog/2011/02/has-obama-added-200000-new-federal-jobs/40406/

Quote
Still, that's new hires, not "new federal jobs," as Boehner said. Many of those hired presumably replaced people who had quit or retired. That would explain why, as Emily Long pointed out yesterday, Obama could propose to boost the size of the workforce by 15,000 employees in fiscal 2012, and still end up with 12,000 fewer workers than in fiscal 2010.

The fact is, you cannot say that the federal government is rising or growing quickly under Obama. If there is any growth, it is modest. THere are also area's where Obama is cutting federal employees, he specifically asked congress to consolidated Executive Departments, getting rid of inefficiencies, overlap, and unneeeded regulations. He can't do that without Congressional approval, however.

You're not simply "overstating it," you're selecting looking at a few area's, and making a statement about the whole.


*edit*

By the way, as for the whole economy thing and you thinking Obama is taking credit for it, that's also becuase he'd get blamed for anything that goes bad, and you know it. It's a double edged sword, and it's something I wish would fade from our political system. But it's only fair to imagine someones going to take credit for something good happening, if they're going to get blamed for something bad happening.

*edit 2*

By the way, that increase in 2010, would be because of the census. It's required by law, and it's sorta silly to blame Obama for hiring census workers.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: bosk1 on April 06, 2012, 01:43:49 PM
By the way, as for the whole economy thing and you thinking Obama is taking credit for it, that's also becuase he'd get blamed for anything that goes bad, and you know it. It's a double edged sword, and it's something I wish would fade from our political system. But it's only fair to imagine someones going to take credit for something good happening, if they're going to get blamed for something bad happening.

I know, which is why I hesitated to even bring it up and why I made several caveats, as I have said several times now.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 06, 2012, 01:56:05 PM
By the way, as for the whole economy thing and you thinking Obama is taking credit for it, that's also becuase he'd get blamed for anything that goes bad, and you know it. It's a double edged sword, and it's something I wish would fade from our political system. But it's only fair to imagine someones going to take credit for something good happening, if they're going to get blamed for something bad happening.

I know, which is why I hesitated to even bring it up and why I made several caveats, as I have said several times now.

Things have not gotten worse, they've gotten marginally better, and considering we both agree that his role in this is at best a minor role, why then think this is a problem for Obama, of his policies, of his Presidency, etc?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on April 09, 2012, 06:51:30 PM
Really, Obama can't and shouldn't take too much credit for the tentative recovery occuring in the US. Its all, really, to do with the ultraloose monetary stance by the Federal Reserve and its impact on the US dollar rather than discretionary fiscal policy (or even automatic fiscal policy). I've never got the American fascination with the unemployment rate as a marker for whether a US president has been "successful" for the economy - its known as the greatest market economy in the world for a reason, ya know.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 09, 2012, 09:09:01 PM
Whatever is happening in Europe has far greater influence than some Fed policy. IMHO.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on April 09, 2012, 09:14:29 PM
Hmmm...yes and no. While there's no doubt it psychologically affects people, in reality the European debt issues are affecting...well Europe mostly in an economic sense, maybe China (but thats open to debate). Ultra loose money is getting the US economy going, and the commitment to keep rates low for an extended period creates an environment of certainty which is helping to offset the confidence effects of Europe.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 10, 2012, 10:21:03 AM
Meanwhile, talk about absurd claims by politicians. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WUO84t1H9Tg)

 ::)   Is there any wonder why 98% of the electorate pretty much ignores this guy?




Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on April 10, 2012, 12:25:08 PM
That's all, folks.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/rick-santorum-drops-out-of-the-presidential-race/2012/04/10/gIQACvaV8S_blog.html
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 10, 2012, 12:26:07 PM
Bye bye Ricky  (https://www.kirksnosehair.com/Portals/0/images/smilies/wave.gif)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on April 10, 2012, 12:32:07 PM
Thus begins the massive celebration on Tumblr.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on April 10, 2012, 12:48:55 PM
Things are going to be much less entertaining now.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 10, 2012, 12:50:59 PM
Of all people, Santorum would have been the last I would have guessed.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sir GuitarCozmo on April 10, 2012, 12:54:51 PM
Santorum pulling out?  I thought he was against birth control?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 10, 2012, 12:56:03 PM
Of all people, Santorum would have been the last I would have guessed.

rumborak

No, Gingrich.  MASSIVE, MASSIVE EGO

Santorum could not face the humiliation of getting beaten in his home state AGAIN.  So he quit.  Fits his personality to a T
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 10, 2012, 12:56:37 PM
Santorum pulling out?  I thought he was against birth control?

 :rollin   Fuck me, that was funny  :rollin
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 10, 2012, 12:57:27 PM
Santorum pulling out?  I thought he was against birth control?

 :rollin   Fuck me, that was funny  :rollin

Wouldn't that be the form of birth control he'd approve?

And what I'm waiting to see, is how much more support Gingrich gets. Is he simply going to do better now?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 10, 2012, 01:00:41 PM
He will get a small bump, and maybe Paul too. I would think the vast majority of people will go for Romney however, since at this point neither Gingrich nor Paul are even remotely viable.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: AcidLameLTE on April 10, 2012, 01:02:09 PM
Well, Dave Mustaine is going to be upset.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on April 10, 2012, 01:19:08 PM
Santorum pulling out?  I thought he was against birth control?

Stealing. Putting on my Tumblr.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on April 10, 2012, 03:12:09 PM
Santorum pulling out?  I thought he was against birth control?
olol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 10, 2012, 03:34:40 PM
The remaining two now have the problem that they look even more delusional than before. If the runner-up concedes, but you're still going, can only mean you've lost all touch of reality.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on April 10, 2012, 04:45:20 PM
Ugh. The race has been boring for about two months now anyway. Ever since the Maine popular vote fail.

There's not even any lulz.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 10, 2012, 04:56:48 PM
Of all people, Santorum would have been the last I would have guessed.

rumborak
Word has it that his kid with the rare disorder was hospitalized, and that it doesn't look good.
I was hoping Santorum would drag out this process a bit longer, but it's understandable that he's getting out based on that.

So now, the rest of the primaries are basically for show. It could be interesting to see if Gingrich and Paul do well in a few upcoming races based on most voters assuming it's over (which it is in every way but the official one), and don't show up.

Also, here's the latest electoral map from RealClearPolitics. It has Obama ahead of Romney 280 to 181, with 77 unprojected;
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 10, 2012, 05:06:00 PM
Actually, my best guess is that this is part of Santorum 2016. Him leaving now keeps the notion in people's mind that he was a strong contender. He probably sees that Obama stands a good chance of being reelected, so he'll be back in 2016 when there's a big unknown from the Democratic side.

Gingrich is too full of himself to stop, and Paul is probably just burning the remaining money on his last hurrah in politics.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 10, 2012, 05:32:33 PM
Of all people, Santorum would have been the last I would have guessed.

rumborak
Word has it that his kid with the rare disorder was hospitalized, and that it doesn't look good.
I was hoping Santorum would drag out this process a bit longer, but it's understandable that he's getting out based on that.

So now, the rest of the primaries are basically for show. It could be interesting to see if Gingrich and Paul do well in a few upcoming races based on most voters assuming it's over (which it is in every way but the official one), and don't show up.

Also, here's the latest electoral map from RealClearPolitics. It has Obama ahead of Romney 280 to 181, with 77 unprojected;
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

Think some polls have Obama up in Florida, and without awarding Florida, they're projecting Obama wins anyways.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 10, 2012, 07:31:36 PM
Michigan as a lean Obama? I mean I wouldn't complain if that were the case, but where are they getting those numbers?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 11, 2012, 12:26:04 AM
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/mi/michigan_romney_vs_obama-1811.html


Double digit difference, even.

Though, it's probably a little closer than that:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2012/04/09/obama_edges_romney_in_michigan_113774.html

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 11, 2012, 07:10:00 AM
Also, even without Michigan, Obama has a double digit lead in Virginia in most polls, which wasn't called for either of them in that projection, and would also put him over the 270 mark.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 11, 2012, 07:43:56 AM
Actually, my best guess is that this is part of Santorum 2016. Him leaving now keeps the notion in people's mind that he was a strong contender. He probably sees that Obama stands a good chance of being reelected, so he'll be back in 2016 when there's a big unknown from the Democratic side.

rumborak

And he'll be the same rhetorical-vomit-spewing ideologue that he is now and will probably end up the same way he ended this time.  Remember, this is a guy who served in the Senate for almost a decade yet none of this colleagues came forward to endorse him.  The guy is toxic and definitely not POTUS material.  Don't get me wrong, I think you're right that he's probably going to try running again.  I just think he can't exercise enough control over his mouth and the junk that falls out of it to be much of a long-term viable contender.

As far as him getting out now, I doubt it has anything to do with his kid.  But it's good politics for him to let everyone assume that.  Personally, my hunch is it's probably got more to do with how bad it was going to look for him when Romney beat him in Pennsylvania.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 11, 2012, 07:45:24 AM
Current polling is essentially meaningless.  Now that Romney and the half dozen PACs that are aligned with him can aim their shit-cannons at Obama, you watch those numbers erode. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 11, 2012, 08:14:38 AM
@ Scheavo and TL: it's not really a big deal, it just seemed odd considering that I know well that my home state is very, very red for a Northern state (not Texas red obviously, but unusually so for a Union state). I'm a bit of an anomaly in that sense.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 11, 2012, 09:23:36 AM
It's not really surprising. Michigan went for Clinton twice, Gore, Kerry, and Obama.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 11, 2012, 09:59:42 AM
Wow, that's surprising.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on April 11, 2012, 10:23:36 AM
I hate to be that guy... but... If Santorum's kid takes a turn for the worst, that will play right into his hands if he runs again in 2016.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 11, 2012, 10:24:56 AM
I was kinda thinking that too, actually. Not sure how far it'd take him, but it might help leverage his primary race.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on April 11, 2012, 10:35:09 AM
I was kinda thinking that too, actually. Not sure how far it'd take him, but it might help leverage his primary race.

I think it will all come down to how the next 4 years go. If Obama gets elected for a second term, and our economy doesn't look much better than it is now, you can guarantee that the republicans will get the White House in 2016. I doubt Newt will run again, and I'm sure Romney and Santorum will be back in the race. However, Romney's credibility may be gone for good once he goes toe-to-toe with Obama for this term. It's going to be really interesting to see how the next five years play out.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 11, 2012, 11:12:13 AM
Current polling is essentially meaningless.  Now that Romney and the half dozen PACs that are aligned with him can aim their shit-cannons at Obama, you watch those numbers erode.

You're also forgetting Obama can now run against Romney, and we get the comparison of Obama versus Romney. Romney does not look good in that regards, no matter how you look at it. Polling has shown for quite some time, that the idea's Obama will run on are popular (60%+), and Romney's are quite unpopular.

This is actually when I think the race starts to pull apart. Obama get's to defend Social Security and Medicare, he might get to run against the Supreme Court and on the issue of Health Care again (which leaves the Republicans stuttering without a response, seeing as how their solution just got ruled unconstitutional), he gets to attack Romney for his tax position and his tax status, he gets to attack Romney for his foreign policy (stay in Iraq, attack Iran, stay in Afghanistan, and his advisers are all Bush advisors), he gets to attack Romney for his position on Birth Control (supports person hood amendment, yet is so naive as to still say women should have birth control options), etc.

All Romney has going for him is anti-Obama sentiment. He clearly wasn't able to get his base riled up, he clearly isn't the ideal candidate.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on April 11, 2012, 11:19:07 AM
Current polling is essentially meaningless.  Now that Romney and the half dozen PACs that are aligned with him can aim their shit-cannons at Obama, you watch those numbers erode.

All Romney has going for him is anti-Obama sentiment. He clearly wasn't able to get his base riled up, he clearly isn't the ideal candidate.

Those sentiments are just going to get worse. I can't imagine the type of shit that is going to pour out of his mouth come September. I can't wait to see what the Obama administration has up their sleeves as a counter attack. I am hoping Obama keeps his cool, and I am confident he will. I don't see him ever targetting Romney in a negative way. I think he will just play really good defense and get his point about Romney across in the process.

Right now, I think Obama's biggest problem is just how little many American's know about certain issues. I give you this gem I saw on facebook the other day. I don't understand why it is so hard for people to wrap their heads around the idea the gas prices are the result of a global economy. Is it Obama's fault that gas is $8.50+ a gallon in Italy?

(https://img694.imageshack.us/img694/4278/imageelnz.jpg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 11, 2012, 11:27:58 AM
People want a scapegoat, and they've been trained over the last few years that Obama is the default one. Keeps them from thinking, which is what they want.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 11, 2012, 11:34:27 AM
I doubt Obama (himself) will get negative , but he's also shown himself in the past that he's not going to tolerate lies and distortions about his record. Considering that's Romney's platform, it gives him a lot of ammo against Romney, without getting negative.

His speech yesterday also showed he's going to show how he's different than the Republican candidate.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on April 11, 2012, 11:37:02 AM


His speech yesterday also showed he's going to show how he's different than the Republican candidate.

Could you possibly supply a link to some clips from it? I missed it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 11, 2012, 11:37:27 AM
Seriously, most Americans don't realize how insanely cheap gasoline has been in their country for a while now compared to basically the rest of the world. Right now, some Americans are freaking out about the possibility of gas maybe going high as the equivalent of $1.05 per liter. Here in Canada, that would be considered pretty cheap.

If gas price trends are anything like they have been every year for quite some time now, Obama doesn't have much to worry about. Typically, gas prices go up in the spring and down in the fall. If that trend continues, gas prices will be in a noticeably decline for a month or two leading into the election.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 11, 2012, 11:38:15 AM
Don't underestimate the pathological Obama hatred.   He might beat Romney but it won't be a cakewalk.

And Of COURSE he'll go negative - he has absolutely NO choice in the matter.  Negative ads are the most effective ads you can publish.   In fact, his campaign has ALREADY hit the internet  (https://www.thefiscaltimes.com/Articles/2012/01/27/Defense-Dollars-Would-Increase-Under-Obama-Budget.aspx#page1)with a negative ad.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 11, 2012, 11:41:22 AM
Dangerous nonetheless to go negative. One of the things that I really liked about Obama's campaign 4 years ago was that he stayed away from negativity.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on April 11, 2012, 11:45:24 AM
Dangerous nonetheless to go negative. One of the things that I really liked about Obama's campaign 4 years ago was that he stayed away from negativity.

rumborak

And I think he could use that in his campaign this time around to his advantage. Stress whether or not you want someone who constantly thinks posistively or someone who constantly thinks negatively in the White House.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 11, 2012, 12:21:47 PM
Dangerous nonetheless to go negative. One of the things that I really liked about Obama's campaign 4 years ago was that he stayed away from negativity.

rumborak

That's simply not true. (https://voices.washingtonpost.com/44/2008/09/obama-airs-more-negative-ads-s.html)

Not true, at all. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWvHbOoG3tI)

What I would agree with is McCain ran more negative ads than Obama did and McCain went negative long before Obama did, but Obama most certainly did not "stay away from negativity" and if he wants another term he's going to have to run negative ads against Mitt Romney too. 

Why?  Because they work. (https://www.cnn.com/2012/01/02/opinion/lariscy-negative-ads/index.html)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: J51 on April 11, 2012, 12:43:05 PM
Santorum will never be a strong candidate for POTUS again. He was in the right place at the right time in a weak class of Republican candidates. Come 2016, names like Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Chris Christie, and Jeb Bush will be the ones to look out for. Santorum got his 15 minutes of fame, and now he has some good options, but I'm not sure if being an elected official is one of them. He can probably be a lobbyist or public speaker and make bank for the rest of his life. He is still pretty young in the political world.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Chino on April 11, 2012, 12:46:03 PM
Santorum will never be a strong candidate for POTUS again. He was in the right place at the right time in a weak class of Republican candidates.

But the fact that he made it so far makes me think otherwise. In my opinion, he's the second worst candidate that was in the race... actually, thinking back on it now, I take that back. Nevermind  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 11, 2012, 12:53:36 PM
Santorum will never be a strong candidate for POTUS again. He was in the right place at the right time in a weak class of Republican candidates. Come 2016, names like Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Chris Christie, and Jeb Bush will be the ones to look out for. Santorum got his 15 minutes of fame, and now he has some good options, but I'm not sure if being an elected official is one of them. He can probably be a lobbyist or public speaker and make bank for the rest of his life. He is still pretty young in the political world.

The others I can understand, but that one...I dunno. I could be wrong on this, but more than anything I think he would just be a constant reminder of his brother for the American people.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 11, 2012, 01:42:10 PM
Santorum will never be a strong candidate for POTUS again. He was in the right place at the right time in a weak class of Republican candidates. Come 2016, names like Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Chris Christie, and Jeb Bush will be the ones to look out for. Santorum got his 15 minutes of fame, and now he has some good options, but I'm not sure if being an elected official is one of them. He can probably be a lobbyist or public speaker and make bank for the rest of his life. He is still pretty young in the political world.

The others I can understand, but that one...I dunno. I could be wrong on this, but more than anything I think he would just be a constant reminder of his brother for the American people.

His brother had two terms.  His brother was RE-Elected AFTER we KNEW that the Iraq war was the biggest foreign policy blunder in the history of the US.  Don't underestimate the general stupidity of the American electorate. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: gmillerdrake on April 11, 2012, 01:43:46 PM
Santorum will never be a strong candidate for POTUS again. He was in the right place at the right time in a weak class of Republican candidates. Come 2016, names like Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Chris Christie, and Jeb Bush will be the ones to look out for. Santorum got his 15 minutes of fame, and now he has some good options, but I'm not sure if being an elected official is one of them. He can probably be a lobbyist or public speaker and make bank for the rest of his life. He is still pretty young in the political world.

The others I can understand, but that one...I dunno. I could be wrong on this, but more than anything I think he would just be a constant reminder of his brother for the American people.

His brother had two terms.  His brother was RE-Elected AFTER we KNEW that the Iraq war was the biggest foreign policy blunder in the history of the US.  Don't underestimate the general stupidity of the American electorate.
Like voting for a slogan......
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 11, 2012, 01:57:32 PM
Santorum will never be a strong candidate for POTUS again. He was in the right place at the right time in a weak class of Republican candidates. Come 2016, names like Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Chris Christie, and Jeb Bush will be the ones to look out for. Santorum got his 15 minutes of fame, and now he has some good options, but I'm not sure if being an elected official is one of them. He can probably be a lobbyist or public speaker and make bank for the rest of his life. He is still pretty young in the political world.

The others I can understand, but that one...I dunno. I could be wrong on this, but more than anything I think he would just be a constant reminder of his brother for the American people.

His brother had two terms.  His brother was RE-Elected AFTER we KNEW that the Iraq war was the biggest foreign policy blunder in the history of the US.  Don't underestimate the general stupidity of the American electorate.

Well sure, but right now he's only a governor. Could be a different story once he's propped up to the federal level.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 11, 2012, 02:04:11 PM
Santorum will never be a strong candidate for POTUS again. He was in the right place at the right time in a weak class of Republican candidates. Come 2016, names like Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Chris Christie, and Jeb Bush will be the ones to look out for. Santorum got his 15 minutes of fame, and now he has some good options, but I'm not sure if being an elected official is one of them. He can probably be a lobbyist or public speaker and make bank for the rest of his life. He is still pretty young in the political world.

The others I can understand, but that one...I dunno. I could be wrong on this, but more than anything I think he would just be a constant reminder of his brother for the American people.

His brother had two terms.  His brother was RE-Elected AFTER we KNEW that the Iraq war was the biggest foreign policy blunder in the history of the US.  Don't underestimate the general stupidity of the American electorate.

Well sure, but right now he's only a governor. Could be a different story once he's propped up to the federal level.

I think that anti-Bush vote would be too high. I maen, if we elect Jeb Bush, we might as well throw out all pretense of being even a Republic - we'd obviously be an oligarchy at that point.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: J51 on April 11, 2012, 07:38:52 PM
I agree that George W probably ruined Jeb's chances with his incompetence, but many Republicans still list Jeb Bush on their short list of 2016 possibilities. I think Rubio is the favorite for the 2016 bid (assuming Obama wins 2012). He's young, sharp, diverse, a Tea Party favorite...basically everything the Republicans are looking for to energize their base. Romney will most likely ask him to be the VP, but most reports state that he will decline.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 11, 2012, 09:13:46 PM
I agree that George W probably ruined Jeb's chances with his incompetence, but many Republicans still list Jeb Bush on their short list of 2016 possibilities. I think Rubio is the favorite for the 2016 bid (assuming Obama wins 2012). He's young, sharp, diverse, a Tea Party favorite...basically everything the Republicans are looking for to energize their base. Romney will most likely ask him to be the VP, but most reports state that he will decline.

I'm not so sure about that, considering the fiscal-social conservative divide that seems to be happening now, as we were discussing a couple of pages ago.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on April 12, 2012, 01:03:29 AM
A potential sleeper issue for the Presidential campaign: petrol (aka 'gas') prices.

The US Fed is becoming pretty concerned about the impact they are having/will have on the economy: https://www.businessspectator.com.au/bs.nsf/Article/Rising-fuel-costs-cloud-economic-outlook-T9TRD?OpenDocument&src=hp31

Your thoughts?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 12, 2012, 06:26:56 AM
Welcome to the last month in American election politics. :p
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 12, 2012, 07:47:55 AM
It's such a sleeper issue that we've been talking about it for the last few pages.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on April 12, 2012, 09:48:45 AM
I actually read this morning that some experts think we've peaked on gas prices and are back on the way down.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: tofee35 on April 12, 2012, 10:36:05 AM
Hey guys, sorry to change the direction of this a bit. This has been on my mind for awhile:

I've been following Obama and Romney on Twitter for a year now. Despite what their policies and promises are, they are putting a very negative face forward. The amount of smear going on is embarrassing. It makes me feel sick that one of the most powerful men in the world and the person trying to become that want to portray themselves as 5 year olds fighting for a candy bar. I don't get it. I really don't. I've never understood smear campaigns in the first place. A couple years ago Scott Brown won the Massachusetts Senate seat as a Republican. He used nothing but positive messages in his campaign. He made people feel comfortable about letting him be their representative. Meanwhile, his competitor (forget her name) ran nothing but smear campaigns and lost badly. There's something to be said about how a candidate wants to be perceived. I think it has more of an effect on the general public than actual policies and campaign promises. What do yo think?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: yeshaberto on April 12, 2012, 10:42:51 AM
Hey guys, sorry to change the direction of this a bit. This has been on my mind for awhile:

I've been following Obama and Romney on Twitter for a year now. Despite what their policies and promises are, they are putting a very negative face forward. The amount of smear going on is embarrassing. It makes me feel sick that one of the most powerful men in the world and the person trying to become that want to portray themselves as 5 year olds fighting for a candy bar. I don't get it. I really don't. I've never understood smear campaigns in the first place. A couple years ago Scott Brown won the Massachusetts Senate seat as a Republican. He used nothing but positive messages in his campaign. He made people feel comfortable about letting him be their representative. Meanwhile, his competitor (forget her name) ran nothing but smear campaigns and lost badly. There's something to be said about how a candidate wants to be perceived. I think it has more of an effect on the general public than actual policies and campaign promises. What do yo think?

I agree 1000%.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 12, 2012, 11:32:14 AM
What smear campaign did Elizabeth Warren put forward?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 12, 2012, 11:37:29 AM
Hey guys, sorry to change the direction of this a bit. This has been on my mind for awhile:

I've been following Obama and Romney on Twitter for a year now. Despite what their policies and promises are, they are putting a very negative face forward. The amount of smear going on is embarrassing. It makes me feel sick that one of the most powerful men in the world and the person trying to become that want to portray themselves as 5 year olds fighting for a candy bar. I don't get it. I really don't. I've never understood smear campaigns in the first place. A couple years ago Scott Brown won the Massachusetts Senate seat as a Republican. He used nothing but positive messages in his campaign. He made people feel comfortable about letting him be their representative. Meanwhile, his competitor (forget her name) ran nothing but smear campaigns and lost badly. There's something to be said about how a candidate wants to be perceived. I think it has more of an effect on the general public than actual policies and campaign promises. What do yo think?

First, let me start by saying that I agree with the sentiment expressed in your post.  Negative ads are pretty sickening and the do make our politicians look petty and immature.  Unfortunately, they run negative ads because they are -BY FAR- the most effective ads in political campaigns. 

I live in MA and I am a registered Democrat.  Martha Coakley was possibly the worst person to replace Ted Kennedy that I could think of.  By the way, she didn't "lose badly" she lost by 5% (https://voices.yahoo.com/martha-coakleys-campaign-case-5310921.html) - hardly a landslide. 

Martha Coakley lost because she ran a completely inept campaign and because the national Democratic Party never imagined that an upstart Republican who was a relative nobody would win Ted Kennedy's seat in the bluest of blue states.  So they did not provide her with any funding early on.  By contrast, Scott Brown had financial support from the RNC from day one.  By the time the DNC realized that she was in trouble (about 10 days before the election) it was too late.  But in a last ditch effort they funded, produced and aired a bunch of attack ads in that final week.  This is why a lot of people believe that ALL she ran was attack ads.  That's not true and I personally remember at least two or three ads she ran that were not negative at all.  The problem was, they didn't air all that often because her campaign did not have the financial resources necessary to air them frequently. 

Had the DNC backed Coakley from the beginning, I don't know if Brown would have won.    He ran a brilliant campaign, though.  Gotta give him credit for that. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 12, 2012, 11:38:53 AM
Hey guys, sorry to change the direction of this a bit. This has been on my mind for awhile:

I've been following Obama and Romney on Twitter for a year now. Despite what their policies and promises are, they are putting a very negative face forward. The amount of smear going on is embarrassing. It makes me feel sick that one of the most powerful men in the world and the person trying to become that want to portray themselves as 5 year olds fighting for a candy bar. I don't get it. I really don't. I've never understood smear campaigns in the first place. A couple years ago Scott Brown won the Massachusetts Senate seat as a Republican. He used nothing but positive messages in his campaign. He made people feel comfortable about letting him be their representative. Meanwhile, his competitor (forget her name) ran nothing but smear campaigns and lost badly. There's something to be said about how a candidate wants to be perceived. I think it has more of an effect on the general public than actual policies and campaign promises. What do yo think?

Can you link to some of this smear stuff you're talking about with Obama?

From my experience, and after research, I've found that just about everything Romney tries to smear Obama on is a complete lie, or just so blatantly hypocritical that it's disgusting. Serving from memory 4 years ago, Obama stayed pretty above the fray. He did run some negative ads, but for the most part and comparatively, they were based upon the record. Meanwhile, McCain threw out some new bullshit every 4 days, trying to call him a terrorist, and bad for America. Just becuase an ad is negative towards someone else, doesn't mean it's inappropriate. It's inappropriate when it distorts the record, or leaves out important information.

So what I think is that, ya, a clean campaign would be nice. Of course, some negative ads are necessary, as that's part of who someone is, and who their record is. However, it's usually not accurate, it's usually a lie, and it's usually distortion. Now, unless both parties agree to run a clean campaign, that pretty much means you're going to devolve into a dirty race. In this instance, Romney has been basically slandering Obama for four years.* When you have someone so viciously attacking you, it's basically self-defense.

*Lately, the man's showing just how much of a political sleaze ball he is. He attacked Obama for being a Harvard Elite, that he "spent too much time at Harvard" - WHEN ROMNEY HAS MOE DEGREES AND WENT TO HARVARD FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME. I just cant' think of anything Obama has ever done that comes close to comparing at all to these kind of tactics.

*edit*

Oh, so I thought of the worse Obama attack so far - his comment about Romney's wife not having to work. I think the point being made is valid, but it was horribly expressed. IT wasn't that being a stay at home wife is a bad thing - it's that for many, many, many people, that's not an option. I'm sure my own mom would have loved to raise me more, but our family needed the money, so she worked 12 + hours a day, and barely got to see me.

Hopefully that point doesn't get lost, because it's an important one.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 12, 2012, 11:57:21 AM

Oh, so I thought of the worse Obama attack so far - his comment about Romney's wife not having to work. I think the point being made is valid, but it was horribly expressed. IT wasn't that being a stay at home wife is a bad thing - it's that for many, many, many people, that's not an option. I'm sure my own mom would have loved to raise me more, but our family needed the money, so she worked 12 + hours a day, and barely got to see me.

Hopefully that point doesn't get lost, because it's an important one.

When did OBAMA actually say that? 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 12, 2012, 12:01:24 PM

Oh, so I thought of the worse Obama attack so far - his comment about Romney's wife not having to work. I think the point being made is valid, but it was horribly expressed. IT wasn't that being a stay at home wife is a bad thing - it's that for many, many, many people, that's not an option. I'm sure my own mom would have loved to raise me more, but our family needed the money, so she worked 12 + hours a day, and barely got to see me.

Hopefully that point doesn't get lost, because it's an important one.

When did OBAMA actually say that?

Well, if want to use that logic, neither candidate is going to really get that negative. They'll have "third-party" super pacs do it. I should have been clearer, and said the Obama Campaign.

Cause if Obama did make that point, he wouldn't fuck it up so badly, me thinks.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 12, 2012, 12:09:33 PM

Oh, so I thought of the worse Obama attack so far - his comment about Romney's wife not having to work. I think the point being made is valid, but it was horribly expressed. IT wasn't that being a stay at home wife is a bad thing - it's that for many, many, many people, that's not an option. I'm sure my own mom would have loved to raise me more, but our family needed the money, so she worked 12 + hours a day, and barely got to see me.

Hopefully that point doesn't get lost, because it's an important one.

When did OBAMA actually say that?

Well, if want to use that logic, neither candidate is going to really get that negative. They'll have "third-party" super pacs do it. I should have been clearer, and said the Obama Campaign.

Cause if Obama did make that point, he wouldn't fuck it up so badly, me thinks.

But she doesn't work for the Obama nor is she employed by the Obama campaign. 

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 12, 2012, 01:19:18 PM

Oh, so I thought of the worse Obama attack so far - his comment about Romney's wife not having to work. I think the point being made is valid, but it was horribly expressed. IT wasn't that being a stay at home wife is a bad thing - it's that for many, many, many people, that's not an option. I'm sure my own mom would have loved to raise me more, but our family needed the money, so she worked 12 + hours a day, and barely got to see me.

Hopefully that point doesn't get lost, because it's an important one.

When did OBAMA actually say that?

Well, if want to use that logic, neither candidate is going to really get that negative. They'll have "third-party" super pacs do it. I should have been clearer, and said the Obama Campaign.

Cause if Obama did make that point, he wouldn't fuck it up so badly, me thinks.

But she doesn't work for the Obama nor is she employed by the Obama campaign.

Well I was under the impression she was involved in some fashion. If not, it does mitigate it much more - but, to partly plays devils advocate and to just keep the discussion going, the media and people who listen to the media are still going to associate this attack as a "Obama" vs "Romney" issue.  Assuming that this statement was made by Obama (which it wasn't) against Romney, let's compare this statement to the statements Romney has made about Obama. Both may be "negative," but that doesn't make them the same.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 12, 2012, 02:30:28 PM
Here's the thing about this too, that really bugs me:  What Hillary Rosen actually said, in context, is TRUE!

Here are the actual comments (https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/04/12/democrat-defends-ann-romney-comments-amid-firestorm/):

Quote from: Hillery Rosen
Rosen, also a CNN political contributor and a working mother, made her original comments on CNN's "Anderson Cooper 360" on Wednesday.
"What you have is Mitt Romney running around the country, saying, 'Well, you know, my wife tells me that what women really care about are economic issues, and when I listen to my wife, that's what I'm hearing.' Guess what?  His wife has actually never worked a day in her life," Rosen said on CNN. 
"She's never really dealt with the kinds of economic issues that a majority off the women in this country are facing, in terms of how do we feed our kids, how do we send them to school, and why do we worry about their future," Rosen continued, adding that Romney "just seems so old fashioned when it comes to women."

There's really nothing provocative about that statement.  Ann Romney got married at a very young age and yes, she did raise 5 kids, but she did not have to work WHILE raising those kids.  She had the luxury of being a stay at home mom, something very few middle-class women get to do these days.  THAT was her point.  So while the Republicans genuflect and gesticulate wildly to try to pin this as someone from the "Obama Camp" trying to "Attack Ann Romney" it was nothing of the kind.  It was simply an observation that Mitt Romney isn't really getting the inside scoop on "women's issues" from his wife who has led a sheltered and very easy life compared to most middle class women.
Truth be told, Michelle Obama has led the same kind of life, pretty much.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on April 12, 2012, 04:47:55 PM
I don't see how any of that is any issue.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on April 12, 2012, 05:03:10 PM
Who cares? Ann Romney had a successful husband and didn't need to work. Rosen is just being a cvnt.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: tofee35 on April 12, 2012, 06:17:35 PM
Hey guys, sorry to change the direction of this a bit. This has been on my mind for awhile:

I've been following Obama and Romney on Twitter for a year now. Despite what their policies and promises are, they are putting a very negative face forward. The amount of smear going on is embarrassing. It makes me feel sick that one of the most powerful men in the world and the person trying to become that want to portray themselves as 5 year olds fighting for a candy bar. I don't get it. I really don't. I've never understood smear campaigns in the first place. A couple years ago Scott Brown won the Massachusetts Senate seat as a Republican. He used nothing but positive messages in his campaign. He made people feel comfortable about letting him be their representative. Meanwhile, his competitor (forget her name) ran nothing but smear campaigns and lost badly. There's something to be said about how a candidate wants to be perceived. I think it has more of an effect on the general public than actual policies and campaign promises. What do yo think?

First, let me start by saying that I agree with the sentiment expressed in your post.  Negative ads are pretty sickening and the do make our politicians look petty and immature.  Unfortunately, they run negative ads because they are -BY FAR- the most effective ads in political campaigns. 

I live in MA and I am a registered Democrat.  Martha Coakley was possibly the worst person to replace Ted Kennedy that I could think of.  By the way, she didn't "lose badly" she lost by 5% (https://voices.yahoo.com/martha-coakleys-campaign-case-5310921.html) - hardly a landslide. 

Martha Coakley lost because she ran a completely inept campaign and because the national Democratic Party never imagined that an upstart Republican who was a relative nobody would win Ted Kennedy's seat in the bluest of blue states.  So they did not provide her with any funding early on.  By contrast, Scott Brown had financial support from the RNC from day one.  By the time the DNC realized that she was in trouble (about 10 days before the election) it was too late.  But in a last ditch effort they funded, produced and aired a bunch of attack ads in that final week.  This is why a lot of people believe that ALL she ran was attack ads.  That's not true and I personally remember at least two or three ads she ran that were not negative at all.  The problem was, they didn't air all that often because her campaign did not have the financial resources necessary to air them frequently. 

Had the DNC backed Coakley from the beginning, I don't know if Brown would have won.    He ran a brilliant campaign, though.  Gotta give him credit for that.

Wow, I didn't realize the race was that close! I'm sure I never actually saw the final numbers because I would have remembered the 5%. I lived in Ma at the time. All I remember are the negative Coakley campaigns and the pickup truck Brown campaigns. The last 10 days are the most memorable for voters. There's the big push by both candidates. That's probably why it's still vivid in my mind. What it also says about politics is that really positive press can be misleading too. I don't know how well Scott Brown is doing in the Senate, but I think he's a nice guy. I couldn't tell you what one of his campaign policies or promises was at the time (or if he's followed through). Granted, I was in grad school and totally immersed in projects, but still.


Scheavo: I can tell you that both Romney and Obama are guilty of it. It's tough for me to think one is worse than the other because they both do it. One can be more annoying than the other, but what matter's is that they do it at all. Obama's on Romney for his personal income tax rates. Romney's on Obama for the job market and gas (to name a couple examples off the top of my head).

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 12, 2012, 07:31:23 PM
I'm not sure how you are really comparing Obama factually pointing out that Romney pays a 15% tax rate, while a middle class family pays probably around double that. It's something Romney not only supports, but has lobbied for in the past publicly. That's a policy issue, a true one, and one that massively effects the budget. Obama has proposed a much fairer approach to the budget - Obama's proposed budget (https://news.yahoo.com/gop-run-house-easily-rejects-bipartisan-budget-015402181.html)

Romney's attacks on Obama for the job market and gas prices are false. Obama has improved the Job market, perhaps not enough, but not for a lack of his effort. It's false to say we're not exploring our energy policies, manufacturing is going up for the first time since Bush took over (partly due to incentive given by Obama, going after offshore tax havens / loopholes, as well as stimulus spending), and the stock market is doing rather well. Things can still get better, but the reason it's not getting better is because Senate Republicans, especially, won't let anything pass that would benefit Obama. The stimulus plan, by the vast majority of economists, created jobs. It just didn't do enough, partly becuase we later learned that the problem was much worse. If you listen to Romney, things aren't getting better, even though they are, and depending upon when you listened to him, things were actually getting worse, which they weren't. Our momentum started to change pretty quickly after Obama got into office.

As for gas prices, it's ridiculous to think Obama can influence gas prices *edit* domestically. It's a pure political statement, not based upon anything factual, but just a cheap attempt to make a scape goat of the President. Meanwhile, since Romney wants to attack Iran, he'd actually massively raise prices.

So that's what I mean. One statement is negative, but at least it's true. One statement is negative - and totally made up.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on April 12, 2012, 08:34:02 PM
One statement is negative, but at least it's true. One statement is negative - and totally made up.
Exactly this.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: tofee35 on April 13, 2012, 09:40:45 AM
I'm not sure how you are really comparing Obama factually pointing out that Romney pays a 15% tax rate, while a middle class family pays probably around double that. It's something Romney not only supports, but has lobbied for in the past publicly. That's a policy issue, a true one, and one that massively effects the budget. Obama has proposed a much fairer approach to the budget - Obama's proposed budget (https://news.yahoo.com/gop-run-house-easily-rejects-bipartisan-budget-015402181.html)

Romney's attacks on Obama for the job market and gas prices are false. Obama has improved the Job market, perhaps not enough, but not for a lack of his effort. It's false to say we're not exploring our energy policies, manufacturing is going up for the first time since Bush took over (partly due to incentive given by Obama, going after offshore tax havens / loopholes, as well as stimulus spending), and the stock market is doing rather well. Things can still get better, but the reason it's not getting better is because Senate Republicans, especially, won't let anything pass that would benefit Obama. The stimulus plan, by the vast majority of economists, created jobs. It just didn't do enough, partly becuase we later learned that the problem was much worse. If you listen to Romney, things aren't getting better, even though they are, and depending upon when you listened to him, things were actually getting worse, which they weren't. Our momentum started to change pretty quickly after Obama got into office.

As for gas prices, it's ridiculous to think Obama can influence gas prices *edit* domestically. It's a pure political statement, not based upon anything factual, but just a cheap attempt to make a scape goat of the President. Meanwhile, since Romney wants to attack Iran, he'd actually massively raise prices.

So that's what I mean. One statement is negative, but at least it's true. One statement is negative - and totally made up.

I can definitely respect your last comment there and I see where you're coming from.

I'm not debating what's right and wrong. I can do my own research there. I'm simply expressing that the negativity of their back and forth doesn't help either of them in my eyes and comes off as childish, unprofessional, and unethical. I can do my own research of the facts and make my own judgment calls based on my personal beliefs. That's why I didn't cite anything specific in my original post, because it's not about the specific content, but the intent of the content (which is to knock the other person down instead of bringing themselves up). In my opinion, they bring themselves down when they attack each other. You addressed this in your last statement. It seems that you don't mind the negativity as long as it's true, which makes total sense to me. I, personally, don't agree with it whether true or false.

 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on April 13, 2012, 01:26:52 PM
Obama is demonstrating a contrast between the two.
Romney is lying.

I don't see both as equally negative.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 13, 2012, 02:26:33 PM
You addressed this in your last statement. It seems that you don't mind the negativity as long as it's true, which makes total sense to me. I, personally, don't agree with it whether true or false.

I guess I only really think its negative if it get's personal or is false. When it's an accurate statement of the other persons record, I think it's a valid point to bring up in a Presidential Race. You need contrast, you just don't need enemies, falsehoods, etc.

Just so it's clear, the comment about Romney's wife, made by the CNN talking-head, is in my opinion too personal. Even though I agree with the point being made, the way it was made was too personal.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 13, 2012, 03:01:59 PM
Yikes. Romney kicks off the presidential race by speaking in front of the NRA?

*shudders*

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on April 13, 2012, 04:40:14 PM
Yikes. Romney kicks off the presidential race by speaking in front of the NRA?

*shudders*

rumborak

(https://pajamasmedia.com/instapundit/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/042911NRA-600x448.jpg)


Looks like they have some real talent at the NRA. Don't blame him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 13, 2012, 05:10:41 PM
The thing for me is, it's not even a question of 2nd Amendment or whatever, but I find the NRA one hell of a creepy organization.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on April 13, 2012, 05:44:31 PM
The thing for me is, it's not even a question of 2nd Amendment or whatever, but I find the NRA one hell of a creepy organization.

rumborak
As a proud gun owner, I agree.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on April 13, 2012, 06:54:57 PM
The thing for me is, it's not even a question of 2nd Amendment or whatever, but I find the NRA one hell of a creepy organization.

rumborak

As hef just put it, as a proud gun owner, I agree. Well, I used to own a gun. But, I have seen some of the ladies that show up to NRA conventions, they can have some smokin hot babes. I used to competition shoot (never was that good. just enjoyed it). So, you'd have those people show up or have to go to one sponsored(?) by them. Some real talent. I got beat by a fair share of hotties. I think the titties were a good distraction.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 13, 2012, 07:20:02 PM
Yikes. Romney kicks off the presidential race by speaking in front of the NRA?

rumborak

Nice to see he still insists on making shit up, like saying Obama isn't enforcing gun laws, is against gun ownership - and of course, in his second term he's going to completely take away your guns.

Does this man say anything that's true, policy wise? I'm about the think the only thing he says that's true is that his name is Mitt Romney - and I think some comedian pointed out a while ago, that that's technically not his name.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on April 13, 2012, 08:22:30 PM
Obama and the DOJ got caught with their dicks in their hands with the Fast and Furious scandal, but nothing will come of it to further infringe further on our Second Amendment rights. Romney only joined the NRA in the 90s for political reason. He couldn't care less about guns, as he can afford private, armed security (same with that asshole Bloomberg). He just wants the NRA vote. He ain't gettin' mine.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 13, 2012, 09:26:17 PM
Just out of curiosity PraXis, who is getting your vote? You hate Obama, you say Romney isn't getting your vote, but Paul ain't exactly an option.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 13, 2012, 09:36:50 PM
Ya, the fast and the furious plan was retarded. The basic concept had some merit, but the execution was sloppy as hell, and major mistakes made it a horrendous idea. But it didn't have anything to do with legal gun ownership, and it's conspiratorial to think that Obama is just waiting to get reelected go come take your guns away, or something.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on April 13, 2012, 09:38:44 PM
Just out of curiosity PraXis, who is getting your vote? You hate Obama, you say Romney isn't getting your vote, but Paul ain't exactly an option.

I will write in Ron Paul or vote Libertarian (if I like the candidate). I refuse to participate in the false left-right paradigm presented by the Democratic and Republican parties. They are two sides of the same coin.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PlaysLikeMyung on April 14, 2012, 10:21:41 AM
Just out of curiosity PraXis, who is getting your vote? You hate Obama, you say Romney isn't getting your vote, but Paul ain't exactly an option.

I will write in Ron Paul or vote Libertarian (if I like the candidate). I refuse to participate in the false left-right paradigm presented by the Democratic and Republican parties. They are two sides of the same coin.

What a waste
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 14, 2012, 10:24:27 AM
He wouldn't have voted for Obama even if he didn't "opt out," so what does it matter?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on April 14, 2012, 10:41:44 AM
I don't really agree with Praxis on much but I understand where he's coming from. I don't feel represented by anyone running for president.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 14, 2012, 11:15:57 AM
I've felt this way for a long time, but I think there's no way to possibly deny it anymore.

Mitt Romney is a charlatan and a demagogue, and he's everything our founding fathers hated and feared bout a democracy. Our entire system was almost set up to try and avoid people like him.

https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/demagogue

Quote
1
: a leader who makes use of popular prejudices and false claims and promises in order to gain power

https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/charlatan

Quote
2
: one making usually showy pretenses to knowledge or ability : fraud, faker

That's about the closest definition of Mitt Romney you could ever have. Nothing the man says is true, he plays off prejudices and false claims, and makes lofty promises, all becuase he just wants to be the President and the power that comes with it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 14, 2012, 01:21:42 PM
Yeah, I don't think anybody has a particularly good feeling about Romney. I don't see how he really stands for anything.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on April 14, 2012, 03:51:03 PM
This whole election is a joke. Obama's going to sail to victory, more coercion to come.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 14, 2012, 03:52:43 PM
Speaking of coercion:

https://www.frumforum.com/confessions-of-a-climate-change-convert

Just thought it was an interesting argument for libertarians in favor of regulation.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 14, 2012, 04:32:26 PM
Yeah, I don't think anybody has a particularly good feeling about Romney. I don't see how he really stands for anything.

rumborak

I don't get how people could vote for him over Obama. It's like no one has ever heard the old phrase, out of the kettle and into the fire. I mean, who the fuck knows, Romney could end up being a very moderate, reasonable and successful President, but if he actually governs like he's promised in running, he'd pretty much destroy the American Empire. He'd cut taxes, then go to war with Iran, and watch as our deficit sky rockets to proportions that actually are catastrophic (historically speaking, and compared to our GDP, our debt is fairly moderate, which isn't to say it should continue rising). His policies are in direct contradiction to his stated goals.

If there's a year for a third party run, it's this year. If Gary Johnson, the libertarian candidate, makes it on the stage, I think he could actually draw a lot of attention. Pretty sure it's Gary Johnson, who was pretty much DT's candidate of choice. Considering congress won't let any truly ridiculous libertarian idea's through (where Johnson might ave them, he seems fairly moderate and reasonable), but the President has full authority to end our empire, and to end the War on Drugs, single-highhandedly. It wouldn't legalize anything (that would require congress), but he can stop prosecuting for it, and he could theoretically give pardons/clemency to offenders.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 14, 2012, 04:42:28 PM
Funny you mention that, I actually did this Facebook app called "I agree with..." and it actually had me voting for Johnson over Obama.

Also, on the environment, I apparently agree most with the "The Rent is Too Damn High" guy. :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PlaysLikeMyung on April 14, 2012, 05:44:25 PM
Scheavo, the feeling I'm getting is that Republicans will vote for Romney for the sole reason of: "any Republican is better than Obama". There seems to be no other prominent reason. It's not what Romney or whoever stands for, and it's not because they're somehow going to undo the last 4 years.

'Independent' voters are going to decide the election. Dems are gonna vote blue and the GOP will vote red because that's what we expect them to do.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 14, 2012, 08:48:44 PM
Scheavo, the feeling I'm getting is that Republicans will vote for Romney for the sole reason of: "any Republican is better than Obama". There seems to be no other prominent reason. It's not what Romney or whoever stands for, and it's not because they're somehow going to undo the last 4 years.

Ya I know, and my point is that such blind hatred is harmful.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on April 15, 2012, 01:20:42 PM
I am sad that Huntsman got dropped so early in the process.  I didn't agree with much all of his points, but I think he was unfairly dismissed by the GOP.  He was probably the best candidate they had.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on April 15, 2012, 04:02:34 PM
Scheavo, the feeling I'm getting is that Republicans will vote for Romney for the sole reason of: "any Republican is better than Obama". There seems to be no other prominent reason. It's not what Romney or whoever stands for, and it's not because they're somehow going to undo the last 4 years.

Ya I know, and my point is that such blind hatred is harmful.

Two edged sword.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 15, 2012, 04:25:42 PM
I am sad that Huntsman got dropped so early in the process.  I didn't agree with much all of his points, but I think he was unfairly dismissed by the GOP.  He was probably the best candidate they had.

That was a bummer indeed. He might never have gotten far anyway, but in that candidate circus of "who can stand for the most extreme position" he was drowned out.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on April 15, 2012, 06:51:09 PM
I don't really agree with Praxis on much but I understand where he's coming from. I don't feel represented by anyone running for president.

This country was bought and sold years ago. Look no further than taxes. Every page of the 66,000+ page tax code was lobbied to give someone an edge over another...same with the various regulations in banking, health care, health insurance, etc.

There is NO difference in the two parties. Yea, they'll bicker back and forth about marriage or abortion on TV shows, but they still high-five each other when the cameras go away because of the power they keep taking away from us (not to mention, the money from future generations). What is really obvious is how Ron Paul has been predicting all these national/international messes the last 30 years, and many in the GOP will support his domestic policy.. but when he went into those debates and realistically described our imperial foreign policy, "oh it's just crazy Uncle Ron again!"... these same cvnts have hardons for a war with Iran, yet they don't say how they're going to pay for it..consider how they're always bitching about high taxes. How else will we fund the extended foreign invasions?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 15, 2012, 07:17:16 PM
I don't really agree with Praxis on much but I understand where he's coming from. I don't feel represented by anyone running for president.

This country was bought and sold years ago. Look no further than taxes. Every page of the 66,000+ page tax code was lobbied to give someone an edge over another...same with the various regulations in banking, health care, health insurance, etc.

There is NO difference in the two parties. Yea, they'll bicker back and forth about marriage or abortion on TV shows, but they still high-five each other when the cameras go away because of the power they keep taking away from us (not to mention, the money from future generations). What is really obvious is how Ron Paul has been predicting all these national/international messes the last 30 years, and many in the GOP will support his domestic policy.. but when he went into those debates and realistically described our imperial foreign policy, "oh it's just crazy Uncle Ron again!"... these same cvnts have hardons for a war with Iran, yet they don't say how they're going to pay for it..consider how they're always bitching about high taxes. How else will we fund the extended foreign invasions?

Y'know the fact that this sort of behavior between fellow politicians and countrymen actually is the reason for what we've got now, quite the opposite of your assertion. Before the time of cheap, affordable air travel, Congressmen and Senators lived and worked in D.C., their children went to school, they went to all the same PTA meetings...there was an air of goodwill among them, and that makes it easier to work together.

Now with all these politicians galavanting across the country on their perpetual campaign, basically raising money for the sake of raising more money to get re-elected to raise still more money, that relationship between lawmakers no longer exists. That's why Congressmen and Senators are less inclined to compromise or cooperate; because there's no relationship, there's no goodwill, no desire to compromise with basically a faceless opponent. Lack of friendship and cooperation is the problem, not the presence of it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 15, 2012, 07:21:26 PM
No offense, but to my knowledge Paul's "predictions" have not been particularly different from any other doomsday sayer, in that they will predict negative events with no particular time attached, and then claim any occurring one for their theory, while ignoring the long spans where nothing happened.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 17, 2012, 02:46:47 PM
It was simply an observation that Mitt Romney isn't really getting the inside scoop on "women's issues" from his wife who has led a sheltered and very easy life compared to most middle class women

This is why the Daily Show is awesome.

https://www.thedailyshow.com/watch/mon-april-16-2012/mitt-needs-moms---motherhood-is-hard


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Dark Castle on April 17, 2012, 04:53:11 PM
Not really sure what he's exactly claiming, but Romney is apparently warning of a " Vast Left-Wing Conspiracy", it was just on Cnn.  This is just getting ridiculous.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 18, 2012, 08:51:48 AM
Not really sure what he's exactly claiming, but Romney is apparently warning of a " Vast Left-Wing Conspiracy", it was just on Cnn.  This is just getting ridiculous.

I'm pretty sure that he also doesn't know what exactly he's claiming.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 18, 2012, 10:41:43 AM
Not really sure what he's exactly claiming, but Romney is apparently warning of a " Vast Left-Wing Conspiracy", it was just on Cnn.  This is just getting ridiculous.

I'm pretty sure that he also doesn't know what exactly he's claiming.

Rachel Maddow (the only single person I listen to) talks about Rove's strategy of making your weaknesses your opponents. There's far more of a conspiracy going on with the right wing media (which isnt the say there is one), so it's time to try and make this Obama's weakness, by making shit up.

Romney disgusts me, if that's not obvious. The man's vile.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 18, 2012, 11:28:18 AM
Vile?  :lol   Come on, man, he's not that bad.  He's just a typical lying politician trying to unseat a sitting president.  He really wasn't too terrible of a governor here in MA and as much as he hates the Democrats to talk about it, his health care plan is working here.  At least our costs have risen more slowly than the national average.

I don't know, to me, if you're going to start using that kind of provocative terminology when describing your political opponent, you've really only succeeded in sinking to their level.

I have strong disagreement with him on policy and with positions he's retaken taken untaken and I would rather not see him get elected, but I just don't think a guy who has been married to the same woman for 43 years and has raised 5 kids needs to be called "vile" just because we disagree with him.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 18, 2012, 03:10:32 PM
Ya, but you see, it's not that I politically disagree with him. This is a matter of what the man says and does tactically to become President. He's on the same level as someone like Glenn Beck, or Karl Rove. Look, I know it takes ambition to become President, but there are Presidents and people who seem genuine in their desire to help other People, or stick up for some Principle. Mitt Romney is not one of those people. He doesn't seem to stand for anything.

There are people I disagree with politically much more, whom I have much more respect for. There are conservatives who have actual reasons against the President, many of whom I respect. Unfortunately, they're crowded out of the current Republican party.







Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: XJDenton on April 18, 2012, 06:15:30 PM
It seems to me that running to be a republican president turns moderate, reasonably well respected senators and governors into complete arsehats.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 25, 2012, 10:12:09 AM
Gingrich is out. (https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/04/25/breaking-gingrich-to-end-white-house-bid/?hpt=hp_t1)  I stand corrected on that count.  Didn't think he'd pull the plug on his campaign, but I guess money (or lack thereof) talks.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 26, 2012, 08:40:22 PM
So it's starting to look like there may actually be something to Paul's delegate strategy. No, he has no chance of catching Romney, but he could scoop up enough delegates (including some that many projections are currently crediting to Romney) to force this to the convention, no matter how much Romney pretends to already have the nomination.

Because of how convoluted the process is in caucus states, and because his campaign was the best organized for the actual caucus process, he will get at least half of the delegates in Iowa, Minnesota, and Washington state so far. It could be more, but he is absolutely guaranteed at least half of the delegates in those states. It's very likely this could be the case in most caucus states.

Just when you think the GOP nomination selection process can't get more hilarious, it finds a way.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 26, 2012, 09:14:19 PM
And just when I was starting to get sick of American politics too. :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on April 26, 2012, 09:18:35 PM
Never Say Never, a Ron Paul production




(https://www.damnlol.com/pics/917/6e8f527ca03ca073136f981460f91103.gif)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 26, 2012, 09:22:00 PM
inb4DTFlibertarianshitstorm
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 26, 2012, 09:27:36 PM
So it's starting to look like there may actually be something to Paul's delegate strategy. No, he has no chance of catching Romney, but he could scoop up enough delegates (including some that many projections are currently crediting to Romney) to force this to the convention, no matter how much Romney pretends to already have the nomination.

Because of how convoluted the process is in caucus states, and because his campaign was the best organized for the actual caucus process, he will get at least half of the delegates in Iowa, Minnesota, and Washington state so far. It could be more, but he is absolutely guaranteed at least half of the delegates in those states. It's very likely this could be the case in most caucus states.

Just when you think the GOP nomination selection process can't get more hilarious, it finds a way.

I'm still not sure what he expects to get out of it. I'm still of the opinion that a Paul vs Obama campaign would be better than Romney vs. Obama, but I really don't expect the Republican party to go ahead and nominate someone the party clearly doesn't like too much.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on April 26, 2012, 09:28:53 PM
Paul vs Obama would do a lot of good for the national discourse no matter what the result. Nothing more than a pipe dream, unfortunately.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 26, 2012, 10:15:25 PM
Eh. Romney needs 300 more delegates to get to the absolute majority (and thus the nomination) and there's more than 900 delegates remaining. I don't know what Paul thinks he will get out of him going to the RNC, but it will be the most expensive RNC audience ticket ever, that's for sure.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 26, 2012, 10:19:52 PM
Eh. Romney needs 300 more delegates to get to the absolute majority (and thus the nomination) and there's more than 900 delegates remaining. I don't know what Paul thinks he will get out of him going to the RNC, but it will be the most expensive RNC audience ticket ever, that's for sure.

rumborak

But that delegate count you're relying on for Romney only needing 300 more is a false number. If the system worked like it seems like it should, ya... but this is the Republican nomination process, it's a clusterfuck.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 26, 2012, 10:36:02 PM
I mean, it would be hilarious if the RNC became a clusterfuck, I just don't see it happening. I mean, there's 900+ remaining and Romney has won all 5 states on Tuesday, and there's no reason to believe that will change significantly. Romney will have a pretty good safety margin by the time the RNC comes around. Ron is running out of money anyway.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 27, 2012, 12:30:10 AM
You seem unaware of the actual process. The system mirrors the electoral college, in that the people and their vote don't actually matter. The electors, or in this case delegates, are chosen by rules which vary state to state, and is separate from the primaries or caucuses. In this case, Paul has been claiming for a while that the delegates going to the convention to actually vote for Paul or Romney are much more in support of him than Romney. This completely changes the delegate math, and thus completely changes the actual election.

I mean, look at the last Presidential Election. Electorally, it was a landslide. In terms of popular vote, there wasn't that much difference. Or how about 2000, even ignoring debating the horrible Supreme Court decision, Gore won the popular vote nation wide, but lost the election.

The media, and most of the people reporting on the matter, don't actually get into the details.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 27, 2012, 05:06:03 AM
You seem unaware of the actual process. The system mirrors the electoral college, in that the people and their vote don't actually matter. The electors, or in this case delegates, are chosen by rules which vary state to state, and is separate from the primaries or caucuses. In this case, Paul has been claiming for a while that the delegates going to the convention to actually vote for Paul or Romney are much more in support of him than Romney. This completely changes the delegate math, and thus completely changes the actual election.

I mean, look at the last Presidential Election. Electorally, it was a landslide. In terms of popular vote, there wasn't that much difference. Or how about 2000, even ignoring debating the horrible Supreme Court decision, Gore won the popular vote nation wide, but lost the election.

The media, and most of the people reporting on the matter, don't actually get into the details.

True to form for the party, of course.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on April 27, 2012, 06:00:55 AM
Super delegates? Both parties have retarded nomination processes
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on April 27, 2012, 06:38:24 AM
It's a bird! It's a plane! It's SUPER DELEGATE!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 27, 2012, 09:22:29 AM
One example of projections vs actual delegate numbers;

In Washington (the state), most projections have Romney getting 30 delegates, and Paul and Santorum getting 5 each.
In the actual count, Paul will receive at least 20 of the delegates. This means that Romney's total in that state alone is at least 10 to 15 lower than most counts have it at.

Now, this is just in caucus states, so Romney will definitely still have a strong lead no matter what the final numbers actually look like, but when the dust settles, he may be short of 1144. Yes, it's very possible that he will reach 1144, but it's not a certainty.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 27, 2012, 10:59:14 AM
Honestly, I believe it when I see it. I just can't imagine the GOP allowing to be made a mockery of themselves with that ass-backwards delegate scheme.

The real question still remains however: Does RP think he can force his way into nomination? I mean, it is brutally clear that his support among the Republicans doesn't exceed 15%. Sorry buddy, but with 15% you just don't get to be the presidential nominee. Cry yourself to sleep if that what it takes, but you can't force to get what doesn't belong to you.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on April 27, 2012, 11:28:00 AM
I am about as sure that Mitt Romney will be the Republican nominee for President as I am that I am a boy.

All this talk of delegate strategies and counts being off isn't, at the end of the day, going to matter to the final outcome.

It'll be Romney -v- Obama

And according to Karl Rove (https://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2012/04/26/map_of_the_day_karl_rove_on_the_electoral_college.html), Obama will win in what amounts to a landslide.

Not sure if the turd blossom is trolling liberals with that map or not  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: J51 on April 27, 2012, 11:35:13 AM
Paul's goal right now is to get the 2nd most delegates, surpassing Gingrich and Santorum, which would give him a major speaking role at the Republican National Convention. This would be huge for libertarians and would be the exclamation point on this "liberty movement".

Another note is that Romney and Paul actually became good friends on the campaign trail, and it is likely that Romney would listen to Ron Paul with regards to certain spending cuts.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on April 27, 2012, 11:39:18 AM
But definitely not with regards to the good things about his views
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on April 27, 2012, 11:44:27 AM
Paul's goal right now is to get the 2nd most delegates, surpassing Gingrich and Santorum, which would give him a major speaking role at the Republican National Convention. This would be huge for libertarians and would be the exclamation point on this "liberty movement".

Another note is that Romney and Paul actually became good friends on the campaign trail, and it is likely that Romney would listen to Ron Paul with regards to certain spending cuts.

Until Romney's masters at Goldman Sachs make him flip flop...again.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 27, 2012, 12:08:42 PM
Another note is that Romney and Paul actually became good friends on the campaign trail, and it is likely that Romney would listen to Ron Paul with regards to certain spending cuts.

I don't see how Romney could get much information from RP regarding that. Romney would try to identify branches that could be cut with the best cost-benefit ratio. RP doesn't care, he just want to nuke the federal government. The conversation would go like this:

Romney: "Hey Ron, you looked at cutting spending. What did you identify as the most wasteful?"
Paul: "The federal government."
Romney: "No, I mean what parts? I assume you prioritized?"
Paul: "Dunno. Kill 'em all I say."
Romney: "K, Ron. Why don't you sit down and get another Slurpee. I'll be back in just a sec."

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 27, 2012, 12:43:17 PM
You seem unaware of the actual process. The system mirrors the electoral college, in that the people and their vote don't actually matter. The electors, or in this case delegates, are chosen by rules which vary state to state, and is separate from the primaries or caucuses. In this case, Paul has been claiming for a while that the delegates going to the convention to actually vote for Paul or Romney are much more in support of him than Romney. This completely changes the delegate math, and thus completely changes the actual election.

I mean, look at the last Presidential Election. Electorally, it was a landslide. In terms of popular vote, there wasn't that much difference. Or how about 2000, even ignoring debating the horrible Supreme Court decision, Gore won the popular vote nation wide, but lost the election.

The media, and most of the people reporting on the matter, don't actually get into the details.

True to form for the party, of course.

Democratic process might work and run a little differently, but same principle.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 27, 2012, 02:23:58 PM
Another note is that Romney and Paul actually became good friends on the campaign trail, and it is likely that Romney would listen to Ron Paul with regards to certain spending cuts.

I don't see how Romney could get much information from RP regarding that. Romney would try to identify branches that could be cut with the best cost-benefit ratio. RP doesn't care, he just want to nuke the federal government. The conversation would go like this:

Romney: "Hey Ron, you looked at cutting spending. What did you identify as the most wasteful?"
Paul: "The federal government."
Romney: "No, I mean what parts? I assume you prioritized?"
Paul: "Dunno. Kill 'em all I say."
Romney: "K, Ron. Why don't you sit down and get another Slurpee. I'll be back in just a sec."

rumborak

I would love to see that as a political cartoon. :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 27, 2012, 04:12:04 PM
Another note is that Romney and Paul actually became good friends on the campaign trail, and it is likely that Romney would listen to Ron Paul with regards to certain spending cuts.

I don't see how Romney could get much information from RP regarding that. Romney would try to identify branches that could be cut with the best cost-benefit ratio. RP doesn't care, he just want to nuke the federal government. The conversation would go like this:

Romney: "Hey Ron, you looked at cutting spending. What did you identify as the most wasteful?"
Paul: "The federal government."
Romney: "No, I mean what parts? I assume you prioritized?"
Paul: "Dunno. Kill 'em all I say."
Romney: "K, Ron. Why don't you sit down and get another Slurpee. I'll be back in just a sec."

rumborak

I'm not entirely sure that's true. There were a couple of times in the debates where Paul made moderate compromises, or at least hinted that it would be reasonable. I remember for sure he mentioned something about costs related to foreign troops, and how we could use half that money to pay down the debt, and the other half can go to our social safety nets.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 27, 2012, 05:49:10 PM
Hmm, that must have escaped me, and it's also a moderation that was neither in his ads nor amongst his followers. So, if he has actually inklings of moderation, he utterly failed on emphasizing on them.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 27, 2012, 06:57:02 PM
Hmm, that must have escaped me, and it's also a moderation that was neither in his ads nor amongst his followers. So, if he has actually inklings of moderation, he utterly failed on emphasizing on them.

rumborak

Well, let's put it this way... I remember him doing it, becuase it was so contrary to most of his message and the standard libertarian mantra. I saw it early on, and it made me hopeful he would expand upon that message, but he doesn't seem to have done so.

So, I'm not entirely sure what he would do, but the way he said it felt genuine, and as if he would prefer something get done over nothing.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 27, 2012, 09:18:10 PM
It doesn't matter, really. I mean, even if he somehow managed to win the primary and by some impossible chance actually beat Obama, he'd have more trouble getting anything done than his predecessor has. And if the Republicans seem wary of him, just wait until the Democrats get a whiff.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 28, 2012, 05:54:54 PM
So, apparently Romney warns against the Soviet threat. Amazing.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on April 28, 2012, 06:25:58 PM
Apparently it was his national security advisors not him. But still, wtf.

Quote
"We are seeing the Soviets pushing into the Arctic with no response from us. In fact the only response from us is to announce the early retirement of the last remaining ice breaker," Lehman said.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 28, 2012, 06:38:34 PM
I'm really more reacting to the language. "Soviets", seriously? I guess that includes Poland and Moldova?
The Soviets haven't existed since 1991.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on April 28, 2012, 06:51:00 PM
Also on the note of countries that no longer exist,

Quote from: https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/04/26/romneys-campaign-brings-up-soviet-threat/
"You know, Russia is another example where we give and Russia gets, and we get nothing in return," he said. "The United States abandoned its missile defense sites in Poland and Czechoslovakia, yet Russia does nothing but obstruct us, or efforts in Iran and Syria."

Czechoslovakia split into two countries–the Czech Republic and Slovakia–in 1993.

Neither country served as a site for the proposed U.S. missile defense system. The U.S. wanted to put part of the system in the Czech Republic, but the country's prime minister canceled a vote in 2009 that would allow the move to take place.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 28, 2012, 07:12:26 PM
Jeez, what decade does the guy live in?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 29, 2012, 04:43:42 AM
The one where he can get all the conservative votes. This may be hard to believe, but there are many Americans in this country who still wanna nuke the shit out of the "Soviets" like so:

(https://www.ratemoviescenes.com/img/vg_strangelove_bomb.jpg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on April 30, 2012, 08:42:47 AM
But it's a hell of a dangerous territory to tread on, because immediately the Palin comparisons will come up.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on April 30, 2012, 04:03:45 PM
there is a definite slant of political ideology on this forum. I'm pretty sure Romney is going to run away with the election. I don't have to argue anything other than people are sick of Obama. Well, if the 2010 elections are still to be looked at, anyway.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 30, 2012, 04:27:35 PM
1994 saw Bill Clinton lose a LOT of House Seats. 1996 saw Bill Clinton fairly easily win re-election. I believe at this time, Clinton even had lower approval ratings than Obama. I know for sure that Bush had lower approval ratings than Obama does when he won in 2004. Historically speaking, Obama is fairly comfortable in terms of approval ratings.

Maybe people are sick of Obama because they've heard nothing but negativity and slander about him from the media and the Republican candidates? Let's wait to see how people feel once the average person is reacquainted with the man.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: skydivingninja on April 30, 2012, 04:32:08 PM
Even if people were sick of Obama, they can take just one look at all the nutty Republicans that the media is shoving in their faces and turn the hell around back to him.  Obama's got it easy unless Mitt Romney somehow turns our poop into gold, and brings Jesus back to Earth.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 30, 2012, 04:49:11 PM
1994 saw Bill Clinton lose a LOT of House Seats. 1996 saw Bill Clinton fairly easily win re-election. I believe at this time, Clinton even had lower approval ratings than Obama. I know for sure that Bush had lower approval ratings than Obama does when he won in 2004. Historically speaking, Obama is fairly comfortable in terms of approval ratings.

Maybe people are sick of Obama because they've heard nothing but negativity and slander about him from the media and the Republican candidates? Let's wait to see how people feel once the average person is reacquainted with the man.


I've noticed that about the presidential power of public image, by the way. I got it from learning about early medieval Europe actually, how for early Europeans the power and prestige of their king rested pretty much in their being able to see him regularly, so they could get an idea of who was running the realm. Even after almost 2000 years, nothing's changed.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on April 30, 2012, 04:56:09 PM
Republicans aren't "nutty". Just because you disagree with them doesn't qualify them as "nutty".
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on April 30, 2012, 07:50:52 PM
Republicans aren't "nutty". Just because you disagree with them doesn't qualify them as "nutty".

Conservative aren't nutty. Modern day Republicans are. Why? Because they're running from legislation and policies they use to hold, simply becuase a Democrat and a black man are proposing them.

1994 saw Bill Clinton lose a LOT of House Seats. 1996 saw Bill Clinton fairly easily win re-election. I believe at this time, Clinton even had lower approval ratings than Obama. I know for sure that Bush had lower approval ratings than Obama does when he won in 2004. Historically speaking, Obama is fairly comfortable in terms of approval ratings.

Maybe people are sick of Obama because they've heard nothing but negativity and slander about him from the media and the Republican candidates? Let's wait to see how people feel once the average person is reacquainted with the man.


I've noticed that about the presidential power of public image, by the way. I got it from learning about early medieval Europe actually, how for early Europeans the power and prestige of their king rested pretty much in their being able to see him regularly, so they could get an idea of who was running the realm. Even after almost 2000 years, nothing's changed.

FDR had his fireside chats. The problem is, our media is irresponsible, scandal and tabloid driven. You'll only hear about the President if he says something you can possibly pick apart, or if an opponent says something bad about the President, regardless of it's true. This is also easily a problem on too many choices - too many channels to watch, too much internet, etc. People watch what they want more than just whats on.

The best I can see that we have of this now are the debates. In the debate, Obama will make a fool of Romney. He's more personable, MUCH more personable, and it's an environment he finds himself completely comfortable in. It's funny, cause Republicans used to attack him for using a teleprompter, but I've always felt Obama is at his best when he's just speaking the contents of his mind. He knows a lot of facts, and I don't think he's going to let Romney distort his record, to the extent Romney has been distorting his record.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on April 30, 2012, 07:58:48 PM
Republicans aren't "nutty". Just because you disagree with them doesn't qualify them as "nutty".
The problem is, many of the most vocal/visible Republicans currently out there aren't even Republicans anymore. Their goal is no longer to promote and implement certain policies or ideas; it's to disagree with the Democrats on everything, no matter what. The sheer amount of complete bullshit they throw at the Democrats and the President is something that any sane person should be ashamed to be associated with. It's why Jon Huntsman recently left the Republican party; he recounted being up on the debate stage, looking at his opponents, and thinking (to paraphrase, my wording), "What the fuck is going on?".

If Reagan were to run for the GOP nomination today, he'd be chased off stage and called a radical leftist. Eisenhower would be far too liberal for them. Teddy Roosevelt would be a socialist hippie in their eyes.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: skydivingninja on April 30, 2012, 08:27:11 PM
Republicans aren't "nutty". Just because you disagree with them doesn't qualify them as "nutty".

Not saying all Republicans are nutty.  Heck, I identify more as a conservative than not, but when the media shoves people like Santorum, Gingrich, and Romney in our faces, I can see a lot of normal people getting fed up with them.  Who do you pick?  The serial adulterer?  The uber-right man of God who shoves his religion in your face (losing pretty much every single Jewish and Muslim vote in the process), or the man who can't seem to make up his mind on what he does or doesn't support.  Republicans aren't even excited about these guys.  There's also the whole "stop everything democrats and Obama are trying to do because fuck them that's why" thing in Congress that I think people are starting to notice.  I have a feeling that most people don't like the fact that the government is so divided across party lines, and its easy to see that Republicans are largely to blame for that.  It doesn't help that this uber-right agenda people like Perry and Santorum have been pushing sullies general opinion of them even more. 

So yeah, lots of mainstream Republicans, in my mind, are pretty nutty, and I think a lot of moderates can't get behind them for many of the reasons I just outlined.  If someone like Jon Huntsman or Gary Johnson was in the forefront though, believe me I'd be on the front lines campaigning for them. 

TL: I don't think Huntsman has officially left yet.  I'd be surprised if he did, actually.  Third party candidates are doomed from the start, even if it would be great if they existed. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on April 30, 2012, 08:32:05 PM
And it doesn't help that when confronted with their faults by Republican constituents, the stock response basically boils down to, "At least I'm better than Obama!" It's fine if you don't like Obama, but a candidate being not Obama should not be the only reason you vote for someone. Heck, it shouldn't be the main reason for choosing someone else, particularly when the alternative is most likely worse.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on May 01, 2012, 04:11:07 AM
Quote from: TL
If Reagan were to run for the GOP nomination today, he'd be chased off stage and called a radical leftist. Eisenhower would be far too liberal for them. Teddy Roosevelt would be a socialist hippie in their eyes.

Don't forget about Lincoln...

There are a lot of you guys here who agree with each other, and I notice the lack of right side participation in discussions tends to lead more of a one sided talk where the comments "repubz r dum LLLLLL" come out. Actually, it's rarely that stupid. But, I was just wanted to say "hey, they're not nutty".







Ron Paul and Santorum are, however.  :footloose:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: skydivingninja on May 01, 2012, 07:35:58 AM
Obligatory "well that's just, like, your opinion, man"
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 01, 2012, 07:39:54 AM
It's also somewhat bizarre to have the average opinion described as leftist here. Except a few people here, most I would describe as center. It's just that the American right has become so extreme lately. A fact Romney is struggling with.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 01, 2012, 09:45:33 AM
It's also somewhat bizarre to have the average opinion described as leftist here. Except a few people here, most I would describe as center. It's just that the American right has become so extreme lately. A fact Romney is struggling with.

rumborak

It's also somewhat bizarre to have factual argument labeled as "leftist." Of course, in our society, scientific economics is labeled socialism, so that really tells you something.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 01, 2012, 09:52:13 AM
https://news.yahoo.com/romney-tells-obama-back-off-bin-laden-issue-120710947.html

Quote
Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney is calling on President Barack Obama to not let the killing of Osama bin Laden become a "politically divisive event."

Romney says Obama can rightfully take credit for bin Laden's downfall. But he says it was "very disappointing for the president to try to make this a political item" by suggesting he wouldn't have ordered the raid, saying, "Of course I would have."

I think Obama played this card too early, personally, but it's really funny to see Romney squirm with this one. Who are we to believe, the you now who says you would've ordered the raid, or the you in 2008 who said you would not attack inside Pakistan, which is exactly what Obama said he would do and did?

I think this is a valid criticism, considering Romney's stated stance on the issue, and what Obama specifically did to get this done.

It's really funny to see Romney bitching and moaning so earlier. It's "unfair" that Romney's foreign policy sucks, and was wrong.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on May 01, 2012, 09:56:18 AM
Obligatory "well that's just, like, your opinion, man"

yeah, I know  :laugh:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 01, 2012, 10:08:42 AM
Romney's whining about the bin Laden anniversary is pathetic, but to be expected. Suck it up, Romney, had it happened under your watch there would be parades and flyovers.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 01, 2012, 10:21:27 AM
Sad but true.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 01, 2012, 12:36:45 PM
Romney's whining about the bin Laden anniversary is pathetic, but to be expected. Suck it up, Romney, had it happened under your watch there would be parades and flyovers.

rumborak

It really paints him as a sore loser.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 01, 2012, 01:01:45 PM
Actually, I think Obama made a mistake by bringing it up at all.  It would have come up in the debates organically. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on May 01, 2012, 01:08:28 PM
Actually, I think Obama made a mistake by bringing it up at all.  It would have come up in the debates organically. 
Agreed.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 01, 2012, 01:15:25 PM
Actually, I think Obama made a mistake by bringing it up at all.  It would have come up in the debates organically. 
Agreed.

Well, it'll still come up in the debates anyways.

What I think it says more, is that Obama is planning on running on his foreign policy. That's a record Romney can't touch, and somewhere where Obama has much more experience.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 01, 2012, 01:34:50 PM
Queue complaints (somewhat justified, imo) of Obama now gloating about killing Osama Bin Laden (https://www.cnn.com/2012/05/01/politics/afghanistan-obama/index.html?hpt=hp_t1)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 01, 2012, 01:42:53 PM
Actually, I think Obama made a mistake by bringing it up at all.  It would have come up in the debates organically. 
Agreed.

Would it? Not any time soon though. Debates are looong away still, and would not have had the same impact as reminding people right now.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on May 01, 2012, 02:09:53 PM
Huh? I'm sure the news would have taken care of it for him. They love anniversaries and shit like that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on May 01, 2012, 02:45:42 PM
Anyway, Since Bin Laden's death:

Quote from: Greenwald
In the wake of Osama bin Laden’s summary execution one year ago, many predicted that the War on Terror would finally begin to recede. Here’s what has happened since then:

*With large bipartisan majorities, Congress renewed the once-controversial Patriot Act without a single reform, and it was signed into law by President Obama; Harry Reid accused those urging reforms of putting the country at risk of a Terrorist attack.

* For the first time, perhaps ever, a U.S. citizen was assassinated by the CIA, on orders from the President, without a shred of due process and far from any battlefield; two weeks later, his 16-year-old American son was also killed by his own government; the U.S. Attorney General then gave a speech claiming the President has the power to target U.S. citizens for death based on unproven, secret accusations of Terrorism.

* With large bipartisan majorities, Congress enacted, and the President signed, a new law codifying presidential powers of worldwide indefinite detention and an expanded statutory defintion of the War on Terror.

* Construction neared completion for a sprawling new site in Utah for the National Security Agency to enable massive domestic surveillance and to achieve “the realization of the ‘total information awareness’ program created during the first term of the Bush administration.”

* President Obama authorized the use of “signature” drone strikes in Yemen, whereby the CIA can target people for death “even when the identity of those who could be killed is not known.”

* The U.S. formally expanded its drone attacks in Somalia, “reopening a base for the unmanned aircraft on the island nation of Seychelles.”

* A U.S. drone killed 16-year-old Pakistani Tariq Aziz, along with his 12-year-old cousin, Waheed, three days after the older boy attended a meeting to protest civilian deaths from U.S. drones (another of Tariq’s cousins had been killed in 2010).

* NATO airstrikes continued to extinguish the lives of Afghan children; in just the last 24 hours, 5 more Afghan children were killed by the ongoing war.

* The FBI increased its aggressive attempts to recruit young Muslim-American males into Terror plots which the FBI concocts, funds, encourages, directs and enables, while prosecuting more and more Muslims in the U.S. for crimes grounded in their political views and speech.

Go team.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 01, 2012, 03:06:41 PM
I'm against most of the policies in place, but it feels as if that person is trying to make War unconstitutional, or unlawful, or something. Specifically:

Quote
For the first time, perhaps ever, a U.S. citizen was assassinated by the CIA, on orders from the President, without a shred of due process and far from any battlefield; two weeks later, his 16-year-old American son was also killed by his own government; the U.S. Attorney General then gave a speech claiming the President has the power to target U.S. citizens for death based on unproven, secret accusations of Terrorism.
...
President Obama authorized the use of “signature” drone strikes in Yemen, whereby the CIA can target people for death “even when the identity of those who could be killed is not known.”

The U.S. formally expanded its drone attacks in Somalia, “reopening a base for the unmanned aircraft on the island nation of Seychelles.”
...


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on May 01, 2012, 03:43:36 PM
What is objectionable about those things being objectionable?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 01, 2012, 03:57:19 PM
Because they're not unlawful or unconstitutional? Never said they weren't objectionable, I'm just commenting on how the author arranged and phrased those objections.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: skydivingninja on May 01, 2012, 05:44:53 PM
You see nothing wrong or unlawful about assassinating your own citizens without due process?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 01, 2012, 06:01:24 PM
What is this assassination thing referring to?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 01, 2012, 08:11:12 PM
You see nothing wrong or unlawful about assassinating your own citizens without due process?

When said person is committing treason, and activity engaging in what can most closely be called warfare, then ya, due process doesn't involve a court appearance. It's pretty ridiculous to say that this is "assassinating" an American "citizen."

Fuck, Lincoln was responsible for hundreds of thousands of American lives being killed. It's called War.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on May 01, 2012, 08:40:36 PM
Treason isn't just some conclusion that the President can arrive at. Its parameters are in Article 3 of the Constitution. Usually we hold trials to figure out what someone is or isn't responsible for before we, uh, kill him. If something like this can be justified as part of the War on Terror, what isn't justified? And this nebulous "war" will never end as our foreign policy only reinforces hatred of our country. So are these targeted assassinations always going to be justifiable?


I'd love for Obama and Romney to be asked, "How do you end a war on terror?" at one of their debates.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 01, 2012, 08:49:51 PM
What is this assassination thing referring to?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 01, 2012, 09:03:36 PM
I'd love for Obama and Romney to be asked, "How do you end a war on terror?" at one of their debates.

Even as a huge supporter of Obama, I would definitely like to see this as well.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on May 01, 2012, 09:18:03 PM
What is this assassination thing referring to?

rumborak
https://articles.latimes.com/2011/oct/01/world/la-fg-awlaki-killed-20111001-57
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: skydivingninja on May 01, 2012, 09:25:10 PM
You see nothing wrong or unlawful about assassinating your own citizens without due process?

When said person is committing treason, and activity engaging in what can most closely be called warfare, then ya, due process doesn't involve a court appearance. It's pretty ridiculous to say that this is "assassinating" an American "citizen."

Fuck, Lincoln was responsible for hundreds of thousands of American lives being killed. It's called War.

That's a horrible comparison.  The civil war was a clearly defined war with a clearly defined enemy, with lives being lost on the battlefield.  Two sides engaging in armed conflict.  That's actual war. 

Now this situation is nothing like that.  The CIA, with Obama's approval, targeted a citizen and assassinated him without bringing him to trial.  You find an American citizen has ties to terrorist groups?  You arrest the motherfucker and put him on trial.  You have proof, great, prove it then kill him.  Its not like he was holding up a convenience store when he was killed.  The crime hadn't happened yet.  As Antigoon said, that right to due process is in the constitution.  He could have been planning to burn my parents alive for all I know, but that doesn't make what happened to him lawful or right. 

I also would love to see both candidates give an honest answer to really "ending" the war on terror.  See if any of them are willing to give up the power that Washington has abused.  Chances are they won't be.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 01, 2012, 09:37:01 PM
Just becuase this isn't conventional war, doesn't mean this isn't War. He put up a video, on line for anyone to see, calling for people to take up arms against the US. He actively recruited people to fight the US. Any trial to prove his guilt would have been a complete show trial, seeing as how a defense wouldn't have been mounted.





Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: skydivingninja on May 01, 2012, 09:53:25 PM
Yeah, its war, but this was a US citizen.  He was allowed to be assassinated without trial, against the constitution, against his natural rights, for goodness sake.  That's just plain wrong.  Especially if it would have been an easy conviction, as you imply.  Convict him in a heartbeat, then execute him ASAP.  Problem solved and you do things the lawful way without alienating voters who fear you're increasing wartime powers way more than necessary. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 01, 2012, 10:00:06 PM
Actually it's one of the big problems we still have to deal with in a new kind of war. And normally I don't argue from this perspective because it does basically give Obama and co. the green flag to continue Patriot Act nonsense, but the rules have changed. We're not fighting on battlefields against armies with uniforms anymore. And I don't think it has to scale up to the sort of paranoia and "guilty until proven innocent" insanity of the last eleven years, but it is going to change the legal and military definitions of a civilian and a soldier permanently.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: skydivingninja on May 01, 2012, 10:04:04 PM
And I can understand that, its certainly nothing we've really faced as a country, but there are principles we need to stand by, and not shooting any citizen we think is a secret terrorist ought to be one of them.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 01, 2012, 11:04:10 PM
And I can understand that, its certainly nothing we've really faced as a country, but there are principles we need to stand by, and not shooting any citizen we think is a secret terrorist ought to be one of them.

This is like comparing taxes to me personally going over to your house, pointing a gun at your head, and demanding money. Meaning, it's silly. This wasn't "any citizen," and he wasn't a "secret terrorist." He was a recruiter, he was open about what he did and what he thought, and anyone with an internet connection can verify that.

Ya know, Lincoln suspended habeus corpus. Lincoln is perhaps the worst offender of personal and civil liberties in this countries history. Notice how history has sorta overlooked that aspect of his Presidency? And notice how those fears about what would happen in the future, that this sets some sort of Precedent, hasn't come true? We imprisoned pretty much every Japanese on the western coast in WWII. Notice how it didn't set up some precedent?

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 02, 2012, 05:52:13 AM
And Jews can join the army and settle in the southern states.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 02, 2012, 07:57:19 AM
Yeah, the problem is, how do you have due process and trial for someone who lives in Yemen? Any "trial" you could try to have would be a mockery since the accused can't defend himself. And I'm sure you agree that this loophole can't mean a US citizen can do whatever he wants (including treason) just because he makes a trial impossible. Because otherwise any all Qaeda person would have an entourage of willing US citizens.
Is it a disturbing precedent? Yes. Was there an alternative? I don't think so.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 02, 2012, 08:02:30 AM
I'm a little bit torn on this one.  The dude they whacked with a drone doesn't exactly garner a boat load of sympathy from me as a "United States Citizen" who was "assassinated" to be honest.

I mean, I get the concept that people are concerned about, but not everything is that black and white.  There are always going to be exceptions to some rules and I think when we make ourselves so rigid in our rules that we can't bend them from time to time for good reason, then we're not really doing ourselves any favors.  The case of this terrorist shitbag getting taken out by a drone in a foreign country being couched as "An American Citizen being assassinated without due process" is really very misleading if you don't know the details of the case.  They make it sound like John Q. Citizen was enjoying a nice family dinner somewhere when someone sneaked up behind him and put a bullet in his head for no reason, and that's definitely not what happened with this guy.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 02, 2012, 08:06:55 AM
It's also not too different from someone hiding in a house and shooting around. Soon enough the SWAT team will take you out because the body of evidence is crushing and you are continuing to endanger lives. Those people don't get a trial either before being "assassinated" by the government.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 02, 2012, 08:18:46 AM
That's a pretty good analogy Rumby
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on May 02, 2012, 09:41:34 AM
That's a pretty good analogy Rumby
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 04, 2012, 10:07:14 AM
Saw this just now  (https://www.cnn.com/2012/05/04/opinion/stanley-ron-paul/index.html?hpt=hp_bn7)and thought it was worthy of addition to this thread.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 04, 2012, 10:29:02 AM
The article actually raises an interesting point: How come Paul isn't pro-choice? Seems to me the liberty of self-determination and responsibility for the woman should be paramount.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 04, 2012, 11:47:34 AM
The article actually raises an interesting point: How come Paul isn't pro-choice? Seems to me the liberty of self-determination and responsibility for the woman should be paramount.

rumborak

He's a Republican, seeking the Republican nomination for president.    This is one of the dozens of reasons he could never win that nomination.  His lack of warmongering doesn't help either.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Ħ on May 04, 2012, 12:38:15 PM
Ron Paul spoke at my school yesterday. Apparently he wants us back on the gold standard - I never knew that. Yeah, I'm not voting for this guy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 04, 2012, 12:40:27 PM
Ron Paul spoke at my school yesterday. Apparently he wants us back on the gold standard - I never knew that. Yeah, I'm not voting for this guy.


Which is funny considering how in a TV debate with Paul Krugman he vehemently denied it. :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 04, 2012, 12:48:02 PM
Ron Paul spoke at my school yesterday. Apparently he wants us back on the gold standard - I never knew that. Yeah, I'm not voting for this guy.


Which is funny considering how in a TV debate with Paul Krugman he vehemently denied it. :lol

Apparently he's all over the map with this, because.....

Quote from: RonPaul2012.com
While serving in Congress during the late 1970s and early 1980s, Dr. Paul’s limited-government ideals were not popular in Washington. He served on the House Banking committee, where he was a strong advocate for sound monetary policy and an outspoken critic of the Federal Reserve’s inflationary measures. He also was a key member of the Gold Commission, advocating a return to a gold standard for our currency.
SOURCE (https://www.ronpaul2012.com/who-is-ron-paul/)

Note, however, that it reads "was" not "is"

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 04, 2012, 12:56:49 PM
Yeah, I just think he has no idea what he's talking about. Here's the video for those who are interested:

https://www.bloomberg.com/video/91689761/
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: chknptpie on May 04, 2012, 12:58:45 PM
An interesting video, although I have no idea what attack ad is being referenced. Also the tumblr statement is quite funny.

https://www.upworthy.com/this-is-how-you-kill-an-attack-ad
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: J51 on May 04, 2012, 12:59:42 PM
Is Obama more popular than he should be? I thought this article was pretty interesting: https://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/02/is-obama-more-popular-than-he-should-be/
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 04, 2012, 01:05:55 PM
A very interesting article indeed, and a nice silver lining after all the political negativity of the last three years.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 04, 2012, 01:58:37 PM
Yeah, I just think he has no idea what he's talking about. Here's the video for those who are interested:

https://www.bloomberg.com/video/91689761/

Jeez Louise. Paul got destroyed on that. To put it bluntly, he is a gynecologist rambling about economic policy.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 04, 2012, 03:04:48 PM
Isn't he actually? :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: skydivingninja on May 04, 2012, 03:40:03 PM
The article actually raises an interesting point: How come Paul isn't pro-choice? Seems to me the liberty of self-determination and responsibility for the woman should be paramount.

rumborak

I think he's said that his experiences as a doctor lead him to believe that life begins at conception. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 04, 2012, 03:59:53 PM
Isn't he actually? :lol

That's my point. I read a commentary about the interview where the guy said after listening to Paul it's rather apparent that his economics is mostly a series of assertions, none of which are particularly grounded in evidence. As Krugman himself pointed out later, the problem is that Paul gets away with those statements because there's no way to put a pause on it and check the validity of his assertions. He just rattles on, and unless you do a followup yourself to inform yourself better you'll never know that most of his beliefs are based on "the good ol' days where everything was better. Oh, and government sucks.".

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on May 04, 2012, 08:50:42 PM
Wait, the Roman empire fell because they diluted metal? :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 04, 2012, 09:26:42 PM
Well, he is partially correct: Diocletian's currency policy did financially fuck the Roman Empire over for a considerable amount of time, and in some sense they never did truly recover from it. But the factors behind the fall are much, much more various in nature than simple economic policy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 05, 2012, 06:26:57 AM
In more positive news, RCP polls show Obama consistently tying with Romney if not in the lead. Romney is dropping off in the polls.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on May 05, 2012, 10:45:18 AM
A friend of mine pointed out one of those 'you can't un-see it' things today.
One of Romney's possible VP picks is Bob McDonnell. Now, it probably won't be him after the events of the past couple months, but it it were, the ticket would be Romney/McDonnell.

Don't see it?










(https://www.bioethics.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/ronald_mcdonald_jumping1.jpg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PraXis on May 05, 2012, 08:25:10 PM
You gotta be fuckin' kidding me! You must have broccoli in your ears. Dr. Ron Paul absolutely annihilated that fucking douche, Krugman. It wasn't even close! It was a fucking rape!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 05, 2012, 08:29:38 PM
It's quite remarkable that each side hears what it wants to hear :lol

What I heard in that interview was Paul just reiterating the same factually wrong assertions. He's consistent, for sure, but he's consistently wrong.
What you don't hear apparently is the rambling quality in all of his statements. It's almost like a tape recorder where someone hit the play button.

Oh btw, that "douche" has a Nobel prize in economics. Whatever you might think of him, he's worth listening to. For sure at least as much as a gynecologist's view on the subject, and I would argue a lot more in fact.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 05, 2012, 11:08:35 PM
I'll just go ahead and leave this 'ere:

https://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/06/us-usa-libertarians-idUSBRE8440BZ20120506
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on May 06, 2012, 12:14:00 AM
Quote
Asked about gun control, he said, "I don't know about the rest of y'all, but you don't want to be crawling into my window after midnight."

Sigh.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 06, 2012, 01:09:30 AM
PraXis's real life identity?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on May 06, 2012, 02:25:03 AM
Quote
Asked about gun control, he said, "I don't know about the rest of y'all, but you don't want to be crawling into my window after midnight."

Sigh.
Lol, epic quote.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 06, 2012, 05:50:58 AM
I alway find it amusing when people who are defending/supporting Ron Paul think that it somehow elevates his credibility to put "dr" in front of his name as if a guy who delivers babies is more qualified and/or knowledgeable on fiscal matters than a guy with a Nobel prize in that subject.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 06, 2012, 07:39:20 AM
Ooh, the Johnson nomination must burn for the RP campaign. It's a sign that even those guys don't see much point in voting for Paul.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on May 06, 2012, 07:54:44 AM
Isn't Ron Paul still "trying" to get the GOP nomination, though? Like, was he even a candidate for that?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 06, 2012, 08:07:58 AM
Was he a candidate for the Libertarian party? No, I don't think so. But I'm pretty sure that there was an implicit agreement that the whole Libertarian bloc would vote for Paul if he gets the nomination through the GOP. The fact that the Libertarian Party went on now and announces its candidate I think sends a clear message: Paul is dead, let's find another guy.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 06, 2012, 09:59:54 AM
The latest electoral map from NYT:

https://elections.nytimes.com/2012/electoral-map

I find it really interesting actually, as you get a real sense for the political geography of this country and the how and why of those factors by simply seeing where they are.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on May 06, 2012, 12:11:08 PM
Looking at polling over the past few months, putting Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Virginia as 'tossups' is a bit laughable. Obama has a decent lead in all of those states right now, and has for a while.
Though it is in the best interest of any media outlet to keep the race 'close', so it's not surprising. I'd also say that North Carolina is currently more of a tossup than a GOP lean, but I wouldn't argue that one as much.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on May 06, 2012, 12:31:44 PM
Quote
Asked about gun control, he said, "I don't know about the rest of y'all, but you don't want to be crawling into my window after midnight."

Sigh.

Why that reaction? 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on May 06, 2012, 01:08:16 PM
I alway find it amusing when people who are defending/supporting Ron Paul think that it somehow elevates his credibility to put "dr" in front of his name as if a guy who delivers babies is more qualified and/or knowledgeable on fiscal matters than a guy with a Nobel prize in that subject.

Keep in mind that Obama won a Nobel Prize, 12 days after assuming office no less. Who else has won a Nobel Prize? Al Gore, Henry Kissinger, Menachem Begin… it's not some kind of gold standard. You wanna know why I trust Ron Paul on economics more than Krugman? Aside from his views on the Federal Reserve being correct, he predicted both the recession and the housing bubble. Krugman's predictions have been almost entirely wrong. Every time I see him on the news, he's espousing some kind of phony optimism about the economy, saying that we can just spend our way out of the recession.

People in this thread keep saying that Ron Paul is wrong about economics. I'm curious to hear what he's actually wrong about, because it seems like no one has brought up a specific example.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on May 06, 2012, 01:16:15 PM
Quote
Asked about gun control, he said, "I don't know about the rest of y'all, but you don't want to be crawling into my window after midnight."

Sigh.

Why that reaction? 

1) It says virtually nothing about his actual view on gun control policy, besides that he's presumably for personal ownership of guns in some sense. To take a page out of Barto's book, I could sleep with a bat'leth next to my bed and I'd bet anyone crawling through the window would be sorry. Doesn't mean I'm against gun control.

2) It only furthers the ridiculous rhetoric that always accompanies gun control discussions. Rather than just saying "I support personal ownership of guns" or "I think guns are an important aspect of defending yourself and your family", it's almost always focused on inflicting violence on others. I really don't need or want to hear a presidential candidate (or anyone for that matter) glorifying the hypothetical situation where they get to shoot someone who breaks into their house.

I mean, I'm not a hardcore gun control nut, and I think people should be allowed to own guns in some form. But the rhetoric that surrounds the debate is can be rather disheartening. His statement was pretty tame, but still very much along those lines.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 06, 2012, 02:40:12 PM
I alway find it amusing when people who are defending/supporting Ron Paul think that it somehow elevates his credibility to put "dr" in front of his name as if a guy who delivers babies is more qualified and/or knowledgeable on fiscal matters than a guy with a Nobel prize in that subject.

Keep in mind that Obama won a Nobel Prize, 12 days after assuming office no less. Who else has won a Nobel Prize? Al Gore, Henry Kissinger, Menachem Begin… it's not some kind of gold standard. You wanna know why I trust Ron Paul on economics more than Krugman? Aside from his views on the Federal Reserve being correct, he predicted both the recession and the housing bubble. Krugman's predictions have been almost entirely wrong. Every time I see him on the news, he's espousing some kind of phony optimism about the economy, saying that we can just spend our way out of the recession.

People in this thread keep saying that Ron Paul is wrong about economics. I'm curious to hear what he's actually wrong about, because it seems like no one has brought up a specific example.

I would hardly call saying "There will be a recession eventually" a prediction; anyone idiot can say something will happen some day and be right half the time. Unless you accept like I do the premise that all "predictions" are hoo-hah.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on May 06, 2012, 02:51:14 PM
1) It says virtually nothing about his actual view on gun control policy, besides that he's presumably for personal ownership of guns in some sense. To take a page out of Barto's book, I could sleep with a bat'leth next to my bed and I'd bet anyone crawling through the window would be sorry. Doesn't mean I'm against gun control.

2) It only furthers the ridiculous rhetoric that always accompanies gun control discussions. Rather than just saying "I support personal ownership of guns" or "I think guns are an important aspect of defending yourself and your family", it's almost always focused on inflicting violence on others. I really don't need or want to hear a presidential candidate (or anyone for that matter) glorifying the hypothetical situation where they get to shoot someone who breaks into their house.

I agree with both these reasons.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 06, 2012, 03:38:00 PM
The only thing I rolled my eyes at was the "y'all" part.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on May 06, 2012, 03:56:44 PM
Was he a candidate for the Libertarian party? No, I don't think so. But I'm pretty sure that there was an implicit agreement that the whole Libertarian bloc would vote for Paul if he gets the nomination through the GOP. The fact that the Libertarian Party went on now and announces its candidate I think sends a clear message: Paul is dead, let's find another guy.

rumborak

Libertarian Party has always been around, and they were going to pick a candidate regardless of what Ron Paul did. Ron Paul is a strange figure for libertarians because he inspires a lot of people outside those who would normally vote LP, but they're probably not even going to vote third party anyway.

Then again, LP has never really seemed to try to go broad based, which is where Gary Johnson now comes in though and he has a broad appeal - he's not your typical minarchist.

But in a sense Paul is dead. He has a legendary legacy - he's just never going to become president and that run was really dead after the failure to win Iowa.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 06, 2012, 04:04:42 PM
He has achieved much for his cause in this election. But I can't help but wonder whether he isn't destroying at least some of it by "not getting the drift" so to speak. Santorum got out of the whole thing pretty unscathed and with lots of momentum left (he's in talks apparently with Romney), whereas Paul has zero of that left.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on May 06, 2012, 09:11:21 PM
Santorum didn't have a whole lot of momentum left. He was stumbling near the end. Romney had outpaced him noticeably in states won, popular vote, and delegate count. Going forward, it was looking like Romney would beat Santorum in Pennsylvania, which for Santorum would have been a huge embarrassment.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 06, 2012, 09:24:12 PM
Oh I know, but in the public eye he left on a high note. That is, he didn't let himself get beaten to pulp like Paul did.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 06, 2012, 09:29:43 PM
Oh I know, but in the public eye he left on a high note. That is, he didn't let himself get beaten to pulp like Paul did.

rumborak

Is Ron Paul even in the public eye? Doesn't matter if he's making more of a fool of himself, if no one's looking.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on May 07, 2012, 03:09:44 AM
No one cares about RP anymore because the race has been over for the last 2 months really.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 07, 2012, 07:46:03 AM
I alway find it amusing when people who are defending/supporting Ron Paul think that it somehow elevates his credibility to put "dr" in front of his name as if a guy who delivers babies is more qualified and/or knowledgeable on fiscal matters than a guy with a Nobel prize in that subject.

Keep in mind that Obama won a Nobel Prize, 12 days after assuming office no less. Who else has won a Nobel Prize? Al Gore, Henry Kissinger, Menachem Begin… it's not some kind of gold standard. You wanna know why I trust Ron Paul on economics more than Krugman? Aside from his views on the Federal Reserve being correct, he predicted both the recession and the housing bubble. Krugman's predictions have been almost entirely wrong. Every time I see him on the news, he's espousing some kind of phony optimism about the economy, saying that we can just spend our way out of the recession.

People in this thread keep saying that Ron Paul is wrong about economics. I'm curious to hear what he's actually wrong about, because it seems like no one has brought up a specific example.

He's wrong because he wants to cut spending (in a ridiculously severe way) during a recession.  There are plenty of highly credentialed and learned economists who will tell you that deficit spending (yes, I wrote deficit spending) is how you stimulate an economy to end a recession.  One only need look at history to see how fiscal stimulus can help spark huge economic expansion. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post%E2%80%93World_War_II_economic_expansion) 

Even the non-partisan CBO reports that the Obama stimulus package (https://blogs.ajc.com/jay-bookman-blog/2011/11/23/cbo-reports-stimulus-package-was-a-major-economic-success/) was a major economic success.

So, yeah, Ron Paul is wrong.  Dead wrong.  And it's one of many reasons why he'll never be president.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 07, 2012, 08:00:18 AM
Had totally missed MML's post. Are you seriously dissing Krugman's Nobel Prize? :lol
Especially in the light of RP supporters chanting "Dr. Paul" to transfer his degree in gynecology into credibility elsewhere.
Regarding Obama's Nobel Prize, the Peace Nobel Prize is a joke, everybody knows that. A Nobel Prize in Economics however is a major achievement.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on May 07, 2012, 10:53:01 AM
You know shit is bad when Fareed Zakaria of all people starts speaking out against the national security state. (https://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2012/05/06/national-security-state/)

But of course, this issue won't be addressed in the upcoming months by anyone aside from whatsitsface, uh, Gary Johnson.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: slycordinator on May 07, 2012, 11:15:19 AM
Especially in the light of RP supporters chanting "Dr. Paul" to transfer his degree in gynecology into credibility elsewhere.
FYI: There's no such thing as a degree in gynecology. Gynecology is a specialty for medical doctors (ie people who have a doctorate in medicine).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 07, 2012, 12:10:03 PM
There isn't, but I think it's important to draw a distinction between an internal medicine doctor, and someone doing research in systems biology. Both have a doctor in medicine, but I think one I would give more credence to his understanding of economics.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 07, 2012, 12:12:53 PM
Especially in the light of RP supporters chanting "Dr. Paul" to transfer his degree in gynecology into credibility elsewhere.
FYI: There's no such thing as a degree in gynecology. Gynecology is a specialty for medical doctors (ie people who have a doctorate in medicine).

That has nothing to do with the point being made about the term "doctor" being tossed around in this thread as if it makes Ron Paul a superior candidate for president.  In short, it doesn't.



Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Progmetty on May 07, 2012, 12:50:13 PM
kirksnosehair It is ridiculous I agree, but it's like saying DT fans are drunk metal head deadbeats. No, DT has a lot of drunk metal heads fans, pointing them out as the only DT fans is unfair. I never referred to the guy as Dr. Paul but I never saw others doing it as a sign of political superiority rather than respect, until you pointed that out.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 07, 2012, 01:01:49 PM
I don't think *everyone* does it in an effort to project some sort of superiority, but I think *some* do.  The fact is, those credentials are -in and of themselves- impressive, but being a doctor of internal medicine doesn't necessarily make someone a superior politician or economist.  Ron Paul doesn't say too much different from other politicians of his ideological stripes.  "Smaller government, personal freedoms, etc, etc" is not some breathtaking breakthrough in political philosophy.   The way some people talk about this guy it's as if they think he's the second coming of Christ.  He sure does attract some devoted followers, though.  I'll give him that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Progmetty on May 07, 2012, 06:14:05 PM
I agree about the devoted fans but I never really ran into them, every part of what repels you from him makes sense too.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on May 07, 2012, 08:11:09 PM
Partly because I want to gloat (I called this about three months ago) and partly because this is important:

Quote
America's labour force and the economy
The missing five million

May 4th 2012, 20:55 by G.I. | WASHINGTON, D.C.

..THERE'S a short term and a long-term story in today's job numbers. The stock market did not like the short-term story, and fell sharply as a result. But the short-term news is not as bad as it looks, while the long-term news is actually quite disturbing.

Let me explain. The sharp deceleration in employment growth in the last two months probably does not point to a sudden slowing in economic growth but rather tells us that the more brisk pace of growth earlier this year was unsustainable because much of it was due to warm weather. A useful gauge is the number of people not working because of weather. Morgan Stanley says this tally was unusually low during the winter, but in April it returned to normal levels. This suggests the weather payback effect is largely over.

A second factor technical factor is that there were only four weeks between the March and April periods during which the Bureau of Labour Statistics counted the number of jobs, which often reduces the measured total of new jobs created. And finally, while the decline in employment as measured by the household survey was troubling, it does not portend weakness ahead; household employment has run well ahead of payroll employment in the last 12 months and some retracement was in store.

Now for the bad news. The fact that things were never so great simply reinforces the picture of underlying sluggishness. True, the slide in the unemployment rate – a full percentage point since September – owes mostly to rising employment (as measured by the household survey). But the decline in unemployment has been helped by the failure of the labour force to grow more quickly. After growing for several months, it shrank in April. While it has fluctuated considerably, the labour force is only slightly larger now than in December, 2007, when the recession began. Yet in January, 2008, the Congressional Budget Office reckoned it would be some 5m larger by now, or 159.5m (see chart). What happened to those 5m people? Why aren't they showing up as unemployed? Some are discouraged workers or other people who want to work but aren’t counted as unemployed; but I reckon they account for only one third of the missing 5m.

So what about the others? Is it early retirement? Disability? Returning to school? Illegal immigrants returning home (or failing to enter the country in the first place)? Or were they never there to start with - the labour force simply isn't growing as quickly as we thought it should, for demographic or other reasons? Whichever it is, it is a troubling sign that our economic potential could be a lot lower than we thought just a few years ago. And that's the real bad news from today’s report.

https://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2012/05/americas-labour-force-and-economy?fsrc=scn/fb/wl/bl/missingfivemillion
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 08, 2012, 02:41:45 AM
How many disabled Iraq and Afghanistan vets? How many homeless and suffering from PTSD?

There's not just returning to school, but also staying in school. I know a lot of people getting Masters and Ph. D's, they're almost like what a college degree sounds like it was 30-40 years ago.

In hard times, how many people start getting jobs that pay under the table? Do these jobs get counted in the labor force?

Immigration seems like a good suspect. It made news a little bit ago that the number of illegal immigrants leaving had outpaced the number entering, wonder what legal immigration is like?

Life-style changes. If families became more frugal, then maybe one of the spouses stops looking for a job to be a stay at home parent. Not gonna be true for the poorest of poor, but it could definitely fit some middle class families, and it can save a lot of money.

Why should we necessarily trust the 2008 CBO's estimate? Couldn't they have been way off, overestimating an economies strength during a bubble?

I reckon I have no idea how much this changes the number's, but it seems like all of them combined should have some effect.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 08, 2012, 08:06:48 AM
Eh, economies expand and contract.  This has been happening ever since there was an economy here in the US.  We avoided a depression (personally, I think Dubya's and Obama's stimuli played key roles here) but you don't climb out of the deepest recession in over 50 years as quickly as you may have climbed out of more recent, less severe economic contractions.   I've lived through a bunch of these now and this one is playing out pretty much the same way as all of the others with the exception of the recovery taking longer to gain some traction.  It'll happen, because history shows us that it'll happen.  It's just a matter of time.  ;D

Meanwhile, you've gotta just love the size of Mitt Romney's stones sometimes.  I mean, this is just ridiculous:

Quote from: Mitt Romney, November 18, 2008
IF General Motors, Ford and Chrysler get the bailout that their chief executives asked for yesterday, you can kiss the American automotive industry goodbye. It won’t go overnight, but its demise will be virtually guaranteed.       
Source (https://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/19/opinion/19romney.html)


So then, Dubya bails out GM and Chrysler.  And those bailouts have been extremely successful, with GM reclaiming the mantle of largest automaker on earth and posting HUGE profits last year.

So, now, after saying that bailing out the auto industry would destroy it, Romney goes into spin mode and says this:

Quote from: Mitt Romney lying his ass off at a campaign rally
"I'll take a lot of credit for the fact that this industry's come back," Romney told WEWS-TV (https://www.newsnet5.com/dpp/news/political/Mitt-Romney-says-manufacturing-can-come-back-to-Ohio-and-explains-how) in Cleveland. Speaking after a campaign stop at a metal stamping facility in nearby Euclid, Romney said the industry needed to enter a "managed bankruptcy" process in order to fully recover – and that was what eventually helped American automakers get back on their feet.
Source (https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/05/07/romney-ill-take-a-lot-of-credit-for-auto-industry-success/)

Except, the problem here is yes, technically, there was a bankruptcy, BUT, there was also a bailout, which Romney objected to - warning that the auto industry would be destroyed by it.  And without that bailout, most economists agree that the entire bankruptcy process would not even have been possible because the US government was the only entity in the country at the time that had the available cash to guarantee the huge loans.  Basically, Romney's trying to have it both ways.

This is the kind of ridiculous spin that feeds Romney's image as nothing but a Slick-Willy Magic Snake Oil Salesman



Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on May 08, 2012, 08:45:38 PM
So apparently Ron Paul has received or will receive a plurality of delegates in 8 states now, the latest being Maine, where he will receive 21 of their 24 delegates.

It's not actually enough to change anything, but it's enough that Romney actually felt like he had to release a statement reaffirming his inevitability.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 08, 2012, 09:24:43 PM
And in other news, Ron runs behind a guy who isn't even running anymore.
All RP is achieving is to get a good seat in the RNC.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 14, 2012, 01:14:31 PM
And in other news, Ron runs behind a guy who isn't even running anymore.
All RP is achieving is to get a good seat in the RNC.

rumborak

And in still other news, Ron Paul is scaling back his campaign.  (https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/05/14/ron-paul-campaign-delegates_n_1515614.html)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 14, 2012, 05:21:43 PM
I love going to the Ron Paul Forums after announcements like that. It's a remarkable case study in psychology.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on May 14, 2012, 05:47:32 PM
Haven't visited RPF for like two months, otherwise I would've told you... lol.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on May 14, 2012, 05:59:44 PM
Man, I just went there. There's still people saying that there's vote flipping going on? Really?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 15, 2012, 02:07:07 AM
https://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/romney-campaign-ad-touts-steel-mill-boosted-bain-195535525.html

Quote
Just hours after President Barack Obama's re-election campaign tied Mitt Romney to the bankruptcy of a Missouri steel company, the Romney campaign is out with its own Web video highlighting a steel company it says Romney helped save.

The video, entitled "American Dream," zeroes in on Steel Dynamics Inc., an Indiana company that Bain Capital invested in when Romney worked at the venture capital firm.

Fair enough...

oh wait...

Quote
And it also doesn't bring up the $37 million in government subsidies the company received that contributed to its survival.

 :facepalm:



Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on May 15, 2012, 04:57:15 AM
Ouch.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 15, 2012, 11:01:10 AM
Mitt Pwmney
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 15, 2012, 01:54:46 PM
Evidently, Bain's business practices often put the taxpayers on the line for their decisions. Bain goes in, leverages out a company, and when they fail, taxpayer money ends up dealing with some of the negative consequences.

Romney's nothing but an economic parasite.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on May 15, 2012, 02:34:24 PM
Restructuring is no wrong imo, but him taking subsidies for it is wrong. I mean, I would take free money too if I could, but you can't go around running for president with that on your record :P
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 15, 2012, 02:39:38 PM
You can't go running around for President on a record of being a "free-market capitalist" when you get governmental aide, and when you stick taxpayers with the consequences. I personally have no problems with the subsidies he took advantage of, or really someone using those subsidies to help a steel factory stay in operation, but the level of hypocrisy for Romney would almost be funny, if it weren't so damn serious.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on May 15, 2012, 02:54:27 PM
If he took the subsidies to help one firm succeed, that means the government basically picked a winner or bailed out an industry through Bain. Protectionism through private hands... that's utterly wrong.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 15, 2012, 03:03:06 PM
Eh, we can agree that Romney's a douche without actually getting into how our economic theories differ. Because really, that's a sideshow. It's about the mans hypocrisy, saying one thing and doing another.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on May 15, 2012, 03:12:51 PM
Well, politicians.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 15, 2012, 04:26:53 PM
Spose that makes Dr. Paul a hypocrite and all the other nasty things associated with politicians?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 15, 2012, 05:21:27 PM
Spose that makes Dr. Paul a hypocrite and all the other nasty things associated with politicians?

After all, he is running for office. And running for office implies becoming a politician of some capacity. Not to mention, running for the particular office that he apparently condemns as having too much power.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on May 15, 2012, 08:20:36 PM
Dr. Paul isn't perfect by a long shot. The earmarking thing being one of those issues, where he on principle hates the fact that money is being allocated the way it does and he doesn't vote for the bill. But he makes sure he doesn't vote until the bill is passed, because he can't deny that money from getting to where it's going inside of him.

But he's miles ahead of almost any other politician out there in the US.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 15, 2012, 08:34:42 PM
But he's miles ahead of almost any other politician out there in the US.

And that'd be my point. Trying to wash away Romney's massive, constant lies and hypocrisy as "well, he's a politician," ignores the numerous politicians out there are who are much better, though not perfect.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on May 15, 2012, 08:40:13 PM
I'm not trying to wash it away. I'm just stating... typical politicians. By no means gives him a free pass.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 15, 2012, 08:50:03 PM
Alrighty then, sounded like you were giving it some justification. Personally, I wouldn't use the word "politician," as that's too wide of net; I prefer the words demogogue and charlatan, as they don't implicate more or less honest politicians.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 15, 2012, 10:02:41 PM
I don't think it's something that should be squarely blamed on politicians as it is; human beings in every capacity of life, professional or not, are apt to succumb to the same temptations and corrupting bullshit. The only differences are the consequences of such human failings and how widely publicized they can be (like how the news can cover both a corrupt politician and a corrupt businessman caught in a Ponzi scheme, but the rap those two individuals will get from their actions are widely different given the scope and type of harm they cause).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 19, 2012, 09:23:05 PM
Btw, one of the most stunning features of hardcore RP supporters is the rampant affinity for conspiracy theories. The largest thread on the RP forum was about "algorythmic (sic) vote flipping" (the theory being that Romney people infiltrated counties and switched votes from Paul to Romney according to some algorithm) , and now they are theorizing that Paul got threatened by "the establishment" to force him to suspend his campaign.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 20, 2012, 05:59:08 AM
That takes batshit crazy to a whole new level, I think  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 24, 2012, 01:47:49 PM
Speaking of bat-shit crazy (https://bcove.me/xnrcrss5)  (https://www.kirksnosehair.com/Portals/0/images/smilies/nono.gif)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 24, 2012, 01:57:54 PM
GOP: Pandering to shit-for-brains every day, a bit more.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on May 24, 2012, 03:27:20 PM
Lol. Politics....
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 30, 2012, 10:26:51 AM
Speaking of "LOL Politics"
 :lol :lol :lol :lol :lol :lol :lol
 :lol A-M-E-R-C-I-A  (https://www.cnn.com/2012/05/30/tech/mobile/amercia-romney-iphone-app/index.html?hpt=hp_t2) :lol :lol
 :lol :lol :lol :lol :lol :lol :lol


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on May 30, 2012, 10:36:22 AM
 :rollin :rollin
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Ryzee on May 30, 2012, 10:54:07 AM
Amercia, fukc yaeh!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 30, 2012, 11:29:59 AM
You can't make that shit up, seriously.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on May 30, 2012, 12:41:52 PM
Yeah, I'm guessing heads rolled for that one  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on May 30, 2012, 06:54:50 PM
LOL! That's epic.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 30, 2012, 07:09:58 PM
lolromney

It's too bad, that doesn't have the same ring to it as Ron Lawl or something like that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: King Postwhore on May 30, 2012, 08:03:39 PM
No spell check app for that?! :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on May 30, 2012, 09:09:17 PM
I don't even understand how this can have happened. Was this just one guy slaving away at the app who then pushed it to the store without anyone checking it?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 30, 2012, 09:20:34 PM
Well, America under Romney certainly would come to resemble Mercia...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Riceball on May 30, 2012, 09:33:11 PM
Being cynical/stupid here: did they do it on purpose to get more people to download the app?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on May 30, 2012, 10:57:00 PM
Yeah, I'm guessing heads rolled for that one  :lol

Yes, well we all know Romney likes to fire people.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on May 30, 2012, 11:00:34 PM
Well at least reading this made me happy: https://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/05/30/11969505-former-justice-predicts-cracks-in-citizens-united-decision?lite

And in other news, the right's obsession with bigger and shinier machines with which to torture and mutilate non-whites overseas confounds me: https://nbcpolitics.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/05/30/11960423-obama-defense-official-re-sounds-the-alarm-about-spending-cuts?lite
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Breaking All Illusions on June 19, 2012, 03:07:56 PM
Vermin Supreme 2012. That is all.  :biggrin:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on June 19, 2012, 03:09:29 PM
So when the hell is the vote? I don't even care who wins, I just want it over with already.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 19, 2012, 03:27:54 PM
November.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on June 19, 2012, 03:29:50 PM
God dammit.


Actually the other say I saw a headline about how Romney was going to take a stance on Israel opposite of Obama's. I was like "Hell yea, finally someone will call Israel out on their BS and stop letting them do whatever the hell they want"


Then I read the article.  :facepalm:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 19, 2012, 03:33:41 PM
What ever lead you to believe a Republican would be tough on Israel?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on June 19, 2012, 03:34:53 PM
What ever lead you to believe a Republican would be tough on Israel?

GOD DAMMIT SOMETIMES WHEN THERE'S NO HOPE YOU START HAVING DELUSIONS!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 19, 2012, 03:41:05 PM
I hold up hope for Obama yet on the Israel issue; he may have paid lip service so far but I chalk that up to inexperience.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 20, 2012, 10:57:16 AM
No hypocrisy here (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jJHakkNBZbA&feature=player_embedded#%21), nope, these are not the 'droids you're looking for.

Pretty mind-bogglingly massive hypocrisy there when you take into account that Ron Paul considers Social Security "unconstitutional"

Given the money he has and the money he makes, and all of the overblown hyperbolic nonsense that he and his disciples regurgitate about "principles" and how none of the candidates except him have them, you'd think he'd be a little bit smarter about it and have those checks donated to charity or something.

What a buffoon  :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 20, 2012, 10:58:58 AM
He throws out big words like he doesn't know what they mean.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 20, 2012, 11:09:37 AM
Senile old man is senile (https://www.kirksnosehair.com/Portals/0/images/smilies/tard.gif)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on June 20, 2012, 11:28:51 AM
Point 1:
He's paid into the system for much of his long life, so he should've just refused the social security checks on principle? He's getting his money back... kinda (not really, since he's getting young people's money).

I wouldn't attack him for that, sure he shouldn't have to accept the check because he's pretty well off... but if we're going to use libertarian ethics here, there should be NO problem whatsoever with using any government services WHATSOEVER - GIVEN THAT the service would also be provided in a free market situation. And social security - pension systems, in my mind would clearly exist without the government.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 20, 2012, 12:55:21 PM
He says it's "Unconstitutional"

Then he cashes the checks

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 20, 2012, 01:04:25 PM
Wow, yeah. That was remarkably bad, even for Paul's standards. He should be the absolute first to stop collecting the checks. And for the first minute or so there wasn't even any content in what he said. It was just words strung together.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 20, 2012, 01:16:27 PM
Another realization I just had: capitalism can't be held up as the shining example of freedom and equality, considering it flourished most extensively during one of the most stratified periods in modern history (I refer of course to the 19th and early 20th century).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on June 20, 2012, 02:06:38 PM
Use is not the same thing as consent. And correlation is not the same thing as causation.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 20, 2012, 02:13:50 PM
Use is not the same thing as consent. And correlation is not the same thing as causation.

That's a pseudo-intellectual translation of:  Do as I say not as I do

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on June 20, 2012, 02:39:43 PM
Use is not the same thing as consent. And correlation is not the same thing as causation.

Oh come on. The man isn't god. You're allowed to like him but admit he does things you don't agree with.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 20, 2012, 02:46:08 PM
I have personally found that RP has essentially Jesus level among his followers.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 20, 2012, 03:40:27 PM
If he ever remarks that he's more popular than Jesus, I'm gonna smash all of my records by him.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on June 20, 2012, 03:51:00 PM
I don't believe Ron Paul is perfect or God-like. No man is. It's in fact the anti-Ron Paulites who hold him to a perfect standard by crying "hypocrisy" every time he uses a government service or program. You guys should hold Obama to the same standards and see who comes out looking more ideologically consistent. This instance isn't a good example of "hypocrisy" anyway, because he's just trying to get money out of a system he was forced to pay into. Same thing with the earmark issue people were talking about. Congress already predetermines the amount of money spent on earmarks, so he's just trying to get money back to his constituents.

I happen to disagree with RP on a few issues, chiefly evolution, gay marriage, and abortion. But I'm prepared to look at the bigger picture, and in doing so, I realize that he's the best we got.  You anti-war liberals especially need to realize that he's the only candidate who will bring a swift end to the War. Although Obama said he would, he expanded it to Pakistan, deployed more troops, re-extended the Patriot Act, and kept GITMO open. Funny how you guys don't consider that to be hypocritical.

Oh, and I was directing "correlation isn't causation" at Super Dude, although his comment is also invalidated by the fact that social stratification isn't inherently bad.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on June 20, 2012, 04:05:59 PM
And social security - pension systems, in my mind would clearly exist without the government.

Pensions systems would probably exist, but that wouldn't be social security. A government is much less likely to fail than an individual bank, private company or corporation. Pensions funds would be extremely vulnerable in the "free market." I'd also question the kind of access some people would have, without some sort of government intervention.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on June 20, 2012, 04:35:04 PM
One unfortunate typo in my last post- "the best we've got."

Anyway, I'm surprised no one mentioned the Rand Paul Romney endorsement, which is probably a desperate attempt at getting a VP nomination. This is something that I would consider to be an egregious hypocrisy, in that he's endorsing someone with totally different viewpoints from him. I've lost most of my respect for Rand.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 20, 2012, 05:02:27 PM
You anti-war liberals

Generalize much?

BTW, while this thing was of course rampant hypocrisy, I found really more telling his rambling beforehand. If a babbling old man who's long past his prime is "the best we've go", well, I certainly don't agree with it.
Paulites like to blame everything under the sun; vote flipping, threats against RP, media blackouts, Rand-Romney deals, his campaign managers etc. etc. Just not Ron Paul, because Ron Paul does everything right.
Reality is, Ron Paul did himself in during the debates, and that's why he tanked after Iowa. He was just rambling on every time he got the mic, and soon enough he became the comic relief during debates. "Romney and Santorum have been going at it for a while; let's lighten it up and get the old man to fill the air a bit".

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 20, 2012, 05:25:32 PM
And Obama actually did end a war. It was the one in Iraq, in case you were wondering.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on June 20, 2012, 05:27:18 PM
And Obama actually did end a war. It was the one in Iraq, in case you were wondering.

Yes but then he launched a full scale invasion and colonization of Libya.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on June 20, 2012, 05:39:41 PM
You anti-war liberals

Generalize much?

BTW, while this thing was of course rampant hypocrisy, I found really more telling his rambling beforehand. If a babbling old man who's long past his prime is "the best we've go", well, I certainly don't agree with it.
Paulites like to blame everything under the sun; vote flipping, threats against RP, media blackouts, Rand-Romney deals, his campaign managers etc. etc. Just not Ron Paul, because Ron Paul does everything right.
Reality is, Ron Paul did himself in during the debates, and that's why he tanked after Iowa. He was just rambling on every time he got the mic, and soon enough he became the comic relief during debates. "Romney and Santorum have been going at it for a while; let's lighten it up and get the old man to fill the air a bit".

Ad hominem much? Calling Ron Paul a "babbling old man" adds no more to the discussion than things like "Barack The Magic Negro." I think you'd serve your camp well by toning down the vitriolic personal attacks.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 20, 2012, 05:49:22 PM
I don't think I need to pare down my opinion about a politician. He *is* and old man, and he *is* rambling, and that *is* one of the main reasons why he nixed himself out of the election pretty much right way. (the other being that apparently the first time he actually thought about foreign policy was when he was asked by debate moderators)
EDIT: And if you actually compare some older videos of RP and compare those to current debates, it's brutally clear that he's no longer at the top of his game.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on June 20, 2012, 06:04:46 PM
I'm sure he's under a lot of stress as well. Politicians are not in enviable position. Just look at how much W and Obama aged during their presidencies.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 20, 2012, 06:10:15 PM
I fail to see how that is making Paul's candidacy any more viable. You're telling me RP already can't handle the nomination stress. I daren't imagine what would happen with him during an actual crisis of the country.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 20, 2012, 07:54:13 PM
I'm sure he's under a lot of stress as well. Politicians are not in enviable position. Just look at how much W and Obama aged during their presidencies.

Yeah, he's not even in the presidency yet and he's already an incapable old man!
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on June 21, 2012, 08:05:25 AM
RP's days are over anyway. He's spent half his life in politics and it's impossible to be 100% clean - I mean, some backdoor deals happen in politics and he has to have made some to not be challenged by incumbents in his Texas district and the newsletters is a letdown even though he didn't write it.

Hopefully some new faces will pick up the flag in his place. It certainly won't be Rand though. He is an embarrassment to the movement that got him elected Senator. But everyone should've seen it coming. He was never like Ron, he's a statist. A "Tea Party" style libertarian that isn't anti-war at all either.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 21, 2012, 08:17:14 AM
RP's days are over anyway. He's spent half his life in politics and it's impossible to be 100% clean - I mean, some backdoor deals happen in politics and he has to have made some to not be challenged by incumbents in his Texas district and the newsletters is a letdown even though he didn't write it.

Hopefully some new faces will pick up the flag in his place. It certainly won't be Rand though. He is an embarrassment to the movement that got him elected Senator. But everyone should've seen it coming. He was never like Ron, he's a statist. A "Tea Party" style libertarian that isn't anti-war at all either.

And yet when a Democrat does it, it's unequivocally wrong.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 21, 2012, 09:00:38 AM
And Obama actually did end a war. It was the one in Iraq, in case you were wondering.

Yes but then he launched a full scale invasion and colonization of Libya.

 :rollin
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 21, 2012, 09:26:59 AM
RP's days are over anyway. He's spent half his life in politics and it's impossible to be 100% clean - I mean, some backdoor deals happen in politics and he has to have made some to not be challenged by incumbents in his Texas district and the newsletters is a letdown even though he didn't write it.

The interesting thing is, who actually thought he would have a chance? Clearly he did; but did the people surrounding him really think "Oh yeah, the two previous runs, when you were younger, wittier etc. were just bad luck. This year we're gonna sway the masses".
And his legislative record is abysmal; you can call it unswaying idealism, but what use is a politician who managed to get 1 bill approved of the 620 he proposed through his career? Obama is already struggling to get anything done across the aisles; RP might as well not even show up for work, it would be just as useful.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on June 21, 2012, 10:47:36 AM
RP's days are over anyway. He's spent half his life in politics and it's impossible to be 100% clean - I mean, some backdoor deals happen in politics and he has to have made some to not be challenged by incumbents in his Texas district and the newsletters is a letdown even though he didn't write it.

Hopefully some new faces will pick up the flag in his place. It certainly won't be Rand though. He is an embarrassment to the movement that got him elected Senator. But everyone should've seen it coming. He was never like Ron, he's a statist. A "Tea Party" style libertarian that isn't anti-war at all either.

And yet when a Democrat does it, it's unequivocally wrong.
When did I ever say that Ron was ever right to do this? URGH.

Unbelievable.

The interesting thing is, who actually thought he would have a chance? Clearly he did; but did the people surrounding him really think "Oh yeah, the two previous runs, when you were younger, wittier etc. were just bad luck. This year we're gonna sway the masses".
And his legislative record is abysmal; you can call it unswaying idealism, but what use is a politician who managed to get 1 bill approved of the 620 he proposed through his career? Obama is already struggling to get anything done across the aisles; RP might as well not even show up for work, it would be just as useful.

rumborak

Had he won Iowa, it would've been different. Not enough to carry him nationwide but still. Ron was never the best messenger of libertarianism, that's his biggest flaw. About his legislative record, there's not much to say. Classical liberalism has no place in the west anymore.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 21, 2012, 10:59:34 AM
Had he won Iowa, it would've been different.

I highly doubt it. What might have looked to you (as an RP supporter) as an "almost made the threshold to success", to everyone else he was just yet another anti-Romney blip. Everybody had had his/her day in the sun during the primaries, and the fact that RP actually never even achieved the sizable blip that others achieved spoke volumes.

Quote
About his legislative record, there's not much to say. Classical liberalism has no place in the west anymore.

Why put up a flawed candidate then? Seems to me someone who has Libertarian leanings, but has a track record of getting things done, would have been a far smarter choice. All the general public saw was an old guy who's trying for the third time already, has gotten almost nothing achieved as a politician, and has inklings of senility.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 21, 2012, 11:06:02 AM
Had he won Iowa, it would've been different.

Yep, it would have taken Romney at least 4 more weeks to sew up the nomination.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 21, 2012, 12:36:02 PM
RP's days are over anyway. He's spent half his life in politics and it's impossible to be 100% clean - I mean, some backdoor deals happen in politics and he has to have made some to not be challenged by incumbents in his Texas district and the newsletters is a letdown even though he didn't write it.

Hopefully some new faces will pick up the flag in his place. It certainly won't be Rand though. He is an embarrassment to the movement that got him elected Senator. But everyone should've seen it coming. He was never like Ron, he's a statist. A "Tea Party" style libertarian that isn't anti-war at all either.

And yet when a Democrat does it, it's unequivocally wrong.
When did I ever say that Ron was ever right to do this? URGH.

I never said you said he was right to do so, but you're certainly cutting him more slack than you might a politician from another ideology or party.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on June 21, 2012, 04:11:50 PM
Because he's cleaner. Way cleaner. At least AFAIK.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Breaking All Illusions on June 21, 2012, 04:30:53 PM
I have no idea why people vote. Our votes don't matter. No one votes. I think that people in high levels of government choose the president. They are in it for themseleves and never for the people. People want to give Obama a break because it is hard to clean up the mess made by Bush, but people don't understand that all of this is planned that way. They want things a mess so we are easier to control. They steal all of our money, they steal all of our resources, they kill millions of us through senseless wars and poisons in many things we consume. Is this really a system by the people for the people or are they in it for their own self intrest? Politicans are power hunger, they always want power, the more we support them, the more power they have and the more they control us. I think all of us need to unite and figure out a way to get rid of this government and make sure it never comes back.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 21, 2012, 04:37:54 PM
Because he's cleaner. Way cleaner. At least AFAIK.

Exactly, as far as you know. What I'm trying to say is if you accuse one politician mercilessly for his scandals and pardon another for his, that's not very consistent, and very likely could be labeled as favoritism (read: partisanship).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 21, 2012, 08:34:09 PM
Regarding RP I can't help but be reminded of the quote "Foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds".

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on June 21, 2012, 08:40:10 PM
Still with Ron Paul? Really? :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on June 21, 2012, 08:41:01 PM
Still with Ron Paul? Really? :lol

Is that aimed at people still talking about him? Or his supporters?

It could go either way.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 21, 2012, 08:41:58 PM
Well, I do have to say I have a bit of an obsession with him. Or really rather, his supporters.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on June 21, 2012, 08:44:21 PM
Both, I guess. I wasn't expecting there'd be any more discussion about the guy in this thread, which I suppose was silly of me :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 21, 2012, 09:20:41 PM
Exhibit A:

I have no idea why people vote. Our votes don't matter. No one votes. I think that people in high levels of government choose the president. They are in it for themseleves and never for the people. People want to give Obama a break because it is hard to clean up the mess made by Bush, but people don't understand that all of this is planned that way. They want things a mess so we are easier to control. They steal all of our money, they steal all of our resources, they kill millions of us through senseless wars and poisons in many things we consume. Is this really a system by the people for the people or are they in it for their own self intrest? Politicans are power hunger, they always want power, the more we support them, the more power they have and the more they control us. I think all of us need to unite and figure out a way to get rid of this government and make sure it never comes back.

He is, somehow, still relevant.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on June 21, 2012, 09:21:51 PM
I have no idea why people vote. Our votes don't matter. No one votes. I think that people in high levels of government choose the president. They are in it for themseleves and never for the people. People want to give Obama a break because it is hard to clean up the mess made by Bush, but people don't understand that all of this is planned that way. They want things a mess so we are easier to control. They steal all of our money, they steal all of our resources, they kill millions of us through senseless wars and poisons in many things we consume. Is this really a system by the people for the people or are they in it for their own self intrest? Politicans are power hunger, they always want power, the more we support them, the more power they have and the more they control us. I think all of us need to unite and figure out a way to get rid of this government and make sure it never comes back.

Totally. God damn lizard people.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Breaking All Illusions on June 21, 2012, 10:06:20 PM
About Ron Paul. I like his message, but I don't trust him. You should be weary of all politicans. Every election someone says I am going to bring hope and change, I will do this and that to fix things for the better of the people, but what they promise never comes. No matter how good Ron Paul sounds he could be lying just like the rest of them.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Breaking All Illusions on June 21, 2012, 10:09:41 PM
With that being said, there is one guy you can trust. VERMIN SUPREME 2012! :biggrin:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4d_FvgQ1csE (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4d_FvgQ1csE) :biggrin:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on June 22, 2012, 11:07:24 AM
Romney Stares Uncomprehendingly At $1 Bill (https://www.theonion.com/articles/romney-stares-uncomprehendingly-at-1-bill,28592/)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 22, 2012, 12:16:09 PM
 :lol

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on June 22, 2012, 03:50:21 PM
Whew. I was glad to see that it was Onion. I almost thought it was real. :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on June 24, 2012, 11:09:43 PM
I have no idea why people vote. Our votes don't matter. No one votes. I think that people in high levels of government choose the president. They are in it for themseleves and never for the people. People want to give Obama a break because it is hard to clean up the mess made by Bush, but people don't understand that all of this is planned that way. They want things a mess so we are easier to control. They steal all of our money, they steal all of our resources, they kill millions of us through senseless wars and poisons in many things we consume. Is this really a system by the people for the people or are they in it for their own self intrest? Politicans are power hunger, they always want power, the more we support them, the more power they have and the more they control us. I think all of us need to unite and figure out a way to get rid of this government and make sure it never comes back.
(https://twilight.ponychan.net/chan/files/src/133990821617.jpg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on June 24, 2012, 11:25:12 PM
All politicians want is power, we have to break this cycle by getting rid of them and putting new people in power.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 24, 2012, 11:30:01 PM
The problem isn't the government, it's the public that elect it. For the most part the people who scream for revolution don't even notice the morons they want to put in place instead.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on June 25, 2012, 03:05:47 AM
People who cannot perform their own civic duty to stay informed shouldn't even vote imho.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 25, 2012, 05:08:59 AM
For once, you and I agree completely.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 25, 2012, 08:44:58 AM
One of the major drawbacks of democracy for sure. It places no requirements on the voters essentially. Show up, make a tick mark,and that's it.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on June 25, 2012, 10:02:42 AM
And that's why we're a republic. But I guess you'd argue that still gives too much power to uniformed people?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on June 25, 2012, 02:29:07 PM
That's why we were a republic. A wealthy white male republic, then a white male republic, then we sort of let some black people vote, and then we eventually let women vote, and we begrudgingly became a democracy. At least, in principle, according to this countries legal codes.

But really, a country will be run according to the capabilities of the people living in that country. If the people in a country are informed enough for a democracy, they'll probably end up with a democracy. Revolutions are made this way. If the people of a country become too ill-informed, as they are today, and not capable of having a democracy, than the country won't be a democracy. It'll be corrupted, and it could easily turn into a monarchy, or a oligarchy, or the plutocracy we have now. If the people of this country were to become informed enough, than it could elect the right people, and take control back of the government. The military would almost assuredly make sure this happens (so sort of a revolution, but without actually needing to fight a war).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Breaking All Illusions on June 25, 2012, 03:07:13 PM
I have no idea why people vote. Our votes don't matter. No one votes. I think that people in high levels of government choose the president. They are in it for themseleves and never for the people. People want to give Obama a break because it is hard to clean up the mess made by Bush, but people don't understand that all of this is planned that way. They want things a mess so we are easier to control. They steal all of our money, they steal all of our resources, they kill millions of us through senseless wars and poisons in many things we consume. Is this really a system by the people for the people or are they in it for their own self intrest? Politicans are power hunger, they always want power, the more we support them, the more power they have and the more they control us. I think all of us need to unite and figure out a way to get rid of this government and make sure it never comes back.
(https://twilight.ponychan.net/chan/files/src/133990821617.jpg)

It is a conspiracy. What did I say that was wrong, what did I say that was not obvious?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Breaking All Illusions on June 25, 2012, 03:08:49 PM
All politicians want is power, we have to break this cycle by getting rid of them and putting new people in power.

The new people will eventually end up like the last ones.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on June 25, 2012, 03:09:52 PM
All politicians want is power, we have to break this cycle by getting rid of them and putting new people in power.

The new people will eventually end up like the last ones.

Ah if only life were so black and white. Quite easy to externalize all problems, isn't it?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 25, 2012, 03:27:43 PM
There is a strange allure for some people to consider themselves powerless, at the mercy of outsiders and higher forces, to the point that they will prefer explanations that will give them that feeling over alternative, more benign explanations. Never understood it.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on June 25, 2012, 09:49:37 PM
@Breaking All Illusions

The whole 'your vote doesn't matter, why even bother' thing is just bullshit. Straight up.

I could give you dozens of examples from the last federal election here in Canada where a handful of votes in a few ridings could have seen a completely different party in power right now.

The 2000 US presidential election was ultimately decided by a few hundred votes in Florida.

There are also down-ticket races. There's congressional and senate elections. State senate elections. There are primary elections for most of these things. There are local level elections where your vote has a HUGE impact. There are ballot measures. With almost all of these things, there are people counting on low voter turnout so that they can rally their base and win. If people DID fucking vote, that wouldn't be a reliable strategy. Even better if people bother being even mildly informed first.

So yeah, whenever a first year college student acts like they've stumbled upon this whole notion of 'why bother voting', and acts all superior because of it, it's annoying. It's not profound. You're not the first to have this notion, but every person who has is completely wrong. It's a lazy cop out. "Well, I don't want to bother actually doing anything to try and fix the system, so I'll just pretend it can't be fixed".
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 26, 2012, 05:55:03 AM
@Breaking All Illusions

The whole 'your vote doesn't matter, why even bother' thing is just bullshit. Straight up.

I could give you dozens of examples from the last federal election here in Canada where a handful of votes in a few ridings could have seen a completely different party in power right now.

The 2000 US presidential election was ultimately decided by a few hundred votes in Florida.

There are also down-ticket races. There's congressional and senate elections. State senate elections. There are primary elections for most of these things. There are local level elections where your vote has a HUGE impact. There are ballot measures. With almost all of these things, there are people counting on low voter turnout so that they can rally their base and win. If people DID fucking vote, that wouldn't be a reliable strategy. Even better if people bother being even mildly informed first.

So yeah, whenever a first year college student acts like they've stumbled upon this whole notion of 'why bother voting', and acts all superior because of it, it's annoying. It's not profound. You're not the first to have this notion, but every person who has is completely wrong. It's a lazy cop out. "Well, I don't want to bother actually doing anything to try and fix the system, so I'll just pretend it can't be fixed".

The two big reasons American politics are messed up, ladies and gentlemen.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 26, 2012, 07:55:31 AM
Heard a nice quote from a German politician yesterday:

"There is no rocking chair when it comes to politics. As long as the head is clear you are responsible. "

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 26, 2012, 08:55:11 AM
@Breaking All Illusions

The whole 'your vote doesn't matter, why even bother' thing is just bullshit. Straight up.

I could give you dozens of examples from the last federal election here in Canada where a handful of votes in a few ridings could have seen a completely different party in power right now.

The 2000 US presidential election was ultimately decided by a few hundred votes in Florida.


Well, technically, it was decided by the conservative majority of the Supreme Court long before ALL of the votes could actually be counted, but your point is still valid.  ;)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on June 26, 2012, 11:45:58 AM
Heard a nice quote from a German politician yesterday:

"There is no rocking chair when it comes to politics. As long as the head is clear you are responsible. "

rumborak

I think something's being lost in translation. Or I just don't understand the analogy.

Quote
The whole 'your vote doesn't matter, why even bother' thing is just bullshit. Straight up.

Can't remember exactly how the quote goes, but it something like, pessimism is the status quo's best friend. The surest way to make sure nothing changes, is to think that nothing changes, and that you can't change the system. This particular conspiracy is odd, because if people actually believe it, it actually helps the conspirators.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Progmetty on June 28, 2012, 09:00:58 AM
It's the freakin Cartwrights (https://teamcoco.com/video/romney-brothers) and I love it :lol
MR should really show them off more, they're the only pleasant thing about him I've seen so far heh
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 28, 2012, 09:09:41 AM
Wow, the SCOTUS validates the constitutionality of the Health Care law:

https://www.politico.com/news/stories/0612/77935.html

That comes as a surprise for me, I thought they were gonna shut it down. Does that mean we can move to more important topics now?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 28, 2012, 09:13:43 AM
Not directly related to the election, but Republicans are already screaming because now that the Supreme Court has upheld Obama's healthcare law, they are saying the only way to get rid of Obamacare is to unseat Obama.


And the chairman of the RNC is just basically making shit up (https://news.blogs.cnn.com/2012/06/28/how-will-supreme-court-rule-on-health-care-law/?hpt=hp_t1):


Quote

Saying the high court had set “the stakes for the November election,” Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus said the only way to defeat what the RNC calls “Obamacare” is to elect a new president.


Priebus describes the Affordable Healthcare Act as a “budget-busting government takeover” and says up to 20 million Americans could lose their employer-funded coverage as a result of the act.


“A panel of unelected bureaucrats now has the unprecedented authority to come between elderly patients and their doctors. Meanwhile, the rules and regulations placed on job creators and small businesses make it nearly impossible to hire new workers at a time when Americans desperately need jobs,” Priebus wrote.


1. There are NO death panels as this idiotic statement implies.   The entire bogus claim was considered one of the "Whoppers of 2009" (https://www.factcheck.org/2009/12/whoppers-of-2009/) by Factcheck.org, yet these Republicans continue to regurgitate it at every opportunity.


2. The Healthcare law does not prevent "job creators" from hiring.  That's another boneheaded lie, if it were true, then my company would not have hired 17 people since the law was passed.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 28, 2012, 09:15:32 AM
Wow, the SCOTUS validates the constitutionality of the Health Care law:

https://www.politico.com/news/stories/0612/77935.html (https://www.politico.com/news/stories/0612/77935.html)

That comes as a surprise for me, I thought they were gonna shut it down. Does that mean we can move to more important topics now?

rumborak


Yes, the more important topic (from the Republicans at least) will be how critical it is to unseat Obama so that Mitt Romney can try to get the law repealed.  Problem is, the Democrats are going to retain their majority in the Senate, and they've actually got a legit shot at taking the house, so even if Romney is elected, he's got very little chance of repealing anything.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 28, 2012, 09:15:45 AM
"Death panels" have existed since the beginning of medicine. They're called doctors, who will make judgment calls every day on who to give treatment to in the face of limited resources. Oh, and of course insurances who make the same call, at a different level.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on June 28, 2012, 09:29:04 AM
"Death panels" have existed since the beginning of medicine. They're called doctors, who will make judgment calls every day on who to give treatment to in the face of limited resources. Oh, and of course insurances who make the same call, at a different level.

rumborak
Yeah, the insurance companies are the ones with the death panels.  Whether or not you get your transplant has always been a function of whether or not Aetna can find a reason to exclude you.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sir GuitarCozmo on June 28, 2012, 09:41:41 AM
Not directly related to the election, but Republicans are already screaming because now that the Supreme Court has upheld Obama's healthcare law, they are saying the only way to get rid of Obamacare is to unseat Obama.


And the chairman of the RNC is just basically making shit up (https://news.blogs.cnn.com/2012/06/28/how-will-supreme-court-rule-on-health-care-law/?hpt=hp_t1):


Quote

Saying the high court had set “the stakes for the November election,” Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus said the only way to defeat what the RNC calls “Obamacare” is to elect a new president.


Priebus describes the Affordable Healthcare Act as a “budget-busting government takeover” and says up to 20 million Americans could lose their employer-funded coverage as a result of the act.


“A panel of unelected bureaucrats now has the unprecedented authority to come between elderly patients and their doctors. Meanwhile, the rules and regulations placed on job creators and small businesses make it nearly impossible to hire new workers at a time when Americans desperately need jobs,” Priebus wrote.


1. There are NO death panels as this idiotic statement implies.   The entire bogus claim was considered one of the "Whoppers of 2009" (https://www.factcheck.org/2009/12/whoppers-of-2009/) by Factcheck.org, yet these Republicans continue to regurgitate it at every opportunity.


2. The Healthcare law does not prevent "job creators" from hiring.  That's another boneheaded lie, if it were true, then my company would not have hired 17 people since the law was passed.

Politics is not really my strong suit, so can someone explain to me how people who already have health care through their employer (like me, working for the Commonwealth of PA), could (supposedly) potentially LOSE it because of this?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 28, 2012, 09:57:31 AM
Well, they don't. To my knowledge this doesn't affect employment-insured people at all.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sir GuitarCozmo on June 28, 2012, 10:10:05 AM
So the quoted statement from Priebus about it is even more bullshit? Hmph.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Shine on June 28, 2012, 10:17:32 AM
Found this thread after nearly a year on DTF, thought I'd contribute. I haven't read all ~70 pages, so excuse if this has been said before.

The election isn't a two man race. Gary Johnson has been polling around 6-7% against Romney and Obama. In case you don't know anything about him (I wouldn't be surprised) I'll give you a brief rundown of who he is.

He started his own business and grew it into a multi-million dollar corporation employing over a thousand people. In 1992, he ran for Governor of New Mexico as a Republican and won 50%-40% against the Democratic incumbent in a state that was 2-1 democrat-republican. He vetoed 48% of all legislation that crossed his desk, a national record. Being pragmatic, he initially supported increasing education spending. When state-wide education failed to improve, he renounced his support for that legislation and moved to support school vouchers.

He was reelected 55-45 in 1996. In '99 he became the highest ranking government official to support marijuana legalization. His legacy included no tax increases while he was in office, turning the states budget deficit into a budget surplus, vetoing more legislation than the other 49 contemporary governors combined (1/3 of which were introduced by Republicans, and only 2 of the 750 vetos were overridden).

He's a prolific athlete, competing in numerous Iron Man competitions and he has summited Mount Everest.

He initial ran as a Republican contender for President in 2012, but after being only invited to 1 debate (despite polling higher than Santorum and Huntsman, who were both invited to numerous debates) he dropped out of the Republican race in December and announced his candidacy for the Libertarian ticket. The Libertarian party has ballot access in all 50 States, which means there should be only 3 names on the ballot across the nation (although Michigan may prove troublesome, as the Secretary of State (a Republican, who else sees a conflict of interest?) has declared that Johnson withdrew from the Republican race three minutes too late to be included on the ballot as a Libertarian).

So, that's Gary Johnson.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on June 28, 2012, 10:28:26 AM
Yeah. 6-7%. It's basically nothing. People have been polling at 20% and not won a state.

Gary Johnson is a good guy though.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on June 28, 2012, 10:32:36 AM
I would love to see someone like Gary Johnson have a respectable showing in the election, but you should keep in mind that 3rd parties always poll higher this far from election day. Heck, Bob Barr was polling somewhere around those numbers this far out in 2008, and Johnson is a much better candidate than Barr.

That said, at least with Johnson, they've actually chosen a decent candidate. The man has actually held a fairly high office (governor of New Mexico), and more importantly, actually seems sane.

I mean, I'm still rooting for Obama, but it would be nice for people on the right who aren't going to vote for Obama to have an alternative to Romney.

It's kind of hilarious how transparently the US system is set up to exclude 3rd party candidates from serious contention these days. One of the most blatant things being how they immediately raised the debate qualification requirements from 10% to 15% after Ross Perot got into the debates in 1992.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on June 28, 2012, 10:36:42 AM
On another note, congratulations America on the SCOTUS ruling regarding the Affordable Care Act. From what I've seen, it looks like they actually made the right call.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on June 28, 2012, 10:46:07 AM
So the quoted statement from Priebus about it is even more bullshit? Hmph.
I believe the GOP rhetoric is that employers will abandon their health care programs because the costs will be greater than the penalty.  I have no idea if that'll happen or not (although in your case, being a government employee, it certainly won't).  My hunch is that if the exchange actually works, costs will go down, not up.  In any case, unless the difference between insurance and the penalty is excessive, there's still something to be gained by offering a program. 


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on June 28, 2012, 10:46:35 AM
Here's my new prediction.  My take on it is that Americans will grow tired of this subject very quickly. In a nutshell, the battle's over. Done. Kaput. There's no more fighting to be done, and any talk of repealing it is naive. If Myth wants to run on a platform that's nothing but repealing Obamacare, he's going to run out of support very quickly. People will get back to their real concerns, and misguided as it may be, all they'll care about hearing from him is that he'll created jobs, not go on fighting for a cause that they've already resigned. This is a very dangerous trap for the GOP. They'd be wise to move on, but since their only way of saving face is to spin this as an opportunity to defeat Obama, they'll fall right the hell into it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 28, 2012, 11:08:40 AM
Found this thread after nearly a year on DTF, thought I'd contribute. I haven't read all ~70 pages, so excuse if this has been said before.

The election isn't a two man race. Gary Johnson has been polling around 6-7% against Romney and Obama. In case you don't know anything about him (I wouldn't be surprised) I'll give you a brief rundown of who he is.

He started his own business and grew it into a multi-million dollar corporation employing over a thousand people. In 1992, he ran for Governor of New Mexico as a Republican and won 50%-40% against the Democratic incumbent in a state that was 2-1 democrat-republican. He vetoed 48% of all legislation that crossed his desk, a national record. Being pragmatic, he initially supported increasing education spending. When state-wide education failed to improve, he renounced his support for that legislation and moved to support school vouchers.

He was reelected 55-45 in 1996. In '99 he became the highest ranking government official to support marijuana legalization. His legacy included no tax increases while he was in office, turning the states budget deficit into a budget surplus, vetoing more legislation than the other 49 contemporary governors combined (1/3 of which were introduced by Republicans, and only 2 of the 750 vetos were overridden).

He's a prolific athlete, competing in numerous Iron Man competitions and he has summited Mount Everest.

He initial ran as a Republican contender for President in 2012, but after being only invited to 1 debate (despite polling higher than Santorum and Huntsman, who were both invited to numerous debates) he dropped out of the Republican race in December and announced his candidacy for the Libertarian ticket. The Libertarian party has ballot access in all 50 States, which means there should be only 3 names on the ballot across the nation (although Michigan may prove troublesome, as the Secretary of State (a Republican, who else sees a conflict of interest?) has declared that Johnson withdrew from the Republican race three minutes too late to be included on the ballot as a Libertarian).

So, that's Gary Johnson.


Gary Johnson has as much chance of being elected POTUS as this guy does of being elected Governor of Tennessee
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1hvaeHllwtw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1hvaeHllwtw)



Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 28, 2012, 11:09:54 AM
So the quoted statement from Priebus about it is even more bullshit? Hmph.


He's a Republican


So, yeah.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on June 28, 2012, 11:49:13 AM
Here's my new prediction.  My take on it is that Americans will grow tired of this subject very quickly. In a nutshell, the battle's over. Done. Kaput. There's no more fighting to be done, and any talk of repealing it is naive. If Myth wants to run on a platform that's nothing but repealing Obamacare, he's going to run out of support very quickly. People will get back to their real concerns, and misguided as it may be, all they'll care about hearing from him is that he'll created jobs, not go on fighting for a cause that they've already resigned. This is a very dangerous trap for the GOP. They'd be wise to move on, but since their only way of saving face is to spin this as an opportunity to defeat Obama, they'll fall right the hell into it.

Basically, this week, you've seen two major court victories for Obama. I know that doesn't make a huge difference, but it'll make a big enough difference for the swing vote, I think. It also gives a great contrast with the President, who looks like he's going to try and emphasize where he wants to go from here, and he'll attack Republicans for fighting the same old tired battle, that they in some way, already lost.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on June 28, 2012, 01:27:46 PM
I think one of the biggest strategic mistake 3rd parties tend to make in the US is trying to go straight for the presidency. That will never work, even if you have the greatest candidate ever and the best platform ever, which of course none of them do.

You need to build from the ground up, over a period of time. You need to start basically at the local level, show that you can be trusted with that, over time win some more elected positions, etc. Eventually, make your way up to the federal level, starting with the house. If things go well, and you get a respectable number of people elected there, you can move on to the senate. Eventually, once you've had a good number of people elected to somewhat important posts, and have shown that you can be trusted with holding power, over at least a couple of decades, you can maybe have a shot at pursuing the executive branch.
None of the 3rd parties seem to really understand that. No one is going to give the highest office in the land to a party with no real track record at the federal level. At least Johnson seems to understand that he's not going to win, and seems more interested in raising the party's profile over time.

Edit: For example, looking at the US Libertarian Party's wikipedia page, they have no one currently elected to the federal senate or house (which we all already knew), and no one elected as a governor, or to any state's upper house. They have one person in a state lower house. That's one elected person out of 7916 elected positions. That's not a party that's ready for the big chair.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Shine on June 28, 2012, 04:01:59 PM
Johnson is much more concerned, I believe, with being included in the debates in the fall. That's the primary goal of his campaign. He wants to get up their and really push both candidates to be more geared towards freedom. The biggest obstacle facing him now is the draconian 15% poll requirement imposed by the two major parties to be included in the debates. It's a very tall order, and it won't happen without a huge push from the old Ron Paul brigade, but there's a slim possibility.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: antigoon on June 28, 2012, 04:10:30 PM
I would LOVE for Gary Johnson to be included in the debates but we all know that's not gonna happen.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on June 28, 2012, 04:59:52 PM
Quote
President Obama said Thursday that his administration will proceed with implementation, saying "the highest court in the land has now spoken" and urging Republicans to "move forward." He said he won't "re-fight the political battles of two years ago."

He may have to.

On one track, Republicans plan to rally voters around presidential candidate Mitt Romney as he vows to make repealing the law his Day One priority if elected. On another track, Republicans in Congress will pick up the repeal push even before November -- starting with a repeal vote next month in the House. And that's to say nothing of the remaining legal challenges against the law, such as the multi-party challenge to the so-called contraception mandate.

Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., and several other prominent Republicans said the ruling effectively turns back the clock on the political debate -- which recently has centered almost exclusively on job creation.

"In many respects, we're back where we were when I ran for office in 2010," he said. "This now becomes a central issue again."

Read more: https://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/06/28/republicans-claim-obamacare-ruling-could-help-push-to-repeal-it/#ixzz1z7yIxylt
This will be a disaster for the GOP.  It might rally up the base, but that doesn't matter.  The people in the mid-ground won't be interested in going backward.  Obama's going to sell the popular aspects of the plan, of which there are a few, and reiterate that the fighting is over, and most people will be content to accept it as a done deal.  The Republicans will look like sore losers as they're tossed out. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: XJDenton on June 28, 2012, 06:54:18 PM
I have to laugh at all the right wing nutjobs saying that they are moving to canada over this decision.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 28, 2012, 07:06:28 PM
At least they don't have socialized medicine over there! :neverusethis:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 29, 2012, 08:05:16 AM
Quote
President Obama said Thursday that his administration will proceed with implementation, saying "the highest court in the land has now spoken" and urging Republicans to "move forward." He said he won't "re-fight the political battles of two years ago."

He may have to.

On one track, Republicans plan to rally voters around presidential candidate Mitt Romney as he vows to make repealing the law his Day One priority if elected. On another track, Republicans in Congress will pick up the repeal push even before November -- starting with a repeal vote next month in the House. And that's to say nothing of the remaining legal challenges against the law, such as the multi-party challenge to the so-called contraception mandate.

Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., and several other prominent Republicans said the ruling effectively turns back the clock on the political debate -- which recently has centered almost exclusively on job creation.

"In many respects, we're back where we were when I ran for office in 2010," he said. "This now becomes a central issue again."

Read more: https://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/06/28/republicans-claim-obamacare-ruling-could-help-push-to-repeal-it/#ixzz1z7yIxylt (https://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/06/28/republicans-claim-obamacare-ruling-could-help-push-to-repeal-it/#ixzz1z7yIxylt)
This will be a disaster for the GOP.  It might rally up the base, but that doesn't matter.  The people in the mid-ground won't be interested in going backward.  Obama's going to sell the popular aspects of the plan, of which there are a few, and reiterate that the fighting is over, and most people will be content to accept it as a done deal.  The Republicans will look like sore losers as they're tossed out.




Repealing a law requires a 2/3 vote by the House AND Senate.  Mitt Romney isn't going to be repealing anything.


This issue is now basically:


Game/Set/Match -- Obama


Dude has now passed the most significant piece of legislation since the New Deal, ended the idiotic war in Iraq, killed Osama Bin Laden and he'll also be largely credited with saving General Motors.


Had this health care bill gone down in flames, I think it would have been a disaster for Obama's reelection chances, but between this and his recent masterstroke with immigration, well, Mitt who?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on June 29, 2012, 08:24:38 AM
They'll only need the 2/3 to override vetoes.  If Myth get's elected, I suspect what you'll see is a brick by brick approach to neuter the bill.  It's basically what we've been seeing with Roe for the last 20 years.  Still, I don't think the people will support a candidate when his entire strategy is re-fighting a battle they've already accepted is lost. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 29, 2012, 09:04:40 AM
You know what, you're right, I was thinking of the repeal of a constitutional amendment.


Still, I don't think the Republicans can muster enough support to overcome a Democratic filibuster and it will be very  :lol --worthy to see the filibuster used by Democrats to shut the Republicans down for once  :tup
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 29, 2012, 09:48:51 AM
There's also the slight inconvenience of being "saved" from the healthcare law by a guy who implemented the same fricking thing in Massachusetts.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 29, 2012, 11:16:41 AM
Or the fact that repealing the law would instantaneously knock about 3.1 million kids off their parents' insurance  :loser:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on June 29, 2012, 12:20:15 PM
Why has the debate become an all-or-nothing battle between people who support the law and people who want it completely repealed?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 29, 2012, 12:46:54 PM
Because frankly the GOP has very little else left to stand for at this point. It's the only way of uniting the diverse base they have, by creating a direct enemy to rally against. If they actually started to discuss the topic rationally, the threads would immediately unravel because they would find themselves actually arguing for the continuation of the abysmal status quo.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 29, 2012, 01:06:18 PM
Why do you hate America, rumborak?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 29, 2012, 01:11:32 PM
Why the green? I thought it was pretty obvious that rumbo is a flag-burning atheist Nazi Communist.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on June 29, 2012, 01:23:33 PM
 :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 29, 2012, 01:37:00 PM
I'm the nexus of undesirability.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on June 29, 2012, 02:37:39 PM
You know what, you're right, I was thinking of the repeal of a constitutional amendment.

If Obama is still in office, and the bill lands on his desk, I imagine he's going to veto the thing. Then it would take 2/3's vote to repeal the law. Boehner is apparently going to introduce a repeal bill soon, which not only has no chance of passing the Senate, but would be vetoed anyways. In that case, you'd be right.



Because frankly the GOP has very little else left to stand for at this point. It's the only way of uniting the diverse base they have, by creating a direct enemy to rally against. If they actually started to discuss the topic rationally, the threads would immediately unravel because they would find themselves actually arguing for the continuation of the abysmal status quo.

rumborak


Well actually, when they did do this back in the 90's, they came up with the individual mandate. So really, if they did what you want them to do, they'd arrive at what they've been fighting for for the past 2 years (and only then, because if you go before then, you get people arguing for the individual mandate).

But that's even worse than arguing for the status quo.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on June 29, 2012, 07:44:53 PM
Why the green? I thought it was pretty obvious that rumbo is a flag-burning atheist Nazi Communist.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DmXOsuL7ey4
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on June 29, 2012, 10:13:48 PM
Because frankly the GOP has very little else left to stand for at this point. It's the only way of uniting the diverse base they have, by creating a direct enemy to rally against. If they actually started to discuss the topic rationally, the threads would immediately unravel because they would find themselves actually arguing for the continuation of the abysmal status quo.

rumborak

My family just got a letter from one of my parents' employers that kinda sorta wink wink nudge nudge said they might drop or modify our health insurance coverage.

Obviously there are bigger issues at work here.  But there are real people with real reasons for wanting this bill repealed that go beyond "Everything Obama does is terrible because he's secretly a Muslim."
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 29, 2012, 10:18:07 PM
How do you reckon this modification of the parent's healthcare plan was a result of Obamacare? Those things happen pretty regularly. I just can't see how a requirement for people to have insurance would cause a provider to drop existing customers.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on June 29, 2012, 10:42:08 PM
How do you reckon this modification of the parent's healthcare plan was a result of Obamacare? Those things happen pretty regularly. I just can't see how a requirement for people to have insurance would cause a provider to drop existing customers.

rumborak

Because the letter discussed the bill at length.

If I understand correctly, companies face a penalty for not providing insurance for their employees.  For companies that provide good insurance, it might be less expensive to simply pay the penalty.

I'm not entirely sure they'll flat out drop the coverage.  You probably use the company's products every day, and I doubt they'll want to do something that makes them a less competitive hire.

An analogy that helps this make sense.  The book Freakonomics discusses the story of a day care.  The day care had problems with parents constantly coming in late to pick up their kids.  The day care decided to try fixing this by imposing an additional cost if the parent(s) came in late.  When they did this, MORE people showed up even later.  The authors of the book reasoned this happened because the shame of being there late was a stronger deterrent than the financial penalty.

The new healthcare law has essentially done the same thing.  Before, a major corporation basically had to provide really good insurance.  Now, instead of market pressure, the government has reduced it to an economic calculation.  Anyone with a modicum of awareness knows what happens when corporations crunch numbers.  They only care if they win.

Or maybe none of this will happen.  I don't know.

Also, just because the old status quo favored me personally doesn't mean that it was a good thing.  I'm not even mad that taxes might go up so other people can have medical care.  I don't know what kind of person thinks that way.  What I don't like is that my family might be punished because (insert parent here) worked really hard for a long time to finally get a really good job.

And that's not just about me.  Why should anyone be successful, even in a middle class sense (which believe me, we are) when the reward for achieving this is that the government makes your life into a mess?  The rich can buy what they want.  The poor are given basic subsidies by the government.*  The middle class get screwed.  Why do you think society in general feels such a strong sense of resentment?  No one believes that if you work hard you'll be rewarded for it.  And you can't exactly say everyone is wrong.

In a sense, I don't care about the politics of it so much because people who literally follow politics for a living don't seem to understand politics.  I find it neither interesting nor intriguing, and I can do nothing about it, so why waste mental energy on it?

What I don't like - and I guess I shouldn't care about this either - is when people say "Only conservatives who want to ban abortion and think Obama was born in Kenya are against Obamacare because of fake reasons."  There are real consequences to laws like this.  Debates have two sides.

---

*Tomorrow, I could find a psychiatrist who diagnoses me with depression, puts me on meds, and says I can't work because of this depression (untrue because I do work, but an easy lie to construct).  I can then use my disability check to buy section eight housing and basic supplies for myself.  I could then spend my days subsisting on government money while I play video games and masturbate.  I wouldn't do this because I don't hate myself that much.  A lot of people though apparently suffer a lot of self-loathing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 29, 2012, 10:54:58 PM
Thing is, I can honestly say that this was the first time I've heard a rational argument against the bill. It's all to easy to become flippant about republicans because this kind of discourse is  virtually absent. And yes, I do blame republicans mostly for this development because they decided a long time ago to become a haven for the willfully ignorant.

As a response to your argument, I find it somewhat contrived and unlikely. I can't see why a company who formerly already didn't go the cheap route of not offering insurance, would now switch over to the penalty option. That just seems illogical. What's a much more likely scenario is that with the penalty in place, insurance will soon become one of those things that are plain assumed to be offered by the company. Not offering once will carry a stigma that will result in the company not getting employees, whereas in the current a status quo a lot of them still get away with it. Kind of like with smoking bans where legislation pushed the market into a different operating point that was favourable to everyone but not achievable through plain market forces.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on June 29, 2012, 11:01:10 PM
My guess is that a helluva lot of companies sent out those letters today.  Mostly a CYA thing since they don't really know what will come.  I'd give it very little concern.

The way I think it'll break down is that companies who already insure their employees will continue to do so.  Abruptly cancelling everybody's coverage would look terrible and they'd lose employees over it.  Companies who don't insure their employees (and have over 50) will weigh their options and make the better economical decision.  The truth is, since we're talking about group plans for >50 folks, once the exchange starts up it'll probably be a cheaper move to pop for the insurance than to pay the penalty. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on June 29, 2012, 11:05:31 PM
Thing is, I can honestly say that this was the first time I've heard a rational argument against the bill. It's all to easy to become flippant about republicans because this kind of discourse is  virtually absent. And yes, I do blame republicans mostly for this development because they decided a long time ago to become a haven for the willfully ignorant.

It's human nature.  Remember during the Bush administration when quite a many left leaning people in this country engaged in a collective rage fit?  I still do.

Quote
As a response to your argument, I find it somewhat contrived and unlikely. I can't see why a company who formerly already didn't go the cheap route of not offering insurance, would now switch over to the option. That just seems illogical.

rumborak

I find it unlikely too.  But, something like this shouldn't even be a possibility.

I've seen articles that say "30% of companies will drop health insurance," but I don't know how valid they are.  Sounds like fear mongering.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 29, 2012, 11:09:48 PM
My real beef with health insurances is however that IMHO they still don't penalize unhealthy lifestyles anywhere near enough. Smoking and overeating should carry an increase in premiums. Anything that is chosen willfully essentially that is readily measurable and increases significantly your chance of developing costly health issues.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on June 29, 2012, 11:16:22 PM
As a rule, smokers and fat-fucks cost less than healthy people due to their earlier death.  Treating cancer an diabetes is expensive, but not as much as treating 15 years worth of slow death and geriatric disorders. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on June 29, 2012, 11:27:15 PM
As a rule, smokers and fat-fucks cost less than healthy people due to their earlier death.  Treating cancer an diabetes is expensive, but not as much as treating 15 years worth of slow death and geriatric disorders. 

This is true, but let's assume it isn't because it reveals a more interesting ethical debate.

My real beef with health insurances is however that IMHO they still don't penalize unhealthy lifestyles anywhere near enough. Smoking and overeating should carry an increase in premiums. Anything that is chosen willfully essentially that is readily measurable and increases significantly your chance of developing costly health issues.

rumborak

This comes back to the issue that bothers people about health insurance to begin with, which is that they treat people differently based on their physical health.

I understand that if you get, say, prostate cancer it probably wasn't the result of any choice you made.  Whereas if you smoke your whole life, then you get lung cancer, it was probably because you smoked.

Let's take this to its logical extreme.  What if you're a woman who works a very powerful corporate job and has great insurance.  You decide to marry a man who's a genetic prostate cancer risk because of his family history.  Should the woman's insurance go up?  Not would it be economically feasible.  Let's say you can crunch all these numbers semi-accurately, do you think it should be this way?

What no one's really talking about is that, as a society, we need an answer to the "is healthcare a right" debate and we need it quickly.  In a sense, you seem to be saying it isn't, which I don't really agree with.  If the Sun Cannon existed, I'd load up every person that ever even so much thought it was okay to let people die that didn't have healthcare because they deserved to due to lack of a job.  Also, if you work and your employer doesn't carry health insurance, then why would we accept this as a society?

I can't stand the ACA (I guess I shouldn't call it Obamacare even if it's more applicable than a lot of people think) because it's a bad law.  I don't like universal healthcare because I think human nature prevents it from working.

I believe healthcare should be a right, on the condition that we find a way for it to not be a disaster.

I also believe that no one is seriously trying to figure this question out.  There are (or at least were) leftists willing to argue that Cuban (https://wizbangblog.com/images/2009/09/cubas_free_health_care/BEDATMARINAAZCUY1_1.jpg) Healthcare (https://tpo.net/cuba/kubac298.jpg) was a paradise because they would rather do something intellectually dishonest and frankly fucked up than concede any ground on the market healthcare vs. universal healthcare debate.  Then you have conservatives cheering at a presidential debate because one of the candidates was willing to say that a person in bad circumstances should be left to die (this is the second time I mentioned this because I really hate it).
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on June 30, 2012, 12:09:46 AM
Quote
I don't like universal healthcare because I think human nature prevents it from working.

Than why do so many other countries get it right? Ya, some liberals want to point to Cuba, but others want to point to Germany, Canada, Japan, France, England, and all those other countries.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: XJDenton on June 30, 2012, 08:48:56 AM
They work because they have less people, or something.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 30, 2012, 09:18:44 AM
The difference between the US and those countries mentioned above is that when a new law is passed like that, the following political energy is rather spent on arranging the different parties within this new framework. In the US, all energy is spent on neutering and sabotaging the law. That's how you end up with all these dead carcasses of well-meant laws.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on June 30, 2012, 09:32:57 AM
The difference between the US and those countries mentioned above is that when a new law is passed like that, the following political energy is rather spent on arranging the different parties within this new framework. In the US, all energy is spent on neutering and sabotaging the law. That's how you end up with all these dead carcasses of well-meant laws.

rumborak
I think we have a winner here.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: GuineaPig on June 30, 2012, 09:52:27 AM
The two-party system is just so damn poisonous.  It's a shame the US will never be free of it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on June 30, 2012, 10:24:03 AM
They work because they have less people, or something.
No, it works in those countries because the people in those countries don't flip their shit over reasonable taxation levels.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on June 30, 2012, 10:35:53 AM
The difference between the US and those countries mentioned above is that when a new law is passed like that, the following political energy is rather spent on arranging the different parties within this new framework. In the US, all energy is spent on neutering and sabotaging the law. That's how you end up with all these dead carcasses of well-meant laws.

rumborak
I think we have a winner here.

But that's not a problem with universal health care. I won't deny that the current American system sucks, or that Republicans are basically being a bunch of near treasonous asshats.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 30, 2012, 11:15:17 AM
They work because they have less people, or something.
No, it works in those countries because the people in those countries don't flip their shit over reasonable taxation levels.

And because people actually take care of their damned bodies.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on June 30, 2012, 01:22:11 PM
Quote
I don't like universal healthcare because I think human nature prevents it from working.

Than why do so many other countries get it right? Ya, some liberals want to point to Cuba, but others want to point to Germany, Canada, Japan, France, England, and all those other countries.

I'd rather not do this.  Here's how this debate goes:

 - I look up things on the internet and write a post, spending at least an hour of my life.
 - I see reply telling me that all my facts are stupid.
 - I look up even more things.
 - Again, my facts are stupid and I am being insane.

For all I know I would actually be being stupid and insane.  But why bother?

This does interest me:

But that's not a problem with universal health care. I won't deny that the current American system sucks, or that Republicans are basically being a bunch of near treasonous asshats.

The Republicans are saying the Democrats are being traitorous.  Are you sure you want to use the same rhetoric they do?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on June 30, 2012, 01:34:39 PM
Quote
The Republicans are saying the Democrats are being traitorous.  Are you sure you want to use the same rhetoric they do?

Cept all the Republicans have is rhetoric. I have a full list of valid, rational complaints to levy against Republicans. Mitch McConnell has said his job is to prevent Obama, and thus anything good from happening. Republicans have backed away from so many of their ideas, because they can't let the other side do anything positive. They put partisanship way above the country, and I think the fact that Democrats are always bending over backwards to try and please Republicans is a sign that they actually want to do the right thing.

Besides, let's not forget, I'm not a Democrat. I'm a liberal, yes, but I don't hold any love or appreciation for the Democratic party. As bad as they are, Republicans have demonstrated themselves to be worse, time and time again.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on June 30, 2012, 02:37:58 PM
They work because they have less people, or something.
No, it works in those countries because the people in those countries don't flip their shit over reasonable taxation levels.

And because people actually take care of their damned bodies.
Plus, preventative care and early diagnosis, which are far more prevalent in a universal system, save a ton of money in the long run, and lead to longer, healthier lives.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on June 30, 2012, 03:10:45 PM
Quote
I don't like universal healthcare because I think human nature prevents it from working.

Than why do so many other countries get it right? Ya, some liberals want to point to Cuba, but others want to point to Germany, Canada, Japan, France, England, and all those other countries.

I'd rather not do this.  Here's how this debate goes:

 - I look up things on the internet and write a post, spending at least an hour of my life.
 - I see reply telling me that all my facts are stupid.
 - I look up even more things.
 - Again, my facts are stupid and I am being insane.

For all I know I would actually be being stupid and insane.  But why bother?

This does interest me:

But that's not a problem with universal health care. I won't deny that the current American system sucks, or that Republicans are basically being a bunch of near treasonous asshats.

The Republicans are saying the Democrats are being traitorous.  Are you sure you want to use the same rhetoric they do?
That's pretty weak.  There are plenty of us here who now how to have a reasonable discussion, and you're a smart enough guy to be able to discuss things in general terms without having to right a freaking research paper.

The simple truth is that you should have said that it wouldn't work because of American nature, not the human variety.  There are too many functional examples to suggest that humans aren't the problem. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on June 30, 2012, 05:58:41 PM
That's pretty weak.  There are plenty of us here who now how to have a reasonable discussion, and you're a smart enough guy to be able to discuss things in general terms without having to right a freaking research paper.

The simple truth is that you should have said that it wouldn't work because of American nature, not the human variety.  There are too many functional examples to suggest that humans aren't the problem.

Not saying it isn't weak.  But I'd rather not just ignore the post.

I don't think you can talk about an issue like this in general terms.  The amount of stuff that goes into healthcare, everything from the large scale factors to the little logistical details is incomprehensibly complicated to me.  I can say, "a basic understanding of economics tells us that when resources aren't organically distributed through prices, that the distorted market replacing it will not reflect demand properly."  I believe that's 100% true.

It also doesn't mean anything.  Markets are rational from the standpoint that, based on limited resources, people will chose what they believe is best for them.  But the things people believe they need may not be conducive to the health of a society.  It might not be in the individual's best interests in a rational sense.  Maybe a somewhat distorted market is better than an undistributed one.

Or, here's another thing.  The biggest objection I have to any sort of socialized healthcare is that now we're relying on the government to provide us our health care.  That's pants-shittingly horrifying.  But if you don't think this, then we might as well be living in different worlds.

In general, I think that day-to-day healthcare should be completely private and that catastrophic injuries should be paid either with public money or a heavily regulated insurance market.  Preferably the latter so it's not the government's responsibility.  But I could be completely wrong.  And I'm not informed enough to really know one way or another.

So I guess that's my opinion.  It's weak.  But I never said it wasn't.

Cept all the Republicans have is rhetoric. I have a full list of valid, rational complaints to levy against Republicans. Mitch McConnell has said his job is to prevent Obama, and thus anything good from happening. Republicans have backed away from so many of their ideas, because they can't let the other side do anything positive. They put partisanship way above the country, and I think the fact that Democrats are always bending over backwards to try and please Republicans is a sign that they actually want to do the right thing.

Besides, let's not forget, I'm not a Democrat. I'm a liberal, yes, but I don't hold any love or appreciation for the Democratic party. As bad as they are, Republicans have demonstrated themselves to be worse, time and time again.

Virtually all politicians are self-interested liars who put their re-election and the preservation of the political process above what's good for the country.

The Democratic party doesn't need your love or appreciation.  They just need your vote.  They know they can't either go to the left (and lose all the moderates) or to the middle (and lose another election like they did in 2000).  They've figured out how to be just enough of both that moderates and liberals say "Well, at least with the Democrats I'm kinda getting what I want."

They don't compromise with the Republicans in the interest of moderation.  They compromise with the Republicans because, like it or not, the Republicans represent a powerful feeling in this country.  It's not purposeful ignorance.  It's the feeling of "Why is the government not giving me anything that I want?"

In an older post, we had a "heated exchange" over the Obama signing statement about military spying.  My point was that the words were there, but the feeling isn't.  It's why people watch movies moreso than read books.  Books are just words that can have feeling.  Movies show you the feeling.

Obama might make political compromises so the Republicans can't make him look too bad.  But there's no feeling.  When the Supreme Court upheld the ACA, he called it a victory.  Where's the effort to emotionally reach out to the people like me who might see negative consequences of the bill.  Something like 40-50% of people polled depending on the moment are against the bill.  And they're ignored.

"Well, they're just idiots who believe in creationism."  Irrelevant.  He's their president too.  He makes political compromises with the Republicans so you can use that as a reason to say he's trying to be accommodating.  But when has he ever made a broad policy change as a show of willing to listen?

Even when he made the contraception compromise, his statements basically came down to, "Listen very slowly, I respect religious freedom, even though I was insensitive enough to try imposing this on you in the first place.  We're going to make it so you don't have to be responsible for providing the contraception.  Even though you're not comfortable with birth control at all, I'm going to still give your employees a chance to have it from another source.  It's a right, because we just decided it is one.  I'm now going to say I'm religious and respect religious rights, even though there's no reason to believe I actually take religion seriously."

Where's the apology?  Where's the sensitivity?  Where's the admission of wrongdoing?

"If he did that, then people would say even he knows he did something wrong."

Not the point.  When you want people to treat you better, you establish boundaries and treat them right.  Obama's done the exact opposite by not setting boundaries and then acting righteous in the face of concerns that he has no intention of seriously addressing.

And now this has gotten stupidly long.  My point is, it takes two parties to have an argument.  If there's a political argument happening (and I'm pretty sure there is), then both people in the argument are responsible.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on June 30, 2012, 07:30:12 PM
Quote
Virtually all politicians are self-interested liars who put their re-election and the preservation of the political process above what's good for the country.

Capt there are some who actually do some good, and propose actual good policies, in order to do this. It's also toxic to the political environment to be completely distrustful of anyone who wants to try and do some good. It creates a self fulfilling prophecy. There are more than enough examples through out history to prove that there are people who genuinely want to help other people and the society they live in, not everyone is a selfish, greedy power-hungry asshole.

The rest of it, I honestly don't know where you went off to. You brought up a bunch of stuff that at times feels inaccurate, at times feels irrelevant to what we're talking about now. I never said you have to agree with Obama's policies, and that if you disagree with Obama you are treasonous. Nothing of the sorts. I'm saying that Republicans in Congress are acting in a quasi-treasonous manner.

Quote
My point is, it takes two parties to have an argument.  If there's a political argument happening (and I'm pretty sure there is), then both people in the argument are responsible.

I'd disagree that this is what's going on, really. An argument implies participants willing to put forward logical arguments, and to answer in a logical way. The Democrats are the only one's attempting to do that at the moment, the Republicans insist on simply repeating talking points, playing politics and not moving this country anywhere.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on June 30, 2012, 08:31:40 PM
Or, here's another thing.  The biggest objection I have to any sort of socialized healthcare is that now we're relying on the government to provide us our health care.  That's pants-shittingly horrifying.

But it's not the case. Health care is still provided by private entities. Why do you bring this argument?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 30, 2012, 08:33:38 PM
Even if it were, I still don't understand what's "horrifying" about that.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on June 30, 2012, 10:05:12 PM
Even if it were, I still don't understand what's "horrifying" about that.
Neither do I. We've had socialized healthcare here in Canada for decades, and there's nothing 'horrifying' about it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on June 30, 2012, 10:42:30 PM
Quote
Virtually all politicians are self-interested liars who put their re-election and the preservation of the political process above what's good for the country.

Capt there are some who actually do some good, and propose actual good policies, in order to do this. It's also toxic to the political environment to be completely distrustful of anyone who wants to try and do some good. It creates a self fulfilling prophecy. There are more than enough examples through out history to prove that there are people who genuinely want to help other people and the society they live in, not everyone is a selfish, greedy power-hungry asshole.

I'm sure there are some politicians who give a crap.  But they don't seem to have any power.

Quote
The rest of it, I honestly don't know where you went off to. You brought up a bunch of stuff that at times feels inaccurate, at times feels irrelevant to what we're talking about now. I never said you have to agree with Obama's policies, and that if you disagree with Obama you are treasonous. Nothing of the sorts. I'm saying that Republicans in Congress are acting in a quasi-treasonous manner.

It's times like these I wonder if maybe I'm just nuts and I don't realize it.

What I was trying to do was to posit the idea that maybe the reason you feel this way is that the Democrats are maneuvering politically to create this impression.  If Democrats made any effort to not look down on Republicans and conservatives as stupid bible thumpers, then maybe relations in government would be better.

Quote
Quote
My point is, it takes two parties to have an argument.  If there's a political argument happening (and I'm pretty sure there is), then both people in the argument are responsible.

I'd disagree that this is what's going on, really. An argument implies participants willing to put forward logical arguments, and to answer in a logical way. The Democrats are the only one's attempting to do that at the moment, the Republicans insist on simply repeating talking points, playing politics and not moving this country anywhere.

I wasn't talking about that kind of argument.  I'm talking about emotional conflict cycles that exist only to perpetuate themselves.

I mean, I'm guilty of this too, but you can't really look at the Republicans and the Democrats as cohesive entities.  They're made up of multiple diverse groups.  Every Republican only does the horrible things you say?  None of the good Congressmen you're talking about are Republicans?

I'm not a fan of social conservatism.  I think it's borderline inhuman.  I'm not really going to do much to defend religion either.  And even though I'd self-identify as a capitalist, I don't understand why anyone would think businesses should be treated better than people.

But none of these things matter.  You're saying that an entire political party, and by extension the people they represent, are acting "quasi-treasonous."  Don't you see what you're doing?  You're being part of the problem.  You're writing off everything they believe, advocate, and feel.  You're showing contempt and disdain for it.  This would be fine except that conservatives are treated like dogshit by people who believe themselves too "enlightened" for their "backwards" ideals.

Again, I disagree with a lot of what they have to say.  I find it deeply wrong.  But they're still human beings.  You don't treat them well to "be the bigger person," which is ultimately self-serving.  You treat them right because you care if they feel mistreated.

Or, you know, they're just evil.  Whatever.  I've dealt with people who would self-identify as liberal who are completely worthless as human beings too though.

Or, here's another thing.  The biggest objection I have to any sort of socialized healthcare is that now we're relying on the government to provide us our health care.  That's pants-shittingly horrifying.

But it's not the case. Health care is still provided by private entities. Why do you bring this argument?

rumborak

Don't understand point.

Even if it were, I still don't understand what's "horrifying" about that.
Neither do I. We've had socialized healthcare here in Canada for decades, and there's nothing 'horrifying' about it.

So you're saying that if I looked up negative stories about Canada's healthcare on Google I'd find nothing?  Nothing at all?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on June 30, 2012, 10:47:34 PM
Maybe you would, but horrifying? Come on.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on June 30, 2012, 10:54:41 PM
Maybe you would, but horrifying? Come on.

The role of government is to threaten citizens with violence and even death in order to perpetuate its own existence.  You want this entity to be responsible for your medical care?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on July 01, 2012, 04:34:13 AM
If Democrats made any effort to not look down on Republicans and conservatives as stupid bible thumpers, then maybe relations in government would be better.
Every time I do that, some Republican goes out of his way to portray himself (and his party) as a stupid Bible thumper.

Of course, I would also say that if Republicans made any effort to not look down on Democrats as socialist antipatriots, then maybe relations in government would be better.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on July 01, 2012, 05:08:31 AM
The role of government is to threaten citizens with violence and even death in order to perpetuate its own existence.

lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: lordxizor on July 01, 2012, 05:16:48 AM
Or, here's another thing.  The biggest objection I have to any sort of socialized healthcare is that now we're relying on the government to provide us our health care.  That's pants-shittingly horrifying.
But it's not the case. Health care is still provided by private entities. Why do you bring this argument?
rumborak
Don't understand point.
Your healthcare is provided by the doctors, nurses, dentists and other healthcare professionals. These people have no affiliation with the government. Your insurance company does not provide your healthcare, just a means to help pay for it.

Even if it were, I still don't understand what's "horrifying" about that.
Neither do I. We've had socialized healthcare here in Canada for decades, and there's nothing 'horrifying' about it.

So you're saying that if I looked up negative stories about Canada's healthcare on Google I'd find nothing?  Nothing at all?
Like you can find no negative stories about healthcare in the US? I'd rather have a flawed heathcare plan that everyone can afford than a flawed healthcare system that is quickly becoming unaffordable to even middle class families.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 01, 2012, 06:09:34 AM
Maybe you would, but horrifying? Come on.

The role of government is to threaten citizens with violence and even death in order to perpetuate its own existence.  You want this entity to be responsible for your medical care?

I wish I could say this was one of the most insane things I've ever heard. I really wish I could.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 01, 2012, 06:19:20 AM
Maybe you would, but horrifying? Come on.

The role of government is to threaten citizens with violence and even death in order to perpetuate its own existence.  You want this entity to be responsible for your medical care?


Not sure if serious?  But if so, this is a straw man.  The Affordable Care Act has nothing to do with the government "being responsible for your medical care" - the government is not in the business of medical care.  The Affordable Care act has the most impact on how insurance companies operate.  It sets new guidelines on the level of care that is paid for, who qualifies for it, etc, and it prevents insurance companies from kicking people off their plans because they get sick or refusing to extend coverage to people with preexisting conditions.


Look, I'll be the first person to say that the law is far from perfect.  Personally, I wanted a single payer system akin to Medicare, but Republicans managed to rip all of the good stuff out of this law with their idiotic "death panels" mantra, so we had to limp over the finish line with what we got, which has some damned good provisions in it.



Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 01, 2012, 08:31:45 AM
Of course, I would also say that if Republicans made any effort to not look down on Democrats as socialist antipatriots, then maybe relations in government would be better.

Which is why I said it takes two to have an argument.

I wish I could say this was one of the most insane things I've ever heard. I really wish I could.

Why?  What word of that sentence was even remotely untrue?

Your healthcare is provided by the doctors, nurses, dentists and other healthcare professionals. These people have no affiliation with the government. Your insurance company does not provide your healthcare, just a means to help pay for it.

Right.  What I'm saying is that if you create a healthcare system with more government involvement, does this change?

Like you can find no negative stories about healthcare in the US? I'd rather have a flawed heathcare plan that everyone can afford than a flawed healthcare system that is quickly becoming unaffordable to even middle class families.

Of course you can.  And nothing about what you're saying bothers me.  I just don't like how a lot of posts about healthcare implicitly say "Canada and Europe have figured this out and the US is just too stupid to get on board with the solution."  I've never, ever gotten the impression that was the truth.

Not sure if serious?  But if so, this is a straw man.  The Affordable Care Act has nothing to do with the government "being responsible for your medical care" - the government is not in the business of medical care.  The Affordable Care act has the most impact on how insurance companies operate.  It sets new guidelines on the level of care that is paid for, who qualifies for it, etc, and it prevents insurance companies from kicking people off their plans because they get sick or refusing to extend coverage to people with preexisting conditions.

I was talking more broadly about solutions to healthcare that involve government.  If doctors are employed by the government, or even if you simply rely on the government to pay for your healthcare, now the government holds the cards.

And even under the ACA, with the individual mandate, more people will have to get health insurance provided by the government.  What if your impression of elective vs. non-elective surgery is different than the governments.

A not-very-dramatic but hopefully illustrative example.  I had to get a mole removed from my right cheek a few years ago.  It wasn't cancerous or anything, but it was nasty and the surgery would've cost about a thousand dollars without insurance.  Luckily, I was under an insurance that was willing to cover it and the thing was cut out.

"So basically you're privileged and don't want to lose that privilege."

No, I'm saying that I was treated the way everyone should have the opportunity to be treated.  So what if it wasn't cancerous then.  Why should I have to wait until it becomes cancerous to find that out?  When you introduce mediocre government insurance into the market, you're making it more acceptable to suck.  And the government has no reason to improve the quality of what they do.


Quote
Look, I'll be the first person to say that the law is far from perfect.  Personally, I wanted a single payer system akin to Medicare, but Republicans managed to rip all of the good stuff out of this law with their idiotic "death panels" mantra, so we had to limp over the finish line with what we got, which has some damned good provisions in it.

Leave aside the death panels thing.

If the government is responsible for paying for healthcare, then that means the government decides who lives or dies.  Lets say the government was paying for the care of Terry Schiavo.  At some point, do they cut off money for her medical care because it's believed she's too far gone?  I know this happens in Europe because I've seen news stories about it.  If the government is responsible for medicare, it can't do that.  Ever.

"But come on now, you're saying we should have to spend money on everyone, even if they're brain dead?"

Yes.  The moment the government, which is supposed to serve its people, is responsible for medicare, then it has to do its job.  It can't try to be "pragmatic."

"So what you're saying is that if the government doesn't do a perfect job, then it's not good enough for you."

It doesn't actually have to be perfect, but it does have to try.  The government is supposed to act in the best interests of its people.  So if you say "the government is now responsible for paying for X type of medical care," it can't have any reservations designed to impede the access of care to the patient.  At all.  For any reason whatsoever.

This is starting to sound expensive to me.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PlaysLikeMyung on July 01, 2012, 08:47:44 AM
The role of government is to threaten citizens with violence and even death in order to perpetuate its own existence.

lol

Seriously. What country are you living in?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on July 01, 2012, 08:54:38 AM
I was talking more broadly about solutions to healthcare that involve government.  If doctors are employed by the government, or even if you simply rely on the government to pay for your healthcare, now the government holds the cards.

And even under the ACA, with the individual mandate, more people will have to get health insurance provided by the government.  What if your impression of elective vs. non-elective surgery is different than the governments.
The insurance isn't provided by the government.

It's still provided by private companies
.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 01, 2012, 08:59:54 AM
I was talking more broadly about solutions to healthcare that involve government.  If doctors are employed by the government, or even if you simply rely on the government to pay for your healthcare, now the government holds the cards.

And even under the ACA, with the individual mandate, more people will have to get health insurance provided by the government.  What if your impression of elective vs. non-elective surgery is different than the governments.
The insurance isn't provided by the government.

It's still provided by private companies
.

It's not necessarily provided by the government.  But the government, at least in PA, sells insurance through programs like CHIP.  It might be your only option to get government insurance.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on July 01, 2012, 09:45:22 AM
I was talking more broadly about solutions to healthcare that involve government.  If doctors are employed by the government, or even if you simply rely on the government to pay for your healthcare, now the government holds the cards.

And even under the ACA, with the individual mandate, more people will have to get health insurance provided by the government.  What if your impression of elective vs. non-elective surgery is different than the governments.
The insurance isn't provided by the government.

It's still provided by private companies
.

It's not necessarily provided by the government.
Yes, exactly, I'm glad we agree on this.

Quote
But the government, at least in PA, sells insurance through programs like CHIP.  It might be your only option to get government insurance.
Well, yes, I can agree with this.

Medicaid will expand under the ACA and if someone is too poor to afford paying for their own insurance, then well, they get Medicaid.  But Medicaid has been around for a while, so has Medicare, this just expands eligibility requirements, which is a good thing, yes?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ohgar on July 01, 2012, 09:47:26 AM
Medicaid is probably the best insurance plan you can get on in terms of doctor choice, copays, etc.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 01, 2012, 09:50:19 AM
Medicaid will expand under the ACA and if someone is too poor to afford paying for their own insurance, then well, they get Medicaid.  But Medicaid has been around for a while, so has Medicare, this just expands eligibility requirements, which is a good thing, yes?

Maybe.  Like I said on the last page, my understanding of all this is basically non-existent.

Medicaid is probably the best insurance plan you can get on in terms of doctor choice, copays, etc.

Don't really know.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Siberian Khatru on July 01, 2012, 10:16:10 AM
The role of government is to threaten citizens with violence and even death in order to perpetuate its own existence.

lol

Seriously. What country are you living in?

Hehe, I thought the same exact thing. It's funny how fired up people get about the government spending money on providing citizenry with the things they legitimately need. But everyone's silent when we blow a third of our budget on wars we never needed.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 01, 2012, 10:17:13 AM
The role of government is to threaten citizens with violence and even death in order to perpetuate its own existence.

lol

Seriously. What country are you living in?

Try not paying your taxes.  See what happens.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on July 01, 2012, 10:29:32 AM
Let's try a slightly different angle...

The role of a corporation is to threaten citizens with violence and even death in order to perpetuate its own existence.

lol

Seriously. What country are you living in?

Try not paying for their goods.  See what happens.
Hmmmm, still fits.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 01, 2012, 10:45:50 AM
Hmmmm, still fits.

No.  If I don't want to pay for something from a corporation, I can just not buy it.  Corporations don't force you to buy their products, so when you steal from them it's theft.

Governments force you to live under them.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on July 01, 2012, 10:51:23 AM
Hmmmm, still fits.

No.  If I don't want to pay for something from a corporation, I can just not buy it.  Corporations don't force you to buy their products, so when you steal from them it's theft.

Governments force you to live under them.
You can still move.  I hear most of Africa's nice this time of year if you're looking for a land with a dearth of organized government.

Besides, I am still required to buy some things.  I need food and medication and shelter, all of which I have to buy from a corporation in order to live.  I have as much leeway in choosing which products to buy as I have with which government to live under.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 01, 2012, 10:52:54 AM
Taxes aren't just burning money; believe it or not, they go towards providing goods and services you may not even be aware you use every single day.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 01, 2012, 02:26:39 PM
The fault in your reasoning, Reap, is that the government and the insurance companies both have the same role, but to a different end.  You act as if the government wouldn't have treated your mole because it might have been too expensive, yet this is the decision some asshole in a cubicle makes every day working for Aetna, BCBS, Humana, etc.  Both entities will have to make decisions such as that, and determining what's most cost effective is a task for both of them.  The difference is that the numbers Aetna roll around pertain to profitability. They're required to come out ahead on the deal.  The government, as you at one point suggested, operates in the interest of the citizenry.  The money that pays for stock dividends and huge salaries in private insurance is available for more healthcare on the government side of things.  In fact, the government can operate at a loss if need be with tax subsidization.  Personally, If I needed costly treatment, I'd feel more confident that I'd get it from a government paid plan than a for profit plan.   We don't really know how the government will eventually work out, but we know for a fact how the private insurance companies have been letting expensive people die for years. 

And to be clear, I never said Americans are too stupid to make a single payer system work.  I have suggested we're too arrogant, inflexible and dysfunctional to make it work. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 01, 2012, 02:55:12 PM
On a different election topic, apparently Romney is accusing Obama to not think the US is exceptional enough. Apart from the ridiculousness of the topic (IMHO declaring yourself to be exceptional is just plain a arrogant; let others judge you), I was thinking, can Obama do anything but lose in this matter? He is presiding over an inexorable shift of global power towards Asia. How do you tell people that the days of being the only superpower in town are over?

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: XJDenton on July 01, 2012, 05:57:36 PM
1. Play this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h__uutzcQXc
2. Call Romney out for being satisfied with those stats as opposed to wanting to do something to improve them.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 01, 2012, 06:16:47 PM
1. Play this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h__uutzcQXc
2. Call Romney out for being satisfied with those stats as opposed to wanting to do something to improve them.

The sad truth about America is saying so is signing your own political death sentence.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 01, 2012, 06:22:14 PM
I guess that's why it has to appear in an HBO series.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 01, 2012, 08:51:21 PM
The fault in your reasoning, Reap, is that the government and the insurance companies both have the same role, but to a different end.  You act as if the government wouldn't have treated your mole because it might have been too expensive, yet this is the decision some asshole in a cubicle makes every day working for Aetna, BCBS, Humana, etc.  Both entities will have to make decisions such as that, and determining what's most cost effective is a task for both of them.  The difference is that the numbers Aetna roll around pertain to profitability. They're required to come out ahead on the deal.  The government, as you at one point suggested, operates in the interest of the citizenry.  The money that pays for stock dividends and huge salaries in private insurance is available for more healthcare on the government side of things.  In fact, the government can operate at a loss if need be with tax subsidization.  Personally, If I needed costly treatment, I'd feel more confident that I'd get it from a government paid plan than a for profit plan.   We don't really know how the government will eventually work out, but we know for a fact how the private insurance companies have been letting expensive people die for years. 

And to be clear, I never said Americans are too stupid to make a single payer system work.  I have suggested we're too arrogant, inflexible and dysfunctional to make it work. 

Maybe.  In general though humans do the least amount possible, and the government is made up of humans.  Private companies are pushed by competition.  The government is pushed by nothing.

1. Play this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h__uutzcQXc
2. Call Romney out for being satisfied with those stats as opposed to wanting to do something to improve them.

Both of those speeches hurt my brain.

In the first one, the focus of the character isn't so much on arguing a point so much as it is talking down a 20 year old and venting his rage.

In the second speech, he simultaneously idealizes the past and simplistically judges the present.

He says something to the effect of 'we were informed by great men.'  What he means is great men like himself.

The speech is all about him.

So here's my question.  Why would you emotionally connect with a speech by a character that's purely about making himself feel important?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 01, 2012, 09:00:08 PM
^ And that's why.

I'll concede that he may idealize "the good old days," but I don't think excessively or nostalgically so.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 01, 2012, 09:05:03 PM
^ And that's why.

Not sure what your point is.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on July 01, 2012, 09:05:45 PM
Hmmmm, still fits.

No.  If I don't want to pay for something from a corporation, I can just not buy it.  Corporations don't force you to buy their products, so when you steal from them it's theft.

Governments force you to live under them.

first world problems
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 01, 2012, 09:08:20 PM
first world problems

Not sure if serious.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 01, 2012, 09:19:10 PM
The fault in your reasoning, Reap, is that the government and the insurance companies both have the same role, but to a different end.  You act as if the government wouldn't have treated your mole because it might have been too expensive, yet this is the decision some asshole in a cubicle makes every day working for Aetna, BCBS, Humana, etc.  Both entities will have to make decisions such as that, and determining what's most cost effective is a task for both of them.  The difference is that the numbers Aetna roll around pertain to profitability. They're required to come out ahead on the deal.  The government, as you at one point suggested, operates in the interest of the citizenry.  The money that pays for stock dividends and huge salaries in private insurance is available for more healthcare on the government side of things.  In fact, the government can operate at a loss if need be with tax subsidization.  Personally, If I needed costly treatment, I'd feel more confident that I'd get it from a government paid plan than a for profit plan.   We don't really know how the government will eventually work out, but we know for a fact how the private insurance companies have been letting expensive people die for years. 

And to be clear, I never said Americans are too stupid to make a single payer system work.  I have suggested we're too arrogant, inflexible and dysfunctional to make it work. 

Maybe.  In general though humans do the least amount possible, and the government is made up of humans.  Private companies are pushed by competition.  The government is pushed by nothing.
Well, a common gripe is that the government often does far too much.  It's perfectly conceivable that the inefficiency we've come to know and love from Uncle Sammy results in more coverage as apposed to less. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on July 01, 2012, 09:27:26 PM
The fault in your reasoning, Reap, is that the government and the insurance companies both have the same role, but to a different end.  You act as if the government wouldn't have treated your mole because it might have been too expensive, yet this is the decision some asshole in a cubicle makes every day working for Aetna, BCBS, Humana, etc.  Both entities will have to make decisions such as that, and determining what's most cost effective is a task for both of them.  The difference is that the numbers Aetna roll around pertain to profitability. They're required to come out ahead on the deal.  The government, as you at one point suggested, operates in the interest of the citizenry.  The money that pays for stock dividends and huge salaries in private insurance is available for more healthcare on the government side of things.  In fact, the government can operate at a loss if need be with tax subsidization.  Personally, If I needed costly treatment, I'd feel more confident that I'd get it from a government paid plan than a for profit plan.   We don't really know how the government will eventually work out, but we know for a fact how the private insurance companies have been letting expensive people die for years. 

And to be clear, I never said Americans are too stupid to make a single payer system work.  I have suggested we're too arrogant, inflexible and dysfunctional to make it work. 

Maybe.  In general though humans do the least amount possible, and the government is made up of humans.  Private companies are pushed by competition.  The government is pushed by nothing.
Private companies are pushed by profit, not competition.  A private company will gladly collect profit with the absence of competition and will often do the barest minimum in order to make profit.

A government, generally, has to keep a large percentage of its constituents happy or, in a Citizens United world, at least keep a large percentage of rich motherfuckers happy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 01, 2012, 09:31:52 PM
Private companies are pushed by profit, not competition.  A private company will gladly collect profit with the absence of competition and will often do the barest minimum in order to make profit.

Look at what you just said:

"A private company... with the absence of competition... will often do the barest minimum in order to make profit."

Profit doesn't push companies.  It makes them lazy.

Quote
A government, generally, has to keep a large percentage of its constituents happy

AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

I know you added in the Citizens United thing, but that was still so preposterous.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: PlaysLikeMyung on July 01, 2012, 09:38:03 PM
Since there isn't a separate thread for it (surprisingly), here is my take on the 'ACA is a tax and you should hate Obama' argument:

The GOP has successfully convinced it's base that 'taxes are bad, mmkay?'. This is important because these people are essentially clueless about how government actually works. When it came to light that the ACA is unconstitutional under the Commerce clause, but constitutional as a tax, the GOP was quick to say that Obama just wants to tax middle-class Americans. A few things were left out, however.

Assuming that you already have private health insurance (which will still exist), you should not have to pay anything in addition to the premiums you already pay. Rather, you would pay additional tax for the government to provide you medical coverage (NOTE: I haven't read the entire bill, so if this is inaccurate I do not know).

Mitt Romney said something on Face the Nation a few weeks ago that made me LOL. Bob Schieffer essentially asked, if he is going to lower taxes across the board, how is he going to get the revenue needed for the Government to provide the services it does. His answer?:

(paraphrasing)

"We're just taking this one step at a time"

What I got from this is that Romney has no idea how to make money for the country. The surefire way to do so is to levy taxes, which we already do. However, since all his base wants to hear is 'lower taxes', they end up rooting for him.

If I'm rambling, I apologize, but I promise this has a point.

Taxes are a necessary evil. Taxes already pay for a lot of services at the state and federal level. Police officers, the Army, public schools, among many other things. With the state of the economy, the absolute WORST possible thing to do is to put a lot of these services in the hands of the private sector. If public schools ceased to exist, you'd bet your ass many kids wouldn't attend formal schools. And if I have to pay an additional amount in taxes to have my health (ie, my GENERAL WELFARE) covered for by the government, I'd gladly pay.

Romney, if elected (and if tax cuts are further enacted), will likely find himself in the same boots as one George HW Bush. Eventually we'd need money and there's only gonna be one place to gather it.

What I fear is that these uneducated fools in the USA who swallow BS like candy are gonna be the ones who decide the election.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on July 01, 2012, 10:37:27 PM
Private companies are pushed by profit, not competition.  A private company will gladly collect profit with the absence of competition and will often do the barest minimum in order to make profit.

Look at what you just said:

"A private company... with the absence of competition... will often do the barest minimum in order to make profit."

Profit doesn't push companies.  It makes them lazy.
Sorry about that, I just misunderstood your comment.

Quote
Quote
A government, generally, has to keep a large percentage of its constituents happy

AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

I know you added in the Citizens United thing, but that was still so preposterous.
So, tell me, what's preferable to government then?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jammindude on July 01, 2012, 10:55:51 PM
Um....excuse me.   Are you the Judean People's Front?


 :angel:
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: j on July 02, 2012, 03:19:31 AM
There are some good provisions in this bill, such as some of the limitations placed on private insurance companies.  But as a whole it's a joke, as it fails to address ANY of the core problems with healthcare in this country.  Unfortunately, it would seem that there's nobody involved with a real understanding of the system's inherent flaws, but also nobody cares, because it's all just a partisan shitfest anyway.

With regard to who will be affected by the mandate, a large portion is the subset of the population not poor enough to be on Medicaid, but still poor enough that they would have considered carrying private insurance to be financially "debilitating" for any number of reasons.  The majority of people who make little enough annually that paying the penalty would actually be preferable to paying an insurance premium probably qualify for Medicaid anyway.

As for the discussion of taxes themselves, I don't think any reasonable person argues against taxation in principle.  But both parties--everyone--should be appalled and outraged at the way this government spends and allocates funds.  First show me that you can utilize my money responsibly and effectively, then we can talk about taxing the Christ out of me (to be clear, I'm speaking generally, not referring to the particular "tax" associated with this bill).

-J
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on July 02, 2012, 03:43:59 AM
first world problems

Not sure if serious.

Bro I can guarantee you that a large portion of the world's population would love to be forced to live in the US. First world problems.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on July 02, 2012, 03:47:26 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=djI1whGuksg
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 02, 2012, 05:49:01 AM
Private companies are pushed by profit, not competition.  A private company will gladly collect profit with the absence of competition and will often do the barest minimum in order to make profit.

Look at what you just said:

"A private company... with the absence of competition... will often do the barest minimum in order to make profit."

Profit doesn't push companies.  It makes them lazy.

Competition still doesn't push companies to improve in any way. It just pushes them to dial the number of their local lobby group.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 02, 2012, 06:42:28 AM
So, tell me, what's preferable to government then?

I've got no alternative.  But let's not have any illusions about what government and its purpose are.

Bro I can guarantee you that a large portion of the world's population would love to be forced to live in the US. First world problems.

The bolded part is true.  But "first world problems" is used to refer to something like "I dropped my cellphone and I can't get warranty."  When potential voters are cheering the notion of letting people die at a presidential debate, you might as well be at some kind of Soviet political rally.

Competition still doesn't push companies to improve in any way. It just pushes them to dial the number of their local lobby group.

Not that this doesn't happen, but why are you being so silly?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: skydivingninja on July 02, 2012, 08:08:21 AM
Competition still doesn't push companies to improve in any way. It just pushes them to dial the number of their local lobby group.

I know this happens all the time, and I think Citizens United and the like should be reversed, but it really grinds my gears when people like you believe a company's first alternative is to lobby the government.  What would Coke do if Pepsi came out with some new super-popular Pepsi variety?  Petition Congress to make it illegal?  Nope, they'd push Coke more and make a new variety to compete with it, and try and make that product better, or rely on Coke's incredible popularity and bank on people switching over just because they know and like most other Coke products.  Marketing (it works, bitches)!  Yeah you hear about a lot of companies lobbying Congress, but most of them just try to compete in the marketplace and make a better product/provide a better service.  Especially small businesses.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ohgar on July 02, 2012, 08:35:40 AM
Yeah but the Coca-Cola Company provides absolutely nothing of value to society so I'm not sure what your point is here.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 02, 2012, 08:53:13 AM
Both private companies and government have their specific way of having to compete. Both happen by voting of the public, one with money, the other with the threat of firing.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on July 02, 2012, 09:33:52 AM
When potential voters are cheering the notion of letting people die at a presidential debate, you might as well be at some kind of Soviet political rally.

Letting people die? What are you referring to?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Shine on July 02, 2012, 09:54:11 AM
Yeah but the Coca-Cola Company provides absolutely nothing of value to society so I'm not sure what your point is here.

Yes they do. If Coke had no value, no one would spend value to obtain it, that's just the way trade works. People like the way Coke tastes, so they pay for it. They find having a 12 pack of coke is worth more to them than the money that was in their pockets.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on July 02, 2012, 10:25:22 AM
economic value ≠ value to society
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jammindude on July 02, 2012, 10:32:12 AM
economic value ≠ value to society

Think that might be a relative opinion.   *I* personally agree with you.   But it's shocking to think what would happen to our society if all Coke products disappeared tomorrow.   You know that old saying "Any civilization is three meals away from revolution"?   As sad as I am to admit it...I honestly believe that the same is true of certain "brands" that people feel they can't live without. 

If you remove something, and it causes anarchy (or close to it) then it is of value to *that* society.    Now...what a particular society holds to be valuable...speaks volumes about that society.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on July 02, 2012, 11:09:24 AM
So, tell me, what's preferable to government then?

I've got no alternative.  But let's not have any illusions about what government and its purpose are.
I don't think the illusions are limited to my side of the fence on this issue.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on July 02, 2012, 11:14:20 AM
economic value ≠ value to society

Think that might be a relative opinion.   *I* personally agree with you.   But it's shocking to think what would happen to our society if all Coke products disappeared tomorrow.   You know that old saying "Any civilization is three meals away from revolution"?   As sad as I am to admit it...I honestly believe that the same is true of certain "brands" that people feel they can't live without. 

If you remove something, and it causes anarchy (or close to it) then it is of value to *that* society.    Now...what a particular society holds to be valuable...speaks volumes about that society.
If coke disappeared tomorrow, we'd find something else shitty to drink.  If all soft drinks disappeared?  Yeah, maybe there'd be some problems, but I honestly think that no matter how foolish and ignorant we are, we'd find a way to cope... peacefully.  Maybe that's a bit of optimistic naivety (sp?), but I really think the loss of soft drinks wouldn't be such a detrimental blow to our society.

Cars or the internet otoh?  Those are fulcrums of modern society.  Without those, we'd have some serious issues functioning.  But coke or pepsi?  They offer nothing to society other than calories, diabetes and tooth decay.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 02, 2012, 12:19:57 PM
On a different election topic, apparently Romney is accusing Obama to not think the US is exceptional enough. Apart from the ridiculousness of the topic (IMHO declaring yourself to be exceptional is just plain a arrogant; let others judge you), I was thinking, can Obama do anything but lose in this matter? He is presiding over an inexorable shift of global power towards Asia. How do you tell people that the days of being the only superpower in town are over?

rumborak
CNN is doing a series on that.

We're No. 1! We're No. 1! We're ... uh ... not? (https://www.cnn.com/2012/07/02/us/american-exceptionalism-other-countries-lessons/index.html)
As I've often said, we're slipping in plenty of areas.  Where we really were tops was in individual freedoms, and over the last decade or so, those have been shot all to hell.  Measured on the basis of proximity to a McDonalds and a Blockbuster, we certainly are the planet's utopia.  In most other ways, we're hurtling towards abject failure with the demise of the last remaining exceptional virtue.. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 02, 2012, 12:34:55 PM
^and some of us wonder why we rub 3/4 of the world the wrong way  ::)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 02, 2012, 02:46:09 PM
Competition still doesn't push companies to improve in any way. It just pushes them to dial the number of their local lobby group.

I know this happens all the time, and I think Citizens United and the like should be reversed, but it really grinds my gears when people like you believe a company's first alternative is to lobby the government.  What would Coke do if Pepsi came out with some new super-popular Pepsi variety?  Petition Congress to make it illegal?  Nope, they'd push Coke more and make a new variety to compete with it, and try and make that product better, or rely on Coke's incredible popularity and bank on people switching over just because they know and like most other Coke products.  Marketing (it works, bitches)!  Yeah you hear about a lot of companies lobbying Congress, but most of them just try to compete in the marketplace and make a better product/provide a better service.  Especially small businesses.

Not that I mean to split hairs, but aren't Coke and Pepsi actually owned by the same conglomerate anyway?

And yeah, okay, I get your point. I meant more in the sense that we deal with in the realm of politics everyday: insurance companies on health, oil and energy companies on environmental issues, things like that. Instead of responding to changing times as it were, they simply lobby the government to make sure their industry remains relevant and profitable.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 02, 2012, 03:32:50 PM
Not that I mean to split hairs, but aren't Coke and Pepsi actually owned by the same conglomerate anyway?

Nah, they're separate. PepsiCo and Coca-Cola Company.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on July 02, 2012, 04:25:48 PM
Not that I mean to split hairs, but aren't Coke and Pepsi actually owned by the same conglomerate anyway?

Nah, they're separate. PepsiCo and Coca-Cola Company.

rumborak
This.  Where did that come from?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 02, 2012, 05:25:41 PM
I dunno, I thought I remembered hearing something to that effect.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: j on July 02, 2012, 06:02:45 PM
And yeah, okay, I get your point. I meant more in the sense that we deal with in the realm of politics everyday: insurance companies on health, oil and energy companies on environmental issues, things like that. Instead of responding to changing times as it were, they simply lobby the government to make sure their industry remains relevant and profitable.

This may be because the government has (or should have) a vested interest in those particular industries because of their natures.  I.e. the health of its citizens, the global and domestic oil market, and the protection of the environment.  Also there are agencies and entire wings of government dedicated to some of these things.  Beyond the contained economic effects, what does Uncle Sam care about Pepsi and Coke competing?

-J
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 02, 2012, 06:07:27 PM
Oh, I forgot a big one: agricultural corporations. Food subsidies and the historic sugar lobbies (I have no idea if this is still even a thing), y'know.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on July 03, 2012, 03:54:57 AM
On a different election topic, apparently Romney is accusing Obama to not think the US is exceptional enough. Apart from the ridiculousness of the topic (IMHO declaring yourself to be exceptional is just plain a arrogant; let others judge you), I was thinking, can Obama do anything but lose in this matter? He is presiding over an inexorable shift of global power towards Asia. How do you tell people that the days of being the only superpower in town are over?

rumborak
CNN is doing a series on that.

We're No. 1! We're No. 1! We're ... uh ... not? (https://www.cnn.com/2012/07/02/us/american-exceptionalism-other-countries-lessons/index.html)
As I've often said, we're slipping in plenty of areas.  Where we really were tops was in individual freedoms, and over the last decade or so, those have been shot all to hell.  Measured on the basis of proximity to a McDonalds and a Blockbuster, we certainly are the planet's utopia.  In most other ways, we're hurtling towards abject failure with the demise of the last remaining exceptional virtue.. 
Lol. Excellent article.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 03, 2012, 07:57:03 AM
Texas GOP calls for abstinence only sex ed and corporal punishment:

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/mobileweb/2012/06/27/texas-republican-party-2012-platform-education_n_1632097.html?fb_action_ids=10150926697415698%2C10150926692350698&fb_action_types=news.reads&fb_source=other_multiline

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 03, 2012, 07:59:32 AM
Brilliant!  Let's teach our children to solve problems with an act of violence!


Oh, and.... this (https://thinkprogress.org/health/2012/04/10/461402/teen-pregnancy-sex-education/?mobile=nc)


Idiots  :\
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 03, 2012, 08:01:33 AM
Your facts are so liberal.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 08:05:58 AM
The sex education issue confuses me.  Isn't there a balance between abstinence-only education and having the school nurse give out condoms?

EDIT:  If all else fails, we could have teachers do this (REALLY NSFW):  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pmIGXO1TFWw

It scares kids away from wanting to have sex and is educational.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 03, 2012, 08:12:45 AM
When it comes to birth control, especially among teenagers, The FACTS (I know those things scare some folks) are clear on Abstinence Only Sex Education.  It's an abject failure.  I am all for a balanced approach.  Teach kids that abstinence is the best, most effective method of preventing birth, because, well, that's a fact.   See, we like facts.  But you also need to teach them that IF they have sex, using a condom, while not 100% effective, is still a very good way of preventing birth.  This is also a fact.


Don't even get me started on corporal punishment.  (https://www.kirksnosehair.com/Portals/0/images/smilies/pissedoff.gif)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 08:26:56 AM
I actually don't mind the idea of corporal punishment in society.  Jail is the dumbest idea ever.  It's expensive, and prisoners have a habit of becoming bitter and picking up bad habits because they live around other criminals.  Corporal punishment is quick and sends the message.

But schools should have no part of this.  It creates a not-so-underlying adversarial relationship between the kids and the school.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on July 03, 2012, 08:28:43 AM
Texas GOP calls for abstinence only sex ed and corporal punishment:

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/mobileweb/2012/06/27/texas-republican-party-2012-platform-education_n_1632097.html?fb_action_ids=10150926697415698%2C10150926692350698&fb_action_types=news.reads&fb_source=other_multiline


Quote
The position causing the most controversy, however, is the statement that they oppose the teaching of "higher order thinking skills" -- a curriculum which strives to encourage critical thinking -- arguing that it might challenge "student's fixed beliefs" and undermine "parental authority."

ಠ_ಠ
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 08:34:30 AM
Quote
The position causing the most controversy, however, is the statement that they oppose the teaching of "higher order thinking skills" -- a curriculum which strives to encourage critical thinking -- arguing that it might challenge "student's fixed beliefs" and undermine "parental authority."

In fairness, this could be a trap.  Just because you name a class "higher order thinking skills" doesn't mean it actually teaches any.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 03, 2012, 08:36:27 AM
I actually don't mind the idea of corporal punishment in society.  Jail is the dumbest idea ever.  It's expensive, and prisoners have a habit of becoming bitter and picking up bad habits because they live around other criminals.  Corporal punishment is quick and sends the message.

But schools should have no part of this.  It creates a not-so-underlying adversarial relationship between the kids and the school.
Hard to argue that jails and prisons are poorly thought out, but the cost factor is a benefit, not a detraction.  One of the problems with corporal punishment is that it's free, and therefore far too easy to administer cavalierly.  Punishment should reflect the cost to society that it actually entails. 

As for it's application in schools, you can take my word that it's not very effective beyond the fear factor.  If you've never experienced it, then it's somewhat worrisome.  Afterward, it's pretty much a joke.  This isn't Singapore. 

Quote
The position causing the most controversy, however, is the statement that they oppose the teaching of "higher order thinking skills" -- a curriculum which strives to encourage critical thinking -- arguing that it might challenge "student's fixed beliefs" and undermine "parental authority."

ಠ_ಠ
Yeah, all those tinfoil hat types who've been saying that the upper class is just looking to create mindless drones are looking much more legitimate. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 08:44:00 AM
...but the cost factor is a benefit, not a detraction.  One of the problems with corporal punishment is that it's free, and therefore far too easy to administer cavalierly.  Punishment should reflect the cost to society that it actually entails. 

Interesting.

Quote
As for it's application in schools, you can take my word that it's not very effective beyond the fear factor.  If you've never experienced it, then it's somewhat worrisome.  Afterward, it's pretty much a joke.  This isn't Singapore. 

Agreed.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 03, 2012, 08:52:42 AM
Quote
The position causing the most controversy, however, is the statement that they oppose the teaching of "higher order thinking skills" -- a curriculum which strives to encourage critical thinking -- arguing that it might challenge "student's fixed beliefs" and undermine "parental authority."

In fairness, this could be a trap.  Just because you name a class "higher order thinking skills" doesn't mean it actually teaches any.

Might be my liberal alarm bells, but to me it reeks heavily of attempting to counteract the inevitable outcomes of understanding stuff like evolution etc. I wouldn't be surprised if kids came home to their parents and said "No mom, the Earth isn't 6000 years old" and thus the parents try to put the kabosh on those dangerous thoughts. After all, it's easier to change the curriculum than your own preconceptions.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 08:56:56 AM
Might be my liberal alarm bells, but to me it reeks heavily of attempting to counteract the inevitable outcomes of understanding stuff like evolution etc. I wouldn't be surprised if kids came home to their parents and said "No mom, the Earth isn't 6000 years old" and thus the parents try to put the kabosh on those dangerous thoughts.

rumborak

You're reading a Huffington Post article.  That's what they want you to presume.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 03, 2012, 08:57:32 AM
Of course. Doesn't mean the notion is necessarily wrong.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 09:00:18 AM
Of course. Doesn't mean the notion is necessarily wrong.

rumborak

Of course.  But, and I know I'm being a bit of a douchebag, I find it a bit ironic that the base reaction of this board is "OMG, the evil Republicans are going to stop teaching critical thinking skills so they can indoctrinate creationism," a response that shows a lack of the critical thinking skills that are supposedly so valued.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 03, 2012, 09:16:31 AM
Quote
The position causing the most controversy, however, is the statement that they oppose the teaching of "higher order thinking skills" -- a curriculum which strives to encourage critical thinking -- arguing that it might challenge "student's fixed beliefs" and undermine "parental authority."

In fairness, this could be a trap.  Just because you name a class "higher order thinking skills" doesn't mean it actually teaches any.
As a lifelong Texan, I can assure you that logical and critical thinking scare the living hell out of plenty of people down here.  Lots of people want things to be simple and clear-cut.  When others start viewing things from perspectives out of the norm, it makes them highly uncomfortable.  Basically,  when you're happy with your preconceptions, you really don't want people being encouraged to apply a critical mind to them. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on July 03, 2012, 09:18:21 AM
Just for the record here's the actual text, though I'm not sure it's any clearer:

Quote
Knowledge-Based Education – We oppose the teaching of Higher Order Thinking Skills (HOTS) (values clarification), critical thinking skills and similar programs that are simply a relabeling of Outcome-Based Education (OBE) (mastery learning) which focus on behavior modification and have the purpose of challenging the student’s fixed beliefs and undermining parental authority.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 03, 2012, 09:21:52 AM
Yup.  Sounds just like the sorts of people around me. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 09:22:11 AM
As a lifelong Texan, I can assure you that logical and critical thinking scare the living hell out of plenty of people down here.  Lots of people want things to be simple and clear-cut.  When others start viewing things from perspectives out of the norm, it makes them highly uncomfortable.  Basically,  when you're happy with your preconceptions, you really don't want people being encouraged to apply a critical mind to them.

I'd imagine.  I'm not saying these classes are being opposed for the right reasons.

But does anyone know what is even taught in these classes?  Does anyone care?  Or is it better to just keep buying into the narrative of "Republicans try to institutionalize ignorance again, and we're going to criticize this because it makes us feel good"?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on July 03, 2012, 09:22:18 AM
I actually don't mind the idea of corporal punishment in society.  Jail is the dumbest idea ever.  It's expensive, and prisoners have a habit of becoming bitter and picking up bad habits because they live around other criminals.  Corporal punishment is quick and sends the message.
Except that corporal punishment usually ISN'T quick (those sentenced to it are often on death row for years, or even decades), and statistically, it isn't an effective deterrent.

Yes, the American prison system is horribly broken, but killing more people isn't the solution. Greater emphasis on rehabilitation when possible is a better route.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 09:24:54 AM
I actually don't mind the idea of corporal punishment in society.  Jail is the dumbest idea ever.  It's expensive, and prisoners have a habit of becoming bitter and picking up bad habits because they live around other criminals.  Corporal punishment is quick and sends the message.
Except that corporal punishment usually ISN'T quick (those sentenced to it are often on death row for years, or even decades), and statistically, it isn't an effective deterrent.

Yes, the American prison system is horribly broken, but killing more people isn't the solution. Greater emphasis on rehabilitation when possible is a better route.

You're thinking of capital punishment.  Corporal punishment is physical discipline like caning.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 03, 2012, 09:26:58 AM
As a lifelong Texan, I can assure you that logical and critical thinking scare the living hell out of plenty of people down here.  Lots of people want things to be simple and clear-cut.  When others start viewing things from perspectives out of the norm, it makes them highly uncomfortable.  Basically,  when you're happy with your preconceptions, you really don't want people being encouraged to apply a critical mind to them.

I'd imagine.  I'm not saying these classes are being opposed for the right reasons.

But does anyone know what is even taught in these classes?  Does anyone care?  Or is it better to just keep buying into the narrative of "Republicans try to institutionalize ignorance again, and we're going to criticize this because it makes us feel good"?
I gather we're not talking about specific classes, higher reasoning 101, but rather methods and practices of teaching a variety of subjects. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 09:32:11 AM
I gather we're not talking about specific classes, higher reasoning 101, but rather methods and practices of teaching a variety of subjects.

I Googled searched for it and after looking through four pages of results talking about the news story, this was the only thing on it I found, and it's not even helpful:

Higher order chart (https://wvde.state.wv.us/counselors/links/advisors/documents/10.14.2HigherOrderThinkingSkillsFIC.pdf)

Basically, if I want to read a news story that uses storytelling conventions to manipulate me into having an opinion, I can do that.  But, if I want to actually learn about the issue, I can't.  Charming.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 03, 2012, 09:37:38 AM
Should we maybe wait for confirmation from other news stations? Yes.
Have certain states' GOPs declared open war on "new thoughts"? Yes.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on July 03, 2012, 09:48:51 AM
itt Reapsta fights everybody
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 09:52:54 AM
Should we maybe wait for confirmation from other news stations? Yes.
Have certain states' GOPs declared open war on "new thoughts"? Yes.

rumborak

We know the story's true.

What I'm saying is, why so quick to go with the narrative of "GOP acts dumb again."  Why are they doing this?  What's going on emotionally, below all the yelling?  What's the solution.  How is this best solved?  Why does no one here seem to care?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 03, 2012, 09:55:45 AM
Reapsta, I would love there to be an actually good reason behind it. Unless proven otherwise, out of history I just have to assume that this is pandering to right-wing parents who don't appreciate their kids disagreeing with them.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 03, 2012, 09:57:13 AM
itt Reapsta fights everybody
A pleasant change of pace.  He's actually one of the better proponents of his [somewhat whacky] point of view. 

I gather we're not talking about specific classes, higher reasoning 101, but rather methods and practices of teaching a variety of subjects.

I Googled searched for it and after looking through four pages of results talking about the news story, this was the only thing on it I found, and it's not even helpful:

Higher order chart (https://wvde.state.wv.us/counselors/links/advisors/documents/10.14.2HigherOrderThinkingSkillsFIC.pdf)

Basically, if I want to read a news story that uses storytelling conventions to manipulate me into having an opinion, I can do that.  But, if I want to actually learn about the issue, I can't.  Charming.
Something you should keep in mind is that this sort of thing has been going on 8 or so years down here.  The Texas State Board of Education has been quite a battleground for a while now.  It has become largely politicized, with a fair amount of turmoil.  The history of which involves a good deal of whitewashing history and science to better fit a Republican agenda.  While the newest allegations regarding what they call higher order learning aren't real clear as of yet, there is a great deal of easily verifiable history pointing towards the attitude that we're decrying. 

edit: and what's going on emotionally, below all the yelling, is a grassroots movement to accomplish what I referred to earlier.  Creating kiddos who don't ask questions and believe what they're told to believe. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on July 03, 2012, 09:58:50 AM
What I'm saying is, why so quick to go with the narrative of "GOP acts dumb again."  Why are they doing this?  What's going on emotionally, below all the yelling?  What's the solution.  How is this best solved?  Why does no one here seem to care?
It is conservative, religion-based bureacracy.  That's the way it always happens.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 03, 2012, 11:26:02 AM
Relevant (https://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/23/world/americas/23iht-23prison.12253738.html?_r=1):


Quote
The United States has less than 5 percent of the world's population. But it has almost a quarter of the world's prisoners.


Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 03, 2012, 11:28:48 AM
That is fuuuuucked up.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on July 03, 2012, 11:29:36 AM
Fascinating. I'd like to see some other variables so we can get the best idea of why that's the case. Are our citizenz more rebelious, or are our laws too strict? Are most of those imprisoned there for major offenses or some minor stuff? And then how is our crime rate compared to other countries where less of the population is imprisoned?

I have a feeling I know the answer to all these questions.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 03, 2012, 11:36:15 AM
What I'm saying is, why so quick to go with the narrative of "GOP acts dumb again."


Show me some Democrats that are advocating "Abstinence Only"  I won't hold my breath while you look.



 Why are they doing this? 


My opinion:  Ignorance



What's going on emotionally, below all the yelling? 
Not sure that's all too relevant.  They can talk to a shrink or something, meanwhile, they need to smarten the fuck up.  Children are giving birth to children because of this stupidity.  I know because most of my wife's family are (wait for it) Republicans.....and they ALL have kids who are under 18 years of age who have become pregnant.  And wanna guess why?  Because they go to church where they are taught that abstinence is the only solution to birth control.  It's fucking absurd.



What's the solution. 
(https://www.google.com/url?source=imglanding&ct=img&q=https://thegatewaypundit.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/condom.jpg&sa=X&ei=yyzzT-3FEYPr6wH_0uGqCA&ved=0CAkQ8wc&usg=AFQjCNEl1wf3Brfh6b2VkT9ewCtzch3UIA)





How is this best solved? 
Teach young teenagers that abstinence is the best solution but condoms are also helpful.  It's not that difficult.



Why does no one here seem to care?
Plenty of people care.  They're typically called liberals, progressives and/or Democrats or some combination thereof
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on July 03, 2012, 11:46:47 AM
Fascinating. I'd like to see some other variables so we can get the best idea of why that's the case. Are our citizenz more rebelious, or are our laws too strict? Are most of those imprisoned there for major offenses or some minor stuff? And then how is our crime rate compared to other countries where less of the population is imprisoned?

I have a feeling I know the answer to all these questions.

~50% of it is for non-violent drug related crimes, mostly marijuana.

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TheOutlawXanadu on July 03, 2012, 11:47:04 AM
Should we maybe wait for confirmation from other news stations? Yes.
Have certain states' GOPs declared open war on "new thoughts"? Yes.

rumborak

We know the story's true.

What I'm saying is, why so quick to go with the narrative of "GOP acts dumb again."  Why are they doing this?  What's going on emotionally, below all the yelling?  What's the solution.  How is this best solved?  Why does no one here seem to care?

At this point, I simply don't take the GOP seriously enough to ask and/or answer these questions. I know that I should, but I can't bring myself to. It's at the point now, for better or for worse (probably for worse), that I read stories like these and my human nature makes me shrug and move on.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 03, 2012, 12:17:26 PM
Fascinating. I'd like to see some other variables so we can get the best idea of why that's the case. Are our citizenz more rebelious, or are our laws too strict? Are most of those imprisoned there for major offenses or some minor stuff? And then how is our crime rate compared to other countries where less of the population is imprisoned?

I have a feeling I know the answer to all these questions.

~50% of it is for non-violent drug related crimes, mostly marijuana.
Doubtful.  Here in Texas pot doesn't even make the top 30.  Burglary is the runaway winner.  Here's the rundown on Texas prisoners:
Quote
BURG HABIT    40019
AGG ROBBERY    22370
DWI    16498
AGG ASLT    13708
POSS C/S COCAINE    13572
AGG SEX ASLT CHILD    12816
ROBBERY    12684
POSS WIT DEL C/S COCAINE    10815
POSS C/S COCAINE    10110
INDECENCY W/CHILD    9489
BURG BLDG    9232
MURDER    7149
ROBBERY    7016
POSS C/S COCAINE    6304
POSS FIREARM BY FELON    5894
DEL CONT SUBS    5629
AGG ASLT    5582
MURDER    5580
AGG ROBBERY W/DEADLY WPN    5279
AGG SEX ASLT    5074
POSS C/S    4760
SEX ASLT CHILD    4652
AGG SEX ASLT    4195
UNAUTH USE MTR VEH    3753
AGG SEX ASLT CHILD    3435
DEL C/S COCAINE    3280
SEX ASLT    3232
BURG VEH    3135
THEFT    3069
AGG ASLT    3048

To address Implode's questions, I don't think our laws are necessarily to strict.  Our sentencing is.  People here have a real hard-on for punishment, so the answer to any crime is "throw him in prison" and they'll just keep building more jails to accommodate them.  A big part of that is fueled by a very real prison industrial complex (sorry, I hate calling things X-Y complexes, but it applies here).  Since we've privatized the prison industry, there's money to be made from every person sent up the river.  The Man pays you X amount for each one you take in, and you get to pimp him out to Olan Mills as cheap telemarketing labor. 

Other countries prefer treatment to incarceration.  Despite the fact that it works, we prefer to ridicule that notion, supported with bullshit numbers thrown out by people with a vested interest, financial or personal, in seeing people locked up. 

This is why I mentioned to Reapsta that imprisonment should be expensive.  We've turned it into a profitable endeavor, and the results are horrifying. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Implode on July 03, 2012, 12:28:25 PM
Good points, Barto.

It's probably true what you say, people in the US are more revenge/imprisonment in general. Do you think there are more people on average in the US willing to commit crimes like robbery and burglery? And if so, do you think that has a correlation to my first statement? Are Americans generally meaner people? Or at least more willing to make a situation better for themselves without considering the effects on others?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 03, 2012, 12:46:40 PM
Outside of the gang-banger culture, I don't think so.  In all societies, people rob banks.  People kill their SO's lover.  People commit insurance fraud.  People drive faster than the posted limit.  What he have is that aforementioned gangster mentality with it's corresponding glorification of criminality, and a prohibition on drugs which creates secondary crime that's probably not a factor in other countries.  While burglary makes up the overwhelming percentage of Texas prisoners, it's probably a safe bet that most of those burglaries are drug related. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 03, 2012, 12:48:15 PM
You can draw a line directly from the number of incarcerated people in the US to our refusal to treat the underlying causes of the crimes they commit that put them there.


The fact is, almost every prisoner in our jails and prisons is either a drug addict, an alcoholic or has some other psychological or emotional problems that contributed to the commission of the crimes that put them there.  But we don't treat them, we just build more prisons.


But as El Barto points out, the incarceration of our citizens is a hugely profitable venture so there is very little motivation to address the underlying cause of why we lead the world in prison population.  We just keep building more prisons.  California, for example, builds a new state prison every year.   (https://www.laprogressive.com/prison-industrial-complex-california/)


This problem isn't going away anytime soon.  What really exacerbates it in a big way is privatization.  We've got to take profit out of penal system. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 03, 2012, 01:28:44 PM
I say we do it like Norway, jailing criminals in peaceful and relaxing homes.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 03, 2012, 01:33:01 PM
I have a really hard time believing that 13,000 people have sexually assaulted Texan children to warrant incarceration. Which seems to corroborate EB's notion of being "tough on crime".

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 03, 2012, 01:39:17 PM
I have a really hard time believing that 13,000 people have sexually assaulted Texan children to warrant incarceration. Which seems to corroborate EB's notion of being "tough on crime".

rumborak
The definition of AGG SEX ASLT CHILD is pretty clear and unambiguous.  We're not talking statutory rape for nailing your 16 year old girlfriend here.  Those are the real deal.

I figure the reason the number seems high is because that's a list of the current population as of 2010, and not the convictions for that year.  If the average sentence is 15 years or so, then that's 15 year's worth of kiddy-diddlers. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Shine on July 03, 2012, 01:41:31 PM
Not sure if this has been posted in this thread before, but it's worthy of discussion. Political Compass puts all the Presidential candidates on an x-y graph and does a summary of them.

https://www.politicalcompass.org/uselection2012

Earlier in the year they had all the Republican hopefuls on there as well, I believe Ron Paul was on the same X (left-right) axis as Gary Johnson, but slightly lower on the Z (towards libertarian).

If you believe this is accurate, it shows just how similar the two major parties are.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on July 03, 2012, 02:40:23 PM
Political Compass sucks. It's better than "left-right", but really you need something three-dimensional instead.

@those texas stats:
A lot will be gang related and thus drug related anyway. Possession, weapons charges, murder, assault etc - all part of the game.

That's why legalizing marijuana won't solve much. Plus, so much crime goes on in the prisons, and many people who are locked up for possession charges just turn worse because of their stay inside. It's better when the crime is kept inside the prisons and not on the streets, but it leaks when people return on paroles and what not.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 02:57:07 PM
Reapsta, I would love there to be an actually good reason behind it. Unless proven otherwise, out of history I just have to assume that this is pandering to right-wing parents who don't appreciate their kids disagreeing with them.

rumborak

It's not a matter of whether the reason is good or not.  I'm inclined to believe that they're not just wrong, but dangerously wrong.

It's also irrelevant.  You CANNOT simply dismiss, ridicule, and blow off nearly half the country's electorate and not expect them to be enraged.  You're all doing it in this thread and then saying it's the Republicans' fault for having a completely natural reaction.

By talking about what's right and what's wrong, you're falling into the same intellectual limitations the Republicans are.  Abstinence only education is what god would want, so it's right.  No thinking required.  You're saying "The Republicans are acting like idiots, so they must be wrong" and doing the same thing.

Do you think that if you ignore them they'll just go away?  That's what the Republicans tried with the Democrats during Bush's presidency, and they paid for it in 2006 and 2008.

Show me some Democrats that are advocating "Abstinence Only"  I won't hold my breath while you look.

I can do this too:

Show me some Republicans who believe in "animal rights."  Show me some Republicans who believe that Global Warming will cause the apocalypse.  Show me some Republicans who are advocating legalized partial-birth abortion.

Quote
My opinion:  Ignorance

Human motivation doesn't work that way.  It's about your feelings wanting you to achieve a certain thing.

Quote

What's going on emotionally, below all the yelling? 
Not sure that's all too relevant.  They can talk to a shrink or something, meanwhile, they need to smarten the fuck up.  Children are giving birth to children because of this stupidity.  I know because most of my wife's family are (wait for it) Republicans.....and they ALL have kids who are under 18 years of age who have become pregnant.  And wanna guess why?  Because they go to church where they are taught that abstinence is the only solution to birth control.  It's fucking absurd.

I'm not going to talk about your personal circumstances because I don't know about them.  They sound awful though.

It's not because they're Republicans though.  That's the symptom.  What's the underlying cause?

Quote

What's the solution. 
[condom picture]

Genius.

Quote

How is this best solved? 
Teach young teenagers that abstinence is the best solution but condoms are also helpful.  It's not that difficult.

Right.  But how do we get there?

Quote

Why does no one here seem to care?
Plenty of people care.  They're typically called liberals, progressives and/or Democrats or some combination thereof.

So you're saying the Republicans who are screaming about this until they're red in the face don't care?  They're wrong, but lack of caring certainly isn't the issue.

You can draw a line directly from the number of incarcerated people in the US to our refusal to treat the underlying causes of the crimes they commit that put them there.

Interesting.  You seem to think that you can't properly deal with criminals unless you properly address why they're committing crimes.  But with the Republicans, who generally aren't committing robbery, rape, assault, etc., you want them to just change their minds because they're wrong.

At this point, I simply don't take the GOP seriously enough to ask and/or answer these questions. I know that I should, but I can't bring myself to. It's at the point now, for better or for worse (probably for worse), that I read stories like these and my human nature makes me shrug and move on.

Aaannnndddd there it is.  They know you don't take them seriously, and that's why they're pissed.  When the GOP returns to power (they will, if not during this election) they will remember how they were treated and act accordingly.  And we'll all be screwed.

The solution is to stop the condescension now.

This is why I mentioned to Reapsta that imprisonment should be expensive.  We've turned it into a profitable endeavor, and the results are horrifying. 

Private prisons are one of the worst ideas ever.

I say we do it like Norway, jailing criminals in peaceful and relaxing homes.

Please.  I'd rob a bank tomorrow if that were my "punishment."
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 03, 2012, 02:58:53 PM
Reapsta, I would love there to be an actually good reason behind it. Unless proven otherwise, out of history I just have to assume that this is pandering to right-wing parents who don't appreciate their kids disagreeing with them.

rumborak

It's not a matter of whether the reason is good or not.  I'm inclined to believe that they're not just wrong, but dangerously wrong.

It's also irrelevant.  You CANNOT simply dismiss, ridicule, and blow off nearly half the country's electorate and not expect them to be enraged.  You're all doing it in this thread and then saying it's the Republicans' fault for having a completely natural reaction.

By talking about what's right and what's wrong, you're falling into the same intellectual limitations the Republicans are.  Abstinence only education is what god would want, so it's right.  No thinking required.  You're saying "The Republicans are acting like idiots, so they must be wrong" and doing the same thing.

Do you think that if you ignore them they'll just go away?  That's what the Republicans tried with the Democrats during Bush's presidency, and they paid for it in 2006 and 2008.

Show me some Democrats that are advocating "Abstinence Only"  I won't hold my breath while you look.

I can do this too:

Show me some Republicans who believe in "animal rights."  Show me some Republicans who believe that Global Warming will cause the apocalypse.  Show me some Republicans who are advocating legalized partial-birth abortion.

Quote
My opinion:  Ignorance

Human motivation doesn't work that way.  It's about your feelings wanting you to achieve a certain thing.

Quote

What's going on emotionally, below all the yelling? 
Not sure that's all too relevant.  They can talk to a shrink or something, meanwhile, they need to smarten the fuck up.  Children are giving birth to children because of this stupidity.  I know because most of my wife's family are (wait for it) Republicans.....and they ALL have kids who are under 18 years of age who have become pregnant.  And wanna guess why?  Because they go to church where they are taught that abstinence is the only solution to birth control.  It's fucking absurd.

I'm not going to talk about your personal circumstances because I don't know about them.  They sound awful though.

It's not because they're Republicans though.  That's the symptom.  What's the underlying cause?

Quote

What's the solution. 
[condom picture]

Genius.

Quote

How is this best solved? 
Teach young teenagers that abstinence is the best solution but condoms are also helpful.  It's not that difficult.

Right.  But how do we get there?

Quote

Why does no one here seem to care?
Plenty of people care.  They're typically called liberals, progressives and/or Democrats or some combination thereof.

So you're saying the Republicans who are screaming about this until they're red in the face don't care?  They're wrong, but lack of caring certainly isn't the issue.

You can draw a line directly from the number of incarcerated people in the US to our refusal to treat the underlying causes of the crimes they commit that put them there.

Interesting.  You seem to think that you can't properly deal with criminals unless you properly address why they're committing crimes.  But with the Republicans, who generally aren't committing robbery, rape, assault, etc., you want them to just change their minds because they're wrong.

At this point, I simply don't take the GOP seriously enough to ask and/or answer these questions. I know that I should, but I can't bring myself to. It's at the point now, for better or for worse (probably for worse), that I read stories like these and my human nature makes me shrug and move on.

Aaannnndddd there it is.  They know you don't take them seriously, and that's why they're pissed.  When the GOP returns to power (they will, if not during this election) they will remember how they were treated and act accordingly.  And we'll all be screwed.

The solution is to stop the condescension now.

This is why I mentioned to Reapsta that imprisonment should be expensive.  We've turned it into a profitable endeavor, and the results are horrifying. 

Private prisons are one of the worst ideas ever.

I say we do it like Norway, jailing criminals in peaceful and relaxing homes.

Please.  I'd rob a bank tomorrow if that were my "punishment."

I don't know about the others but these I can have for you by midnight tonight. And by the way, Norway has one of the lowest recidivism rates in the world. Correlation does not equal causation, but it doesn't hurt.

https://www.postchronicle.com/cgi-bin/artman/exec/view.cgi?archive=269&num=377872
https://www.stanford.edu/group/progressive/cgi-bin/?p=653
https://www.forbes.com/sites/erikkain/2011/07/25/despite-recent-shootings-norway-is-a-low-crime-nation/
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 03:04:35 PM
I don't know about the others but these I can have for you by midnight tonight.

Somewhere, there's a Democrat who believes in Abstinence only education.  Probably quite a few in the south actually.

I was trying to mirror what Kirk was doing to point out that it's a very tenuous argument.

Quote
And by the way, Norway has one of the lowest recidivism rates in the world. Correlation does not equal causation, but it doesn't hurt.

https://www.postchronicle.com/cgi-bin/artman/exec/view.cgi?archive=269&num=377872
https://www.stanford.edu/group/progressive/cgi-bin/?p=653
https://www.forbes.com/sites/erikkain/2011/07/25/despite-recent-shootings-norway-is-a-low-crime-nation/

Norway =/= America

The culture in both countries is completely different.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 03, 2012, 03:07:14 PM
I hate that argument. I hate for example when people say we can't have European-style healthcare because our way of life is different and we shouldn't try to change our way of life. That's like a doctor telling his morbidly obese patient, "If you keep going like this and don't try to eat right or exercise, you're going to die. But that's your way of life, and I don't have the right to tell you to change that."
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 03:14:06 PM
I hate that argument. I hate for example when people say we can't have European-style healthcare because our way of life is different and we shouldn't try to change our way of life. That's like a doctor telling his morbidly obese patient, "If you keep going like this and don't try to eat right or exercise, you're going to die. But that's your way of life, and I don't have the right to tell you to change that."

Two things:

 - I sorta know what you mean.  I think it would be a good thing to ask "What is the most desirable way to handle crime in this country" and work toward that rather than being intellectually imposed by any limitations.  But you have to go through the process of figuring out how to make it work in this country rather than just doing it.  For example, you might look at Japan and say "See?  If nobody can own a gun, then the crime rate doesn't go up."  But when you look at the experience of Britain, a country far more comparable to the US, the gun control experience isn't quite so rosy.  In particular, the rate of hot burglaries (burglaries while occupants are home) is far higher than the US.  I'm not saying these things are necessarily correlated, but it's far more likely they are than they aren't.

 - In you doctor example, the doctor doesn't really have the right to tell him that.  It's his life, even if he's probably not living it in the best way.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 03, 2012, 03:23:39 PM
I get what you're saying Reap, but can't you accept that there are some people who are just not capable of reason?  In fact, thanks to the last 12 years of politics, I'd say that applies to a pretty big chunk of this here country.  As the system is working down here in Tejas, I can assure you that there just isn't much room for discussion anymore.  Referring back to the state school board, that's one of the most contentious elections we have.  When the Republicans won the majority (and had one appointed chair by then Governor Dumbass), they went on something of a rampage.  Pretty much exactly what you say they'll do in a few years on a larger scale.  It's already happened. The Democratic minority's response was to basically pack up and quit.  No point in going on, from their point of view.  The reason they're now on about higher learning skills is because they can be.  That simple enough?

Understanding why one side thinks the way they do is great in concept, but quite honestly, the answer renders itself moot when the positions have been effectively boiled down to good vs. evil.  When somebody legitimately believes that their way of life is being destroyed, it no longer matters if they're right or not.  They'll act however they can to defend it, and they won't listen to the people they think are attacking it. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 03:35:07 PM
When somebody legitimately believes that their way of life is being destroyed, it no longer matters if they're right or not.  They'll act however they can to defend it, and they won't listen to the people they think are attacking it.

Stop destroying their way of life then.

I know what scares Christians who are against gay marriage more than anything else.  The thing that haunts the deepest reaches of their brain.  It's this headline, or the equivalent of it:

"9th Circuit Appeals Court Rules That Church Must Hold Gay Marriage Ceremony"

Every person who believes in gay marriage needs to be saying, as loud as humanly possible, "This is about them and their rights, not about you and your way of life.  We don't agree with not letting them get married in your churches, but we'll respect that because it's not our business to say what you can and can't do."

It's not happening.  I don't follow politics closely, but I don't ignore them.  If I'm not hearing this message from the left, then they aren't advocating it loudly enough.

You can go through every hot button issue and see why Democrats/Liberals aren't handling this the right way to at least some degree.

Another example - The narrative of the Obama election becoming about how it was a triumph for hope and change and against racism.  Over 40% of the country didn't vote for Obama.  Right or not, they didn't feel hopeful about what he was doing and weren't interested in the change he was advocating.  And except for a truly small fringe minority, no one consciously voted against him because he was black or held that against him.  They just thought he was the worse candidate.

But, all those people heard was "This was a battle between right and wrong, and you were on the wrong side."  How are they supposed to feel?  I voted Libertarian.  Am I a racist?  Do I want dismay and stagnation?

"But this is politics, shouldn't they put their feelings aside and think rationally?"

That's an impossible thing to ask of any human in any situation.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 03, 2012, 03:55:48 PM
When somebody legitimately believes that their way of life is being destroyed, it no longer matters if they're right or not.  They'll act however they can to defend it, and they won't listen to the people they think are attacking it.

Stop destroying their way of life then.
By discouraging critical thinking?

You're overlooking the middlemen in all of this.  While it's all well and good to say that the democrats aren't allaying the fears of the Republicans,  it's impossible to ignore that the people the Republicans trust most keep telling them that the democrats are evil and hell bent to destroy their way of life.  If I say that I don't want churches to be forced to perform homosexual marriages, Rush Limbaugh will say that I do.  Who is Elroy McDerrmott from Sugarland, Texas going to believe?  Then you've got the elected assholes themselves.  You think Myth can get elected by suggesting that the democrats are actually very reasonable, but just have different ways of doing things?  No. His election is a moral imperative to undo the damage they continue to do.

"But this is politics, shouldn't they put their feelings aside and think rationally?"

That's an impossible thing to ask of any human in any situation.
Directed at a person who time and time again, in this very forum, has demonstrated a willingness to take up positions outside of his personal beliefs,  because reason and emotion rarely see eye to eye.  The ability to see things from beyond your own narrow view is a skill that I see tremendous value in, and is exactly what scares the bejeezus out of the people who seek to discourage it down here. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on July 03, 2012, 04:17:29 PM
When somebody legitimately believes that their way of life is being destroyed, it no longer matters if they're right or not.  They'll act however they can to defend it, and they won't listen to the people they think are attacking it.

Stop destroying their way of life then.

I know what scares Christians who are against gay marriage more than anything else.  The thing that haunts the deepest reaches of their brain.  It's this headline, or the equivalent of it:

"9th Circuit Appeals Court Rules That Church Must Hold Gay Marriage Ceremony"

Every person who believes in gay marriage needs to be saying, as loud as humanly possible, "This is about them and their rights, not about you and your way of life.  We don't agree with not letting them get married in your churches, but we'll respect that because it's not our business to say what you can and can't do."

It's not happening.  I don't follow politics closely, but I don't ignore them.  If I'm not hearing this message from the left, then they aren't advocating it loudly enough.
Are you serious?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 03, 2012, 04:26:59 PM
I hate that argument. I hate for example when people say we can't have European-style healthcare because our way of life is different and we shouldn't try to change our way of life. That's like a doctor telling his morbidly obese patient, "If you keep going like this and don't try to eat right or exercise, you're going to die. But that's your way of life, and I don't have the right to tell you to change that."

Two things:

 - I sorta know what you mean.  I think it would be a good thing to ask "What is the most desirable way to handle crime in this country" and work toward that rather than being intellectually imposed by any limitations.  But you have to go through the process of figuring out how to make it work in this country rather than just doing it.  For example, you might look at Japan and say "See?  If nobody can own a gun, then the crime rate doesn't go up."  But when you look at the experience of Britain, a country far more comparable to the US, the gun control experience isn't quite so rosy.  In particular, the rate of hot burglaries (burglaries while occupants are home) is far higher than the US.  I'm not saying these things are necessarily correlated, but it's far more likely they are than they aren't.

 - In you doctor example, the doctor doesn't really have the right to tell him that.  It's his life, even if he's probably not living it in the best way.

...What? Forget the political discussion, that's a doctor's job. They can't make you do anything, but you'd be a very bad doctor if you didn't recommend a change of lifestyle.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 04:58:05 PM
By discouraging critical thinking?

Nah.  It's like an argument in a relationship.  The argument is never about who left the milk out.  It's about a thousand different other things.  Even thinking about this issue is a red herring in a sense.

Quote
You're overlooking the middlemen in all of this.  While it's all well and good to say that the democrats aren't allaying the fears of the Republicans,  it's impossible to ignore that the people the Republicans trust most keep telling them that the democrats are evil and hell bent to destroy their way of life.  If I say that I don't want churches to be forced to perform homosexual marriages, Rush Limbaugh will say that I do.  Who is Elroy McDerrmott from Sugarland, Texas going to believe?  Then you've got the elected assholes themselves.  You think Myth can get elected by suggesting that the democrats are actually very reasonable, but just have different ways of doing things?  No. His election is a moral imperative to undo the damage they continue to do.

I've got no answer to the Rush thing.

The politician part is easier.  You can have the required emotional tenor of a crusade without actually saying too much of anything.  You might want the ACA replaced with a law that still does many of the same things.  But, if you say "I want the ACA to be repealed" with enough vigor then the message still carries.  And you're not lying.

Quote
Directed at a person who time and time again, in this very forum, has demonstrated a willingness to take up positions outside of his personal beliefs,  because reason and emotion rarely see eye to eye.  The ability to see things from beyond your own narrow view is a skill that I see tremendous value in, and is exactly what scares the bejeezus out of the people who seek to discourage it down here.

It's not that rational thinking is a bad thing.  It should be encouraged.

But if the emotional part of your brain wants to take the wheel, then it cannot be stopped, period.  It will literally make you unable to see reality to get its way if it must.  You're only as rational as your mind lets you be.

Telling people not to be emotional is a useless waste of time.  It's more worthwhile to avoid the emotional triggers in the first place.

...What? Forget the political discussion, that's a doctor's job. They can't make you do anything, but you'd be a very bad doctor if you didn't recommend a change of lifestyle.

The doctor should recommend that change, yes.  But is it the doctor's place to force the person to make those changes?

Are you serious?

I know this from first-hand knowledge.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TheOutlawXanadu on July 03, 2012, 05:33:35 PM
I'm not even sure what's being argued about anymore.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 03, 2012, 07:49:22 PM
Here's those pro-environment conservatives you ordered:

https://conservamerica.org/
https://www.facebook.com/ConservativesForTheEnvironment
https://www.climateconservative.org/

Yes, I realize it's not the same thing as Republicans for the environment (not exactly, anyway) but it's a start. And certainly disproves your theory.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 03, 2012, 08:24:30 PM
Yes, I realize it's not the same thing as Republicans for the environment (not exactly, anyway) but it's a start. And certainly disproves your theory.

I never seriously meant that.  I was trying to say something stupid on purpose.

That said, the first and third links were interesting.  I wish the first one had a list of positions they take.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on July 04, 2012, 04:42:46 AM
Are you serious?

I know this from first-hand knowledge.
The government has never forced any American church ever to marry a couple that they didn't want to marry.  If you know people who are worried about that, then you know some stupid people who need to get their shit together.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 04, 2012, 01:59:20 PM
The government has never forced any American church ever to marry a couple that they didn't want to marry.  If you know people who are worried about that, then you know some stupid people who need to get their shit together.

Isn't this the same kind of venom that the Republicans are (rightfully) criticized for?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 04, 2012, 02:43:11 PM
Nah, that was pretty qualified.  Some conservatives believe that nonsense, and they are therefore stupid and with separated shit.  The venomous equivalent would be "stoopid libtards think the government should force churches to marry homos.  Stoopid libtards!"  One's directed at a narrow group, and the other's a blanket statement.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 04, 2012, 03:10:53 PM
Now look where this thread has gone.  "Well of course it makes sense that he'd act hateful in this situation.  They earned it."

You all wonder why there's such political bitterness in this country as you literally embody it.  Come on now.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ClairvoyantCat on July 04, 2012, 03:40:13 PM
lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on July 05, 2012, 05:04:30 AM
Now look where this thread has gone.  "Well of course it makes sense that he'd act hateful in this situation.  They earned it."

You all wonder why there's such political bitterness in this country as you literally embody it.  Come on now.
I don't wonder at all.  It's because a lot of conservatives believe a lot of things that aren't true.  Like this example, or that Obama is a Socialist/Communist/not born here.  People like that can't be reasoned with.  People like that use bitterness as their argument.  I simply don't see that kind of behavior on the liberal side. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on July 05, 2012, 08:51:17 AM
I don't wonder at all.  It's because a lot of conservatives believe a lot of things that aren't true.  Like this example, or that Obama is a Socialist/Communist/not born here.  People like that can't be reasoned with.  People like that use bitterness as their argument.  I simply don't see that kind of behavior on the liberal side.
Obama's socialism is pretty well-established. According to former roommate John Drew, Obama was an "ardent Marxist-Leninist" during his stay at Occidental College. Obama associated with Marxist professors and visited communist Frank Marshall Davis three times a week, as stated in his autobiography. Frank Marshall Davis may even be Obama's real father, as alleged in a new documentary. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6jrrnkKmUzo) Continuing, Obama's associations with communists Bill Ayers, Saul Alinsky, and Bernardine Dohrn are well known and he participated in the far-left Chicago New Party and Progressive Chicago in the 90s. Obama has now surrounded himself with socialist/communists, including Van Jones, Cass Sunstein, and Rick Bookstaber who defends the idea of class warfare (https://rick.bookstaber.com/) on his blog. And when you have a president saying things like "the free market doesn't work" and "I think when you spread the wealth around, it's good for everybody" it's plain as day.

"There can be no doubt that Obama is a socialist in the European reform-Marxism tradition."
- Forbes Magazine

Also hefdaddy, don't forget that just a few years ago, liberals were extremely bitter towards George W. Bush, as they should have been. Obama supporters just can't figure out that they're the new Bush supporters.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 05, 2012, 08:52:41 AM


I'm not going to talk about your personal circumstances because I don't know about them.  They sound awful though.

It's not because they're Republicans though.  That's the symptom.  What's the underlying cause?



You're right, it's not because THEY'RE Republicans, it's because their parents are highly conservative Christians.  (they just happen to be Republicans) But the underlying cause IS because they come from conservative religious families who have indoctrinated their children into their culture and beliefs from the beginning, which includes a very conservative Christian worldview (remember, these are kids, all of them are between 15 and 20 years of age).  And what do you think these kids have been taught?  They were NOT taught about contraception, because astonishingly, their parents and their peers see it as a "sin" so they were taught to "not have sex" out of wedlock and that is the only option they were given. 


It's worked really, really well.   My wife has 4 sisters.  Those 4 sisters have produced 13 children collectively.  Of those 13 children, 4 are girls.  Of those 4, only 1 is an adult by legal standards (she's just recently turned 18) and of those 4 girls -these are my wife's nieces- they have now produced a whopping 14 babies.  That's 14 infants (our great nieces and nephews, the oldest is 2) that have absolutely no chance in life.  That's 14 kids who have parents that are either on public assistance, living in shelters, or living in their parents' basements and unable to care for them in any meaningful way.  The underlying cause of all of this is an extremely conservative religious upbringing that taught these mothers that the only way to prevent pregnancy is to avoid sex. 


Now contrast that to my wife's brother.  He's not a religious person or a conservative person and he has two daughters, both of whom are on the pill.  (e.g. contraception) and guess how many kids they have?  None.   One of them is in college studying to be a nurse, the other just finished business school and is starting a job as a legal secretary in a few weeks.  They both have a good chance at making a nice life for themselves, the others who have all those kids....their lives are over.  They're all teenagers and they're "raising"  ::)  children.  Kids having kids.  All because their parents wouldn't put them on the damned pill.  It's ridiculous. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 05, 2012, 09:09:35 AM
So why are they afraid of sex?  Because the bible says so?  Please.  The interpretation of the Bible comes after the personal biases.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: hefdaddy42 on July 05, 2012, 09:51:39 AM
I don't wonder at all.  It's because a lot of conservatives believe a lot of things that aren't true.  Like this example, or that Obama is a Socialist/Communist/not born here.  People like that can't be reasoned with.  People like that use bitterness as their argument.  I simply don't see that kind of behavior on the liberal side.
Obama's socialism is pretty well-established. According to former roommate John Drew, Obama was an "ardent Marxist-Leninist" during his stay at Occidental College. Obama associated with Marxist professors and visited communist Frank Marshall Davis three times a week, as stated in his autobiography. Frank Marshall Davis may even be Obama's real father, as alleged in a new documentary. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6jrrnkKmUzo) Continuing, Obama's associations with communists Bill Ayers, Saul Alinsky, and Bernardine Dohrn are well known and he participated in the far-left Chicago New Party and Progressive Chicago in the 90s. Obama has now surrounded himself with socialist/communists, including Van Jones, Cass Sunstein, and Rick Bookstaber who defends the idea of class warfare (https://rick.bookstaber.com/) on his blog. And when you have a president saying things like "the free market doesn't work" and "I think when you spread the wealth around, it's good for everybody" it's plain as day.

"There can be no doubt that Obama is a socialist in the European reform-Marxism tradition."
- Forbes Magazine
Yes, he has talked with many people, including some who have non-capitalist tendencies.  So what?  None of his actual political activities are Socialist or Communist.  In fact, actual Socialists and Communists pretty much laugh at this proposition.  But don't let that stop the conspiracy theorists.

Also hefdaddy, don't forget that just a few years ago, liberals were extremely bitter towards George W. Bush, as they should have been. Obama supporters just can't figure out that they're the new Bush supporters.
They were bitter towards Bush because of things he actually said or did, not because of things they believed about him that were compete fabrications.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TheOutlawXanadu on July 05, 2012, 10:07:46 AM
Out of curiosity: Has the left ever said anything about George W. Bush as ridiculous as some of the things that are said about Obama? I'm talking about things like "Obama is a Muslim" or "Obama is from Africa".
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 05, 2012, 10:10:08 AM
Now look where this thread has gone.  "Well of course it makes sense that he'd act hateful in this situation.  They earned it."

You all wonder why there's such political bitterness in this country as you literally embody it.  Come on now.
I don't wonder at all.  It's because a lot of conservatives believe a lot of things that aren't true.  Like this example, or that Obama is a Socialist/Communist/not born here.  People like that can't be reasoned with.  People like that use bitterness as their argument.  I simply don't see that kind of behavior on the liberal side.

Three thoughts occur here:

 - Reason isn't really the issue.  If people like that can't be reasoned with, then another means of communication must be employed.

 - Perception is reality in politics.  Not reality.

 - I think calling these kinds of claims completely untrue is a bit of a stretch.  For instance, remember the Catholic Birth Control thing I mentioned earlier?  Maybe Obama isn't waging a war on religion, but it's clear that he doesn't really give a crap about what more conservative religious groups in this country think.  Also, if we look up the first definition in the Dictionary for socialism:

Quote
a theory or system of social organization  that advocates the vesting of the ownership and control of the means of production and distribution, of capital, land, etc., in the community as a whole.

Doesn't this sound even a little bit with how Obama is working with big businesses who need government assistance?  At least in theory, the government is the community's representative.  Isn't any business regulation socialism to some degree?

Out of curiosity: Has the left ever said anything about George W. Bush as ridiculous as some of the things that are said about Obama? I'm talking about things like "Obama is a Muslim" or "Obama is from Africa".

That he stole the 2000 election?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on July 05, 2012, 10:10:56 AM
I think Romney is going to win in 2012. [citation needed]

I don't have any real reason as to why, just a feeling.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on July 05, 2012, 10:15:07 AM
]None of his actual political activities are Socialist or Communist.

How about socialized medicine and the bailouts?

They were bitter towards Bush because of things he actually said or did, not because of things they believed about him that were compete fabrications.

Here's something that's most certainly not a fabrication: Obama said he was going to repeal the Patriot Act but actually voted to extend it. Where oh where is the liberal outrage? People get too caught up in the partisanship to realize that Obama's just another puppet president working for a corrupt Establishment- soon to be re-elected because the Republicans nominated a blithering idiot.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: eric42434224 on July 05, 2012, 10:21:16 AM
How about socialized medicine and the bailouts?

Medicaid and Medicare are socialized medicine and have been around for quite a while.
So have bailouts.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 05, 2012, 10:21:55 AM
What socialized medicine?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 05, 2012, 10:26:50 AM
I think Romney is going to win in 2012. [citation needed]

I don't have any real reason as to why, just a feeling.

Interesting.  I don't see how Romney can win.  This is Obama's election to lose.  What he's done during his first term is kinda ingenious.  Through the bailouts and the ACA, he put the power to solve societal problems in the hands of the government.  Of course, because it's the government, none of these solutions are good long term and thus the government needs to keep being involved in the problem solving.  He also handled the Republicans perfectly.  He took multiple tactical losses to create the illusion of compromise while making no major strategic concessions.  This also lulled the Republicans into thinking they were making progress, giving them the illusion of having permission to do nuttier and nuttier things.

Now, Obama can say "The Republicans want to take away your healthcare, affordable school loans, and jobs."  And he's not wrong.  As Jeff Goldblum would say, "checkmate."
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 05, 2012, 10:57:28 AM
Out of curiosity: Has the left ever said anything about George W. Bush as ridiculous as some of the things that are said about Obama? I'm talking about things like "Obama is a Muslim" or "Obama is from Africa".
I said he was a psychopath and sported significant Oedipal issues, although I'd hardly consider that ridiculous.

That he stole the 2000 election?
Yeah, it's unfortunate he gets blamed for all of those voters who intentionally disenfranchised themselves. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TheOutlawXanadu on July 05, 2012, 11:08:07 AM
Doesn't this sound even a little bit with how Obama is working with big businesses who need government assistance?  At least in theory, the government is the community's representative.  Isn't any business regulation socialism to some degree?

I don't think that makes it fair to call him a socialist though. There's a huge difference between "Obama does some things that are socialist to a degree" and "Obama is a socialist". :lol

Quote
Out of curiosity: Has the left ever said anything about George W. Bush as ridiculous as some of the things that are said about Obama? I'm talking about things like "Obama is a Muslim" or "Obama is from Africa".

That he stole the 2000 election?

Is that something that was talked about as much in as the "Obama is a Muslim" thing? I'm not being confrontational - I really don't know.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 05, 2012, 11:36:51 AM
Anyone who calls Obama a socialist really needs to learn more about how socialism actually works, not just the dictionary definitions.


This post from a person who would absolutely LOVE IT if Obama WERE a socialist.  Unfortunately, he's not even close.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 05, 2012, 12:03:19 PM
Is that something that was talked about as much in as the "Obama is a Muslim" thing? I'm not being confrontational - I really don't know.

I remember lots of anger and talk about it back in the day.

Anyone who calls Obama a socialist really needs to learn more about how socialism actually works, not just the dictionary definitions.

This post from a person who would absolutely LOVE IT if Obama WERE a socialist.  Unfortunately, he's not even close.

How does socialism work then?  What would he be doing that he's not doing?

EDIT:  Missed this:

Doesn't this sound even a little bit with how Obama is working with big businesses who need government assistance?  At least in theory, the government is the community's representative.  Isn't any business regulation socialism to some degree?

I don't think that makes it fair to call him a socialist though. There's a huge difference between "Obama does some things that are socialist to a degree" and "Obama is a socialist". :lol

What I'm trying to suggest though is that the claim isn't without basis in reality.  People see socialism in Obama's policies and bring it up.  They're told that they're being idiots.  Then they see more socialism, and are again told they are being idiots.  When you're prevented from having any logical recourse, you turn to name calling.  It's like when a parent tells their child "you're going to do it because I told you so."  When you tell them they're not allowed to think logically, they eventually don't bother.

This dynamic is happening in American politics.  The left is trying to say it's beyond criticism, which is part of why the right has given up on trying to rationally offer any.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on July 05, 2012, 12:11:22 PM
Obama's socialism is pretty well-established. According to former roommate John Drew, Obama was an "ardent Marxist-Leninist" during his stay at Occidental College. Obama associated with Marxist professors and visited communist Frank Marshall Davis three times a week, as stated in his autobiography. Frank Marshall Davis may even be Obama's real father, as alleged in a new documentary. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6jrrnkKmUzo) Continuing, Obama's associations with communists Bill Ayers, Saul Alinsky, and Bernardine Dohrn are well known and he participated in the far-left Chicago New Party and Progressive Chicago in the 90s. Obama has now surrounded himself with socialist/communists, including Van Jones, Cass Sunstein, and Rick Bookstaber who defends the idea of class warfare (https://rick.bookstaber.com/) on his blog. And when you have a president saying things like "the free market doesn't work" and "I think when you spread the wealth around, it's good for everybody" it's plain as day.

"There can be no doubt that Obama is a socialist in the European reform-Marxism tradition."
- Forbes Magazine

Also hefdaddy, don't forget that just a few years ago, liberals were extremely bitter towards George W. Bush, as they should have been. Obama supporters just can't figure out that they're the new Bush supporters.

First of all: Socialism =/= Communism, and it's quite a stretch to claim that Ayres, Alinsky and Dohrn are communists. It's like claiming Ralph Nader is a communist. I would say they are proponents of certain socialist ideas, and most of the US are actually in favor of them. That being said, none of them are going to ever be proponents of dismantling private property for the means of production.

All of them understand that capitalism is one of the only ways to produce considerable wealth, yet feel the wealth has to be distributed. So they want a bit of both. That doesn't make them full blown left-communists.

Furthermore, I want to point out that Hans-Hermann Hoppe is arguably one of the most fierce anarcho-capitalists out there, and he earned his Ph.D in Philosophy under prominent Marxist Jürgen Habermas in Frankfurt. So this guilt by association BS is not acceptable.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 05, 2012, 12:13:06 PM

ReaPsTA:

It won't work here.   It will never work here. So it really doesn't matter.  But you've just asked me the equivalent of "how big is a piece of string?"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socialism (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socialism) <--- as you'll see from that, the word has a very broad general meaning. 

I think we'd (maybe) under the right conditions, be able to build on (for example) the public school system, public library system, parks, roads, highways, etc, and grow into a democratic socialist state, but the word "socialism" is too poisoned here in the US for it to ever get any leverage, so it's a moot point. 

The larger point I was trying to make is people who don't really know how socialism actually works (or how it could work in the ideal configuration) throw it out as an epithet against Obama because they know that the typical uneducated voter will latch onto that word as if they called him a "satanist" and run with it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on July 05, 2012, 12:27:00 PM
You should see this:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gsx_GMj4k08 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gsx_GMj4k08)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 05, 2012, 12:28:23 PM
as you'll see from that, the word has a very broad general meaning.

If that's the case, then why are Obama's critics who call him a socialist wrong?

Ideal configuration doesn't matter.  Are Obama's politics socialist, or at least socialistic, or not?

I don't see how you can have it both ways.  Either socialism is a specific thing you can't accuse Obama of, or it's a broad thing that he's at least kinda doing.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: eric42434224 on July 05, 2012, 12:33:51 PM
as you'll see from that, the word has a very broad general meaning.

If that's the case, then why are Obama's critics who call him a socialist wrong?

Ideal configuration doesn't matter.  Are Obama's politics socialist, or at least socialistic, or not?

I don't see how you can have it both ways.  Either socialism is a specific thing you can't accuse Obama of, or it's a broad thing that he's at least kinda doing.

The problem is that every politician supports socialistic policies.  To single out Obama is dishonest.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 05, 2012, 12:40:38 PM
The problem is that every politician supports socialistic policies.  To single out Obama is dishonest.

Fair to say in a sense.

But, Obama's the one who's put himself out there as wanting to reinvent how things are done.  If you're going to push for policies and attach yourself to them, haven't you earned the incoming criticism?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: eric42434224 on July 05, 2012, 12:47:13 PM
The problem is that every politician supports socialistic policies.  To single out Obama is dishonest.

Fair to say in a sense.

But, Obama's the one who's put himself out there as wanting to reinvent how things are done.  If you're going to push for policies and attach yourself to them, haven't you earned the incoming criticism?

Criticism on the specific policy for specific reasons, yes.  Calling him a socialist with the negative connotation is just being dishonest.
We have socialist policies in place...Medicare and medicaid being two obvious ones.  If people are so upset with Obama and his "socialist" health care policies, they should also be yelling for the end of Medicaid and Medicare too.
You can agree or disagree with Obama and his policies, but you need to criticize on the specific merits of the policy....calling him a Socialist is not only incorrect, it is lazy and dishonest.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 05, 2012, 12:48:17 PM
as you'll see from that, the word has a very broad general meaning.

If that's the case, then why are Obama's critics who call him a socialist wrong?

Ideal configuration doesn't matter.  Are Obama's politics socialist, or at least socialistic, or not?

I don't see how you can have it both ways.  Either socialism is a specific thing you can't accuse Obama of, or it's a broad thing that he's at least kinda doing.


Um, what?  I'm not having anything both ways.


0 <---- the amount of fucks I give if anyone calls Obama a socialist
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 05, 2012, 12:54:31 PM
0 <---- the amount of fucks I give if anyone calls Obama a socialist

What?

Quote
Anyone who calls Obama a socialist really needs to learn more about how socialism actually works, not just the dictionary definitions.

I count at least one or two fucks here.

Criticism on the specific policy for specific reasons, yes.  Calling him a socialist with the negative connotation is just being dishonest.

We have socialist policies in place...Medicare and medicaid being two obvious ones.  If people are so upset with Obama and his "socialist" health care policies, they should also be yelling for the end of Medicaid and Medicare too.

You can agree or disagree with Obama and his policies, but you need to criticize on the specific merits of the policy....calling him a Socialist is not only incorrect, it is lazy and dishonest.

Thing is, following politics is a full time job.  Most people can't actually do it.  Politics does affect us all the time though, whether we follow it or not.

The ACA passes and people worry that their healthcare will be affected negatively.  Are you going to spend hours on end researching everything?  Probably not since you spend time working.  So you look at Obama, who seems to be the one mostly responsible for it and criticize him.

What else are you supposed to do when you're emotionally trapped in a corner?

I'm not saying Obama should be called a socialist.  I'm not saying that most people who do this aren't being irrational.  I'm also not saying that some people don't do it out of malice or willful ignorance.  What I am saying is that when people feel pushed into a corner and feel the need to lash out, telling them they should shut up because they're wrong is the worst response possible.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: theseoafs on July 05, 2012, 12:55:00 PM
Until the government starts taking control of the means of production, it won't be socialist. By socialist standards, Obama's social legislation, most of which is simply meant to heighten the minimum standard of living, is extremely tame.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Cool Chris on July 05, 2012, 12:55:46 PM
I think we'd (maybe) under the right conditions, be able to build on (for example) the public school system, public library system, parks, roads, highways, etc, and grow into a democratic socialist state..... 

Kirk... my old friend.... could you elaborate on this? I am curious about your vision (and not to just shoot it down).

- Khan
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 05, 2012, 01:08:35 PM
0 <---- the amount of fucks I give if anyone calls Obama a socialist

What?

Quote
Anyone who calls Obama a socialist really needs to learn more about how socialism actually works, not just the dictionary definitions.

I count at least one or two fucks here.



That's an interesting trick, you know, reading my mind like that.  :\


Again, I don't give a shit if people want to call him a socialist.  But from where I sit most of people who do it are clueless about what socialism really is.   They call him a "socialist" because they think it's an insult.  If you want to extrapolate that I somehow give a shit from that, well, then knock yourself out.



Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 05, 2012, 01:21:16 PM
Until the government starts taking control of the means of production, it won't be socialist. By socialist standards, Obama's social legislation, most of which is simply meant to heighten the minimum standard of living, is extremely tame.

IIRC we're one of the only developed countries left that's as purely capitalist as we are.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 05, 2012, 01:23:51 PM
I think we'd (maybe) under the right conditions, be able to build on (for example) the public school system, public library system, parks, roads, highways, etc, and grow into a democratic socialist state..... 

Kirk... my old friend.... could you elaborate on this? I am curious about your vision (and not to just shoot it down).

- Khan


Well, I think Socialism has earned a bad name because most states that have been socialist in our lifetimes have been enemies of the US and thus heavily castigated by the media and our politicians.  It is also true that many of those states have been communist or authoritarian states like the Soviet Union.  But there are some good ideas underneath all of the hysteria about it.


If you're really interested in it, you can start with the Wiki, which presents a pretty dry description, devoid of political axes being ground:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socialism (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socialism)


I actually lean more towards Democratic Socialism.  You can read about that here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_socialism (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_socialism)


There are plenty of references to additional reading materials, especially in the first link, if you're really interested.


Or you could also visit the website of the Democratic Socialists of America party here:
https://www.dsausa.org/dsa.html (https://www.dsausa.org/dsa.html)


They have a nice video on the front page (it's actually quite humorous - it was from the Daily Show) about this very topic as it relates to Obama.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on July 05, 2012, 02:00:47 PM
The problem is that when many Americans think of Socialism, they think of the Soviet Union, which was actually more of an authoritarian dictatorship.

They should be thinking more of countries like Sweden, France, Canada, etc. You know, countries that are doing considerably better than the US in categories across the board.
Also, as has been pointed out, the US has a lot of socialist policies on the books, many of which people would revolt over if you tried to take them away. It, like basically every other developed nation on earth, is 'mixed market', which is a combination of socialism and capitalism.

Basically, anyone who actually thinks that Obama is going to try to turn the US into the Soviet Union is either lying, an idiot, or both. I mean, fuck, the man is at about the same point on the political spectrum as Ronald Reagan. By the standards of almost any other country, Obama is pretty conservative. The current Conservative party PM here in Canada, who is probably the most rightwing PM we've ever had, is to the left of Obama on many things. It's why when people in the US use socialism as a dirty word to try and discredit fairly conservative politicians, the rest of the developed world just laughs, and then goes back to their higher quality of life.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 05, 2012, 02:13:22 PM
The problem is that when many Americans think of Socialism, they think of the Soviet Union, which was actually more of an authoritarian dictatorship.

They should be thinking more of countries like Sweden, France, Canada, etc. You know, countries that are doing considerably better than the US in categories across the board.
Also, as has been pointed out, the US has a lot of socialist policies on the books, many of which people would revolt over if you tried to take them away. It, like basically every other developed nation on earth, is 'mixed market', which is a combination of socialism and capitalism.

Basically, anyone who actually thinks that Obama is going to try to turn the US into the Soviet Union is either lying, an idiot, or both. I mean, fuck, the man is at about the same point on the political spectrum as Ronald Reagan. By the standards of almost any other country, Obama is pretty conservative. The current Conservative party PM here in Canada, who is probably the most rightwing PM we've ever had, is to the left of Obama on many things. It's why when people in the US use socialism as a dirty word to try and discredit fairly conservative politicians, the rest of the developed world just laughs, and then goes back to their higher quality of life.

Yeah, problem with that is that Republican politicians tell Americans that other socialist countries are just as bad. Like the "Do Not Euthanize" thing with old people in Sweden or the Netherlands or something.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on July 05, 2012, 04:08:08 PM
I'm probably simplifying things, but didn't the implementation of socialist ideas during the depression and the 60s by Dems play a HUGE role in the U.S. being able to develop a large middle class and comfortable standard of living? 

Seems like dat evil COMMUNISM (as some like to refer to mild socialist ideas) has done plenty of good for the U.S., at least when it's actually been utilized. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 05, 2012, 04:19:04 PM
I'm probably simplifying things, but didn't the implementation of socialist ideas during the depression and the 60s by Dems play a HUGE role in the U.S. being able to develop a large middle class and comfortable standard of living? 

Seems like dat evil COMMUNISM (as some like to refer to mild socialist ideas) has done plenty of good for the U.S., at least when it's actually been utilized.

Why yes Cup, they did.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MasterShakezula on July 05, 2012, 04:27:55 PM
Are the republicans who dislike Obama and Co. for being socialist aware of this and have an agenda against the middle class?  Or are they just clueless?

I'm genuinely interested in what's behind their POV.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on July 05, 2012, 04:39:48 PM
Are the republicans who dislike Obama and Co. for being socialist aware of this and have an agenda against the middle class?  Or are they just clueless?

I'm genuinely interested in what's behind their POV.
Basically, the Republicans have made it their agenda to oppose Obama on everything (I'm not kidding. For example, Mitch McConnell literally said in an interview that it was their goal to make Obama a one term president), and they use inflammatory rhetoric and outright lies to try and accomplish that. Part of it is stirring up the idiotic fear some Americans have of socialism, or rather what those people think socialism is.

Basically, they're using kindergarten playground tactics.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W-A09a_gHJc

Like, any politician who actually states that as their goal should be voted the hell out of office the next time they're up.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 05, 2012, 04:40:28 PM
Are the republicans who dislike Obama and Co. for being socialist aware of this and have an agenda against the middle class?  Or are they just clueless?

I'm genuinely interested in what's behind their POV.
Keep in mind, most of those republicans would consider FDR one of the worst presidents of the modern era, specifically because of the new deal. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 05, 2012, 04:51:27 PM
Are the republicans who dislike Obama and Co. for being socialist aware of this and have an agenda against the middle class?  Or are they just clueless?

I'm genuinely interested in what's behind their POV.
Keep in mind, most of those republicans would consider FDR one of the worst presidents of the modern era, specifically because of the new deal.

What can I say? They're rich people who will do anything to stay rich, even if it means causing the country to collapse for their benefit.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on July 05, 2012, 05:15:36 PM
@Reap

you brought up valid points about this is Obama's to lose. However, I've just got that feeling. I've been staying away from politics at the moment. Well, I'm up to speed on things but I try not to think about it or spend a lot of time on it.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 05, 2012, 05:21:09 PM
@Reap

you brought up valid points about this is Obama's to lose. However, I've just got that feeling. I've been staying away from politics at the moment. Well, I'm up to speed on things but I try not to think about it or spend a lot of time on it.

How does decreasing one's exposure to developments equate to having a better sense for the outcome than someone who pays consistent attention? ???
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on July 05, 2012, 05:22:31 PM
@Reap

you brought up valid points about this is Obama's to lose. However, I've just got that feeling. I've been staying away from politics at the moment. Well, I'm up to speed on things but I try not to think about it or spend a lot of time on it.

How does decreasing one's exposure to developments equate to having a better sense for the outcome than someone who pays consistent attention? ???

Oh, I was just saying I had a feeling. Like, those ridiculous notions that something is going to happen. Nothing really formed with evidence.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TheOutlawXanadu on July 05, 2012, 05:40:42 PM
Doesn't this sound even a little bit with how Obama is working with big businesses who need government assistance?  At least in theory, the government is the community's representative.  Isn't any business regulation socialism to some degree?

I don't think that makes it fair to call him a socialist though. There's a huge difference between "Obama does some things that are socialist to a degree" and "Obama is a socialist". :lol

What I'm trying to suggest though is that the claim isn't without basis in reality.  People see socialism in Obama's policies and bring it up.  They're told that they're being idiots.  Then they see more socialism, and are again told they are being idiots.  When you're prevented from having any logical recourse, you turn to name calling.  It's like when a parent tells their child "you're going to do it because I told you so."  When you tell them they're not allowed to think logically, they eventually don't bother.

This dynamic is happening in American politics.  The left is trying to say it's beyond criticism, which is part of why the right has given up on trying to rationally offer any.

Saying that there is socialism in Obama's policies absolutely has a basis in reality. Calling Obama a socialist does not.

In my experience, Republicans rarely say the former. They only say the latter. I'm not saying there are no stupid Democrats. On the contrary, I know a lot of really stupid Democrats. It's just that the Republicans I've met are typically much, much worse, and they're not worse because they're on the defensive. Usually, they're on the offensive. Hell, I just got back from a baseball game where my girlfriend's grand-ma yelled, "Give us our country back!" and half the stadium cheered. :rollin
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 05, 2012, 05:50:00 PM
Doesn't this sound even a little bit with how Obama is working with big businesses who need government assistance?  At least in theory, the government is the community's representative.  Isn't any business regulation socialism to some degree?

I don't think that makes it fair to call him a socialist though. There's a huge difference between "Obama does some things that are socialist to a degree" and "Obama is a socialist". :lol

What I'm trying to suggest though is that the claim isn't without basis in reality.  People see socialism in Obama's policies and bring it up.  They're told that they're being idiots.  Then they see more socialism, and are again told they are being idiots.  When you're prevented from having any logical recourse, you turn to name calling.  It's like when a parent tells their child "you're going to do it because I told you so."  When you tell them they're not allowed to think logically, they eventually don't bother.

This dynamic is happening in American politics.  The left is trying to say it's beyond criticism, which is part of why the right has given up on trying to rationally offer any.

Saying that there is socialism in Obama's policies absolutely has a basis in reality. Calling Obama a socialist does not.

In my experience, Republicans rarely say the former. They only say the latter. I'm not saying there are no stupid Democrats. On the contrary, I know a lot of really stupid Democrats. It's just that the Republicans I've met are typically much, much worse, and they're not worse because they're on the defensive. Usually, they're on the offensive. Hell, I just got back from a baseball game where my girlfriend's grand-ma yelled, "Give us our country back!" and half the stadium cheered. :rollin

Honestly, I'd say that describes the Democratic electorate more than the politicians themselves. :lol
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 05, 2012, 07:17:30 PM
@Reap

you brought up valid points about this is Obama's to lose. However, I've just got that feeling. I've been staying away from politics at the moment. Well, I'm up to speed on things but I try not to think about it or spend a lot of time on it.

How does decreasing one's exposure to developments equate to having a better sense for the outcome than someone who pays consistent attention? ???

Oh, I was just saying I had a feeling. Like, those ridiculous notions that something is going to happen. Nothing really formed with evidence.

I... think I see what you're doing here?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 05, 2012, 07:24:42 PM
Basically, the Republicans have made it their agenda to oppose Obama on everything (I'm not kidding. For example, Mitch McConnell literally said in an interview that it was their goal to make Obama a one term president), and they use inflammatory rhetoric and outright lies to try and accomplish that. Part of it is stirring up the idiotic fear some Americans have of socialism, or rather what those people think socialism is.

Basically, they're using kindergarten playground tactics.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W-A09a_gHJc

Like, any politician who actually states that as their goal should be voted the hell out of office the next time they're up.

Think of the calculation from their point of view.  Think of two courses of action:

 - Work with Obama and accept that letting him have victories will cause him to look good and probably be re-elected.

 - Undermine Obama as much as possible and make him look useless, turning the public against him.

If you believe that his merely being president is sufficiently destructive to the nation, you take the second option.  I'm not saying they should, just that it's not thoughtless.

In my experience, Republicans rarely say the former. They only say the latter. I'm not saying there are no stupid Democrats. On the contrary, I know a lot of really stupid Democrats. It's just that the Republicans I've met are typically much, much worse, and they're not worse because they're on the defensive. Usually, they're on the offensive. Hell, I just got back from a baseball game where my girlfriend's grand-ma yelled, "Give us our country back!" and half the stadium cheered. :rollin

I know I'm being repetitive, but when half a stadium full of people acts this way, why aren't you listening and taking that seriously instead of making a rolling laughter face?

Remember, these people vote.  Are you going to say they shouldn't be able to?

Honestly, I'd say that describes the Democratic electorate more than the politicians themselves. :lol

What do you mean?

Are the republicans who dislike Obama and Co. for being socialist aware of this and have an agenda against the middle class?  Or are they just clueless?

I'm genuinely interested in what's behind their POV.
Keep in mind, most of those republicans would consider FDR one of the worst presidents of the modern era, specifically because of the new deal.

What can I say? They're rich people who will do anything to stay rich, even if it means causing the country to collapse for their benefit.

Only Rich people are Republicans and/or people who think FDR wasn't a good president.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on July 05, 2012, 07:40:53 PM
Honestly, at this point, what America needs is for the Democrats to become the right wing party (staying exactly where they currently are politically), the Republicans to just go away, and an actual left wing party to form. Obviously it won't happen, but it would be a huge step forward.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 05, 2012, 08:19:55 PM
Honestly, I'd say that describes the Democratic electorate more than the politicians themselves. :lol

What do you mean?

I mean - and I hate to sell out my fellows but it's true - most of the Democrats I've met who don't hold public office are morons. They take the liberalism way too far, or they're all ideology and don't know enough about the issues they're passionate about to understand what they're even supporting, or they're condescending. And this is me speaking as a self-proclaimed Democrat. I am proud to say that most DTF liberals are not of this stock, but very sad to say that all too many who I've met IRL totally fit this bill, 100%.

I'm not saying Republicans are any better, and it probably goes without saying that I have a number of issues with the Republican electorate, but...this why we should all aspire to moderate politics.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TheOutlawXanadu on July 05, 2012, 08:31:17 PM
I know I'm being repetitive, but when half a stadium full of people acts this way, why aren't you listening and taking that seriously instead of making a rolling laughter face?

Because everyone I've ever talked to who acts that way is not a person to be taken seriously. Everyone I've ever talked to who acts that way has been a person I couldn't sit down with and have an intelligent discussion.

I understand the broader point of what you're saying: This group of people can vote, so no matter how ridiculous I think they are, they're still influential and therefore important. I get that, and it's 100 percent true. But everytime I've ever tried to take them seriously and talk to them, I've left wanting to pull my hair out and kill myself. Sometimes all you can do is make a rolling laughter face or you'll go crazy.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 05, 2012, 08:49:15 PM
Or as I see it: just because everyone else is doing it (thinks it) doesn't mean it's right.

And that's not to say there aren't times that the majority is right, but I don't take that for granted. If people always thought that way, we might still be living with Jim Crow and Social Darwinism.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 06, 2012, 08:49:16 AM
The problem is that when many Americans think of Socialism, they think of the Soviet Union, which was actually more of an authoritarian dictatorship.

They should be thinking more of countries like Sweden, France, Canada, etc. You know, countries that are doing considerably better than the US in categories across the board.
Also, as has been pointed out, the US has a lot of socialist policies on the books, many of which people would revolt over if you tried to take them away. It, like basically every other developed nation on earth, is 'mixed market', which is a combination of socialism and capitalism.

Basically, anyone who actually thinks that Obama is going to try to turn the US into the Soviet Union is either lying, an idiot, or both. I mean, fuck, the man is at about the same point on the political spectrum as Ronald Reagan. By the standards of almost any other country, Obama is pretty conservative. The current Conservative party PM here in Canada, who is probably the most rightwing PM we've ever had, is to the left of Obama on many things. It's why when people in the US use socialism as a dirty word to try and discredit fairly conservative politicians, the rest of the developed world just laughs, and then goes back to their higher quality of life.


 :tup


This is really all I was trying to say.  For me, personally, Obama has been a little bit disappointing because I had hoped that he was actually as liberal as his enemies were making him out to be.  The truth, however, is he's anything but. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 06, 2012, 09:07:10 AM
The real danger for the US is that they waste so much of their political energy on these Pyrrhic battles, and what really needs to be done and decided falls by the wayside.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 06, 2012, 09:20:06 AM
The real danger for the US is that they waste so much of their political energy on these Pyrrhic battles, and what really needs to be done and decided falls by the wayside.

rumborak

Human nature again.

Real issues involve pressure.  Potential for change.  Really hard thinking.  Don't want to do that.  But you also need to feel important.  Like you accomplished something.  Like you've done something really hard.

Solution?  Devote all your energy to a cause or campaign that uses a reduced version of your intellectual abilities so you can feel like you've done all these things.  Instead of campaigning for real reform, you expend energy fighting for an issue of lesser importance but also lesser difficulty.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on July 06, 2012, 10:56:57 AM
First of all: Socialism =/= Communism,

Of course, although Marx said socialism was just a transition to communism. I'm not sure what to make of Obama's current ideology. I believe he's a socialist at the bare minimum ("I think when you spread the wealth around, it's good for everybody"), but his willingness to appoint people like Van Jones makes me wonder if he harbors more radical views.

it's quite a stretch to claim that Ayres, Alinsky and Dohrn are communists.

I'm not what to call Alinsky exactly, but Ayers and Dohrn were most certainly communists in their Weather Underground days. Ayers expressed communist sympathies as late as 1995. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Ayers#Political_views)

I would say they are proponents of certain socialist ideas, and most of the US are actually in favor of them.

This may or may not be true. Polls show that Americans are sharply divided over healthcare (https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/07/03/obamacare-polls-supreme-court-health-care-decision_n_1646725.html?utm_hp_ref=elections-2012) and very opposed to the stimulus (https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/122527-poll-two-thirds-think-stimulus-was-a-waste) and bailouts (https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/04/10/bank-bailout-opinion-harris_n_1415647.html).

That being said, none of them are going to ever be proponents of dismantling private property for the means of production.

What do you make of the bailouts? The resounding message from the government was that we (meaning the American people) had some kind of collective responsibility to prop up these failing businesses. That's public ownership of the means of production, is it not?

Furthermore, I want to point out that Hans-Hermann Hoppe is arguably one of the most fierce anarcho-capitalists out there, and he earned his Ph.D in Philosophy under prominent Marxist Jürgen Habermas in Frankfurt. So this guilt by association BS is not acceptable.

That's one guy. It seems like almost everyone Obama associates with has ties to radical socialism. Tell me jsem, would it be "BS" if I pointed out that everyone in Bush's company was a hawkish neocon? Where there's smoke, there's fire. Of course, I don't single out Obama as others are accusing me of. He's part of a broader picture of a totalitarian government encroaching on our liberties, both social and economic.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Rathma on July 06, 2012, 11:11:11 AM
75 pages lol really? So what have we learned from 75 pages of ramble?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 06, 2012, 11:54:34 AM
That's one guy. It seems like almost everyone Obama associates with has ties to radical socialism.

Que?

I think your political compass is missing a whole corner if you think the people Obama's contacts are radical socialists. For crying out loud, I have yet to ever hear "The Internationale" in the United States. That's radical socialism.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ohgar on July 06, 2012, 12:12:18 PM
The resounding message from the government was that we (meaning the American people) had some kind of collective responsibility to prop up these failing businesses. That's public ownership of the means of production, is it not?

Nope. Giving taxpayer money to big corporations is the extreme opposite of socialism.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on July 06, 2012, 12:31:36 PM
First of all: Socialism =/= Communism,

Of course, although Marx said socialism was just a transition to communism. I'm not sure what to make of Obama's current ideology. I believe he's a socialist at the bare minimum ("I think when you spread the wealth around, it's good for everybody"), but his willingness to appoint people like Van Jones makes me wonder if he harbors more radical views.
Ok, seems like you've made your mind up. Spreading the wealth around is a thought among MANY people, and that is a socialistic idea - I'll give you that. Appointing some guy like Van Jones as a political move was to bring in environmentalists to his camp as well, even though he's in bed with big oil as well. He doesn't want to alienate any voter block so he lets them have a voice in his administration even if it's just a front.

it's quite a stretch to claim that Ayres, Alinsky and Dohrn are communists.

I'm not what to call Alinsky exactly, but Ayers and Dohrn were most certainly communists in their Weather Underground days. Ayers expressed communist sympathies as late as 1995. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Ayers#Political_views)
Ok, fine. I'll let you have that one, it's irrelevant to me anyway. It's realpolitik after all.

I would say they are proponents of certain socialist ideas, and most of the US are actually in favor of them.

This may or may not be true. Polls show that Americans are sharply divided over healthcare (https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/07/03/obamacare-polls-supreme-court-health-care-decision_n_1646725.html?utm_hp_ref=elections-2012) and very opposed to the stimulus (https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/122527-poll-two-thirds-think-stimulus-was-a-waste) and bailouts (https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/04/10/bank-bailout-opinion-harris_n_1415647.html).
Yeah, they are sharply divided about healthcare. But no one is talking about repealing Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security or other socialist ideas. The most ironic thing I heard during the healthcare debates a few years ago was some town hall meeting where some old fella shouted "KEEP THE GOVERNMENT OUT OF MY MEDICARE". So there it is. Instead of calling it socialized medicine, you call it Medicare for all.

And stimulus? It's a Keynesian idea. Most economists today share the view that the economy must be stimulated during recessions through tax breaks and spending increases by the government and somewhat ignoring the deficit.

That being said, none of them are going to ever be proponents of dismantling private property for the means of production.

What do you make of the bailouts? The resounding message from the government was that we (meaning the American people) had some kind of collective responsibility to prop up these failing businesses. That's public ownership of the means of production, is it not?
I don't know what to make of myself, if I'm a minarchist or an ancap. Can't really make up my mind about that, so that ought to clear up any confusion about that.

As to the bailouts, you could make that stretch to say that it's public ownership, but it's not in the way a Marxist would want it at all, labor being in control of the production. When the government takes over an entity it does not empower labor - it saves the executives who ran the ship to the ground.

Furthermore, I want to point out that Hans-Hermann Hoppe is arguably one of the most fierce anarcho-capitalists out there, and he earned his Ph.D in Philosophy under prominent Marxist Jürgen Habermas in Frankfurt. So this guilt by association BS is not acceptable.

That's one guy. It seems like almost everyone Obama associates with has ties to radical socialism. Tell me jsem, would it be "BS" if I pointed out that everyone in Bush's company was a hawkish neocon? Where there's smoke, there's fire. Of course, I don't single out Obama as others are accusing me of. He's part of a broader picture of a totalitarian government encroaching on our liberties, both social and economic.
I have to say that I was wrong in expressing myself like that about guilt by association - I use it a lot myself, you've arrived at a different conclusion than me though - because he hasn't fought at ALL for socialist ideals, he's just busy getting himself reelected like any politician.

As for Bush? Dick Cheney was the biggest neocon in the administration anyway, and from I understand he kinda ran shop more than he should have. Bush's personal opinions I don't know about.

But if you're going to bring up Obama's associates where's Jack Lew's ties to radical socialism? Tim Geithner?
If Obama were a radical socialist, he would've stayed as far away as possible from these guys. Joe Leiberman was his MENTOR in the Senate. So I can bring that up to counter the claims of socialism. He's just like all other politicians really, he does what benefits him and makes backroom deals everywhere. It's how you get to be president.
He's part of a broader picture of a totalitarian government encroaching on our liberties, both social and economic.
I would agree 100% with this.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: theseoafs on July 06, 2012, 12:36:52 PM
75 pages lol really? So what have we learned from 75 pages of ramble?

That Obama is not a socialist, I guess.

That took 75 pages.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Adami on July 06, 2012, 12:39:12 PM
75 pages lol really? So what have we learned from 75 pages of ramble?

That Obama is not a socialist, I guess.

That took 75 pages.

Obama doesn't go by the philosophy of each man for himself. Of course he's a socialist. He's not only a socialist, he's a radical socialist.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on July 06, 2012, 01:08:51 PM
75 pages lol really? So what have we learned from 75 pages of ramble?
Learned? This has been about the election all along, there was never anything to learn.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 06, 2012, 01:12:48 PM
Here's the real lesson: ideology is stupid. The politicians and electorate alike either have to learn to vote based on more personalized policy preferences rather than that of the party, or I'm going to build a supercomputer capable of running the nation for them.
 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on July 06, 2012, 02:41:03 PM
See, as has been brought up in multiple threads, multiple times, the problem is that people like MondayMorningLunatic aren't making a distinction between the Soviet Union and modern democratic socialism.

Every developed nation on the planet is 'mixed market' at this point, each with some balance of capitalism and socialism. Both of those philosophies don't work on their own. It takes a balance of the two.

Yes, Obama has some socialist policies. So did literally every other president over the past hundred years, at least. Democrat and Republican alike. Again, Obama is at about the same point on the political compass as Reagan. The US is just so radically right wing compared to the rest of the world, that any policy that's remotely progressive looks radically to the left. Heck, on many issues, Obama is to the right of our (Canada's) current very conservative Prime Minister.

Having a social safety net and providing health care to poor people isn't radical. It's basic human decency. Expanding medicare and enacting some stimulus spending when the economy is struggling isn't going to lead to a Soviet style dictatorship.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 06, 2012, 02:43:54 PM
See, as has been brought up in multiple threads, multiple times, the problem is that people like MondayMorningLunatic aren't making a distinction between the Soviet Union and modern democratic socialism.

Every developed nation on the planet is 'mixed market' at this point, each with some balance of capitalism and socialism. Both of those philosophies don't work on their own. It takes a balance of the two.

Yes, Obama has some socialist policies. So did literally every other president over the past hundred years, at least. Democrat and Republican alike. Again, Obama is at about the same point on the political compass as Reagan. The US is just so radically right wing compared to the rest of the world, that any policy that's remotely progressive looks radically to the left. Heck, on many issues, Obama is to the right of our (Canada's) current very conservative Prime Minister.

Having a social safety net and providing health care to poor people isn't radical. It's basic human decency. Expanding medicare and enacting some stimulus spending when the economy is struggling isn't going to lead to a Soviet style dictatorship.

Not every country in the world; we're at around the same spot as Pakistan.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: theseoafs on July 06, 2012, 02:47:49 PM
We could say "The US is just so radically right wing compared to the rest of the developed world".
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 06, 2012, 02:49:34 PM
Oh no, I was just trying to capitalize on the point that we're not so different from "those radical Muslims" we so fear and despise. Scarily so.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on July 06, 2012, 04:29:42 PM
Nope. Giving taxpayer money to big corporations is the extreme opposite of socialism.

Says Michael Moore. This video summarizes my feelings succinctly: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXWoU0YqsU0

One thing that this is most certainly NOT is free market capitalism. Any champion of the free market would have let General Motors, Citibank, et al. fail.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on July 06, 2012, 04:35:38 PM
No one is saying it's free market capitalism either. AFAIK.

And Peter Schiff has always struck me the wrong way for some reason, he does well at times - but some times not so much. There are much better voices for liberty out there. Hopefully Tom Woods gets his own show soon.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: TL on July 06, 2012, 04:55:12 PM
Nope. Giving taxpayer money to big corporations is the extreme opposite of socialism.

Says Michael Moore. This video summarizes my feelings succinctly: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXWoU0YqsU0

One thing that this is most certainly NOT is free market capitalism. Any champion of the free market would have let General Motors, Citibank, et al. fail.
Which would have lost a huge number of jobs, and could have dealt an extremely damaging blow to the global economy.
A completely unregulated free market with no government intervention ever is a terrible, terrible idea.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 07, 2012, 02:35:31 PM
I think it would have been monumentally stupid to let GM go under.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on July 08, 2012, 11:09:01 AM
It's funny how people try and have it both ways. The same people who bitch about the government being in bed with corporations are the same ones who turn around and support corporate welfare and protectionism. Orwell had a term for this...
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 08, 2012, 11:55:26 AM
It still would've been monumentally stupid to let GM go under. Although I would love to see your face if they had.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on July 08, 2012, 11:56:22 AM
It's less about saving the corporations and more about reducing the impact of their failures on the rest of the economy.  You can gussy that statement up all you want, but mot everything in the world is limited to black-and-white, either-or and freedom-or-oppression.  To believe so is to be horribly myopic.

To be fair, I think we largely botched the bank bailouts, though the GM bailout seems to have worked... depending upon who you talk to of course.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on July 08, 2012, 12:12:10 PM
It still would've been monumentally stupid to let GM go under. Although I would love to see your face if they had.

You say businesses inevitably become corrupt, but refuse to let them tank when their corruption drives them into the ground. Hypocrisy ROFL.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on July 08, 2012, 12:15:10 PM
It still would've been monumentally stupid to let GM go under. Although I would love to see your face if they had.

You say businesses inevitably become corrupt, but refuse to let them tank when their corruption drives them into the ground. Hypocrisy ROFL.
So you were in favor of high unemployment and depression?  I thought libertarian values were supposed to solve our economic woes, not drive it into the ground?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: theseoafs on July 08, 2012, 12:16:50 PM
No, libertarian values are about refusing to admit that government intervention in the economy might sometimes be a good thing, even when it is.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 08, 2012, 12:25:20 PM
And seeing everything as black-and-white and freedom-or-oppression. If something doesn't work 100% of the time, it's a terrible encroachment on our natural rights and must be killed with fire.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on July 08, 2012, 12:42:49 PM
So you were in favor of high unemployment and depression?  I thought libertarian values were supposed to solve our economic woes, not drive it into the ground?

By spending more money that it doesn't have and propping up failed businesses, in turn impeding the creation of more competent businesses, the government will exacerbate the recession and create more unemployment in the future.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on July 08, 2012, 01:19:51 PM
So you were in favor of high unemployment and depression?  I thought libertarian values were supposed to solve our economic woes, not drive it into the ground?

By spending more money that it doesn't have and propping up failed businesses, in turn impeding the creation of more competent businesses, the government will exacerbate the recession and create more unemployment in the future.

Except proper funding increases and grows the economy, which allows for actual government revenue to increase, while still letting people get richer, and thus grow the economy on their own.

It's funny how people try and have it both ways. The same people who bitch about the government being in bed with corporations are the same ones who turn around and support corporate welfare and protectionism. Orwell had a term for this...

It's pretty simple really. If you believe government is supposed to support and advance the public good, then the government bailing out a company because of it's huge, huge public impact is within that role of government. However, corrupt government policies which benefit private entities [over the public interests, no longer adheres to this view of government. There isn't any doublethink, it's an application of the liberal definition of governance that this country was build on.

Which isn't to say that what our government actually did was good.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 08, 2012, 01:47:02 PM
You don't believe bailing out GM was good, Scheavo?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: jsem on July 08, 2012, 02:04:04 PM
No, libertarian values are about refusing to admit that government intervention in the economy might sometimes be a good thing, even when it is.
Depends what you mean. Some people would see libertarian values being a rejection of the initiation of force.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 09, 2012, 01:53:03 PM
It's funny how people try and have it both ways. The same people who bitch about the government being in bed with corporations are the same ones who turn around and support corporate welfare and protectionism. Orwell had a term for this...
Reluctantly adopting the least damaging course of action is not the same as embracing what the action stands for. 

Personally, I advocated forcing them into a controlled bankruptcy, with funds to keep them afloat coming later.  As it turned out, I think it actually worked out OK (although their union troubles remain).  They were loaned money, most of which they've paid back.  People make it sound like we nationalized GM, which is asinine. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on July 09, 2012, 03:31:37 PM
You don't believe bailing out GM was good, Scheavo?

Meh. I think action was proper, due to it's larger economic consequences, I just wish we could've been more general to the car industry, and not just the big guys on the field.

What I mean is, there's a difference between GM lobbying for tax breaks and loopholes that allow them to have an advantage, and the government deciding GM needs bailing out because of it's economic consequences. The latter can still be corrupt, but it's not inherently so.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 09, 2012, 03:43:32 PM
You don't believe bailing out GM was good, Scheavo?

Meh. I think action was proper, due to it's larger economic consequences, I just wish we could've been more general to the car industry, and not just the big guys on the field.

What I mean is, there's a difference between GM lobbying for tax breaks and loopholes that allow them to have an advantage, and the government deciding GM needs bailing out because of it's economic consequences. The latter can still be corrupt, but it's not inherently so.

Okay, I can see that. And yes, if not for the huge economic ramifications of doing otherwise (at the present moment, at least), I would completely agree.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on July 09, 2012, 04:09:47 PM
What a horrible ad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c2UjLX3N2mo&feature=plcp

But I'll still side with Gary Johnson now that Ron Paul's out of the picture.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on July 09, 2012, 04:10:07 PM
You don't believe bailing out GM was good, Scheavo?

Meh. I think action was proper, due to it's larger economic consequences, I just wish we could've been more general to the car industry, and not just the big guys on the field.

What I mean is, there's a difference between GM lobbying for tax breaks and loopholes that allow them to have an advantage, and the government deciding GM needs bailing out because of it's economic consequences. The latter can still be corrupt, but it's not inherently so.

This isn't Scheavo. Ban.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on July 09, 2012, 04:49:14 PM
What about that strikes you as not me?
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on July 09, 2012, 05:20:32 PM
What about that strikes you as not me?


It's strikingly conservative.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 09, 2012, 05:22:33 PM
It's equally liberal to say that government policies are corrupt when they support big corporations. Liberals are against big corporations.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: snapple on July 09, 2012, 05:23:59 PM
It's equally liberal to say that government policies are corrupt when they support big corporations. Liberals are against big corporations.

Well, it was humorous because he said that bailouts can be corrupted. It seemed as though he favored loopholes, given a choice between the two.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Super Dude on July 09, 2012, 06:01:32 PM
The fate of the economy based on who's receiving that bailout is a pretty fair loophole I'd say.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 09, 2012, 07:53:37 PM
What a horrible ad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c2UjLX3N2mo&feature=plcp

Wow. The classic "old guy tries to connect with young audience and massively fails". I guess insulting the intelligence of their target audience is part of Libertarian stealth campaign, Ron Paul was really good at that too. Too stealth for me, because I don't get it.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on July 09, 2012, 08:45:46 PM
It's equally liberal to say that government policies are corrupt when they support big corporations. Liberals are against big corporations.

Well, it was humorous because he said that bailouts can be corrupted. It seemed as though he favored loopholes, given a choice between the two.

Seems to me your trying to claim common sense as conservative. Liberals are open-minded, and don't hold to prejudices, meaning, as a liberal, I can't believe that government is pure, incorruptible, etc. It would really be asinine to think otherwise, and I don't know many liberals personally who think otherwise.

And no, loopholes are exactly what's wrong. Bailouts can be acceptable in certain (definitily not all) situations, especially if they are a one time deal.

As a non conservative today, it seems as if conservatives believe that government ins inherently corruptible, that it is corruption made manifest.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on July 09, 2012, 08:53:27 PM
What a horrible ad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c2UjLX3N2mo&feature=plcp

what the fuck am i watching
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 10, 2012, 07:19:48 AM
If I was a political cartoonist, I would draw a deer with "Libertarianism" on it that's been fatally hit by Ron Paul in a car, and then Gary Johnson tries to salvage it but accidentally backs up over the deer.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on July 10, 2012, 07:44:09 AM
I've got to admit, I found this pretty funny:
(https://images.sodahead.com/profiles/0/0/2/7/6/0/7/6/5/Ron-Paul---Hindenberg-55862881141.jpeg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 10, 2012, 08:45:52 AM
(https://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/rumborak/ron-paul-2012.jpg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on July 10, 2012, 10:48:08 AM
I've got to admit, I found this pretty funny:
*snip*

"Sir, we can't fly this thing carrying all this gold, we have to drop it!"

"NEVER!"
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: kirksnosehair on July 10, 2012, 12:22:13 PM
What a horrible ad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c2UjLX3N2mo&feature=plcp (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c2UjLX3N2mo&feature=plcp)

what the fuck am i watching


An advertisement from a nothing candidate who couldn't get elected dog catcher.  It's fairly typical hyperbolic nonsense.  For example, it cites MA as supposedly now having some kind of horrific health care system due to the health care law here, when the fact is, people come here to MA for medical care from all over the world.  Why?  Because (wait for it) our Health Care system is excellent, and Mitt Romney's plan isn't all that bad. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 10, 2012, 05:45:59 PM
I had so far written off the dog-on-roof story as some PETA level "Oh no, how terrible!!" stuff. But dang, he had the dog on the roof for 12 hours, during which it developed diarrhea, shitting all over the back window, only to put him back up after some cleaning-off? That's pretty cold.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: MondayMorningLunatic on July 10, 2012, 07:19:18 PM
Romney displays many trademark signs of a sociopath. Animal cruelty being one of them, but also his compulsive lying, unreliability, and "glib" demeanor. These incidents say it all:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SAsAxBdC3XE
https://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/bulle/2012/05/romney_s_bullying_how_bad_was_the_vicious_incident_reported_by_the_washington_post_.html
https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/06/07/classmates-mitt-romney-im_n_1575680.html
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 10, 2012, 07:53:29 PM
I had so far written off the dog-on-roof story as some PETA level "Oh no, how terrible!!" stuff. But dang, he had the dog on the roof for 12 hours, during which it developed diarrhea, shitting all over the back window, only to put him back up after some cleaning-off? That's pretty cold.

rumborak
I don't guess I see the problem here.  People transport animals in kennels in the backs of trucks all the time.  Hell, plenty of people down here don't even bother with the kennel.  Dogs seem to love air blowing by.  In this case he also tried to protect him from the front by building some kind of windshield to keep him from getting too blown around.  I have no idea whether the dog was miserable or loved every second of it, but there's no reason to assume the worst because he's already regarded as a sociopath. 

Unless it was a sweltering day, he failed to provide water or he ignored a significant medical problem that necessitated veterinary care, I don't see why this is such a problem. 
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Sigz on July 10, 2012, 08:03:55 PM
Yeah, I'm inclined to agree, though the fact that it had diarrhea would seem to indicate some kind of problem. But either way, drudging up some story of him possibly mistreating a pet almost 3 decades ago seems like a rather irrelevant attack.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: El Barto on July 10, 2012, 08:19:20 PM
Dogs get sick sometimes.  I suspect you deal with it the same way you would with a person.  Lots of fluids and keep an eye on it.  Still there in 24 hours, see a doctor. 

And of course worse things have been known to happen:
(https://i385.photobucket.com/albums/oo299/000jesus/auntedna2.jpg)
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: rumborak on July 10, 2012, 08:39:15 PM
I had so far written off the dog-on-roof story as some PETA level "Oh no, how terrible!!" stuff. But dang, he had the dog on the roof for 12 hours, during which it developed diarrhea, shitting all over the back window, only to put him back up after some cleaning-off? That's pretty cold.

rumborak
I don't guess I see the problem here.  People transport animals in kennels in the backs of trucks all the time.  Hell, plenty of people down here don't even bother with the kennel.  Dogs seem to love air blowing by.  In this case he also tried to protect him from the front by building some kind of windshield to keep him from getting too blown around.  I have no idea whether the dog was miserable or loved every second of it, but there's no reason to assume the worst because he's already regarded as a sociopath. 

Don't get me wrong, I know how dogs love sticking their head out the car window. And I'm sure the dog loves an hour drive up there.  It's the fact that they had the dog up there for 12 hours, and that they put him back up there after shitting all over himself.
Keep also in mind that a dog crate isn't a passenger seat. When you're driving from Belmont, MA to Ontario, the dog will have felt every single pot hole on the way.

rumborak
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: Scheavo on July 10, 2012, 09:05:02 PM
Yeah, I'm inclined to agree, though the fact that it had diarrhea would seem to indicate some kind of problem. But either way, drudging up some story of him possibly mistreating a pet almost 3 decades ago seems like a rather irrelevant attack.

Never got the whole ordeal either. Seems to me that it's not even necessary. It's a weird attack to begin with, but it's not as if there isn't plenty of valid character concerns to express about the guy (as MML alluded to).

Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: ReaPsTA on July 11, 2012, 12:22:26 PM
Something about your empathy circuits has to be fundamentally damaged to take your dog on a road trip by strapping him/her to a crate on top of your car.

Even more disturbing is that we live in a society where a person who does this could potentially be the president.
Title: Re: Election 2012
Post by: The King in Crimson on July 11, 2012, 08:48:01 PM
Something about your empathy circuits has to be fundamentally damaged to take your dog on a road trip by strapping him/her to a crate on top of your car.

Even more disturbing is that we live in a society where a person who does this could potentially be the president.
I think it's a terrible thing to do to an animal, but it's also really far down the list of reasons that Mitt shouldn't be president.